The overall trend for iron ore futures was weak today, with the main contract I2609 closing at 750 RMB/ton, down 2.53% from the previous session. Spot prices fell 7-12 RMB/ton, with traders showing general willingness to quote but steel mills restocking only as needed and making few inquiries

[Price Review] Silver prices continued to weaken early this week amid the fermentation of Trump's speech from last week, but on Wednesday (April 8), supported by the US-Iran ceasefire agreement and a weaker US dollar, silver prices began to rebound, surging nearly 5% on April 8 alone. Short-term capital momentum, investment demand, and industrial demand had not recovered, with strong wait-and-see sentiment among market traders. Downstream transactions were still dominated by significantly reduced premium prices, and precious metal price gains remained relatively limited. Gold/silver ratio, as of April 8, the LBMA gold/silver ratio stood at 62, maintaining a fluctuating trend in the short term. [Key Data] Bearish: US March seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls came in at 178,000, above expectations and the previous value US March unemployment rate was reported at 4.3%, below expectations and the previous value US EIA crude oil inventory for the week ending April 3 was 308.1, above expectations and the previous value US API crude oil inventory for the week ending April 3 was above expectations and the previous value On April 7, the US and Iran reached a ceasefire agreement, but Trump threatened that any country providing military weapons to Iran would be immediately subject to a 50% tariff. Data and macro news releases to watch next week include: On April 10 (Friday), the US is set to release March CPI data. Affected by energy price surges caused by the Iran war, the market widely expects inflation to rise significantly. Geopolitics, Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf will lead an Iranian delegation to negotiate with the US in Islamabad, Pakistan, with the US side led by Vice President Vance. Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz invited both the Iranian and US delegations to further negotiate in Islamabad on April 10 to reach a final agreement resolving all disputes. Regarding the Strait of Hormuz situation, cracks appeared in the US-Iran ceasefire agreement, with Iran claiming three key provisions were violated, and the Strait of Hormuz has been closed again. [Price Forecast] In the short term, the trajectory of the US-Iran conflict remains the primary factor determining whether silver prices will sustain the rebound, with insufficient support from short-term industrial demand and investment demand. China fundamentals side, silver ingot spot cargo had shown a slight surplus and inventory buildup trend. Due to relatively pessimistic expectations for the PV industry in April, just-in-time procurement demand for silver nitrate, silver powder, and silver paste enterprises declined. As the SHFE April delivery approaches, suppliers showed a notably increased intention to deliver and liquidate, and the upward trend in silver ingot social inventory is likely to continue. Although silver prices next week may be boosted by the ceasefire and a weaker US dollar, the overall in the doldrums situation for precious metals has not been fully reversed. Spot transaction expectations remain at a slight premium or shifting to parity, and close attention should continue to be paid to changes in geopolitical conflicts and their impact on market sentiment and capital flow adjustments.

Several major European markets recorded their lowest daily average electricity prices of the year last week, driven by decreased demand, higher solar production, and falling gas prices. On April 5, Germany’s price plunged to -€16.34/MWh—its lowest since July 2023—while France also saw negative daily averages. Except for Italy, weekly averages across most European markets stayed below €100/MWh, with Spain and Portugal recording the lowest averages at around €12/MWh due to robust solar output. While supply concerns and storage levels continue to fluctuate gas futures, the surge in renewable energy has significantly exerted downward pressure on power costs.

