SMM June 25 News: Metal Markets: As of the midday close, domestic base metals fell across the board. SHFE copper dropped 1.82%, SHFE aluminum fell 2.75%, SHFE lead declined 0.7%, SHFE zinc lost 1.64%, SHFE nickel edged down 0.92%, and SHFE tin decreased 1.76%. In addition, the most-traded foundry aluminum futures contract fell 2.08%, the most-traded alumina contract dropped 1.29%, the most-traded lithium carbonate contract declined 1.75%, and the most-traded silicon metal contract edged down 0.29%. The most-traded polysilicon futures contract rose 0.33%. Ferrous metals mostly rose, with only stainless steel falling 0.75%. Iron ore gained 0.2%, rebar added 0.1%, and hot-rolled coil edged up. Coking coal and coke: The most-traded coking coal contract edged up 0.08%, and the most-traded coke contract rose 0.28%. Overseas base metals, as of 11:38 a.m., LME metals rose across the board. LME copper gained 0.82%, LME aluminum added 0.24%, LME lead rose 0.6%, LME zinc edged up 0.31%, LME tin surged 2.02%, and LME nickel increased 0.77%. Precious metals, as of 11:38 a.m., COMEX gold fell 0.48%, and COMEX silver dropped 2.02%. Domestic precious metals: SHFE gold declined 2.81%, hitting an intraday low of 868.34 yuan/g; the most-traded SHFE silver contract slumped 7.1%, touching an intraday low of 13,560 yuan/kg. Additionally, as of the midday close, the most-traded platinum futures contract fell 4.39%, and the most-traded palladium futures contract dropped 3.54%. As of the midday close, the most-traded container shipping freight index futures contract fell 2.45% to 3,665.5 points. As of 11:38 a.m. on June 25, Selected Futures Midday Quotes: Click to View SMM Data Dashboard Spot Market and Fundamentals Silver: Spot market side, downstream consumption recovered somewhat after silver continued its decline. Morning quotes in Shanghai were concentrated mainly around TD parity to +20 yuan/kg... Click for Details Macro Front China: [China's Installed Power Generation Capacity Exceeds 4 Billion kW] The National Energy Administration announced on June 25 that as of end-May 2026, China's installed power generation capacity reached 4.01 billion kW, ranking first globally. Non-fossil-fuel capacity has become the dominant driver of incremental capacity additions, as the energy mix continued to optimize. The share of coal-fired capacity fell from 61% in 2010 to 32% in May 2026; the share of non-fossil-fuel capacity rose from 25% in 2010 to 62% in May 2026; and the share of renewable energy capacity increased from 24% in 2010 to 61% in May 2026. (Xinhua News Agency) [PBOC Net Injects 322.5 Billion Yuan via Reverse Repos Today] The PBOC conducted 370.5 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos and 500 billion yuan of 1-year medium-term lending facility (MLF) operations today. With 300 billion yuan of 1-year MLF and 248 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos maturing, this resulted in a net injection of 322.5 billion yuan for the day. (Jin10 Data App) > June 25: Central Parity Rate of the RMB in the Interbank FX Market Was 6.8209 Yuan per US Dollar US Dollar Side: As of 11:38 a.m., the US dollar index fell 0.07% to 101.51. All major US banks passed the Fed's annual stress test, paving the way for tens of billions of dollars in increased share buybacks and dividends. The stress test assessed how Wall Street lenders would fare under a hypothetical financial system shock. Unlike previous years, the 2026 results will not affect capital requirements as the Fed continues to revise the test to make it more bank-friendly. This year's test evaluated 32 large lenders on how they would withstand a severe global shock featuring heightened stress in commercial and residential real estate markets as well as corporate debt markets. The hypothetical scenario included a severe global recession, with commercial real estate prices falling 39% and residential prices declining 30%. The unemployment rate also surged to a peak of 10%, with a corresponding drop in economic output. Regulators stated: "Despite absorbing more than $708 billion in loan losses under this year's hypothetical scenario, aggregate capital fell by only 1.6 percentage points and remained well above minimum requirements." According to CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged in July stands at 65.8%, while the probability of a cumulative 25bp hike is 34.2%. The probability that the Fed leaves rates unchanged through September is 33.6%, the probability of a cumulative 25bp hike is 49.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 50bp hike is 16.7%. US Treasury Secretary Bessent praised Fed Chairman Warsh for eliminating forward guidance, while also stating that no one should be making dot plot forecasts. On the economy, he expects real wage growth to return to its pre-April pace and anticipates accelerating economic growth in the remainder of the year without pushing up inflation. He stressed that the dollar's dominance is crucial. He believes that after the Ukraine situation ends, Russia will want to return to the dollar system, and a new Venezuela is moving back into that system. The dollar can remain strong during a rate-cutting cycle, and the US is pleased to take the right measures to keep the dollar strong. (Jin10 Data App) Data Front: Today will see the release of Australia's May seasonally adjusted unemployment rate, Germany's July GfK consumer confidence index, US initial jobless claims for the week ending June 20, the US May core PCE price index year-over-year, US May personal spending month-over-month, the final reading of US Q1 annualized real GDP quarter-over-quarter, the final reading of US Q1 real personal consumption expenditure quarter-over-quarter, the final reading of US Q1 annualized core PCE price index quarter-over-quarter, US May core PCE price index month-over-month, and US May durable goods orders month-over-month. Also in focus: NVIDIA's annual shareholder meeting; release of Bank of Canada monetary policy meeting minutes; the Fed's release of annual bank stress test results; BOJ Governor Ueda's attendance at an IMF central bank seminar; Micron Technology's fiscal Q3 2026 earnings call; and the maturity of 300 billion yuan of 1-year MLF and 248 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos today. Crude Oil Side: As of 11:38 a.m., oil prices on both benchmarks extended their decline from the previous three sessions, with WTI falling 1.69% and Brent dropping 1.53%. Oil prices gave back wartime gains on Thursday as the market bet on improving global crude supply, with tankers that had been stranded in the Persian Gulf for months beginning to exit the Strait of Hormuz. According to maritime analytics firm Kpler, more than 20 tankers carrying around 35 million barrels of crude have passed through the Strait of Hormuz since the US-Iran deal reopened the critical shipping chokepoint. These