[SMM Cast Aluminum Alloy Morning Comment: Prices Pull Back as Aluminum Scrap Holders Are Reluctant to Sell; Overall Market Trading Remains Muted] Yesterday, the SMM ADC12 price rose by 500 yuan/mt, with the center of market quotations moving up markedly. Most producers’ price adjustments were concentrated in the 500–600 yuan/mt range. Recently, raw material prices have continued to strengthen, and the cost side has risen quickly, providing a clear lift to enterprise quotations. However, downstream demand has been relatively steady. Most enterprises reported that orders and inquiry activity were generally average, and downstream purchasing remains mainly restocking on an as-needed basis. Supported by cost-driven momentum and market expectations, enterprises have shown a clear willingness to raise prices. In the short term, against the backdrop of cost support and mild supply release, ADC12 prices are expected to hold up well. The medium-term trend will still depend on the recovery of end-use consumption. If die-casting industry orders increase significantly, the price center is expected to move up further; if demand recovery falls short of expectations, coupled with a continued rise in operating rates on the supply side, prices will shift from elevated levels into rangebound consolidation.
Mar 10, 2026 09:09[SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Minutes: Geopolitical Risks in the Middle East Cool Significantly; Aluminum Prices to Fluctuate at Highs in the Short Term] Overall, from a macro perspective, easing geopolitical risks and the continued buildup of domestic social inventory have created bearish pressure on aluminum prices. However, the geopolitical situation in the Middle East remains unclear; if the conflict persists, expectations for a tightening of global aluminum supply are strong, and aluminum prices still have solid upward momentum. In the short term, aluminum prices are still expected to hold up well.
Mar 10, 2026 09:19SMM March 10: In early trading, SHFE aluminum 2603 moved lower, with the price center dropping sharply from the previous trading day. Today, purchasing sentiment was not significantly driven by aluminum prices; buying strength remained weak, and buying interest was low. Today, mainstream transaction prices were concentrated at discounts of 10 yuan/mt to premiums of 20 yuan/mt. Today, the east China market shipments sentiment index was 3.19, down 0.03 MoM; the buying sentiment index was 2.53, up 0.04 MoM. Today, SHFE aluminum fell sharply in early trading, and purchasing sentiment was not significantly driven by aluminum prices; buying strength remained weak, and buying interest was low. Today, mainstream transaction prices were concentrated at discounts of 130 yuan/mt to discounts of 120 yuan/mt against the SHFE aluminum 03 contract. Today, the central China market shipments sentiment index was 2.58, down 0.12 MoM; the buying sentiment index was 2.42, up 0.02 MoM. Inventory side, today aluminum ingot inventory in major consumption areas increased 13,000 mt MoM, with the inventory buildup mainly coming from Gongyi and Guangdong. In the short term, after the Chinese New Year, aluminum ingots continued seasonal inventory buildup; affected by bullish sentiment, premiums were expected to remain on a narrowing trend.
Mar 10, 2026 13:08As of March 10, the operating rate of 50 electric furnace steel mills nationwide mainly producing construction materials was 35.38%, up 24.62% WoW from the previous period; the capacity utilization rate was 29.34%, up 22.46% WoW; daily average production of construction materials was 65,300 mt, up 50,000 mt WoW.
Mar 10, 2026 19:17[SMM Cast Aluminum Alloy Morning Comment: Price Pullback Spurs Aluminum Scrap Hoarding; Overall Market Trading Remains Subdued] Overall ADC12 market quotations moved lower, with most cuts in the 200-400 yuan/mt range. The adjustments were mainly driven by a downward shift in the cost center and subdued downstream purchasing. However, against the backdrop of a price pullback, aluminum scrap traders’ reluctance to sell has become pronounced, leaving limited room for raw material costs to fall further. Enterprises have been generally cautious in making price adjustments, and most producers remain bullish on the outlook. In the short term, with cost support and a mild release of supply, ADC12 prices are expected to hold up well. The medium-term trend will still depend on the recovery in end-use consumption. If die-casting industry orders increase significantly, the price center is expected to move further higher; if demand recovery falls short of expectations, coupled with a continued rise in operating rates on the supply side, prices will shift from elevated levels into rangebound consolidation.
Mar 9, 2026 09:03[SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Minutes: Middle East Geopolitical Risks Heighten Supply Concerns; Aluminum Prices to Trend Strongly Higher in the Short Term] Overall, although domestic social inventory continues to build up, the current geopolitical situation in the Middle East is the focus of global attention. If the geopolitical conflict continues, expectations for a tightening in global aluminum supply will remain strong, and aluminum prices will have strong upward momentum. In the short term, aluminum prices are expected to hold up well.
