Over the past half-century of industrialisation, the global seaborne iron ore market took shape and solidified into a "duopoly" supply structure dominated by Australia's Pilbara region and Brazil's Carajás and Iron Quadrangle regions. However, with the evolution of macroeconomic cycles, the structural shift in China's economic growth momentum, and the historic imperative for the global steel industry to transition toward low-carbonisation and green development, this traditional supply landscape is undergoing an unprecedented reshaping. On November 26, 2025, as the first commercial vessel loaded with Simandou iron ore slowly departed Mabariya Port for the open sea, Guinea's Simandou iron mine officially commenced production. As the world's largest and highest-quality greenfield iron ore project, this milestone signalled the gradual rise of the African continent—long relegated to a secondary position—as an important emerging force in the global ferrous metals market. Why should we pay attention to the African market? The African continent's iron ore resources are regarded as the third most important region for global iron ore supply, after Brazil's Carajás region and Australia's Pilbara region. The sheer scale and high grade of its resources account for 13.8% of global iron ore resources. It is also set to be the primary supply-side growth driver over the next five years. Therefore, changes in African iron ore will long remain a key market determining international iron ore prices . This article provides a comprehensive analysis of the current status and landscape of African iron ore and select steel markets, offers an in-depth discussion of future development trends, and presents a data-driven outlook on market changes. I. Global Iron Ore Background According to SMM survey data, as of 2025, global iron ore production is estimated at approximately 2.472 billion mt. Of this, Africa contributed approximately 95 million mt, accounting for nearly 4% of total global production. With the successive commissioning of various large-scale mining projects, Africa's iron ore capacity is expected to double by 2030, reaching a scale of nearly 259 million mt. Assuming no production cuts in other regions, Africa-produced iron ore's global market share is expected to rise to nearly 10%, while the global iron ore market's oversupply is estimated to increase to approximately 220 million mt. (Chart-1: Balance Sheet) Although the international iron ore market has already entered a prolonged cycle of loose supply, the substantive supply shock from African iron ore is expected to materialise gradually only over the next five years. In the short term, based on an estimated 15 million mt of new African shipments in 2026, their outstanding high-grade characteristics are expected to quickly meet steel mills' current demand for low-carbon ore blending, allowing the market to absorb them smoothly, with a relatively mild impact on absolute international iron ore prices. The key point to watch will be from 2028 to 2029. As railway, port, and other infrastructure facilities still under development in Africa are fully connected, the surge in high-grade iron ore production will exert heavy downward pressure on the right side of the global iron ore cost curve. This will not only systematically push down the price center of iron ore but also trigger intense structural squeeze; that is, the survival space for low-grade, high-cost mines will be significantly compressed. This price downcycle is expected to persist through 2028. When international ore prices fall below the marginal cost support level of $90/mt, non-mainstream small mines on the far right of the cost curve will be forced to shut down and exit the market. By then, the global iron ore supply landscape will have completed a new round of reshuffle, re-forming a multi-oligopoly ecosystem dominated by ultra-large, low-cost mines (including new African mines), supplemented by quality mid-sized mines. (Chart-2: Price Forecast Curve) II. African Market Current Landscape: South Africa as the Dominant Leader with Multiple Strong Players, West African Countries Actively Expanding Having analyzed the foundation of the global iron ore market landscape, the focus will now shift to the overall situation in Africa. As the primary driving force behind supply growth over the next five years, Africa's iron ore production is concentrated in West Africa and South Africa. Currently, Africa is dominated by three major countries. Among them, South Africa is the largest producer, with production reaching approximately 67 million mt in 2025, and its export shipments firmly hold an absolute dominant position of approximately 65% of Africa's total iron ore exports. However, constrained by potential structural limitations, the future organic growth potential of South Africa's iron ore industry is relatively limited. As major iron ore projects