non-Iranian tankers were stuck in the Persian Gulf for over three months after Tehran effectively sealed off the waterway at the start of the conflict. Most of these tankers are expected to reach Asian destinations by early August. Citigroup indicated that the worst may be over for commodity futures carry trade strategies, which were hammered during the US-Iran war as near-month crude contract prices surged, inflicting heavy losses on trades that shorted front-month contracts and bought forward ones. Citi noted that the base case is now one of significant de-escalation and expects Brent to fall to $60-$65/bbl over the next 6-12 months as Strait of Hormuz shipping normalizes. (Jin10 Data App) Spot Market Overview: ► [Live] Critical Minerals Supply Chain Restructuring and China's Opportunities – Market Analysis of Antimony/Indium/Gallium/Germanium/Bismuth/Selenium/Tellurium/Rhenium – PV and Precious Metals Outlook ► Tianjin Zinc: Futures Pullback Spurs More Trading Volume [SMM Midday Commentary] ► Dollar Liquidity Shock Hits Precious Metals; Silver Spot Market Premiums Hold, Trading Recovers Slightly [SMM Daily Review] Midday commentaries for other metals to be updated shortly, please refresh to view~
Jun 25, 2026 12:02SMM, June 24: Based on the profound accumulation in the copper industry and the need for mutual development, on June 23, Zhou Bo, Vice President of SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd. (SMM), Long Huachen, General Manager of the South China Office, and Lin Jiazhi, Business Manager of the Copper Business Division, visited Guangxi Jinchuan Nonferrous Metals Co., Ltd. for discussions and communication. They received a warm welcome from leaders including Xu Jun, General Manager of Guangxi Jinchuan Nonferrous Metals Co., Ltd., Zhou Guoqing, Deputy General Manager, Mo Liping, Deputy Manager of the Supply and Sales Department, and business executives Xu Tianli and Liu Jianming. The discussions between the two sides were conducted in a cordial atmosphere. During the discussion session, the two parties leveraged their respective resource advantages for in-depth collaboration. Guangxi Jinchuan has a single-series copper smelting production line that is leading both in and outside China. Leveraging the strategic location near Fangchenggang Port, it serves as a core hub for Jinchuan Group’s expansion into markets outside China. Backed by its mature smelting capacity and advanced processes, and complemented by a digital technological transformation project that enables intelligent control over the entire process, the company has established a digital demonstration production line in the copper smelting industry. SMM, leveraging its big data on nonferrous metal industries, authoritative spot and futures pricing system, and strengths in integrated services across the entire industry chain, precisely addresses the core demands of enterprises in production and operation, cross-border trade, and digital transformation. The two parties engaged in in-depth discussions on topics such as copper price analysis, spot-futures coordination, industry chain resource integration, port-side cross-border trade, smelting digital upgrading, and frontier technology collaboration, laying a solid foundation for mutual empowerment and synergistic development. About Guangxi Jinchuan Nonferrous Metals Co., Ltd. Guangxi Jinchuan Nonferrous Metals Co., Ltd. (hereinafter the "Company") was founded in May 2010 and is located in the beautiful coastal city of Fangchenggang, Guangxi. The Company is a Sino-foreign joint venture controlled by Jinchuan Group Copper & Precious Metals Co., Ltd., a wholly-owned subsidiary of Jinchuan Group (holding 70% of shares), with Trafigura as a stakeholder. It serves as a maritime gateway and bridgehead for the Gansu provincial government and Jinchuan Group in their pursuit of international operations and expansion outside China, and is highly aligned with the national Belt and Road Initiative, functioning as an export base for Gansu Province on the Maritime Silk Road. Benefiting from the unique coastal advantages and favorable business environment of Guangxi and Fangchenggang City, and relying on the expertise and dedication of all shareholders deeply engaged in the metal processing and trading industry, the Company has, after over a decade of development, achieved an annual production capacity of 800,000 mt of copper products and 3 million mt of sulphuric acid. The Company has received numerous honors, such as being recognized as a National Green Factory Demonstration Enterprise, National Intellectual Property Advantage Enterprise, Guangxi Industrial Leader, Guangxi High-tech Enterprise, Quality Management Benchmark for Industrial Enterprises, Guangxi Intelligent Factory Demonstration Enterprise and Digital Workshop Enterprise, Nomination Award for the Chairperson's Quality Award of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, and the Mayor's Quality Award of Fangchenggang City. In 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 66.7 billion yuan and total industrial output value of 67 billion yuan, ranking 12th among the 2025 Top 100 Guangxi Enterprises and 5th among the Top 100 Manufacturing Enterprises. The Phase I “Double Flash” system, commissioned in 2013, is the world’s largest single-system production system for mined copper by capacity. The technologies employed in the project, including “Double Flash” pure-oxygen smelting, high current density stainless steel cathode electrolysis, low-temperature heat recovery, rhenium recovery from waste acid, and krypton-xenon gas purification, are at a leading level in China. Its comprehensive resource utilization level and key technical and economic indicators lead the industry. In line with Jinchuan Group’s “Trillion Jinchuan” development goal and Fangchenggang’s deployment to build a “100-billion copper industry cluster,” the company launched a 300kt copper system process and digital upgrade project in 2022. The project adopts the internationally advanced “side-blown smelting + multi-lance top-blown converting” technology, takes the lead in the industry in adopting digital design and delivery, simultaneously constructs an intelligent digital factory, and achieves the organic integration of energy flow, material flow, and information flow with operational management, creating a model for the digital transformation of copper smelters in the non-ferrous industry. The project was incorporated into normal production sequence management in May 2025, and the company’s annual total industrial output value has exceeded 65 billion yuan. In 2026, against the backdrop of the global green transition and the ongoing advancement of the “dual carbon” goals, the non-ferrous metals industry is accelerating toward low-carbon, intelligent, and high-end development. South China, as a key non-ferrous metals industry cluster in