In 2026, the global lead-acid battery industry maintains steady growth, holding irreplaceable advantages in starting, industrial, and energy storage applications. Secondary lead has become the core raw material supply, and green recycling and compliant manufacturing have become the industry baseline. The global industry chain is accelerating its shift to Southeast Asia, where Vietnam, leveraging its motorcycle and automobile ownership, manufacturing supporting facilities, and trade facilitation advantages, has become a strategic hub for lead smelting, battery production, and recycling. Meanwhile, the lead industry chain faces multiple challenges such as raw material supply-demand balance, international trade compliance, upgrading environmental standards, iteration of advanced lead battery technologies, supply chain security, and cost control. To build a global lead industry exchange and cooperation platform and promote collaborative innovation across the entire chain of lead ore, primary lead, secondary lead, lead-acid batteries, equipment, and auxiliary materials, the 2026 SMM Global Lead-Acid Battery Supply Chain Innovation Conference is set to take place in Ho Chi Minh City. SMM, in partnership with Hunan Ruiyi Resources and Environment Technology Co., Ltd. , invites you to join the conference. The event will focus on industrial policies, market trends, technological upgrades, circular economy, and the joint development of the global supply chain, helping enterprises seize opportunities and achieve win-win collaboration. Click to register now for the conference, and join us in witnessing and participating in this extraordinary and far-reaching industry event, creating a brilliant new chapter together! Hunan Ruiyi Resources and Environment Technology Co., Ltd. is an "industry-academia-research-application" cooperation partner of Central South University. Relying on the Institute of Resource Recycling and Environmental Engineering of Central South University, the company primarily engages in technology development and transformation, technical consulting services, process and plant design, equipment manufacturing, and engineering contracting in fields such as clean and efficient utilization of secondary non-ferrous metal resources, comprehensive recovery and safe disposal of heavy metal and arsenic-containing hazardous waste, and extraction. The company focuses on technology R&D and promotion in the hazardous waste disposal industry. With side-blown furnaces, pure oxygen converters, low-temperature pyrolysis furnaces, electric furnaces, and fuming furnaces as core equipment, it enhances metal recovery rates, saves energy, and reduces emissions in the secondary lead recycling industry, the comprehensive recovery and safe disposal of copper scrap, the vitrification of fly ash and residues from municipal solid waste and hazardous waste incineration, and the comprehensive recovery and safe disposal of heavy metal and arsenic-containing hazardous waste, thereby meeting the growing needs of clients; the company has an R&D and design engineering team centered on professors and senior engineers, bringing together talented professionals from metallurgical production and management, environmental protection, plant design, mechanical manufacturing, automation, electrical engineering, and other fields. It possesses full-chain service capabilities from technical consulting to furnace operation in the areas of secondary lead, copper scrap recycling, secondary zinc, and arsenic-containing hazardous waste disposal. In the R&D and manufacturing of side-blown furnaces and the aforementioned resource recycling fields, it holds over 90 invention patents and utility model patents. RE Technology Co., Ltd. (referred to as RE TECH) is a cooperative high-techcompany (industry-institute-research) affiliated with Central South University, whose metallurgy department is one of the most prestigious in the world. With independent patented oxygen-enriched side-blowing furnace as the core equipment which have widely applied in lead recvcling industry and have won a lot of awards because of its innovative technology, we also have the ability to design the entire plant, and design and fabricate the essential equipment including side-blowing furnace, rotary furnace, blast furnace, convert, electrical furnace, fuming furnace and other equipment. In our role as the leading engineering company in lead recycling, we continue to invest in upgrading equipment and processes to meet the ever-increasing requirement of the industry, including improving metal recovery rates, reducing emissions, and treating materials more efficiently. We are expanding our field from lead to copper, nickel,zinc, tin, antimoney etc. to ensure that nonferrous secondary resources are reused efficiently and cleanly, heavy metals and arsenic-containing hazardouswastes are reecovered and disposed safely. Professors, experts and engineers make up the RE TECH team, whose majors include metallurgy, environmental protection, mechanical, automation, electrical and otherdisciplines. With more than 90 patents, the team is capable of providing consulting, engineering, equipment fabrication, installation, commissioning, and operation services to our respected clients. Contact Tel: 0731-82850226 Email: info@rezh.net Website: http//www.hnrezh.com Address: No. 19 Ziyuan Road, Yuelu District, Changsha, Hunan Province Long press and scan to register now 2026 SMM Global Lead-Acid Battery Supply Chain Industry Conference

