SMM May 21 News: Spot prices of tin, tantalum, and Pr-Nd oxide rose, and high molybdenum prices helped drive the minor metal sector higher. As of 10:22 on May 21, the minor metal sector was up 2.41%. In terms of individual stocks: Eastern Tantalum and China Tungsten High-Tech gained over 6%, while Haotong Technology, Tin Industry Co., Eastern Zirconium, Jinduicheng Molybdenum, and Huaxi Nonferrous led the gains. This rally was directly driven by improving spot market fundamentals, compounded by a weakening US dollar, strengthening strategic resource attributes, and emerging demand (AI, semiconductors, PV), which continued to fuel market expectations of a tight supply-demand balance in minor metals. Some market capital showed increased willingness to flow in, driving a rebound in the minor metal sector. Spot Market Tantalum The quoted price of tantalum ingot (Ta≥99.95%) on May 20 was 6,600-6,700 yuan/kg, with an average price of 6,650 yuan/kg, up 1.53% from the previous trading day. Recently, the tantalum market reached a turning point, with tantalum prices successfully hitting bottom, stabilizing, and initiating a rebound, with the industry's upward trend gradually becoming clearer. Currently, low-priced supplies within the industry chain are being circulated and cleared at an accelerated pace, quoted prices across all product categories are rising in tandem, and the overall market is steadily improving. Driven by expectations of positive news, some smelters proactively tightened their shipment pace and suspended external quotations. Available low-priced supplies in the market were essentially exhausted, and bullish sentiment among traders and suppliers continued to intensify. Combined with steadily rising upstream tantalum ore raw material costs providing strong support, tantalum oxide and tantalum ingot prices are expected to continue their steady rise going forward. Tin On May 21, the average price of SMM 1# tin rose 3.82% from the previous trading day. As tin prices rose, wait-and-see sentiment in the market intensified, and market transactions were sluggish. Currently, from a fundamental perspective: Supply side, most smelters maintained stable production as their main focus in May; Demand side, downstream purchasing remained cautious, with most purchases made according to order requirements. Rare Earth Spot market, on May 21, supported by demand from major manufacturers' procurement, the average price of Pr-Nd oxide rose 1.81% from the previous trading day. Yesterday afternoon, inquiry and procurement activities from magnetic material enterprises increased significantly, which directly boosted market trading activity. Affected by this, Pr-Nd oxide futures prices stopped falling and recovered today, and some Pr-Nd oxide traders chose to hold back from selling, which in turn pushed up Pr-Nd oxide spot prices as well. However, as downstream inquiry prices were relatively low, actual transaction performance was mediocre. In the short term, driven by the continued increase in downstream inquiry and procurement activities, Pr-Nd product prices are expected to move sideways and hold up well. Institutional Views Guojin Securities pointed out in a research report on May 18: Rare earths: From the beginning of the year to date, the price center has been continuously raised, which we believe is likely highly correlated with supply-side policy documents released from 2024 to 2025, as industry supply-side reform continues to advance. Full-year exports in 2025 were down 1% YoY, while exports since the beginning of 2026 have increased significantly, indicating that ex-China restocking demand remains substantial. The rare earth sector will continue to see dual upgrades in valuation and earnings, and 2026 is also a critical year for key targets to resolve horizontal competition issues. Tin: Guojin Securities believes that tin ingot invisible inventory is gradually drying up, and therefore tin prices are expected to strengthen amid macro liquidity replenishment or technology sector spillover effects. The tin supply-demand pattern is expected to improve over the long term. Molybdenum: Molybdenum concentrates were priced at 5,210 yuan/mtu this period, up 10.50% MoM; ferromolybdenum was priced at 324,000 yuan/mt this period, up 9.46% MoM. Imported ore has been drawn down to a significant extent, and domestic molybdenum prices have stabilized and rebounded. Steel bidding volumes remained robust, with destocking across the industry chain, gradually breaking the deadlock of "volume without price" in molybdenum, and the upward channel has become further confirmed. Molybdenum is also a defense metal, with inventory persistently low, and increased ex-China national defense spending may further boost molybdenum prices. Tantalum: The tantalum industry is expected to benefit from the upward cycle driven by high-end demand boost. Related targets: Eastern Tantalum, Xinjinlu, Jiangwu Equipment. CITIC Securities issued a research report on May 13, stating that in Q1 2025 and Q1 2026, earnings growth in the metals sector generally accelerated, with tungsten, lithium, lead-zinc, and rare earth magnetic materials leading the gains, while aluminum, copper (copper: BK1615 3,885.79, 0.58%), nickel-cobalt-tin-antimony, and gold have performed relatively weakly since the beginning of the year. Current metals sector valuations remain at reasonable levels, with aluminum, copper, nickel-cobalt-tin-antimony, and gold valuations at relatively low levels, and valuation rebounds remain promising. Industry dividends pulled back slightly, but projected dividend yields for some individual stocks still exceed 5%. Looking ahead to 2026, with liquidity shocks easing, supply disruptions occurring frequently, and select downstream sectors sustaining relatively high prosperity, it is recommended to continue focusing on allocation opportunities in lithium, copper, rare earths, strategic metals, aluminum, and gold sectors. Guotai Haitong Securities believes that rare earth prices have been gradually consolidating at lows since 2024, with the slowdown in domestic quota allocation continuing, and while expectations for ex-China rare earth development have been fermenting, actual progress may fall short of expectations. On the demand side, NEVs, home appliances, wind power, and other sectors have maintained the fundamental demand base, while humanoid robots represent a long-term upside option, and the curtain on a supply-demand reversal has already been gradually rising. As a strategic commodity in China, rare earth is expected to see a double boost in both earnings and valuation. Recommended reading:

