Philippines Market: Tight Supply and Surging Freight Rates Supported Ore Prices to Fluctuate at Highs Philippine nickel ore prices rose sharply this week. In terms of prices, Philippine nickel ore CIF China quotes were $64-68/wmt for Ni 1.3% grade, $71-75/wmt for Ni 1.4% grade, and $78-82/wmt for Ni 1.5% grade, up $6 WoW. The average CIF price from the Philippines to Indonesia was $65.5/wmt for 1.3% grade and $72.5/wmt for 1.4% grade. Supply side, although the Philippines was transitioning into the dry season, mining hubs such as Surigao and Homonhon continued to see heavy rainfall due to a low-pressure area (LPA) east of Mindanao. Although Metro Manila and most parts of Luzon saw hot and sunny weather, the probability of rainfall exceeding 50 mm in Surigao and Caraga remained “very high.” Strong thunderstorms and scattered precipitation were expected to further intensify during March 9 to 13. Affected by the trough of the low-pressure area and the easterlies, persistent rainfall may continue to disrupt open-pit mining and vessel loading operations in southern regions. Market supply remained scarce. Driven by both supply tightness caused by cuts in Indonesia’s RKAB quotas and expected supply gaps, mainstream prices for Philippine nickel ore have surged recently. As of Friday, March 13, nickel ore inventory at Chinese ports stood at 5.23 million mt, down 500,000 mt WoW. Current total port inventory was equivalent to about 41,100 mt Ni in metal content. Demand side, China’s NPI prices rose this week, with spot transaction prices up about 1,089.9 yuan per nickel unit. As smelters had sufficient stockpiling earlier and showed limited acceptance of recently high-priced nickel ore, most were currently taking a wait-and-see stance. In terms of ocean freight rates, affected by a sharp jump in oil prices, nickel ore freight rates climbed, with the ocean freight rate from the Philippines to Lianyungang reaching $15/mt or above. Looking ahead, Philippine nickel ore prices are expected to continue fluctuating at highs. Indonesia Market: Under Weather Disruptions and RKAB Policy Clarification, Tight Supply Continued Indonesia's local nickel ore prices rose somewhat this week. Indonesia’s nickel ore benchmark price (HPM) for the first half of March was set at $17,104/dmt, down 3.21% MoM. According to SMM Indonesia nickel ore premium data, average premiums for 1.4%, 1.5%, and 1.6% grade laterite nickel ore were reported at $35, $39, and $39.5/wmt, respectively. Among them, the port arrivals under domestic trade price for 1.6% grade was $65.2-74.2/wmt. The simultaneous strengthening in premiums this month reflected both the release of smelters’ restocking demand and pessimistic expectations over RKAB quota cuts, while the delivered price of 1.2% grade limonite ore also edged up to $24-26/wmt. From the supply and demand fundamentals, as of March 13, Indonesia’s key nickel ore producing areas of Morowali, Konawe, and Halmahera were affected this week by strong thunderstorms and extremely high humidity of up to 94%. Weather continued to fluctuate, causing soil to become highly saturated and seriously hindering mine drying and transport operations. Morowali and Konawe will face a heavy rainfall system over the weekend with precipitation probability as high as 80%, while Halmahera, under high-humidity conditions, is expected to see rainfall intensity rebound again next Friday, with overall logistics capacity remaining constrained. At present, RKAB approvals for most small- and medium-sized mines remained pending. As existing quotas could no longer be used for next month’s production and sales, rising supply uncertainty was pushing nickel ore prices higher. Demand side, as some Indonesian smelters faced uncertainty over nickel ore resources and found it difficult to secure high-grade saprolite ore, nickel ore prices remained firm. To secure raw material supply, some smelters even raised trading bonuses. Overall, although the impact of the current MOMS system failure on mines had largely faded, overall nickel ore supply remained tight. Although spot supply of limonite ore was relatively sufficient, some related production lines were currently running at low load due to a tailings dam landslide accident at some MHP projects in an Indonesian industrial park, leading to temporary weakness in overall demand. However, considering concerns among some Indonesian smelters over RKAB approval uncertainty, raw material stockpiling demand from newly commissioned projects, and continued growth in demand from outer islands, limonite ore prices are expected to closely track saprolite ore and remain high. On the policy side, in response to recent market rumors that “production quotas (RKAB) will be uniformly supplemented by an additional 25%-30%,” Tri Winarno, Director General of Minerals and Coal at Indonesia’s Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM), clarified on March 3, 2026, that RKAB supplements would be based on individual assessments of enterprise production capacity and compliance, rather than a uniform proportional increase, and indicated that the approval process would start in H2 2026. Officials emphasized that this was a routine regulatory process for resource optimization, rather than a passive countermeasure to the previous output cap policy. Looking ahead, affected by the relatively slow progress of RKAB approvals, nickel ore prices are expected to remain more likely to rise than fall in April.