in other emerging resource-rich African countries successively come into production and release capacity, South Africa's share in Africa's overall export market is expected to face sustained contraction. Next is Mauritania, as Africa's second-largest iron ore producer, with production of 15 million mt in 2025 and export volumes of approximately 12 million mt, accounting for 12% of the African market. Mauritania borders the Atlantic Ocean, possesses abundant high-grade iron ore deposits deep in the Sahara Desert, and enjoys exceptionally favorable geographic location and mineral resources. Moreover, it is within close proximity to European and Middle Eastern markets that urgently need green industrial raw materials, providing it with unique advantages for absorbing the global transfer of green metallurgical capacity. It will be a highly promising iron ore supplier in the future. In addition, Sierra Leone, as another important supply hub in the region, also has an expected production of 12 million mt in 2025, holding a stable share of approximately 12% in the African export market. Chinese-invested iron ore mines within the country are actively expanding their operations. Macro trade flow perspective, based on full-year 2024 trade data, the proportion of African iron ore shipped to the Chinese market was relatively low compared to traditional mainstream mining regions, accounting for only about 60%, while the broader Asian market encompassing China, Japan, and South Korea collectively absorbed approximately 70% of African iron ore shipments. Meanwhile, Western European countries represented by the Netherlands and Germany constituted the core secondary shipping destination for African iron ore, with a trade flow share of nearly 14%. The remaining marginal trade flows exhibited a diversified pattern, radiating broadly to emerging steel capacity clusters in the Middle East, including Bahrain, Oman, and Saudi Arabia. (Chart-3: African Iron Ore Market Overview) Enterprise level, Kumba Iron Ore and Assmang , both based in South Africa, became Africa's largest and second-largest iron ore producers with annual production of 37 million mt and 17 million mt, respectively. Kumba's mines such as Sishen are globally renowned for producing high-grade fines (>62%) and premium lump with excellent physical and metallurgical properties (Premium Lump, Fe 65.2%). Under the current trend of blast furnace emission reduction, this type of lump ore that can be directly charged into furnaces and reduce sintering carbon emissions has been highly sought after by the market, commanding a significant premium. Assmang also possesses high-quality iron ore assets, jointly controlled by African Rainbow Minerals (ARM) and Assore at a 50:50 ratio. Its Assmang fines and Assmang lump (grade at 64-65%) are also high-quality direct furnace charge materials. However, for this enterprise, the biggest bottleneck lies not at the pit head but on the rails. Heavy reliance on Transnet's rail shipping capacity means that logistics bottlenecks frequently cap its shipment volumes. SNIM (Société Nationale Industrielle et Minière de Mauritanie) is Mauritania's state-owned mining company and Africa's third-largest iron ore producer after the two South African companies. Unlike mainstream Australian and Brazilian ore, SNIM's products occupy a unique niche in terms of physicochemical specifications and market segmentation. Its most widely traded product is TZFC fines, characterized by extremely low aluminum (Al2O3) and phosphorus (P) content. As an excellent blending raw material, major steel mills prefer to blend SNIM ore fines with high-aluminum Australian fines (such as certain Pilbara blend ores) to significantly dilute the impurity ratio in furnace charge and optimize blast furnace performance. (Chart-4: Top-Tier Enterprises) III. Transformation of the African Market: Major Producing Countries May Stagnate While Emerging Projects Become Key Growth Drivers So where will future growth come from? According to SMM observations, the African market is expected to undergo significant structural changes over the next five years. Multiple large-scale iron ore projects across African countries are already under construction and plan to commence production before 2030. Based on estimates, Africa's iron ore supply is expected to grow substantially from approximately 95 million mt currently to 260 million mt over the next five years, representing a cumulative increase of up to 85%. The market landscape will also shift from South Africa-dominated exports led by Western players to Guinea-dominated exports. (Chart-5: African Market Production Trend) The primary growth driver will come from Guinea in West Africa. The country's renowned Simandou iron ore mine, jointly developed by multiple enterprises, is currently the world's largest undeveloped high-grade open-pit hematite deposit. With resource reserves