According to SMM data, the operating rate of copper pipe & tube enterprises was 58.74% in February, down 14.13 percentage points MoM and down 11.54 percentage points YoY. February was affected by the Chinese New Year holiday. Leading enterprises maintained stable production and supply, with production showing strong resilience, basically sustaining “no holiday shutdowns” or only 0–3 days , and ensuring normal operations during the Chinese New Year period through shift rotations on production lines. Although orders saw slight fluctuations of 2%–10%, they remained overall under control. However, small and medium-sized enterprises performed poorly in February, dragging down the overall operating rate. Looking ahead to March, the operating rate of copper pipe & tube enterprises is expected to be 77.88%, up 19.14 percentage points MoM and down 7.35 percentage points YoY. The March production schedule of key air-conditioner enterprises fell 9.3% YoY from last year, in line with the YoY decline trend in copper pipe & tube operating rates. However, most copper pipe & tube enterprises said March production is expected to be better than expectations, and there are concerns over advance production and stockpiling. Worth noting is that R&D on high-performance alloy copper tubes by China’s leading enterprises will further reduce copper consumption in air conditioners, and most other enterprises are currently developing this type of technology as well. This has also increased orders for those domestic copper pipe & tube enterprises that already possess such technology, diluting the market share of other enterprises. In addition, the conflict in the Middle East reduced some home appliance export orders to the region, and the April production schedules of some domestic air-conditioner enterprises with relatively high market share exposure there are expected to decline.

SMM News, March 24: Today, in Guangdong, spot prices for #1 copper cathode against the front-month contract were reported at a premium of 70 yuan/mt for high-quality copper, down 30 yuan/mt from the previous trading day; a discount of 30 yuan/mt for standard-quality copper, down 20 yuan/mt from yesterday; and a discount of 90 yuan/mt for SX-EW copper, down 20 yuan/mt from yesterday. The average price of #1 copper cathode in Guangdong was 94,030 yuan/mt, up 1,045 yuan/mt from the previous trading day, while the average price of SX-EW copper was 93,920 yuan/mt, up 1,055 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Spot market: Guangdong inventory declined for six consecutive days, mainly due to limited arrivals and higher shipments. Although inventory continued to fall, downstream users showed weak restocking interest as copper prices surged sharply. Suppliers had to keep lowering spot premiums to conclude deals. Overall, trading activity in the market was noticeably weaker today than yesterday. Today, the purchasing sentiment for copper cathode in Guangdong was 2.48, down 0.15 from the previous trading day, and the shipment sentiment was 3.31, down 0.11 from the previous trading day (historical data is available in the database). Overall, after the sharp rebound in copper prices, downstream buying sentiment weakened, and spot premiums moved lower.

[SMM Analysis:Rare Earth Ore Imports Surge in Early 2026, Exceeding Demand and Causing Surplus] According to the latest data from the General Administration of Customs, from January to February 2026, China’s imports of mixed rare earth carbonate were about 3,013.7 mt, up 321% YoY. Over the same period, imports of unlisted rare earth oxides were about 12,860.4 mt, also posting a sharp increase of 209% YoY.

SMM News, March 23: Data brief: As of Monday, March 23, SMM copper inventories in major regions nationwide fell 14.54% WoW from last Monday, with all regions posting significant destocking. Specifically, in Shanghai, the arrival pace of imported and domestic supplies remained normal, while downstream consumption continued to recover on the back of the pullback in copper prices, leading to notable inventory drawdowns; in Jiangsu, downstream consumption also improved significantly amid the sharp pullback in copper prices; in Guangdong, downstream consumption remained highly buoyant, and together with tighter supply, spot inventory dropped sharply. Looking ahead, arrivals of imported and domestic supplies are expected to remain stable, with the overall supply side tending to stabilize; on the demand side, the continued pullback in copper prices will further stimulate downstream procurement demand, and rigid demand is expected to continue to be released. According to survey data, the weekly operating rate of copper cathode rod is expected to rise to 83.76% this week, up 2.25 percentage points WoW. Considering both supply and demand, the market has currently formed a pattern of “stabilizing supply and continued recovery in consumption,” and social inventory is expected to continue destocking this week.

