On April 2, 2026, the White House ushered US steel trade policy into "Version 2.0." This strategic shift goes beyond simple tariff hikes. It uses full-value taxation and melt-and-pour traceability to block low-end imported raw materials, while applying structural tariff reductions to finished products to ease manufacturing inflation. Ultimately, this two-pronged approach aims to forcibly bring the global supply chain back to domestic US steel production.

[SMM Cast Aluminum Alloy Morning Comment: Cost and Demand in a Tug-of-War, ADC12 Under Short-Term Pressure] Spot side, yesterday the ADC12 market remained in the doldrums, with mainstream enterprises generally lowering quotations by 100–200 yuan/mt. Currently, demand remains weak, with insufficient order follow-through, while downstream procurement is mainly driven by rigid demand, and wait-and-see sentiment is relatively strong. Meanwhile, affected by poor orders, enterprises faced greater shipment pressure, low-priced cargo gradually increased, market competition intensified, and the price center moved downward passively. Overall, as demand has yet to show any clear improvement, ADC12 prices will remain under pressure, with weak short-term fluctuations likely to dominate.

[SMM Silicon-Based PV Morning Meeting Summary: Polysilicon Prices Remained Slightly Weak, While Module Prices Were Overtly Stable but Softened in Practice] Over the weekend, N-type recharging polysilicon was quoted at 39.5-47.5 yuan/kg, the N-type polysilicon price index stood at 43.64 yuan/kg, and granular polysilicon was quoted at 40-43 yuan/kg. Polysilicon prices still appeared slightly weak over the weekend, with reports of some transactions concluded at low prices. Bearish sentiment among upstream and downstream enterprises persisted, and prices were expected to remain weak.

BYD’s passenger vehicle sales reached 187,782 units in February, down about 8.6% MoM from January; compared with the same period in 2025, they fell 41% YoY. Based on January sales performance, BYD’s passenger vehicle sales in the first two months of the year both declined MoM and YoY, which is uncommon and also indirectly indicates that rapid changes in market competition have put some pressure on BYD. In addition, it is worth noting that the sales figures released by BYD include exports; in February this year, its overseas exports of new energy vehicles were as high as 100,600 units. Based on this, BYD’s domestic monthly sales of new energy vehicles are expected to fall below 100,000 units.

[smm stainless steel daily review] geopolitical boost and cost support drive ss futures higher, spot stainless steel prices follow with a positive outlook smm march 2 news, ss futures fluctuated upward. influenced by the escalation of middle eastern geopolitical conflicts over the weekend, precious metals and crude oil-related futures rose first, followed by non-ferrous metals, with ss futures also strengthening, closing at 14,385 yuan/mt. in the spot market, driven by the strong performance of ss futures and the further increase in high-grade npi raw material prices, spot stainless steel quotations have risen; however, due to insufficient downstream end-user operations, overall purchasing attitudes remain cautious. despite this, under the multiple benefits of cost support, expectations for the peak "golden march and silver april" season, and recent increases in futures, traders generally hold an optimistic view of the future. the most-traded ss futures contract strengthened and probed higher. at 10:30 am, ss2604 was quoted at 14,160 yuan/mt, up 10 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. in wuxi, the spot premiums and discounts for 304/2b were in the range of 360-560 yuan/mt. in the spot market, wuxi cold-rolled 201/2b coils remained stable; the average price of wuxi cold-rolled 304/2b coils with trimmed edges increased by 50 yuan/mt, and foshan's average price also rose by 50 yuan/mt; wuxi cold-rolled 316l/2b coils increased by 200 yuan/mt; hot-rolled 316l/no.1 coils in wuxi rose by 300 yuan/mt; both wuxi and foshan cold-rolled 430/2b coils remained stable. the stainless steel market is gradually recovering, with ss futures strengthening and probing higher, fueled by rising expectations for the traditional "golden march and silver april" consumption peak and indonesian nickel ore...

On February 28, 2026, Rongbai Technology released its 2025 annual performance report. In 2025, Rongbai Technology achieved operating revenue of 12.271 billion yuan, a decrease of 18.67%; and recorded a net loss attributable to shareholders of the listed company of 182 million yuan, a decrease of 161.64%. In 2025, due to multiple factors such as intensified domestic market competition and changes in the international political and economic landscape, the company's operating performance faced interim pressure, with operating revenue of 12.271 billion yuan and a net loss attributable to the parent of 182 million yuan. However, quarterly profitability gradually recovered, and the company returned to profitability in the fourth quarter.

Around the Chinese New Year holiday, the lithium carbonate market exhibited a pattern of first declining then rising, with intensified volatility before the holiday. From late January to early February, prices came under pressure and declined, with battery-grade lithium carbonate dropping to a low of 134,500 yuan/mt. However, in the final week before the holiday, driven by improved macro sentiment and industrial capital flows, the futures market warmed up, and the most-traded contract once broke through the 150,000 yuan/mt level. During the Chinese New Year holiday, the Guangzhou Futures Exchange was closed, and the spot market saw sluggish trading as logistics were largely halted. Supply side, lithium chemical plants showed clear price-firming sentiment during the pre-holiday price decline phase, with a generally weak willingness to sell spot orders. Meanwhile, February coincided with a period of concentrated maintenance at upstream lithium chemical plants, and domestic lithium carbonate production is expected to drop about 15% MoM for the month. Demand side, downstream material plants entered a stockpiling cycle before the holiday, and purchase willingness significantly strengthened when prices fell to relatively low levels, with increased inquiry and trading activity. Benefiting from the progress of downstream buying the dip, industry inventory structure underwent dynamic adjustments. As of February 12, 2026, the downstream inventory share in SMM's total lithium carbonate sample inventory rose to 43.2%, up nearly 2 percentage points from the previous week; meanwhile, upstream and other segment inventories saw pullbacks, down 7.8% and 4.4% WoW respectively. Overall inventory showed a downward trend, though the direction of inventory changes varied across segments. Looking ahead, on the supply side, as lithium chemical plants complete maintenance and gradually resume production, coupled with new capacity coming online, domestic lithium carbonate production is expected to rebound gradually. On the demand side, from after the holiday to late February, downstream material plants will start the March stockpiling cycle and are expected to maintain a strategy of buying the dip. Under a pattern of simultaneous supply and demand growth, market competition may intensify.