In June 2026, total energy consumption of member enterprises decreased by 3.21% YoY; comprehensive energy consumption per ton of steel decreased by 0.70% YoY; comparable energy consumption per ton of steel increased by 1.32% YoY; and electricity consumption per ton of steel increased by 0.73% YoY. Total electricity consumption of member enterprises decreased by 2.06% YoY. Total self-generated electricity increased by 0.18% YoY; the self-generation rate was 64.26%, up 1.44 percentage points YoY. Clean energy power generation increased by 5.37% YoY, of which wind power generation decreased by 30.76% YoY and PV power generation increased by 8.57% YoY. Water consumption of member enterprises rose by 327.5353 million m³ YoY, up 4.28% YoY. Specifically, water intake increased by 3.5978 million m³ YoY, up 2.90% YoY; recirculated water volume increased by 323.9375 million m³ YoY, up 4.31% YoY. The water recycling rate was 98.40%, up 0.02 percentage points YoY; water intake per ton of steel was 2.68 m³/mt, up 4.86% YoY. Discharge volume of member enterprises increased by 21.27% YoY. In wastewater, emissions of chemical oxygen demand (COD), ammonia nitrogen, suspended solids, and petroleum-based pollutants increased by 8.03%, 12.53%, 0.04%, and 7.19% YoY, respectively; emissions of volatile phenols and total cyanide decreased by 52.85% and 17.29% YoY, respectively. Total air emissions of member enterprises decreased by 7.09% YoY, with emissions of sulfur dioxide, particulate matter, and nitrogen oxides from air emissions decreasing by 21.70%, 3.65%, and 9.24% YoY, respectively. In the comprehensive utilization of solid waste, the utilization rates of steel slag, blast furnace slag, and iron-bearing dust/sludge all remained above 98%. In the utilization of combustible gases, the utilization rates of blast furnace gas, converter gas, and coke oven gas remained above 98%, with the recovery volume of converter gas per ton of steel increasing by 3.14% YoY.

"Tin" Leads the Future: Industrial Transformation and Value Reshaping in the New Cycle Conference Background Currently, the global tin industry is at a historic turning point, with traditional cyclical logic completely disrupted and strategic value fully highlighted. The tin market in 2026 is exhibiting an unprecedentedly complex landscape and profound transformation: 1. Profound Restructuring of the Supply-Demand Pattern, Unprecedented Enhancement of Strategic Attributes Global tin reserves have a static reserve-to-production ratio of just 14 years, underscoring growing scarcity. The supply side faces "threefold pressure": repeated setbacks in Myanmar’s production resumption, continuously tightening policies in Indonesia, and elevated geopolitical risk in the DRC. Resource constraints have become the new normal. Meanwhile, the demand structure is undergoing a fundamental shift, making tin a strategic resource that bridges traditional manufacturing and the digital future. 2. A Historic Breakthrough in the Price System, Industry Ecology Facing a Remaking In early 2026, the SHFE tin price broke through 470,000 yuan/mt, hitting a record high. This price breakthrough not only reflects supply-demand imbalance but also marks a revaluation of the tin industry. Traditional trade models, risk management systems, and supply chain collaboration methods urgently require breakthrough innovations. 3. Technology-Driven and Green Transition Foster a New Symbiotic Ecosystem Digital and intelligent technologies are deeply empowering the tin industry chain. The global green transition calls for the tin industry to upgrade toward a low-carbon, circular economy, with recycled tin recovery and green smelting processes becoming the necessary path. All links in the industry chain must shift from competition to collaboration, building an open, resilient, and innovative symbiotic system. Against this backdrop, August 19-21, 2026 in Changsha, Hunan , the 2026 SMM (16th) Tin Industry Chain Conference will bring together global industry elites to jointly explore. Jiangxi Zili Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd. will attend this grand event, discuss industry development trends with industry peers, and join hands to drive the