US exports of plates in coil reached 41,797 metric tons (mt) in March 2026, down 6.5% month-on-month, but representing a robust 58.4% growth compared to the volume exported in March 2025. The monthly export value fell to $45.09 million from February’s $49.38 million, though remaining well above the $29.19 million recorded in March 2025. Cross-border shipments within North America dominated the flow, with Mexico importing 34,884 mt (down from 38,559 mt in February) and Canada taking 6,243 mt, with no other destinations exceeding 1,000 mt.

Preliminary census data from the US Department of Commerce reveals that US imports of cold rolled coil (CRC) totaled 54,744 metric tons (mt) in March 2026, falling 24.8% from February and plummeting 53.2% compared to March 2025. Total import value shrank to $51.63 million, down from $69.34 million in February and $133.43 million a year ago. Canada remained the largest exporter to the US at 17,805 mt (up from 14,707 mt in February), followed by South Korea (8,008 mt), Vietnam (4,858 mt), Mexico (4,343 mt), and the Netherlands (4,210 mt). This substantial decline in foreign supply reflects an intentional destocking process and cautious purchasing strategies by US manufacturers experiencing macro headwinds.

SMM May 18 Update: Metals market: Last Friday's overnight session saw a broad sell-off across both domestic and overseas metals markets, with most declining over 1%. LME tin led the decline at 4.03%, LME copper fell 3.15%, LME aluminum and SHFE tin dropped over 2% (LME aluminum -2.36%, SHFE tin -2.84%). LME lead, LME zinc, LME nickel, SHFE copper, and SHFE nickel all fell over 1% (LME lead -1.39%, LME zinc -1.35%, LME nickel -1.9%, SHFE copper -1.29%, SHFE nickel -1.3%). SHFE lead and SHFE zinc fell less than 1% (SHFE lead -0.6%, SHFE zinc -0.44%). The alumina front-month contract fell 1.19%, and the foundry aluminum front-month contract fell 0.99%. Last Friday's overnight session saw broad declines in ferrous metals. Stainless steel fell 0.94%, and iron ore fell 0.8%. Hot-rolled coil and rebar dropped over 0.6% (hot-rolled coil -0.63%, rebar -0.62%). For coking coal and coke, coking coal fell 0.49% and coke fell 1.32%. Last Friday's overnight session for precious metals: COMEX gold fell 3.02% overnight, down 3.96% on the week; COMEX silver plunged 10.59%, down 5.65% on the week. In China, SHFE gold fell 1.13%, down 3.37% on the week; SHFE silver fell 6.79%, down 3.26% on the week. This was mainly driven by rising US Treasury yields and the strengthening of the US dollar with no resolution in sight, while the US-Iran conflict intensified inflation concerns, further reinforcing market expectations of interest rate hikes. As of 8:24 AM on May 16, last Friday's overnight closing prices: Macro Front Wang Yi briefed the media on the China-US summit and the consensus reached. Wang Yi stated that the two heads of state interacted for nearly 9 hours and agreed that building a "China-US Constructive Strategic Stability Relationship" was the most important political consensus. At the invitation of President Trump, President Xi Jinping will pay a state visit to the US this autumn. The economic and trade teams of both countries reached overall balanced and positive outcomes, including continuing to implement all consensus from previous negotiations, agreeing to establish a Trade Council and an Investment Council, addressing each other's concerns on agricultural product market access, and promoting the expansion of two-way trade under a reciprocal tariff reduction framework. China: The Ministry of Foreign Affairs provided consolidated responses on China-US economic and trade issues including semiconductors, rare earths, Boeing, and oil purchases. On May 15, Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesperson Guo Jiakun hosted a regular press conference and provided consolidated responses on China-US economic and trade issues. Regarding rare earth supply, China is committed to maintaining the stability of global supply chains. Regarding purchases of US oil and Boeing aircraft, China expressed willingness to jointly safeguard energy security and supply chain stability, emphasizing the mutually beneficial nature of China-US economic and trade relations. Qiushi Journal published an important article by General Secretary Xi Jinping titled "Making the Real Economy Stronger, Better, and Bigger." The article pointed out that manufacturing is the foundation of the real economy, and high-quality development of manufacturing should be given a more prominent position, with unwavering commitment to building a manufacturing powerhouse. It called for implementing industrial foundation re-engineering projects and major technical equipment breakthrough projects, supporting the development of specialized, refined, distinctive, and innovative enterprises, and promoting high-end, intelligent, and green development of manufacturing. It also called for promoting the integrated cluster development of strategic emerging industries and building a batch of new growth engines in areas such as next-generation information technology, artificial intelligence, biotechnology, new energy, new materials, high-end equipment, and green environmental protection. US dollar: As of last Friday's overnight close, the US dollar index rose 0.41% to 99.28, up 1.45% on the week. Rising energy prices and prolonged shipping disruptions intensified inflationary pressures, pushing up market expectations that the US Fed would raise interest rates this year. US interest rate futures prices fell sharply on Friday, reflecting growing conviction among bond market investors that elevated inflation would force the US Fed to raise interest rates later this year or in early 2027. