SMM May 8 News: Metals market: As of the midday close, base metals on the domestic market mostly fell. SHFE copper dropped 0.21%. SHFE aluminum edged down. SHFE lead fell 0.86%, SHFE zinc rose 0.39%. SHFE tin gained 0.65%. SHFE nickel dropped 2.46%. In addition, the most-traded casting aluminum futures fell 0.2%, the most-traded alumina contract dropped 1.29%. The most-traded lithium carbonate contract rose 0.16%. The most-traded silicon metal contract fell 0.72%. The most-traded polysilicon futures dropped 1.91%. Ferrous metals mostly rose. Iron ore gained 0.25%, rebar rose 0.34%, hot-rolled coil rose 0.03%, and stainless steel fell 2.45%. Coking coal and coke: the most-traded coking coal contract rose 0.12%, and the most-traded coke contract fell 0.41%. Overseas base metals, as of 11:38, LME metals nearly all declined. LME copper rose 0.19%. LME aluminum and LME zinc edged down, LME lead fell 0.66%. LME tin dropped 1.26%. LME nickel fell 1.39%. Precious metals, as of 11:38, COMEX gold rose 0.39%, COMEX silver gained 0.22%. Domestic precious metals: the most-traded SHFE gold contract rose 0.19%, and the most-traded SHFE silver contract gained 2.73%. In addition, as of the midday close, the most-traded platinum futures fell 1.5%, and the most-traded palladium futures dropped 2.56%. As of the midday close, the most-traded Europe container shipping contract rose 2.65%, at 2,351.4 points. As of 11:38 on May 8, midday futures quotes for selected contracts: Spot and fundamentals Copper: Today in North China, #1 copper cathode spot prices against the front-month contract were reported at an average discount of 200 yuan/mt to a discount of 120 yuan/mt, with the average discount of 160 yuan/mt down 10 yuan/mt from the previous trading day, and the average transaction price of 102,540 yuan/mt down 90 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Macro front Domestic: [MIIT Approves Experimental Frequencies for Sixth-Generation Mobile Communication System Technology] To further promote China's 6G technology R&D, standard development, and industrialisation process, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology recently approved 6G experimental frequency licenses in the 6GHz band to the IMT-2030 (6G) Promotion Group, supporting it to conduct 6G technology experiments in selected regions, targeting the typical scenarios and key performance indicators determined by the International Telecommunication Union for 6G, and carrying out technology R&D breakthroughs and testing verification. (Wallstreetcn) The PBOC conducted 500 million yuan of 7-day reverse repo operations in the open market at an interest rate of 1.40%, unchanged from the previous day. No reverse repos matured today. US dollar: As of 11:38, the US dollar index fell 0.06%, at 98.21. Data released by the US Department of Labor on Thursday showed that for the week ending May 2, initial jobless claims rebounded by 10,000 to 200,000, below the Bloomberg economist survey expectation of 205,000. The previous week's figure had fallen to the lowest level since 1969. (Wallstreetcn) New York Fed President Williams said on Thursday that demand for US Treasuries remained strong despite the government's massive borrowing. Williams said the US Fed was watching the government's extremely high borrowing levels "very closely." He noted that while it may be surprising, demand for US Treasuries remained "enormous," and "the US is still seen as the strongest economy in the world" and an ideal safe haven for capital, "even with all the geopolitical issues and other factors, that hasn't changed." Williams also said the US economy had shown considerable resilience amid the energy shock triggered by the Middle East war. He said given the surge in energy prices, "the biggest question" was how things would develop, adding that regarding inflation that still stayed high, the US Fed would "make sure" and work to bring inflation back down to the 2% target. (Jin10) According to CME FedWatch: the probability of the US Fed holding rates unchanged through June was 96.4%, with a 3.6% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point interest rate cut. The probability of holding rates unchanged through