tin industry to new heights. Click to register now, witness and participate in this significant and far-reaching industry event, and jointly write a brilliant new chapter! Jiangxi Zili Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd. is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Zhejiang Shenlian Environmental Protection Group Co., Ltd. , extracting non-ferrous and precious metals from non-ferrous metal hazardous waste, solid waste, and other recycled materials. With an annual production capacity of 120 kt of copper cathode, 10 kt of electrolytic tin, 20 kt of electrolytic zinc, 10 kt of lead-antimony alloy, and 50 kt of battery-grade nickel sulphate, it comprehensively recovers precious and rare metals such as gold, silver, platinum, palladium, ruthenium, rhodium, and iridium. In 2025, it achieved sales revenue of 12 billion yuan. The company is dedicated to the noble cause of resource regeneration, circular economy, and environmental protection, with a deep focus on the non-ferrous metal hazardous waste treatment sector. It strives to become the largest environmental protection technology enterprise in China specializing in non-ferrous metal hazardous waste treatment, resource recycling, and circular economy development. Our company makes large-scale, year-round purchases of raw materials containing tin, copper, and precious metals. Leaders at all levels and clients are welcome to call or visit our company to discuss business. Contact Information Product Sales Contact: Pan Guowei 13868171169 Fang Wujun 13607949805 Raw Material Procurement Contact: Pan Guowei 13868171169 Dong Junlin 13868184456 Long press or scan the QR code to register now 2026 SMM (16th) Tin Industry Chain Conference

Liaoning Tuofeng Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd. integrates technology R&D, equipment manufacturing, sales services, and overall solutions, and is committed to promoting the development of the circular economy and sustainable resource recycling.

As the inaugural year of the "15th Five-Year Plan," 2026 sees the zinc industry undergoing profound transformation against a backdrop of intensifying global macro fluctuations and the deepening of China's high-quality development initiatives. Structural tension has emerged between tight ore supply and the release of smelting capacity; diverging inventory trends inside and outside China reflect a complex supply-demand rebalancing; and technological innovation has become a key driver for resolving bottlenecks and reshaping the competitive landscape. New energy, new-type infrastructure, and other key areas highlighted in the 15th Five-Year Plan are injecting fresh momentum into traditional zinc consumption. Meanwhile, green, low-carbon, and circular economy imperatives, propelled by technological innovation, are accelerating the restructuring of the industry's underlying logic. With the collective support of upstream and downstream enterprises across the zinc industry, industry associations, and relevant stakeholders, SMM 2026 Zinc Industry Conference —held jointly with the 8th Hot-Dip Galvanizing Industry Development and Technology Innovation Forum, the 14th Zinc Salt, Zinc Oxide, and Secondary Zinc Resource Development Forum, and the Foundry Zinc Alloy Development Forum—is about to convene from August 6 to 8 in Qingdao, Shandong. Under the theme "Converging Zinc Momentum, Building the Zinc Industry, Embarking on a New Journey," the conference is driven by the twin engines of macro perspectives and fundamental analysis. Adhering closely to the high-quality development thread of the 15th Five-Year Plan, it focuses on four key dimensions—macro policies, supply-demand patterns, global trade, and technological innovation—aiming to drive cost reduction and efficiency gains through technological breakthroughs, address market volatility through collaborative innovation, and jointly chart a new blueprint for the high-quality, sustainable development of the zinc industry. Weifang Longda Zinc Industry Co., Ltd. will be prominently attending this grand event, joining industry peers to explore development trends and jointly propel the zinc industry to new heights. Click to register now and attend this profoundly significant and far-reaching industry event, joining us in creating a brilliant new chapter! I. Indonesia Plant Location: Kawasan Industri Modern Cikande, Modern Industrial Road, Block W, Number 3, Kecamatan Kibin, Kabupaten Serang, Provinsi Banten. Phase 1 of the base focuses on the production of multiple zinc products, including zinc oxide, zinc alloy, and zinc ingot. Among them, zinc oxide capacity reaches 60,000 mt/year, with commissioning and trial operation scheduled for October 2026. Zinc alloy and zinc ingot production lines are concurrently being established to enhance product supply capabilities. The primary output will be indirect process zinc oxide, ISCC PLUS-certified recycled zinc oxide, and national-standard zinc alloy and zinc ingot, supporting the company's expansion into global markets and extending its global green capacity footprint. II. Vietnam Plant Location: Phuoc Long Industrial Zone, Street No. 1, My An Commune, Tay Ninh Province. The base is being developed in multiple phases. The zinc alloy and zinc ingot project has already commenced operations, with a capacity of 20,000 mt/year. Phase 2 plans for a zinc oxide capacity of 30,000 mt/year, which is expected to be realized in Q1 2027, fully covering the production of all categories—zinc alloy, zinc ingot, and zinc oxide—to complete the overseas product matrix. 