This week marked the first trading week after the Lunar New Year holiday. At the beginning of the week, the import window briefly opened, attracting importers to take cargo. However, as inventories both domestically and overseas continued to build significantly, the import window gradually closed thereafter.

Here is the professional English translation of the provided information: On February 24, State Grid Eastern Inner Mongolia Electric Power Co., Ltd. released the Pre-approval Publicity for the Environmental Impact Assessment Report of the "Two Points and Three Channels" Project for Extending the North China UHV Grid to Mengxi (Dalad–Mengxi 1000kV AC Transmission and Transformation Project). Project Scope: (1) Construction of the new Dalad 1000kV Substation; (2) Expansion of the Mengxi 1000kV Substation; (3) Construction of the new Dalad–Mengxi 1000kV Transmission Line; (4) Temporary relocation of the Chuanzhang–Ningge’er 500kV Transmission Line. Location: Dalad Banner and Jungar Banner, Ordos City, Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region. Total Investment: CNY 42,948.1 million

【SMM Copper Inventory Update】Concentrated arrivals of imported and domestic supplies, with additional cargoes queuing for warehousing, coupled with suppliers actively stocking up driven by delivery requirements, along with persistently weak consumption during the Chinese New Year on the demand side, collectively contributed to a significant inventory buildup. According to SMM data, as of February 24, 2026, social inventory of copper cathode in mainstream domestic areas increased by 154,900 mt during the holiday, reaching a five-year high, with the total volume exceeding 500,000 mt.

On February 26, 2026, the European Commission announced its final decision on the first anti-dumping sunset review of steel road wheels originating from China. If the current anti-dumping measures were to be lifted, the dumping of the products in question would continue or recur and cause injury to the EU industry. Therefore, it was decided to maintain the anti-dumping duties on the Chinese products: Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems Co., Ltd., Tangshan Xingmin Wheels Co., Ltd., Xianning Xingmin Wheels Co., Ltd., and other cooperating enterprises (see the annex to the original announcement for details) will all be subject to a rate of 50.3%, while other companies will face a rate of 66.4%. The measures took effect the day after the announcement. The EU CN (Combined Nomenclature) codes for the products under investigation are ex 8708 70 10, ex 8708 70 99, and ex 8716 90 90 (TARIC codes are 870870 10 80, 8708 70 10 85, 8708 70 99 20, 8708 70 99 80, 8716 90 90 95, and 8716 90 90 97). The period of the dumping investigation for this sunset review was from January 1, 2024, to December 31, 2024, and the period for the analysis of injury to the industry was from January 1, 2021, to the end of the dumping investigation period. The announcement took effect the day after its publication. On February 15, 2019, the European Commission initiated an anti-dumping investigation into steel road wheels originating from China. On March 4, 2020, the European Commission made its final determination on the anti-dumping investigation of steel road wheels from China. On March 3, 2025, the European Commission launched the first anti-dumping sunset review investigation into steel road wheels from China. (Compiled from: European Commission website) Original text: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=OJ:L_202600428

