In May 2026, the European Union adopted a series of restrictive measures against China in the new energy sector, several of which are directly related to the photovoltaic and energy storage supply chains. In this situation, how will the European's solar market goes...?

[SMM Steel] Vietnam’s Vnsteel has inaugurated a new warehouse facility in Khanh Hoa province as part of its strategy to strengthen logistics and distribution in the South Central region. The company said the project will improve supply efficiency for distributors, contractors, and infrastructure projects while reducing delivery times and transportation costs. Vnsteel currently operates steel production facilities with combined capacity exceeding 1 million mt per year and a deep-water port system capable of handling vessels up to 50,000 dwt.

The NBS Service Industry Survey Center and the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing released China's PMI for April today. The manufacturing PMI continued to operate in expansion territory after rebounding into expansion territory in March, indicating that the manufacturing sector maintained a generally stable level of prosperity and continued its favorable operating trend. In April, China's manufacturing PMI was 50.3%, down 0.1 percentage points MoM, operating in expansion territory for the second consecutive month. China's PMI Performance in April 2026 I. China's Manufacturing PMI Performance In April, the manufacturing PMI stood at 50.3%, down 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, with the manufacturing prosperity level remaining generally stable. By enterprise size, the PMI for large enterprises was 50.2%, down 1.4 percentage points MoM but still above the threshold; the PMIs for medium and small enterprises were 50.5% and 50.1% respectively, up 1.5 and 0.8 percentage points MoM, both above the threshold. By sub-indices, among the five sub-indices constituting the manufacturing PMI, the production index and new orders index were both above the threshold, while the raw material inventory index, employment index, and supplier delivery time index were all below the threshold. The production index was 51.5%, up 0.1 percentage points MoM, indicating that manufacturing production activity accelerated somewhat. The new orders index was 50.6%, down 1 percentage points MoM but still above the threshold, indicating that manufacturing market demand maintained expansion. The raw material inventory index was 49.3%, up 1.6 percentage points MoM, indicating that the decline in major raw material inventory in manufacturing narrowed significantly. The employment index was 48.8%, up 0.2 percentage points MoM, indicating a rebound in the employment prosperity level of manufacturing enterprises. The supplier delivery time index was 49.5%, unchanged from the previous month and below the threshold, indicating that delivery times of raw material suppliers in manufacturing continued to lengthen MoM. II. China's Non-Manufacturing PMI Performance In April, the non-manufacturing business activity index was 49.4%, down 0.7 percentage points from the previous month, with the non-manufacturing prosperity level declining somewhat. By sector, the construction business activity index was 48.0%, down 1.3 percentage points MoM; the services business activity index was 49.6%, down 0.6 percentage points MoM. Within the services sector, industries such as railway transportation, postal services, and telecommunications, broadcasting, television, and satellite transmission services all had business activity indices above the relatively high prosperity zone of 55.0%; industries such as wholesale, retail, and resident services all had business activity indices below the threshold. The new orders index was 44.3%, down 0.7 percentage points MoM, indicating a decline in non-manufacturing market demand. By sector, the construction new orders index was 41.6%, down 1.9 percentage points MoM; the services new orders index was 44.8%, down 0.5 percentage points MoM. The input price index was 51.7%, down 0.6 percentage points MoM but still above the critical point, indicating that input prices for non-manufacturing business activities continued to rise overall. By sector, the construction input price index was 54.9%, up 2.2 percentage points MoM; the services input price index was 51.2%, down 1 percentage points MoM. The selling price index was 48.1%, down 1.8 percentage points MoM, indicating an overall decline in non-manufacturing enterprise selling prices. By sector, the construction selling price index was 49.0%, down 0.3 percentage points MoM; the services selling price index was 47.9%, down 2.1 percentage points MoM. The employment index was 45.5%, up 0.3 percentage points MoM, indicating improved employment conditions in non-manufacturing enterprises. By sector, the construction employment index was 39.6%, up 0.5 percentage points MoM; the services employment index was 46.5%, up 0.3 percentage points MoM. The business activity expectations index was 54.7%, up 0.5 percentage points MoM, indicating strengthened confidence among non-manufacturing enterprises in market development. By sector, the construction business activity expectations index was 50.5%, unchanged MoM; the services business activity expectations index was 55.4%, up 0.6 percentage points MoM. III. China Composite PMI Output Index In April, the composite PMI output index was 50.1%, down 0.4 percentage points MoM but above the critical point, indicating that China's enterprise production and business activities continued to expand overall. Manufacturing PMI Remained in Expansion Territory in April — Interpretation of China's April 2026 PMI by Huo Lihui, Chief Statistician of the NBS Service Industry Survey Center On April 30, 2026, the NBS Service Industry Survey Center and the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing