Editor’s Note: Looking back at the H1 rare earth market, it was truly a case of “you reap what you sow.” The rare earth sector as a whole drifted higher amid consolidation, while price performance diverged across products. Pr-Nd oxide rose 22.42% in H1, dysprosium oxide increased 5.97%, and terbium oxide gained 8.37%. As the tide lifts all boats, the rise in rare earth prices directly boosted operating returns for enterprises across the industry chain. According to SMM statistics, the 10 rare earth-related firms that have disclosed semi-annual reports, preliminary earnings releases, and earnings forecasts all delivered varying degrees of earnings growth in H1. The market is now eagerly awaiting the realization of demand in the traditional peak season. At this period of transition from summer to autumn, can the H2 rare earth market sustain H1’s gains, and what kind of market landscape will emerge for upstream and downstream players in the rare earth industry chain? Multiple Rare Earth Companies Report Strong H1 Results A semi-annual earnings forecast disclosed by China Rare Earth on the evening of July 13 showed that, based on preliminary estimates by the company’s finance department, net profit attributable to shareholders of the publicly listed firm for the 2026 semi-annual period was expected to be 3,700 million yuan to 4,300 million yuan, an increase of 297.5013 million yuan to 357.5013 million yuan from the same period last year, up 410.35% to 493.11% YoY. Net profit attributable to shareholders of the publicly listed firm after deducting non-recurring gains and losses for the 2026 semi-annual period was expected to be 3,680.027 million yuan to 4,280.027 million yuan, an increase of 276.2326 million yuan to 336.2326 million yuan from the same period last year, up 301.00% to 366.39% YoY. Regarding the main reasons for the expected earnings increase for the period, China Rare Earth stated: (1) In H1 2026, amid changes in the supply-demand pattern of the rare earth industry and YoY increases in prices of major rare earth products, the company enhanced overall operating value of its core rare earth business by innovating an integrated operating model, coordinating rare earth raw material procurement for separation plants and full-product market sales, and dynamically adjusting its product output mix based on analysis of changes in supply and demand. (2) The company vigorously advanced loss-making enterprise remediation and deepened reform initiatives, achieving notable results; resources were further concentrated in core main businesses and advantaged businesses, and loss-making enterprises significantly reduced losses YoY. (3) The company’s investee, Dabaoshan, maintained stable and high output; sales and prices of copper and sulfur products both rose YoY, increasing enterprise profitability, and the company’s investment income recognized under the equity method increased. A semi-annual earnings forecast disclosed by Huahong Technology on the evening of July 13 showed that net profit attributable to the parent in H1 2026 was expected to be 320 million yuan to 360 million yuan, up 301.84%–352.08% YoY. Regarding the reasons for the performance change, Huahong Technology stated: In H1 2026, benefiting from industry policies and a rebound in downstream demand, prices of major rare earth products in China climbed steadily. The company’s comprehensive utilization segment for rare earth resources seized market opportunities, fully leveraging its overall advantages in capacity scale, cost control, and process technologies, continuously optimizing supply–production–sales coordination and inventory management strategies, and effectively driving a full release of profitability in this segment. The company continued to deepen its layout across the rare earth industry chain, with its downstream rare earth permanent magnet material business expanding steadily. Benefiting from stable demand in end-use sectors such as NEVs, wind power, and industrial automation, this segment continued to scale up, with revenue and product mix continuously improving, becoming an important supplement to earnings growth. Xiamen Tungsten’s semiannual performance forecast showed that, based on preliminary calculations by the finance department, it was expected that in H1 2026, net profit attributable to shareholders of the publicly listed firm would be about 2.2160318 billion yuan, an increase of about 1.2467133 billion yuan compared with the same period last year, up about 128.62% YoY. Based on preliminary calculations by the finance department, it was expected that in H1 2026, net profit attributable to shareholders of the publicly listed firm after excluding non-recurring gains and losses would be about 2.1760263 billion yuan, an increase of about 1.2534882 billion yuan compared with the same period last year, up about 135.87% YoY. Regarding the main reasons for the expected increase in performance for the period, Xiamen Tungsten explained: In H1, amid a market environment where material prices for major raw materials such as tungsten, cobalt, lithium carbonate, and Pr-Nd oxide rose YoY and swung wildly, the company responded proactively, dynamically adjusted its operating strategy, and drove a linked rise in selling prices; meanwhile, it continued to enhance product quality and market development capabilities. Sales of major products such as alloy bars, cutting tools, power battery cathode materials, and magnetic materials climbed steadily, and profitability across the company’s three core businesses—tungsten & molybdenum, new energy materials, and rare earths—improved to varying degrees. Ningbo Yunsheng disclosed a performance forecast on the evening of July 14, showing that, based on preliminary calculations by the finance department, it was expected that in H1 2026, net profit attributable to shareholders of the publicly listed firm would be 240 million yuan to 310 million yuan; compared with the same period last year (statutorily disclosed figures), it would increase by 132.1657 million yuan to 202.1657 million yuan, up 122.56%–187.48% YoY. The net profit attributable to shareholders of the publicly listed firm, excluding non-recurring gains and losses, was expected to be 2.1 billion yuan to 2.8 billion yuan for the 2026 semiannual period. Compared with the same period last year (statutorily disclosed data), this was expected to increase by 1.3954 billion yuan to 1.913954 billion yuan, up 137.01% to 216.01% YoY. Ningbo Yunsheng stated that the main reasons for this performance increase were: during the reporting period, the Company remained client demand-oriented, deeply focused on NEVs, consumer electronics, industrial and other application fields, actively explored emerging and regional markets, seized development opportunities for new projects, continuously optimized