SMM News, May 6: According to SMM data, the average all-in tax-included cost of the domestic primary aluminum industry in April 2026 rose by 1.5% month-on-month and fell by 0.6% year-on-year, mainly due to a mild increase in prices of raw and auxiliary materials during the period. In April, the supply gap of primary aluminum overseas pushed up LME aluminum prices. However, high domestic inventory put strong downward pressure on aluminum price upside. The monthly average price of SMM A00 spot aluminum (March 26 - April 25) edged up only 1.0% month-on-month. The profit margin of primary aluminum narrowed slightly by RMB 12 per ton to RMB 8,303 per ton, with the average profit surging 125.1% year-on-year. Calculated based on the monthly average price, 100% of the operational primary aluminum capacity in the domestic market remained profitable in April. Breakdown of Cost Components Alumina price dipped intra-month but monthly average climbed month-on-month SMM data showed that the monthly average SMM alumina index stood at RMB 2,736 per ton in the statistical period of March 26 to April 25, up 1.9% month-on-month. The overall operational alumina capacity stayed stable during the month, and prices bottomed out and rebounded. Driven by market rumors over the bauxite quota policy in Guinea, bullish market sentiment picked up moderately. Nevertheless, the relatively high price at the start of the month lifted the overall monthly average. Entering May, with newly commissioned capacity ramping up steadily, alumina output is expected to increase. Meanwhile, continuous inflows of imported alumina into the domestic market will further ease spot alumina supply. Given the pending clarification of Guinea’s bauxite policy, supply tightening may trigger a minor price rebound. Alumina raw material costs are expected to remain in a consolidating trend in April. Rising costs drive up prices of auxiliary materials Geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East pushed up international crude oil prices in April. Higher cost levels kept petroleum coke prices on an upward track, underpinning higher prebaked anode prices. Aluminum fluoride prices also moved higher in April amid rising raw material costs. Auxiliary material prices will maintain an upward trend in May, driving a further rise in the auxiliary material cost of primary aluminum and lifting the overall cost center slightly. Power prices stabilize, hydropower costs expected to drop entering wet season Power prices remained generally steady in April. As the market gradually transitions from the normal water period to the wet season starting in May, hydropower tariffs in some regions are projected to edge down, leading to a mild decline in the power cost of primary aluminum production. Overall, the weighted average all-in tax-included cost of the domestic primary aluminum industry edged higher in April 2026. The primary aluminum cost is expected to keep rising moderately month-on-month in May, with the average level projected at around RMB 16,200 - 16,600 per ton.

According to SMM data, the average tax-inclusive full cost of China's aluminum industry in April 2026 was up 1.5% MoM and down 0.6% YoY, mainly due to slight increases in both raw and auxiliary material prices during the period. Supported by cost factors, auxiliary material prices for prebaked anode and aluminum fluoride are both expected to rise in May, and aluminum cost is expected to continue to edge up.

SMM April 30: This week, aluminum fluoride enterprises mainly focused on fulfilling existing orders. As month-end approached, the market awaited new price guidance, trading atmosphere was sluggish, and prices remained stable. As of now, SMM aluminum fluoride prices closed at 10,980-11,900 yuan/mt; cryolite prices remained stable, with SMM cryolite quoted at 7,000-8,500 yuan/mt. Raw material side: Prices of core raw materials for aluminum fluoride diverged, but overall cost support remained relatively firm. This week, China's 97% fluorite powder delivery-to-factory prices weakened slightly, with mainstream transaction range at 3,300-3,500 yuan/mt and significant regional price spreads. Influenced by the steady recovery of operating rates in northern producing areas and continuous supplementation from Mongolian imports, the fluorite market's overall supply trended looser, with high-priced sources clearly under pressure in transactions. Demand side, some traders' bearish sentiment intensified, actively cutting prices to facilitate shipments and recover funds; coupled with the approaching holiday, wait-and-see atmosphere in the market was strong, in-market quotations became cautious, new orders lacked follow-through, and the focus was on digesting earlier orders. However, the significant rise in downstream hydrofluoric acid prices boosted fluorite producers' willingness to hold prices firm to some extent. Delayed resumption of operations at Zhejiang mine areas due to safety incidents and periodically low inventory also provided localized support, offsetting some downward pressure, but this was insufficient to counteract the bearish pressure from loose supply and sluggish trading, and fluorite prices overall showed small fluctuations with a weak bias. Aluminum hydroxide prices were under pressure, with the current SMM weighted average price at 1,660 yuan/mt, down 0.42% WoW. The sulphuric acid market was affected by Middle East geopolitical disruptions, with raw material sulphur circulation tight, coupled with firm downstream demand, sulphuric acid prices hovered at highs, and the market performed strongly. Overall, prices of core raw materials for aluminum fluoride diverged, the overall cost center fluctuated at highs, and production pressure on enterprises remained difficult to alleviate. The supply side exhibited a negative cycle of rigid cost increases—deeply pressured profitability—low willingness to operate. Recently, overall raw material costs for aluminum fluoride remained elevated, the industry fell into deep losses with cost inversion, enterprise production enthusiasm was significantly dampened, and the industry's overall operating rate dropped to a low of around 40%. Demand side, downstream operating aluminum capacity remained stable at highs, forming rigid floor demand for aluminum fluoride. Brief comment: This week, the aluminum fluoride market operated steadily overall, with prices maintaining the level after mid-month raises. Raw material side, fluorite and aluminum hydroxide prices weakened slightly, sulphuric acid prices fluctuated at highs, and comprehensive raw material costs remained elevated, continuously exerting significant operational pressure on producers. The supply side remained suppressed by high costs, with industry operating rates staying low and overall output unlikely to see significant increases; the demand side, although rigid demand from aluminum provided some support, downstream enterprises had limited ability to absorb costs, aluminum fluoride price increases faced resistance in passing through to downstream, elevated comprehensive production costs were difficult to effectively transfer, and most enterprises in the industry remained in losses. Currently, sulphuric acid prices remained on the strong side, cost pass-through to downstream still showed obvious lag, and industry profit recovery remained challenging. The current weak pattern of high costs, low profits, and low operating rates in the aluminum fluoride industry continued, the tug-of-war between sellers and buyers intensified, and under strong support from high raw material costs, producers showed clear willingness to raise ex-factory prices. Aluminum fluoride prices are expected to show a broad upward adjustment next month.