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market priced in approximately a 60% probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting next January, with a 50% probability of a rate hike in December. US April retail sales grew further, but part of the increase may have stemmed from rising inflation, as the Iran conflict pushed up energy and other commodity prices. Data released Thursday showed April retail sales rose 0.5%, in line with market expectations, while the March increase was revised down to 1.6%. The Iran conflict is driving up inflation; US Energy Information Administration data showed gasoline prices rose 12.3% in April. Despite surging oil prices, consumer spending had not yet noticeably shifted away from other areas due to larger tax refund amounts this year. IRS data showed that as of April 25, the average refund amount increased by $323 compared to the same period in 2025. However, this support is fading. Economists at PNC Financial Services Group stated that based on internal data analysis, "consumers are spending their tax refunds faster than last year, especially among lower-income households," adding that "the amount of refund money being used to pay off credit card and other debts is also declining." (Jin10 Data APP) The Fed Board of Governors said in a statement on Friday that it had appointed Jerome Powell as chair pro tempore until his successor Kevin Warsh is officially sworn in. The US Fed stated: "This interim step of appointing the current chair as chair pro tempore is consistent with the practice followed during previous chair transitions." In response, Fed Governors Bowman and Milan stated that they did not support the interim appointment. On May 15, Powell's term as Fed Chairman expired. (Wallstreetcn) Analysts at BofA Global Research: If strong global economic growth prevents the US Fed from cutting interest rates, emerging markets could perform well. However, under scenarios of asymmetric growth (favoring the US) or a global stagflation shock, emerging markets would be more vulnerable. On the currency front, even though the election trigger point is still months away, commodity outlook and monetary policy should continue to provide support for the Brazilian real. (Wallstreetcn) Data: This week, China will release data including April total retail sales of consumer goods YoY, April industrial value added of enterprises above designated size YoY, the one-year Loan Prime Rate as of May 20, and April Swift RMB share in global payments. The US will release data including initial jobless claims for the week ending May 16, weekly ADP employment change for the week ending May 2, April pending home sales index MoM, April annualized housing starts, April building permits, May Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, continuing jobless claims for the week ending May 9, May S&P Global Manufacturing PMI preliminary, May S&P Global Services PMI preliminary, May University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index final, May NAHB Housing Market Index, May one-year inflation expectations final, and April Conference Board Leading Index MoM. The UK will release data including March three-month ILO unemployment rate, April unemployment rate, April claimant count, April CPI MoM, April Retail Price Index MoM, May Manufacturing PMI preliminary, May Services PMI preliminary, May CBI Industrial Orders balance, May GfK Consumer Confidence Index, April public sector net borrowing, and April seasonally adjusted retail sales MoM. Germany will release data including April PPI MoM, May Manufacturing PMI preliminary, June GfK Consumer Confidence Index, Q1 final non-seasonally adjusted GDP YoY, and May IFO Business Climate Index. The eurozone will release data including March seasonally adjusted trade balance, April CPI YoY final, April CPI MoM final, May Manufacturing PMI preliminary, March seasonally adjusted current account, and May Consumer Confidence Index preliminary. Canada will release data including April CPI MoM and March retail sales MoM. Japan's April core CPI YoY, France's May Manufacturing PMI preliminary, and Australia's April seasonally adjusted unemployment rate will also be released. In addition, in China, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) will release the monthly report on residential property prices in 70 large and medium-sized cities, the State Council Information Office will hold a press conference on the national economic performance, and a new round of domestic refined oil price adjustment window will open. At 2:00 AM on May 21, the US Fed will release the minutes of its monetary policy meeting. The Reserve Bank of Australia will release the minutes of its May monetary policy meeting. ECB Chief Economist Lane and Fed Governor Waller will speak at an ECB research conference. 2026 FOMC voter and Philadelphia Fed President Paulsen will deliver a speech. Crude oil: As of last Friday's overnight close, the US-Iran standoff over Strait of Hormuz passage remained unresolved, and both benchmarks rose. WTI gained 4.44% and Brent gained 3.55%. On the week, WTI rose 10.73% and Brent rose 8.08%. As the Iran conflict cut off energy supplies from the Persian Gulf, US refiners are ramping up fuel production to fill supply gaps in gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel. Analysts said this rapid growth trend is expected to keep many refineries operating at effective maximum capacity for at least the remainder of 2026. Reduced spare crude oil supply in Europe and other regions, combined with the difficulty of restoring post-conflict infrastructure in the Middle East in the short term, is pushing up crude oil refining margins. Analysts said this rapid growth trend is expected to keep many refineries operating at effective maximum capacity for at least the remainder of 2026. Data from the US Energy Information Administration showed that the so-called "capacity utilization rate" has climbed for three consecutive weeks and is now approaching 92%. In recent weeks, gasoline production hit a nine-month high, while jet fuel production reached its highest level since the summer of 2024. (Jin10 Data APP) US Energy Secretary Wright said at an event in Sabine Pass, Texas on Friday that the US will replenish every barrel of crude oil released from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). He said: "We are releasing oil now, and for every barrel released, we will put back at least 1.2 barrels into the reserve. Ultimately, we will