SMM May 7: Weak downstream demand continued to weigh on tungsten prices. The average price of wolframite concentrates (≥65%) on May 7 was reported at 700,500 yuan/standard tonne (65%WO3 basis). In less than two months, the price has pulled back over 33% from its historical high. As multiple tungsten enterprises continued to lower their long-term contract prices for the first half of May, extending the two rounds of cuts in April, how will tungsten prices evolve going forward? Multiple Tungsten Enterprises Continue to Lower Long-Term Contract Prices for First Half of May Multiple tungsten enterprises continued to lower their long-term contract prices for the first half of May, details as follows: A tungsten group in Jiangxi released its long-term contract prices for the first half of May. The guidance price for national standard Grade 1 wolframite concentrates for the first half of May 2026 was 720,000 yuan/standard tonne (65%WO3 basis) (long-term contract), down 190,000 yuan/standard tonne (65%WO3 basis) from the second half of April. Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten's long-term contract procurement prices for the first half of May were: 1 55% wolframite concentrates: 700,000 yuan/standard tonne (65%WO3 basis), down 185,000 yuan/standard tonne (65%WO3 basis) from the previous round; 2 55% scheelite concentrates: 699,000 yuan/standard tonne (65%WO3 basis), down 185,000 yuan/standard tonne (65%WO3 basis) from the previous round; 3 APT (national standard Grade 0): 1.02 million yuan/mt, down 330,000 yuan/mt from the previous round. Wolframite Concentrates Fell 33.32% in Less Than 2 Months According to SMM, the price spread between tungsten ore long-term contract prices and spot order transaction prices widened to around 200,000. Mainstream mines primarily shipped under long-term contracts, while spot orders in the market still faced some selling pressure with difficult transactions and a continuously declining center. However, considering the limited spot order trading volume and the high proportion of long-term contracts in the market, SMM maintained the May 7 price unchanged for now. According to SMM quotes, the price of wolframite concentrates (≥65%) on that day was 700,000–701,000 yuan/standard tonne (65%WO3 basis), with an average price of 700,500 yuan/standard tonne (65%WO3 basis), flat from the previous trading day. Along with the declining center of tungsten prices, the average price of wolframite concentrates (≥65%) at 700,500 yuan/standard tonne (65%WO3 basis) on May 7, compared with its historical high average price of 1,050,500 yuan/standard tonne (65%WO3 basis) on March 16, showed that in less than 2 months, the average price of wolframite concentrates fell by 350,000 yuan/standard tonne (65%WO3 basis), a decline of 33.32%. Outlook As China's mainstream tungsten enterprises continued to lower their new round of long-term contract prices, spot market confidence remained under pressure. It is expected that tungsten prices will remain in the doldrums in the short term given the lack of demand support. In the long term, underpinned by the supply rigidity from the continued tightening of China's annual tungsten ore mining quotas, the logic of raw material supply contraction remains unchanged. After tungsten prices pulled back over 33% in less than two months, the room for further deep declines has been significantly compressed. Going forward, the key focus will be on the pace of recovery in actual end-user demand from downstream sectors such as cemented carbide, special steel, and PV tungsten wire, as well as the timing of concentrated restocking by enterprises in the low-price segment. Recommended reading:

[SMM Tungsten Express] SMM May 7: APT CIF Rotterdam prices remained stable at $2,900-3,200/mtu this week, flat WoW. However, market pessimism was strong in the European market this week, with end-users mostly adopting a wait-and-see attitude. Despite no change in the tight supply landscape, there was virtually no substantial trading in the market this week, and buyers and sellers were in a stalemate. In the Indian market, FOB prices for scrap tungsten drill bits were quoted at $100-120/kg, with an average price of $110/kg, down $30 WoW. Market demand was weak, and panic sentiment among scrap dealers intensified, accelerating the price decline.

[SMM Tungsten Daily Review: Tungsten Market Trading Sluggish, Awaiting Tomorrow's Long-Term Contract to Set the Tone] SMM May 6 News: On the first day after the holiday, China's tungsten market continued its weak consolidation trend. The upstream raw material market was waiting for tomorrow's long-term contract guidance price, with very few transactions in the market. Downstream powder and cemented carbide intermediate products showed a catch-up decline. Wait-and-see sentiment pervaded the market, with transactions across all segments dominated by scattered small orders for rigid demand, lacking support from bulk transactions.

[SMM Tungsten Daily Review: Pessimistic Sentiment Released in Concentration, Tungsten Products Fell across the Entire Industry Chain Today] SMM April 27: China's tungsten market today was hit by the sharp downward adjustment of long-term contracts by leading enterprises, and prices across the entire industry chain fell collectively to catch up with earlier declines. The single-day drop hit a recent high, market bullish confidence was severely undermined, and the trading atmosphere turned sluggish.

As of April 24, SMM APT CIF Rotterdam averaged $3,050/mtu, down $135 WoW; Ferro-tungsten averaged $300/kg W, down $20 WoW. Trading remained thin as buyers and sellers stayed on the sidelines amid heightened wait-and-see sentiment.

[SMM Tungsten Express] Driven by soaring tungsten prices and rising defense budgets, Vietnam's Masan High-Tech Materials is stepping up its search for strategic investors for its Nui Phao tungsten mine, one of the world's largest and most significant non-China tungsten sources. The company also plans to list on the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange in 2027, prioritizing debt reduction to achieve a "clean" balance sheet by 2027-2028. Its customers include Honeywell and Mitsubishi, with 2026 profit projected at 1.7-2.5 trillion Vietnamese dong.