exceeding 5 billion mt and a designed capacity of 120 million mt, it is the project with the greatest strategic potential to reshape the existing iron ore market landscape. Since the first ore shipment in late November 2025, as of Q1 2026, Simandou's main export port, Morebaya Port, has cumulatively shipped nearly 1.6 million mt. Blocks 1 and 2, developed under the leadership of the Winning Consortium Simandou (WCS), have been successfully commissioned, with 2026 capacity expected to be achieved and shipments expected to reach full production of 60 million mt within the next 2–3 years. Blocks 3 and 4, which are expected to commence production in Q1 2026, are led by Simfer (a Rio Tinto & Baowu joint venture) and are expected to ship 5 million mt of ore in 2026, reaching full production of 60 million mt over 30 months. In other words, Guinea is expected to reach 120 million mt before 2030, vaulting to become the world's second-largest iron ore project, behind only Brazil's S11D project (with a post-expansion designed capacity of 200 million mt, expected to commence production in 2030). Other countries such as Liberia, Gabon, Sierra Leone, and Congo Republic all have iron ore projects under development, with a combined capacity of approximately 46 million mt planned to commence production by 2030. The largest among these is the Tokadeh Phase II project (Tokadeh Phase II) in Liberia, owned by ArcelorMittal (AML), which is expected to commence production in H2 2026 and reach full production of 20 million mt capacity by year-end, with iron ore concentrate expected to exceed Fe 66%. Given that AML's steelmaking capacity in Europe cannot absorb such a massive increase in the short term, the majority of Tokadeh 's products are expected to flow into the international market for trading, exerting downward pressure on iron ore concentrate prices. Currently, the largest exporting country, South Africa, is expected to largely maintain its production within the range of 63–67 million mt, with a risk of slight decline. The primary reason is that South Africa's iron ore transportation is highly dependent on the heavy-haul railway line (TFR) from Sishen to Saldanha Port. In recent years, Transnet Freight Rail (TFR), under South Africa's national transport company Transnet, has seen a significant decline in transport capacity due to numerous issues including locomotive and rolling stock shortages, frequent cable theft, and prolonged underinvestment in infrastructure, resulting in severely reduced transportation capacity for major bulk commodities such as iron ore and coal. South Africa's largest iron ore mine, Kumba, in its 2025 year-end financial report released in February 2026, indicated that its total finished product inventories reached as high as 7.5 million mt , increasing rather than decreasing compared to 6.9 million mt at the end of 2024. As railway transport capacity failed to match mine production capabilities, major South African iron ore producers were forced to accumulate large inventories at mine sites. To prevent inventory overflow, miners had to proactively lower production guidance. Although miners have been working to address transportation issues, the deep-rooted railway problems are difficult to resolve in the short term. Beyond 2030, there is also Mauritania's SNIM strategic growth blueprint. In the first phase (Horizon 1), the company plans to raise annual capacity to 45 million mt by 2031 through implementing lean production, equipment and technology upgrades, and joint development of new reserves. Of this, 20 million mt will be absorbed by SNIM's own wholly-owned capacity, while another 25 million mt will be achieved through attracting international capital to form joint ventures. Furthermore, SNIM has even set its sights on 2045 (Horizon 3), formulating a long-term goal of raising annual capacity to 80 million mt . In addition, there is the MIFOR project in the DRC. On March 26, 2026, the DRC signed a relevant memorandum of understanding with China, and the MIFOR project was listed as a flagship project with priority support. The mine is estimated to hold cumulative resources of 15 billion to 20 billion mt, with an average grade exceeding 60%. Its potential scale is considered to be approximately 2.5 times that of the Simandou project in Guinea. The first phase of the project is expected to cost $28.9 billion, involving the construction of a heavy-haul freight railway combined with Congo River shipping, ultimately connecting to the Banana deep-water port on the Atlantic coast. Initial annual production is expected to be 50 million mt, with a long-term goal of expanding to 300 million mt per year . All these projects are destined to make Africa an indispensable source of iron ore supply in the future. (Chart-6: Selected African Iron Ore Projects) IV. Global Steel Industry Chain Transformation: Will Africa, as a Hub of High-Grade