China, possesses a well-established downstream processing system, abundant recycled resource reserves, and robust policy support. Leveraging South China’s unique industrial foundation and the new development trends of the industry, with the aim of precisely implementing industry-related policies, addressing industry pain points, and building a bridge for resource connectivity across the entire industry chain, the , organized by SMM, will be grandly held from September 9 to 11, 2026 in Nanning, Guangxi . The conference will conduct in-depth discussions on key topics such as metal price trends, medium and long-term market patterns, cross-border trade dynamics, industry policy interpretation, and low-carbon green process innovations. It aims to build an efficient and authoritative platform for industry exchange and cooperation, empower enterprises with technological innovation and green transformation, help industry participants seize market opportunities and calmly address development challenges, and jointly promote the high-quality advancement of China’s non-ferrous metals industry. We sincerely invite colleagues from all sectors of the entire non-ferrous industry chain to gather in Nanning to discuss new industry development opportunities and explore long-term paths for collaborative development of the industry chain! SMM Contact : Lin Jiazhi: 15017566696
Jun 25, 2026 11:20On June 24, 2026, Hydrexia and the Energy Research Institute @ NTU (ERI@N) of Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, signed an industry-academia research collaboration agreement. The two parties will jointly conduct R&D on the coupling of magnesium-based solid-state hydrogen storage and transport systems with solid oxide fuel cell systems , further exploring the technical possibilities for the synergistic operation of SOFC, SOEC, and magnesium-based solid-state hydrogen storage and transport products (MHX), and advancing the formation of a zero-carbon energy loop encompassing "green electricity hydrogen production, solid-state hydrogen storage, and high-temperature power generation." Hydrexia has long been committed to the industrialisation of magnesium-based solid-state hydrogen storage and has continuously pursued cutting-edge research on solid oxide fuel cells. Its self-developed magnesium-based solid-state hydrogen storage and transport system features operation at ambient temperature and pressure, high hydrogen storage density, and intrinsic safety, and has already achieved batch applications in areas such as cross-border hydrogen transport, energy storage peak shaving, and emergency power supply, forming an integrated product delivery capability from materials to systems. The key to this collaboration lies in the strong thermal energy synergy potential between SOFC/SOEC systems and magnesium-based solid-state hydrogen storage products. The high-temperature excess heat generated during SOFC operation can be used to drive the release of hydrogen from magnesium-based materials, while the heat released when magnesium-based materials absorb hydrogen can also provide a heat source for SOEC hydrogen production via electrolysis. Through thermal cycle complementarity, system energy consumption is expected to decline significantly, enabling the integrated operation of "hydrogen storage + power generation" , with overall energy efficiency potentially exceeding 90%. Leveraging ERI@N's research expertise in energy materials and electrochemical systems, alongside Hydrexia's experience in the engineering and industrialisation of hydrogen energy products, the two parties will jointly advance the development of integrated high-performance products coupling MHX with SOFC/SOEC. In the future, these technologies could be applied in scenarios such as stationary power supply for AI computing centers, long-duration hydrogen ESS power stations, zero-carbon industrial parks, and off-grid microgrids, providing support for long-cycle, stable clean power supply and facilitating the integration of renewable energy and the reduction of fossil fuel emissions. Professor Zeng Shaohua, Co-Director of ERI@N at Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, stated that the collaboration with Hydrexia reflects ERI@N's direction of translating frontier research outcomes into tangible environmental benefits. By combining ERI@N's research facilities and interdisciplinary research capabilities with Hydrexia's experience in hydrogen energy technology, both parties will jointly study the synergistic mechanisms between waste heat recovery and hydrogen storage, thereby advancing next-generation energy technologies and supporting global decarbonisation. Fang Peijun, Chairman of Hydrexia, stated that the company has continuously advanced basic R&D on SOFC and the commercialisation of magnesium-based solid-state hydrogen storage and transport products over the years. This collaboration with an international university will help break through coupling technology bottlenecks. Hydrexia will leverage ERI@N's scientific research capabilities to accelerate core system iteration and promote the transformation of laboratory results into replicable and implementable standardised products, thereby expanding the large-scale application of hydrogen energy in more scenarios. This collaboration represents not only a technical partnership between academia and industry but also a complementarity between scientific research capability and engineering capability. Looking ahead, Hydrexia will use this collaboration as a starting point to continue deepening R&D on coupling technologies for solid-state hydrogen storage and high-temperature fuel cells, refining integrated solutions across the entire hydrogen energy industry chain, and providing technical support for the high-quality development of the hydrogen energy industry and the global green, low-carbon transition.
Jun 25, 2026 11:13Fosbel has highlighted its Ceramic Welding technology as a solution for repairing refractory linings in aluminum furnaces without requiring shutdowns. The process uses an exothermic reaction to fuse new refractory material directly onto existing linings while furnaces remain in operation at temperatures above 1300°F. The technology is suitable for 60%, 70% and 80% alumina refractories commonly used in aluminum furnace applications and is designed to repair worn areas such as metal lines, roofs and sidewalls. Fosbel said the technology can be used for both maintenance and preventive repair programs to extend furnace campaign life and reduce downtime. The company has also introduced Nano-Tec™ ceramic welding powders, thermal cleaning systems and Supertorch equipment to improve repair efficiency, reduce material loss and lower maintenance costs. Hot-repair technologies are increasingly being adopted by aluminum producers seeking higher furnace reliability and operational efficiency.
