The Thai Ministry of Industry recently intercepted 714 illegal waste containers at Laem Chabang Port and initiated repatriation procedures, while simultaneously shutting down over 100 non-compliant and high-pollution dismantling plants in Q1 2026. Since the global supply chain restructuring in 2025, Thailand has emerged as a critical hub with an annual copper scrap export volume of 332,000 physical tonnes. Should Thailand’s environmental oversight remain under high-pressure, the market widely expects the Asian copper scrap supply side to face increasing tightness.

The Swedish deposit return system (DRS) operator Returpack/Pantamera reported that in 2025, over 3 billion PET bottles and aluminium cans were returned via Sweden’s DRS. Compared to the record of 2024, the 2025 count marks an increase of 130 million. The operator adds that returning the aluminium and PET containers via the deposit system cuts the carbon footprint by half, thereby promoting recycling and sustainability. 2025 data shows that material customers received 27,826 tonnes of aluminium and 24,835 tonnes of PET. On average, each person returned 283 containers, reflecting an improvement of the 2024 performance by 4 per cent. The overall return rate of Sweden also increased by 88.4 per cent, bringing the nation close to its target of a 90 per cent return rate.

[SMM Lead Morning Meeting Summary: Bullish and Bearish Factors Coexist, Lead Prices Are Expected to Continue Fluctuating Rangebound] Iran said the Strait of Hormuz had been closed and that three container ships had been turned back. Recently, lead ingot inventory in China has been destocked, including inventory at smelters and in social warehouses, and lead prices have shown signs of stabilizing after the decline...

