In Q1 2026, China’s aluminum semis exports showed a pronounced pattern of product-category divergence amid the interplay of three factors: the long-term impact of the cancellation of export tax rebates in December 2024, the divergence in demand structures outside China, and the sudden outbreak of geopolitical conflict in the Strait of Hormuz.....

India’s steel market in 2026 is expected to remain balanced, with demand slightly outpacing supply. Domestic consumption will absorb most output, while imports decline overall and exports increase modestly as a balancing mechanism. Supported by strong growth and infrastructure investment, India is transitioning toward a demand-led steel market with solid long-term potential.

Customs data showed that China’s aluminum wire and cable exports totaled 53,280 mt in January-February 2026, up 37% YoY from January-February last year.

According to the investor relations activity record announced by Jintian Holdings on March 19 (March 10-12, 2026): 1. The Company’s 2025 earnings guidance and the reasons for the projected increase. Jintian Holdings replied: In 2025, the company implemented its “dual upgrade in products and clients” strategy, with product applications continuing to deepen in high-end fields; it stepped up expansion among clients outside China, and sales in markets outside China continued to grow; meanwhile, through digitalization initiatives, it improved operational and management efficiency, and the gross margin and profitability of its products improved YoY. The company expected net profit attributable to owners of the parent for 2025 to reach 700 million yuan to 800 million yuan, up 51.50%-73.14% YoY from the same period last year. 2. Progress of the company’s share repurchase. Jintian Holdings replied: From February 3, 2026 to February 28, 2026, the company had cumulatively repurchased 4,942,200 shares through centralized bidding, accounting for 0.29% of its current total share capital, with total funds paid of 56,676,944 yuan (excluding transaction costs). 3. The company’s industry position and competitive advantages. Jintian Holdings replied: The company had focused on the copper processing industry for 39 years and was one of the largest enterprises in China by scale and with the most complete industry chain. In 2024, the company achieved total production of 1.9162 million mt of copper and copper alloy materials, and its total production of copper semis ranked first globally. The company offered a wide range of copper products and could meet clients’ one-stop procurement needs for multiple categories of copper semis, including rods, tubes, plates and strips, and wires. Its copper products had been widely used in NEV, clean energy, communications technology, electrical power and equipment, chips and semiconductors, and other fields. At present, the company had developed a profound cultural heritage and outstanding organizational capability, with a significant market scale position and a global industrial footprint; it possessed leading manufacturing and R&D capabilities; it had built a specialized product matrix and formed a stable base of top-tier industry clients; and it had also established forward-looking green recycling technology barriers, laying a solid foundation for becoming a world-class base for copper products and advanced materials. 4. The capacity and business performance of the company’s rare earth permanent magnet products. Jintian Holdings replied: The company had entered the magnetic materials business in 2001. After more than 20 years of dedicated development, it had become one of the enterprises in China’s peer industry with relatively advanced technology and a well-developed product system. At present, the company had two magnetic material production sites in Ningbo and Baotou. Phase I of the Baotou site had commenced production, and the company’s annual capacity of rare earth permanent magnet materials had increased to 9,000 mt. The company was actively advancing the Phase II project at the Baotou site to further increase capacity to 13,000 mt. At the same time, through its newly established German subsidiary, the company accelerated its international expansion and increased its share in overseas markets. The company was among the first batch of enterprises to obtain a general export license for rare earth permanent magnet products, and it has continued to strengthen and advance export-related business. The company’s rare earth permanent magnet products are widely used in multiple high-end fields, including NEVs, wind power generation, high-efficiency energy-saving motors, robotics, consumer electronics, and medical devices. 