The year 2025 has concluded. Against a backdrop of copper prices repeatedly reaching historic highs, what characteristics did the operating rates in the wire and cable industry exhibit over the past year? As 2026 marks the beginning of the 15th Five-Year Plan period, where does the future development of the wire and cable industry lie? ......

Metal materials are widely used in automotive components, and their price fluctuations significantly impact cost structures. According to SMM estimates, a typical NEV's cost breakdown is as follows: power battery (35%-40%), traction motor and motor controller (10%-20%), body/chassis/interior (30%), and other electronics (7%). This analysis focuses on the traction motor system, as SMM has extensively covered batteries elsewhere. Within the motor system (10%-20% of total vehicle cost), raw materials account for the largest share. Key metal inputs include rare earth-neodymium iron boron (NdFeB) magnets (30%-35%) , copper-enameled wires (15%) , and aluminum-structural components (20%) . The simultaneous surge in these metals from late 2025 to early 2026 has placed immense cost pressure on motor manufacturers and NEV OEMs . 1. Rare Earth Metals: Supply Squeeze and Demand Resilience Drive Prices Up ​ Rare earth prices, particularly for praseodymium-neodymium (PrNd) metal, have risen sharply. As of February 9, 2026, PrNd prices reached 975,000–985,000 RMB/ton , a year-to-date increase of 33.1% . This acceleration stems from tight supply ​ (limited upstream output, weak production activity, and reduced spot availability due to long-term contract deliveries) and robust demand ​ (steady overseas orders for magnetic materials and growing expectations for NEVs and e-bikes in 2026). These factors collectively pushed prices upward . Motor manufacturers face greater challenges than magnetic material suppliers. They must absorb not only soaring rare earth costs but also high copper prices. Compounding this, motor makers struggle to pass cost increases downstream . NEV OEMs, grappling with fierce market competition, resist price adjustments. Consequently, motor producers are caught between expanding losses ​ (if they continue production) and losing market share ​ (if they halt operations). Their weak bargaining power, due to proximity to concentrated downstream customers, exacerbates the strain . 2. Copper: Structural Supply-Demand Imbalance and Financial Factors ​ Copper prices rose sharply from 87,000 RMB/ton in late 2025 to 105,000 RMB/ton in early 2026 , a gain of over 20% , and have remained elevated. This rally was driven by: Supply-chain constraints : Production disruptions in major copper-producing countries (e.g., Chile, Peru), geopolitical tensions, and logistics bottlenecks limited short-term supply. Financial influences : Global liquidity conditions and inflation expectations attracted speculative capital, amplifying price volatility. Strong demand : Sustained optimism regarding data centers and cable demand further supported prices . The impact on motors is direct and significant. Copper, critical for stator and rotor windings, constitutes a substantial portion of motor raw material costs. The price surge adds hundreds of RMB to the cost per motor , translating to billions of RMB in additional annual expenses ​ for large-scale OEMs. This pressure cascades through the supply chain, squeezing margins for material suppliers, motor makers, and vehicle manufacturers. While some industrial motor firms have raised prices, NEV OEMs have so far absorbed the costs, further straining their profitability . 3. Aluminum: Tight Fundamentals Amid Energy Transition Demand ​ Aluminum prices climbed nearly 10% ​ from December 2025 to January 2026, primarily due to structural supply-demand tightness . Demand is bolstered by global energy transition trends (e.g., NEV bodies, battery trays, and e-drive casings) and solar PV growth. On the supply side, aluminum production—highly energy-intensive—faces pressure from elevated global power prices, leading to unstable operational rates. Financial investors' focus on "green metals" has also contributed to price gains . Although aluminum's cost sensitivity is lower than copper's, it is widely used in motor housings, end covers, and cooling systems. Price increases directly raise motor manufacturing expenses, costing hundreds of millions of RMB ​ for producers at million-unit annual scales and eroding margins for motor suppliers and OEMs . 4. Path Forward: Technology and Supply Chain Adaptation ​ The concurrent rise in rare earth, copper, and aluminum prices has created unprecedented cost pressure. Motor and vehicle manufacturers urgently seek cost reductions, but technological solutions (e.g., flat-wire motors , material recycling ) require time. Short-term strategies include long-term supply contracts ​ and futures hedging ​ to manage risks. Long-term success will hinge on material innovation ​ (e.g., reducing rare earth content, optimizing aluminum-for-copper substitution) and vertical supply chain integration ​ to navigate resource constraints . SMM advises industry players to closely monitor policy shifts and alternative technologies, adapting procurement and production strategies dynamically

"The market has gone absolutely crazy." That's the shared sentiment among many executives at magnetic material and motor plants. As of February 9, 2026, the price of praseodymium-neodymium (Pr-Nd) metal has reached 975,000 - 985,000 yuan per ton, marking a single-day surge of 7%. This represents a 9.4% increase compared to last week​ and a staggering over 88% jump compared to the same period last year​