[SMM Aluminum News Flash] The aluminum fluoride market operated steadily overall this week, with prices holding at levels after the mid-month raise. Overall, the aluminum fluoride industry continued to face a weak pattern of high costs, low profits, and low operating rates, the tug-of-war between sellers and buyers intensified, and the short-term losses and negative industry dynamics remained difficult to alleviate.

SMM April 23: Trading activity among China's aluminum fluoride enterprises cooled this week, with aluminum fluoride prices holding steady. As of now, SMM aluminum fluoride prices closed at 10,980-11,900 yuan/mt; cryolite prices remained stable, with SMM cryolite quoted at 7,000-8,500 yuan/mt. Raw material side: Prices of core raw materials for aluminum fluoride diverged, but overall cost support remained relatively firm. This week, delivery-to-factory prices of 97% fluorite powder in China held steady, with mainstream transaction range at 3,300-3,550 yuan/mt and significant regional price spreads. Northern mining areas quoted lower, while southern main production areas maintained high prices supported by tightening supply. In terms of supply, safety inspections in China's main production areas continued to tighten, compounded by the impact of earlier safety accidents. Mines and beneficiation plants in south China maintained low operating rates, market supply circulation was tight, and the overall pattern showed rigid contraction with strong spot support. Demand side, downstream hydrofluoric acid enterprises saw profit margins squeezed by high-priced sulphuric acid, with most enterprises restocking on an as-needed basis and limited willingness to chase higher prices in bulk. Considering supply-demand fundamentals and cost transmission logic, SMM expects the fluorite market to hold up well in the short term, more likely to rise than fall. Aluminum hydroxide prices were under pressure, with the current SMM weighted average price at 1,667 yuan/mt, down 2.06% WoW. The sulphuric acid market performed strongly as Middle East tensions disrupted raw material sulphur circulation, which was tight, coupled with firm downstream demand, keeping sulphuric acid prices hovering at highs. Overall, aluminum fluoride raw material prices stabilized, but production pressure on enterprises persisted. The supply side exhibited a negative cycle of rigid cost increases—deeply squeezed profitability—low willingness to operate. Recently, prices of core raw materials such as fluorite, sulphuric acid, and aluminum hydroxide diverged, but the overall raw material cost center lingered at highs. Production pressure on aluminum fluoride enterprises remained unrelieved, with the industry mired in deep losses and cost inversion. Enterprise production enthusiasm was significantly dampened, and the industry's overall operating rate dropped to a low of 40-50%. Demand side, downstream operating aluminum capacity remained stable at highs, providing rigid floor demand for aluminum fluoride. Brief comment: The aluminum fluoride market operated steadily overall this week, with prices maintaining the level after the mid-month raise. Raw material side, fluorite prices were stable, sulphuric acid prices fluctuated at highs, and only aluminum hydroxide prices softened slightly. Overall raw material costs remained elevated, continuing to exert significant operational pressure on producers. The supply side was suppressed by high costs, with industry operating rates staying low and overall output unlikely to see notable increases. The demand side relied on rigid aluminum demand to support overall procurement, but downstream enterprises had limited ability to absorb costs, with upward transmission impeded and unable to effectively digest continuously rising comprehensive production costs. Most enterprises remained in a loss-making state. Currently, key raw materials such as fluorite and sulphuric acid remain on a strong trend, but cost pass-through has a lag effect, making it difficult for the industry to restore profitability. The aluminum fluoride industry continues to operate in a weak pattern characterized by high costs, low profits, and low operating rates. The tug-of-war between sellers and buyers is intensifying, and the situation of short-term losses and negative industry operations remains difficult to alleviate.