its business mix, and increased the proportion of revenue from outside China. Meanwhile, the Company continued to deepen refined management, driving higher product gross margins and resulting in an increase in net profit. The semiannual earnings forecast released by China Northern Rare Earth showed that, based on a preliminary estimate by the Company’s finance department, the net profit attributable to owners of the parent was expected to be 19.8 billion yuan to 20.6 billion yuan for the 2026 semiannual period. Compared with the same period last year (statutorily disclosed data), this was expected to increase by 10.5 billion yuan to 11.3 billion yuan, up 112.74% to 121.33% YoY. The net profit attributable to owners of the parent, excluding non-recurring gains and losses, was expected to be 19.9 billion yuan to 20.7 billion yuan for the 2026 semiannual period. Compared with the same period last year (statutorily disclosed data), this was expected to increase by 10.93 billion yuan to 11.73 billion yuan, up 121.90% to 130.82% YoY. As for the main reasons for the performance increase in the current period: In H1 2026, the Company served the national rare earth resources strategy and fully implemented the requirements for secure control of the rare earth industry chain. Affected by factors such as constrained supply on the raw material end of the market and the release of downstream demand across multiple areas with sustained growth, rare earth product prices overall strengthened and consolidated. Centered on the annual production and operating task targets, the Company made coordinated planning and adopted comprehensive measures, strengthened comprehensive budget management, pursued cost reduction, quality improvement and efficiency enhancement in synergy, scientifically organized production and production schedules, stepped up market sales and marketing operations, deepened reform and innovation, strengthened group management and risk prevention and control, and advanced the deep integration of specialized management, lean management and 5S management with high quality. It promoted the construction of key projects, accelerated the development of new quality productive forces through management and scientific research and innovation, and provided solid support and assurance for the Company to achieve sound operating results with strong industry chain value creation capability and core competitiveness. The Company scientifically refined its production organization and operations, and production of rare earth smelting and separation products, rare earth metal products, and rare earth new materials all reached record highs for the same period; its subsidiary Inner Mongolia North Rare Earth Magnetic Materials Co., Ltd. achieved operating revenue of approximately 9.5 billion yuan in H1, up approximately 107% YoY, maintaining a growth trend for three consecutive years; its subsidiary Inner Mongolia Xi’aoke Hydrogen Storage Alloy Co., Ltd. put its first batch of 1,000 hydrogen-powered two-wheelers into official operation in Baotou City, with cumulative safe mileage reaching 170,000 kilometers, and the project’s demonstration effect was significant. The company continued to benchmark against advanced practices both internally and externally to further tap its potential, strengthened refined management, and achieved significant improvements in multiple economic and technical indicators. Based on targeted measures across business segments: the smelting and separation segment overcame new changes in production costs caused by rising prices of raw and auxiliary materials, effectively controlled cost fluctuations, and scientifically organized production and production scheduling to ensure new demand for product supply; the rare earth metals segment used the strengthening of lean production as a key lever and leveraged digital and intelligent tools to further enhance on-site process operation management, driving new breakthroughs in economic and technical indicators such as quality and material consumption ratios; the rare earth new materials and applications segment fully leveraged the advantages of newly added capacity, precisely aligned with client needs, and made new progress in using production to drive sales promotions. The company deepened coordinated linkage across the industry chain, and on the basis of ensuring stable product supply, consolidated the foundation of cooperation with downstream clients. Shenghe Resources’ H1 performance forecast released on July 10 showed that, based on preliminary calculations by the company’s finance department, net profit attributable to owners of the parent for 2026 H1 was expected to be 800 million to 930 million yuan, an increase of 423.0938 million to 553.0938 million yuan compared to the same period last year, up 112.25% to 146.75% YoY. Net profit attributable to owners of the parent for 2026 H1 after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was expected to be 790 million to 920 million yuan, an increase of 426.487 million to 556.487 million yuan compared to the same period last year, up 117.32% to 153.09% YoY. Regarding the main reasons for the expected increase in performance for the period, Shenghe Resources stated that during the reporting period, influenced by factors such as rare earth industry policies and downstream demand, overall market demand for the company’s major rare earth products improved, and product prices and average selling prices rose significantly compared with the previous year. The company seized market opportunities, optimized its production and sales structure, strengthened management empowerment and cost control, thereby driving a substantial increase in performance. According to the semi-annual report recently released by China Rare Earth, in H1, the supply-demand pattern of the rare earth industry continued to be adjusted and optimized; driven by multiple favorable factors such as rare earth industry policies and a boost in downstream market demand, the overall market trend rose, and Pr-Nd product prices increased notably compared to the same period last year. In line with the annual work plan, the company anchored its targets and further increased pressure, rode the momentum and strove to lead, strengthened Party-building leadership, and closely focused on six key tasks—resource security, efficient operations, technological innovation, project development, deepening reform, and capability building—making targeted efforts and achieving significant phased results. Both operational performance and quality improved in tandem, all operating targets and tasks were successfully completed, and the company worked hard to create a new landscape of high-quality leapfrog development, laying the foundation for a strong start to the “15th Five-Year Plan” period. In H1 , the company