Ore, Empower DRI Production? Notably, most of Africa's currently operating and planned iron ore projects have an average total iron grade (Fe) largely above 65% , with extremely low impurity content. This scarce high-grade ore is an ideal raw material for the direct reduced iron (DRI) process. As the DRI-EAF green steel route gains traction in Europe, the US, and China, future demand for iron ore with grades of 65% and above will surge exponentially. This will confer an exceptionally high "grade premium" on major iron ore projects including South Africa's Kumba, Guinea's Simandou, and other mines coming into production in the future. In the long run, the pricing benchmark for iron ore is inevitably shifting away from the traditional Platts 62% index, and African miners will gain bargaining leverage when renewing long-term agreements, thereby reshaping the global industry chain profit distribution landscape. In line with the global carbon neutrality trend, international investors, encouraged by local governments, are actively deploying high-value-added processing facilities, including DRI plants and high-grade pellet plants, aiming to fully leverage Africa's abundant high-grade iron ore resources and enormous energy potential for DRI production. Based on SMM's observations, approximately 200,000kt of DRI capacity is expected to emerge in Africa by 2030. The largest project among them is an 8.1 million mt DRI complex located in Libya, a joint venture between Turkish steel mill Tosyali and Libya's national steel company. (Chart-7: African DRI Projects) As China advances its "dual carbon" goals, the steelmaking industry is undergoing corresponding adjustments. China has set out a strategic blueprint for carbon peaking by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2060. The traditional high-carbon-emission long-process steelmaking route dominated by blast furnace-converter operations is facing extremely stringent capacity replacement policies and environmental protection regulations. Meanwhile, the global trade system is also accelerating the imposition of carbon costs — for example, the implementation of the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) — compelling the global steel supply chain to accelerate its transition from the source toward a low-carbon or even zero-carbon "green steel" era. Under this irreversible transformation trend, the short-process route combining DRI with electric furnace (EAF) has become the most commercially feasible decarbonization pathway. To meet the surging global demand for green steel in the future, market forecasts indicate that by the 2030s, global DRI designed capacity will need to increase by hundreds of millions of metric tons. This dramatic expansion in production scale will profoundly reshape the global steel supply landscape. The share of traditional pig iron production will gradually decline, while low-carbon DRI supply will directly determine the competitiveness of major economies in the global green steel market. In particular, the "hydrogen metallurgy" technology, which uses green hydrogen to replace natural gas and coal for iron ore reduction, is widely recognized by the industry as the core to achieving ultimate zero-carbon steelmaking. (Chart-8: Reshaping of the Steel Industry Chain Under Green Transformation) Represented by world-class high-quality iron ore projects such as Simandou in Guinea, the gradual commissioning of these super mines is expected to inject over 100 million mt of high-grade iron ore supply into the global market annually, significantly alleviating the global shortage of DRI-grade ore. More critically, North Africa and West Africa possess solar and wind energy potential that is second to none globally, enabling large-scale green hydrogen production at extremely low costs locally. This perfect combination of "high-grade ore + affordable green hydrogen" has led multinational capital and steel giants to increasingly favor establishing DRI production lines directly on African soil, reducing iron ore locally into low-carbon Hot Briquetted Iron (HBI) that is convenient for transport, before shipping it to electric furnaces in Asia and Europe for smelting. As a result, Africa will formally transition from the old era to become an indispensable part of the green iron production chain.

Recently, Inner Mongolia Shuangli Mining Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Shuangli Mining") held the completion and trial production ceremony for the upgrading and capacity expansion project of the mining and beneficiation system at the No. 2 Iron Mine in the Geqi mining area.Once the project reaches full production, it will produce 870,000 mt of iron ore concentrates, 9,580 mt of copper concentrates, 5,432 mt of lead concentrates, and 2,052 mt of zinc concentrates annually, injecting new momentum into Shuangli Mining's green and high-quality development.