3. Two Major Production Sites in China (Integrated Layout) Leveraging profound technical expertise, Longda Zinc Industry’s plant focuses on the production of indirect process zinc oxide and ISCC PLUS certified recycled zinc oxide, with an annual capacity of 60,000 mt. Renowned for consistent quality and excellent performance, its products are widely used in various industrial fields such as rubber tires, paints and coatings, and ceramics, meeting both the demands of traditional industrial production and the stringent standards of high-end manufacturing. The company has built a reliable brand image in the market and, as a participant in standard-setting, contributes practical experience to the industry’s standardized development. Longda New Materials specializes in the resource recovery of zinc-containing solid waste, equipped with mature production processes and a comprehensive supporting system. The site can handle 3 categories of general industrial solid waste containing zinc (hot-dip galvanizing slag, hot-dip silicon-aluminum-zinc slag, tire pyrolysis slag, etc.) and 11 categories of hazardous waste containing zinc (hot-dip galvanizing ash, steel mill ash, steel cord copper mud, etc.), with an annual disposal capacity of 260 kt. Through advanced resource recovery processes, various zinc-containing wastes are harmlessly and efficiently transformed into zinc ingots meeting national standards and zinc alloy products. This model addresses industrial solid waste pollution at the source, reduces reliance on primary ores, and achieves the recycling of zinc resources. Once all four production sites in and outside China are fully operational, the company will achieve scale advantages with an annual capacity of 150 kt for zinc oxide, 100 kt for zinc ingot and zinc alloy, and a stable disposal capacity of 260 kt/year for solid and hazardous waste, further consolidating its industry position in zinc product manufacturing and resource recycling. Contact Yang Wenxue 18053607877 sales@wflongda.com Long-press or scan the code to register now 2026 SMM Zinc Industry Conference

Zhejiang Tianli Equipment Technology Co., Ltd. is committed to building a leading brand in China for environmental protection and solid waste recycling. We consistently strive and forge ahead to meet the needs of our clients. Prioritizing technology and engaging in sincere cooperation, we are moving toward the future. Tianli Co., Ltd. welcomes your visit and field trip.

The north is the core hinterland of China's cable industry. Relying on its industrial heritage, complete entire industry chain support, and favorable policies from Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei coordinated development, it has built a complete industrial cluster integrating raw material processing, cable production, new material R&D, and intelligent equipment manufacturing. The regional cable industry boasts an annual output value exceeding 100 billion yuan, with a solid industrial foundation and broad market space. Compared with the advantageous industrial clusters of the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta, the northern cable industry still faces shortcomings such as scattered industrial resources, weak industry-academia-research collaboration, and insufficient risk resistance capability of the industry chain. Breaking down collaboration barriers has become key to industry upgrading. will be held from July 23 to 24, 2026 at the Crowne Plaza Qingdao Jinshui, Shandong . The conference focuses on three major themes: industrial collaboration, green intelligence, and globalization. SMM , together with Runli (Shandong) Resource Recycling Industry Co., Ltd. , invites customers from the entire industry chain to gather, explore industry opportunities, and promote the quality and upgrading of the northern cable industry. Click to attend. We look forward to meeting you at the conference. Runli (Shandong) Resource Recycling Industry Co., Ltd. is a large-scale comprehensive renewable resource recycling enterprise in the Shandong region, focusing on non-ferrous metal recycling. It integrates online and offline collection channels, and has built