Recently, the tantalum market reached an inflection point, with prices successfully hitting bottom and stabilizing before embarking on a rebound, and the industry's upward trend gradually becoming clear.

On April 16, Ye Jianhua, Director and Supervisor of SMM's Industry Research Department, Feng Chundi, Expert of SMM's Industry Research Institute, and Wu Tao, SMM Overseas Marketing Manager for Copper and Tin, visited Mining Mineral Resources (MMR) for a field trip and exchange, where they received a warm welcome from MMR's leadership. During the exchange, MMR and SMM engaged in in-depth discussions on the current status of the strategic minor metal industry and cross-border supply chain cooperation. MMR has been deeply engaged in compliant mining of critical minerals for over 15 years, with a strategic focus on three key minerals — tin, tantalum, and tungsten. The company holds multiple mining licenses in mineral-rich regions of the DRC, with concentrated resource deployment and exceptional endowment. The enterprise strictly adheres to compliant mining, full-process traceability, and international operational standards, ensuring long-term stable and compliant mine operations. SMM has long been deeply engaged in non-ferrous and rare metals, with core coverage spanning price quotations, industry surveys, and market analysis, comprehensively empowering global mineral trade and industry chain integrated services. Leveraging their respective business strengths, both parties exchanged practical experience on ex-China mineral development, compliance system building, raw material circulation coordination, and industry development trends, laying a solid foundation for subsequent industrial synergy and resource collaboration. Mining Mineral Resources (MMR) Overview Mining Mineral Resources (MMR) has been deeply engaged in compliant mining of critical minerals for over 15 years, with a core focus on the 3T strategic minerals (tin, tantalum, and tungsten). The company holds a portfolio of multiple mining licenses in mineral-rich regions of the DRC: tin (14 licenses covering 2,800 sq km), tantalum (6 licenses covering 400 sq km), and tungsten (1 license covering 300 sq km). The company upholds compliant procurement, full traceability, and international standard compliance systems, building a solid foundation for business operations. Key Tin Producer in Africa • 11 mechanized mines (including open-pit and underground mines) • Annual tin concentrates capacity: 10,000 mt Annual trading volume: 6,500 mt; annual mechanized mining production: 3,500 mt. Mechanized Mining Operations 8 beneficiation plant areas with a combined feed capacity of over 1,500 mt per hour; monthly tin concentrates production of 300 mt; creating employment opportunities and empowering inclusive community development. Smelting Production and Global Supply LME Grade A tin equivalent; Responsible Minerals Initiative (RMI) certified smelter; annual refined tin capacity: 4,500 mt. Tantalum Mining Operations The only mechanized tantalum ore beneficiation plant in the DRC; capacity: 20 mt per year of high-grade tantalum concentrates (grade 30% and above); equipped with modern laboratory detection and quality assay facilities. Ore-to-Alloy Entire Industry Chain Lead-free and tin-lead solder alloys, available in bars, wires, electrodes, and casting ingots. The only enterprise in Africa with a complete ore-to-alloy entire industry chain. Corporate Social Responsibility MMR is well aware of its significant social responsibility to the communities in the mining areas. The corporate social responsibility system is built on four core pillars: healthcare, education development, infrastructure improvement, and entrepreneurship empowerment. Scheduled to be held on October 13-14, 2026 in Lusaka, Zambia. Welcome to join us~ Conference Contact : Wu Tao: 18270916376 jennywu@smm.cn

[Multiple Bearish Factors Stall the Uptrend; China’s Tantalum Market Undergoes Short-Term Adjustment While Medium and Long-Term Support Remains Solid] Recently, the sustained upward momentum in China’s tantalum products market came to a halt, with the overall market entering a phase of temporary consolidation and adjustment. Upward momentum slowed markedly in the short term, mainly due to three core factors: the transmission of macro sentiment, changes in circulating supply, and weakening raw material costs.