released China's PMI. Huo Lihui, Chief Statistician of the NBS Service Industry Survey Center, provided an interpretation. In April, the manufacturing PMI was 50.3%, slightly lower than the previous month by 0.1 percentage points, remaining in expansion territory; the non-manufacturing business activity index was 49.4%, down 0.7 percentage points MoM; the composite PMI output index was 50.1%, down 0.4 percentage points MoM but still above the critical point, with China's overall economic output maintaining expansion. I. Manufacturing PMI Remained above the Critical Point for Two Consecutive Months In April, the manufacturing PMI was 50.3%, with the overall prosperity level remaining stable and the manufacturing sector sustaining a sound operating trend. (I) Both production and demand continued to expand. The production index was 51.5% and the new orders index was 50.6%, both remaining above the critical point, indicating that manufacturing production and market demand stayed in expansion. By industry, the production and new orders indices for railway, shipbuilding, aerospace equipment, electrical machinery and equipment, and computer, communication and electronic equipment sectors were all at or above 53.0%, with production and demand in these industries being released at a faster pace; the two indices for petroleum, coal and other fuel processing, and chemical raw materials and chemical products sectors were both below the critical point, indicating relatively weak market activity. Driven by continued expansion in production and demand, enterprise purchase willingness further strengthened, with the purchasing volume index at 51.1%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month. (II) PMIs for large, medium and small enterprises all remained in expansion territory. The PMI for large enterprises was 50.2%, staying above the critical point for five consecutive months; PMIs for medium and small enterprises were 50.5% and 50.1% respectively, up 1.5 and 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, both rising into expansion territory with prosperity levels rebounding notably. (III) Three key industries sustained expansion. PMIs for high-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing were 52.2% and 51.8% respectively, up 0.1 and 0.3 percentage points from the previous month, with these industries maintaining a positive development trend; the PMI for consumer goods industries was 50.7%, remaining in expansion territory. The PMI for high energy-consuming industries was 47.9%, down 1 percentage point from the previous month, with the prosperity level pulling back. (IV) Price indices fluctuated at highs. Affected by recent high-level fluctuations in some bulk commodity prices, the raw material purchase price index and ex-factory price index were 63.7% and 55.1% respectively, remaining at highs in recent years, with the overall price level in the manufacturing market rising notably. By industry, both price indices for petroleum, coal and other fuel processing, and chemical raw materials and chemical products sectors remained above 70.0% for two consecutive months, with raw material procurement prices and product selling prices in these industries continuing to rise. (V) Market expectations continued to strengthen. The business activity expectations index was 54.5%, up 1.1 percentage points from the previous month, rebounding for three consecutive months, indicating that manufacturing enterprises' confidence in near-term market development continued to strengthen. By industry, the business activity expectations indices for food, beverages and refined tea, automobile, and railway, shipbuilding and aerospace equipment sectors were all in the relatively high prosperity zone above 58.0%, with enterprises in these industries being more optimistic about industry development. II. Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index Pulled Back In April, the non-manufacturing business activity index was 49.4%, down 0.7 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a pullback in non-manufacturing prosperity. (1) Service sector prosperity pulled back. The service sector business activity index was 49.6%, down 0.6 percentage points from the previous month. By industry, the business activity indices for railway transportation, postal services, and telecommunications, radio, television and satellite transmission services were all in the relatively high prosperity range above 55.0%, with rapid growth in total business volume; the business activity indices for wholesale, retail, and resident services were all below the critical point, indicating weak market activity. In terms of market expectations, the service sector business activity expectations index was 55.4%, up 0.6 percentage points from the previous month, rising into the relatively high prosperity range above 55.0%, indicating that service sector enterprises had strengthened confidence in future market development. (2) Construction sector prosperity remained weak. The construction sector business activity index was 48.0%, down 1.3 percentage points from the previous month, with prosperity pulling back. In terms of market expectations, the construction sector business activity expectations index was 50.5%, unchanged from the previous month, indicating that construction enterprises maintained stable expectations for near-term industry development. III. Composite PMI Output Index Remained in Expansion In April, the composite PMI output index was 50.1%, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating that overall production and business activities of China's enterprises continued to expand. The manufacturing production index and non-manufacturing business activity index, which constitute the composite PMI output index, were 51.5% and 49.4%, respectively.