5. The Company’s Business Development in the Chip Computing Power Sector. Jintian Co., Ltd. responded: With its outstanding electrical and thermal conductivity, copper has become a core material for advanced AI industry chip interconnects and heat dissipation in computing power facilities, and the transition of copper-based materials toward high value-added products has further accelerated. The company has a solid client base and technical reserves in the chip computing power sector, and it is also among the first companies globally to achieve large-scale supply of copper-based materials to leading enterprises in the above fields. Among them, the company’s high-precision special-shaped oxygen-free copper busbar products have been applied in multiple top-tier GPU cooling solutions of several global first-tier thermal module enterprises. Products independently developed by the company, such as copper heat pipes and liquid-cooling copper pipe & tube, have been supplied in batches for computing power server products of multiple top-tier enterprises. The company will closely monitor and follow market demand in the chip computing power sector, further improve its product portfolio, and enhance the competitive advantages of its products. 6. The Company’s Position Advantages and Business Achievements in the Secondary Copper Sector. Jintian Co., Ltd. responded: The company has continuously innovated new pathways for the green development of copper-based high-tech materials and has become one of the enterprises in China with the largest utilization of secondary copper and the highest comprehensive utilization rate. It is also one of the few companies in the global industry to achieve a closed-loop entire industry chain covering secondary copper recycling, purification, and deep processing. The company’s independently developed low-carbon secondary copper products significantly reduce carbon emissions while ensuring product performance, enabling it to provide downstream clients across the industry chain with high-quality, comprehensive one-stop green solutions for copper semis. In H1 2025, sales of the company’s green, high-end, low-carbon secondary copper products increased 61% YoY. Its product matrix now covers copper strip, copper wire, magnet wire, copper pipe & tube, copper busbar, copper billet, and more, and has been applied in fields such as high-end consumer electronics, the automotive industry, and electrical equipment. Specific applications include laptop cooling modules, mobile phone vibration motors, NEV power battery connections, and AC/DC power supplies. The products have achieved mass production in the products of multiple world-renowned clients, forming a new performance growth driver represented by “green low-carbon secondary copper products.” An investor asked on the investor interaction platform: Have the company’s copper billet products now become core supplies for top-tier enterprises such as DJI Innovation or EHang Intelligent?With the boom in the low-altitude economy’s payload flight market, have the company’s PEEK materials or high-strength copper alloys developed for drone motor bearings and airframe structural components seen explosive growth in orders? On March 19, Jintian Co., Ltd. stated on the investor interaction platform that the company had a solid client base and technical reserves in the low-altitude economy field. Among its products, high-precision free-cutting copper billet, with excellent properties such as high strength and wear resistance, had already been applied in airborne structural components of low-altitude aircraft. The company’s PEEK material products provide high-voltage drive stability technical solutions for the low-altitude economy’s payload flight market, and it had already carried out R&D cooperation with multiple top-tier enterprises in China. The company will closely monitor and follow market demand in the low-altitude economy field, further improve its product portfolio, and enhance its product competitive advantages. For specific related information, please refer to periodic reports. An investor asked on the investor interaction platform: Hello, Board Secretary. Recently, LME copper prices have risen sharply. Under the company’s strictly implemented hedging strategy, did this generate positive gains from closing positions during the reporting period, or was there a slight loss? Approximately how much was the amount? In addition, as the company’s revenue scale expanded, how well did net operating cash flow match net profit in 2025? Was there any cash flow strain caused by prepayments for raw material procurement? On March 19, Jintian Co., Ltd. stated on the investor interaction platform that the company’s copper processing products adopted a pricing model of “raw material prices + processing fee” and carried out hedging operations in strict accordance with the Hedging Management System to reduce the impact of raw material