Jun 25, 2026 10:03On June 17, 2026, the 2026 SMM (3rd) ASEAN Automotive Supply Chain Conference , organized by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM), successfully wrapped up at the Hyatt Regency Bangkok Suvarnabhumi Airport in Bangkok, Thailand! This conference serves as an annual gathering of Southeast Asia's auto industry, bringing together 500+ delegates, 40+ speakers, 10+ partners and 35+ exhibitors from 15+ countries. Conference Background The Southeast Asian EV industry is at a strategic crossroads. Thailand's "30/30" policy is driving adoption, with EV penetration projected to near 15% by 2025. Indonesia is building a full battery chain using its nickel resources, while Vietnam's market potential grows. Amidst supply chain restructuring and technological competition, strategic action is key. The 3rd SMM Asean Automotive Supply Chain Summit 2026 is designed to empower businesses by focusing on: Unlocking NEV Potential: Analyzing ASEAN's role as a production/export hub and examining OEM technology roadmaps. Bridging the Supply Chain: Leveraging SMM's platform to integrate resources and facilitate deals. Establishing a Price Benchmark: Promoting the use of SMM Southeast Asia metals price assessments in procurement. We believe in turning consensus into action. Join us in Bangkok in 2026 to transform strategic blueprints into tangible advantages. 》Click to Watch the Conference Live Video 》Click to View the Conference Photo Live Stream June 16 Main Forum Opening Address Speaker: Adam Fan, Chairman of SMM Opening Keynote: Thailand EV Outlook 2026 Guest Speaker: Dr. Yossapong Laoonual, Honorary Chairman and Advisors, Electric Vehicle Association of Thailand (EVAT) Dr. Yossapong Laoonual noted that the ownership of battery electric vehicle (BEV) models is expected to surpass that of hybrid models in the medium and long term. Thailand’s BEV penetration rate will also rise steadily, supported by well-developed charging infrastructure. Data shows that the number of DC charging piles in Thailand has continued to grow, with installations already exceeding the government’s planned phased targets. The country’s 2030 charging pile target is 12,000 units, and multiple supporting regulations for motor vehicles have already been implemented locally. Local planning stipulates that each pile should serve 10-15 BEVs. Compared with markets outside China, where each pile in Europe serves fewer than 15 BEVs on average and in China fewer than 10, Thailand currently faces an imbalanced vehicle-to-pile ratio and still requires the large-scale addition of new charging piles. Thailand’s charging piles are primarily located at gas stations, with shopping malls and office buildings as secondary deployment sites. Local gas stations feature diverse commercial formats, offering excellent conditions for setting up charging stations. However, range anxiety remains widespread among consumers, and charging facilities along highways need to be further improved to alleviate concerns about recharging on the road. Opening Keynote: Southeast Asia’s New Automotive Ambition:Can Industry Players Successfully Navigate Transformation Amid Challenges? Guest Speaker: Krzysztof Tokarz, Chairman of the Automotive Working Group, TEBA Founder of Auteneo He stated that there were four core strategic challenges in the electrification transformation of Southeast Asian automakers: First, a shortage of professional talent, with undersupply of high-quality talent in the EV and software fields, fierce competition for industry talent, and enterprises needing to plan for talent cultivation and retention; Second, cross-cultural coordination difficulties: significant differences in working models among Chinese, Japanese, Korean, European, American, and local enterprises, which easily led to issues such as lack of trust and poor cooperation; Third, complex and changing regional regulations: fragmented regulatory systems across Southeast Asian countries, with a fast pace of policy updates over the past year or more, placing high demands on enterprises' policy adaptation capabilities; Fourth, profitability pressure, as electrification reshaped the pricing system, with many automakers experiencing simultaneous contraction in revenue and profit margins, necessitating the exploration of long-term profitable models. Overall, he believed that while he currently maintained a cautiously optimistic attitude towards the development of industry technology and products, the aforementioned challenges still urgently needed to be addressed. Panel Discussion: Leadership Dialogue: East Asian Titans' "Southeast Asian Chessboard" Moderator: David Huang, The Head of Strategy, Marketing and Business Development, Forvia China Panelists: Dr. Yossapong Laoonual, Honorary Chairman and Advisors, Electric Vehicle Association of Thailand (EVAT) Suphot Sukphisarn, Honorary Chairman, Auto Parts Industry Club (APIC), The Federation of Thai Industries (FTI), Deputy Secretary General, Thai Auto-Parts Manufacturers Association (TAPMA) Krzysztof Tokarz, Chairman of the Automotive Working Group at TEBA, Founder of Auteneo Dr. Viroj Patcharawatanakul, Chief Marketing Officer (CMO), AAPICO Hitech PCL. The panelists noted that ASEAN countries have distinct industrial advantages: Malaysia has ample electronic factory resources, Indonesia possesses mineral resources needed for battery production, and Vietnam offers comprehensive labor incentive policies. To fully leverage each country's locational appeal, overall integrated planning is required. The ASEAN NEV market is expanding rapidly overall, with the regional EV penetration rate more than doubling. Thailand and Vietnam have seen impressive growth in XEV production and sales. Local vehicle production capacity remains stable, and Chinese new energy brands such as BYD, MG, and Great Wall have established a presence in Thailand, driving up demand for new energy parts supply. Thailand has a well-established multi-tier parts supply system: 27 vehicle manufacturers, 500 Tier 1 suppliers, and 1,800 Tier 2 and Tier 3 parts producers. Traditional mechanical processing industries like stamping, injection molding, rubber processing, machining, casting and forging, and assembly have a solid foundation, with huge annual parts capacity, providing the manufacturing capability to support new energy parts production. Keynote Speech: Navigating Automotive Disruption in Southeast Asia Guest Speaker: Timothy Wong, Principal, Roland Berger Roland Berger noted that AI-driven automation continues to advance and autonomous driving is developing steadily. It is expected that by 2040, autonomous driving will still struggle to become mainstream. However, AI technology has already disrupted the automotive industry, becoming a core driving force for enterprises to build differentiated advantages, enhance competitiveness, and innovate business models. The automotive industry is currently undergoing comprehensive disruptive changes, mainly in five dimensions: First, the automotive supply chain value chain is undergoing fundamental transformation, with vehicles and core parts upgrading toward electrification and electronics. Industry enterprises urgently need to adjust their product structures and proactively position themselves in emerging tracks; passively responding to market changes will entail significant risks. Second, the nature of automotive products is being reshaped by technology, shifting from traditional mechanical vehicles to software-defined vehicles. Sole mechanical manufacturing capabilities can no longer meet development needs; enterprises must build diversified cooperation ecosystems involving semiconductors, software, and sensors to cultivate new industrial capabilities. Third, the consumer market is undergoing significant iteration, with consumer car purchase preferences gradually tilting toward emerging brands, and industry competition continuing to intensify. Fourth, the pace of market iteration has greatly accelerated. Compared with the model update pace of once every few years by traditional automakers, Chinese brands iterate at a much faster pace, forcing the supply chain toward agile transformation and adaptation to rapidly changing vehicle specifications. Fifth, the aftersales distribution model is being disrupted, with traditional parts revenue being impacted by the growth of EVs. New direct-to-consumer models are emerging, requiring enterprises to restructure their distribution networks and expand aftersales services related to power batteries and electrification. Overall, all industry participants must proactively face transformation risks, actively transform and strategically restructure supply chains, vigorously explore new clients