make the reserve larger than when we started." (Jin10 Data APP) According to US media reports, the Trump administration plans to streamline the permitting process for oil projects within the National Petroleum Reserve-Alaska to boost crude oil production in the US Arctic region. The Interior Department's move aims to establish a new permitting framework for the construction and operation of oil production facilities and related infrastructure. Under the plan, eligible projects could receive analysis and authorization more quickly, potentially within just 30 days. This initiative could benefit companies holding leases in the reserve, such as ConocoPhillips, Santos, and Repsol, and accelerate government review of projects like ConocoPhillips' Willow project, which had drawn strong opposition from climate activists. During the Iran conflict, with approximately 20% of global supply trapped in the Persian Gulf, the Trump administration has stepped up calls for US oil companies to increase production. (Jin10 Data APP) US import and export prices surged in April, posting the largest increases in over four years, driven by oil market pressures related to the Iran conflict, further signaling rising inflation in the world's largest economy. Data released Thursday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed the import price index rose 1.9% MoM, the largest increase since March 2022, with petroleum costs surging 19%. Export prices rose 3.3% MoM, also the largest increase in over four years. (Wallstreetcn)

The year 2026 marks the opening year of the "15th Five-Year Plan" period. Against the backdrop of intensifying global macro volatility and the deepening advancement of high-quality development in China, the zinc industry is undergoing profound transformation: tightness on the ore side and the release of smelting capacity are creating structural tension, divergence between domestic and overseas inventories reflects the complex dynamics of supply-demand rebalancing, and technological innovation is becoming the key momentum for resolving contradictions and reshaping the landscape. Key areas under the "15th Five-Year Plan" such as new energy and new-type infrastructure are injecting new momentum into traditional zinc consumption, while green, low-carbon, and circular economy principles are accelerating the restructuring of industrial logic driven by technological innovation. With the joint support of upstream and downstream enterprises in the zinc industry, industry associations, and relevant parties, SMM is about to hold the 2026 SMM Zinc Industry Conference & the 8th Hot-Dip Galvanizing Industry Development and Technological Innovation Forum & the 14th Zinc Salt, Zinc Oxide and Zinc Secondary Resources Development Forum & the Zinc-Based Materials Development Forum on August 6-8 in Qingdao, Shandong. Themed "Converging Zinc Momentum · Building Zinc Industry · Embarking on a New Journey," the conference is driven by the dual engines of macro perspectives and fundamental analysis, closely aligned with the "15th Five-Year Plan" high-quality development mainline, focusing on four major dimensions: macro policies, supply-demand patterns, global trade, and technological innovation. It aims to drive cost reduction and efficiency improvement through technological breakthroughs, respond to market fluctuations through collaborative innovation, and jointly chart a new blueprint for high-quality and sustainable development of the zinc industry. Gansu Changba Nonferrous Metals Co., Ltd. will attend this grand event, discussing industry development trends with industry peers and jointly driving the zinc industry to new heights. Click the to register now, witness and participate in this significant and far-reaching industry event, and co-create a glorious new chapter! ◆ Company Overview ◆ Gansu Changba Nonferrous Metals Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Baiyin Nonferrous Group Co., Ltd., with Chengzhou Zinc Smelter and Changba Lead-Zinc Mine under its management. It is a large state-owned nonferrous metals enterprise integrating lead-zinc mining, mineral processing, smelting, and scientific research. Chengzhou Zinc Smelter currently has an annual electrolytic zinc production capacity of 100,000 mt. It is a modern smelter integrating zinc metal smelting, comprehensive utilization of resources, and R&D of new nonferrous metal smelting processes. The enterprise adheres to the development direction of "lean collaboration, digital integration, and green leadership," closely aligned with the goal of creating the ultimate quality benchmark. It has continuously made breakthroughs in improving zinc smelting quality. In 2026, the first batch of high-purity zinc ingots with a purity of 99.998% was successfully produced, injecting solid momentum into further enhancing the enterprise's core competitiveness, expanding the high-end zinc materials market, and driving high-quality development of the enterprise. The Chengzhou Zinc Smelter has always adhered to the pursuit of excellence and perfection. With the successful production of 99.998% high-purity zinc ingots as a major breakthrough, the smelter has continued to increase investment in scientific research, actively introduced advanced and applicable production technologies and equipment, focused on building a high-caliber professional and technical talent team, continuously optimized the production process for 99.997% high-purity zinc ingots, and steadily carried out technical research on even higher-purity zinc products. ◆ Honors Bestowed: Quality Certified by Authoritative Bodies ◆ The outstanding quality of the 99.998% high-purity zinc ingots has been widely recognized by authoritative institutions both within and outside the industry, with numerous prestigious awards attesting to their quality excellence: · Technology Innovation Awards: Leveraging core technological breakthroughs such as "Research and Application of Low-Impurity Electrolytic Zinc Standard Creation," the smelter won the "Second Prize of Nonferrous Metals Industry Science and Technology Award," the "First Prize of Gansu Province