July was 90.2%, with a 9.5% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut and a 0.2% probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point cut. (Jin10) Data: Data to be released today include the US April unemployment rate, US April seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls, US April average hourly earnings year-on-year, US April average hourly earnings month-on-month, US May preliminary one-year inflation expectations, US May preliminary University of Michigan consumer sentiment index, US March wholesale sales month-on-month, Germany March seasonally adjusted industrial output month-on-month, Germany March seasonally adjusted trade balance, Switzerland April consumer confidence index, UK April Halifax seasonally adjusted house price index month-on-month, and Canada April employment change. In addition, a new round of domestic refined oil price adjustment window will open. 2026 FOMC voter and Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari will participate in a fireside chat, 2026 FOMC voter and Cleveland Fed President Hammack will deliver a speech, permanent FOMC voter and New York Fed President Williams will deliver a speech, Fed Governor Lisa Cook will deliver a speech, and Bank of England Governor Bailey will speak on global imbalances. Crude oil: As of 11:38, both benchmarks rose. WTI gained 0.9%, and Brent rose 1.15%. A conflict erupted between the US and Iran near the strait, with the Strait of Hormuz crisis escalating sharply, and market concerns over crude oil supply supported oil prices. In addition, IEA Executive Director Birol stated that the IEA had so far released only about 20% of its total oil reserves and would be "ready to act again" if necessary. US President Trump said there was no need to restrict US oil or jet fuel exports. "We don't need them," Trump told reporters in Washington on Thursday. "And we have a lot of oil." The blockage of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical shipping lane, had significantly increased US energy exports, making the US surpass Saudi Arabia as the world's largest crude oil exporter. But experts had also been warning that US supply buffer capacity was nearing its limits, and it remained unclear how long exports at this level could be sustained. However, Trump dismissed such concerns and praised the surge in exports. "Ships are turning around from routes that used to head to the Strait of Hormuz," he said, "hundreds of ships are heading to Texas, Louisiana, and Alaska, loading up and heading back, making a fortune." (Jin10) Spot market overview: ► ► Other metals spot midday reviews will be updated later, please refresh to check~

[Capital-Driven Silicon Metal Prices Trend Stronger After Holiday, Spot Price Center Shifts Upward]: The silicon metal market trended stronger after the Labour Day holiday, with the most-traded futures contract breaking through resistance levels to rise above 9,000 yuan/mt. As of the morning of May 7, SMM east China oxygen-blown #553 silicon was at 9,200-9,300 yuan/mt, up 150 yuan/mt WoW. Futures prices continued to trend stronger after the holiday, and silicon suppliers raised spot offer prices multiple times in small incremental probes, with east China #553 silicon offers rising above 9,300 yuan/mt. In the futures market, the SI2609 contract closed at 9,080 yuan/mt on Thursday, up 285 yuan/mt WoW, with an intraday high touching 9,180 yuan/mt. Low-priced sources in the silicon metal market decreased or disappeared, and the transaction center shifted notably higher compared to pre-holiday levels as just-in-time procurement provided support. This round of strengthening was mainly driven by macro and capital momentum, with no substantive bullish support from the industry fundamentals for the time being. From late April to early May, silicon enterprises increasingly hedged in batches on price rallies and sold against the basis, with cargo ownership gradually shifting to futures-spot traders. After futures were pushed higher, spot liquidity issues tended to emerge easily. While futures remained elevated and fundamentals were weak, rigid demand provided support, and spot prices passively followed the upward trend.

