Super Copper Corp. has completed a brokered private placement raising about $9.75 million to advance its copper projects in Chile’s Atacama region. The company intends to use the funds for exploration and project development activities. The financing reflects continued investor interest in new copper resources amid tightening global supply.
Mar 9, 2026 09:08
(Washington, D.C. – February 10, 2026) After posting its strongest annual performance since 1979 last year, silver prices continued to set new highs in 2026, fueled by rising investor interest.
Feb 11, 2026 09:27After a clear upward breakout in technical patterns, the precious metals market witnessed a spectacular scene of "silver and platinum soaring together" on Thursday... On one hand, spot silver prices surged by 4.5% during Thursday's trading session, reaching a high of $36.06 per ounce, the highest level since February 2012. On the other hand, spot platinum prices soared by 4.8% overnight and further refreshed their highest level since March 2022 at $1,152 per ounce during the Asian session on Friday. It can be said that these two precious metal commodities, which were unremarkable during the gold rally earlier this year, now seem to be simultaneously embarking on a catch-up rally... In response, industry insiders stated that the simultaneous surge in silver and platinum appears to reflect investors' growing demand for precious metals used in industrial applications. Meanwhile, with gold prices already hovering near a high of $3,400, other precious metal varieties that had lagged behind in gains are now coming more into the sight of physical buyers and investors. Nicky Shiels, Head of Metal Strategy at MKS PAMP SA, pointed out in Thursday's report that the enhanced technical momentum and improved fundamentals across the precious metals sector have provided a boost to these metals. Strong physical silver demand from India and the recovery of platinum demand in China have further strengthened the upward trend. Silver—and sometimes platinum as well—often moves in tandem with gold, which has long been regarded as a timeless safe haven during periods of geopolitical turmoil. Over the past 12 months, spot gold prices have surged by more than 40%, as the escalation of tariff wars initiated by the US has enhanced its safe-haven appeal, and central banks around the world have continued to make substantial purchases. The gains in silver and platinum over the past year have actually fallen far short of those in gold—up 19% and 13% respectively as of Thursday. This scenario is naturally related to their far weaker safe-haven attributes compared to gold. However, in the industrial sector, they are not without value to explore. Silver is a key material for solar panels, while platinum is used in automotive catalytic converters and laboratory equipment. After years of undersupply, both metals markets will still face a supply deficit this year. Catch-up rally begins MKS PAMP's Shiels stated that maintaining silver prices above $35 would be a "critical turning point," and if sustained, it should reignite the interest of retail investors who have been on the sidelines. She further added that given the high leasing rates indicating a tightening market, a potential recovery in demand for platinum ETFs could trigger a speculative rally. According to industry-compiled data, the open interest in platinum ETFs is currently showing signs of a rebound, having increased by more than 3% since mid-May. Meanwhile, inflows into silver ETFs have also been growing continuously since February, with cumulative open interest climbing by nearly 8%. Alexander Zumpfe, a senior trader at Germany's gold refiner Heraeus Group, stated that the recent rally in silver may be driven by a combination of technical momentum, improved fundamentals, and rising investor interest. He pointed out, "After lagging behind gold for several weeks, silver is now catching up, indicating that momentum-driven investors have reignited their interest in silver." Maria Smirnova, senior portfolio manager and chief investment officer at Sprott Asset Management, also noted, "This breakout in silver has been brewing for some time. Silver has made multiple attempts to breach the $35 mark in recent months, making this breakout significant. If changes in technical factors further drive physical investors to buy in the coming days, silver prices could rise rapidly and substantially." Investors are also currently focusing on the US May non-farm payrolls report, which will be released on Friday evening. The poor performance of the US ADP employment data and initial jobless claims on Wednesday and Thursday has strengthened market expectations that the US Fed will cut interest rates at least twice this year. A decline in borrowing costs typically benefits the performance of these precious metals.
Jun 6, 2025 13:29More and more Wall Street investment banks have recently reiterated their forecasts that the US dollar will weaken further due to interest rate cuts, a slowdown in economic growth, and the trade and tax policies of US President Trump. Morgan Stanley has stated that the dollar will fall to its lowest level during the COVID-19 pandemic by the middle of next year; JPMorgan Chase is similarly bearish on the dollar; Goldman Sachs has indicated that if tariff measures are blocked, Washington's efforts to seek alternative sources of revenue could have an even more negative impact on the dollar. "We believe that a medium-term narrative around dollar depreciation is taking shape," said Aroop Chatterjee, a strategist at Wells Fargo in New York. On Monday, amid escalating global trade tensions, the dollar fell against all G10 currencies once again. Currently, the ICE US Dollar Index has accumulated an 8.9% decline year-to-date. According to Dow Jones Market Data, this represents the worst performance for the index in the first five months of the year on record. The Traditional Carry Trade Logic Has Been Upended It is worth noting that one of the most striking aspects of the dollar's continued weakness this year is the near disappearance of the traditional carry trade logic in the foreign exchange market. Due to President Trump's erratic policies, investor interest in US assets has cooled, and the traditional close relationship between US Treasury yields and the dollar has broken down. In the past, the movement of long-term US Treasury yields, which measure government borrowing costs, tended to move in tandem with the dollar exchange rate, with higher yields typically indicating a strong economy and attracting foreign capital inflows. However, since Trump announced his "Liberation Day" tariffs in early April this year, the 10-year US Treasury yield has risen from 4.16% to 4.42%, yet the dollar has declined by 4.7% against a basket of currencies. Last month, the correlation between the dollar exchange rate and US Treasury yields fell to its lowest level in nearly three years. Shahab Jalinoos, head of G10 FX strategy at UBS Group, said, "Under normal circumstances, a rise in US Treasury yields indicates a strong US economy. This is attractive for capital inflows into the US." However, he