Science and Technology Progress Award," and the "Grand Prize of Science and Technology of CITIC Guoan Group Co., Ltd.," with its technical capabilities recognized at national, provincial, and municipal/county levels. The "R&D and Application of High-Grade Zinc Ingot Preparation Process Technology" won a Bronze Award at the 11th International Invention Exhibition "Belt and Road" and BRICS Skills Development and Technological Innovation Competition. "Full-Process Lean Management Control for Creating Excellent Zinc Ingot Quality" won the Second Prize of the 2025 Nonferrous Metals Enterprise Management Modernization Innovation Achievement Award. The smelter built Nanshi's first 5G+ digital workshop, deployed industrial robots and unmanned AGV systems, achieved full-process automation of ingot production, and improved production efficiency by 30%. · Product Quality Awards: The main product, zinc ingots (including the 99.997% grade), together with the by-product sulphuric acid, were awarded the highest honor in nonferrous metals product physical quality certification — the "Gold Cup Award," serving as an authoritative endorsement of their quality stability and superiority by the industry. In 2025, the smelter was recognized as a "Premium Brand" by the CNIA. · Market Access Certification: The main product, zinc ingots, was successfully registered on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, obtaining standardized market circulation qualifications. The brand value reached 2.482 billion yuan, ranking 31st nationwide among "Product Brands," laying a solid foundation for the market promotion of 99.997% high-purity zinc ingots. ◆ Diverse Applications: Empowering High-End Industrial Development ◆ Due to its extremely low impurity content and excellent chemical stability, the 99.998% high-purity zinc ingot demonstrates irreplaceable application value in multiple high-end fields: · High-End Electronics: As a core raw material for electronic component coatings, its low-impurity characteristics effectively enhance the conductivity and service life of electronic devices, and it is widely used in the production of precision electronic components such as integrated circuits and smartphone chips. · Aerospace: Used in anti-corrosion coatings for aerospace components and lightweight alloy material manufacturing, its stable physicochemical properties can adapt to extreme environments, ensuring the reliability of aerospace equipment. · Pharmaceutical and Chemical Industry: Serving as raw materials for pharmaceutical intermediates and high-end catalysts, its high-purity characteristics ensure product safety and efficacy, meeting the stringent standards of the pharmaceutical and chemical industry. · New Energy: In the production of new energy products such as zinc-based batteries and energy storage equipment, high-purity zinc ingots can enhance battery energy density and cycle life, facilitating the upgrading of the new energy industry. ◆ Outstanding Performance: Market Recognition Demonstrates Strength ◆ With a zinc ingot capacity of 100,000 mt, the 99.998% high-purity zinc ingots, leveraging core advantages of low lead, low iron, and low cadmium, received strong recognition from downstream clients upon market launch, delivering impressive market results: · Industry-Leading Zinc Ingot Quality: Zinc ingot purity reaches 99.998%, with lead content at 0.0009%, iron content stable at 0.0003%, and cadmium, tin, and aluminum consistently maintained at 0.0002%, placing it at a leading level in the ISP zinc smelting industry. · Extensive Market Coverage: Products were rapidly sold to core markets such as Shanghai and Xuzhou, covering multiple sectors including high-end electronics and precision manufacturing, breaking the supply bottleneck of high-end high-purity zinc ingots. · Leading Client Satisfaction: With stable purity, extremely low impurity content, and reliable supply capability, a stable client base and strong market reputation have been established. Client satisfaction in 2025 reached 100%. ◆ Future Outlook: Continuously Leading High-Quality Development ◆ Chengzhou Zinc Smelter consistently adheres to the pursuit of excellence and perfection. Taking the successful production of 99.998% high-purity zinc ingots as a significant breakthrough, it continues to increase R&D investment, actively introduces advanced and applicable production technologies and equipment, focuses on building a high-caliber professional technical talent team, and continuously optimizes the production process for 99.997% high-purity zinc ingots while steadily advancing technical breakthroughs for even higher-purity zinc products. Meanwhile, it deepens industry-academia-research collaborative innovation, expands application scenarios of high-purity zinc in high-end manufacturing, new materials, and other fields, and promotes coordinated improvement and synergistic development across the upstream and downstream of the industry chain. The enterprise is anchored on the goal of building an industry-leading lean benchmark enterprise, continuously strengthening whole-process quality management, deepening green and low-carbon production, accelerating intelligent transformation and upgrading, and driving enterprise quality improvement, efficiency enhancement, and transformation with solid achievements, contributing tangible "Chengye Strength" to the high-quality development of the zinc smelting industry. ◆ Contact Information ◆ Long press to scan the code and register now 2026 SMM Zinc Industry Conference

[SMM Tin Morning Brief: The Most-Traded SHFE Tin Contract Fluctuated and Pulled Back, Spot Market Trading Remained Sluggish]

According to Bloomberg on May 13 local time, Canadian mining company Nouveau Monde Graphite is expected to formally approve plans this week at its shareholders’ meeting to develop a graphite mine in Saint-Michel-des-Saints, Quebec, and build concentration and refining facilities. The project aims to start operations by the end of 2028. At the shareholders’ meeting, a plan to raise a total of USD 645 million in external funding for the project was approved.

