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[SMM Analysis]July lithium hydroxide output edged up sequentially, remaining broadly flat; August is expected to see a mild pullback.

  • Jul 31, 2025, at 8:36 pm
  • SMM
July lithium hydroxide output edged up sequentially, remaining broadly flat; August is expected to see a mild pullback.

SMM data show that China’s lithium hydroxide output rose marginally month on month in July but was still 22 % lower year on year.

At the smelting end, ternary-cathode orders slightly exceeded expectations, allowing downstream and end-users to lift more product. Several producers adjusted output to match sales, and newly commissioned lines continued ramping up, pushing smelting-side output 2 % higher on the month.

In the causticization segment, a modest rebound in orders at a few plants lifted production by 8 %.

Looking ahead to August, limited demand growth is expected to prompt some lithium-salt producers to swing flexible lines toward carbonate output, trimming smelting-side volumes. Meanwhile, scheduled maintenance shutdowns at several causticization facilities will further reduce supply. Overall, lithium hydroxide production is forecast to fall 5 % month on month and 24 % year on year in August.

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