also noted that "if yields rise due to higher US debt risks, fiscal concerns, and policy uncertainty, then the dollar will weaken simultaneously. This pattern is actually quite common in emerging markets." And currently, the situation facing the dollar is undoubtedly the latter. Trump's aggressive push for the "Big Beautiful Bill" could exacerbate the US budget deficit, coupled with Moody's recent downgrade of the US sovereign credit rating, has made investors more concerned about the sustainability of the deficit and has placed severe pressure on US Treasury prices. Analysis by Torsten Sløk, chief economist at Apollo, shows that the credit default swap (CDS) spreads of the US government—a trading level reflecting the cost of hedging against loan default risks—are now similar to those of Greece and Italy. These two countries were once the "epicenters" of the European debt crisis. Trump's attacks on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell have also unsettled the market. He met with Powell last week and told the Fed Chairman that it was a mistake not to have implemented an interest rate cut so far this year. The US dollar has significant downside room. Michael de Pass, global head of interest rate trading at Citadel Securities, said, "In the past, the strength of the US dollar was partly derived from the integrity of its institutions: the rule of law, the independence of the central bank, and the predictability of policies. These factors made the US dollar a reserve currency." But he added, "In the past three months, these have all become issues. A major concern in the market currently is that the institutional credibility of the US dollar is being eroded." The divergence between US Treasury yields and the US dollar indicates that the market's traditional carry trade pattern has changed significantly in recent years—when expectations about the direction of monetary policy and economic growth were key drivers of government borrowing costs and exchange rate movements. Andreas Koenig, global head of foreign exchange at Allianz Global Investors, said that the new pattern may increase the risks faced by investors seeking safe-haven assets. He said, "This changes everything. In the past few years, holding long positions in the US dollar in a portfolio had been a very good stabilizing factor. When the US dollar was a stabilizing factor, you had a stable portfolio. But if the US dollar suddenly becomes correlated with other asset classes, that increases risk." Open interest data from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission shows that market participants' bearish sentiment toward the US dollar is still far from extreme levels, underscoring that the US dollar may still face significant downward pressure in the future. JPMorgan strategists led by Meera Chandan strengthened their negative view on the US dollar last week, instead recommending bets on the Japanese yen, euro, and Australian dollar. Morgan Stanley also listed the euro, yen, and Swiss franc as the biggest winners from a US dollar decline. Skylar Montgomery Koning, currency strategist at Barclays, said that the US dollar's headwinds may come from further weakness in the bond market, an escalation of trade wars, and weak US data. Paresh Upadhyaya, head of foreign exchange strategy and portfolio manager at Amundi Pioneer Asset Management, expects that the Bloomberg Dollar Index will depreciate by another 10% over the next 12 months. "Capital Tax" Adds Insult to Injury For Goldman Sachs, another major risk that could further exacerbate the outlook for the US dollar is Trump's potential "next move" against foreign enterprises and investors—namely, the "Section 899" of the "Grand Beautiful Bill" mentioned by many market participants last week. As Caixin reported last week, this section would allow the US to impose additional taxes on enterprises and investors from countries deemed to have punitive tax policies. In other words, if a country is identified by the US Treasury Department as engaging in "unfair taxation," entities from that country—including enterprises, residents, and even overseas controlled companies held by these individuals or enterprises—may face higher tax rates on their investments and business activities within the US. Goldman Sachs strategists, including Kamakshya Trivedi and Michael Cahill, wrote in a report that even though the scope of application of this tool is relatively narrow, at a time when investors are already viewing the shift in cross-asset correlations as a reason to avoid US assets and seek greater diversification, such tools will still exacerbate investors' concerns about US investment risks. In another report, Goldman Sachs strategists stated that their models indicate the US dollar is overvalued by about 15%, suggesting there is further downside room. They added that this decline could be driven by the reallocation and repricing of global assets. Goldman Sachs strategists believe that investors should prepare for a weaker US dollar—especially depreciation against the euro, yen, and Swiss franc, which have all appreciated in recent months. They also pointed out that these new risks provide a strong rationale for allocating some funds to gold. Matthew Hornbach, global head of macro strategy at Morgan Stanley, also said in a media interview on Monday, " Investors outside the US are reevaluating their exposure to the US —both in terms of asset holdings and the currency risk exposure associated with these asset holdings. They have increased their hedging ratios, which is one of the factors contributing to downward pressure on the US dollar over the next 12 months." The bank forecasts that the US dollar index will fall by about 9%, reaching 91 by this time next year. Shahab Jalinoos, a strategist at UBS, pointed out, "The greater the policy uncertainty, the more likely investors are to increase their hedging ratios. If hedging ratios increase based on the existing stock of US dollar assets, this could lead to billions of dollars in selling." "
Jun 3, 2025 17:15[UAE largely shielded from US tariffs on steel and aluminium] Despite the 25% US tariffs on steel and aluminium creating global trade uncertainty, the UAE remains mostly unaffected due to its diversified economy, strong export infrastructure, and role as a re-export hub. In 2024, the UAE exported 350,000 tonnes of aluminium to the US, ranking second among suppliers. Although not exempt from tariffs like Canada or Mexico, ongoing political engagement could lead to a bilateral deal, potentially expanding UAE’s market share—especially in aerospace and automotive sectors. The domestic aluminium industry remains competitive, even as the US plans a $1.4 trillion investment in local smelting. On steel, the UAE’s construction sector is largely insulated, with over 3,500 ongoing projects and diversified import sources. Dubai's AED 2.6 billion logistics investment and strategic positioning as a transshipment hub further buffer against trade shocks. Meanwhile, April 2025 saw AED 46 billion in real estate transactions, a 23% monthly rise, driven partly by increased US and Chinese investor interest post-tariffs.