SMM Morning Meeting Summary: Overnight, LME copper opened at $11,816/mt. After dipping to $11,798/mt in early trading, its center rose sharply to a high of $12,395/mt, then hovered at highs, and finally closed at $12,221/mt, up 3.27%. Trading volume reached 52,000 lots, and open interest stood at 292,000 lots, down 944 lots from the previous trading day, mainly reflecting bears cutting positions overall. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE copper 2605 contract opened at 95,010 yuan/mt. After the opening, its center moved higher to a high of 95,900 yuan/mt, after which copper prices maintained a fluctuating trend at highs. Near the close, it dipped to 94,530 yuan/mt and finally closed at 93,840 yuan/mt, up 2.12%. Trading volume reached 120,000 lots, and open interest stood at 198,000 lots, down 6,741 lots from the previous trading day, mainly reflecting bears cutting positions throughout the day.

Recently, Mingyang Hydrogen’s MYH-K-1000 electrolyzer completed the authoritative evaluation under the China Hydrogen Alliance’s “Leader Program” and received the official test report. With multiple industry-leading performance indicators, it has established a new benchmark for alkaline electrolyzers adapted to fluctuating new energy scenarios, marking a major technological milestone for the company in the field of hydrogen energy equipment. This product is the first 1,000 Nm³/h-class alkaline electrolyzer on the China Hydrogen Alliance’s field-testing platform to achieve the “15th Five-Year Plan” target of 20%–120% ultra-wide flexible load regulation . At the 20% minimum load, it can stably control hydrogen content in oxygen to within 1.5%, enabling long-term stable operation. It also features rapid load response capability of 5%/s to 10%/s. Its core performance is industry-leading and perfectly suited to the flexible operating conditions of wind and solar power generation, providing robust support for the development of the green fuel industry. The test certification presentation ceremony was held at Mingyang Hydrogen’s Beijing Center. Yu Tianxiao, Director of the Quality Value Center at Guoneng Hydrogen Innovation and Deputy General Manager of Hydrogen Testing Technology, presented the certification report to Pan Yongle, Executive Director and CEO of Mingyang Hydrogen, and both parties witnessed this important moment together. Rigorous Field Testing Validates Outstanding Performance, Strong Results Under Extreme Cold Conditions According to the alliance’s field-test data, under 100% rated load, the MYH-K-1000 kept hydrogen content in oxygen below 0.5% and successfully passed load ramp-up and ramp-down tests at 3%/s and 5%/s. Under the ultra-low load of 20%, hydrogen content in oxygen remained compliant, while DC power consumption was as low as 3.85 kWh, achieving efficient and stable operation. This long-duration test was conducted throughout in an outdoor environment at minus 20°C . The product still demonstrated excellent cold and hot start capabilities, as well as high reliability, high safety, and fully flexible operating characteristics, overcoming the longstanding low-temperature operating limitations of traditional electrolyzers and enabling adaptation to more extreme application scenarios. Breakthroughs in Core Technology Innovation Set a New Industry Benchmark This electrolyzer adopts advanced integrated die-casting technology, delivering high consistency in its internal structure. The area of its electrolysis unit is 75% larger than that of traditional designs, and it overcomes sealing challenges on the basis of zero-electrode-gap technology, significantly improving product performance and production efficiency and setting a new technological benchmark for the industry. Company Statement: Continuous Innovation-Driven Development and Deepening Commitment to Hydrogen Energy Equipment Pan Yongle, CEO of Mingyang Hydrogen, stated that this certification is the result of the team’s technological breakthroughs. The company will continue to uphold the philosophy of “innovation-driven, green future,” further increase R&D investment, launch more high performance products, provide global clients with high-quality hydrogen energy solutions, and support the industry’s high-quality development.

[SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] Copper prices rose from yesterday, but both buying and selling sentiment pulled back intraday, indicating that downstream acceptance of current price levels remained limited. In terms of market structure, under the current price spread between futures contracts structure, suppliers showed strong willingness to sell, with some offloading cargo, driving overall spot discounts down rapidly, while downstream willingness to make counteroffers was relatively evident. Entering the second trading session, after premiums were cut further, market transactions improved somewhat, but downstream procurement remained generally cautious, mainly focused on restocking on dips, with insufficient willingness to chase higher prices. Overall, amid the tug-of-war between suppliers actively selling and downstream buyers purchasing cautiously, Shanghai spot copper discounts were expected to remain under pressure tomorrow.

According to data from the General Administration of Customs, China’s copper plate/sheet and strip exports were 13,233.73 mt in January 2026, up 30.59% MoM and up 27.53% YoY; in February, exports were 8,395.28 mt, down 36.56% MoM and up 11.87% YoY. In January-February, China’s cumulative copper plate/sheet and strip exports reached 21,629.01 mt, up 20.96% YoY cumulatively. In January-February 2026, China’s copper plate/sheet and strip exports rose 20.96% YoY, maintaining overall steady growth, with exports covering 120 countries and regions. In terms of export pattern, Vietnam and South Korea ranked first and second, with export volumes of 2,549 mt and 2,542 mt, up 13.6% YoY and 42.5% YoY, respectively. India maintained steady growth and ranked third with exports of 1,898 mt, with the YoY growth rate reaching 29.6%; Taiwan, China and Japan followed, with export volumes of 1,864 mt and 1,375 mt, respectively. Among them, Taiwan, China was up 5.4% YoY, while Japan was the only major destination market to post a YoY decline, down 16.7%. In terms of growth rates, emerging markets were particularly outstanding: Mexico’s YoY growth rate reached as high as 149.0%, with exports surging from 304 mt to 757 mt, making it the most prominent growth market. Malaysia, Thailand, and Germany also performed strongly, with YoY growth rates of 47.0%, 47.2%, and 44.6%, respectively, all achieving growth of more than 40%. The structure of China’s copper plate/sheet and strip export trade modes continued the characteristics seen in the previous period. Customs data showed that in January-February, processing trade with imported materials remained the core export mode, with exports of 14,335 mt, accounting for 66.3% and firmly maintaining its dominant position; Processing and Assembling exports were 3,655 mt, accounting for 16.9%; Ordinary Trade exports were 2,182 mt, accounting for 10.1%; and other trade modes totaled 1,458 mt, accounting for 6.7%. In terms of detailed product structure, in January-February 2026, China’s copper plate/sheet and strip exports were still dominated by copper strip, with exports of 14,151 mt, accounting for 65% and up 23.8% YoY, serving as the core driver boosting overall exports. Bronze strip performed strongly, with a YoY growth rate of 34.8%, the fastest among major categories; cupronickel strip, brass strip, and other categories also achieved YoY growth, with the overall structure remaining stable and growth momentum abundant. (HS code 74091110,74091190,74091900,74092100,74092900,74093100,74093900,74094000,74099000)

As of March 24, titanium dioxide prices continued to rise, with the SMM index up 4.6% since early 2026. Two rounds of price hikes were issued in March amid low inventories. Strong exports and production cuts supported gains, though sustainability post-peak season remains uncertain, hinging on downstream acceptance.

Strait of Hormuz disruptions and Iran tensions are driving up aluminum prices and premiums. Aluminium Bahrain and Qatalum have cut output, while feedstock is tight. Rerouting via Port of Sohar or Saudi ports raises costs and delays. Buyers are turning to China, India, Russia, Canada, and scrap to offset risk. Prolonged disruption could reduce Middle East market share and reprice it as higher-risk supply.