SMM May 7: Metals market: As of the midday close, base metals in the domestic market showed mixed performance. SHFE copper rose 0.43%, SHFE aluminum fell 1.76%, SHFE lead fell 0.36%, SHFE zinc rose 0.41%, SHFE tin rose 3.16%, and SHFE nickel fell 3.33%. In addition, the most-traded casting aluminum futures fell 1.85%, the most-traded alumina contract rose 0.49%, the most-traded lithium carbonate contract rose 0.08%, the most-traded silicon metal contract rose 2.03%, and the most-traded polysilicon futures rose 4.79%. Ferrous metals showed mixed performance. Iron ore rose 0.55%, rebar rose 0.68%, hot-rolled coil rose 0.29%, and stainless steel fell 1.12%. Coking coal and coke: the most-traded coking coal contract fell 1.22%, and the most-traded coke contract fell 1.2%. Overseas base metals, as of 11:41, LME metals mostly fell. LME copper fell 0.22%, LME aluminum fell 1.16%, LME lead rose 0.23%, LME zinc fell 0.29%, LME tin fell 1.71%, and LME nickel fell 0.13%. Precious metals, as of 11:41, COMEX gold rose 0.39% and COMEX silver rose 1.35%. Domestic precious metals: the most-traded SHFE gold contract rose 1.11%, and the most-traded SHFE silver contract rose 3.43%. In addition, as of the midday close, the most-traded platinum futures rose 3.21%, and the most-traded palladium futures rose 1.71%. As of the midday close, the most-traded Europe containerized freight index contract fell 3.35%, closing at 2,355.5 points. As of 11:41 on May 7, midday futures quotes for selected contracts: Spot cargo and fundamentals Nickel: On May 7, SMM #1 refined nickel prices fell 5,050 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Spot premiums: Jinchuan #1 refined nickel averaged 1,150 yuan/mt, down 100 yuan/mt from the previous trading day... Macro front China: [PBOC reverse repo operations resulted in a net drain of 99.2 billion yuan for the day] The PBOC conducted 27 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repo operations today. As 126.2 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos matured today, a net drain of 99.2 billion yuan was achieved for the day. [HKEX CEO: LME warehouses in Hong Kong nearing full capacity] HKEX CEO Bonnie Y. Chan said that the storage capacity of a series of LME-approved warehouses in Hong Kong was nearing saturation. The LME began approving metal warehouses in Hong Kong last year. Speaking at a seminar during LME Asia Week in Hong Kong, Chan said the LME currently had 15 warehouses in Hong Kong, compared with just 4 a year ago. She called this an important milestone in establishing physical market connectivity. LME and Hong Kong Exchanges will explore more collaborative projects, including futures and RMB-denominated products, to build a comprehensive commodities ecosystem in Asia. (Jin10 Data) US dollar: As of 11:41, the US dollar index fell 0.01% to 98.01. Chicago Fed President Goolsbee said on Wednesday that the war with Iran increasingly appeared to be an inflationary shock to the economy. Although the impact on employment and economic growth was not yet evident, concerns about supply chain disruptions and sustained price increases were intensifying. "This is not yet a 'stagflation' shock," meaning the kind that hits the job market while pushing up inflation and forces the US Fed to decide which of its policy objectives faces greater risk, Goolsbee said after attending the Milken Institute conference in Los Angeles. "This is just an inflation shock. And the longer this persists, the more uneasy I become." According to CME "FedWatch": the probability of the US Fed keeping rates unchanged through June was 93.5%, with a cumulative 25-basis-point interest rate cut probability of 6.5%. The probability of the US Fed keeping rates unchanged through July was 86.5%, with cumulative probabilities of a 25-basis-point cut at 13.0% and a 50-basis-point cut at 0.5%. (Jin10 Data) Other currencies: On the first day of resumed trading in the Japanese market, the yen broadly stabilized against other G10 currencies and Asian currencies. However, analysts noted that the yen's downside room against the US dollar is likely to be limited due to potential foreign exchange intervention by Japanese authorities. Analysts at Maybank stated in a foreign exchange research report that the unpredictability of Japanese authorities' actions would limit the upside room for USD/JPY in the short term. Given that three suspected interventions have already occurred after the currency pair breached the 157.00 level, the market is now increasingly wary of pushing the dollar above that level. (Jin10 Data) Data: China's April foreign exchange reserves (TBD), US April Challenger enterprise layoffs, US initial jobless claims for the week ending May 2, US March construction spending MoM, US April New York Fed 1-year inflation expectations, Eurozone March retail sales MoM, France March trade balance, and Switzerland April seasonally adjusted unemployment rate are scheduled for release today. In addition, 2027 FOMC voter and Chicago Fed President Goolsbee will participate in a panel discussion at a conference. Crude oil: As of 11:41, oil prices in both markets rose, with WTI up 0.86% and Brent up 0.87%. The market weighed the prospects of a Middle East