May 30, 2025 16:46From May 19 to 20, the 2025 Global Investors Conference, hosted by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, was held in Shenzhen. Nearly 400 representatives from domestic and overseas exchanges and asset management institutions participated in the event. During interviews, several foreign institutions, including Ningxia Ruiyin Lead Resource Recycling Co., Ltd. {{company}}, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and Mirae Asset Global Investments, expressed that global investors' confidence in the Chinese market is growing, and they are gradually increasing their allocation to Chinese assets. A foreign institution pointed out that over the past few years, the market capitalization of artificial intelligence (AI) and big tech companies in A-shares has been steadily increasing. Comprehensive policy easing is facilitating a revaluation of the Chinese stock market. During this process, overseas investors generally have a positive outlook on the growth potential of companies in sectors related to technology or AI R&D, new consumption, and high-end manufacturing, and they are beginning to further actively deploy capital in these areas. In their view, sustained high-level opening-up, especially in the financial sector, has laid a solid foundation for attracting high-quality overseas long-term capital to China's capital markets, and foreign institutions are also embracing new development opportunities. Some foreign institutions have stated that they will continue to seize the opportunities presented by China's two-way financial opening-up and look forward to further expanding their businesses in areas such as derivatives and ETFs. Global investors' confidence in the Chinese market is growing Recently, through communication with overseas investors, many foreign institutions have sensed that global investors' confidence in the Chinese market is growing. More and more investors are seeking investment opportunities in China, and foreign institutions are gradually increasing their allocation to Chinese assets. "Global investors' confidence in the Chinese market is growing," said Joohee An, Chief Investment Officer of Mirae Asset Global Investments (Hong Kong) Limited. She pointed out that recent technological breakthroughs in AI and robotics in China indicate significant progress in independent technological innovation. This technological breakthrough has boosted the confidence of private enterprises and consumers. Meanwhile, due to the government's continued support for private enterprises, a large number of private enterprises with ample cash flow are expected to expand their capital expenditures and talent recruitment, thereby forming a positive cycle that drives consumption recovery and ultimately improves corporate profits. In addition, compared to the past, China is now better equipped to handle trade frictions with the US. Despite fluctuations in the external environment, the RMB exchange rate has demonstrated greater stability. "Therefore, foreign institutions are gradually increasing their allocation to Chinese assets, expecting limited downside risks to corporate profits and anticipating a market revaluation," said Joohee An. "At the recently concluded Morgan Stanley China BEST Conference, over 80% of investors indicated that they are likely to increase their exposure to Chinese stocks in the near future."Shen Li, Managing Director and Head of China Onshore Equities at Morgan Stanley, said. She observed that overseas markets have recently experienced significant volatility, and global asset allocation is facing a new landscape. Regarding the Chinese market, at the State Council Information Office press conference on May 7, the key leaders of the People's Bank of China, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, and the State Administration of Foreign Exchange implemented a series of "stimulus policy package" measures to stabilize the market from the perspectives of policy hedging, capital hedging, and expectation hedging, significantly boosting the confidence of investors and the market. Offshore investors, particularly long-term capital, have also demonstrated high patience and enthusiasm, with an overall net inflow of capital since Q4 2024. From a survey of Asian fund managers, Wang Wei, CEO of Bank of America China and Head of Fixed Income, Currencies, and Commodities Sales for Greater China, observed that an increasing number of investors are seeking investment opportunities in China, with only 16% of investors exploring other opportunities, down from 26% the previous month, and 10% of investors already fully invested in China. "Market interest in China has rebounded: In the past week, we met with many investors at our 'China Investment Summit' in Shenzhen. The record-breaking attendance at the event demonstrated strong investor interest, with some overseas investors heading to China for the first time in years," Wang Wei said. Many investors praised China's recent policy consistency and clarity and were optimistic about China's continued technological progress. Some investors noted that the confidence of onshore investors and consumers also seems to have recovered to its highest level since 2021. "Through frequent communication with overseas investors, I sense that, whether they are quantitative funds or market makers, some overseas investors hope to better participate in the Chinese market due to needs such as liquidity," said Fang Dongming, Head of China at UBS's Global Financial Markets Division. He added that China's regulators are also actively responding to the concerns of global investors and providing them with practical assistance. He understands that overseas investors are particularly concerned about topics such as the short- to medium-term economic trajectory of China, including the scale of fiscal stimulus, the state of real estate activity, and the pace of consumer spending recovery. Artificial intelligence and related industries (including humanoid/industrial robots, AI glasses, etc.) remain key investment themes of interest to international investors. Comprehensive Policy Easing is Aiding the Revaluation of China's Stock Market When discussing the unique appeal of China's new quality productive forces to overseas long-term capital, many foreign investors mentioned key words such as artificial intelligence, robotics, high value-added, precision manufacturing, innovation, and revaluation. Taking Shen Li as an example, she stated that overseas investors are generally optimistic about the growth potential of companies in sectors related to technology or AI R&D, new consumption, and high-end manufacturing, and have begun to further actively deploy capital in these areas. In Fang Dongming's view, the development of AI and DeepSeek's boost to risk appetite for technology investments are among the narrative changes driving up the valuation of Chinese stocks this year, and have also strongly bolstered the confidence of domestic investors and international investors' attention to the Chinese stock market. Considering that the development of AI is not a short-term process, its impact on profits will gradually manifest over the next two to three years. He believes that in the next phase, A-share listed companies should actively innovate while balancing their core businesses, in response to the regulatory emphasis and calls for exploring the development of new quality productive forces since the introduction of the new "nine guidelines." "We have observed that in recent years, the market capitalization of AI and big tech in A-shares has been continuously increasing. Comprehensive policy easing is helping the Chinese stock market undergo valuation restructuring." "The A-share market has already attained greater strategic importance. From a diversification perspective, Chinese stocks are valued at more than 10% lower than other emerging