Mar 9, 2026 09:15SMM Morning Meeting Minutes: Overnight, LME copper opened at $12,794.5/mt. After dipping to $12,734/mt in early trading, its center rose throughout the session, touching a high of $12,968.5/mt near the close, and finally settled at $12,919/mt, up 0.39%. Trading volume rose to 31,000 lots, an increase of 6,518 lots from the previous trading day; open interest rose to 303,000 lots, down 5,089 lots from the previous trading day, mainly reflecting bears reducing positions overall. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE copper 2604 contract opened at 100,230 yuan/mt. After bottoming at 100,050 yuan/mt in early trading, its center rose throughout the session, touching a high of 101,250 yuan/mt at the close, and finally settled at 101,160 yuan/mt, up 1.28%. Trading volume fell to 46,000 lots, down 148,000 lots from the previous trading day; open interest fell to 197,000 lots, down 3,094 lots from the previous trading day, mainly reflecting bears reducing positions overall.
Mar 10, 2026 09:16
[Zinc Fundamental Trading Logic Amid the Middle East Conflict: Risk Identification and Opportunity Capture] Global geopolitical conflicts have continued unabated, and news of the recent Middle East conflict has emerged frequently. What impact will this have on the zinc industry? This article provides an analysis from both fundamental and market perspectives:
Mar 10, 2026 21:43SMM, March 9: In the morning session, SHFE aluminum 2603 rose and then fell, with the price center significantly higher than the previous trading day. Today, affected by sharp futures fluctuations, the market showed a strong wait-and-see sentiment, and buying sentiment weakened. Mainstream quotations and transaction prices were concentrated at a discount of 20 yuan/mt to the average price. The east China market shipments sentiment index was 3.22, up 0.11 MoM; the buying sentiment index was 2.49, down 0.27 MoM. Aluminum prices rebounded sharply, while trading activity in the central China market was weak. Traders and downstream processing enterprises mostly stayed on the sidelines, with relatively subdued buying sentiment; suppliers also showed weak willingness to hold prices firm and tended to ship an appropriate volume on price strength. Ultimately, overall transaction prices in central China were concentrated from parity with the central China price to a discount of 30 yuan/mt to the central China price, and the continued downward trend was not significant. The central China market shipments sentiment index was 2.7, up 0.04 MoM; the buying sentiment index was 2.4, down 0.01 MoM. Inventory: Today, aluminum ingot inventory in major consumption areas increased by 11,000 mt MoM, with the inventory buildup mainly coming from Wuxi and Guangdong. In the short term, aluminum ingots continued to see seasonal inventory buildup after the Chinese New Year; influenced by bullish sentiment, premiums were expected to remain on a narrowing trend.
Mar 9, 2026 13:44Following review and deliberation, Baosteel hereby announces the adjustments to its domestic sales prices for April 2026 based on March 2026 (unless otherwise specified, all prices are tax-exclusive), as follows: I. Hot-rolled: Base price raised by 200 yuan/mt. II. Plate: Base price raised by 200 yuan/mt. III. Pickling: Base price raised by 200 yuan/mt. IV. Cold-rolled: Base price raised by 200 yuan/mt. V. Hot-dip galvanizing: Base price raised by 200 yuan/mt. VI. Electrogalvanization: Base price raised by 200 yuan/mt. VII. Al-Zn-Al-Mg (medium aluminum): Base price raised by 200 yuan/mt. VIII. Al-Zn-Al-Mg (high aluminum): Base price raised by 200 yuan/mt. IX. Aluzinc: Base price raised by 200 yuan/mt. X. Color-coated: Base price raised by 200 yuan/mt. XI. Non-oriented silicon steel: Base price raised by 200 yuan/mt. XII. Grain-oriented silicon steel: Unchanged. XIII. Seamless pipe: Base price raised by 200 yuan/mt. XIV. Welded pipe: Base price raised by 200 yuan/mt. XV. Wire rod: Base price raised by 200 yuan/mt. XVI. Bar: Base price raised by 200 yuan/mt. XVII. For adjustments to alloy surcharges as well as coating and plating surcharges, please refer to the April 2026 price list. XVIII. The above price adjustment notice shall take effect from the date of publication. XIX. The Marketing Center (Baosteel International) of Baoshan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. reserves the right of final interpretation of this price adjustment notice. Baoshan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. Marketing Center (Baosteel International) March 9, 2026
Mar 9, 2026 15:27