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[SMM coal and coke daily briefing] 20250630

  • Jun 30, 2025, at 5:09 pm
[SMM Daily Briefing on Coke & Coal] In terms of supply, some coking enterprises have cut production, leading to a slight tightening of coke supply. Meanwhile, the shipment situation of coking enterprises has improved, resulting in a decline in their coke inventory. On the demand side, market expectations have improved, driving a slight increase in the enthusiasm of steel mills for replenishing inventory. The control of arrival volumes has decreased, and even some traders have begun to stock up. In summary, the fundamental contradictions in the coke market have decreased, and cost support has emerged. However, there is insufficient upward or downward driving force for prices, and the coke market may operate steadily in the short term.

[SMM Coking Coal & Coke Daily Brief Comment]

Coking Coal Market:

Linfen's low-sulphur coking coal is quoted at 1,180 yuan/mt. Tangshan's low-sulphur coking coal is also quoted at 1,180 yuan/mt.

Regarding raw material fundamentals, some accident-affected mines in Changzhi, Shanxi are about to resume production, leading to partial supply recovery for coking coal. However, recent mine shipments have been robust, coking coal inventories have declined, the proportion of unsuccessful auctions in online bidding has decreased, and prices for certain coal grades have rebounded slightly. In summary, the coking coal market has largely stabilized, but upward momentum remains weak.

Coke Market:

The nationwide average price for prime metallurgical coke (dry quenching) stands at 1,440 yuan/mt. The nationwide average price for quasi-prime metallurgical coke (dry quenching) is 1,300 yuan/mt. The nationwide average price for prime metallurgical coke (wet quenching) is 1,120 yuan/mt, while the quasi-prime grade averages 1,030 yuan/mt.

In terms of supply, production cuts have been implemented by some coke enterprises, resulting in a slight tightening of coke supply. Meanwhile, coke shipment conditions have improved, and their own coke inventories have decreased. On the demand side, improved market expectations have slightly boosted steel mills' restocking enthusiasm, with reduced control over material arrivals, and even some traders beginning to stockpile. In summary, fundamental contradictions in the coke market have diminished, cost support has emerged, but there is insufficient upward or downward price momentum, and the short-term coke market may stabilize temporarily.

[SMM Steel]
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