The copper scrap market this week operated under the impetus of a strong macro-driven rally in copper prices. Futures and spot prices rose in tandem, but the intensifying divergence in sentiment and behavior between upstream and downstream participants along the industry chain lent the market a complex character best described as "price-driven transactions amid an unchanged weak supply-demand landscape.

SMM Morning Meeting Minutes: Overnight, LME copper opened at $13,240.5/mt, fluctuated upward to a high of $13,295/mt in early trading, then the copper price center dropped sharply to $13,182.5/mt, followed by wild swings, and finally closed at $13,242/mt, down 0.26%, with trading volume at 17,000 lots and open interest at 287,000 lots, a decrease of 2,451 lots from the previous trading day, indicating bulls reducing positions. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE copper 2606 contract opened at 102,350 yuan/mt, rose to 102,510 yuan/mt in early trading, then the copper price center dropped sharply to 101,700 yuan/mt, before fluctuating upward to finally close at 102,290 yuan/mt, down 0.09%, with trading volume at 28,500 lots and open interest at 174,000 lots, an increase of 820 lots from the previous trading day, indicating bears adding positions.

SMM Morning Meeting Summary: Overnight, LME copper opened at $13,181.5/mt, fluctuated downward in early trading to touch a low of $13,139.5/mt, then the price center moved up steadily to reach a high of $13,305/mt near the end of the session, ultimately closing at $13,296/mt, up 1.31%, with trading volume at 25,300 lots and open interest at 289,300 lots, down 2,580 lots from the previous trading day, indicating bears reducing positions. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE copper 2605 contract opened at and touched a low of 101,580 yuan/mt, then the price center surged upward to probe 102,220 yuan/mt, before moving sideways to ultimately close at 102,150 yuan/mt, up 1.44%, with trading volume at 42,000 lots and open interest at 165,300 lots, down 2,780 lots from the previous trading day, indicating bears reducing positions.

SMM Morning Meeting Summary: Overnight, LME copper opened at $12,865/mt, dipping to $12,859/mt early in the session. The price center then gradually shifted upward in a volatile manner, touching a high of $13,133/mt near the end of the session, and ultimately closed at $13,123.5/mt, up 2.07%, with trading volume at 27,000 lots and open interest at 292,000 lots, down 1,540 lots from the previous trading day, indicating bears reducing positions. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE copper 2605 contract opened at 99,760 yuan/mt, touching a low of 99,520 yuan/mt early in the session. Copper prices then gradually shifted upward, reaching 100,940 yuan/mt, before moving sideways and ultimately closing at 100,820 yuan/mt, up 1.67%, with trading volume at 50,000 lots and open interest at 170,000 lots, down 1,518 lots from the previous trading day, indicating bears reducing positions.

SMM Morning Meeting Minutes: Last Friday evening, LME copper opened at $12,744/mt, dipping to $12,642/mt early in the session. The price center then fluctuated upward to a high of $12,928/mt before fluctuating downward to finally close at $12,857/mt, up 1.27%, with trading volume at 22,000 lots and open interest at 293,000 lots, down 4,028 lots from the previous trading day, indicating bears reducing positions. Last Friday evening, the most-traded SHFE copper 2605 contract opened at 99,200 yuan/mt, fluctuated upward early in the session to reach 99,750 yuan/mt, then the price center gradually shifted lower to a low of 99,090 yuan/mt, followed by wild swings before finally closing at 99,310 yuan/mt, up 1.04%, with trading volume at 45,000 lots and open interest at 171,700 lots, down 2,724 lots from the previous trading day, indicating bears reducing positions.

SMM Morning Meeting Summary: Overnight, LME copper opened at $12,579.5/mt, touching a low of $12,536.5/mt early in the session. Copper prices then shifted higher, reaching a high of $12,712/mt before ultimately closing at $12,695.5/mt, down 0.27%, with trading volume at 18,000 lots and open interest at 297,000 lots, an increase of 3,404 lots from the previous trading day, mainly driven by bears adding positions. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE copper 2605 contract opened at 98,080 yuan/mt, touching a high of 97,820 yuan/mt early in the session and a low of 97,720 yuan/mt early in the session. Copper prices then shifted higher, reaching a high of 98,260 yuan/mt before ultimately closing at 98,070 yuan/mt, up 0.27%, with trading volume at 22,000 lots and open interest at 174,000 lots, a decrease of 1,255 lots from the previous trading day, mainly driven by bears reducing positions.

SMM Morning Meeting Summary: Overnight, LME copper opened at $12,398/mt, dipped to a low of $12,280/mt early in the session, then the price center rose to test a bottom at $12,755.5/mt, and finally moved sideways to close at $12,705.5/mt, up 3.06%, with trading volume at 28,000 lots and open interest at 294,000 lots, down 357 lots from the previous trading day, mainly driven by bears reducing positions. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE copper 2605 contract opened at 98,080 yuan/mt, touched a high of 98,500 yuan/mt early in the session, then the price center fluctuated lower to test a bottom at 97,890 yuan/mt, and finally closed at 98,330 yuan/mt, up 0.11%, with trading volume at 33,000 lots and open interest at 178,000 lots, down 3,110 lots from the previous trading day, mainly driven by bears reducing positions.

The operating rate of secondary copper rod in March 2026 was 14.25%, below the expected 16.26%, up 6.27 percentage points MoM and down 25.93 percentage points YoY. In March, China's secondary copper rod market struggled under multiple pressures including wild swings in copper prices, deepening industrial fiscal and tax policy reforms, and structural tightness in raw material supply, failing to exhibit the traditional seasonal recovery

SMM Morning Meeting Summary: Overnight, LME copper opened at $12,398/mt, touching a high of $12,398/mt at the start of the session. Copper prices then fluctuated downward, hitting a low of $12,280/mt, before moving sideways to finally close at $12,328.5/mt, down 0.16%. Trading volume reached 16,000 lots, and open interest stood at 294,000 lots, a decrease of 473 lots from the previous trading day, mainly driven by bulls reducing positions. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE copper 2605 contract opened at 96,040 yuan/mt, touching a high of 96,300 yuan/mt at the start of the session. Copper prices then shifted downward, hitting a low of 95,540 yuan/mt, before moving sideways to finally close at 95,850 yuan/mt, down 0.74%. Trading volume reached 33,000 lots, and open interest stood at 177,000 lots, an increase of 1,074 lots from the previous trading day, mainly driven by bears adding positions.

SMM Morning Meeting Summary: Overnight, LME copper was closed due to Easter. On the last trading day before the holiday, it closed at $12,348.5/mt, down 0.99%; overnight, SHFE copper was closed due to the Qingming Festival. On the last trading day before the holiday, it closed at 96,250 yuan/mt, up 0.39%.