SMM, March 12: Guangdong: Spot premiums in the region continued to rise this week. Lower copper prices, coupled with an increase in terminal orders, lifted consumption among copper processing enterprises, driving inventory lower and supporting higher spot premiums. As of Thursday, high-quality copper was quoted at 160 yuan/mt, up 160 yuan/mt from last Thursday; standard-quality copper was quoted at a premium of 40 yuan/mt, up 240 yuan/mt from last Thursday; and SX-EW copper was quoted at a discount of 20 yuan/mt, up 240 yuan/mt from last Thursday. On Thursday, the price spread in standard-quality copper premiums between Shanghai and Guangdong stood at 0 yuan/mt. With the spread relatively small, there was no cross-region cargo transfer. According to SMM statistics, as of Thursday, total inventory in Guangdong warehouses was 90,800 mt, down 6,300 mt from last Thursday. Warrants totaled 51,300 mt, down 1,500 mt from last Thursday. As spot cargo supply decreased and discounts turned into premiums, warrants began flowing into the market. Specifically, warehouse arrivals this week were 13,100 mt/week, down 2,500 mt/week WoW and slightly below the annual average of 14,000 mt/week. Arrivals of both imported copper and domestic copper declined WoW this week. Warehouse withdrawals were 20,200 mt/week, up 8,600 mt/week WoW and far above the annual average of 14,200 mt/week. After the Lantern Festival, downstream enterprises fully resumed operations. In addition, many enterprises had not stockpiled much before the holiday, and actively replenished inventory after the holiday while copper prices remained low. Looking ahead to next week, although delivery is approaching, spot cargo has already shifted to premiums. Suppliers are expected to show weaker willingness to deliver cargo to warehouses for delivery, and imported copper arrivals have also not increased. Total supply is expected to be slightly lower than this week. On the demand side, demand is expected to remain at this week's high level. Therefore, inventory is expected to remain in a state where demand exceeds supply next week, with inventory fluctuating lower, and spot premiums are expected to continue rebounding. (The above information is based on market collection and the comprehensive assessment of the SMM research team. The information provided in this article is for reference only. This article does not constitute direct advice for investment research decisions. Clients should make decisions prudently and should not use this as a substitute for their own independent judgment. Any decisions made by clients are unrelated to SMM.)

The Indian Stainless Steel Developers Association (ISSDA) is urging the government to permanently eliminate customs duties on imported scrap and ferroalloys and to designate chromium as a critical mineral, aiming to support the sector's capacity expansion from 7 mt to 11 mt. With domestic consumption growing at 7-8% annually, the industry is simultaneously seeking stricter protection against Chinese dumping, warning that China is diverting its over 8 mt of excess melting capacity to India, frequently by rerouting shipments through countries like Vietnam to bypass existing trade safeguards.

India’s finished steel exports reached 6.02 million tonnes during the April-February 2026 period, marking a significant 36.6% year-on-year increase. This surge is supported by an 11.2% rise in domestic crude steel production, which reached 153.61 million tonnes during the same timeframe. As domestic consumption grew by a more modest 7.2%, Indian steelmakers are increasingly utilizing international markets to balance supply, despite global overcapacity and margin pressures.

[SMM Stainless Steel Daily Review] SS Futures Held Up Well, Spot Prices Remained Stable with Just-in-Time Procurement Dominating SMM News, March 12: SS futures showed a firm sideways movement. As geopolitical tensions in Iran continued to escalate and the US restarted the tariff war, macro news still had a notable disruptive effect on futures, and SS futures had yet to show a clear direction, closing at 14,245 yuan/mt by the midday break. In the spot market, affected by the sideways movement in futures, spot quotations continued to hold steady. Although the market has entered the traditional peak consumption season and downstream demand has recovered somewhat, expectations of high supply capped sentiment, limiting market acceptance of high-priced cargoes. Downstream players mainly made just-in-time procurement, while traders actively shipped goods for destocking. The most-traded SS futures contract fluctuated higher. At 10:15 a.m., SS2605 was quoted at 14,290 yuan/mt, up 170 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Spot premiums for 304/2B in Wuxi stood at 230-430 yuan/mt. In the spot market, cold-rolled 201/2B coils in Wuxi were generally stable; for cold-rolled trimmed-edge 304/2B coils, average prices in Wuxi and Foshan both held steady; cold-rolled 316L/2B coils in Wuxi remained stable; for hot-rolled 316L/NO.1 coils, Wuxi quotations held steady; and cold-rolled 430/2B coils in both Wuxi and Foshan were also stable. As the market entered the traditional peak consumption season of "Golden March and Silver April," the stainless steel market saw a window for demand recovery. The downstream side gradually resumed work and production after the Chinese New Year holiday, and demand showed a trend of gradual recovery. However, although transactions improved from the previous period, the market still did not show the briskness typical of the peak season, and end-user procurement was mainly...

According to Assofermet, the Italian steel market remained weak in February amid widespread caution along the supply chain and mounting regulatory uncertainties. In the stainless steel segment, selling prices saw a further increase—rising by 10% since November 2025—but this was driven primarily by supply constraints rather than any real recovery in stagnant downstream consumption. The broader market is heavily weighed down by the application of default values for CBAM calculations and new EU safeguard measures, which are structurally increasing the cost of imported steel. Coupled with macroeconomic weakness in Germany and France, and escalating Middle East geopolitical tensions pushing up energy and transport risks, market sentiment remains highly cautious.

According to recent reports, Gujarat-based manufacturer Venus Pipes & Tubes Ltd has secured a new supply contract for seamless and welded stainless steel tubular products. This order underscores the surging demand for advanced industrial materials across India's engineering, power, and process sectors. As critical components in high-performance applications like power generation, heat exchangers, and chemical facilities, these corrosion-resistant pipes are seeing increased consumption driven by scaling nationwide infrastructure and energy projects. The contract highlights the expanding footprint of Indian stainless steel pipe manufacturers as they increasingly invest in modern production technologies to meet stringent specifications for both robust domestic needs and export markets.

[SMM Tin Midday Commentary: SHFE Tin Contract Fluctuated Near 390,000, Traditional Consumption Season Performed Slightly Below Expectations]

SMM News, March 5: Data Brief: As of Thursday, March 12, SMM copper inventories in major regions nationwide fell 0.57% WoW from last Thursday, ending the inventory buildup seen over the previous three consecutive weeks; total inventories increased 218,400 mt YoY from the same period last year, while regional performance remained differentiated. By region, copper cathode inventory in Shanghai continued to build up. Although consumption recovered somewhat, inventories still trended upward due to the impact of concentrated arrivals of imported cargoes and delivery factors; in Jiangsu, inventories declined slightly, supported by recovering downstream consumption; in Guangdong, consumption rebounded significantly and warehouse withdrawals increased, with inventories already reaching an inflection point and expected to continue declining going forward. Looking ahead, on the supply side, imported cargoes continued to arrive at port and domestic arrivals remained steady; on the demand side, downstream enterprises fully resumed production, and consumption recovered markedly. Based on the overall supply-demand pattern, supply is expected to remain normal next week while consumption steadily rebounds, and weekly copper cathode inventories are expected to destock somewhat.

[SMM Flash] Inventory of secondary aluminum alloy ingots in China’s major consumption hubs fell by 81 mt from the previous day today, maintaining a mild destocking trend.

[SMM North China Copper Cathode Spot Market] As consumption in the northern copper cathode market has warmed noticeably in recent days, downstream buyers made concentrated purchases, causing spot supply in the market to become tight, and spot premiums continued to rise.