【SMM Scrap Aluminium Market Analysis】Navigating the Choke Point: How Middle Eastern Geopolitics are Rewiring Global Aluminum Scrap Flows I. Introduction: The Macroeconomic Catalyst The global secondary aluminum market is currently navigating a severe logistical gauntlet. While physical smelting and processing facilities across the Middle East are facing their own localized pressures, the maritime arteries connecting the region to the rest of the world are fundamentally compromised. With vessel traffic heavily restricted through traditional waterways like the Red Sea, carriers are executing widespread, mandatory rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope. This geographical detour has introduced hard, quantifiable friction into global trade flows. Transit times from Europe and the Middle East to major Asian main ports have stretched by an additional 12 to 14 days. Consequently, freight costs per container have also reported increases by up to 60-70%. Beyond the immediate ticket price of shipping, this delay translates to millions of dollars in working capital abruptly tied up in floating inventory, severely squeezing liquidity for global traders. To understand the future of secondary aluminum pricing and availability, the market must look at how this disruption cascades across the supply chain. The logistical fallout has created a massive supply shock that is permanently altering working capital dynamics and regional pricing. This structural shift can be traced from Western supply hubs, through the starved processing centers in Southeast Asia, and ultimately to the end-user markets in China and Other Asia, where tightened margins are reshaping the landscape of global scrap procurement. II. The Middle East: The Epicenter of the Bottleneck The Middle East serves as a critical reservoir of scrap aluminum, and current export metrics underscore the massive scale of the material caught in this logistical bottleneck. The United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia stand as the undisputed dominant suppliers in the region. Recent mirrored customs data shows the UAE exporting upwards of 309,000 metric tons (MT) in 2025, while Saudi Arabia commands a similar volume, exporting over 277,000 MT in 2024 and up to 260,000 MT by October 2025. Historically, a massive majority of this tonnage has been earmarked for Asian buyers, flowing seamlessly through previously unencumbered maritime routes. India and Korea respectively have been the top 2 export destinations for both the UAE and Saudi Arabia since 2020, with both Asian destinations encompassing a total of 81% for Saudi Arabia’s (2020-2024) and 74% for the UAE’s (2020-2025) total exports of scrap aluminum. Mid-tier exporters further supplement this outward flow. Nations such as Israel (exporting roughly 88,000 to 95,000 MT annually) and Kuwait (over 41,000 to 44,000 MT), alongside consistent volumes from Jordan, Bahrain, and Iran, collectively push significant supplementary tonnage into the global market. Similar to Saudi Arabia and the UAE’s situation, South Asia and South Korea remains the most affected: between the years 2020 to 2025, India, Pakistan and South Korea import 60% of the Middle Eastern mid-tier exporters’ scrap aluminum. However, getting this material onto the water, especially through the Strait of Hormuz has become increasingly complex, expensive and operationally untenable. In response to the waterway risks, localized workarounds are emerging: suppliers are increasingly bypassing traditional choke points by trucking upstream material overland to alternative, safer ports before loading it onto eastbound vessels. Meanwhile, traditional transit bridges are feeling the strain. Typical scrap flows rely on the Red Sea in the Middle East to ship scrap between Europe and Asia, and this traditional trade route is feeling the strain from the current war in the Middle East. Although the Houthis in Yemen have not enforced shipment closures through the Red Sea, the threat of them doing so in extension of Iran’s closure of the Straits of Hormuz is enough to force certain companies and insurance policies off of Middle Eastern shipment routes, and to reroute around Africa and the Cape of Good Hope. This leads to partial extensions of freight times for up to 12-14 days, and some 60% to 70% surge in per container shipment costs between Europe and Asia. The extended transit time is not just a scheduling issue; it translates to millions of dollars in working capital abruptly tied up in floating inventory. As outward flows from the Middle East and Europe slow down under these compounding pressures, the knock-on effect creates an immediate feedstock starvation for the processing hubs waiting further East. III. Asia: The Primary Impact Zone While the logistical friction originates in the West, the financial and operational shockwaves are most acutely felt in the "Other Asia" region, specifically within the Indian and South Korean markets. These nations serve as the primary off-takers for Middle Eastern scrap, and the sudden disruption to their traditional supply lines has triggered a rapid repricing of the market. India: Demand Absorbing the Freight Shock India represents the most immediate example of a market forced to reconcile surging logistics costs with robust domestic demand. As a direct result of the freight spike and logistical difficulties, CIF India prices for key imported grades from Europe like Tense and Taint/Tabor have seen approximately $50 USD per metric ton price hikes over the past week. Critically, this cost burden is not being borne by the sellers alone. Analysis of the current buyer/seller split suggests that recent increases in Indian domestic demand for scrap are providing significant upward pressure on prices. This has allowed a portion of the inflated freight costs to be absorbed by Indian buyers who are prioritizing material security over margin preservation. However, this absorption is not infinite; the $50 USD spike is beginning to significantly