achieved operating revenue of 1.647 billion yuan; net profit attributable to shareholders of the publicly listed firm of 237 million yuan, up 46.53% YoY; and net profit attributable to shareholders of the publicly listed firm after deducting non-recurring gains and losses of 240 million yuan, up 55.49% YoY. The H1 performance forecast disclosed by Tianhe Magnetics on July 9 showed that, based on preliminary calculations by the finance department, net profit attributable to owners of the parent company for H1 2026 was expected to be 73 million yuan to 93 million yuan, representing an increase of 19.5448 million yuan to 39.5448 million yuan compared with the same period last year (statutorily disclosed data), up 36.56% to 73.98% YoY. Net profit attributable to owners of the parent company for H1 2026 after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was expected to be 68 million yuan to 88 million yuan, representing an increase of 32.5723 million yuan to 52.5723 million yuan compared with the same period last year (statutorily disclosed data), up 91.94% to 148.39% YoY. Regarding the main reasons for the expected increase in H1 performance, Tianhe Magnetics stated: 1、 In H1, raw material prices fluctuated at elevated levels overall. The company optimized its pricing strategy for certain existing inventory and new orders, and raised product selling prices. 2、In 2026, the company proactively seized market opportunities and carried out sales efforts around “focusing on emerging markets, deepening customer relationships, and optimizing channel layout,” achieving dual-engine growth driven by both international and China markets. Market development delivered notable results, and overall operating revenue is expected to increase by about 30% YoY, with revenue from China operations expected to increase by about 50% YoY. 3、During the reporting period, the impact of non-recurring gains and losses on net profit was expected to be about 5 million yuan, versus non-recurring gains and losses (after tax) of 18.0275 million yuan in the same period last year. The H1 performance forecast released by JL MAG Rare-Earth on July 1 showed that net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company in H1 2026 was expected to be 400 million yuan to 460 million yuan, up 31.17%-50.84% YoY. Regarding the reasons for the performance change, JL MAG Rare-Earth stated in its announcement: 1、In H1 2026, the company’s management adhered to the annual operating policy of “upholding lawfulness and compliance, maintaining a customer-oriented approach, focusing on the core magnetic material business, building 20,000 mt of new capacity on schedule, actively deploying motor rotors for embodied robots, and reaching new peaks again.” Through measures such as technological innovation, organizational optimization, digital development, and lean management, the company ensured contract performance and delivery to its broad client base while achieving steady growth in operating performance. The company continued to consolidate its leading position in the new energy and energy-saving environmental protection sectors, actively expanded into emerging markets, and operating revenue was expected to be up about 30% YoY. In particular, operating revenue in the NEV and automotive parts segment was up about 30% YoY; in the robotics and industrial servo motor segment, operating revenue was up about 90% YoY, and embodied-robot motor rotor products had already been delivered in small batches. 2. During the reporting period, the impact of non-recurring gains and losses on net profit was expected to be about 32 million yuan; non-recurring gains and losses (after tax) in the same period last year were 70.9405 million yuan. 3. During this reporting period, due to A-share and H-share equity incentives and the issuance of H-share convertible bonds, related expenses such as share-based payment expenses and financial expenses totaled about 121 million yuan; there were no such expenses in the same period last year. Zhong Ke San Huan released its 2026 H1 performance bulletin on the evening of July 20, showing that in H1, the company achieved operating revenue of 36,137.721 million yuan, up 23.67% YoY; total profit of 1,028.001 million yuan, up 1.18% YoY; net profit attributable to shareholders of the publicly listed firm of 492.189 million yuan, up 11.88% from the same period last year; and after excluding the impact of non-recurring gains and losses such as government subsidies, net profit attributable to shareholders of the publicly listed firm excluding non-recurring gains and losses of 323.035 million yuan, up 2.25% from the same period last year. Zhong Ke San Huan’s semiannual performance bulletin showed that in 2026 H1, amid increasingly intense market competition and a complex and volatile external environment, through the joint efforts of all employees, the company’s core product sales were up YoY, and cost-reduction measures such as optimizing formulation processes and reducing the usage of heavy rare earth helped lift the overall gross margin up YoY; the operations of some subsidiaries improved, achieving reduced losses or a turnaround; meanwhile, the company further improved inventory management, optimized the inventory mix of key raw materials, and impairment losses decreased YoY. Affected by the RMB’s appreciation against the US dollar and the euro, the company incurred foreign exchange losses during the reporting period, and financial expenses increased YoY, partially offsetting the profit growth. In H1 This Year, Pr-Nd oxide Rose 22.42%; Dysprosium Oxide and Terbium Oxide Both Increased In 2026 H1, the rare earth oxide market went through a roller-coaster cycle of “sharp surge—plunge—repair—re-divergence.” Pr-Nd oxide saw the most dramatic price fluctuations, while dysprosium oxide and terbium oxide prices rose first, then fell, and then rebounded. Reviewing the H1 price trends of Pr-Nd oxide, dysprosium oxide, and terbium oxide shows that: The average price of Pr-Nd oxide on June 30 was 742,500 yuan/mt, up 136,000 yuan/mt from its average price of 606,500 yuan/mt on December 31, 2025, representing a H1 increase of 22.42%. Meanwhile, the semiannual daily average price of Pr-Nd oxide in H1 this year was 740,530.17 yuan/mt, up 309,577.18 yuan/mt YoY from its daily average of 430,952.99 yuan/mt in H1 2025, a YoY increase of 71.84%. The average price of dysprosium oxide on June 30 was 1,420 yuan/kg, up 80 yuan/kg from its average price of 1,340 yuan/kg on December 31, 2025, representing a H1 increase of 5.97%. However, comparing the daily average price of dysprosium oxide in H1 this year (1,394.09 yuan/kg) with the daily average in H1 2025 (1,660.26 yuan/kg) shows that its daily average in H1 this year fell 16.03% YoY. The average price of terbium oxide on June 30 was 6,475 yuan/kg, up 