peace agreement. A decline in US crude oil inventory last week supported oil prices. US EIA Cushing, Oklahoma crude oil inventory for the week ending May 1 was -648,000 barrels, compared to the previous value of -796,000 barrels. US EIA crude oil inventory for the week ending May 1 was -2.313 million barrels, versus expectations of -3.291 million barrels and a previous value of -6.234 million barrels. US EIA Strategic Petroleum Reserve inventory for the week ending May 1 was -5.224 million barrels, compared to the previous value of -7.121 million barrels. According to federal data released Wednesday, US energy inventories continued to decline rapidly due to supply shocks caused by the Middle East war, highlighting the tightening supply problem as the energy crisis continued to spread. According to data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA), refined product inventories, including diesel, plunged by 1.3 million barrels last week to the lowest level since April 2003. These inventories are currently 11% below the five-year seasonal average. Due to refinery shutdowns, diesel prices recently hit record highs in Wisconsin, Illinois, and Michigan. (CNN) According to a person familiar with the matter, the Trump administration is exploring the use of oil resources beneath US military bases and other Department of Defense sites to replenish the nation's dwindling emergency reserves. The source said no decision has been made on this potential move. This comes as the US government has pledged to explore innovative ways to replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, which was further depleted during the Iran war. (Jin10 Data) According to a foreign media survey, OPEC's crude oil production fell to a 36-year low last month as the ongoing Iran war continued to obstruct Persian Gulf exports and forced more oil fields to shut down. The survey showed that OPEC's April crude oil production decreased by 420,000 barrels per day to 20.55 million barrels per day, the lowest level since 1990, mainly dragged down by further production declines in Kuwait and Iran. The survey showed that Kuwait saw the largest production drop last month, with daily output falling by 470,000 barrels to 800,000 barrels per day, less than one-third of pre-war levels. The country's exports have fallen to just 22,000 barrels per day. Iran followed, with production declining by 180,000 barrels per day to 3.05 million barrels per day, doubling the cumulative production cuts since the war began. OPEC also suffered another blow last week. The UAE announced its withdrawal from the organization, following years of friction with the group's leader Saudi Arabia over production limits. The April survey still included UAE data, as the UAE's withdrawal did not officially take effect until May 1. (Bloomberg) Spot market overview: ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ►

SMM May 6: Metals market: As of the midday close, domestic market base metals all rose. SHFE copper gained 1.65%. SHFE aluminum gained 1.17%. SHFE lead gained 1.74%, SHFE zinc gained 2.24%. SHFE tin gained 6.6%. SHFE nickel gained 3.86%. In addition, casting aluminum most-traded futures gained 1.07%, alumina most-traded fell 0.56%. Lithium carbonate most-traded gained 6.59%. Silicon metal most-traded gained 1.77%. Polysilicon most-traded futures gained 1%. Ferrous metals all rose, with iron ore up 2.52%, rebar up 1.44%, hot-rolled coil up 2.02%, and stainless steel up 1.81%. Coking coal and coke: the most-traded coking coal contract gained 2.29%, and the most-traded coke contract gained 2.04%. Overseas market base metals, as of 11:42, LME metals rose across the board. LME copper gained 1.37%. LME aluminum gained 0.36%, LME lead gained 0.41%, LME zinc gained 1.65%. LME tin gained 4.43%. LME nickel gained 1.66%. Precious metals, as of 11:42, COMEX gold gained 1.85%, COMEX silver gained 3.18%. Domestic market precious metals: SHFE gold most-traded gained 1.84%, SHFE silver most-traded gained 5.15%. Analysts said gold futures prices rose as Middle East tensions eased. Vivek Dhar of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia noted in a research report that Trump announced a temporary suspension of the plan to provide safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz for vessels, which eased tensions. Since gold hit an intraday high of $5,422 per ounce on March 2, gold futures have largely moved inversely with the degree of Middle East tensions. Dhar added that upside drivers for gold prices could come from several factors: hopes for a Middle East ceasefire, market pricing of interest rate cuts due to high energy prices dragging on global growth, and concerns over US Fed independence. (Jin10 Data) In addition, as of the midday close, platinum most-traded futures gained 4.14%, and palladium most-traded futures gained 4.42%. As of the midday close, the most-traded contract of Europe containerized freight index gained 2.75%, closing at 2,339.3 points. As of 11:42 on May 6, midday futures quotes for selected contracts: Spot Cargo and Fundamentals Zinc: Today, #0 zinc mainstream transaction prices were concentrated at 23,845-24,215 yuan/mt. Shuangyan had no transactions for now. #1 zinc