[Standard Lithium Signs 10-Year Supply Agreement with Trafigura for 8,000 mt of Battery-Grade Lithium Carbonate Annually] Smackover Lithium, a joint venture project under Standard Lithium (NYSE.A/TSXV: SLI), announced that it had signed its first binding commercial sales agreement with commodity giant Trafigura Trading LLC, committing to supply 8,000 mt of battery-grade lithium carbonate annually for a 10-year term, effective from the commencement of commercial production. The agreement covers over 40% of the SWA project's total target supply volume, marking a substantive step forward on the commercialization path for this Arkansas-based direct lithium extraction (DLE) project. The remaining supply negotiations are expected to be completed in Q3 2026, and the company maintains its plan to make a final investment decision and commence construction in 2026, with a target of achieving first commercial production in 2029. On the technology validation front, the company simultaneously announced three milestones at its Arkansas demonstration plant: cumulative processing of over 1 million barrels of real formation brine, completion of over 15,000 DLE cycles, and a zero-safety-incident record across 340,000 cumulative work hours, effectively validating the feasibility and stability of the SWA project's core process route. The SWA project is jointly advanced by a joint venture formed by Standard Lithium and Norwegian state oil company Equinor, conducting direct lithium extraction operations on Smackover formation brine in Arkansas. The conclusion of the Trafigura agreement further reinforced market confidence in the project's long-term commercial prospects. Source: [Elevra Lithium Buys Out All Moblan Project Offtake Rights, Equity Settlement Terminates Discounted Sales Obligation] Australian lithium mine company Elevra Lithium (ASX: ELV; NASDAQ: ELVR) announced that it had acquired and terminated the Moblan lithium mine project spodumene concentrates offtake agreement previously granted to an investment vehicle under Waratah Capital Advisors. Upon completion of the transaction, Elevra gained full control of all offtake interests it is entitled to on a pro-rata basis in the Moblan project. The original agreement originated from a 2021 arrangement that granted Waratah the right to purchase 10% of Moblan's annual spodumene concentrates production at a 5% discount over the full life of the mine. The termination was settled through equity, with Elevra issuing ordinary shares valued at $5 million at an issue price of A$12.2 per share and warrants valued at $500,000 to Waratah, preserving cash for subsequent development plans. The Moblan lithium mine project is located in central Quebec, Canada, with Elevra holding a 60% interest and Investissement Québec holding 40%. It is one of the leading undeveloped lithium ore assets in North America by scale. By eliminating the obligation of discounted sales over the full mine life cycle, Elevra significantly improved the long-term economics of the project and retained greater strategic flexibility for further scaling. Source: [Rain City Resources Signs First MOU with Bolivia's National Lithium Company YLB for the Uyuni Basin] Canadian lithium company Rain City Resources Inc. (CSE: RAIN) announced that it had signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) with Bolivia's national lithium company YLB (Yacimientos de Litio Bolivianos), establishing a formal cooperation framework for the evaluation and application of Rain City's next-generation direct lithium extraction (DLE) technology under Bolivian brine conditions. This was the first publicly disclosed lithium cooperation MOU signed between YLB and a foreign enterprise since the new Bolivian government took office. Bolivia holds the world's largest proven lithium resources, primarily concentrated in the Uyuni salt flat and surrounding salt lake systems. Despite the enormous resource potential, the country has historically maintained a cautious stance toward foreign investment in the lithium sector, with institutional access thresholds constituting a significant strategic barrier for international developers, making the signing of this MOU a highly landmark event. Under the agreement, both parties will advance a structured research process centered on formal proposals, technical coordination, and periodic reporting, with a joint technical coordination committee established for oversight and management. The MOU itself does not confer concession rights, resource ownership, or commercial production agreements, but establishes a credible institutional pathway for technology evaluation under real Bolivian brine conditions. Rain City stated that, given the complexity of the brine chemistry in the Uyuni Basin and the scale of its lithium resources, this formal entry into Bolivia's evaluation process represented a significant strategic move for the company to extend its low-water-consumption DLE technology to the broader Lithium Triangle region. Source: [USGS Assesses Potential Lithium Ore Reserves Exceeding 530,000 mt in New England Region] The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) released its latest geological assessment report, confirming the presence of substantial potentially undiscovered lithium deposits in Maine, New Hampshire, and eastern Vermont. The report indicated that recoverable lithium resources in the