500 yuan/kg from its average price of 5,975 yuan/kg on December 31, 2025, representing a H1 increase of 8.37%. However, comparing the daily average price of terbium oxide in H1 this year (6,200.26 yuan/kg) with the daily average in H1 2025 (6,634.62 yuan/kg) shows that its daily average in H1 this year fell 6.55% YoY. Since entering August, the rare earth market has maintained a move sideways pattern amid a tug-of-war between upstream and downstream. At present, downstream enthusiasm for inquiries and purchases is not high, market inquiry activity remains relatively limited, and the overall trading atmosphere is sluggish, with rare earth prices continuing to diverge: the Pr-Nd market was affected by the continued pullback in futures prices, leading some suppliers to slightly lower their quotes; medium-heavy rare earth prices showed strong resilience and generally remained stable. In the short term, affected by the market stalemate, Pr-Nd product prices are expected to continue to move sideways within a narrow range. In the medium and long-term, SMM expects that overall supply of Pr-Nd oxide in 2026 will still have a tight underlying basis, but with new capacity in H2 gradually coming on stream, previously idle smelting and separation capacity plans to start up, and subsequent pressure for supply-side loosening may gradually emerge. On the demand side, rising toll processing orders at metal plants in Inner Mongolia will provide some rigid demand support for Pr-Nd oxide. As the traditional September-October peak season approaches, the market holds strong expectations for downstream restocking and stockpiling; end-use demand still has a considerable number of NEV orders awaiting concentrated release in H2. The industrial robot sector’s boom is expected to continue, and demand for rare earth permanent magnets is expected to post a notable increase YoY within the year. While emerging tracks such as humanoid robots and the low-altitude economy are developing rapidly and offer ample long-term growth potential, they are still in the early stage of industry cultivation, and their actual incremental contribution to rare earth permanent magnets remains limited for now. Whether expectations for peak-season demand will be fulfilled and the pace at which new capacity is released will become the key variables shaping the subsequent rare earth market. Voices From Different Parties A research report released by Datong Securities on August 11 noted that rare earth spot prices pulled back in the short term, and downstream magnetic material enterprises were relatively cautious in procurement. However, amid three supply constraints—tighter mining quotas, upgraded export controls, and production cuts in scrap recycling—together with restocking demand in markets outside China, the logic of strategic revaluation remained intact. Overall, policy controls and demand from emerging industries continued to jointly drive the minor metal sector, with the commodity and financial attributes of scarce resources reinforcing each other, and the valuation-repair rally still extending. A China Securities research report stated that, according to data from the General Administration of Customs, rare earth exports in July fell markedly while the average price rose. July rare earth exports totaled 4,223.5 mt, down 29.54% YoY and 17.26% MoM, the lowest single-month level since March; cumulative exports in January–July were 34,706.3 mt, down 10% YoY. Meanwhile, the corresponding average export price was $12.34/kg, surging 103.14% YoY. The export mix tilted toward higher-value medium-heavy rare earth products; markets outside China accepted higher-priced raw material, and the tight global rare earth supply-demand pattern persisted. On the supply side, there was no growth for the time being; production at separation enterprises remained stable, and enterprises that had halted production earlier had no plans to resume operations. Downstream rigid demand support was moderate, and long-term demand expectations were improving. Rare earth prices are expected to consolidate on a strong note in the near term. A Citic Securities research report indicated that, against the backdrop of constraints from indicators combined with declining imports, rigidness in rare earth supply continued to strengthen. Affected by tighter tax policy, the operating rate of scrap recycling enterprises remained persistently low. Industry chain rigid-demand restocking, together with the approaching peak season, is expected to drive demand to recover. Emerging fields such as robotics, the low-altitude economy, and industrial motors are expected to open up longer-term demand growth space. The rare earth industry’s supply-demand pattern may remain tight, and as price increases drive performance, interim results of rare earth industry chain companies are expected to beat expectations. It continued to recommend the strategic allocation value of the rare earth industry chain. Recommended Reading: To learn more fundamental, technical, and policy information on motor raw materials such as rare earths, copper, and aluminum, please participate in: ~

SMM, August 14: In H1, Pr-Nd prices rose significantly, and the results of the 10 companies related to the rare earth industry chain that had already reported rose to varying degrees. Boosted by the substantial rise in spot prices of minor metals such as germanium, tantalum, and indium this year, the semi-annual results of rare and dispersed metal companies such as Yunnan Germanium also showed notable growth. On the other hand, the AI computing power hardware expansion narrative continued to gain traction, and the market focused on expected incremental demand for rare and dispersed metals from optical modules and semiconductor targets. Combined with some market funds positioning early in the minor metals sector, the minor metals industry bucked the trend on August 14. As of the close on August 14, the minor metals sector was up 2.02%. Among individual stocks: China Rare Earth hit limit up, while China Rare Nonferrous, Shenghe Resources, Orient Tantalum, Huaxi Nonferrous, China Northern Rare Earth, and Xiamen Tungsten led gains. Spot Market Germanium According to SMM price data, on August 14, the average price of germanium ingot was 24,500 yuan/kg, unchanged from the previous trading day. Compared with the average price of 13,500 yuan/kg on December 31, 2025, the 24,500 yuan/kg average price of germanium ingot has risen 81.48% year to date. This year's rise in germanium ingot prices was mainly supported by tight supply, while overall stable demand from end-use industries provided demand-side support for firm germanium prices. Looking ahead, whether germanium prices can extend their gains will depend on the intensity of the tug-of-war between upstream and downstream and marginal