Data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed that in July 2026, China's crude steel production was 76.93 million mt, down 3.6% YoY; production from January to July totaled 577.04 million mt, down 3.1% YoY. By province and city, in January-July 2026, Hebei led with 122.7939 million mt, Jiangsu ranked second with 70.8115 million mt, and Shandong ranked third with 40.4891 million mt.

[SMM Stainless Steel Daily Review] SS Futures Weaken, Spot Stainless Steel Transactions Mediocre, Awaiting Peak Season Validation SMM, August 19 – SS futures maintained a subdued consolidation trend. Dragged lower by the broad decline in nonferrous metals, SS prices pulled back in tandem. As of the close, the most-traded SS contract settled at 14,260 yuan/mt. In the spot market, although SS futures pulled back somewhat, the overall decline was relatively small. Stainless steel traders mostly held their offers steady, with only occasional small discounts. Overall transactions remained sluggish, showing no signs of recovery ahead of the “September-October peak season.” The Most-Traded SS Futures Contract. At 10:15 a.m., SS2610 was at 14,260 yuan/mt, up 25 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Spot premiums for 304/2B in Wuxi were in the 410-610 yuan/mt range. In the spot market, the average price of Wuxi cold-rolled 201/2B coil was steady; for cold-rolled 304/2B coil with mill edge, Wuxi average price was flat, Foshan average price was flat; the price of Wuxi cold-rolled 316L/2B coil fell by 100 yuan/mt; for hot-rolled 316L/NO.1 coil, Wuxi quotation was flat; cold-rolled 430/2B coil in both Wuxi and Foshan was flat. This week, stainless steel futures were continuously disturbed by macro sentiment, maintaining an overall weak pullback trend. During the week, news on Indonesia’s RKAB nickel ore approval repeatedly disrupted industry expectations. Coupled with the hawkish tone of the US Fed’s policy stance and the unresolved US-Iran geopolitical conflict, macro uncertainty stayed high. Multiple bearish factors dragged SS futures down continuously throughout the week, with bearish sentiment dominating the market and futures movement...

Outokumpu has inaugurated a biocoke agglomeration plant in Tornio, Finland, substituting fossil coke with biomass-based alternatives in ferrochrome manufacturing to support its low-carbon stainless steel production targets. The EUR 30 million facility processes biochar into biocoke, reducing direct CO2 emissions by up to 82,000 tonnes per year — equivalent to the carbon footprint of 8,000 Finnish residents. Head of Outokumpu EvoCarbon Juha Erkkilä confirmed that production has commenced for both internal use and external customers. The project advances Outokumpu's strategy to lower value chain CO2 emissions by 42% by 2030 versus 2016 levels, with the company's ferrochrome production already carrying a carbon footprint 67% below the global industry average.

[SMM Stainless Steel Daily Review] SS Futures Consolidate on a Strong Note and Move Higher; Stainless Steel Spot Offers Hold Steady, Transaction Recovery Hard to Sustain According to SMM on August 18, SS futures maintained a strong consolidation pattern, extending the previous day's stronger tone, with prices moving higher. At the close, the most-traded SS futures contract settled at 14,275 yuan/mt. In the spot market, SS futures rebounded and strengthened yesterday afternoon; with guidance prices at mainstream steel mills holding steady, inquiry and transaction activity in the spot market clearly recovered. Today, momentum for further gains was insufficient, transactions weakened somewhat, and trader offers remained firm. The most-traded SS futures contract. At 10:15 a.m., SS2610 traded at 14,235 yuan/mt, up 15 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Wuxi 304/2B spot premiums were in the 435-635 yuan/mt range. In the spot market, the average price for Wuxi cold-rolled 201/2B coil held steady; for cold-rolled raw-edge 304/2B coil, the Wuxi average rose 25 yuan/mt and the Foshan average rose 25 yuan/mt; Wuxi cold-rolled 316L/2B coil prices fell 100 yuan/mt; for hot-rolled 316L/NO.1 coil, Wuxi quotes were flat; cold-rolled 430/2B coil prices in Wuxi and Foshan were unchanged. This week, stainless steel futures were repeatedly disrupted by macro sentiment and overall remained on a weak pullback trend. During the week, news on Indonesian RKAB nickel mining approvals repeatedly disturbed industry expectations. Combined with the US Fed's hawkish policy stance and the unresolved US-Iran geopolitical conflict, macro uncertainty in the market stayed high. Multiple bearish factors combined to drag SS futures through a sustained pullback during the week, with overall bearish sentiment dominating the market...