[SMM Nickel Flash] The average price of SMM 10-12% high-grade NPI rose WoW by 2.2 yuan/nickel unit to 1,089.9 yuan/nickel unit (ex-factory, tax included), while the average price of Indonesia NPI FOB index rose WoW by $0.39/nickel unit to $138.93/nickel unit. This week, the tender price of mainstream steel mills was released, and the market came under brief pressure, but trading activity subsequently recovered to some extent, with high-grade NPI transaction prices rising again.

[SMM Aluminum Express News] Indonesia's National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN) organized a cross-ministerial Focus Group Discussion (FGD) titled “Accelerating Human Resource and Institutional Readiness for the Development of the First Nuclear Power Plant” in Jakarta on Tuesday, March 10, 2026. The forum integrates five key dimensions of readiness (technology/standards, institutional/bureaucratic, etc.) and aligns with plans for Indonesia's first PLTN to operate in 2032 (initial capacity ~500 MW, possible sites in Sumatra or Kalimantan). BRIN also projects needing ~200 new nuclear researchers to support the ecosystem, with initiatives like competency standards, training centers (Nuclear Energy Management School), and scholarships.

[SMM Aluminum Express News] Indonesia's Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) targets tax compliance as a mandatory requirement for submitting the Work Plan and Budget (RKAB) starting in 2027. Previously, Director General of Taxes at the Ministry of Finance Bimo Wijayanto stated that his office and the Directorate General of Minerals and Coal (Ditjen Minerba) ESDM are finalizing discussions on this new regulation. The rule will require a fiscal compliance certificate as an integral part of RKAB submissions for mining companies, ensuring tax obligations are met before annual RKAB approval.

Hyundai Motor Group announced that it has signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with Zhejiang Huayou Recycling Technology, a subsidiary of China’s Huayou Cobalt, to jointly build an electric vehicle (EV) battery circular economy in Indonesia. Under the agreement, the two parties plan to collect battery scrap generated during production at HLI Green Power, the joint battery cell plant established by Hyundai Motor Group and LG Energy Solution in Indonesia. The scrap will be pre-treated at Huayou Recycling’s local facilities and crushed into “black mass,” a powder containing various metals, from which key minerals can later be extracted and reused in battery manufacturing.

Recently, CIMC Enric and PT SAMATOR Group , Indonesia’s largest industrial gas and energy services provider, officially signed a strategic cooperation framework agreement in Jakarta. Leveraging their respective strengths, the two parties reached a long-term partnership to jointly promote the optimization of the energy structure in Indonesia and Southeast Asia, as well as green and sustainable development. PT SAMATOR Group is a leading industrial gas enterprise in Indonesia, with business spanning multiple sectors including healthcare, oil and gas, and metallurgy, and with a well-established local market network and operating resources. According to the agreement, the two parties will focus on in-depth cooperation in five major areas: the entire industry chain of industrial gases, natural gas storage and transportation equipment, EPC for energy projects, digital after-sales services, and new business development. CIMC Enric will leverage its strengths in the design, manufacturing, and system integration of energy equipment, together with the other party’s local resources, to jointly advance the implementation of clean energy projects such as industrial gases, hydrogen storage and transportation, and new energy, thereby supporting Indonesia’s energy transition and industrial upgrading. Ju Xiaofeng, Vice President of CIMC Enric, and Rachmat Harsono, Chief Executive Officer of PT SAMATOR Group, signed the agreement on behalf of their respective parties. Ju Xiaofeng said that this cooperation was the result of resource synergy and demonstrated the company’s determination to deepen its presence in the Indonesian market; Rachmat Harsono said that the cooperation would help further strengthen the Group’s local business and expand the space for both parties in markets outside China.

[SMM Aluminum Express News] PowerChina (Power Construction Corporation of China) will develop a new power plant to support Shandong Nanshan Group's integrated aluminium project in the Galang Batang Special Economic Zone (SEZ) on Bintan Island, Indonesia.

[SMM Aluminum Express News] Indonesia's Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM), Bahlil Lahadalia, has assured that coal stocks for PT PLN (Persero)'s coal-fired power plants (PLTU) are secure through April 2026. Speaking at a press conference on recent Middle East developments and their implications for the ESDM sector, held at the Ministry of ESDM office in Jakarta on Tuesday (March 11, 2026), he stated: "For PLN's needs, I ensure that through March and April, there is no issue." This reassurance comes amid global energy market volatility from Middle East tensions, helping maintain stable electricity supply during the upcoming high-demand period (including Idul Fitri holidays).

On March 13, the average price of SMM battery-grade nickel sulphate rose slightly.

Affected by the supply-demand relationship, MHP and high-grade nickel matte nickel prices rose this week