changes in supply-demand fundamentals. Tantalum On August 14, the price of SMM tantalum ingot (Ta≥99.95%) was 6,200-6,300 yuan/kg, with an average price of 6,250 yuan/kg. Compared with the average price of 2,980 yuan/kg on December 31, 2025, the average price of 6,250 yuan/kg has risen 109.73% year to date. Tantalum prices have been supported by demand from emerging fields such as AI servers, but traditional downstream demand has been relatively weak, capping upside room to some extent. Looking ahead, as there has been no significant shift in the supply-demand pattern, tantalum ingot prices are expected to remain stable. Indium On August 14, the average price of refined indium was 5,450 yuan/kg, unchanged from the previous trading day. Compared with the average price of 2,825 yuan/kg on December 31, 2025, the average price of 5,450 yuan/kg has risen by 2,625 yuan/kg year to date, up 92.92%. In the medium and long term, as domestic substitution of indium phosphide is realized at an accelerating pace, profit distribution in China's indium industry chain is expected to shift upward. Pr-Nd oxide Pr-Nd oxide posted a significant gain in H1 this year, boosting earnings of related enterprises along the rare earth industry chain. A review of Pr-Nd oxide's H1 price performance shows: On June 30, the average price of Pr-Nd oxide was 742,500 yuan/mt, up 136,000 yuan/mt from 606,500 yuan/mt on December 31, 2025, an H1 gain of 22.42%. Meanwhile, its daily average price in H1 this year was 740,530.17 yuan/mt, up 3,095,771.8 yuan/mt YoY from 430,952.99 yuan/mt in H1 2025, a YoY gain of 71.84%. On August 14, the average price of Pr-Nd oxide was 722,000 yuan/mt, up 0.98% from the previous trading day. Boosted by the recovery in Pr-Nd oxide futures prices, low-priced supply in the market tightened, suppliers slightly raised their offers, and this lifted Pr-Nd oxide prices somewhat. In the near term, as market trading activity gradually recovers, Pr-Nd product prices are expected to stop falling and rise. Recommended reading:

【SMM Tungsten Analysis】 SMM News, August 14: The global tungsten industrial chain remained in a stalemate this week. Divergent inventory‑building strategies across upstream and downstream segments

[SMM Analysis: Under Invoice Cost Pressure, the "High Price Spread, Low Transaction Volume" Pattern Solidifies] This week (Aug. 10-13), the price difference between copper cathode and copper scrap swung wildly within the 4,400-5,200 yuan/mt range. SMM data showed that the invoice tax rate for tax-inclusive copper scrap already reached 12%. Domestic tax-inclusive copper scrap was in scarce supply, and enterprises scrambled for input VAT invoices, pushing the invoice tax rate up from 10.5% all the way to 11.5%-12%. Meanwhile, the finished secondary copper rod market was highly competitive, and prices could not be raised......

[SMM Tungsten Daily Review: Mine-side transactions steadily improve; APT market still needs demand stimulus] SMM August 12 News: Today, the tungsten concentrates market saw stable transactions. SMM 65% wolframite concentrates held at 416,500 yuan per standard tonne (65%WO3 basis), and the price spread between spot orders and long-term contracts in the market narrowed noticeably.

SMM Morning Meeting Summary: Overnight LME copper opened at $14,208/mt, touched a high of $14,218/mt in early fluctuations, then drifted lower all the way to $14,142/mt near the end of the session, and finally closed at $14,153/mt, up 0.23%. Trading volume was 15,700 lots, and open interest stood at 261,000 lots, an increase of 2,675 lots from the previous trading day, indicating an increase in bearish positions. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE copper 2609 contract opened at 108,200 yuan/mt, with the price center moving up to touch 108,320 yuan/mt in early trading, then drifting lower to a low of 107,900 yuan/mt, before closing at 108,000 yuan/mt, up 0.04%. Trading volume reached 21,000 lots, and open interest was 213,000 lots, a decrease of 1,714 lots from the previous trading day, indicating a decrease in bearish positions.

Perpetua Resources announced on the 6th that it has delineated multiple gold-antimony exploration targets at the Stibnite project in Idaho, potentially expanding the permitted pit boundaries, and has identified tungsten ore clues, according to Mining.com. Tungsten is a critical mineral with the highest melting point of all metals and extremely high density, making it an indispensable material for heavy industry, aerospace engineering, advanced electronics, and weapons such as armor-piercing projectiles. The US ceased tungsten production in 2015. The US had been mining tungsten ore, but low tungsten prices made it difficult to profit from continued mining. "Our focus is on drilling areas that align with the currently planned mining sequence and have the potential to directly add value," said Jon Cherry, CEO of Perpetua Resources. "Our priority target is to confirm higher-grade gold-antimony zones within the three permitted pits, supplement our current Stibnite gold project resources, and sustain or exceed our estimated annual target of 463,000 ounces after four years of production." The company stated that recent drilling between the Yellow Pine and West End pits continues to show significant indications of new ore bodies, including multiple high-grade gold intercepts and a new gold-tungsten discovery. Significant high-grade gold mineralization, including a gold-tungsten occurrence, was encountered at the Clark Tunnel Fault Zone (CTFZ) on the southeastern margin of the planned Yellow Pine pit. Perpetua Resources noted that drilling underway at the CTFZ also intersected the tungsten-bearing mineral scheelite. Huckleberry Fault Zone (HFZ) Gold mineralization was encountered in multiple wide-spaced drill holes and surface samples at the HFZ. Immediately adjacent to the Yellow Pine pit boundary, the HFZ is over 100 meters wide and has been traced along strike for 500 meters, with historical data suggesting the potential for high-grade lenses. At the Hangar Flats deposit, drilling of the NDMEA segment again discovered high-grade gold, while drilling at the Hangar Flats deposit targeting critical minerals encountered significant antimony and tungsten mineralization. Perpetua Resources indicated that these results collectively point to increased potential for expansion beyond the current resource envelope. The project currently hosts indicated and inferred gold resources of 3.1 million ounces and 99.8 million pounds of antimony. These targets are all based on previous drilling, historical mining activity, and recently delineated prospectivity areas across the entire property, and the company noted that any activities beyond the currently permitted footprint would be subject to additional regulatory review.

