[Price Review] At the beginning of the week, silver prices fluctuated upward amid Trump-related remarks and the possibility of easing conflict. However, on Thursday (April 2), after Trump delivered a speech claiming a "swift, decisive, and overwhelming victory" in the war against Iran, precious metal prices plunged sharply. The chaotic signals and uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran negotiation situation themselves became a "bearish factor" for precious metal prices. In the short term, heated fund flows and weakening investment demand caused gold and silver to shift from "safe-haven inflation-resistant assets" into "liquidity tools," and the bearish sentiment in precious metals continued. As for the gold/silver ratio, as of April 1, the LBMA gold/silver ratio stood at 63, and is expected to maintain a fluctuating consolidation trend in the short term. [Key Data] Bullish: The final reading of the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for March in the US was 53.3, below both expectations and the previous reading Bearish: US ADP employment in March was 62,000, below both expectations and the previous reading US retail sales m/m in February rose 0.6, above both expectations and the previous reading The reported US ISM manufacturing PMI for March was 52.7, above the previous reading but below expectations Data and macro releases to watch next week include: April 3 (Friday): The US is set to release seasonally adjusted nonfarm payrolls and the unemployment rate for March. The market generally expects March payroll additions to rebound to 55,000. Bloomberg forecasts that, driven by a rebound in jobs after the end of the strike, nonfarm payrolls in March will increase by 80,000, while the unemployment rate remains stable at 4.4. April 9 (Wednesday): US February PCE Price Index April 10 (Thursday): US March CPI data On the Middle East conflict timeline, US President Trump postponed the airstrike on Iranian energy facilities to 20:00 ET on April 6. Trump said the US would "soon" withdraw from the conflict with Iran, but if the situation changes after the withdrawal, it may still re-engage. Regarding the Strait of Hormuz, on April 1, Ebrahim Azizi, chairman of the Iranian Parliament's National Security and Foreign Policy Committee, posted a message addressing US President Trump, saying that the Strait of Hormuz would definitely reopen, but not to the US. [Price Forecast] In the short term, the direction of the US-Iran conflict and cooling expectations for US Fed interest rate cuts are the main factors affecting silver prices. The lasting impact of persistently high oil prices has kept precious metal prices under pressure. On industrial demand, after the Middle East conflict pushed up energy costs, expectations for global manufacturing activity may be reassessed, and silver has been hit by the dual blow of "safe-haven failure + collapsing demand narrative." On China fundamentals side, end-user enterprises showed weak willingness to stock up raw materials in April. On the one hand, declining PV end-user production schedules led to weaker expectations for new silver nitrate orders. On the other hand, other end-users showed strong caution and reluctance to buy on falling prices, aggressively bargaining down premiums for procurement. As the SHFE April delivery approaches, suppliers generally said that amid difficult spot silver ingot transactions, they may mainly monetize through delivery. Social inventory of silver ingots may see a slight accumulation, and premiums are still expected to have room to pull back further. Next week, the basic situation of silver prices remaining in the doldrums is expected to be difficult to improve, but close attention should be paid to disruptions to market sentiment from changes in geopolitical conflict and adjustments in fund flows.
Apr 2, 2026 17:01[SMM Titanium Express] CITIC Titanium announced a price increase effective April 1, raising selected CR series chloride-process TiO₂ prices by RMB 1,000/ton for domestic market and USD 200/ton for overseas market. This marks the company's second hike within a month and extends the industry's "three consecutive increases" in March, signaling the full deepening of the current price upcycle.
Apr 2, 2026 15:47[SMM Magnesium Express] Latrobe Magnesium secured a non-dilutive prepayment from U.S. distributor Metal Exchange to advance commissioning of its commercial magnesium plant. The Latrobe Valley facility uses brown coal fly ash as feedstock to produce magnesium ingots and cementitious by-products. The funding signals growing commercial backing for ash-to-magnesium processing, offering an offtake-backed prepayment model for similar projects.
Apr 2, 2026 15:08[SMM Tin Midday Commentary: The Geopolitical Situation Lacks Clear Guidance, and Repeated Swings in Macro Sentiment Put Futures Under Pressure Again]
Apr 2, 2026 11:44[SMM Zinc Morning Comment] Overnight, SHFE zinc posted a small bullish candlestick, with the center of the daily candlestick moving higher again, while the middle band of the Bollinger Bands formed resistance above. Overnight, amid expectations that the geopolitical conflict may come to an end, China followed outside China with its center moving higher, but judging from current spot cargo transactions, as zinc prices rose, downstream pricing activity weakened, coupled with......
Apr 2, 2026 08:58[SMM Morning Meeting Summary: LME Zinc Posted a Four-Day Winning Streak; Focus on Trump's Speech Today] Overnight, LME zinc posted a four-day winning streak, with the center of the daily candlestick moving higher. Trump released a TACO signal, expectations for an end to the geopolitical conflict in the Middle East increased, the US dollar index fell, nonferrous metals saw bargain hunting, zinc inventory remained at low levels, and bears' exit provided support, driving zinc prices all the way up. Focus on......
Apr 2, 2026 08:55![[SMM Analysis] India’s Stainless Steel Dilemma: Protect the Market, or Keep It Supplied](https://imgqn.smm.cn/production/admin/votes/imagesPdumt20260401143238.jpeg)
New Delhi quietly renewed BIS certification waivers through September 2026, even as it talks tough on Chinese overcapacity. The contradiction reveals more about India's industrial gaps than its trade policy convictions
Apr 1, 2026 14:30[SMM Tin Midday Commentary: Initial Signs of Geopolitical Peace Emerge, SHFE Tin Prices Rebound Amid Improved Market Sentiment]
Apr 1, 2026 12:03Korea’s battery industry is expanding beyond EVs into ESS and other applications. As a result, competition is shifting from product performance toward broader supply chain capabilities. InterBattery 2026 highlighted this transition.
Mar 31, 2026 19:58Zijin Mining's 2025 annual report sent a clear industry signal: its lithium business has officially moved from strategic reserve to the stage of scaled monetization.
Mar 31, 2026 15:35