and deploy new businesses, abandon passive thinking that clings to existing models, and proactively plan future business development directions, so as to continuously maintain market competitiveness. Keynote Speech: Moving Beyond Negotiation: Fostering a New Framework for Southeast Asian Supply Chain Collaboration Based on the SMM Price Index Guest Speaker: Sing Yao, Director of Steel Business Unit, SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd. She noted that Southeast Asia as a whole exhibits low per capita automobile ownership, limited NEV penetration, and a large young population, which holds enormous incremental market potential. This vast blue ocean is attracting leading Chinese NEV manufacturers to accelerate their footprint in the region. At the same time, however, Southeast Asian auto parts are highly dependent on imports, and the industry chain has long faced two major pain points: procurement difficulties and disorderly pricing. The launch of the SMM Southeast Asia Price Index may open up a new path for collaborative development of the local automotive supply chain. Low Per Capita Automobile Ownership, Limited NEV Penetration, and Large Young Population Create Vast Market Opportunities for Automakers According to SMM, in recent years, Southeast Asia’s automotive industry chain has shown remarkable resilience, with regional automobile production growing by 24.1% from 2020 to 2022. Although 2024 saw a cyclical decline for the first time due to global economic sluggishness, the decline in production and sales in Thailand and the broader Southeast Asian market has narrowed in 2025, underscoring the self-repair capability of the regional supply chain. As the region’s core hub, Thailand continues to dominate Southeast Asia’s automotive industry landscape with a capacity share of over 40%. In the short term, Thailand will maintain its position as a regional production center and export base, but its long-term competitive advantages are facing structural challenges: the sustained contraction of local capacity and the upgrading of neighboring countries’ industry chains are compelling it to accelerate technological transformation and supply chain restructuring. Driven by the immense allure of this industry “blue ocean,” leading Chinese NEV manufacturers are accelerating their expansion into the Southeast Asian automotive market. Keynote Speech:Baowu JFE Southeast Asia Strategy Sharing Guest Speaker: Liang Chen, Vice General Manager, Baowu Jiefuyi Special Steel Co., Ltd. He that overall steel production in Southeast Asia is declining, but the penetration rate of new energy electric vehicles (EVs) is surging: Thailand’s EV-related demand is up 80% YoY, while Indonesia’s demand has experienced a multiple-fold rise, with subsequent growth potential continuing to be released. Local NEV manufacturers previously purchased Japanese steel, but are gradually switching suppliers now, driven by industry competition and cost pressure. This also represents a core opportunity for the company to promote its supporting supply services. Leadership Panel: The Steel vs. Aluminum Debate and Cost Challenges Moderator: Michelle Leung, Head of Asia Metals and Mining, sustainability, Bloomberg LP Panelists: Thanakorn Thangwanichkapong, Director of Asia Operations, Maxion Wheels Martin Dilly, Southeast Asia Area Sales Director, Bureau Veritas The panelists noted that multiple disruptions, including the situation in the Strait of Hormuz and national tariff adjustments, have moved beyond short-term impact and are driving the restructuring of the entire steel and aluminum industry chain, with the structural transformation of the aluminum industry being particularly pronounced. Global supply chain vulnerability continues to intensify, and upward cost pressure on the industry has increased. Tariff barriers are reshaping the global trade landscape, and market competition is becoming increasingly fierce. The implementation of industrial localization has accelerated, but the pace of progress in Southeast Asia has seen a slowdown. Overall, only enterprises that possess both flexible logistics and procurement capabilities and a robust compliance management system can gain an advantage amid the industry transformation. Keynote Speech: Analysis of Southeast Asia's Secondary Aluminum Market and Price Trends Guest Speaker: Wong Yan Ling, Senior Aluminum Analyst, SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd. She noted that Southeast Asia has become one of the fastest-growing secondary aluminum markets globally, and the worldwide competition for scrap resources is continuously reshaping the regional supply landscape. As resource protection policies are progressively implemented across various countries and regional manufacturing demand steadily expands, ASEAN countries are expected to further consolidate their core position in the global secondary aluminum industry chain. Regarding secondary aluminum price trends in H2 2026, SMM analysis suggests that weak seasonal demand in Southeast Asia may suppress the upside room for secondary aluminum prices, while the geopolitical situation in the Middle East remains a key variable affecting market trends. If shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal, cost pressures from logistics could ease. However, persistently tight scrap supply coupled with potential logistics disruptions may still drive up regional secondary aluminum prices. Specialized Seminar: Co-building a Resilient Automotive Materials Supply Chain for Southeast Asia Moderator: Sing Yao, Director of Steel Business Unit, SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd. Panelists: Zongyan Fu, Purchasing Manager, Changan Auto Southeast Asia Co., Ltd. Weijiang Xue, Chief Engineer of Product R&D, Jiangsu Yonggang Group Co.,Ltd. Hui Yuan, General Manager, Tianjin Dewy Metal Surface Treatment Co., Ltd. Yi Huang, Deputy General Manager, Guangdong Superband Precision Industry Co.,Ltd. Thanakorn Thangwanichkapong, Director of Asia Operations, Maxion Wheels Hongwei Liu, General Manager, BYH NEW TECHNOLOGY CO., LTD. Saurabh Sharma, Sr General Manager & Executive Director, Hero Motors Thai Ltd. Zou Xiang, Business Office Director, Baowu Jiefuyi Special Steel Co., Ltd HaiBin Jia, Deputy Marketing Director, Beijing Jianlong Heavy Industry Group Co., Ltd. The panelists engaged in in-depth exchanges, drawing from their own business practices, focusing on the core topic of deep development in the Southeast Asian automotive industry. They focused on enterprises' current business layouts, operating status, and development trends in the Southeast Asian automotive market, and deeply analyzed core pain points and challenges such as supply chain adaptation, stable supply, and logistics support in the process of going global. At the same time, they shared detailed experiences regarding common challenges faced by enterprises going global, including localization certification, compliance system adaptation in and outside China, and alignment of policy standards. They also discussed core paths for enterprises to anticipate market changes, precisely allocate industrial resources, and quickly adapt to regional market rules and industry demands, focusing on industry trends. Furthermore, focusing on supply-demand coordinated development, they elaborated on their expectations for future cooperation models, collaboration mechanisms, and partnership needs with Chinese material suppliers. As buyers, they also clarified the types and directions of high-quality Southeast Asian clients they plan to prioritize for connection and cooperation, providing practical ideas and references for precise supply-demand matching and deep cultivation of the Southeast Asian automotive market for Chinese enterprises going global. Day 2: June 17 Keynote Speech: Analysis and Outlook of the Supply Chain in the Southeast Asian New Energy Market Speaker: Jena Wang, New Energy Consulting Project Manager, SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd. She stated that driven by the rapid growth of the Southeast Asian NEV market, several automakers are accelerating their localization strategies. Battery demand in each country will also increase rapidly, with the region's total battery demand expected to grow by about ten times from 2025 to 2030, reaching approximately 201 GWh. However, it is worth noting that currently, Southeast Asia faces issues with low localization rates, significant structural gaps, and heavy import dependence for cathode materials and motor components. In Southeast Asia, the supply of local cathode materials and key motor components cannot meet demand, and the low localization rate and large capacity gaps have become key bottlenecks