region exceeded 530,000 metric tons at a 50% probability level, based on existing geological data and historical field observation records. This assessment came at a time when the US federal government was accelerating efforts to build critical minerals supply chain resilience. The US currently relies heavily on lithium ore imports, with domestic production concentrated at only one operating facility in Nevada, a structural vulnerability that has long drawn attention from energy security analysts. Federal officials promoted this study as a significant achievement in advancing the strategy for self-sufficiency in lithium resources supply. Geologists also noted that this assessment carried a wide range of uncertainty, and even if the relevant deposits were confirmed through subsequent exploration, the region would still face a lengthy permitting and development cycle before reaching the commercial extraction stage, with actual industrialisation prospects remaining distant. The USGS has classified lithium as a critical mineral and is advancing similar assessments nationwide to systematically identify the potential of undiscovered lithium resources. Source:

SMM May 14: Metals market: As of the midday close, base metals in the domestic market mostly fell. SHFE copper fell 1.07%. SHFE aluminum fell 0.3%. SHFE lead rose 0.27%, SHFE zinc rose 0.44%. SHFE tin fell 0.87%. SHFE nickel fell 1.06%. In addition, the most-traded foundry aluminum futures fell 0.3%, the most-traded alumina contract rose 0.29%. The most-traded lithium carbonate contract fell 2.01%. The most-traded silicon metal contract fell 0.29%. The most-traded polysilicon futures rose 0.49%. Ferrous metals mostly fell. Iron ore fell 0.43%, rebar fell 0.25%, hot-rolled coil edged down, and stainless steel fell 1.52%. Coking coal and coke: the most-traded coking coal contract rose 0.57%, and the most-traded coke contract rose 0.8%. Overseas market base metals, as of 11:41, LME metals nearly all declined. LME copper fell 1.08%. LME aluminum fell 0.9%, LME lead edged up 0.02%. LME zinc edged down. LME tin fell 2.76%. LME nickel fell 1.57%. Precious metals, as of 11:41, COMEX gold fell 0.33%, COMEX silver fell 2.2%. Domestic precious metals: the most-traded SHFE gold contract fell 0.04%, the most-traded SHFE silver contract rose 1.6%. In addition, as of the midday close, the most-traded platinum futures rose 0.28%, and the most-traded palladium futures fell 0.27%. As of the midday close, the most-traded Europe containerized freight index contract fell 4.32%, closing at 2,434 points. As of 11:41 on May 14, midday futures quotes for selected contracts: Spot and fundamentals Nickel: On May 14, SMM #1 refined nickel prices fell 1,200 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Spot premiums: Jinchuan #1 refined nickel averaged 1,350 yuan/mt, up 100 yuan/mt from the previous trading day... Macro front [Xi Jinping: The Essence of China-US Economic and Trade Relations Is Mutual Benefit and Win-Win] On the morning of May 14, President Xi Jinping held talks with US President Trump, who was on a state visit to China, at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing. Xi Jinping pointed out that facts have repeatedly proven that there are no winners in a trade war, the essence of China-US economic and trade relations is mutual benefit and win-win, and equal consultation is the only correct choice when facing differences and frictions. Yesterday, the economic and trade teams of both sides reached overall balanced and positive outcomes, which is good news for the people of both countries and for the world. Both sides should work together to maintain the current hard-won positive momentum. (CCTV News) [Xi Jinping: Making 2026 a Historic and Landmark Year for China-US Relations to Build on the Past and Open Up the Future] On the morning of May 14, President Xi Jinping held talks with US President Trump, who was on a state visit to China, at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing. Xi Jinping emphasized that the common interests between China and the US outweigh their differences, that the success of each country represents an opportunity for the other, and that stability in China-US relations benefits the world. Both sides should be partners rather than rivals, achieving mutual success and shared prosperity, and forging a path of proper engagement between major countries in the new era. He looked forward to exchanging views with President Trump on major issues concerning both countries and the world, jointly steering the great ship of China-US relations on the right course, and making 2026 a historic and landmark year for China-US relations to build on the past and open up the future. (Xinhua News Agency) China: [PBOC Reverse Repo Operations Resulted in a Net Withdrawal of 26.5 Billion Yuan for the Day] The PBOC conducted 500 million yuan of 7-day reverse repo operations today. As 27 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos matured today, a net withdrawal of 26.5 billion yuan was achieved for the day. US Dollar: As of 11:41, the US dollar index fell 0.01% to 98.48. Driven by a sharp climb in energy prices amid Middle East conflicts, the US April Producer Price Index (PPI) significantly exceeded expectations, posting the largest increase in over three years, and market bets on a Fed rate hike warmed