Market Overview According to SMM data, during the first trading week following the Lunar New Year holiday (February 24 – February 27, 2026), the dominant stainless steel contract (SS2604) opened high and maintained a strong trend, driven by significantly rising raw material costs. By the close on February 27, the contract price had climbed to 14,150 CNY/mt ($2,065.69/mt) , an increase of 385 CNY/mt ($56.20/mt) or +2.80% compared to the pre-holiday closing price of 13,765 CNY/mt ($2,009.49/mt) . In the early post-holiday period, the market's upward logic was primarily dominated by rising costs on the supply side. However, as the price center shifted upward rapidly, the substantial accumulation of social inventory during the holiday formed a tangible suppression on the upside potential. Consequently, futures prices maintained a fluctuating struggle within the 14,100–14,200 CNY ($2,058.39–$2,072.99) range. Macroeconomic Analysis From a macro perspective, the market is navigating an interplay between reasonably ample domestic liquidity and uncertainties regarding overseas trade policies. Domestic: On February 25, the central bank conducted a 600 billion CNY ($87.59 billion) one-year Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) operation. This continued to maintain ample liquidity in the banking system, providing macro support for the traditional "Golden March and Silver April" peak consumption season and stabilizing market expectations. Overseas: The U.S. Trade Representative stated they would continue to advance the Section 301 investigation regarding the Phase One trade agreement, with proposals to raise "global import tariff" rates from 10% to 15% or higher. Potential tariff changes have intensified uncertainty in the external macro environment, which may have a negative impact on future export expectations for stainless steel and related end-products. Fundamentals: Inventory & Demand Fundamentally, the post-holiday market faces the reality of a massive inventory buildup while end-user demand is still in a recovery phase. Inventory: Latest SMM data shows that, due to the long Spring Festival holiday, social inventory significantly increased to 1.0161 million tons this week. This is an increase of 121,600 tons compared to the pre-holiday level of 894,500 tons , breaching the one-million-ton mark. Spot Transactions: The market is currently in a gradual restart phase. Downstream processing factories have not yet fully resumed work, and current spot circulation is mostly concentrated on resource allocation between traders. The end-market's actual ability to digest current high-priced resources remains to be verified after enterprises fully resume work next week. Sentiment: In the short term, high inventory levels pose significant pressure on prices. However, supported by expectations for the "Golden March and Silver April" peak season, holders' sentiment remains temporarily stable, with no large-scale sell-offs observed. Cost Analysis The significant strengthening of the cost side was the core driver for the high market opening this week. Driven by news of tighter Indonesian nickel ore quotas and fluctuating rises in nickel prices post-holiday, there is a strong willingness to support prices on the raw material side. High-grade Nickel Pig Iron (NPI): As of February 27, quotes were raised significantly, rising by 33.5 CNY ($4.89) in a single week to 1,085 CNY/nickel point ($158.39/nickel point) . High Carbon Ferrochrome: Prices remained temporarily stable at 8,550 CNY/50 basis tons ($1,248.18/50 basis tons) . The expectation of tight ore supply materialized quickly after the holiday, substantially raising the immediate production costs for steel mills. The upward shift in the cost center effectively limited the room for market correction and forced a passive, steady rise in the center of spot transaction prices. Outlook & Strategy Overall, the stainless steel market in the first week after the holiday presented a tug-of-war pattern: "Strong Expectations & High Costs" vs. "Weak Reality & High Inventory." While the sharp rise in NPI prices established a tone for a strong fluctuating market, the social inventory exceeding one million tons—coupled with end-user demand that has yet to kick in—constrained further upside potential. Looking ahead to next week, the market trading logic will gradually shift from "sentiment-driven" to "fundamental verification." Short-term: Futures prices are expected to maintain a strong fluctuation at high levels. Medium-to-long-term: The trend will depend on the actual realization of demand during the "Golden March and Silver April" peak season after downstream sectors fully resume work. Industrial clients are advised to closely monitor the inventory inflection point (destocking) and actual spot transaction conditions next week. Carefully assess the risks of chasing highs and reasonably utilize hedging tools to manage exposure.

According to Shandong Tengda Fasten Tech, the company plans to redirect approximately CNY 166.9 million from a previous domestic expansion project to establish a new stainless steel fastener production facility in Vietnam. The project, to be executed through its subsidiary Công Ty TNHH Vật Liệu Mới Yepp Việt Nam, targets an annual capacity of 18,000 tons with a construction period of two years. The shift comes as global demand for the originally planned drill-tail and flat washer products has softened, prompting the company to optimize capital efficiency and accelerate its global layout.

Recycling Industry Events This Week (December. 29-31)

The price of spot silver showed mixed performance during the CNY.

[SMM Aluminum Express] According to SMM data, the PMI for the secondary aluminum industry fell 1.8 percentage points MoM to 44.6% in January 2026, remaining in contraction territory for consecutive periods. Entering February, influenced predominantly by the Chinese New Year holiday, both industry orders and the operating rate of secondary aluminum producers are expected to see a significant pullback. The industry PMI is projected to continue operating below the 50 mark, with momentum for a near-term recovery in business sentiment still appearing insufficient.

During the CNY, the spot price of construction steel products across the country mainly remained stable, market transactions were stagnant, and traders basically started construction from Feb 17 to Feb 19.