Recently, China's tungsten prices have retreated from highs, with wolframite concentrates falling 16.18% over a period of more than one month. After lowering their long-term contract prices for the first half of April, multiple tungsten enterprises continued to cut long-term contract prices for the second half of April. However, in terms of the magnitude of this round of reductions, the long-term contract price cuts for the second half of April narrowed significantly compared to the first half, which to some extent helped market sentiment gradually stabilize. Currently, wait-and-see sentiment remains strong in the market, the tug-of-war between upstream and downstream continues — how will tungsten prices perform going forward? Multiple Tungsten Enterprises Continue to Cut Long-term Contract Prices Multiple tungsten enterprises lowered their long-term contract prices for the second half of April, as follows: A Jiangxi tungsten group released its long-term contract prices for the second half of April: the guidance price for national standard Grade-1 wolframite concentrates for the second half of April 2026 was 910,000 yuan/standard tonne (65%WO3 basis), down 46,000 yuan/standard tonne (65%WO3 basis) from the first half of April. Meanwhile, Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten Co., Ltd. also lowered its long-term contract procurement prices for the second half of April: 1 55% wolframite concentrates: 885,000 yuan/standard tonne (65%WO3 basis), down 45,000 yuan/standard tonne (65%WO3 basis) from the previous round; 2 55% scheelite concentrates: 884,000 yuan/standard tonne (65%WO3 basis), down 45,000 yuan/standard tonne (65%WO3 basis) from the previous round; 3 APT (national standard Grade-0): 1.35 million yuan/mt, down 90,000 yuan/mt from the previous round. Notably, in the first half of April pricing, Zhangyuan Tungsten's 55% wolframite concentrates and 55% scheelite concentrates had already been cut by 90,000 yuan/standard tonne (65%WO3 basis) each MoM. Wolframite Concentrates Fell Over 16% in Just Over a Month Since mid-to-late March, driven by profit-taking, downstream buyers' reluctance to purchase at high levels, and an overall adjustment in commodity markets, tungsten prices — which had repeatedly hit record highs — began to pull back. On April 20, wolframite concentrates (≥65%) were priced at 880,000–881,000 yuan/standard tonne (65%WO3 basis), with an average price of 880,500 yuan/standard tonne (65%WO3 basis), down 1.12% from the previous trading day. Compared with the historical high average tungsten price of 1,050,500 yuan/standard tonne (65%WO3 basis) on March 16, the average price of wolframite concentrates fell by 170,000 yuan/standard tonne (65%WO3 basis) over just over a month, a decline of 16.18%. Outlook As leading tungsten enterprises' long-term contract prices were finalized, China's tungsten market sentiment turned mild. Mainstream mines focused on long-term contract deliveries, with spot order prices fluctuating around long-term contract levels. APT smelter prices remained firm, and driven by continued ore price movements, APT industry margins showed a widening trend. Wait-and-see sentiment among downstream cemented carbide alloy enterprises has not fully dissipated, with enterprises mainly restocking on a just-needed basis. However, industry inventory has been gradually declining, and a wave of restocking is expected before the Labour Day holiday, which will drive a recovery in tungsten market trading volume. Meanwhile, the tight supply pattern of tungsten outside China remained unchanged. Cemented carbide plants in Japan and several other countries collectively raised their quotes, which was positive for the export and consumption of related products in China. In the short term, long-term contracts stabilized the tungsten market. As industry profit-taking positions were gradually cleared and downstream demand followed up, the tungsten market was expected to gradually stop falling and stabilize. Going forward, the focus should be on tracking the actual pre-holiday restocking progress of cemented carbide alloy enterprises. Recommended reading:

[SMM Tungsten Daily Review: Weakening Long-Term Contract Support in Tungsten Market, Industry Chain Continued to Fluctuate Downward] SMM April 21: China's spot tungsten market continued to fluctuate downward today. Major mines primarily fulfilled long-term contracts, while spot orders were hard to come by. Prices of tungsten smelting products, tungsten powder, and recycled materials were generally under pressure. Market pessimism spread further. Profit-taking accumulated from earlier high prices continued to be released, compounded by shrinking industry orders in downstream cemented carbide and cutting tool sectors. End-user procurement nearly came to a standstill. The market remained in a state of unrelenting upstream selling pressure and declining downstream buying volumes, with the overall trading sentiment staying sluggish.

Since March, the domestic tungsten market has trended higher and then pulled back. Driven by rigid supply and macro sentiment at the beginning of March, prices rose rapidly, with 65% wolframite concentrate hitting a record high of 105,000 yuan per standard ton. Starting from mid-March, profit-taking by investors, downstream resistance to high prices, and a general correction in commodity markets led to a gradual price pullback, pushing the entire market into a phase of supply-demand game.

[SMM Tungsten Express] Aim-listed Tungsten West is accelerating the restart of its Hemerdon tungsten-tin mine in the UK, with Phase 1 fines gravity processing targeted for Q3 2026 and full commissioning of new crushing, screening and ore sorting facilities planned for Q1 2027. The company is advancing $85 million in debt financing and a £22.3 million equipment finance package. Current tungsten prices of ~$2,999/mtu and tin prices above $46,000/t far exceed feasibility study benchmarks ($400/mtu for tungsten, $32,500/t for tin), significantly enhancing project economics.