price fluctuations on the company’s net profit. At present, fluctuations in copper prices had a relatively small impact on the company’s operating performance. For specific related information, please refer to periodic reports. On March 18, when responding to investor questions on the interaction platform, Jintian Co., Ltd. stated that the company had continued to expand its technological leadership in high-voltage electromagnetic flat wire and had further advanced cooperation on new energy high-voltage electromagnetic flat wire projects with world-class OEMs and motor suppliers. As of H1 2025, the company had secured 23 new nominations for its 800V high-voltage platform for new energy drive motors, and had already achieved bulk supply for multiple projects, with the shipment share of high-voltage flat wire continuing to increase. For specific related information, please refer to periodic reports. On March 17, when responding to investor questions on the interaction platform, Jintian Co., Ltd. stated that, with its outstanding electrical and thermal conductivity, copper had become a core material for chip interconnection in the advanced AI industry and heat dissipation in computing power facilities. The company had a solid client base and technical reserves in the AI computing power field. Among its products, the company’s high-precision shaped oxygen-free copper busbar products had already been applied in multiple top-tier GPU cooling solutions of several first-tier thermal module enterprises worldwide. The company will closely monitor and follow market demand in the AI computing power sector, further improve its product portfolio, and enhance its competitive edge. For specific information, please refer to the periodic reports. On March 17, Jintian Co., Ltd. said in response to investor questions on an interactive platform that the company continued to expand its technological leadership in the high-voltage electromagnetic flat wire industry, with both the number of designated projects on high-voltage platforms and shipment volume continuing to grow. Among them, the company's 1,000V flat wire products for drive motors have become an industry benchmark as supporting materials for "megawatt flash charging" technology in the NEV sector, while client-related certification for 1,200V flat wire for drive motors was also progressing in an orderly manner. In addition, the company had a solid client base and sound technical reserves in the chip and semiconductor sector. The company will closely monitor and follow market demand in the chip and semiconductor sector, further improve its product portfolio, and enhance its competitive edge. For specific information, please refer to the periodic reports. On March 17, Jintian Co., Ltd. said in response to investor questions on an interactive platform that the company remained committed to advancing its internationalization strategy, and construction of its newly built Thailand production site was progressing smoothly. The company's copper semis products exported outside China had an overall relatively high gross margin. In H1 2025, revenue from its principal operations outside China was up 21.86% YoY and continued to maintain a solid growth trend. The steady growth of business outside China laid a solid foundation for the company to deepen the upgrading of its global product and client mix. For specific information, please refer to the periodic reports. Jintian Co., Ltd.'s 2025 earnings forecast showed that, based on preliminary estimates by its finance department, the company expected net profit attributable to owners of the parent for 2025 to reach 700 million to 800 million yuan, representing an increase of 237.9574 million to 337.9574 million yuan from the same period last year (statutorily disclosed data), up 51.50% to 73.14% YoY. Net profit attributable to owners of the parent excluding non-recurring gains and losses for 2025 was expected to reach 440 million to 528 million yuan, representing an increase of 101.4004 million to 189.4004 million yuan from the same period last year (statutorily disclosed data), up 29.95% to 55.94% YoY. Regarding the main reasons for the expected increase in results for the period, Jintian Co., Ltd. stated: In 2025, the company implemented its "dual upgrade of products and clients" strategy, with product applications in high-end fields continuing to deepen; it stepped up expansion among clients outside China, and sales in markets outside China continued to grow; meanwhile, through digitalization initiatives, it improved operating and management efficiency, and its product gross margin level and profitability improved YoY. On January 23, Jintian Co., Ltd. said in response to investor questions on an interactive platform that Phase I of its Baotou base had been put