[SMM Analysis: U.S. Restricts Critical Mineral Scrap Exports — Could Copper Scrap Be Next?]The U.S. has imposed a 100% domestic sales requirement on black mass and tungsten scrap, signaling tighter control over strategic secondary resources. Copper scrap is not yet included, but SMM expects more high-grade scrap to stay in the U.S. as local processing capacity expands, tightening global supply and supporting high scrap coefficients.

On August 10, Chifeng Gold's share price rose, closing up 3.9% at 43.73 yuan per share as of the end of trading. In news developments: On August 8, Chifeng Gold issued an announcement regarding its controlled subsidiary suspending operations at the Mengkang Rare Earth Ore Project in Laos. The announcement stated: In response to and in strict compliance with policy requirements for rare earth resource development, and to earnestly fulfill corporate social responsibility, on August 7, 2026, the 9th Board of Directors of Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Group Co., Ltd. at its 9th session reviewed and approved the "Proposal on the Controlled Subsidiary Suspending Operations at the Mengkang Rare Earth Ore Project in Laos," agreeing that its controlled subsidiary, Xiamen Chijin Xiamen Tungsten Metal Resources Co., Ltd., shall suspend operations at the Mengkang Rare Earth Ore Project located in Mengkang County, Xieng Khouang Province, Lao People's Democratic Republic. The project overview provided in Chifeng Gold's announcement showed: In 2022, the company formed a joint venture with Xiamen Tungsten Co., Ltd. ("Xiamen Tungsten") named Shanghai Chijin Xiamen Tungsten Metal Resources Co., Ltd. (the company held 51%, Xiamen Tungsten held 49%, now renamed "Xiamen Chijin Xiamen Tungsten Metal Resources Co., Ltd."), aiming to leverage the strengths of both parties to build a cooperation platform for rare earth resource development and to advance the implementation and growth of the company's rare earth resource development business in Laos. On March 4, 2024, the company's controlled subsidiary Chijin Xiamen Tungsten and its wholly owned subsidiary CHIXIA Laos Holdings Limited ("CHIXIA Laos"), along with China Investment (Properties) Co., Ltd. ("CIP") and its wholly owned subsidiary China Investment Mining (Laos) Sole Co., Ltd. (now renamed "Chixia Mining (Laos) Co., Ltd.", the "Target Company"), entered into an Equity Transfer Agreement. CHIXIA Laos acquired 90% equity of the Target Company held by CIP through cash and debt assumption. As of March 25, 2025, all parties had confirmed in writing that the transaction was completed. The Target Company primarily operates the Mengkang Rare Earth Ore Project. Apart from this project, Chijin Xiamen Tungsten and its controlled subsidiaries do not operate any other rare earth projects. Since completion, the project has been in the trial production stage. The retained resource volume of the Mengkang Rare Earth Ore is as follows: Regarding the suspension of operations at the Mengkang Rare Earth Ore Project by Chijin Xiamen Tungsten, Chifeng Gold's announcement stated: As the national rare earth resource policy system becomes increasingly comprehensive, Chijin Xiamen Tungsten will comprehensively review and optimize its relevant operations to ensure all business activities are conducted in compliance with laws and regulations. In response to and in strict compliance with policy requirements for rare earth resource development, and to earnestly fulfill corporate social responsibility, after prudent study and assessment, Chijin Xiamen Tungsten has decided to suspend operations at the Mengkang Rare Earth Ore Project. It will continue the renewal process for mining rights and certificates, closely monitor relevant policy changes, and actively seek solutions. The board of directors of the company has approved the suspension of operations at the Chijin Xiamen Tungsten's Mongkhon rare earth project in Laos and authorized management-designated personnel to handle related matters within the board's purview, including but not limited to asset disposal, personnel settlement, and debt restructuring. Should any related matters exceed the board's decision-making authority, a separate shareholders' meeting will be convened for deliberation. When discussing the impact on the company, Chifeng Gold stated: The Mongkhon rare earth project is still in the trial mining phase. In 2025, Chijin Xiamen Tungsten produced 998.56 mt of rare earth products, with a net loss attributable to Chifeng Gold of -54.0637 million yuan, representing an absolute value of 1.75% of Chifeng Gold's consolidated net profit attributable to parent company shareholders for 2025. In Q1 2026, the company produced 63.6 mt of rare earth products, with a net profit attributable to Chifeng Gold of 372,800 yuan, representing 0.04% of its consolidated net profit attributable to parent company shareholders for Q1 2026. The suspension of operations is expected to have a relatively small overall impact on the company's operating performance. Specific details are subject to the company's audited financial reports. Currently, it remains uncertain when the project will resume operations, and the company will continue to monitor relevant policy changes and subsequent project developments. The company's main operations, such as gold and copper cathode, are performing well, with a sound and stable financial position and an asset-liability ratio at a relatively low industry level, providing a solid guarantee against various force majeure events. The company will actively respond and make its best effort to mitigate the adverse effects of the rare earth development suspension. Meanwhile, it will continue to focus on its main business, increase investment and accelerate project progress in resource exploration, technological transformation, and new expansion projects to lay a solid foundation for achieving its medium and long-term strategic goals. Chifeng Gold also announced on August 8: To ensure the production continuity and capacity utilization rate of its holding subsidiary, Lane Xang Minerals Limited Company (an indirectly held subsidiary operating the Sepon