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Domestic Consumption Remains Weak, SHFE Zinc Maintains Fluctuating Trend [SMM Zinc Morning Comment]

  • Nov 26, 2025, at 8:44 am
[ SMM Zinc Morning Comment: Domestic Consumption Remains Weak, SHFE Zinc Maintains Fluctuating Trend ] Overnight, the most-traded SHFE zinc 2601 contract opened at 22,340 yuan/mt. At the beginning of the session, SHFE zinc fluctuated upward briefly, touching a high of 22,425 yuan/mt, then retreated from highs and fell all the way to a low of 22,285 yuan/mt. Subsequently, SHFE zinc slowly rebounded from the low and finally closed down at 22,330 yuan/mt, a decrease of 30 yuan/mt.

SMM November 26 News:

Overnight, LME zinc opened at $3,002/mt. After opening, it fluctuated along the daily average line. During the session, LME zinc rose rapidly, touched a high of $3,020/mt, then pulled back again. After probing a low of $2,983.5/mt, it fluctuated and recovered to near the daily average line, finally closing down at $2,999.5/mt, down $3.5/mt, a decrease of 0.12%. Trading volume increased to 9,349 lots, and open interest increased by 2,377 lots to 219,000 lots. Overnight, LME zinc recorded a bearish candlestick, with the 40-day moving average forming resistance above. The US Fed's September retail sales month-on-month figure was lower than expectations, strengthening market expectations for a US Fed interest rate cut. The US dollar index pulled back, but LME zinc ingot inventory continued to accumulate. LME zinc maintained a fluctuating trend at highs.

Overnight, the most-traded SHFE zinc 2601 contract opened at 22,340 yuan/mt. Early in the session, it briefly fluctuated upward, touching a high of 22,425 yuan/mt, then retreated from the high and fell all the way to probe a low of 22,285 yuan/mt. Subsequently, it slowly recovered from the low, finally closing down at 22,330 yuan/mt, down 30 yuan/mt, a decrease of 0.13%. Trading volume decreased to 47,867 lots, and open interest increased by 3,549 lots to 103,000 lots. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE zinc contract recorded a bearish candlestick, with the 10-day moving average forming resistance above. Amid tight ore supply, there are expectations for production cuts by smelters, providing some bottom support for zinc prices. However, domestic off-season consumption performance is weak, with mixed fundamental factors. In the short term, the most-traded SHFE zinc contract is expected to maintain a fluctuating trend.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, other data are processed by SMM based on public information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model, for reference only and do not constitute decision-making advice.

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