[SMM Aluminum News Flash] This week, raw materials for aluminum fluoride overall continued to fluctuate upward. Although aluminum hydroxide prices weakened somewhat, sulphuric acid prices surged significantly, hitting new highs repeatedly. The sustained rise in costs has notably intensified pressure on enterprises' production and operations.

SMM April 16: Trading activity among China's aluminum fluoride enterprises was moderate this week, with aluminum fluoride prices fluctuating upward. As of now, SMM aluminum fluoride prices closed at 10,980-11,900 yuan/mt; cryolite prices remained stable, with SMM cryolite quoted at 7,000-8,500 yuan/mt. Raw material side: Prices of core raw materials for aluminum fluoride diverged, with comprehensive cost support continuously strengthening, building a solid price floor for the aluminum fluoride market. This week, delivery-to-factory prices of 97% fluorite powder in China remained stable, with mainstream transaction range at 3,300-3,550 yuan/mt and significant regional price spreads. Northern mining areas quoted lower prices, while southern major producing areas maintained high prices supported by tightening supply. In terms of supply, safety inspections in major domestic producing areas continued to tighten, compounded by the impact of earlier safety accidents, keeping operating rates of southern mines and beneficiation plants at low levels. Market supply circulation remained tight, presenting an overall rigid contraction pattern with strong spot cargo support. Demand side, downstream hydrofluoric acid enterprises resumed stable operations after the holiday, with just-in-time procurement following in an orderly manner. Since April, anhydrous hydrogen fluoride prices rose significantly, with smooth cost transmission providing clear support to the fluorite market. However, the hydrofluoric acid industry saw profit margins squeezed by high sulphuric acid prices, with enterprises mainly restocking on an as-needed basis and limited willingness to chase higher prices in bulk. Considering supply-demand fundamentals and cost transmission logic, SMM expects the fluorite market to hold up well in the near term, more likely to rise than fall. Aluminum hydroxide prices were under pressure, with the current SMM weighted average price at 1,667 yuan/mt, down 2.06% WoW. The sulphuric acid market performed strongly, as geopolitical instability in the Middle East tightened raw material sulphur supply, combined with tightening supply and robust demand, sulphuric acid prices were continuously raised to 1,950-2,150 yuan/mt. Overall, aluminum fluoride raw material costs rose, significantly increasing production pressure on enterprises. The supply side presented a negative cycle of rigid cost increases—deeply pressured profitability—low operating willingness. Recently, prices of core raw materials such as fluorite, sulphuric acid, and aluminum hydroxide continued to rise, driving aluminum fluoride production costs to climb significantly. The industry fell into deep losses with cost inversion, severely dampening production enthusiasm, with the overall industry operating rate dropping to a low of 40-50%. Demand side, downstream operating aluminum capacity remained stable at high levels, forming rigid demand for aluminum fluoride. Brief comment: This week, aluminum fluoride raw material costs overall continued to fluctuate upward. Although aluminum hydroxide prices weakened somewhat, sulphuric acid prices surged significantly and repeatedly hit new highs, with continuously rising costs notably intensifying production and operational pressure on enterprises. Although aluminum fluoride prices were already raised substantially at the beginning of the month, core raw materials such as fluorite and sulphuric acid remained in an upward trend, with cost transmission experiencing phased lag. Enterprises had limited room for profit recovery, and production-side pressure remained prominent. Sulphuric acid prices were raised again during the week, hitting new highs and driving aluminum fluoride production costs to climb in tandem. Supported by strong costs, recent aluminum smelter tender prices rose significantly to 11,500-11,800 yuan/mt. Going forward, close attention should be paid to the trends in upstream raw material costs and marginal changes in the procurement pace of downstream aluminum enterprises.

Overall, cost support remained strong, supply tightened while demand stayed stable. As tender prices became clear, aluminum fluoride prices were generally raised by around 800 yuan/mt in line with the guidance. Going forward, close attention should be paid to dynamic changes in raw material costs and adjustments in downstream procurement pace.