According to a public notice issued by the Heilongjiang Provincial Department of Natural Resources on March 30, 2026, the first batch of total tungsten ore mining quota control indicators for Heilongjiang Province in 2026 amounted to 100 mt, all of which were allocated to Shuangyashan Jianlong Mining Co., Ltd. (Yangbishan Iron Mine of Shuangyashan Jianlong Mining Co., Ltd.), at 100 mt. The first batch of local mining quota in 2025 was 0.

On January 29, 2026, Baffinland Iron Mines announced it has secured all regulatory authorizations to begin construction on the Steensby Component of the Mary River Project in Nunavut, Canada. The expansion involves a new 110 km railway and a deepwater port at Steensby Inlet. Once completed in roughly three years, the project will quadruple the mine’s high-grade (67% Fe) direct-shipping ore capacity from 4.2 MTPA to 22 MTPA, significantly reducing logistics costs and environmental impacts.

On June 7, Nanjing Iron & Steel Group Co., Ltd. (NISCO) and Huoqiu County held a "15th Five-Year Plan" local government-enterprise cooperation exchange meeting at Jin'an Mining. Huo Shaobin, member of the Standing Committee of the Lu'an Municipal Party Committee and Secretary of the Huoqiu County Party Committee, and Huang Yixin, Secretary of the Party Committee and Chairman of NISCO, attended and delivered speeches. The meeting was chaired by Wei Nengwu, Deputy Secretary of the Huoqiu County Party Committee and County Magistrate. Mao Lingxia, Deputy County Magistrate of the Huoqiu County People's Government, heads of departments including the Huoqiu Economic Development Zone, the Huoqiu County National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), the Huoqiu County Bureau of Industry and Information Technology, the Huoqiu County Bureau of Natural Resources, and Fanqiao Town, Wang Haiyong, member of the Standing Committee of the Party Committee and Secretary to the Board of Directors of CITIC Pacific Special Steel Group Co., Ltd., and Shao Renzhi, Vice President and Chief Investment Officer of NISCO and President of the New Industry Investment Group, also attended the meeting. Shang Wenhu, General Manager of Huoqiu County Limin Company, and Xu Weizhuo, Chairman and General Manager of Jin'an Mining, signed the transfer contract for the Fanqiao Iron Mine exploration right project. Jin'an Mining introduced the strategic development plan for the "15th Five-Year Plan." Huo Shaobin pointed out that the successful signing of the Fanqiao Iron Mine project is an important achievement of the joint efforts and shared vision for development between the local government and the enterprise. It will strongly promote the complementary advantages and resource sharing between the local government and the enterprise, inject strong momentum into further optimizing, strengthening, and expanding Jin'an Mining, and provide solid support for the high-quality economic and social development of Huoqiu County. All departments at various levels in the county should further strengthen safeguard measures, optimize service mechanisms, and strive to create a first-class business environment. It is necessary to improve the regular communication mechanism between the government and enterprises, implement a list-based management of services, efficiently and precisely promote the implementation of enterprise-benefiting policies, and provide solid guarantees for deepening the strategic cooperation between the local government and enterprises. Huang Yixin stated that Jin'an Mining achieved multiple historical operating indicators in 2024, opening up a new pattern of dual-main-business-driven development. The signing of the transfer contract for the Fanqiao Iron Mine exploration right has fulfilled NISCO's long-held aspiration for sustainable development in Huoqiu. He expressed heartfelt gratitude to the successive leadership teams that have supported the development of Jin'an Mining over the years. In recent years, Huoqiu's business environment has continued to improve, and the efficiency of government services has been constantly enhanced, actively addressing the concerns and difficulties of enterprises. NISCO Group and Jin'an Mining will live up to expectations, fulfill their missions, and take the lead, committed to building a world-class technology-oriented excellent enterprise and contributing new "NISCO strength" to the high-quality economic and social development of Huoqiu County. Accompanied by Huang Yixin and others, Huo Shaobin and his delegation conducted in-depth surveys and provided guidance at the Jin'an Mining Smart Center. On the same day, Jin'an Mining held the commissioning ceremony for the 9-series permanent magnet ferrite ultra-pure iron powder pre-sintered material project. Huo Shaobin, member of the Standing Committee of the Lu'an Municipal Party Committee and Secretary of the Huoqiu County Party Committee, delivered a speech, and Huang Yixin, Secretary of the Party Committee and Chairman of NISCO, announced the official commissioning of the project. Xu Weizhuo, Chairman and General Manager of Jin'an Mining, chaired the ceremony. The 9-series permanent magnet ferrite ultra-pure iron powder pre-sintered material project of Jin'an Mining is not only a vivid practice of Jin'an Mining's implementation of NISCO's "one body, three elements" large industrial ecosystem, but also