mainstream transaction prices were at 23,775-24,145 yuan/mt. In the morning session, the market quoted premiums of 70-100 yuan/mt against SMM average prices, with no quotes against futures for now... Macro Front China: [China's April RatingDog services PMI rose to 52.6, accelerating expansion, with new orders achieving growth for the 40th consecutive month] China's services sector activity further accelerated expansion in April, with the composite PMI climbing to the second-highest level in nearly two years, indicating that domestic economic recovery momentum was still building. On May 6, the latest data showed that the RatingDog China General Services business activity index rose to 52.6 in April, up from 52.1 in March, signaling an acceleration within a continuous growth sequence, with the current expansion cycle having started in January 2023 . Meanwhile, the composite output index covering both manufacturing and services rose from 51.5 in March to 53.1, the second-fastest pace since May 2024, indicating a broad-based strengthening of China's overall business activity. [11.279 million cross-border trips made during Labour Day holiday, up 3.5% compared to the same period last year] According to the National Immigration Administration, border inspection agencies nationwide facilitated 11.279 million cross-border trips during this year's Labour Day holiday, with a daily average of 2.256 million trips, up 3.5% compared to last year's Labour Day holiday. The single-day peak occurred on May 2, reaching 2.529 million trips. Among them, foreign nationals made 1.255 million entry and exit trips, up 12.5% compared to the same period last year; of the inbound foreign nationals, 436,000 trips were made under visa-free policies, up 14.7% compared to the same period last year. A total of 531,000 cross-border transport vehicles (aircraft, vessels, trains, and automobiles) were inspected, up 16.6% compared to the same period last year. (CCTV News) [MIIT: Q1 revenue of large-scale electronic information manufacturers up 14.8% YoY] MIIT released the operating performance of the electronic information manufacturing industry for Q1 2026. In Q1 2026, China's electronic information manufacturing industry saw rapid production growth, continued export rebound, significant improvement in profitability, and accelerated investment growth, with the industry maintaining a sound overall development momentum. In Q1, large-scale electronic information manufacturers achieved revenue of 4.31 trillion yuan, up 14.8% YoY; operating costs were 3.69 trillion yuan, up 11.7% YoY; total profits reached 217 billion yuan, up 1.25 times YoY. In March, large-scale electronic information manufacturers achieved revenue of 1.68 trillion yuan, up 15.7% YoY. [PBOC net drained 393.1 billion yuan through reverse repo operations] PBOC conducted 26 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repo operations today. As 419.1 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos matured today, a net drainage of 393.1 billion yuan was achieved. US dollar: As of 11:42, the US dollar index fell 0.21% to 98.28. According to US financial website investinglive, USD/JPY dropped over 100 points in the short term, down more than 1% intraday, pulling back below the 157.00 level. The timing seems right — today is a Japanese market holiday, and the two previous intervention attempts also occurred in the window between the Asian session and the European session open. That said, the two previous interventions happened at a point closer to when USD/JPY had just broken through 157. This time, USD/JPY rallied all the way to near 158 before the suspected intervention occurred. Despite multiple attempts by Japan's Ministry of Finance, the effectiveness of intervention actions since last week has been diminishing, especially as fundamental factors continue to work overwhelmingly against the yen. The question then becomes how much money the Japanese authorities are willing to throw at this problem to make the intervention truly effective. Given the current broader economic backdrop, this is indeed a very thorny dilemma. The greatest hope Japanese officials are pinning on right now is that the US-Iran conflict can subside, thereby easing the pressure on the Japanese economy. Otherwise, they will continue swimming against a massive tide, trying to convince traders not to keep selling the yen. (Jin Shi Data) US President Trump posted that, based on requests from Pakistan and other countries, and given our tremendous military victories in actions against Iran, as well as significant progress made on a comprehensive final agreement with Iranian representatives, both sides have agreed that while blockade measures will remain in effect, "Operation Freedom" (the movement of ships through the Strait of Hormuz) will be paused for a period of time to see whether the agreement can be finalized and signed. (Xinhua News Agency) Bond traders are ramping up bets that the US Fed's next policy move could be a rate hike rather than an interest rate cut. Swap contracts tied to central bank rate decisions now show that the market expects a greater than 50% probability of the US Fed raising rates before April next year, ahead of any