[SMM Survey: Weekly Survey of Rolling Lines in Central China: Poor Profitability for Rebar and Wire Rod, Performance Diverged Next Week] During the survey period (August 11–August 17), the operating rate of rebar rolling lines in the region remained flat, while the capacity utilization rate edged up.

[8.19 Morning Meeting Minutes] The National Bureau of Statistics: In July, the value-added of industrial enterprises above designated size grew 4.5% YoY in real terms; sales prices of new commercial residential buildings in first-tier cities turned flat MoM after a 0.1% increase in the previous month. The most-traded SHFE nickel 2609 contract moved sideways in the morning session, ending at 128,410 yuan/mt, up 0.19%. Driven by factors including the mild cooling of the US July PPI and further easing of interest rate hike expectations, nonferrous metals broadly rose, and nickel prices rebounded from last week's lows. While Indonesia’s nickel ore RKAB quota is expected to be loose, sulfur prices remain elevated above $1,000/mt, providing ongoing cost support. In the short term, the most-traded SHFE nickel contract is expected to trade in the range of 125,000-130,000 yuan/mt.

[Mexico] Last week, Mexican HRC prices remained broadly stable at around 985 USD/tonne, despite a slight decline in local-currency prices due to the stronger peso. Market activity remained relatively slow, but domestic mills showed limited willingness to offer discounts, while public and private investment projects continued to support steel demand. Import competition also remained limited under Mexico’s 35% tariff regime, which has significantly raised landed costs and helped domestic producers regain market share. In H1 2026, Mexico’s steel production rose 5% y/y to 9 million tonnes, while steel consumption increased 2% to 13 million tonnes. In the short term, weaker import competition and steady domestic project demand are expected to keep HRC prices relatively firm, although cautious spot purchasing may limit further upside.

Hoa Phat Group (HPG) met with domestic and international investment funds on August 13, with investors showing strong interest in the progress of its Dung Quat special rail and steel rail factory. The project, with a designed capacity of 700,000 tonnes/year, is currently around 60% complete, with the first furnace for high-speed rail products expected to launch in Q1 2027. Hoa Phat also plans to expand its railway steel production facilities by nearly 77 hectares, potentially adding 2 million tonnes/year of capacity with additional investment of around VND 20 trillion. Investors also raised questions about the group’s real estate portfolio and clean-energy initiatives, including solar power projects aimed at reducing emissions and production costs.

[SMM Stainless Steel Daily Review] Nonferrous Sector Boosted; Stainless Steel Futures Stopped Falling and Began to Rise According to SMM news on August 17, SS futures stopped falling and rebounded. Although Friday’s night session remained weak, Monday’s open was lifted by a broad rally in nonferrous metals, and SS successfully reversed its decline and began to rise. By the close, the most-traded SS futures contract settled at 14,275 yuan/mt. Spot market, although SS futures had already staged a rebound, the weak trading pattern in the morning stainless steel spot market did not improve, and traders further lowered their quotes. Only as futures gradually rebounded did spot transactions show some recovery. The most-traded SS futures contract. At 10:15 a.m., SS2610 was at 14,220 yuan/mt, down 25 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. In Wuxi, spot premiums for 304/2B were in the 400-650 yuan/mt range. In the spot market, the average price of Wuxi cold-rolled 201/2B coils held steady; for cold-rolled mill-edge 304/2B coils, the Wuxi average fell 125 yuan/mt and the Foshan average fell 125 yuan/mt; prices of Wuxi cold-rolled 316L/2B coils were unchanged; for hot-rolled 316L/NO.1 coils, Wuxi quotes were unchanged; cold-rolled 430/2B coils in both Wuxi and Foshan were unchanged. This week, stainless steel futures were continuously disturbed by macro sentiment and overall maintained a weak pullback trend. During the week, news on Indonesia’s RKAB nickel ore approval repeatedly disrupted industry expectations. Coupled with hawkish US Fed policy remarks and the unresolved US-Iran geopolitical conflict, macro uncertainty in the market stayed high, and multiple bearish factors resonated to drag SS futures lower throughout the week…

Prices are struggling to rise as downstream buyers resist, while they are also finding it difficult to fall due to firm raw material costs. In August, the Secondary Zinc Oxide market faced a clear stalemate. How will the market perform in September?