notably. Data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed: US April PPI came in at 6% YoY, the highest level since December 2022. Expectations were 4.8%, with the prior reading at 4%. US April PPI rose 1.4% MoM, the largest single-month increase since March 2022. Expectations were 0.5%, with the prior reading at 0.5%. US April core PPI came in at 5.2% YoY (expectations: 4.3%, prior: 3.8%). US April core PPI rose 1% MoM (expectations: 0.3%, prior: 0.1%). The money market has now priced in approximately 24 basis points of rate hikes ahead of the Fed's June 2027 policy meeting, up from 21 basis points at Tuesday's close. The market priced in roughly a 50% probability of one rate hike within 2026. (Wallstreetcn) According to the CME "FedWatch" tool, the market has now priced in a probability of over 30% for a rate hike by December. Following the unexpectedly strong US April PPI data, the market believes it is now even harder for the US Fed to justify any interest rate cuts this year. In April, the PPI rose 1.4%, well above economists’ consensus expectations of 0.5%, indicating inflationary pressures were stronger than expected and reinforcing the market’s trend toward repricing the interest-rate path. (Jin10 Data) On the data front: Today will see the release of the UK Q1 preliminary annual GDP growth rate, the UK March three-month GDP monthly rate, the UK March manufacturing production monthly rate, Canada March wholesale sales monthly rate, the US weekly initial jobless claims for the week ending May 9, the US April retail sales monthly rate, the US April import price index monthly rate, and other data. In addition, attention should be paid to: 2026 FOMC voting member and Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari participating in a discussion hosted by the local chamber of commerce; the Bank of Canada releasing the minutes of its monetary policy meeting; 2026 FOMC voting member and Dallas Fed President Logan taking part in a dialogue on the energy industry; 2028 FOMC voting member and Kansas City Fed President Schmid delivering remarks on “payments innovation and community banks”; and US President Trump paying a state visit to China. On crude oil: As of 11:41, oil prices in both markets edged up, with WTI up 0.42% and Brent up 0.4%. The market continued to focus on developments in the US-Iran situation. US Vice President Vance said on Wednesday local time: “On the negotiations with Iran, I think progress is being made. Right now we’re focused on the diplomatic track, and I spoke this morning with Special Envoy Witkoff and Kushner. The fundamental issue in the talks is whether we can make enough progress to meet the red lines set by Trump. That red line is very simple. He needs to be confident that we have put in place sufficient safeguards to ensure Iran never obtains a nuclear weapon.” Commenting on the previously released CPI data, Vance said: “Last month’s inflation data wasn’t ideal. The President, I, and the entire team care about the financial situation of the American people.” (Jin10 Data) OPEC’s monthly report showed that Saudi Arabia’s daily crude oil production in April fell to 6.316 million barrels, the lowest since 1990. Saudi Arabia also reported to OPEC that “actual market supply,” excluding the portion injected into storage, was slightly higher than production, reaching a daily average of 6.879 million barrels. (Wallstreetcn) Hunter Hunt, grandson of Texas oil tycoon H.L. Hunt, worried that damage to energy infrastructure in the Middle East could lead to a decline in oil production over the next few years. Hunt discussed many Iran-war-related issues, including production shutdowns, refinery damage, and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which about one-fifth of the world’s crude oil had once been transported. “This is literally the nightmare that no one wants to see in their plans," Hunt said on Wednesday. Hunt rarely speaks publicly. He runs the 91-year-old Hunt Oil Company, which operates globally, including in Yemen and the Kurdistan region of Iraq. (Jin Shi Data) Spot Market Overview: ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ►

According to Miningweekly, citing Bloomberg, a Cold War-era mine near the Slovak capital Bratislava is attracting attention from the EU. The project, known as Trojarova, is situated on a densely wooded hillside in what is known as the Little Carpathians in Slovakia, where Soviet engineers first discovered antimony-bearing ore layers in the 1980s. Its owner, Canada-based Military Metals Corp (MMC), is seen as an opportunity for Europe to secure a military metal. For critical minerals such as antimony, EU countries appear unable to provide funding and take action, leaving projects like Trojarova vulnerable to being snapped up by competitors. MMC has so far failed to secure an offtake agreement from the EU. As President Trump threatens to raise tariffs on Europe, the project illustrates the danger of Europe falling behind in the fierce competition among superpowers. As imports of critical minerals such as rare earths face restrictions, the US has been actively seeking partnerships with resource-rich countries and funding projects around the world to accelerate development, but Europe has lagged behind. "Member states remain reluctant to foot the bill for mining and processing projects outside their borders, even when geo-economic realities demand it," said