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PV Extrusion Continues Full Production but Demand Nears End, Aluminum Price Decline Fails to Halt Expectations for Production Cuts Next Week [SMM Analysis]

  • Apr 18, 2025, at 2:09 pm
【SMM Analysis: PV Extrusion Remains at Full Capacity, but Demand Nears End, Aluminum Price Decline Fails to Halt Expectations for Production Cuts Next Week】This week, PV extrusion enterprises continued to operate at full capacity. Although the decline in aluminum prices prompted the signing of a small number of new orders, as mid to late April approached, companies revealed that the installation rush for PV is nearing its end. Relevant enterprises indicated that they will gradually initiate the production cut plan next week. SMM will continue to monitor the actual demand changes at module factories and the actual production conditions at frame factories.

》View SMM Aluminum Product Quotes, Data, and Market Analysis

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SMM April 18 News:

PV Aluminum Extrusion:This week, PV extrusion companies continued to operate at full capacity. Although the decline in aluminum prices prompted the signing of a small number of new orders, as mid-to-late April approached, companies revealed that the PV installation rush demand is nearing its end. Related companies reported that they will gradually initiate production cut plans next week. SMM will continue to monitor the actual demand changes at module factories and the actual production conditions at frame factories.

Raw Material Prices:During the period (April 14-18, 2025), the average spot price of aluminum shifted downward, with the SMM A00 weekly average price at 19,750 yuan/mt, a decrease of 0.04% compared to the previous week. Overall, macro factors such as the escalation of tariff wars have led to bearish sentiment in the market. On the fundamental side, the reduction in domestic aluminum ingot inventory has provided support for aluminum futures and spot premiums. In the short term, the operating rate of the aluminum processing sector in April remains high, but subsequent orders are expected to decline. It is anticipated that domestic aluminum prices will mainly fluctuate within a range, with the most-traded SHFE aluminum contract expected to trade around 19,600-19,900 yuan/mt next week, while LME aluminum is expected to trade around $2,370-2,400/mt.

》Click to View SMM Aluminum Industry Chain Database

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