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Macro Drives SHFE Zinc to Fluctuate Considerably [SMM Zinc Morning Comment]

  • Jan 12, 2026, at 8:54 am
[SMM Zinc Morning Comment] Last Friday, the most-traded SHFE zinc 2603 contract opened at 24,045 yuan/mt. At the beginning of the session, bulls increased their positions, pushing the price center upward to a high of 24,155 yuan/mt. However, due to insufficient upward momentum, the price center declined, with the contract probing a low of 23,915 yuan/mt before consolidating along the daily average line. It eventually closed flat at 24,015 yuan/mt. Trading volume decreased to 39,978 lots, while open interest increased by 2,591 lots to 97,101 lots.

 Last Friday, LME zinc opened at $3,131/mt. At the beginning of the session, LME zinc briefly dipped to a low of $3,126.5/mt, then rose rapidly to a high of $3,165/mt as bulls increased their positions. Subsequently, due to insufficient upward momentum, LME zinc fluctuated considerably along the daily average line, and finally closed up at $3,149/mt, up $18/mt or 0.57%. Trading volume decreased to 11,232 lots, while open interest increased by 861 lots to 234,000 lots. Last Friday, LME zinc recorded a small bullish candlestick with its center moving upward. US non-farm payrolls for December were lower than expectations, and Trump triggered geopolitical uncertainty. Precious metals and non-ferrous metals generally rose, with a favorable macro atmosphere in the market and high capital enthusiasm, keeping zinc prices fluctuating at highs.

Last Friday, the most-traded SHFE zinc 2603 contract opened at 24,045 yuan/mt. At the beginning of the session, bulls increased their positions, pushing the contract's center upward to a high of 24,155 yuan/mt. Subsequently, due to insufficient upward momentum, the center moved downward, and the contract touched a low of 23,915 yuan/mt before fluctuating and consolidating along the daily average line, finally closing flat at 24,015 yuan/mt. Trading volume decreased to 39,978 lots, while open interest increased by 2,591 lots to 97,101 lots. Last Friday, the most-traded SHFE zinc contract recorded a small bearish candlestick. Macro sentiment remained favorable, while from a fundamental perspective, the import window for ore opened, increasing options for smelters and slightly alleviating supply tightness. Demand remained relatively resilient, keeping SHFE zinc prices fluctuating at highs.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, other data are processed by SMM based on public information, market communication, and SMM's internal database model, and are for reference only, not constituting decision-making advice.

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