Schulz Sabrina, Germany director of the European Initiative for Energy Security (EIES). "Financing remains the main obstacle." The 2023 European Critical Raw Materials Act (CRMA) laid out the EU's strategy. The CRMA set targets that at least 10% of Europe's annual critical materials supply should come from domestic extraction and 40% from domestic processing. These targets compelled member states to take action, identify security gaps, and concentrate investment to ensure secure supplies of battery metals such as lithium. Since then, global competitors have pivoted to military resources such as antimony, gallium, and germanium, but Europe has not followed suit. Insiders believe this is because EU officials lack the authority to pursue policies similar to those of the US and lack the funding to invest. This has made it difficult for underfunded enterprises to launch minor metal projects, as they struggle to raise capital in private markets at the very least. With tight budgets across Europe, many EU member states are unknown on how to take action. In Germany, for example, the economics ministry, the chancellery, and the foreign ministry have yet to agree on how to address critical minerals risks. The result is a deadlock, with EU officials worried that member states fear missing out on opportunities. Last month, the EU reached an agreement with the US on policy coordination to secure critical minerals supply chains. For MMC, this was an important development that could lead to joint US-EU investment and offtake partnerships for Trojarova. On March 24, Hartmann Frank, a German foreign ministry official responsible for Asian affairs, said at an event in Berlin that Europe was not acting fast enough and "not doing enough." "We must implement a long-term strategy, keep the funds and capital in our hands, and invest in these critical minerals over the next decade," he said at a panel discussion hosted by the German Council on Foreign Relations. "Otherwise, we will not be able to break free from this dependency." The Trojarova project, acquired by MMC about two years ago, could be an opportunity. Antimony is a silvery-white metal commonly associated with gold, widely used in military applications such as ammunition, night-vision goggles, and infrared sensors, accounting for 15% of total demand. Other uses include flame retardants, nuclear energy, and renewable energy. "Antimony is a versatile minor metal," said Schulz. "Antimony supply is highly concentrated, and Europe is almost entirely dependent on imports." This is also why MMC has been pitching the Trojarova project to investors as a significant opportunity in Europe, capable of supplying antimony ingots directly to national defense clients. MMC CEO Eldridge Scott said smelters in Germany and Sweden could process ore from the project, helping Europe establish an entire antimony supply chain from mining to processing. The mine, located near the wine town of Pezinok in southwestern Slovakia, was first discovered and mined by the Soviets. Although the 1.7-kilometer-long mine was later abandoned, it remains one of Europe's most significant antimony deposits. MMC is too small to resume production at the mine on its own and needs to co-invest with partners and build a smelter. If production resumes within two to three years, the mine could produce 6,000 mt of antimony annually, meeting one-third of Europe's demand. However, the company, with a market capitalization of less than $30 million, needs substantial funding. In addition, critical minerals prices are prone to wild swings, and even in markets such as lithium, several major projects have stalled as miners seek government funding. No matter how high-quality this company's project may be, Europe still lacks the funding and determination to ensure the development of these resources. Germany's own 1 billion euro raw material fund has so far supported only two projects, creating more barriers for companies to qualify than it has removed. The European Commission and its member states have signed multiple memoranda of understanding with producing countries. For example, Spain reached an agreement with Brazil last month. However, US agreements with these countries are larger in funding scale and progressing faster. The US government's agreement with the EU reflects its so-called price floors to safeguard producers' operations. European countries have been hesitant, but sometimes have had no choice but to agree to US proposals. Meanwhile, the momentum for EU action has largely given way to other more pressing crises. In contrast, although the US government has recently been focused on conflicts such as the Iran war, the president's team of aides has been busy identifying mineral projects and bidding to secure them. A US enterprise has already approached MMC to request a field trip to the Trojarova project. Meanwhile, the US government's investment arm agreed last month to a $5 million deal to restart another shuttered antimony mine in North Macedonia. MMC president Hüser Thomas hopes Trojarova will not face a similar outcome. The German national, formerly a manager at Glencore, joined the company this year. "What we still lack is not plans, but enforcement," he said. "Europe's raw material strategy remains fragmented, slow, and often disconnected from industrial reality."

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