markets." Fang Dongming stated that in specific industries, some self-reliant and controllable sectors, such as consumer staples, may actually benefit from overseas policy disruptions. China can still provide opportunities for excess returns to its clients globally in many aspects. Joohee An emphasized innovation and high value-added. She believes that in recent years, multinational corporations have been accelerating the implementation of supply chain diversification strategies such as "China + 1." In this context, the significant difference between China and major regions receiving "+1" capacity transfers, such as India and ASEAN, lies in China's ability to deeply integrate disruptive innovative technologies into production processes. "Although low value-added segments of the industry chain will continue to relocate to other countries, more high value-added and precision manufacturing industries are more likely to choose to stay in China due to its unique advantages of high technology, high efficiency, high quality, and high cost-effectiveness." Joohee An pointed out that this trend is particularly evident in emerging fields such as AI, robotics, clean energy, and biotechnology. New Opportunities for Foreign Institutions in China On the one hand, foreign institutions are gradually increasing their allocation of Chinese assets; on the other hand, with the steady advancement of the high-level opening-up of China's capital market, foreign institutions are also embracing new development opportunities in China. "Sustained high-level opening-up, especially in the financial sector, has laid a solid foundation for China's capital market to attract high-quality overseas long-term funds."Ming Fang, the landlord, stated. Ningxia Ruiyin Lead Resource Recycling Co., Ltd. has always been a significant broker participating in A-shares through QFII and the northbound funds of the Shanghai-Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, maintaining a leading position in market share. Ming Fang revealed that, through continuous efforts to enhance trading capabilities and service quality, the company's daily average northbound trading volume via the Shanghai-Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect has increased 12-fold compared to 2017. "Ningxia Ruiyin will continue to seize the opportunities of China's two-way financial opening, promoting more overseas investors to understand the changes in the Chinese market and participate in it to a greater extent," said Ming Fang. On one hand, the company will continue to serve short- and medium-term trading investors well, and on the other hand, it will focus on serving medium- and long-term investment investors, while also looking forward to further developing business in the derivatives and ETF fields. Li Shen also believes that in recent years, the high-level opening of China's capital market has been steadily advancing, with the space for institutional opening of the capital market led by the new "National Nine Articles" continuously expanding, and the attractiveness of the Chinese market to foreign capital has been continuously increasing, bringing new development opportunities for foreign institutions. These opportunities are mainly manifested in: China has continuously introduced high-level institutional opening policies—clearly supporting qualified foreign institutions to establish institutions in China, continuously improving the openness of financial markets, including removing foreign shareholding ratio restrictions, relaxing the entry conditions for foreign institutions and businesses, and expanding the business scope of foreign institutions, thereby continuously expanding the breadth and depth of opening up, allowing foreign capital to enter and stay. At the same time, China has continuously improved and refined the QFII system, and the deepening of the interconnection mechanism has attracted more foreign financial institutions and long-term capital to operate and invest in China. As one of the first QFIIs to enter China in 2003, Morgan Stanley has been continuously investing in the Chinese capital market for over 20 years. In addition to the continuous development and improvement of the QFII/RQFII system, the launch of the interconnection mechanism 10 years ago has provided overseas investors with a more convenient way to participate in the Chinese capital market. "We see that the relevant systems are still in the process of continuous optimization and deepening, providing more convenient conditions for attracting more long-term and patient capital," said Li Shen. She observed from a micro level that exchanges have also been continuously improving the management of trading rules and trading behaviors in recent years, with the overall idea of "seeking benefits and avoiding harm, highlighting fairness, strict supervision, and standardized development," injecting more transparency and fairness into the market, which has laid a solid foundation for foreign institutions to make long-term arrangements in the Chinese market.
May 21, 2025 10:36After the Indonesian government increased taxes and fees in the mining sector, mining companies warned of declining profits, which could lead to production cuts. The Indonesian government announced last weekend that it would raise royalty rates for minerals such as nickel, coal, copper, and gold. Among them, nickel saw the largest increase, with rates rising from a fixed 10% to a range of 14% to 19%, depending on the market price of nickel. Nickel is a crucial raw material for lithium-ion batteries and one of the essential green metals for achieving the global energy transition. It is also an important raw material for stainless steel production. Indonesia is the world's largest nickel producer, currently accounting for over half of the global supply. With the Indonesian authorities increasing mining taxes and fees, several mining giants, including Vale and Freeport-McMoRan, will be affected. "This is an additional burden, especially during a period of low commodity prices," said Hendra Sinadia, executive director of the Indonesia Mining Association, commenting on the government's new policy. Sinadia pointed out that operating costs would rise, and profits would be impacted. He added, "Some companies may have to reduce production or even close mines." As a pillar of Indonesia's economy, commodities are a significant driver of economic growth. In particular, the nickel industry has seen rapid development in recent years, attracting record foreign investment. However, Indonesian nickel producers are facing challenges due to persistently low nickel prices, caused by slowing global demand for electric vehicles and an oversupply of nickel in Indonesia. In addition, nickel producers must also cope with rising costs from other recent regulations in Indonesia. According to mining companies, this year's cost increases have also been influenced by higher VAT rates and the requirement to use more biodiesel as fuel. Since March this year, Indonesia has also required natural resource exporters to retain more overseas earnings in the country for at least one year to boost foreign exchange reserves and stabilize the rupiah's exchange rate, which is currently near historic lows. The Indonesian Nickel Miners Association stated that raising taxes and fees amid falling nickel prices and escalating global trade wars is "extremely ill-timed." In a statement, the association said, "Increasing royalties may weaken investor interest in the upstream and downstream nickel industries, reduce the competitiveness of Indonesian nickel products in the global market, compress profits, and lead to significant layoffs." A senior nickel industry executive pointed out that miners without their own processing facilities will be the most affected. He said they might pass on higher costs to smelters, impacting the entire supply chain.