Refined Cobalt: Spot prices of refined cobalt continued to fluctuate downward this week, dragged by capital flows and macro sentiment. Supply side, mainstream smelters maintained stable ex-factory quotes; after spot prices moved lower, traders showed stronger willingness to hold prices firm, and the spot-futures price spread rebounded to above parity. Demand side, the pullback in prices slightly stimulated downstream procurement demand, but end-users remained cautious due to fluctuations in associated metal prices. The DRC announced an extension of the Q4 2025 cobalt intermediate product export quota, and uncertainty over intermediate product exports persisted. The structural tightness in China's raw material supply continued, providing bottom support for cobalt prices. Cobalt Intermediate Products: Cobalt intermediate product prices continued to run steadily this week, with the market remaining in a "quoted but not traded" state. Supply side, apart from the domestic miner quotes from last week, other suppliers maintained a bullish stance and held off on quoting, with available supplies remaining tight. Demand side, most smelters adopted a cautious procurement stance due to insufficient rebound momentum in cobalt salt prices, and actual transactions were scarce. Based on current shipping progress, the concentrated arrival of cobalt intermediate products at ports may be delayed to June-July. Once downstream orders materialize and restocking demand kicks in, intermediate product prices still have room to move higher. Subsequent attention should be paid to the DRC's export approval progress and the pace of downstream demand recovery. Cobalt Sulphate: Spot prices of cobalt sulphate moved sideways this week. Supply side, the raw material shortage pattern continued, underpinning smelter quotes, with the mainstream price range maintained at 95,000-98,000 yuan/mt; some recycling enterprises and traders continued to offer concessions for shipments due to capital turnover pressure, with individual quotes dipping to 90,000-93,000 yuan/mt, but such supplies were limited in volume, not enough to shake the mainstream price center. Demand side, market sentiment remained subdued, with downstream enterprises holding conservative expectations for subsequent orders, and current raw material inventory still at safe levels, leading to weak restocking willingness, with only sporadic purchases of low-priced supplies and insufficient overall transaction activity. In the short term, the market remained in a destocking phase, with sellers and buyers in a stagnant tug-of-war, and prices lacked breakthrough momentum. From a medium and long-term perspective, the uncertainty of DRC raw material supply provides bottom support on the cost side; once downstream inventory is effectively depleted and procurement demand recovers, cobalt sulphate prices are expected to see a corrective rebound.

[SMM Silicone Weekly Review: Silicone Full-Range Product Quotes Raised, New Order Transactions Mainly Rigid] This week, China's silicone DMC market traded in the range of 14,400-14,500 yuan/mt, up 200 yuan/mt WoW. Regional quotes, monomer enterprises in Shandong quoted 14,400 yuan/mt, up 400 yuan/mt from early March. Mainstream monomer enterprises in other regions mostly quoted 14,500 yuan/mt, up 200 yuan/mt from early March, with the regional price spread narrowing. New order transactions were overall mediocre this week. Mid- and downstream enterprises were generally focused on consuming existing raw material inventory, with only small volumes purchased for rigid demand.

[SMM Chrome Daily Review: Overseas Market Offers Remained Flat, Trading Sentiment Was Subdued] April 9, 2026: The ferrochrome and chrome ore market saw limited fluctuations...

[SMM Magnesium Weekly Review: Fear of High Prices Dominates Demand Side, Magnesium Ingots Show Signs of Weakness After Consolidating at Highs] This week, various segments of China's magnesium industry chain diverged in performance, each exhibiting distinct supply-demand patterns. The dolomite market remained stable, with some areas in core production regions halting production, supplemented by supplies from surrounding sources. Downstream primary magnesium smelters saw a slight rise in operating rates and restocked on rigid demand, providing solid demand support, with short-term trends expected to remain stable. Magnesium ingots in major production areas showed signs of weakness after consolidating at highs. Slight inventory buildup at producers weakened the sentiment to hold back from selling, while downstream fear of high prices was strong and orders were scarce, shifting the supply-demand pattern toward buyers. The FOB market for magnesium ingots at Tianjin Port saw weak transactions, with producers' sentiment to hold prices firm cooling down. Short-term quotes may edge lower but are expected to stabilize overall. Magnesium powder prices remained firm, with producers raising operating rates to ensure supply. Both domestic and export demand recovered, and enterprise stockpiling behavior may front-load subsequent demand. Magnesium alloys consolidated at highs, with producers maintaining stable operating rates though some had elevated inventory levels. Downstream procurement was mainly driven by rigid restocking demand, and end-user order release exhibited structural divergence, with short-term prices expected to hold steady.