gold-copper mine in the Lao People's Democratic Republic, hereinafter referred to as "Laos," and referred to as "Lane Xang Minerals"), and to advance the development and mining of the Khanong project as planned, with primary ore mining commencing in Q2 2027 to ensure the designed capacity of 1.3 million mt/year reaches full production and to optimize the utilization rate of the newly commissioned 1.2 million mt/year mill, the company, following multiple rounds of tenders and technical and commercial evaluations, intends for Lane Xang Minerals to sign a Mine Development and Mining Services Contract as an independent contractor with China Railway 19th Bureau Group Laos Sole Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as the "Contractor"). Under this contract, the Contractor will provide open-pit mining services (including ore mining and waste rock removal) and other mining services and activities related to Lane Xang Minerals' mining operations in Laos. Chifeng Gold stated that this contract constitutes a daily operational transaction, and its consideration makes it a disclosable transaction under the Rules Governing the Listing of Securities on The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited. On August 7, 2026, the company convened the ninth meeting of its ninth board of directors, which reviewed and approved the proposal regarding the signing of an overseas daily operational contract by the holding subsidiary, agreeing for Lane Xang Minerals to enter into the contract with the Contractor for an amount not exceeding $220,163,577 (excluding VAT), and authorized management to handle all subsequent contract-related matters based on project progress. This contract does not involve related-party transactions and, per the securities regulatory rules of the company's stock listing venues, this matter does not require shareholder meeting approval. Regarding the impact of the contract's execution on the listed company, Chifeng Gold announced that mining operations inherently involve various risks and uncertainties, including but not limited to geological changes, equipment failures, safety incidents, and cost fluctuations. Under the company's asset-light strategy, adopting an independent professional mining contractor model locks in unit mining costs for the contract period, effectively transferring cost risks related to fuel, labour, and consumables, which aligns with industry practice and allows the company to focus on ore processing and recovery rate optimization. To ensure smooth project progress, production continuity, and capacity utilization, the company invited qualified contractors to bid through a public tender process. After multiple rounds of technical and commercial reviews, this Contractor was ultimately selected as the bid winner due to its comprehensive strength and highly competitive bid. The Contractor's parent company is an experienced international mining services firm specializing in open-pit mine operations. Leveraging its experience and advanced knowledge, outsourcing part of the open-pit operations to the Contractor offers a more cost-effective solution for developing Lane Xang Minerals' Sepon gold-copper mine over the long term. The rates quoted by the Contractor were based on local materials, labour costs, and industry market price levels for the project. The contract price structure was determined through fair negotiation between the parties based on the project's specific scope, construction requirements, and market conditions, comprehensively considering factors such as project scale, quality standards, and mining operation pace. Based on these factors, the company believes the pricing adheres to general commercial practices, is fair and reasonable, aligns with the overall interests of the company and its shareholders, has a sufficient basis in commercial reasonableness, and represents the best interests of the company and its shareholders. (1) The above contract is a daily operational transaction. Its signing and smooth implementation will have a positive impact on the company's current and future performance, enhancing its ongoing profitability. (2) The transaction adheres to fair and equitable market pricing principles, without harming the interests of the company or its shareholders, and meets the company's actual operational development needs. (3) The contract's execution does not affect the company's business independence, nor will it create a dependency on the Contractor. In terms of performance, Chifeng Gold disclosed its H1 performance forecast on the evening of July 14, indicating that, based on preliminary financial estimates, the net profit attributable to shareholders of the publicly listed firm for H1 2026 is expected to be between 1.7 billion yuan and 1.78 billion yuan, an increase of 593.1 million yuan to 673.1 million yuan compared with 1,106.9 million yuan for the same period last year, up 54% to 61% YoY. The net profit attributable to shareholders of the publicly listed firm, excluding non-recurring gains and losses, is expected to be between 1.71 billion yuan and 1.79 billion yuan, an increase of 598.09 million yuan to 678.09 million yuan compared with 1,111.91 million yuan for the same period last year, up 54% to 61% YoY. For the primary reasons behind the performance changes for the period, Chifeng Gold explained that the substantial YoY increases in both net profit metrics were mainly driven by a significant rise in gold prices compared with the same period last year, with the average gold sales price up approximately 43% YoY, alongside the company's continuous efforts to strengthen production organization and operational management. Regarding its main business, Chifeng Gold introduced in its 2025 annual report that the company operates in the non-ferrous metal mining and beneficiation industry, with key products including precious metals like gold and non-ferrous metals like copper cathode. Its core main business is the mining, beneficiation, and sale of gold, while also engaging in multi-metal mining/beneficiation and comprehensive resource recovery. The company operates 6 gold mines and 1 multi-metal