Apr 30, 2025 08:59From mining giants to energy giants, a growing number of major companies are beginning to embrace "white hydrogen," or naturally occurring hydrogen gas. As interest in the potential of this resource continues to rise, supporters believe that white hydrogen has the potential to completely reshape the global energy landscape. Like fossil fuels, white hydrogen is a naturally occurring gas found beneath the Earth's surface. This long-overlooked resource was accidentally discovered in Mali, Africa, about 40 years ago. Since pure hydrogen contains no carbon, its combustion produces only gaseous water. In recent years, investor interest in the emerging natural hydrogen industry has surged. Over the past year, several major companies have begun to support the sector, including mining giant Rio Tinto, Fortescue Metals Group, Gazprom, BP Ventures (the venture capital arm of BP), and Breakthrough Energy Ventures, founded by Bill Gates. According to a research report by consulting firm Rystad Energy, natural hydrogen exploration is currently underway in multiple countries worldwide, with Canada and the US leading in the number of projects over the past year. Analysts expect this year to be a pivotal one, with industry insiders hoping to locate this rare gas through exploration activities as soon as possible. However, not everyone is convinced of natural hydrogen's potential as a clean energy source. Critics have pointed out potential environmental issues and distribution challenges. The International Energy Agency (IEA) has warned that natural hydrogen "may be too dispersed to be extracted in an economically viable way." Minh Khoi Le, head of hydrogen research at Rystad Energy, said it is currently difficult to predict whether natural hydrogen will deliver on its promises by 2025. "I think last year was when the natural hydrogen sector truly became interesting, as many companies began planning drilling and extraction tests, and major players started to join in," he said. "However, progress has been relatively slow since then, with only a handful of companies actually starting drilling." Le, who last year described the global race for natural hydrogen as a "white gold rush," said that despite no major breakthroughs in the past 12 months, the growing investor interest could lead to meaningful outcomes. Le told the media, "Now, we are starting to see some companies securing investments to fund their drilling projects. Therefore, if we want to know whether 'natural hydrogen is viable,' we may get preliminary answers this year." Hydrogen has long been considered one of the key potential energy sources for the energy transition. Currently, most hydrogen is still produced by burning coal and natural gas, a process known as "gray hydrogen," which generates significant greenhouse gas emissions. If carbon capture technology is added, the resulting hydrogen is called "blue hydrogen." Hydrogen produced using renewable energy is called "green hydrogen." However, the development of green hydrogen has been severely hindered by high costs and an unfavorable economic environment. In August last year, Australia's HyTerra announced it had secured a $21.9 million investment from Fortescue Metals Group, which will be used to expand its exploration projects. A Fortescue spokesperson said the company's foray into natural hydrogen aligns with its strategic commitment to "explore zero-emission fuels." Fortescue also acknowledged that more work is needed to fully assess the emissions profile of natural hydrogen but described the technology as a "promising opportunity to accelerate industrial decarbonization." Meanwhile, earlier in the year, BP Ventures, the venture capital arm of BP, led the Series A funding round for UK-based natural hydrogen startup Snowfox Discovery. French startup Mantle8 also recently secured a €3.4 million seed funding round, with Breakthrough Energy Ventures, founded by Bill Gates, among the investors. Eric Toone, chief technology officer of Breakthrough Energy Ventures, said the fund supports Mantle8 and US startup Koloma because the potential of natural hydrogen could "usher in a new era of clean, localized energy." Toone also said, "Hydrogen itself is pure reaction energy. If we have enough of it and it's cheap enough, we can do almost anything. We can make metals, produce fuels, and even manufacture food, all with far fewer emissions than traditional methods." "We know that natural hydrogen is widespread, not just sporadically distributed. Early exploration has already discovered natural hydrogen on six continents. The current challenge is how to extract it efficiently, transport it safely, and establish systems to utilize it," he said. Aurian Durbuis, an executive at Mantle8, said that from a venture capital perspective, the momentum is indeed growing. "Interest is definitely increasing, especially considering the current challenges in the green hydrogen sector. People are starting to look at other solutions, which works in our favor," he said. "The question is whether we can find exploitable reservoirs—using oil and gas industry terminology. That's the problem the entire industry needs to solve," Durbuis said. "We expect to drill in 2028 and hope for an 'Euclid moment' by then. If we can find high-concentration, high-pressure hydrogen, everything will change." However, the Hydrogen Science Coalition, an industry organization, said that natural hydrogen exploration is still in its "infancy," and even so, the likelihood of large-scale discoveries of exploitable, high-purity hydrogen remains "relatively slim." Arnout Everts, a scientist and member of the coalition, pointed out, "If we use the US shale gas revolution as an analogy, even if large-scale discoveries are made in the future, it could take decades to achieve industrial-scale production." The organization warned that the hype surrounding natural hydrogen could divert attention from the urgent need for renewable hydrogen, which is crucial for current industrial decarbonization efforts.