an active response to the strategic deployment of the Huoqiu County Party Committee and County Government to focus on building an iron-based new material industrial cluster. This project is the first production line in China that uses ultra-pure iron powder as raw material to produce 9-series permanent magnet ferrite pre-sintered materials, filling a technological gap in this field and marking a milestone. In his speech, Huo Shaobin stated that the Jin'an Mining 9-series permanent magnet ferrite ultra-pure iron powder pre-sintered material project is a brand-new starting point and a magnificent symphony. Huoqiu County will thoroughly implement the project of "consolidating the foundation and nurturing vitality," continuously improve the work style of officials, optimize the business environment, nurture the project's healthy growth, assist Jin'an Mining in becoming bigger and stronger, and wish Nanjing Iron & Steel Group Co., Ltd. (NISCO) prosperous development and continuous innovation. Huang Yixin expressed gratitude to the leaders and guests who witnessed the commissioning of the Jin'an Mining 9-series permanent magnet ferrite ultra-pure iron powder pre-sintered material project and paid tribute to the participating construction units. He also introduced the development of NISCO and CITIC Pacific Special Steel Group Co., Ltd., as well as the latest developments in the mutually empowering development of Jin'an Mining's dual main businesses. He stated that Jin'an Mining will strive to become a world-class new materials company, making new contributions to Huoqiu's economic transformation and high-quality development. After the ceremony, the attendees jointly toured the production line of the 9-series permanent magnet ferrite ultra-pure iron powder pre-sintered material project. On June 6, the Board of Directors of Jin'an Mining held its 2025 annual meeting. Huang Yixin, Secretary of the Party Committee and Chairman of NISCO, Shao Renzhi, Vice President and Chief Investment Officer of NISCO and President of New Industry Investment Group, as well as directors, supervisors, and members of the management team of Jin'an Mining attended the meeting, which was chaired by Xu Weizhuo, Chairman and General Manager of Jin'an Mining. The meeting focused on hearing reports on Jin'an Mining's "15th Five-Year Plan Strategic Planning Scheme," "2024 Annual Financial Final Accounts Report," and "2025 Annual Financial Budget Report." Huang Yixin stated that this year's Jin'an Mining Board of Directors meeting is a triple celebration: obtaining the exploration rights for the Fanqiao Iron Mine, the official commissioning of the 9-series permanent magnet ferrite ultra-pure iron powder pre-sintered material project, and Jin'an Mining achieving multiple historical milestones in 2024. Jin'an Mining's victory is a comprehensive one, which has also inspired the confidence of all officials and employees of Jin'an to dare to fight and win. Reviewing the past, Jin'an Mining has achieved six "leading the way and setting an example." First, leading the way and setting an example in innovation, breakthroughs, and creating history in production and operation; second, leading the way and setting an example in Party building and corporate culture construction; third, leading the way and setting an example in strategic guidance, planning, and implementation; fourth, leading the way and setting an example in incremental sustainable development; fifth, leading the way and setting an example in overall organizational and team building; sixth, leading the way and setting an example in the construction of a safe, happy, and green mine. For future development, Jin'an Mining must adhere to "five unwavering principles." First, it must unwaveringly achieve this year's profitability targets. Second, it must unwaveringly adhere to the strategy of developing iron-based new materials, while also firming up its determination to go public in the future. Third, it must unwaveringly promote the Fanqiao Mine to generate profits as soon as possible. Fourth, it must unwaveringly build a modern mine system. Fifth, it must unwaveringly advance the construction of the Party, corporate culture, and talent team development. Shao Renzhi expressed his congratulations to Jin'an Mining for acquiring the Fanqiao Iron Mine, which is a remarkable achievement for Jin'an. He emphasized the need to accelerate the pace of progress and achieve results as soon as possible. Since the last board meeting, Jin'an Mining's strategic positioning of "resources + new materials" has become more resolute and clearer. It must seize the development opportunities in new materials and live up to the resource endowment of "ginseng iron." The road ahead is long, and we must tread it steadily and securely. First, we must clearly plan the strategies and paths for what we want to accomplish during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period. Second, we must advance strategic research on new materials, build a talented team suited to development, and coordinate the synergistic development of several sectors. Third, we must accelerate the construction of digital and intelligent mines. Fourth, we must firmly grasp and implement safety work, maintaining a cautious attitude at all times. Safety must always be kept in mind, and there can be no room for slackness.

