This week, ternary cathode material prices edged higher. On the raw material front, nickel sulfate rose slightly, cobalt sulfate edged down, manganese sulfate held steady, while lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide showed an upward trend amidst volatility. In terms of transactions, with raw material prices remaining at high levels and fluctuating, battery cell manufacturers currently have sufficient inventory levels and no urgent need for pick-ups . They are largely continuing to execute orders signed when raw material prices were lower, waiting for opportunities when prices may correct. Payable levels remained stable, with no significant changes in the past two weeks. On the demand side, the domestic EV market showed modest signs of recovery. Upcoming new model launches at this week's auto show are expected to provide some impetus to future demand . The consumer market, however, remained relatively subdued. Overseas orders have declined compared to March following the conclusion of the export rebate policy. With the May Day holiday approaching, some cathode manufacturers have restocking needs for raw materials, which is expected to provide support to raw material prices at the end of the month . However, downstream battery cell manufacturers still have limited acceptance of price increases . The specific price trend will still need to focus on manufacturers' restocking situations at the end of the month.

The domestic EV market showed modest signs of recovery. Upcoming auto shows next week may feature new model launches, which could provide some momentum for future demand.

This week, ternary cathode material prices edged slightly lower, though the overall change remained limited. On the raw material front, cobalt sulfate prices held steady, manganese sulfate saw a modest increase, while nickel sulfate declined slightly. Lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide prices also softened. Spot lithium salt prices are currently range-bound, with the future trend still uncertain. Further guidance from overseas supply-side developments remains to be monitored. On transaction activity, payable levels for EV market orders showed no notable changes recently. In the consumer and e-mobility markets, some battery cell manufacturers conducted batch price-linked restocking during this week's period of low-range lithium salt price fluctuations, resulting in slightly more active transaction activity compared to the previous week. On the demand side, the domestic EV market showed modest recovery, though the increase was limited, and manufacturers remain cautious about future production schedules. Demand in the e-mobility market remained relatively subdued, with production still largely based on sales orders and need-based procurement. On overseas orders, after the export rush period ended in April, order volumes declined, though the magnitude of the decline was smaller than previously expected. Based on current conditions, overall industry production in April is still expected to see a certain degree of decrease compared with March.

Most second-quarter orders in the domestic EV market have been signed sequentially. While some manufacturers saw modest upward adjustments in payables, overall market changes remained limited.

The United States currently operates no domestic nickel smelters, leaving North America entirely reliant on just two remaining pyrometallurgical facilities in Canada. Compounding this critical supply chain vulnerability, a recent report by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace projects that the US will face a massive annual nickel deficit of approximately 741,987 tonnes by 2035. To address this severe shortfall, awaruite (a naturally occurring nickel-iron alloy) is emerging as a strategic solution. Because awaruite concentrate can bypass traditional smelting and be directly converted into nickel sulfate, it is favorably positioned to qualify for the US Section 45X Advanced Manufacturing Production Credit, helping to secure domestic defense and EV battery supply chains.

Current manufacturer expectations for this month and April remain cautious, with some companies having already lowered their April production forecasts.

On the demand side, the EV battery market has seen order contractions compared to earlier expectations, impacted by lackluster new energy vehicle sales both domestically and internationally.

This week, ternary material prices edged slightly downward. From a raw material perspective, nickel sulfate, cobalt sulfate, and manganese sulfate prices remained relatively stable with no significant fluctuations. The primary downward pressure on prices came from lithium sulfates: spot prices of lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide saw notable declines in early week, weakening the cost support for ternary materials. Despite the pronounced decline in lithium sulfate prices early this week, ternary cathode material manufacturers showed relatively limited restocking interest. There are two main reasons for this: First, prior to the price adjustment, most cathode manufacturers had already finalized March orders with downstream battery cell makers and are currently in the order delivery phase , maintaining relatively sufficient raw material inventories. Second, manufacturers generally maintain a " buy on rising, not on falling " mentality, viewing this adjustment primarily as short-term volatility influenced by international situations, with no expectation of sustained lithium sulfate price declines. In terms of pricing, although lithium carbonate futures prices experienced adjustments, cathode manufacturers' quotations did not see significant declines, mainly because their raw material costs remain higher than current futures prices . Spot market transactions were also quite subdued this week, with market activity dominated by long-term contract supplies. On the demand side, the EV market showed seasonal recovery, but downstream customers' order fulfillment pace remained slow due to Q1 new energy vehicle sales falling short of expectations . In contrast, e-mobility and consumer electronics markets saw relatively notable growth, primarily driven by some consumer batteries facing "export rush" demand , leading to forward order placements.

Although March traditionally marks a demand recovery period and represents the final deadline for "export rush" orders ahead of policy changes, leading to a significant MoM increase compared to February, the magnitude of this recovery is expected to be more limited than pre-holiday forecasts suggested.

Recently, the Ecology and Environment Bureau of Fuzhou City, Fujian Province, published a public notice regarding the approval decision on the environmental impact assessment document for the "Power Battery Recycling Comprehensive Utilization Project of a Company in Fujian." Upon completion, the project will be capable of recycling and processing 40,000 tons of waste power batteries annually. This includes the cascading utilization of 12,000 tons of batteries per year and the production of 30,000 tons per year of battery raw materials (copper powder, aluminum powder, electrolytic nickel, high-purity nickel sulfate solution, electrolytic cobalt, high-purity cobalt sulfate solution, crude manganese carbonate, high-purity lithium sulfate solution, and copper sponge, etc.).