a modern recycling industrial base covering recycling and warehousing, intelligent sorting, metal purification, and finished product production and sales. The company adheres to compliant operations, holds complete environmental protection operation qualifications and standardized management processes, strictly controls pollutant discharge in every production step, and takes resource reduction, reuse, and recycling as its core development direction. It helps reduce industrial solid waste, lowers raw material costs for manufacturing, and supports the regional green economy and the implementation of the "dual carbon" goals. It is committed to becoming a professional and reliable renewable resource recycling service provider in the North China region. Its business covers various types of industrial copper scrap off-cuts, waste cables, dismantled metals from obsolete equipment, comprehensive solid waste from factories, and other categories. It has a professional dismantling and sorting team and supporting environmental protection facilities, and the entire process meets environmental protection-related control requirements. It can stably supply copper scrap in large quantities, meeting the production needs of downstream processing industries such as cables, hardware, and conductive materials. The company has established standardized quality control and logistics distribution systems. Leveraging mature industry resources and years of practical experience, it balances economic benefits with ecological responsibility, proactively promotes the transformation and upgrading of the resource recycling industry, empowers resource recycling with technology, and builds a large-scale, intelligent, and green comprehensive resource recycling industry platform. Collaborate with upstream and downstream partners to build a low-carbon industrial ecosystem, and create a regional benchmark comprehensive utilization enterprise for renewable resources. Contact Information Shang Yiying 139 2018 5888 SMM Conference Contact Zhang Guolei 166 0190 0190 zhangguolei@smm.cn

In June 2026, the phosphorus chemical industry chain underwent a profound round of repricing under extreme cost pressures. Four keywords — "Surge, Hold, Strain, Expand" — capture the full-month landscape.

SMM July 4 news: Metal market: Last Friday night, domestic base metals nearly all rose. SHFE copper gained 0.14%, SHFE aluminum rose 0.6%, SHFE lead added 0.38%, SHFE zinc increased 0.87%, and SHFE tin jumped 3.8%. SHFE nickel edged down 0.02%. In addition, the most-traded alumina futures contract fell 0.07%, and the most-traded cast aluminum contract rose 0.24%. Last Friday night, ferrous metals mostly closed higher. Stainless steel dropped 1.85%, iron ore rose 0.27%, rebar gained 0.39%, and hot-rolled coil added 0.4%. Coking coal and coke: the most-traded coking coal contract rose 1.21%, and the most-traded coke contract rose 1.6%. Last Friday night, in the overseas market, LME base metals rose across the board. LME copper gained 0.54%, LME aluminum added 0.23%, LME lead rose 1.04%, LME zinc climbed 2.17%, LME tin surged 4.99%, and LME nickel rose 0.4%. Last Friday night, precious metals : COMEX gold rose 1.49%, posting a weekly gain of 2.22%; COMEX silver gained 2.87%, closing the week higher with a 5.26% increase. Last Friday night, the most-traded SHFE gold contract rose 0.81%, ending the week up 3.5%; the most-traded SHFE silver contract gained 1.61%, posting a weekly rise of 8.82%. JPMorgan said that in the short term, gold prices may be capped by weakening demand and are likely to remain moving sideways overall. The main reasons are weaker purchasing power in key demand areas and renewed sensitivity of gold to changes in real interest rates, which may limit further price gains. However, the bank maintains a medium- to long-term bullish outlook. It expects gold to gradually rebound in H2 2026, with an average price of around $4,300 per ounce in Q3, rising to about $4,500 in Q4. Looking ahead to 2027, JPMorgan believes the rally may continue, driven mainly by continued central bank buying, stronger physical demand, and persistent long-term structural allocation needs. These factors will support gold's long-term appeal as a safe-haven and reserve asset. As of 7:41 a.m. on July 4, last Friday night's closing quotations: Macro front China: [Li Qiang: Take more forceful measures and actions in building a modern industrial system, accelerating high-level self-reliance in science and technology, building a strong domestic market, and deepening reforms and expanding opening up] On July 1, Premier Li Qiang, also secretary of the CPC Leadership Group of the State Council, presided over a meeting of the group to study and implement the spirit of General Secretary Xi Jinping's important speech at the celebration of the 105th anniversary of the founding of the