restricting the development of the NEV industry chain in the region. Data indicates that China's global production share of key new energy raw materials—such as batteries, cathode materials, lithium chemicals, and rare earth permanent magnets—generally exceeds 70%, with its capacity ranking first worldwide, demonstrating a significant advantage. In addition, she introduced the capacity distribution and industrialisation progress of key materials in the new energy markets of core Southeast Asian countries. Vietnam: Local automaker VinFast is boosting rapid development of the entire vehicle and upstream/downstream supporting industry chain. Thailand: As a core hub for automotive manufacturing and export in Southeast Asia, it boasts a relatively complete supporting system for motor and electric drive-related industries. Malaysia: It possesses a mature automotive industry foundation, but its local supporting capability for the three electric systems is insufficient; local policies focus on supporting vehicle assembly and regional distribution operations. Indonesia: With abundant nickel resources, it holds a pronounced competitive edge in the battery raw material industry. Overall, SMM believes that the capacity for core new energy components in Southeast Asia is relatively small. National policies are promoting localisation and industrial upgrading, leaving significant room for supply chain development. Leadership Panel: Supply Chain Security and Opportunities in Southeast Asia Moderator: Peter Klöpfer, Senior Manager Automotive Business Unit, RUTRONIK Electronics Worldwide Panelists: Akshay Prasad, Principal, Arthur D. Little SEA Alex Zhan, Head, ZF LIFETEC Thailand Asst.Prof.Uthane Supatti Ph.D., Head of the Power Electronics Applications and Energy Management (PEEM) Research Unit, Faculty of Engineering at Sriracha, Kasetsart University, Thailand Vice President, Electric Vehicle Association of Thailand (EVAT) The panelists discussed about core themes of the Southeast Asian automotive supply chain. First, they addressed the delivery timeline crisis caused by sudden supply shortages, the crisis of lacking transparency in the industry chain, the crisis of industry-wide collaboration barriers, and the crisis of trust failure between upstream and downstream players. They jointly explored systematic resolution strategies and elaborated on their respective countermeasures. Building on this, the on-site guests further discussed the Japanese industry chain and China’s domestic supply chain, analyzing the development opportunities, long-term prospects, and practical implementation logic of two-way opening, healthy competition and cooperation, and deep integration between the two. Leadership Panel: Capacity Coopetition and Customer Breakthrough: Winning the Southeast Asian Supply Chain Battle Moderator: Wacharapisuth Thannapong, Researcher, BCG (Bio-Circular-Green Economy Policy) Research Team, Thailand Development Research Institute (TDRI) Panelists: MARK BRIAN PIRIE, Senior Vice President Purchasing & Supplier Management Asia Pacific, Executive Board Member, Schaeffler Frank Yu, General Manager of the Automotive Rubber & Metal Components Business Unit and Thailand Branch, Shanghai Baolong Automotive Corporation The panelists assessed the overheating of three-electric system (battery, motor, electronic control) capacity in Southeast Asia. They noted that overcapacity in three-electric systems is a global trend. The capacity now deployed in Southeast Asia and Thailand already exceeds confirmed demand, intensifying market uncertainty and heightening investment concerns. Risks are structurally differentiated: Tier-1 suppliers are more conservative and risk-averse compared to China’s domestic vehicle makers that are rapidly going global. There is localized overcapacity in basic e-drive parts and low-difficulty electronic components, while supply bottlenecks persist for key items such as high-performance automotive-grade semiconductors, advanced materials, and electrical steel. This is also a core motivation for Chinese suppliers setting up in Southeast Asia. Moreover, Southeast Asia’s geographical advantages are prominent, and mine development in Australia is progressing rapidly. Many mines are set to commence production by Q3 next year. The core contradiction in the industry is not simply overall surplus, but a mismatch between the regional allocation of capacity, the technologies adopted, and actual market demand. Additionally, the guests noted that the core challenges in Southeast Asia and Thailand revolve around three major issues: regional adaptation, supply chain gaps, and industrial competition and collaboration. Enterprises must independently weigh risks and expansion scales based on their own supply chain conditions to find a development balance suited to their needs. Meanwhile, to adapt to the unique environment of Southeast Asia—characterized by high temperatures, high humidity, floods, complex road conditions, and underdeveloped charging infrastructure—the EV technologies originally designed for the Chinese and European markets must undergo localized R&D and verification. This process ensures the reliability of batteries, electronic controls, and lubrication systems, as well as overall vehicle durability. It is recommended that Tier 1 suppliers and upstream partners proactively collaborate in depth with OEM design teams. Even for domestically mature production car models going global in Southeast Asia, it is essential to iterate and optimize products by leveraging local expansion opportunities while drawing on the cost, process, and quality control expertise gained from large-scale domestic production. Leadership Panel: Techno-Economic Analysis and Strategic Pathways for Battery Material Localization in Southeast Asias Moderator: Jay Yu, Senior director, SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd. Panelists: Brian, Sales Director for the Electrolyte Division in Japan, South Korea, and Southeast Asia, TINCI Materials Max Miao, Director, SEVB Thailand Feng Hao, Southeast Asia Marketing Director, Hefei Guoxuan High-Tech Power Energy Co., Ltd. The panelists noted that amid the restructuring of global manufacturing, Southeast Asia’s lithium battery industry faces both challenges and opportunities. Enterprises are following downstream OEM clients in going global, establishing nearby supply systems centered on customer needs. Three key operational aspects require consideration. First, at the policy level, Southeast Asia’s lithium battery industry must supply both the local market and target exports to Europe and the U.S. Regional policy changes have far-reaching impacts, requiring enterprises to conduct ongoing in-depth analysis and implement corresponding response strategies. Second, in terms of human and cultural factors, local traditions and family values are distinct, necessitating flexible management that fully respects local customs, cares for local employees, and stabilizes production teams. Third, regarding the industry chain, the region’s upstream lithium battery materials are notably underdeveloped. Key raw materials such as high-purity solvents, lithium chemicals, and functional additives currently rely heavily on imports from China, Japan, and South Korea. The establishment and improvement of local upstream and downstream supply capabilities urgently need to be addressed, making this a key focus for future enterprise deployment. In addition, they also mentioned that in H2 this year, NEV-related subsidies in Southeast Asia may be gradually phased out, and Thailand's EV 4.0 policy and the year-end tax rebate policy will also undergo adjustments. Drawing on China's NEV development experience, local automakers will gradually break free from reliance on policy subsidies and instead compete in the market by leveraging product strength and market-based pricing. This year, Thailand's NEV sales are conservatively estimated to reach 120,000 units, with a potential to hit 160,000 units. Compared with Japanese car models, Chinese NEV models have ample room for price adjustment, offering a clear advantage. Currently, battery enterprises are actively assisting automakers in expanding markets and securing more orders, while also suggesting that automakers moderately raise vehicle selling prices. The industry generally believes that automakers will most likely offset the operational pressure from subsidy reductions through price adjustments in the future. Procurement Matchmaking Meeting >Click to view more highlights from the event Check-in & Networking This is the end of the 2026 SMM (3rd) ASEAN Automotive Supply Chain Conference . Thank you for the support of all industry peers. See you next year!
