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[SMM Analysis] Review of This Week's Scrap Spot Price Trends, 2025.1.13-2025.1.16

  • Jan 16, 2025, at 4:18 pm
[SMM Analysis: A Review of This Week's Scrap Spot Price Trends (2025.1.6-2025.1.9)] This week, the recycled scrap market prices fluctuated. Supply side: This week, lithium carbonate and cobalt sulphate prices remained basically stable. Nickel sulphate prices rose slightly due to tight supply and continued destocking, but the upward space was relatively limited. Most small and medium-sized hydrometallurgical plants, affected by the continued inversion of scrap prices and relatively small price fluctuations at year-end, saw limited market activity and are expected to take an early holiday before the Chinese New Year. In contrast, leading large-scale plants maintained normal production but generally refrained from significant stockpiling. Demand side: Most hydrometallurgical enterprises had largely completed their pre-holiday stockpiling by the end of December. Approaching year-end, most companies preferred to operate at low throughput rates and showed weak acceptance of high-priced black mass. This week, buyers and sellers remained in a price stalemate, and transaction activity was sluggish. Currently, as the Chinese New Year approaches, most companies have low willingness to either ship or purchase. In the short term, black mass prices are expected to continue fluctuating in line with nickel, cobalt, and lithium salt prices, while the black mass coefficient is expected to remain temporarily stable due to weak supply and demand.

SMM January 16 News:

This week, the recycled scrap market prices fluctuated. Supply side: This week, cobalt sulphate prices remained basically stable, lithium carbonate prices continued to rise due to pre-holiday stockpiling, and nickel sulphate prices also increased due to tight market supply and slight destocking. However, as the Chinese New Year approaches, most companies have completed stockpiling, and the room for further price increases before the holiday is expected to be relatively limited. Some traders, however, are optimistic about the rising prices of nickel and lithium chemicals, coupled with some downstream companies still considering stockpiling, leading to strong sentiment to stand firm on quotes. Currently, most small and medium-sized hydrometallurgical plants are facing continued inverted scrap prices and relatively small year-end price fluctuations, making it difficult for the market to pick up. Some are planning to take an early holiday before the Chinese New Year, while leading manufacturers maintain normal production but are also not stockpiling significantly. Demand side: Most hydrometallurgical companies had completed their pre-holiday stockpiling by the end of December. As the year-end approaches, most companies prefer to operate at low flow rates and are less willing to accept high-priced black mass. This week, buyers and sellers remained at a price stalemate, and transactions were sluggish. As the Chinese New Year draws closer, most companies have low willingness to ship or purchase. In the short term, black mass prices are expected to continue fluctuating with the prices of nickel, cobalt, and lithium chemicals, while the black mass coefficient is likely to remain temporarily stable due to weak supply and demand.

 

SMM New Energy Research Team

Cong Wang 021-51666838

Rui Ma 021-51595780

Disheng Feng 021-51666714

Ying Xu 021-51666707

Yanlin Lü 021-20707875

Yujun Liu 021-20707895

Xiaodan Yu 021-20707870

Zhicheng Zhou 021-51666711

He Zhang 021-20707850

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