Apr 29, 2025 08:40After the US government launched a full-scale trade war, global financial markets were in turmoil. However, it was unexpected that the Russian ruble became the best-performing currency globally this year, with its gains far surpassing those of gold, a traditional safe-haven asset. Data shows that, year-to-date, the Russian ruble has risen by 38% against the US dollar in over-the-counter trading. The US dollar faces significant pressure due to escalating tariff wars initiated by US President Trump, while the ruble is supported by several Russia-specific factors, including record-high interest rates. Other emerging market currencies often face a common issue: when the global economy is unstable or investors perceive excessive risk, many foreign investors withdraw funds from these countries. However, the ruble does not face such capital outflow pressures. Sofya Donets, an economist at T-Investments, stated, "Capital controls have largely protected Russia from this situation, and high borrowing costs are also supporting the ruble exchange rate." Although a series of sanctions by Western countries remain in place, certain domestic policies and economic conditions in Russia are also contributing to the ruble's appreciation. This situation is undoubtedly good news for controlling inflation, but it may reduce energy revenues at a time when the country is making large-scale expenditures for military needs and social programs. Persistent inflation has forced the Russian central bank to maintain an extremely hawkish monetary policy stance—the benchmark interest rate currently stands at 21% and has remained unchanged for several months. This has suppressed demand for imported goods, thereby reducing the need for foreign currency. Meanwhile, exporters are required to sell a portion of their foreign exchange earnings in the local market, further driving the ruble's appreciation. Of course, signs of a thaw in US policy toward Russia have reignited the ruble's appeal in carry trades. Iskander Lutsko, Head of Research and Portfolio Management at Istar Capital, noted that despite the ongoing sanction risks, foreign investors are still turning to countries that maintain good relations with Russia to access high-yielding ruble assets. Lutsko added that, beyond this, Russian companies are eager to use much cheaper yuan loans to refinance costly domestic debt, which is driving more foreign currency conversion into rubles. At the same time, the US dollar index has fallen to a six-month low, as Trump's latest unpredictability on tariff policies has heightened investor unease about US assets and weakened confidence in the US dollar and Treasury bonds as the ultimate risk-free safe havens. Anticipating more turbulence and uncertainty ahead, traders are selling US dollar assets and buying gold instead. The precious metal has risen by 23% since the beginning of the year, reaching a historic high. Economists point out that the ruble's strength is multifaceted. First, the thaw in relations between Putin and Trump has boosted confidence in the Russian market. Second, tight monetary policy is cooling demand for imports among businesses and consumers. Third, the Russian government is protecting the economy from falling oil prices by selling hard currency from its sovereign wealth fund. Another dramatic point is that Russia will be immune to Trump's tariff policies, as the two sides have long severed almost all trade ties. Notably, since June 13, 2024, dollar trading on the Moscow Exchange has been suspended due to sanctions, shifting related trading activities to the over-the-counter market. This has increased the complexity of price discovery and led to a gap between domestic and international prices. The Russian central bank stated that the ruble's appreciation may be due to improved geopolitical conditions and renewed investor interest in Russian assets. The report also noted that Russia's relatively high benchmark interest rate could be another factor.
Apr 16, 2025 08:52Macro News 1. The Central Peripheral Work Conference was held in Beijing from April 8 to 9. Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the CPC Central Committee, President of the State, and Chairman of the Central Military Commission, attended the meeting and delivered an important speech. The meeting emphasized the need to build a community with a shared future with neighboring countries, consolidate strategic mutual trust, support regional countries in stabilizing their own development paths, and properly manage contradictions and differences; deepen development integration, build a high-level interconnected network, and strengthen cooperation in the industry chain and supply chain. 2. The State Council Information Office released a white paper titled "China's Position on Several Issues in China-US Economic and Trade Relations" on April 9, clarifying the facts of China-US economic and trade relations and expounding China's policy stance on related issues. The white paper is divided into six parts, in addition to the preface and conclusion: the essence of China-US economic and trade relations is mutual benefit and win-win; China has earnestly implemented the first phase of the China-US economic and trade agreement; the US has violated the obligations of the first phase of the China-US economic and trade agreement; China practices the concept of free trade and earnestly abides by WTO rules; unilateralism and protectionism harm the development of bilateral economic and trade relations; China and the US can resolve economic and trade differences through equal dialogue and mutually beneficial cooperation. 3. The Customs Tariff Commission of the State Council issued an announcement yesterday, stating that from 12:01 on April 10, the additional tariff rate on all imports originating from the US will be increased from 34% to 84%. 4. Li Qiang, Member of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Premier of the State Council, presided over a symposium with economic experts and entrepreneurs on the afternoon of April 9. Li Qiang emphasized the need to implement more proactive and effective macro policies, push forward with the implementation of established policies as soon as possible, and introduce new incremental policies in a timely manner according to the situation, to effectively respond to the uncertainty of the external environment with powerful and effective policies. 5. EU member states voted on April 9 to pass the first round of countermeasures against US tariffs, imposing tariffs of up to 25% on a range of US products. This round of countermeasures mainly targets US steel and aluminum tariffs. 6. The Ministry of Commerce issued an announcement yesterday, adding 12 US entities to the export control list. The 12 US entities have engaged in activities that may endanger China's national security and interests, and the export of dual-use items to them is prohibited. The Ministry of Commerce also added six US companies, including Shield AI, to the unreliable entity list. The Ministry of Commerce stated that China has always handled the issue of the unreliable entity list prudently, targeting only a very small number of foreign entities that endanger China's national security in accordance with the law, and that foreign entities that are honest and law-abiding have no need to worry. 7. A relevant official from the Ministry of Commerce answered reporters' questions on the white paper "China's Position on Several Issues in China-US Economic and Trade Relations". The Ministry of Commerce stated that if the US insists on further escalating economic and trade restrictions, China will accompany it to the end; China is willing to communicate with the US on important issues in the economic and trade field between the two countries and resolve their respective concerns through equal dialogue and consultation. 8. Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Lin Jian presided over a regular press conference yesterday. A reporter asked about the US imposing a 104% tariff on China. Lin Jian said that China will continue to take resolute and forceful measures to safeguard its legitimate rights and interests. A reporter asked how China would respond to the latest US tariffs on China. Lin Jian said that if the US really wants to resolve the issue through dialogue and negotiation, it should adopt an attitude of equality, respect, and mutual benefit. If the US insists on waging a tariff war and trade war, China will accompany it to the end. Industry News 1. The Ministry of Commerce responded to the US issuance of an administrative order to delay TikTok, stating that the Chinese government has always respected and protected the legitimate rights and interests of enterprises, created a first-class business environment that is market-oriented, law-based, and internationalized, and opposed practices that ignore the laws of the market economy, forcibly seize, and harm the legitimate rights and interests of enterprises. 2. Recently, the Beijing State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission held a symposium with listed companies controlled by municipal enterprises. The meeting pointed out that it supports high-quality listed companies in implementing industry chain integration and supports the further concentration of high-quality resources of municipal state-owned enterprises to controlled listed companies. The meeting required that state-owned shareholders increase their holdings of stocks in accordance with market principles and laws and regulations in a timely manner, and that listed companies with the conditions plan to implement stock repurchases to effectively maintain the market value of listed companies. 3. The Guangdong Transportation Industry Computing Power Center was inaugurated in Shaoguan City on April 9, marking a key progress in the construction of the digital foundation of the Guangdong transportation industry. The center is built according to the national A-level computer room standard, with 638 standard cabinets planned to be deployed, and 324 cabinets completed in the first phase. 4. On April 9, Shenzhen real estate agency Leyoujia, in cooperation with a new housing project Wealth City, launched the "trade-in" 3.0 version. It is understood that this event supports the participation of customers from different places, without restricting the city where the "old house" is located. At the same time, a "sell old" subsidy was also provided. 5. The China National Coal Association released the "2024 Annual Report on the Development of the Coal Industry". The report shows that the national raw coal production in 2024 reached 4.78 billion mt, up 1.2% YoY; coal imports were 543 million mt, up 14.4% YoY. The report analyzes that the supply and demand of the coal market this year will remain relatively balanced and shift to a looser state. 6. The official WeChat official account of the Organization Department of the Zhejiang Provincial Committee, "Zhejiang Zuzhi", released a post previewing the latest session of the artificial intelligence special training course. According to the preview, the course will start on the evening of the 10th, and Xingxing Wang, founder, CEO, and CTO of Unitree Technology, will share "The Current Situation and Development Trends of the Robotics Industry". Before Wang Xingxing, the heads or relevant responsible persons of the "Hangzhou Six Dragons" have been invited to give special lectures to Zhejiang cadres. 7. Recently, due to the deterioration of China-US economic and trade relations and the domestic security situation in the US, the Ministry of Culture and Tourism reminded Chinese tourists to fully assess the risks of traveling to the US and to be cautious about heading to the US. 8. The Ministry of Commerce, the National Health Commission, and 12 other departments issued the "Special Action Plan to Promote Healthy Consumption". It mentioned vigorously developing the sports tourism industry and continuously increasing the supply of high-quality sports consumption. Accelerate the promotion and application of smart therapy technology and promote qualified artificial intelligence products to enter clinical trials. 9. The US state of Ohio passed a higher education bill, which includes negative clauses related to China, imposing restrictions on educational exchanges and cooperation between Chinese and US universities. The Ministry of Education reminded the majority of students studying abroad to make a safety risk assessment when choosing to study in relevant US states recently and to enhance their awareness of prevention. Company News 1. Midea Group announced that it repurchased 1.7203 million shares for the first time, involving 120 million yuan. 2. It was learned from China Huadian Corporation that the listed companies controlled by China Huadian will adhere to the establishment of a normalized stock repurchase and increase mechanism and promote the merger and reorganization of Huadian International. 3. Ganfeng Lithium announced that it plans to authorize the board of directors to repurchase the company's A-shares and H-shares. 4. Guotai Junan announced that it plans to repurchase 1 billion to 2 billion yuan of the company's A-shares. 5. China Galaxy announced that its Q1 net profit is expected to increase by 70%-90% YoY. 6. Zhongtian Technology announced that its controlling subsidiary won multiple domestic and overseas marine energy projects, with a total winning bid of 2.499 billion yuan. 7. Quectel announced that its Q1 net profit is expected to increase by about 265% YoY. 8. NationalChip announced that the new ultra-high-performance cloud security chip product based on RISC-V architecture multi-core CPU R&D has successfully passed internal testing. 9. Yankuang Energy announced that its controlling shareholder, Shandong Energy, promised not to actively reduce its holdings of the company's shares within 12 months and will increase its holdings at an opportune time to maintain stable market value. 10. Dongshan Precision announced that it plans to use self-raised funds to repurchase 100 million to 200 million yuan of the company's shares for employee stock ownership plans or equity incentives. 11. Rongsheng Petrochemical announced that its controlling shareholder plans to increase its holdings of the company's shares by 1 billion to 2 billion yuan. 12. Nuotai Biotech announced that it has reached a strategic cooperation with Middle Eastern pharmaceutical company Julphar to supply semaglutide API. 13. Goertek announced that the chairman proposed to repurchase 500 million to 1 billion yuan of the company's shares. 14. Sichuan Changhong announced that the chairman proposed to repurchase 250 million to 500 million yuan of shares. 15. Zhongtai Securities announced that the chairman proposed to repurchase 300 million to 500 million yuan of the company's A-shares. 16. Shandong Hi-Speed announced that the chairman proposed to repurchase 200 million to 300 million yuan of the company's shares to reduce registered capital. 17. Weichai Power announced that the chairman proposed to repurchase 500 million to 1 billion yuan of the company's shares and cancel them. 18. Xunjiexing announced that it plans to acquire 100% equity of Shenzhen Jiazhi Hong Electronics Co., Ltd., and the stock will resume trading today. 19. Shandong Gold announced that its controlling shareholder and its concerted parties plan to increase their holdings of the company's shares by 500 million to 1 billion yuan. 20. Star-net Ruijie announced that its Q1 net profit is expected to increase by 212%-298% YoY. 21. Focus Media announced that it plans to acquire 100% equity of Xinchao Media, with a pre-estimated value of 8.3 billion yuan. 22. CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering announced that it received new orders of 12.502 billion yuan in Q1, completing 71.64% of the annual plan. Global Markets 1. US President Trump said that he has authorized a 90-day tariff suspension for countries that do not take retaliatory actions. 