Jun 25, 2026 09:50SMM June 25: In the metals market: Base metals on the domestic market all fell overnight. SHFE tin dropped 2.64%, SHFE copper fell 2.3%, SHFE zinc lost 1.33%, SHFE aluminum declined 2.13%, and SHFE nickel slid 1.72%. SHFE lead edged down 0.95%. In addition, the most-traded alumina futures contract fell 0.84%, and the aluminum casting main contract lost 1.69%. Ferrous metals showed mixed performance overnight. Iron ore rose 0.47%, rebar and HRC edged lower, and stainless steel fell 0.85%. In coking coal and coke: the most-traded coking coal contract gained 0.4%, and the most-traded coke contract rose 1%. On the overseas market, LME base metals all fell overnight. LME copper dropped 2.59%. LME aluminum tumbled 4.43%, hitting a more than three-month low of $3,110/mt during the session. LME lead fell 1.59%. LME zinc lost 2.67%. LME tin declined 3.05%. LME nickel dropped 2.52%. In precious metals overnight: COMEX gold fell 3.21%, touching a session low of $3,975.7/oz; COMEX silver plunged 7.39%, hitting a session low of $55.75/oz. SHFE gold lost 2.45%, and SHFE silver tumbled 6.31%. As of 7:12 on June 25, overnight closing prices: Macro front China: [Ministry of Commerce: Announcement on Further Improving the Handling of Reports Regarding Violations of Export Controls on Strategic Mineral Dual-Use Items] Announcement No. 26 of 2026 of the Ministry of Commerce. To fully leverage social oversight and combat violations of export controls on strategic mineral dual-use items, all organizations and individuals have the right to report suspected violations of relevant laws and regulations in exporting strategic mineral dual-use items, including: exporting strategic mineral dual-use items without authorization; exporting such items beyond the scope, conditions, or validity period specified in the export license; exporting prohibited strategic mineral dual-use items; circumventing licensing requirements by modifying or disassembling items into components or parts to export strategic mineral-related dual-use items; and evading export control regulations on strategic mineral dual-use items by routing through a third country (region), among others. [Ministry of Commerce Releases "Measures for the Security Investigation of Industry Chain and Supply Chain"] To implement the "Provisions of the State Council on the Security of Industry Chain and Supply Chain" (State Council Order No. 834), conduct security investigations on industry chain and supply chain effectively, and safeguard the security of China's industry chain and supply chain, the Ministry of Commerce formulated the "Measures for the Security Investigation of Industry Chain and Supply Chain," which is hereby released and takes effect from the date of publication. [Ministry of Commerce and seven other departments: Strictly crack down on illegal recycling and dismantling of end-of-life motor vehicles, and regulate the business practices of end-of-life motor vehicle recycling enterprises] The Ministry of Commerce, National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, Ministry of Ecology and Environment, Ministry of Transport, State Administration for Market Regulation, and other departments formulated the "Special Rectification Action Plan for Illegal Recycling and Dismantling of End-of-Life Motor Vehicles." It is hereby issued. This special rectification action focuses on addressing prominent issues in the end-of-life motor vehicle recycling industry. All regions and relevant departments should adhere to a problem-oriented approach, improve the coordinated supervision mechanism, strictly crack down on illegal recycling and dismantling of end-of-life motor vehicles, and regulate the business practices of end-of-life motor vehicle recycling enterprises. Through this special rectification action, the standardized operation level of end-of-life motor vehicle recycling enterprises will be continuously enhanced, the proportion of end-of-life motor vehicle recycling volume to vehicle deregistration volume will be steadily expanded, illegal recycling and dismantling of end-of-life motor vehicles will be effectively curbed, the level of parts recycling and reuse from end-of-life motor vehicles will be continuously improved, and the high-quality development of the end-of-life motor vehicle recycling and dismantling industry will be promoted. Additionally, local authorities are guided to concurrently address the recycling standards for PV modules and wind turbine blades. [Central Bank: To conduct 500 billion yuan MLF operation on June 25] According to the central bank, on June 25, 2026, the People's Bank of China will conduct a 500 billion yuan MLF operation through a fixed-quantity, rate-based tender, and multiple-price winning bids, with a term of one year. [CAICT: Domestic mobile phone shipments reached 27.639 million units in May; 5G phone shipments up 23.8% YoY] Data from the China Academy of Information and Communications Technology (CAICT) shows that in May 2026, domestic mobile phone shipments reached 27.639 million units, up 16.5% YoY. Among them, 5G phone shipments were 26.224 million units, up 23.8% YoY, accounting for 94.9% of total mobile phone shipments during the same period. As for the US dollar: The US dollar index extended gains from the previous two trading days, rising another 0.2% overnight to close at 101.57. The PCE price index release on Thursday will be the next key period. Forecasters anticipate that the May data will show acceleration on both MoM and YoY basis, providing new reference for the Fed’s policy direction. Goldman Sachs' chief economist Jan Hatzius reiterated that his baseline forecast remains no rate hike, citing that if a lasting peace is achieved in the Middle East, the inflation environment will be milder than the Fed currently expects. (Wall Street Journal) US Treasury Secretary Bessent praised Fed Chairman Warsh for eliminating forward guidance, and he also believed that no one should make dot plot forecasts. On the economic front, he expected real wage growth to return to its pre-April pace, and he anticipated economic growth to accelerate through the remainder of the year without driving up inflation. He stressed that US dollar dominance