into operation, and the annual capacity of rare earth permanent magnets had been increased to 9,000 mt. The company is currently actively advancing Phase II of the Baotou base project, with the aim of further increasing capacity to 13,000 mt. The company has a solid client base and technical reserves in the robotics field, and some rare earth permanent magnets have already been applied in the robotics sector. The company will closely monitor and follow market demand in the robotics field, further improve its product portfolio, and enhance its product competitiveness. A performance preview commentary on Jintian Co., Ltd. for 2025 released by Aijian Securities showed that the share repurchase demonstrated confidence in long-term development, while capital structure optimization was advancing steadily. The company’s high-end copper-based materials were being introduced at an accelerated pace to clients outside China in the computing power cooling sector, with sales rising rapidly and profitability improving significantly. 1) In terms of profitability, processing fees for copper busbar used in computing power are relatively high, and product mix upgrades are expected to continue lifting the company’s gross margin level; 2) In terms of shipment progress, in H1 2025, sales of the company’s copper busbar products in the cooling sector increased 72% YoY, and its high-precision profiled oxygen-free copper busbar has entered GPU cooling solutions of multiple global first-tier cooling module enterprises. The company’s copper heat pipes, liquid-cooling copper pipe & tube, and other products have also achieved bulk supply in computing servers of multiple top-tier enterprises. Copper prices fluctuations had a limited impact on the company’s profitability. 1) The company adopts a “copper prices + processing fee” pricing model, with revenue and profit primarily derived from processing fees rather than copper prices themselves. Processing fees are negotiated between the company and clients based on factors such as product specifications and process complexity, and show a certain degree of historical stickiness; 2) The company effectively hedges copper prices through hedging, while fluctuations in upstream raw material prices are mainly borne by downstream customers, resulting in a relatively small impact on the company’s profit; 3) Rapid copper prices fluctuations may affect downstream ordering willingness in phases and lengthen order cycles, but copper application scenarios are characterized by rigid demand, so the impact on total demand is limited, only changing the pace of copper product orders, and the company’s overall operating stability remains strong. The company is actively expanding into the “aluminum as an substitute for copper” direction, with material substitution optimizing the gross profit structure while enhancing its ability to hedge against copper prices fluctuations. 1) On a per-mt basis, the absolute value of processing fees for aluminum products is usually lower than that of copper-based solutions (at the same performance level, processing fees for high-precision aluminum extrusion are about 10,000 yuan/mt, versus about 20,000 yuan/mt for copper semis); however, since the per-mt price of aluminum semis is significantly lower than that of copper, usually about one-fourth of the latter, the material cost base is lower, increasing the share of processing fees in total product value. The corresponding processing fee rate of aluminum-based solutions is about 13–14 pct higher than that of copper-based solutions, providing positive support to the company’s overall gross margin; 2) In terms of supply progress, the company’s electromagnetic flat aluminum wire and aluminum 3D bent busbars for vehicles have entered the certification and mass supply stage, while inner-grooved aluminum pipe & tube for air conditioners has already begun small-batch supply. Risk Warning: Risks of lower-than-expected downstream demand for new energy or capacity release, rising copper prices, and changes in trade policies outside China.

In 2025, driven by supply contraction and multiple demand growth , the global sulfur market saw supply-demand mismatch throughout the year, with prices rising sharply to new highs in recent years. Entering 2026, sulfur’s byproduct nature will constrain supply; Russia’s supply recovery will be slow; the Middle East will centrally control prices; the resonance of rigid demand from spring plowing and new energy “scrambling for sulfur,” together with heightened shipping risks in the Strait of Hormuz, will drive the global sulfur market to continue in a tight balance, keep the price center at elevated levels, and further reshape the regional supply-demand pattern. 