Ansteel Mining's Dong'anshan Iron Mine has set its sights on achieving its annual targets, seizing the golden period for production, and coordinating its layout to tap into its potential. It has made precise efforts in areas such as lean management, equipment support, and safety control to enhance its production and operation levels. In the first five months, the mine's ore output exceeded the challenge value by 1.9%, while the total mining and stripping volume and ore output grade surpassed the planned targets by 1.6% and 0.76%, respectively. The mine has coordinated the management and control of the entire production and operation process, creating favorable conditions for increasing capacity and efficiency. It has adopted measures such as strengthening production organization, strictly managing blasting quality, intensifying mining in key areas, dynamically adjusting the ore supply structure, and optimizing the transportation routes for production trucks to drive continuous improvement in production indicators. Meanwhile, it has strengthened the management and control of equipment operation, enhanced standardized maintenance and repair operations, improved the technical skills of spot inspections and the quality of equipment maintenance, and further enhanced equipment operation efficiency. Focusing on the investigation and rectification of fire safety hazards, it has increased the intensity of inspections on various electrical equipment and facilities, electrical circuits, as well as fire hydrants and fire extinguishers, to further enhance safety control capabilities and build a solid "firewall" for fire safety.

[Brief Review of Domestic Iron Ore Market: Iron Ore Concentrates Prices in Tangshan Region May Remain in the Doldrums] The overall prices of iron ore concentrates in Tangshan region remain stable, with the delivery-to-factory prices (dry basis, tax included) for 66% grade concentrates still maintained at 920-925 yuan/mt. Both supply and demand sides maintain a wait-and-see sentiment, with trading activity being relatively weak. The overall operating rates of mines and beneficiation plants remain at a relatively low level. Major mines are still making a profit of 100-200 yuan per mt, while most concentrates plants are operating at a loss.

According to the latest data from SMM, the capacity utilisation rate of domestic mines was 54.5% last week, down 4.7 percentage points from the previous week. The production of iron ore concentrates was 728,000 mt, a decrease of 62,000 mt WoW. Sales volume was 633,000 mt, a decrease of 137,000 mt WoW. The inventory of ore concentrates at mines increased by 95,000 mt, with the total inventory now at 375,000 mt.