First, multi-material indexation has become normal practice in domestic cell pricing. However, passing these costs through to project owners is far from smooth. Second, the adjustment cycle in overseas markets is shortening. Yet even a lithium-carbonate-only linkage faces resistance at the owner level. Third, cost pressure is concentrating heavily at the integration stage.

[Strait of Hormuz Passage Blocked, Hyundai Motor Adjusts Global Shipping Routes] Due to the blockage of passage through the Strait of Hormuz, Hyundai Motor is arranging cargo ships to reroute around Africa to bypass the Strait of Hormuz. Hyundai Motor CEO José Muñoz said in a recent interview: "Our transport vessels have been rerouted via the Cape of Good Hope, which will significantly extend delivery times." He said the route adjustment was part of the company's efforts to restructure its operational layout, aimed at withstanding supply chain shocks and geopolitical risks. In the long term, the company is seeking to source more parts locally in Europe, reducing its reliance on shipping routes from South Korea through the Strait of Hormuz.

The operating rate of secondary copper rod in March 2026 was 14.25%, below the expected 16.26%, up 6.27 percentage points MoM and down 25.93 percentage points YoY. In March, China's secondary copper rod market struggled under multiple pressures including wild swings in copper prices, deepening industrial fiscal and tax policy reforms, and structural tightness in raw material supply, failing to exhibit the traditional seasonal recovery

