This week (March 06, 2026–March 12, 2026), the average operating rate of primary lead smelters in three provinces was 56.97, up 4.11 percentage points WoW from the previous week after the Spring Festival. This week, smelters in Henan maintained stable production. In Hunan, the smelter that resumed operations at the end of last week’s maintenance raised output as scheduled this week, while some smelters in the region had yet to fully recover and are expected to return to normal production next week; in Yunnan, smelters only slightly increased output this week after resuming production, and some small-scale smelters had yet to resume production.

[Operating Rates Continued to Rise This Week, but Order Demand Had Not Fully Started] The rise in operating rates this week was mainly driven by enterprises gradually resuming operations and production. On the order side, orders at top-tier enterprises generally remained stable, but overall industry demand had not yet fully recovered. Affected by the relatively late Chinese New Year break, current end-use demand in rubber, desulfurization, and other sectors still had not fully started, while performance in the ceramics sector was also relatively weak, and it would still take time for demand to see a substantive improvement......

[Die-Casting Zinc Alloy Operating Rate Continued to Rise, While Market Demand Was Still Awaiting Improvement] This week, die-casting zinc alloy enterprises in the market had basically resumed normal production, driving the operating rate higher. In terms of orders, orders in the Chinese market were mainly still in the stage of recovery and improvement, with demand performance relatively average, while some export orders remained weak......

[Operating Rates of Galvanising Producers Continued to Increase]: This week, the operating rate of the galvanizing industry was 53, up 13.94 percentage points WoW. Raw material side, zinc prices fluctuated this week, and zinc ingots previously price-fixed by galvanising enterprises arrived one after another, leading to a slight increase in zinc ingot inventory at galvanising enterprises.

【SMM Copper Cathode Rod Flash News】This week, the operating rate of the copper cathode rod enterprise industry increased by 10.45 percentage points WoW. The pullback in copper prices drove a surge in orders, enterprises accelerated their production pace, and operating rates at downstream wire and cable and enamelled wire producers rebounded steadily. Enterprises were expected to continue raising output and restocking next week, while downstream orders were expected to remain stable. SMM expected the operating rate to increase by 6.27 percentage points WoW to 79.19%.

[SMM Morning Comment on Cast Aluminum Alloy: Alloy Prices Continued to Hover at Highs, While Market Demand Was Significantly Suppressed] This week, secondary aluminum alloy prices continued to rise, but the pace of demand follow-up was relatively slow. In the short term, raw material costs remained at high levels, providing strong support for ADC12 prices; however, if prices continue to rise, the suppressive effect of high prices on demand will become increasingly evident. Meanwhile, as operating rates gradually recover, there are also expectations of a mild increase on the supply side. ADC12 prices are expected to fluctuate at highs in the short term. Going forward, it is recommended to focus on the pace of downstream order release, the pressure on the market from the supply recovery process, and the impact of the Middle East situation on aluminum prices.

[SMM Weekly Survey of the Aluminum Downstream Sector: Downstream Aluminum Operating Rate Continued to Rebound to 61.9%, with High Prices Suppressing the Peak "Golden March" Season] This week, the weekly operating rate of leading downstream aluminum processing enterprises in China rose 2.4 percentage points MoM to 61.9%, overall extending the post-holiday recovery trend, with all segments rebounding MoM, and the industry as a whole entering a normal production pace.

This week (March 6–12), the operating rate of SMM copper wire and cable enterprises was 66.59, up 5.69 points MoM and down 10.62 points YoY. The operating rate steadily rebounded this week, mainly due to a slight correction in copper prices that drove order release, coupled with support from concentrated power grid deliveries, though the current pace of order recovery remained weaker than in the same period last year. By sector, orders from the power segment continued to support enterprise production schedules, orders from the new energy segment also improved, while construction project orders remained weak, dragging on overall operating rates. Inventory side, the correction in copper prices drove enterprises to restock for rigid demand, but as enterprises maintained production schedules, days of raw material inventories fell 0.31 days MoM this week; for finished product inventories, the correction in copper prices boosted downstream consumption, but high copper prices still restrained end-user purchase willingness, so days of finished product inventories fell 0.41 days MoM. Looking ahead to next week, current orders on hand from the power and new energy sectors will continue to provide the main support for production scheduling. SMM expects the operating rate of copper wire and cable next week (March 13–19) to increase 3.45 points MoM to 70.04, down 4.49 points YoY.

It was learned that the weekly composite operating rate of lead-acid battery enterprises across five provinces tracked by SMM stood at 73.45% from March 6 to March 12, 2026, up 1.78 percentage points WoW from the previous week. In March, major lead-acid battery enterprises basically resumed normal production. The last batch of enterprises that resumed work in early March also recently completed production ramp-up on their production lines, with operating rates of 80-100% at medium and large enterprises and 50-80% at small enterprises. At present, most orders for e-bike and automotive battery enterprises came from dealers' routine post-Chinese New Year restocking, but actual improvement in end-use market consumption remained limited. Among them, battery exports were affected by factors such as tariffs, the SHFE/LME price ratio, and transportation, and export-oriented enterprises saw weak order performance. In addition, orders for ESS battery enterprises were moderate, especially tender orders from data centers, and the production lines of such enterprises were operating at full capacity.

[SMM Flash News] Aluminum Fundamentals This Week SMM, March 12: Fundamentals: Downstream producers gradually resumed operations after the holiday, and demand for liquid aluminum continued to recover. As of this Thursday, the weekly proportion of liquid aluminum rebounded by about 1.2 percentage points WoW, end-use demand steadily repaired, and downstream operating rates increased further. Driven by the PV installation rush, operating performance remained strong; construction recovered slowly after the holiday, and extrusion operating rates rose WoW; boosted by auto and packaging orders, aluminum plate/sheet, strip and foil operating rates also rebounded this week.