Spot lithium carbonate prices fluctuated downward this week. Futures market fluctuations continued, with the most-traded contract price range sliding from 155,000-164,300 yuan/mt at the beginning of the week to 151,400-158,200 yuan/mt, showing significant intra-week volatility and continuously declining open interest. In the spot market, upstream lithium chemical plants continued to hold prices firm and hold back from selling this week. However, as prices kept falling, their psychological price expectations and quoted prices softened somewhat, with a small number of enterprises already quoting below 160,000 yuan/mt. Downstream material plants maintained a strategy of buying the dip: when prices fell below the psychological price level of 155,000 yuan/mt, downstream purchase willingness strengthened notably, driving market inquiries and actual transactions to become more active. Overall, transaction volumes picked up after the price decline, and the price spread between upstream and downstream narrowed. News continued to disturb market sentiment. Jiangxi mine developments and Middle East geopolitical fluctuations continued to unsettle the market, serving as key factors behind this week's price fluctuations. In addition, news regarding Zimbabwe's lithium ore export restrictions continued to ferment. Looking ahead, on the supply side, ongoing disruptions from lithium resources supply sources such as Jiangxi mines and Zimbabwe have yet to be resolved; on the demand side, the concentrated launch of new car models in April is expected to drive incremental demand at the margin. With supply-side disruptions yet to subside and downstream rigid demand providing a floor, spot lithium carbonate prices are expected to hold up well in the near term.

SMM Nickel News, April 9: Macro and Market News: (1) On April 8 local time, US President Trump posted on his social media platform "Truth Social" that any country providing military weapons to Iran would face "immediate 50% tariffs" on "any and all goods" sold to the US, adding that the measure would "take effect immediately" with "no exclusions or exemptions." (2) US Fed March meeting minutes: more officials mentioned the possibility of rate hikes. The Fed's mouthpiece noted that the ceasefire made it harder for the Fed to decide. Spot Market: On April 9, SMM #1 refined nickel prices rose 50 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Spot premiums: Jinchuan #1 refined nickel averaged 3,350 yuan/mt, down 250 yuan/mt from the previous trading day; domestic mainstream brand electrodeposited nickel premiums ranged from -400 to 400 yuan/mt. Futures Market: The most-traded SHFE nickel 2605 contract opened higher today but then fluctuated downward, closing at 133,000 yuan/mt, down 0.02%. In the short term, Indonesia's policy tightening and cost support have built a solid floor for nickel prices, but high inventory and weak end-use demand capped upside room. The most-traded SHFE nickel contract is expected to operate in a core range of 133,000-143,000 yuan/mt.

[SMM Stainless Steel Daily Review] SS Futures Moved Sideways, Stainless Steel Spot Trading Was Mediocre and Struggled to Rise On April 9, SMM reported that SS futures continued to move sideways. The US and Iran temporarily ceased fire, but geopolitical conflicts had not truly subsided, and uncertainty at the macro perspective remained elevated. SS futures failed to extend the previous rally and mainly moved sideways, closing at 14,320 yuan/mt as of the midday session. In the spot market, affected by the pause in the futures rally, the stainless steel spot market still saw some inquiry activity, but actual transactions were still dominated by low-priced sources; traders attempted to slightly raise their quotes, but actual transaction gains were limited. The most-traded SS futures contract moved sideways. At 10:15 AM, the most-traded SS2605 futures contract was quoted at 14,290 yuan/mt, up 25 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Spot premiums for 304/2B in the Wuxi area were in the range of 180-380 yuan/mt. In the spot market, the average price of cold-rolled 201/2B coils in Wuxi fell by 100 yuan/mt; for cold-rolled trimmed-edge 304/2B coils, the average price in Wuxi rose by 50 yuan/mt, while the average price in Foshan remained stable; cold-rolled 316L/2B coils in the Wuxi area fell by 200 yuan/mt; hot-rolled 316L/NO.1 coils were quoted flat in Wuxi; cold-rolled 430/2B coils in both Wuxi and Foshan remained stable. The stainless steel market is currently in the traditional peak consumption season of "Golden March and Silver April." Downstream demand fundamentals have recovered compared to the earlier period, with end-user procurement continuing at a just-needed pace, and the overall trading volume was sufficient to hold quotes firm for basic market vitality. However, affected by macro news disturbances and futures fluctuations, downstream end-user clients still...