tighten margins for local secondary producers, raising concerns about how long this price elasticity can be maintained if transit delays persist. Korea and Japan: Strategic Stockpiling and Regional Procurement In East Asia, the response to the Middle Eastern bottleneck has been characterized by strategic stockpiling and a pivot toward Southeast Asian (SEA) supply. As both Japan and South Korea commonly purchase scrap and secondary products (like ADC12) from the Middle Eastern region, there is a sudden need to replace material sources that have been disrupted directly by the US/Israel-Iran conflict. Primary market intelligence from Southeast and East Asia has seen Japanese (and to a smaller extent, Korean and Indian) players engaging in large-scale procurement of secondary products from Southeast Asia at significant prices. SMM’s data reveals that over the first and second weeks of the Middle Eastern conflict, ADC12 CIF Japan prices have seen significant rises, reaching highs at 3350-60 USD/mt between the 11 th to 17 th of March 2026. This coincides with large amounts of stock clearance and/or signing of procurement deals that extend up till mid-April to early-May. These purchases are occurring at high price points, driven by robust Japanese demand that is effectively outbidding local processors. This "procurement blitz" is rapidly depleting regional liquidity, leaving Southeast Asian hubs starved of the very feedstock they traditionally rely on to serve their own domestic industries. Thailand local ADC12 prices have been observed to be lagging behind FOB prices by 100-200USD/mt, creating a supply starvation for local downstream needs. As of the 26 th of March, market intelligence has revealed a possible second wave of procurement from East Asian nations in Southeast Asia due to increasing worries over the extended war. Prices for ADC12 FOB Thailand and Malaysia deals have been stabilizing around the 3200-3230 USD/t mark as demand slowly creeps back up for both local and foreign demands. Thailand local and FOB ADC12 prices have just closed the gap to be roughly equal, and deals can be observed both within Thailand and exporting towards East and South Asian markets. IV. China: The Regional Exception While the rest of Asia grapples with supply starvation and skyrocketing premiums, China remains a notable outlier in the current crisis. Historically, China’s secondary aluminum sector has maintained a lower direct reliance on Middle Eastern scrap compared to its neighbors in South and East Asia, providing an initial layer of insulation. However, the primary reason for China’s relative stability is internal: a combination of sluggish domestic demand and historically high inventory levels. As of late March 2026, China’s social aluminum inventories have reached a five-year high, effectively acting as a massive buffer against global supply shocks. Furthermore, the LME-SHFE arbitrage window has remained largely unfavorable for primary imports, keeping Chinese buyers on the sidelines. On the secondary side, the lack of specificity and details regarding the reverse invoicing policy have generally led to the secondary aluminum market shifting towards a more passive stance. Downstream demand for secondary aluminum has pivoted towards immediate and small amounts of material to reduce risks associated with reverse invoicing, leading to weak demand within China. While higher global freight costs have increased the baseline cost for any incoming material, the lack of domestic "buy-side" pressure means that China has avoided the aggressive price spikes seen in India, Southeast Asia and Japan. For now, the Chinese market is a spectator to the volatility, characterized more by weak spot fundamentals and unclear policy than by the procurement panic gripping the rest of the continent. V. Strategic Outlook: The New Reality of Trade The current landscape suggests that the global aluminum scrap market is moving toward a "new normal" characterized by higher logistical floors and reduced liquidity. Increasing political and institutional instability in Iran and the wider Middle East creates ever-increasing tension and uncertainty for global trade through the Middle East. The transition from the Middle East to the Cape of Good Hope could possibly no longer be a temporary detour but a structural shift that traders must eventually consider as a safer alternative. In extension to the Middle Eastern conflict, the endurance of the "procurement blitz" in East Asia will serve as a bellwether for the long-term stability of scrap flows in Asia. If the inventory buffer in Southeast Asia remains depleted by aggressive Japanese and Korean bidding, the upward price pressure on Indian buyers will likely move from a temporary spike to a permanent baseline. Local downstream industries from Thailand and Malaysia might also find it hard in the medium-long term to cope with constantly spiking ADC12 prices and competition from East and South Asia. Ultimately, the traditional metrics of secondary aluminum pricing, such as the LME-SHFE spread or local collection rates, are being overshadowed by the premium on logistical certainty. As available aluminum scrap becomes increasingly scarce due to supply disruptions in the Middle East and increased costs for material from Europe, this creates price-side pressure for both producers and downstream industries across Asia. This leads to a zero-sum environment in which increasing costs are either burdened by buyers through increasing prices, heightened competition and larger local-export arbitrages that put pressure on local downstream industries, or burdened by producers and traders through shrinking margins and intense inter-producer competition. As the market adapts to this fragmented landscape, the value proposition of a successful trader is fundamentally shifting: it is no longer defined solely by the ability to source metal, but by the ability to guarantee its arrival through an increasingly volatile and high-risk global supply chain.