Communist Party of China and Xi Jinping Thought on Party Building. The meeting emphasized the need to strive for new achievements in high-quality development, strengthen initiative and a sense of urgency in work, and take more robust measures and actions in building a modern industrial system, accelerating self-reliance in high-level science and technology, developing a strong domestic market, and deepening reform and expanding opening up. It called for taking solid action, shouldering responsibilities, and striving to carry forward the baton of history, so as to make greater contributions to building a strong country and achieving national rejuvenation. (Xinhua News Agency) [The State Council: Increasing Efforts in Energy Conservation and Carbon Reduction Transformation in Key Industries such as Steel and Non-Ferrous Metals to Achieve Energy Savings of More Than 150 Million mt of Standard Coal] Recently, the State Council issued the “15th Five-Year Plan for Building a Beautiful China,” clarifying the overall requirements, targets and indicators, key tasks, and major projects for comprehensively advancing the building of a Beautiful China during the 15th Five-Year Plan period. The Plan proposes that by 2030, the quality of the ecological environment will be comprehensively improved, and new significant progress will be made in building a Beautiful China. Green production and lifestyles will be essentially in place, the carbon peak target will be met as scheduled, total emissions of major pollutants will continue to decline, comprehensive solid waste management capacity and level will be significantly enhanced, urban and rural living environments will be notably improved, the diversity, stability, and sustainability of ecosystems will be continuously strengthened, nuclear and radiation safety levels will keep rising, national ecological security will be effectively guaranteed, an ecological and environmental governance system adapted to the requirements of building a Beautiful China will be steadily refined, a number of demonstration models for building a Beautiful China will be established, and the people’s sense of gain, happiness, and security from the ecological environment will be continuously enhanced. It also makes an outlook on the 2035 targets and proposes accelerating the formation of the overall layout for building a Beautiful China. (Xinhua News Agency) The Plan mentions increasing efforts in energy conservation and carbon reduction transformation in key industries such as thermal power, steel, non-ferrous metals, petrochemicals, chemicals, and building materials, promoting and popularizing energy-saving and low-carbon technologies, and achieving energy savings of more than 150 million mt of standard coal. With the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and surrounding areas as the focus, industrial coal-fired boilers with a capacity of 65 steam tonnes per hour or below will be gradually phased out. The substitution of clean energy for coal-fired boilers and industrial kilns in industries such as food, textiles, and papermaking will be advanced. [Ministry of Finance and Two Other Departments: Adjusting Vehicle and Vessel Tax Preferential Policies for Energy-Saving Vehicles and NEVs] On July 2, the Ministry of Finance, the State Taxation Administration, and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued an announcement on adjusting vehicle and vessel tax preferential policies for energy-saving vehicles and new energy vehicles. It states that from January 1, 2027, the policy of halving vehicle and vessel tax for energy-saving vehicles will be abolished, and the exemption from vehicle and vessel tax for pure electric commercial vehicles, plug-in hybrid (including extended-range) vehicles, and fuel cell commercial vehicles will be abolished. Vehicles of the above types newly acquired by taxpayers or acquired before the implementation of this announcement shall be subject to vehicle and vessel tax in accordance with the Vehicle and Vessel Tax Law of the People’s Republic of China, its implementation regulations, and other relevant provisions. [PBOC: To conduct 1,000 billion yuan outright reverse repo operation on July 6, with 3-month tenor] To keep banking system liquidity ample, on July 6, 2026, the People's Bank of China will conduct a 1,000 billion yuan outright reverse repo operation via a fixed-quantity, interest rate tender with multiple-price winning bids, with a tenor of 3 months (91 days), maturing on October 5, 2026 (adjusted for holidays if it falls on a holiday). (Jinshi Data APP) On the dollar front: Overnight last Friday, the US dollar index rose 0.03% to 100.91. On the weekly chart: The dollar index fell on a weekly basis, down 0.44% for the week, its biggest weekly decline since mid-April. The decline occurred as US June employment data cooled noticeably, leading