was crucial. He believed that after the situation in Ukraine ended, Russia would want to return to the dollar system, and the new Venezuela was moving back into that system. During the period when interest rates were being lowered, the dollar could remain strong, and the US would be happy to take the right measures to keep the dollar strong. On the issue of Iran, Bessent stated that the US Treasury would oversee the distribution of funds to Iran, which would initially be disbursed through Qatar, and a significant portion of those funds would be used to purchase US food and medicine supervised by the Treasury, and any funds received by Iran should belong to Iranians. (Gold Ten Data) According to CME "Fed Watch": The probability of the US Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July was 65.8%, and the probability of cumulative rate hikes of 25 basis points was 34.2%. The probability of the US Fed keeping interest rates unchanged through September was 33.6%, the probability of cumulative rate hikes of 25 basis points was 49.7%, and the probability of cumulative rate hikes of 50 basis points was 16.7%. Macro front: Data to be released today include Australia's May seasonally adjusted unemployment rate, Germany's July GfK Consumer Confidence Index, US initial jobless claims for the week ending June 20, US May core PCE price index year-over-year, US May personal spending month-over-month, US Q1 real GDP annualized quarter-over-quarter final, US Q1 real personal consumption expenditures quarter-over-quarter final, US Q1 core PCE price index annualized quarter-over-quarter final, US May core PCE price index month-over-month, and US May durable goods orders month-over-month. Furthermore, attention should be paid to: Nvidia's annual general meeting of shareholders; the Bank of Canada's release of monetary policy meeting minutes; the US Fed's release of annual bank stress test results; Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda's attendance at a central bank lecture event held by the International Monetary Fund (IMF); Micron Technology's fiscal year 2026 Q3 earnings call; 300 billion yuan in 1-year medium-term lending facility (MLF) and 248 billion yuan in 7-day reverse repos maturing today. Crude oil side: Overnight, both oil futures dropped sharply, with WTI falling 4.56% to an intraday low of $69.93/bbl and Brent falling 4.45% to an intraday low of $73.32/bbl. Brent crude has largely erased all the geopolitical risk premium accumulated since the outbreak of the Iran war. News-wise, Trump stated in a social media post on the 24th that Iran had informed the US it would not impose any tolls, insurance premiums, or other charges on ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz, but he also threatened that negotiations would immediately cease if this information proved false. According to estimates by the International Energy Agency, the UAE's oil exports have recovered to nearly 85% of pre-war levels, reflecting a substantial increase in the volume of oil shipped through the Strait of Hormuz in recent weeks. The UAE alone sold about 60 million barrels of crude oil from the Persian Gulf in recent weeks. Data shows that vessel traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has hit a new high since the signing of the memorandum of understanding and continues to rise. (Wall Street See)
Jun 25, 2026 08:35The Ministry of Commerce, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, and four other authorities have jointly formulated an action plan for a special campaign against the illegal recycling and dismantling of scrapped motor vehicles. The initiative aims to crack down on the illegal acquisition of end-of-life vehicles under the guise of "used car purchasing" and their subsequent resale to unauthorized dismantling sites. It will trace vehicle origins to sever illegal recycling supply chains.
Jun 24, 2026 17:47[SMM Steel] Hoa Phat Dung Quat Steel JSC commissioned a fully integrated steel production line supplied by Primetals Technologies at its Dung Quat facility. The new complex combines two slab casters and a hot-strip mill with advanced automation and digital quality systems, adding 5.5 million tonnes of annual capacity to address surging domestic demand and access high-quality market segments. The two-strand casters deliver 6 million tonnes of annual slab capacity with automated mold-level and width control. The hot-strip mill outputs coils up to 36 tonnes, featuring specialized roll-gap technology for precise strip profiles. The entire system achieved rapid ramp-up, rolling 1.5 mm thin low-carbon steel coils just six weeks from startup.
Jun 24, 2026 16:21[SMM Steel] Czech steelmaker Třinecké Železárny partnered with a consortium of ČEZ ESL and INVELT Servis to build a 4 billion CZK combined cycle power station. The 62 MW gas-turbine complex, scheduled to start operating in the second half of 2030, will replace a coal-fired boiler at the plant. The technology utilizes waste heat and can co-fire hydrogen, cutting carbon emissions and reducing emissions allowance costs. CEO Roman Hajde stated the project supports the company's transition to eco-friendly steel production. Beyond increasing energy independence and diversifying the fuel base, the facility will maintain district heating for 9000 households, hospitals, and schools in Třinec and Český Těšín. Preparatory engineering work and equipment contracts are already underway.
Jun 24, 2026 16:20[SMM Steel] ArcelorMittal entered a strategic partnership with Amazon Web Services (AWS) to deploy cloud, AI, and edge technologies across its global manufacturing sites. The collaboration merges operational technology (OT) and IT on AWS infrastructure, enabling real-time sensor data, computer-vision quality checks, and digital twins across production floors in 14 countries. AWS will provide a comprehensive training program for ArcelorMittal's global employees. Separately, Amazon signed a multi-year Supply Framework Agreement to purchase structural steel from ArcelorMittal for its European and UK data centers and operations facilities, securing lower-carbon XCarb® steel to support Amazon's 2040 net-zero goal and advance construction decarbonization.
Jun 24, 2026 16:19