On March 31, 2026, the Service Industry Survey Center of the National Bureau of Statistics and the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing released China’s PMI. In response, Huo Lihui, Chief Statistician of the Service Industry Survey Center of the National Bureau of Statistics, provided an interpretation. In March, the manufacturing PMI, the non-manufacturing business activity index, and the composite PMI output index all returned to expansion territory, registering 50.4%, 50.1%, and 50.5%, respectively, up 1.4, 0.6, and 1 percentage points MoM, indicating a rebound in the level of economic prosperity in China. China PMI Performance in March 2026 I. Performance of China’s Manufacturing PMI In March, the manufacturing PMI stood at 50.4%, up 1.4 percentage points MoM and above the threshold, indicating a rebound in the prosperity level of the manufacturing sector. By enterprise size, the PMI of large enterprises was 51.6%, up 0.1 percentage points MoM and above the threshold; the PMI of medium-sized and small enterprises was 49.0% and 49.3%, respectively, up 1.5 and 4.5 percentage points MoM, but still below the threshold. By sub-index, among the five sub-indices comprising the manufacturing PMI, the production index and the new orders index were both above the threshold, while the raw material inventory index, the employment index, and the supplier delivery time index were all below the threshold. The production index was 51.4%, up 1.8 percentage points MoM, indicating faster manufacturing production activity. The new orders index was 51.6%, up 3.0 percentage points MoM, indicating a marked improvement in the prosperity level of market demand in the manufacturing sector. The raw material inventory index was 47.7%, up 0.2 percentage points MoM, indicating that the decline in inventories of major raw materials in the manufacturing sector narrowed somewhat. The employment index was 48.6%, up 0.6 percentage points MoM, indicating a rebound in the employment climate of manufacturing enterprises. The supplier delivery time index was 49.5%, up 0.4 percentage points MoM and below the threshold, indicating that delivery times of raw material suppliers in the manufacturing sector lengthened compared with the previous month. II. Performance of China’s Non-Manufacturing PMI In March, the non-manufacturing business activity index was 50.1%, up 0.6 percentage points MoM and above the threshold, indicating some improvement in the prosperity level of the non-manufacturing sector. By industry, the business activity index of the construction sector was 49.3%, up 1.1 percentage points MoM; the business activity index of the services sector was 50.2%, up 0.5 percentage points MoM. From the perspective of the services sector, the business activity index for industries such as railway transportation, telecommunications, radio, television and satellite transmission services, monetary and financial services, and insurance all remained in the relatively high expansion territory above 55.0%; the business activity index for industries such as retail, accommodation, catering, and real estate all stayed below the critical point. The new orders index was 45.0%, down 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, indicating that market demand in the non-manufacturing sector pulled back somewhat. By industry, the new orders index for construction was 43.5%, up 1.3 percentage points from the previous month; the new orders index for services was 45.3%, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month. The input price index was 52.3%, up 1.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating that the overall price level of inputs used in the operating activities of non-manufacturing enterprises continued to rise. By industry, the input price index for construction was 52.7%, up 3.6 percentage points from the previous month; the input price index for services was 52.2%, up 1.0 percentage points from the previous month. The selling price index was 49.9%, up 1.1 percentage points from the previous month, but still below the critical point, indicating that the decline in the overall selling price level in the non-manufacturing sector narrowed. By industry, the selling price index for construction was 49.3%, up 1.7 percentage points from the previous month; the selling price index for services was 50.0%, up 1.0 percentage points from the previous month. The employment index was 45.2%, down 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating that employment conditions among non-manufacturing enterprises pulled back. By industry, the employment index for construction was 39.1%, down 3.4 percentage points from the previous month; the employment index for services was 46.2%, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month. The business activity expectations index was 54.2%, down 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, but still above the critical point, indicating that non-manufacturing enterprises remained optimistic about market development. By industry, the business activity expectations index for construction was 50.5%, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month; the business activity expectations index for services was 54.8%, down 1.0 percentage points from the previous month. III. Performance of China’s Composite PMI Output Index In March, the composite PMI output index was 50.5%, up 1.0 percentage points from the previous month and above the critical point, indicating that the overall business activity level of production and operations among enterprises in China improved. China’s PMI Returned to Expansion Territory in March — Huo Lihui, Chief Statistician of the Service Industry Survey Center of the National Bureau of Statistics, Interprets China’s PMI for March 2026 On March 31, 2026, the Service Industry Survey Center of the National Bureau of Statistics and the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing released China’s PMI. In this regard, Huo Lihui, Chief Statistician of the Service Survey Center of the National Bureau of Statistics, provided an interpretation. In March, the manufacturing PMI, the non-manufacturing business activity index, and the composite PMI output index all returned to expansion territory, coming in at 50.4%, 50.1%, and 50.5%, respectively, up 1.4, 0.6, and 1.0 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a rebound in the overall economic prosperity level in China. I. The Manufacturing PMI Rose to Expansion Territory In March, as enterprises accelerated the resumption of work and production after the Chinese New Year and market activity increased, the manufacturing PMI came in at 50.4%, returning to expansion territory. (I) Production and demand expanded simultaneously. The production index and