2025 Review: Widening Supply-Demand Gap, Sharp Price Increase (I) Supply Side: Pronounced Rigid Contraction, Intensified Regional Supply Divergence According to the SMM survey, current global sulfur capacity is approximately 85 million mt. The entire industry is operating at close to full capacity, but incremental growth is limited, with annual production at around 80 million mt. As the core of global sulphur supply (with total Middle East production accounting for over 30% of the global total), some resources are prioritised for local markets and emerging markets such as Indonesia (long-term contracts first + high-price diversion). Resources exported to traditional demand countries have been heavily diverted, exacerbating tightness in resource circulation. Meanwhile, Russia, as a core global sulphur producer, has shifted from a net exporter to a net importer due to the Russia-Ukraine war. Coupled with shipping disruptions, geopolitical disturbances, and capacity release falling short of expectations, globally circulating resources remain persistently tight, driving sulphur prices higher. (II) Demand Side: Stable Traditional Rigid Demand +Growth in Emerging New Energy, with a Significant Increase in Total Volume In 2025, global sulfur demand presented a dual-engine pattern of “traditional rigid demand providing a floor, and emerging demand surging”: agriculture remained the largest consumption mainstay, with phosphate fertiliser production at its core forming a solid base of demand; traditional chemical demand such as titanium dioxide and caprolactam grew steadily; the new energy track saw explosive growth , becoming the core engine boosting incremental sulfur consumption. Together, these three sectors drove total sulfur demand to keep rising, in stark contrast to the rigid contraction on the supply side caused by its oil-and-gas associated nature. Compared with previous years, the most notable change in the global sulfur market in 2025 was the explosive growth in new energy demand, which had become the central driver of incremental demand. Sulfur consumption in the new energy sector was highly concentrated in two major tracks—LFP and mixed hydroxide precipitate (MHP)—and formed a clear global regional division of labor: LFP production was highly concentrated in China, while MHP was focused in Indonesia; the two production hubs jointly dominated sulfur demand for new energy. Against the backdrop of an accelerating global green energy transition, China’s NEV and energy storage industries have continued to expand. Leveraging core strengths of high safety, long cycle life, and significant cost advantages, LFP has become the preferred cathode material for large-scale energy storage and NEVs, boosting the continued expansion of domestic capacity. According to the SMM database, global LFP production reached 3.77 million mt in 2025, of which China accounted for 3.75 million mt , representing more than 99%, corresponding to a boost in total sulfur demand of over 3 million mt . Meanwhile, relying on world-class laterite nickel ore resource endowments, Indonesia has vigorously developed HPAL hydrometallurgy, converting low-grade nickel ore into high value-added battery-grade nickel raw materials (MHP). By extending the industry chain and enhancing product value-added, it has become deeply embedded in the global power battery supply chain. According to the SMM database, Indonesia’s MHP production reached 443,900 mt Ni in 2025 , directly boosting sulfur consumption by over 5 million mt; and after planned capacity comes on stream in 2026, Indonesia’s share of global MHP capacity will further rise from 67% to 77% , becoming the most explosive source of incremental sulfur demand globally and a key variable reshaping global sulfur trade flows. Outlook for 2026: The Supply-Demand Gap Further Widens, and Prices Hover at Highs In 2026, the global sulfur market further maintained a tight balance, with supply growth failing to keep pace with demand growth and the supply-demand gap widening further, becoming the core factor supporting prices fluctuating at highs. （I）Supply Side: Limited Growth, Constrained by Multiple Factors As a by-product of oil and gas extraction and refining, sulfur’s supply capability is highly dependent on the level of activity in global crude oil and natural gas production, while also being directly affected by geopolitical conditions, the smoothness of international shipping, and changes in trade policies. Disruptions at any stage will significantly impact the stability of global sulfur supply, the pace of price movements, and the distribution of trade flows. In 2026, the global sulfur supply side will exhibit operating characteristics of “ constrained growth and a diverging regional landscape .” According to the SMM survey, incremental global sulfur supply in 2026 was only about 2.6 million mt, including about 500,000 mt in China and about 2.1 million mt in the Middle East. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), under the long-term trend of the global energy transition, global refining capacity and crude oil throughput are expected to enter a peak plateau around 2035 and then gradually pull back, which will fundamentally constrain the long-term growth potential of sulphur supply. According to the SMM survey, global crude oil demand growth in 2025 only remained at around 1%, with relatively weak growth momentum. As the core producing region for high-sulphur crude oil globally, the Middle East saw OPEC+ confirm a temporary pause in production increases in Q1 2026, further suppressing upstream supply elasticity. Meanwhile, Iran has long been subject to US sanctions, with crude oil production and exports continuously constrained. The most-traded refineries in Russia continued to come under impact, with both production stability and logistics channels significantly affected; sulphur output and export capacity were sharply constrained and are expected to be difficult to recover in H1 2026, further exacerbating the tight globalised sulphur supply landscape. In early 2026, geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East intensified, and shipping risks in the Strait of Hormuz rose markedly ; nearly 50% of global sulfur trade volumes passed through this corridor. Vessel detours, longer voyages, and a sharp rise in war-risk insurance premiums directly pushed up the landed cost of sulfur. In 2025, Middle East sulfur FOB prices climbed from about $170/mt at the beginning of the year to the latest level of about $520/mt , an increase of more than 200%. Meanwhile, continued turmoil in the Red Sea further extended shipping cycles and lifted overall import costs. Disrupted logistics and rising costs created dual pressure, reducing effective market circulation and slowing the pace of arrivals, becoming a key factor supporting sulfur prices fluctuate at highs. The natural gas sector brought marginal improvement to supply: according to the latest quarterly report released today by the International Energy Agency (IEA), global natural gas demand in 2025 was about 1.3% . As a substantial increase in LNG supply eased market fundamentals and drove strong demand growth in Asia, global demand growth in 2026 will accelerate to about 2% . New projects in the US, Canada, and Qatar will come on stream in succession, and LNG supply is expected to increase by 7%, i.e., 40 billion m³. With natural gas consumption rising steadily, sulfur production as a by-product of natural gas desulfurization will increase accordingly, providing some supplementation to overall supply. According to the SMM survey, global sulphur production growth slowed to 2.28% in 2025. In 2026, supply-side expansion will be limited, and supply growth will remain at a low level, with total annual supply expected to reach 82-83 million mt. (II)Demand Side: New Energy-Driven, with Continuous Structural Optimization Global sulphur demand in 2026 will sustain strong growth, with demand growth significantly outpacing supply growth . The key drivers are underpinned by rigid agricultural demand and a growth in incremental growth from new energy. According to the SMM survey, global phosphate fertiliser consumption will grow steadily at an annual rate of about 1.6%. As the largest downstream demand segment for sulphur, it provides a solid foundation for the overall market; demand in the chemical sector will also expand steadily at an annual rate of about 4%–6%. The most noteworthy incremental growth in 2026 will come from the concentrated ramp-up across the global new energy industry chain. According to the SMM database, newly built and commissioned LFP capacity in China in 2026 will exceed 2.5 million mt ; together with the release of existing capacity, the industry’s effective capacity is expected to surpass 9 million mt, driving a sharp increase in demand for high-purity sulphuric acid and sulphur. Meanwhile, Indonesia’s nickel hydrometallurgy projects are accelerating, adding about 400,000 mt Ni of new MHP capacity. Based on its sulphur intensity of as high as 11.7 mt, this will generate incremental sulphur demand on the order of 1 million mt, creating a global “competition for sulphur” alongside global phosphate fertiliser, traditional chemicals, and new energy materials, further exacerbating tight global sulphur supply. SMM has launched SMM CIF Indonesia Sulfur and Sulfur (Solid) price assessments for market reference. SMM CIF Indonesia Sulfur Definition:CIF Indonesian main ports; Quality: Sulfur 99.5% min, Particle; Price Origin: Indonesia. Sulfur (Solid) price Definition: Ex-works, China; Quality: Sulfur（S) 99.00% min，conforming to GB/T 2449-2006; Price Origin: China.