2. The three major US stock indices closed sharply higher, with the Nasdaq up 12.16%, the largest single-day percentage gain since January 3, 2001, and the second-largest record gain; the S&P 500 up 9.52%, the largest single-day percentage gain since October 28, 2008; and the Dow up 7.87%. Large technology stocks rose sharply, with Tesla up more than 22%, Nvidia up more than 18%, and Apple up more than 15%. International oil prices rose sharply, with US oil and Brent crude futures settlement prices up more than 4%. International gold prices rose, with spot gold once breaking through $3,095, up 3.75%, the largest intraday gain since 2020. Investment Opportunity Reference 1. The Shanghai State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission issued opinions on the market value management of state-owned enterprises, and institutions said that it will deepen the revaluation of state-owned assets According to media reports, the Shanghai State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission issued several opinions on strengthening the market value management of state-controlled listed companies in our city. The "Opinions" support regulatory enterprises and listed companies in using various market value management policies and tools from six aspects: mergers and acquisitions, stock repurchase and increase, investor returns, incentive and restraint mechanisms, information disclosure, and investor relations management. Subsequently, the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission will focus on the implementation of the "Opinions", guide regulatory enterprises and listed companies in using market value management tools, actively respond to market concerns, protect investor interests, and promote the landing of a number of representative projects with market-oriented and law-based principles, demonstrating the exemplary and leading role of Shanghai's state-owned assets and enterprises. Market value management will deepen the revaluation of state-owned assets and help related main businesses to further grow and strengthen. CICC said that considering the important position of central and state-owned enterprises in the national economy and capital markets, in the context of deepening state-owned enterprise reform and capital market reform, the relevant systems around the market value management of central and state-owned enterprises are expected to continue to improve, and the motivation of central and state-owned enterprises to practice market value management is also expected to continue to strengthen. It is recommended to pay attention to the allocation value of the theme of market value management of central and state-owned enterprises. 2. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued a document to coordinate the promotion of the formulation of standards for emerging industries, and institutions said that the industry is in a period of rapid development According to media reports, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued a notice on the key points of industrial and information technology standardization work in 2025. The notice proposed to continuously improve the standard system construction of emerging industries and prospectively lay out future industry standard research. Improve the fifth-generation mobile communication (5G) standard system and promote the formulation of intelligent terminal standards such as 5G lightweight, 5G millimeter wave, and Tiantong satellite functions.Optimize and improve standards for new-generation information technologies such as cloud computing, big data, blockchain, and BeiDou navigation, coordinate the formulation of standards for basic general, key technologies, product services, industry applications, and security governance of new-generation information technologies, and help break through a batch of new-generation information technology application products for integrated applications. Jianghai Securities stated that currently, the global low-orbit satellite internet has formed a competitive landscape of "one superpower and multiple strong players." Driven by national policies, technological advancements, and market demand, the satellite internet industry is in a period of rapid development, with broad prospects for future growth, and continues to be optimistic about investment opportunities in this industry. In Q1, the import and export cargo volume of the China-Europe Railway Express increased by 4% YoY. In Q1 of this year, the import and export cargo volume of the Zhejiang China-Europe Railway Express reached 63,000 TEUs, up 4% YoY. Currently, the Zhejiang China-Europe Railway Express has opened 25 operating routes, covering more than 160 cities in over 50 countries and regions. In recent years, the advantages of the China-Europe Railway Express, such as convenience, speed, safety, stability, and green and low-carbon, have been continuously consolidated, making it a widely popular international public product, with the number of trains maintaining a strong growth trend. Data from the China State Railway Group shows that in 2024, the China-Europe Railway Express operated 19,392 trains, up 10.7% YoY, and carried 2,077,216 TEUs, up 9.2% YoY. By November 2024, the cumulative number of trains operated by the China-Europe Railway Express had exceeded 100,000. Against the backdrop of the Trump administration's announcement in April to impose "reciprocal tariffs" globally, China and the EU face common trade pressures, and the necessity of cooperation between the two sides has significantly increased. Data from Eurostat shows that China and the EU are important trading partners, with bilateral trade exceeding 730 billion euros in 2024, supporting employment for about 3 million people in the EU and 6 million people in China. Former WTO Director-General Lamy pointed out that China and the EU should work together to revise and improve the rules. The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council stated on the 8th that it will fully support and promote central state-owned enterprises and their publicly listed firms to take proactive actions, continuously increase the intensity of share buybacks and repurchases, effectively safeguard the rights and interests of all shareholders, continuously consolidate market confidence in listed companies, strive to enhance company value, and fully demonstrate the responsibility and commitment of central state-owned enterprises. On the same day, China Electronics Corporation announced that, based on confidence in the long-term positive outlook of the Chinese economy and firm optimism about the prospects of the capital market, it will promote the strengthening of market value management and high-quality development of its listed companies through measures such as repurchases, share buybacks, and technology mergers and acquisitions. Currently, China Electronics Corporation has formed an industrial layout covering the entire chain, including chip design (Phytium), operating systems (Kylin), and network security (Qi An Xin). The technology team of Zhongtai Securities pointed out that as a state-owned key enterprise directly managed by the central government and focused on the network information industry, China Electronics Corporation has actively promoted mixed-ownership reform in recent years, especially in key core assets, and the company possesses rich industrial resources and strong R&D capabilities, with a large number of high-quality core technology assets and targets. Under the background of encouraging listed companies to inject high-quality technology assets and deepening state-owned enterprise reform, it is expected to play a leading role.
Apr 10, 2025 08:57