SMM Nickel News, March 26: Macro and Market News: (1) On March 25, COSCO SHIPPING Lines issued a service notice announcing the immediate resumption of new bookings for services from the Far East to the following Middle East countries (dry containers): the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, and Iraq. The resumption of shipments did not mean that COSCO SHIPPING container vessels could pass through the Strait of Hormuz. (2) In the early hours of March 25, Tehran time, Iran's Permanent Mission to the United Nations said in a statement on social media that non-hostile vessels could safely pass through the Strait of Hormuz in coordination with relevant Iranian authorities, provided that the countries to which they belong or with which they are associated neither participate in nor support acts of aggression against Iran, and fully comply with the announced safety and security regulations. Spot Market: On March 26, the SMM price of #1 refined nickel rose by 1,550 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. In terms of spot premiums, the average premium for Jinchuan #1 refined nickel was 5,400 yuan/mt, down 750 yuan/mt from the previous trading day; domestic mainstream electrodeposited nickel was at -400-400 yuan/mt. Futures Market: The most-traded SHFE nickel contract (2605) opened sharply higher in last night's session and then fluctuated downward, closing the morning session today at 135,250 yuan/mt, up 0.50%. Policy expectations that Indonesia may impose a nickel export tax, together with firm ore prices on the raw material side and easing macro sentiment, jointly drove nickel prices to rebound. Nickel prices are expected to hold up well in the short term, with the core trading range of the most-traded SHFE nickel contract at 133,000-143,000 yuan/mt.

The Longwan Branch of the Wenzhou Municipal Bureau of Ecology and Environment officially accepted the Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) for Zhejiang Zhentian Machinery Co., Ltd.'s relocation and expansion project. The project aims to add an annual capacity of 150 units of new high-end sanitary-grade stainless steel containers. This expansion reflects the company's strategic push to scale up production for the food and pharmaceutical industries, where demand for high-standard stainless equipment remains robust.

[Australian Typhoons Continued to Disrupt, and Import TCs Kept Falling]: Weekly data showed that the average weekly domestic SMM Zn50 TC held flat at 1,550 yuan/mt in metal content, while the SMM Imported Zinc Concentrate Index fell $6.02/dmt MoM to $5.23/dmt...

Tianpu Technology's lithium-ion battery and system intelligent manufacturing project had a total investment of 10.5 billion yuan and was located in Ordos, Inner Mongolia. The project will build production lines with annual capacity of 50 Gwh for lithium-ion batteries and energy storage container systems, along with related supporting facilities.