Market Overview According to SMM data, during the first trading week following the Lunar New Year holiday (February 24 – February 27, 2026), the dominant stainless steel contract (SS2604) opened high and maintained a strong trend, driven by significantly rising raw material costs. By the close on February 27, the contract price had climbed to 14,150 CNY/mt ($2,065.69/mt) , an increase of 385 CNY/mt ($56.20/mt) or +2.80% compared to the pre-holiday closing price of 13,765 CNY/mt ($2,009.49/mt) . In the early post-holiday period, the market's upward logic was primarily dominated by rising costs on the supply side. However, as the price center shifted upward rapidly, the substantial accumulation of social inventory during the holiday formed a tangible suppression on the upside potential. Consequently, futures prices maintained a fluctuating struggle within the 14,100–14,200 CNY ($2,058.39–$2,072.99) range. Macroeconomic Analysis From a macro perspective, the market is navigating an interplay between reasonably ample domestic liquidity and uncertainties regarding overseas trade policies. Domestic: On February 25, the central bank conducted a 600 billion CNY ($87.59 billion) one-year Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) operation. This continued to maintain ample liquidity in the banking system, providing macro support for the traditional "Golden March and Silver April" peak consumption season and stabilizing market expectations. Overseas: The U.S. Trade Representative stated they would continue to advance the Section 301 investigation regarding the Phase One trade agreement, with proposals to raise "global import tariff" rates from 10% to 15% or higher. Potential tariff changes have intensified uncertainty in the external macro environment, which may have a negative impact on future export expectations for stainless steel and related end-products. Fundamentals: Inventory & Demand Fundamentally, the post-holiday market faces the reality of a massive inventory buildup while end-user demand is still in a recovery phase. Inventory: Latest SMM data shows that, due to the long Spring Festival holiday, social inventory significantly increased to 1.0161 million tons this week. This is an increase of 121,600 tons compared to the pre-holiday level of 894,500 tons , breaching the one-million-ton mark. Spot Transactions: The market is currently in a gradual restart phase. Downstream processing factories have not yet fully resumed work, and current spot circulation is mostly concentrated on resource allocation between traders. The end-market's actual ability to digest current high-priced resources remains to be verified after enterprises fully resume work next week. Sentiment: In the short term, high inventory levels pose significant pressure on prices. However, supported by expectations for the "Golden March and Silver April" peak season, holders' sentiment remains temporarily stable, with no large-scale sell-offs observed. Cost Analysis The significant strengthening of the cost side was the core driver for the high market opening this week. Driven by news of tighter Indonesian nickel ore quotas and fluctuating rises in nickel prices post-holiday, there is a strong willingness to support prices on the raw material side. High-grade Nickel Pig Iron (NPI): As of February 27, quotes were raised significantly, rising by 33.5 CNY ($4.89) in a single week to 1,085 CNY/nickel point ($158.39/nickel point) . High Carbon Ferrochrome: Prices remained temporarily stable at 8,550 CNY/50 basis tons ($1,248.18/50 basis tons) . The expectation of tight ore supply materialized quickly after the holiday, substantially raising the immediate production costs for steel mills. The upward shift in the cost center effectively limited the room for market correction and forced a passive, steady rise in the center of spot transaction prices. Outlook & Strategy Overall, the stainless steel market in the first week after the holiday presented a tug-of-war pattern: "Strong Expectations & High Costs" vs. "Weak Reality & High Inventory." While the sharp rise in NPI prices established a tone for a strong fluctuating market, the social inventory exceeding one million tons—coupled with end-user demand that has yet to kick in—constrained further upside potential. Looking ahead to next week, the market trading logic will gradually shift from "sentiment-driven" to "fundamental verification." Short-term: Futures prices are expected to maintain a strong fluctuation at high levels. Medium-to-long-term: The trend will depend on the actual realization of demand during the "Golden March and Silver April" peak season after downstream sectors fully resume work. Industrial clients are advised to closely monitor the inventory inflection point (destocking) and actual spot transaction conditions next week. Carefully assess the risks of chasing highs and reasonably utilize hedging tools to manage exposure.

The beginning of 2026 did not bring the calm usually expected in the global stainless steel industry chain ahead of the traditional Lunar New Year offseason. Instead, under the double pincer attack of surging raw material costs and escalating trade protectionism, the market is undergoing a violent restructuring.

Silver's performance over the past year has been nothing short of spectacular.

According to data from the General Administration of Customs, China exported 12,222.29 mt of copper enamelled wire in June 2025, up 18.35% YoY and up 0.93% MoM. From January to June, China exported a total of 69,586.5 mt of copper enamelled wire, with a cumulative YoY growth rate of 25.32%. (HS code: 85441100)

Rick Rule, a seasoned investor and the president and CEO of Rule Investment Media, warned that the recent downturn in the US dollar is far from over. He predicts that within the next decade, the US dollar will lose 75% of its "purchasing power," while gold prices could surge to $12,000 per ounce.