the new orders index stood at 51.4% and 51.6%, respectively, up 1.8 and 3.0 percentage points from the previous month, and both rose into expansion territory. Manufacturing enterprises stepped up production activities, and market demand improved markedly. By industry, the production index and new orders index for such industries as agricultural and sideline food processing, non-ferrous metal smelting and rolling processing were both above 55.0%, and production and demand in related enterprises were released relatively quickly; the two indices for such industries as textile and apparel, chemical fibers, and rubber and plastic products remained below the critical point, with relatively weak market activity. Driven by the recovery in production and demand, enterprises’ purchase willingness strengthened, and the purchasing volume index was 50.9%, up 2.7 percentage points from the previous month. (II) The PMI of large, medium-sized, and small enterprises all rebounded. The PMI of large enterprises was 51.6%, up 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, with the prosperity level rising steadily; the PMI of medium-sized and small enterprises was 49.0% and 49.3%, respectively, up 1.5 and 4.5 percentage points from the previous month, with the prosperity level improving significantly. (III) The three key industries expanded relatively quickly. The PMI of high-tech manufacturing was 52.1%, up 0.6 percentage points from the previous month, and remained above the critical point for 14 consecutive months, indicating continued positive development momentum in the industry; the PMI of equipment manufacturing and the consumer goods industry was 51.5% and 50.8%, respectively, up 1.7 and 2.0 percentage points from the previous month, and both rose to expansion territory; the PMI of high energy-consuming industries was 48.9%, up 1.1 percentage points from the previous month, with the prosperity level showing some rebound. (IV) Price indices rebounded significantly. Affected by factors such as the continued rise in prices of some bulk commodities in the recent period and the acceleration of enterprise procurement activities, the purchase price index of major raw materials and the ex-factory price index stood at 63.9% and 55.4%, respectively, up 9.1 and 4.8 percentage points from the previous month, and the overall price level in the manufacturing market rebounded markedly. By industry, the two price indices for such industries as petroleum, coal and other fuel processing, and chemical raw materials and chemical products were both above 70.0%, and the overall level of purchase and sales prices in related industries rose significantly. (5) Market expectations remained stable with a slight increase. The index of expectations for production and business activities was 53.4%, up 0.2 percentage points MoM, indicating that manufacturing enterprises became somewhat more confident about near-term market developments. By industry, the index of expectations for production and business activities in sectors such as special-purpose equipment, automobiles, railway, shipbuilding, aerospace equipment, and other industries remained in a relatively high expansion range above 56.0%, and the related enterprises were more optimistic about future industry development. The survey results also showed that, affected by factors such as the current geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East, prices of related raw materials such as petroleum and chemicals rose sharply. Coupled with higher logistics freight rates, the proportion of enterprises reporting high raw material costs and high logistics costs both increased MoM this month. II. The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index Rebounded In March, the non-manufacturing business activity index was 50.1%, up 0.6 percentage points MoM, indicating an improvement in the prosperity level of the non-manufacturing sector. (1) The service sector business activity index rose above the threshold. The service sector business activity index was 50.2%, up 0.5 percentage points MoM. By industry, the business activity indexes for railway transportation, telecommunications, broadcasting, television and satellite transmission services, monetary and financial services, and insurance all remained in a relatively high expansion range above 55.0%, with total business volume growing relatively fast; after Chinese New Year, the business activity indexes for retail, accommodation, catering, and other industries related to residents' travel and consumption fell below the threshold, and market activity weakened somewhat. In terms of market expectations, the service sector business activity expectations index was 54.8%, continuing to remain at a relatively high level, indicating that service sector enterprises remained optimistic about near-term market developments. (2) The construction sector business activity index improved. As construction projects across various regions gradually resumed work after the holiday, the construction sector business activity index was 49.3%, up 1.1 percentage points MoM. In terms of market expectations, the construction sector business activity expectations index was 50.5%, above the threshold, indicating that construction enterprises remained confident about future industry development. III. The Composite PMI Output Index Rose Above the Threshold In March, the composite PMI output index was 50.5%, up 1.0 percentage points MoM, indicating that the overall level of production and business activity across China's enterprises continued to improve. The manufacturing production index and the non-manufacturing business activity index, which together constitute the composite PMI output index, were 51.4% and 50.1%, respectively.

Strait of Hormuz disruptions and Iran tensions are driving up aluminum prices and premiums. Aluminium Bahrain and Qatalum have cut output, while feedstock is tight. Rerouting via Port of Sohar or Saudi ports raises costs and delays. Buyers are turning to China, India, Russia, Canada, and scrap to offset risk. Prolonged disruption could reduce Middle East market share and reprice it as higher-risk supply.

Based on China’s 2025 aluminum wire and cable export data to the Middle East, Saudi Arabia was the largest export destination in the region, with annual exports of 9,426.752 mt, accounting for 31.88 of the Middle East total

【SMM Steel】The Middle East conflict is disrupting shipping routes, causing longer delivery times and higher costs for EU steel imports. Buyers expect cargoes to reroute via the Cape of Good Hope, adding 2-4 weeks and raising freight costs. Uncertainty is limiting orders. The delays come as the EU plans tighter import quotas from July 2026. Higher energy and freight costs may push up steel prices.