March 12, 2026 News: It was reported that CMA shipping company announced an additional congestion surcharge for the Port of Beira

Capacity side, according to incomplete statistics, China’s alkaline electrolyzer market remained at 43.77 GW and the PEM electrolyzer market remained at 2.7 GW, with no new capacity added. No offline delivery information was available this week. Project-related developments: Jiangsu Guofu Hydrogen Energy Technology Equipment Co., Ltd.: Its indirectly wholly owned subsidiary, Xinjiang Guofu Mingzhi Hydrogen Energy Technology Co., Ltd., entered into a sales agreement with independent third party Hefei Zhongke Hecheng Green Energy Co., Ltd. for hydrogen production equipment for a green fuel base demonstration project featuring 20,000 mt of green electricity-based hydrogen production and flexible synthetic ammonia. The total contract value exceeded 55 million yuan. Under the agreement, Guofu Mingzhi will supply the client with six sets of 1,000 Nm³/hour alkaline electrolyzers and auxiliary equipment, such as rectifier transformers, rectifier cabinets, and separation and purification equipment. Xizang Zangqing Energy Equipment Co., Ltd.: A tender announcement was officially issued for the EPC project covering design and construction of Phase I of the zero-carbon intelligent equipment base for the new energy industry of green hydrogen and green methanol in the Zangqing Industrial Park. It is understood that the project mainly includes: an annual output of 100 sets of 1,500 Nm³-2,000 Nm³ alkaline electrolyzers; a 500 MW/year production line for plateau-type PEM electrolyzers; a standardized production line for a 40,000 t/d methanol synthesis unit and components; an annual output of 120 sets of 500 kW integrated hydrogen-oxygen heat and power co-generation units; and an annual output of 50 sets of 500 kg/day skid-mounted integrated methanol hydrogen refueling station equipment. Renewable Green Hydrogen Energy (Inner Mongolia) Co., Ltd.: An announcement was issued on the signing of the EPC general contract for the Phase I, Stage I green ammonia project of the integrated 800,000 mt/year wind and solar power-hydrogen-ammonia project with Donghua Technology. It is understood that the contract was signed by both parties on March 5, with a contract value of 2.026 billion yuan (provisional estimate), and the construction period (mechanical completion) will run until June 18, 2028. Donghua Engineering Technology Co., Ltd. will mainly undertake the design, procurement, construction, operation assurance services, and guidance for startup and commissioning of the EPC project. Tangshan Haitai New Energy Technology Co., Ltd. : During the visit by the deputy secretary of the Abaqa Banner Committee in Inner Mongolia, the two sides further deepened cooperation on the 10 GW integrated wind and solar power-to-hydrogen project, working together to advance the project’s early commencement and commissioning. Maoming Binhai New Area Urban Investment Development Co., Ltd.: A public notice was issued on the shortlisted candidates for the construction of Phase I of the supporting road network project for the Green Chemical and Hydrogen Energy Industrial Park in Maoming Binhai New Area. The first shortlisted candidate was CCCC Fourth Harbor Engineering Co., Ltd., with a bid price of 98.210593 million yuan; the second shortlisted candidate was Hebei Xiangda Road & Bridge Engineering Co., Ltd., with a bid price of 98.23076 million yuan; and the third shortlisted candidate was Jiangxi Sitong Road & Bridge Construction Group Co., Ltd., with a bid price of 98.008929 million yuan. Fujian Tianchen Yaolong New Materials Co., Ltd.: A tender announcement was issued for the equipment procurement project for the hydrogen purification unit of the cyclohexanone technology upgrade and renovation project. It is understood that the project plans to procure one set of hydrogen purification unit equipment, with a maximum bid price of 7 million yuan. Inner Mongolia Juliyong Hydrogen New Energy Technology Co., Ltd.: Its new-type high-density, low-pressure solid-state hydrogen energy power R&D and industrialisation project was filed. The project will be constructed in Ordos City—Ordos Airport Logistics Park—Phase II, First Floor, Standardised Factory Buildings, Ordos Comprehensive Bonded Zone, Ejin Horo Banner, Ordos City, Inner Mongolia. The project is expected to be built in two phases, with a total investment of approximately 120 million yuan. It requires 10 million yuan in policy support funding, with Phase I investment of 40 million yuan and Phase II investment of 80 million yuan. The construction period is three years, and after completion, the project is expected to generate annual profit of 30 million yuan. Policy Review 1. At the press conference held during the fourth session of the 14th National People's Congress, Zheng Shanjie, Chairman of the National Development and Reform Commission, said that China would focus on developing the “six emerging pillar industries” and the “six future industries.” Among them, “green hydrogen energy and nuclear fusion energy” were included in the category of future industries. 2. The People's Government of Shandong Province issued the Implementation Plan on Supporting Jining in Accelerating Green and Low-Carbon Transformation and Building New Advantages in High-Quality Development. The document proposed supporting Jining in fostering and developing emerging industries and future industries such as hydrogen energy production, storage, and transportation, and supporting the construction of future industry acceleration parks; advancing R&D breakthroughs in key technologies such as hydrogen fuel cell vessels, building a leading inland new energy vessel manufacturing base in China; and supporting technological innovation and the promotion and application in fields such as hydrogen energy. 3. With the approval of the National Energy Administration, the Standardisation Technical Committee for the Hydrogen Energy Sector of the Energy Industry was established in Beijing. The establishment of the committee aims to improve the industry standard system, lead technological innovation, and regulate market order. Enterprise Updates Qinghang Times (Shenzhen) Technology Co., Ltd. : Qinghang Times was established on January 5, 2026, with a registered capital of 1 million yuan and legal representative He Rongjie. It was founded by a Tsinghua University master's and doctoral team, received support from Tsinghua innovation and entrepreneurship platforms such as Tsinghua i-Space and Tsinghua Chuang+, and was selected for the Sci-Tech Innovation Light “Future Sci-Tech Entrepreneur Program.” Through its technical solution combining liquid hydrogen storage and a high-temperature PEM hydrogen-electric coupling system, it increased aircraft driving range by more than 10 times and payload by 2–3 times. Recently, it completed seed-round financing worth several million yuan, with the investor undisclosed. Shenzhen Hydrogen Energy Co., Ltd.: Completed A+ round financing, with Shenzhen Energy Investment as the investor. Anhui Shuishui New Energy Technology Co., Ltd. : Anhui Shuishui Technology completed an A-round financing of over 100 million yuan, led by NIO Capital. This round of funding will be primarily used to fulfill large orders, increase R&D reserves, construct new factories, and support daily operations, in order to drive the integration and upgrading of the industry chain. SPIC Green Energy Co., Ltd.: held talks with Beijing Energy International Holding Co., Ltd., with both sides focusing on areas such as the construction of green electricity transmission channels into Beijing and pipeline transportation of green hydrogen, and conducting in-depth exchanges on deepening cooperation. Beijing Hydrosys Technology Co., Ltd. : helped successfully complete hydrogen refueling at Yunnan’s first integrated “PV–green electricity–hydrogen” refueling station. China Classification Society ​​​​​​​: supported the successful completion of the 16,136 TEU methanol dual-fuel container ship project. China Classification Society​​​​​​​​​​​​​​: the “COSCO 9802,” a single methanol-powered chemical tanker for which it carried out drawing approval and construction inspection, was successfully delivered. ​​Patent Applications​​ 1. Shanghai Institute of Ceramics, Chinese Academy of Sciences​​ (China) disclosed patent CN2025110028, developing a ceramic-based anion exchange membrane with a laboratory-tested lifespan of 80,000 hours. ​​2. Johnson Matthey​​ (UK) filed patent WO2025109876, disclosing a Fe-Ni-Mo ternary non-precious metal catalyst formulation with activity close to platinum-based materials. Technology Footprint/Technical Specifications​​ 1. A team from Xi’an Jiaotong University and Peking University jointly developed a new-type osmium-based catalyst, significantly improving the efficiency and economics of hydrogen production from AEM water electrolysis and supporting the large-scale deployment of low-cost green hydrogen. 2. Johnson Matthey and Syensqo achieved efficient recycling and reuse of platinum group metals and ionomers in PEM fuel cells and electrolyzers, substantially reducing the carbon footprint. 3.​​Research teams from the School of Electrical Engineering of Xi’an Jiaotong University and the State Key Laboratory of Electrical Materials and Electrical Insulation successfully developed the Ru/Ti3C2Ox@NF bifunctional electrocatalyst for seawater electrolysis. 4. The group standard Technical Specification for Wind and Solar Power, PV+ESS, and Green Electricity Coupled Electrolysis Hydrogen Production (No. T/CIEP 0272—2025) was released and implemented by the China Industrial Environmental Protection Promotion Association. Zhongneng Dayou Energy Technology Co., Ltd. successfully developed a 100 kW-class PEM electrolyzer hydrogen production multi-field coupling test device. 5. GKN Powder Metallurgy announced that it had developed a next-generation high performance, high-porosity, high-purity porous transport layer (HP-PTL) for proton exchange membrane (PEM) electrolysis.