This week, imported iron ore prices fell sharply, primarily due to the dual pressures of the implementation of crude steel production reduction policies and a weakening fundamental outlook. Shandong, Anhui, Fujian, and other regions have clarified their crude steel production control targets, with some steel mills planning to reduce their annual output by 5%-10%, directly suppressing expectations for iron ore demand. Although the potential easing of US tariff policies provided a temporary boost, the industry has entered the traditional off-season, with insufficient momentum for a rebound. In the spot market, the weekly average price of PB fines at Shandong ports fell by 26 yuan/mt WoW. Chart: SMM 62% Imported Ore MMi Index Source: SMM This week, prices in Tangshan, Qian'an, and Qianxi in Hebei Province, as well as Chaoyang, Beipiao, and Jianping in west Liaoning, fell by 1-5 yuan/mt. In east China, prices fell by 10-15 yuan/mt. In the Tangshan region of Hebei, the dry-basis ex-factory price (tax included) of 66% iron ore concentrates fell by 10-15 yuan/mt this week, now ranging from 920-925 yuan/mt. The resumption of production at local iron mines has been slow, with limited marketable resources available. On one hand, some producers have significantly low inventory levels and are reluctant to sell goods without the ability to restock. On the other hand, mines and beneficiation plants are struggling to release high-cost inventory. Considering the insufficient demand from steel mills due to their low allocation of domestic ore, weak demand is constraining upward price momentum, with both supply and demand being weak. In west Liaoning, iron ore concentrate prices are in the doldrums, with the 66% wet-basis ex-factory price (tax excluded) ranging from 690-700 yuan/mt. Traders' risk-aversion sentiment has intensified, with general inquiry enthusiasm. The mines and beneficiation plants sector recently faced tailings mine inspections, but the impact on local production has been relatively small. Currently, market buyers lack confidence in the future outlook, with steel mills primarily purchasing based on immediate needs. Additionally, iron ore futures are in the doldrums, and the cost-effectiveness of domestic iron ore is weakening. In east China, mines and beneficiation plants are mostly operating as planned, but the overall pace of shipments has slowed. Currently, domestic iron ore concentrates are less cost-effective compared to imported ore, so local steel mills are mainly purchasing as needed and have appropriately increased their use of imported ore. Chart: Price Spread Between Domestic and Imported Ores Source: SMM Outlook for Next Week For imported ore: Entering June, mainstream mines in Australia and Brazil are entering the end-of-quarter production push phase. However, the current sluggish ore prices may curb shipments from some non-mainstream mines, with global shipments expected to increase only slightly. Domestic ore production may drop back slightly due to weakening demand and environmental protection constraints, with overall supply pressure remaining limited. On the demand side, pig iron production has slightly decreased but remains at a high level. Port inventory may continue to destock slightly, with fundamental support continuing to weaken. Although the crude steel production reduction policy will continue to disrupt the market, its impact on sentiment may gradually diminish. Overall, SMM expects ore prices to remain in the doldrums next week, with limited upside and downside potential and a narrower range of fluctuations. From the perspective of domestic ore: In general, the supply of domestic ore remains tight recently. However, the futures market for iron ore has been weak recently. Coupled with the declining cost-effectiveness of domestic iron ore concentrates, the overall market transactions for domestic ore have been sluggish. Additionally, the low cost-effectiveness of domestic ore has led to poor overall market demand. It is expected that domestic iron ore prices will remain in the doldrums next week. 》Click to view SMM Metal Industry Chain Database

[Nanjing Iron & Steel Co., Ltd.'s wholly-owned subsidiary wins exploration rights for 920 million yuan] On May 12, 2025, Jin'an Mining won the exploration rights for the Fanqiao Iron Mine Exploration (Retention of Exploration Rights) in Huoqiu County, Anhui Province, with a bid of 920.3677 million yuan. On the same day, Jin'an Mining signed the "Notice of Bidding Results" with Anhui Property Rights Exchange Center Co., Ltd. For specific details, please refer to the "Announcement of Nanjing Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. on Its Wholly-owned Subsidiary Winning the Exploration Rights through Auction" (Announcement No.: Lin 2025-029) on the website of the Shanghai Stock Exchange (http://www.sse.com.cn/). On May 27, 2025, Jin'an Mining signed the "Property Rights Transaction Contract for the Transfer Project of Exploration Rights for the Fanqiao Iron Mine Exploration (Retention of Exploration Rights) in Huoqiu County, Anhui Province" with Huoqiu County Limin Urban and Rural Construction Investment Co., Ltd.