[SMM Tantalum News] On March 3 local time, a landslide occurred at the Gasasa mining site in Masisi Territory, North Kivu Province, eastern DRC, burying hundreds of people. Local rescuers estimate the death toll exceeds 200, with specific casualty figures still being tallied. Currently, the mine is controlled by the rebel group M23, which, fearing airstrikes by DRC government forces, has refrained from modern mechanized mining. Due to supply disruptions of tantalum ore (Ta₂O₅≥30%), transactions have been reported at $210–220 per pound, representing a sharp price surge. As this news spreads through the market, coupled with the tight supply-demand balance, tantalum ore prices are expected to continue climbing, potentially reaching new highs.

Recently, the domestic tantalum market, driven by a significant rise in raw material costs, has shown an overall upward trend. Although the pace of price increases for tantalum ingots has lagged slightly, the medium-term upward logic remains clear. Tantalum ore prices have experienced a substantial increase, with the CIF China price quoted at $160–165 per pound, up 17.32% from pre-holiday quotes. This rise is primarily driven by two factors. On one hand, landslides and production halts at core mining areas have directly led to a tangible contraction in global supply, rapidly tightening the availability of spot cargo. On the other hand, downstream electronics manufacturers and traders, driven by bullish sentiment, have engaged in concentrated stockpiling and price locking, further exacerbating the supply-demand mismatch in the circulation chain and collectively pushing up transaction prices for ore. Boosted by strong raw material performance, tantalum product quotes have gradually risen. Transactions for 99.5% tantalum oxide have reached 3,900 yuan/kg, with manufacturers raising prices slightly MoM from pre-holiday levels. For 99.95% tantalum ingot, transactions have occurred at 5,500 yuan/kg, while some manufacturers quote 6,000 yuan/kg, showing minimal increase from pre-holiday quotes. Specifically, some traders are offloading tantalum ingots, creating interference in the upward movement of spot prices and causing a temporary lack of momentum for ingot price hikes. However, with strong cost support from the sharp rise in tantalum ore, downstream procurement demand is expected to be released quickly. Short-term disruptions are unlikely to alter the medium-term upward trend, and tantalum ingot quotes are anticipated to soon catch up with the increases, maintaining the overall strong performance of the tantalum market.

[Supply Contraction Drives Up Tantalum Ore Prices, Smelting End Price Increases Temporarily Hindered] Recently, tantalum ore prices have surged significantly due to mine collapses, overseas recovery, and stockpiling with price locking, with the China landed price reaching $160–165 per pound, indicating strong cost support. Tantalum oxide transactions are smooth at 3,900 yuan per kg, with offers following suit. Although tantalum ingots have traded at 5,500 yuan per kg and some manufacturers offer 6,000 yuan per kg, upward momentum is temporarily insufficient due to trader sell-offs. Short-term disruptions do not alter the medium-term upward trend, and tantalum ingots are expected to catch up quickly.

From January 28 to 29, 2026, the Rubaya coltan mining area in North Kivu Province, eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), was hit by massive landslides triggered by persistent heavy rainfall. The disaster caused the collapse of multiple artisanal mining tunnels. All mining operations at the affected mining area have been fully suspended, and nearby residents have completed emergency evacuation.

["The Niobium Price in 2025 Rises First Then Falls, Supply-Demand Logic Reshapes Market Pattern"] In 2025, the niobium price experienced a volatile trend of rising first, then falling, and later stabilizing. Geopolitical conflicts initially triggered sentiment-driven surges, but subsequent changes in the global supply-demand pattern and fluctuations in downstream demand led prices back to rationality. A slight tightening in supply toward the year-end has generated expectations of short-term adjustments. The industry exhibits significant characteristics of concentrated upstream resources and differentiated downstream demand.

Recently, the situation in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) has escalated again, adding further uncertainty to the market supply of tantalum ore. Upon the release of this news, bullish sentiment among industry insiders has reignited. Can the CIF price of Chinese tantalum ore (Ta2O5≥30%) sustain the upward trend seen at the start of the year and break through the "100$ mark" in one fell swoop?