the market to lower expectations for near-term Fed rate hikes, and the dollar index fell this week. Against a weaker dollar backdrop, the euro rose to $1.1440, up about 0.5% for the week; sterling rose to $1.3352, up about 1.1% for the week, its best performance in nearly three months. The yen rebounded from near a 40-year low, with USD/JPY once pulling back to around 161, though still at elevated levels. Japan continued to release signals of forex intervention, with finance and cabinet officials stating they are closely monitoring markets and remain prepared to intervene. Analysts pointed out that the dollar's movement has clearly been influenced by employment data and interest rate expectations, and if subsequent economic data continue to weaken, the dollar could still face further pressure. However, whether the yen can sustain its rebound still depends on the US-Japan interest rate differential and Japan's policy actions. (Jinshi Data APP) "Fed mouthpiece" Nick Timiraos said: Trump stated that he considers Fed Chairman Warsh to be on the dovish side within the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). A day earlier, White House National Economic Council Director Hassett made similar remarks; a week earlier, US Treasury Secretary Bessent said he hoped the Fed would remain "open-minded" on inflation and expects the Fed to ease policy this year. A new era of "forward guidance"... (Jinshi Data APP) BNP Paribas Chief Economist Isabel Mateos y Lago said: "If July's nonfarm payrolls are very strong, close to or exceeding 130,000, then I think the July meeting will be full of suspense. The uncertainty may not be as high now, but in my view, the case for a Fed rate hike remains valid." Ahead of the July 4 holiday, short-term interest rate futures markets expected a roughly 20% probability of a Fed rate hike at the July 29 rate decision, down from 33% before the release of the payrolls report. Markets still expect the US Fed to raise rates by 25 basis points this year, but not until December at the earliest. For the ECB, Lagarde said, "The baseline expectation remains another rate hike in September. But it is worth noting that Governing Council members speaking at the Sintra meeting did not rule out skipping this additional hike." She warned that the normalization of energy supply could take six months or longer to take effect, and eurozone inflation could accelerate again. Even so, she also believes that consumer prices outside energy-affected areas will not face pressure. Allianz Chief Economist Ludovic Subran said, "The US non-farm payrolls data was actually weak, but I still think inflation will peak above 3.7%, and AI, fiscal stimulus and the energy sector are still supporting economic growth. The US Fed may have to raise rates in September. I think this is where the real divergence between Europe and the US lies." Subran believes that after last month's hike, the ECB will not act again. "That was an insurance hike, but judging from the current data, it seems that moment has passed," he said. "The trauma effect of the war (with Iran) takes time to manifest. The economy is still bearing the costs of war, but the situation is much better than a few weeks ago."(Jin10 Data APP) Other currencies: ECB Governing Council member Mullan said that as falling oil prices ease price pressures in the eurozone, the ECB is in a favorable position after last month's rate hike. Mullan said that while it is too early to predict the next two meetings in July and September, officials have made clear that "we will not enter a new rate-hiking cycle." Mullan said, "For now, we are in a favorable position. The balance of risks is also at a reasonable level." Mullan added, "Falling oil prices will ease inflation pressure in the services sector," and "we have not yet seen second-round effects."(Jin10 Data APP) On the macro front: This week will see the release of Switzerland June seasonally adjusted unemployment rate, Eurozone July Sentix Investor Confidence Index, Eurozone May PPI m/m, Eurozone May retail sales m/m, US June S&P Global Services PMI Final, US June ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, US June Global Supply Chain Pressure Index, Germany May seasonally adjusted industrial output m/m, UK June Halifax seasonally adjusted house price index m/m, France May trade balance, US ADP employment change for the week ended June 20, US May trade balance, China June foreign exchange reserves, Japan May trade balance, New Zealand interest rate decision for July 8, US May wholesale sales m/m, China June CPI y/y, China June PPI y/y, Germany May seasonally adjusted trade balance, US initial jobless claims for the week ending July 4, US June existing home sales annualized, Germany June CPI m/m final, France June CPI m/m final, Switzerland June consumer confidence index, Canada June employment