mine globally, with a business footprint covering China, Southeast Asia, and West Africa. Domestically, subsidiaries Jilong Mining, Wulong Mining, Huatai Mining, and Jintai Mining focus on gold mining and beneficiation, while Hanfeng Mining concentrates on zinc, lead, copper, and molybdenum multi-metal mining and beneficiation. Its holding subsidiary, Laos-based Lane Xang Minerals, focuses on gold mining/beneficiation and copper mining/smelting. Holding subsidiary Wassa in Ghana focuses on gold mining and beneficiation. Additionally, holding subsidiary Guangyuan Technology is engaged in comprehensive resource recovery, specializing in the dismantling of waste electrical and electronic products for environmental protection. A research report from Huaxin Securities on August 10 noted: On the data front, the US July ISM Manufacturing PMI was 55.6, versus a prior reading of 53.3 and expectations for 54. The US July ISM Services PMI was 54.1, versus a prior reading of 54 and expectations for 54.5. US initial jobless claims for the week ending August 1 were 199,000, versus a prior reading of 197,000 and expectations for 205,000. The US July unemployment rate was 4.1%, versus a prior reading of 4.2% and expectations for 4.2%. US nonfarm payrolls for July changed by -23,000, versus a prior reading of 57,000 and expectations for 80,000. A breakdown of the employment data shows that the private sector added a net 30,000 jobs, including a net gain of 25,000 in the goods-producing sector and a net gain of 5,000 in the service-providing sector, while the government sector had a net loss of 53,000 jobs. Overall, employment was mainly supported by the private sector, with the government sector declining. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a 25bp rate hike by the US Fed in September 2026 fell to 43%, down from 67% a week ago (July 31). In summary, weakening expectations for US Fed interest rate hikes, combined with the PBOC’s continued gold purchases, which accelerated again in July, are expected to drive a continued rebound in gold prices. A Pacific Securities commentary on Chifeng Gold’s performance from May 7 indicated that multiple technological transformation projects, combined with scheduled maintenance, led to a YoY decline in gold production. In Q1 2026, the company's gold production was 2.98 mt, down 10.7% YoY and 21.7% QoQ, achieving 20% of the full-year target. The production decline was mainly due to these transformations and routine maintenance. Specifically, Jilong Mining's hoist upgrade from a single-rope to a multi-rope system and Wulong Mining's retrofitting of several blind shafts temporarily constrained ore extraction capacity. The Laos Sepon gold-copper mine's beneficiation plant underwent a large-scale annual maintenance shutdown, which, combined with a planned shutdown for one of its high-temperature autoclaves, led to a YoY decline in ore processing volume. A higher tax rate, coupled with the production decline, led to an increase in unit sales costs. Expense ratios were relatively stable, and the asset-liability ratio continued to decline. In Q1 2026, the company’s ROE was 6.9%, up 2.5 pct YoY; period expense ratio was 5.9%, down 0.6 pct YoY and up 0.1 pct QoQ. As of Q1 2026, the company’s asset-liability ratio was 29.4%, down 9.3 pct YoY and 4.5 pct QoQ. Risk warnings: price wild swings, cost side exceeding expectations, project progress falling short of expectations

[SMM Express] More than six weeks after Zimbabwe's Mines Minister Dr Polite Kambamura promised "very soon" to roll out targeted policy interventions for the chrome sector — including a toll-processing model allowing small-scale miners to process ore for a fee rather than sell it to foreign-owned smelters — chrome producers say they are still waiting. Speaking during a technical media tour of Prospect Lithium Zimbabwe in Goromonzi on 17 July, Kambamura highlighted lithium beneficiation as a policy success story, pointing to Zimbabwe's first locally produced lithium sulphate, exported from the Arcadia plant in April, alongside further lithium processing facilities under construction at Kamativi and Sinomine Bikita. Chrome, by contrast, came up in the same discussion as the sector where that model has yet to take hold for smaller producers. Shelton Lucas, business development director at Naivo Mining — which operates chrome, antimony and tungsten projects in Mashava, Ngezi and Kadoma, and who also chairs the Chrome Miners Association of Zimbabwe — said his company remains unable to capture the value of its own raw chrome. "For our raw chrome, we are now forced to sell to local Chinese smelters where they underpay us," Lucas said, adding that unlike antimony, where he has the resources to build a value-addition plant, the cost of chrome processing infrastructure remains prohibitive. His comments echo concerns he raised in early June, when he described local buying prices for chrome ore — then around US$70 per tonne, against international CIF China values several times higher — as reflecting a "predatory price regime." At the time, Kambamura pointed to an existing MMCZ fund intended to capacitate small-scale chrome miners and said he would soon announce policy interventions, including toll processing through government-linked facilities such as ZimAlloys. Zimbabwe's broader mining outlook remains strong: the Chamber of Mines projects 10% sector growth for 2026, with export earnings potentially reaching US$7.5–11 billion, and the Ministry has separately outlined plans for regional beneficiation hubs that would let chrome-producing areas specialize in ferrochrome and chromium alloys. But the gap between that national-level ambition and the lived experience of small-scale chrome producers, still selling raw ore to a limited pool of local smelter buyers more than six weeks after relief was first promised, illustrates a recurring theme in Zimbabwe's beneficiation drive: policy announcements and on-the-ground implementation are not always moving at the same pace, even as the government's own flagship example — lithium — demonstrates what a fully realized beneficiation pathway can look like.