SMM News, March 31 According to SMM data, the average tax-inclusive full cost of domestic aluminum industry in March 2026 rose 0.5% MoM and fell 5.7% YoY, mainly due to a slight rebound in alumina raw material costs during the period. In March, Middle East production cuts pushed up aluminum prices in and outside China. The SMM A00 monthly average spot price (February 26-March 25) rose 2.9% MoM, and aluminum profit margins expanded to 8,316 yuan/mt. Based on monthly average price calculations, 100% of China’s operating aluminum capacity was profitable in March. From the cost breakdown side: Alumina raw materials : According to SMM data, the monthly average of the SMM alumina index in March was 2,685 yuan/mt (January 26-February 25), up 2.4% MoM. During the month, total operating alumina capacity was basically stable, but the Middle East geopolitical conflict raised ocean freight rates for alumina and bauxite, and domestic alumina costs are expected to move higher. Futures prices drove spot prices higher, lifting the monthly average alumina price. Entering April, the upward momentum in spot alumina prices at month-end March appeared slightly insufficient. Some new projects are expected to come online in April or ramp up operating capacity, but as the base price at the beginning of the month was already at a high level, alumina raw material costs in April are expected to post a slight increase. Auxiliary materials market : In March, both prebaked anode and fluoride salt prices pulled back, lowering aluminum auxiliary material costs. Entering April, the Middle East geopolitical conflict raised international oil prices, and higher costs continued to push up petroleum coke prices, which in turn supported higher prebaked anode prices. The April prebaked anode tender price at a large aluminum plant in Shandong rose 300 yuan/mt MoM; for aluminum fluoride, prices are also expected to rise significantly in April due to higher raw material costs. Overall, auxiliary material costs are expected to increase significantly in April. Electricity prices : Electricity prices were generally stable in March. Entering April, power prices are expected to remain broadly stable, and aluminum power costs are expected to hold steady. Overall, in March 2026, SMM expected the weighted average tax-inclusive full cost of dometstic aluminum industry to rise slightly; in April, it was expected to increase significantly MoM, with the average at around 16,150-16,550 yuan/mt.

SMM, March 19: This week, Chinese aluminum fluoride enterprises mainly focused on order deliveries, with aluminum fluoride prices holding steady. As of now, SMM aluminum fluoride prices closed at 10,180-10,450 yuan/mt; cryolite prices also held steady, with SMM cryolite quoted at 7,000-8,500 yuan/mt. Raw material side: Prices of key raw materials for aluminum fluoride continued to rise. Specifically, the delivery-to-factory price of 97% fluorite powder remained stable, currently concentrated in the range of 3,150-3,450 yuan/mt. During the Two Sessions, mining at northern mines was restricted, leading to a temporary tight supply of fluorite raw ore; some beneficiation plants showed strong sentiment to hold prices firm due to relatively low inventory levels, and downstream hydrofluoric acid enterprises slightly recovered in operating demand after resuming work following the holiday. SMM expected fluorite prices to hold up well in the short term. Aluminum hydroxide prices edged up steadily, with the current SMM weighted average price at 1,673 yuan/mt, up 1.52% WoW. The sulphuric acid market remained firm, and prices continued to rise amid higher costs, tightening supply, and strong demand. Overall, the raw material side of aluminum fluoride moved higher, and production pressure on enterprises increased significantly. Supply side showed a pattern of rigid cost increases, deeply pressured profitability, and weak willingness to operate. Recently, prices of key raw materials such as fluorite, sulphuric acid, and aluminum hydroxide continued to rise, significantly pushing up aluminum fluoride production costs. The industry was caught in a squeeze from both costs and selling prices, with enterprises generally operating at a loss. Production enthusiasm was hit hard, overall industry operating rates remained in the doldrums, and actual supply increases were limited. On the demand side, operating aluminum capacity downstream remained stable, forming a rigid demand base for aluminum fluoride; however, enterprises mainly restocked for rigid demand and purchased as needed, with cautious procurement and insufficient demand elasticity to boost prices. Brief comment: This week, prices of key raw materials such as fluorite and sulphuric acid held up well, and the cost side continued to rise, significantly increasing production pressure on enterprises; in March, the aluminum fluoride tender price of a downstream benchmark enterprise was finalized, down 200-370 yuan/mt MoM, and the spot market also moved in the doldrums under its guidance. At present, the industry is facing a two-way squeeze of rising costs and selling prices under pressure, narrowing profit margins and dampening production enthusiasm. Fundamentally: Cost side: fluorite and sulphuric acid prices remained firm, providing clear bottom support for aluminum fluoride. Supply side: industry operating rates stayed in the doldrums, with no significant increase in production, and overall supply and demand remained subdued. Demand side: rigid demand from aluminum remained stable, but there was no obvious incremental growth, and procurement was mainly as needed. Overall, the strong support effect from fluorite and sulphuric acid on the cost side became more prominent, coupled with low industry operating rates and shrinking supply. Aluminum fluoride's price center is expected to move steadily higher next month, showing a mild strengthening trend. Going forward, close and continuous attention should be paid to dynamic changes on the raw material cost side, as well as marginal adjustments in the procurement pace of downstream aluminum enterprises.