change, China June M2 money supply y/y, and other data. Additionally, events to watch this week include: a 900 billion yuan outright reverse repo maturing today; speeches from Fed Governor Waller, ECB Executive Board member Schnabel, ECB Governing Council member Wunsch, and Deputy Governor of Sveriges Riksbank Seim; Turkey hosts the NATO summit through July 8; the Reserve Bank of New Zealand announces its interest rate decision; RBNZ Governor Bremman holds a monetary policy press conference; the Fed releases minutes of its monetary policy meeting; the ECB releases minutes of its June monetary policy meeting; FOMC permanent voter and New York Fed President Williams delivers a speech; and 2026 FOMC voter and Dallas Fed President Logan delivers a speech. Crude Oil: In overnight trading last Friday, both oil futures edged up slightly, with WTI up 0.13% and Brent up 0.19%. On the weekly chart: WTI futures fell for a fourth consecutive week, down 0.65% for the week; Brent futures also declined for a fourth straight week, down 0.91% for the week. The crude oil market is relatively stable, with Brent stabilizing near $72 per barrel as the market weighs the supply outlook around the Strait of Hormuz and the progress of US-Iran negotiations. (Wall Street News) Data from Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) show: In the week ending June 30, Brent crude futures speculators cut their net long positions by 34,704 contracts to 55,634 contracts. Gasoil futures speculators cut their net long positions by 2,664 contracts to 57,852 contracts. (Jin10 Data APP) Data show that oil exports from the Gulf region in June increased by more than 3 million barrels per day (bpd) from May, exceeding 10 million bpd, but still 40% below pre-war levels. The UAE led the recovery in oil markets, enabling millions of barrels of crude stranded in the Gulf region to enter international markets, allowing producers to raise output and push oil prices down to pre-war levels. Kpler data show that combined crude and condensate exports from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait, Iraq and Iran rose by more than 3.5 million bpd from May to 10.07 million bpd. Vortexa, another cargo analytics firm, estimated June shipments at 10.2 million bpd, up from 7 million bpd in May, but still well below the 16.5 million bpd recorded a year earlier. According to data from Kpler, Vortexa and LSEG, the UAE’s crude exports reached a record 3.7 million to 3.8 million bpd in June, more than 1 million bpd above May’s level. (Jin10 Data APP) Additionally, three sources said that Venezuela’s largest refinery, the 645,000-bpd Amuay refinery, has resumed operations after a power outage on Friday and is currently processing about 140,000 bpd of crude, with the fluid catalytic cracking (FCC) unit also back online. Following two earthquakes last week that caused heavy casualties, multiple refineries in Venezuela were affected by power outages. Sources also said that the El Palito refinery, with a daily processing capacity of 146,000 barrels, has had power restored, but staff have not yet been able to restart the production units. (Jinshi Data APP) A Reuters survey showed that OPEC’s crude oil production rebounded sharply in June, up about 3.3 million barrels per day MoM to 19.43 million barrels per day, a clear rebound from May’s more-than-two-decade low, but still well below quota levels. The recovery in output mainly came from Gulf countries restoring supply, with Kuwait posting the largest increase; Iran, Saudi Arabia, and Iraq also raised output in tandem. Nigeria and Libya likewise made small increases. The UAE exited OPEC on May 1 and is no longer included in the statistics. The report noted that the earlier Iran war and the effective blockade of the Strait of Hormuz had disrupted supply; the US subsequently lifted restrictions on vessels at Iranian ports, helping some output recover. Although OPEC+ had planned to increase production in June, the plan was not fully implemented due to the war. Overall, global crude oil supply was being repaired, but had not yet returned to normal levels. (Jinshi Data APP) Recommended Reading:

Recently, the ecological environment authority of Wenshan Prefecture, Yunnan Province, released the EIA public notice for the Wenshan scrapped vehicle and waste battery dismantling, recycling and reutilization project. The project involves a total investment of RMB 147.51 million, located in Matang Industrial Park, Wenshan High-tech Industrial Development Zone, Wenshan Prefecture, Yunnan. It consists of one waste battery recycling workshop, one dismantling workshop, one warehouse, and supporting environmental facilities including solid waste collection and temporary storage. The business scope covers scrapped vehicle dismantling and recycling, recycled resource processing, and power LIB cascade utilization.