interest rate cut. An increasing number of traders are also adding positions to hedge against the rising probability of a rate hike before year-end. This shift in market sentiment comes as policymakers appear increasingly divided on the interest rate outlook. Lawrence Gillum, chief fixed income strategist at LPL Financial, believes that the possibility of interest rate cuts this year still exists, but it will gradually diminish as the Iran conflict drags on. He stated: "Without a doubt, the road ahead for Waller will be full of challenges." According to the CME "FedWatch": the probability of the US Fed holding rates unchanged through June is 96.0%, with a cumulative probability of a 25-basis-point cut at 4.0%. The probability of the US Fed holding rates unchanged through July is 88.8%, with a cumulative probability of a 25-basis-point cut at 10.9%, and a cumulative probability of a 50-basis-point cut at 0.3%. Bill Northey, Senior Investment Director at US Bank Asset Management Group, stated: "At this point, it appears that the Iran situation has not materially escalated, and the market is breathing a sigh of relief." Although hostilities in the Middle East appeared to ease on Tuesday, the conflict continued to affect future US economic indicators and the US Fed's interest rate decisions. He added that, for example, if the Strait of Hormuz could be safely and fully reopened, it would dampen expectations of rising inflation and push 10-year US Treasury yields lower. "Our base expectation is that this volatility is likely to persist," Northey said. (Jin10 Data) Data: Data to be released today include France's March industrial production MoM, France's April services PMI final, Germany's April services PMI final, Eurozone April services PMI final, UK April services PMI final, Eurozone March PPI MoM, US April ADP employment, and US April Global Supply Chain Pressure Index. Also noteworthy: 2028 FOMC voter and St. Louis Fed President Musalem is scheduled to speak on the economic outlook and monetary policy. Crude oil: As of 11:42, oil prices in both markets declined, with WTI down 1.39% and Brent down 1.4%. ING's commodities strategy team said in a report that the oil market faced renewed downward pressure as the US-Iran ceasefire agreement appeared to hold. Trump stated that "significant progress" had been made toward a "full and final deal" with Iran. The team noted that reaching an agreement to normalize oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz was crucial. (Jin10 Data) After the Iran conflict triggered fuel supply panic in Australia, Australia plans to include a A$10 billion ($7.2 billion) fuel security and resilience plan in next week's budget proposal. Australian Prime Minister Albanese stated that the plan would help build fuel and fertilizer reserves, including supporting the expansion of total diesel and aviation fuel reserves to a level sufficient for 50 days of supply. He also said the government itself would hold approximately 1 billion liters of fuel reserves. The Prime Minister and the Energy Minister discussed the plan after a national security meeting in Sydney. Australia's Energy Minister stated that Australia had responded to the crisis and currently held more domestic fuel reserves than at the start of the Iran conflict. He said: "This marks a significant shift in how our nation responds. We have been studying how to be better prepared for future shocks." (Jin10 Data) Spot market overview: ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ►

[SMM Silicon-Based PV Morning Meeting Minutes] Polysilicon: N-type recharging polysilicon was quoted at 34-36 yuan/kg. Polysilicon prices remained relatively stable during the holiday, with extremely limited order signing in the market. Crystal pulling plants had no significant procurement demand for the time being. Post-holiday surveys and conferences were scheduled, and the market was watching subsequent developments. Wafer: Market prices for 18X wafers were 0.9-0.93 yuan/piece, 210RN wafers were 1.00-1.03 yuan/piece, and 210N wafers were 1.2-1.23 yuan/piece. During the holiday, wafer prices remained stable, and cell prices were expected to rise after the holiday.

[Silicon Metal Futures Center Shifted Higher with Increased Enterprise Shipments; Heavy Wait-and-See Sentiment in Polysilicon Market]: In the futures market, the most-traded contract trended stronger during the week, with the SI2609 contract center at 8700-8800 yuan/mt and the highest point touching above 8,900 yuan/mt. Driven by macro factors and news, futures rose, boosting silicon producers' shipment sentiment, and silicon enterprises' shipments to trading firms engaging in both spot and futures market increased. On the fundamentals side, silicon metal supply and demand were in tight balance in April, and the supply-demand structure is not expected to see major adjustments in May. Facing the pressure of increased supply during the rainy season in Sichuan and Yunnan from June to July, the market outlook leaned toward caution. On the cost side, raw material prices remained firm. With upside in silicon metal prices capped and downside supported by costs, the price fluctuation range was narrow.

SMM April 30: Metals market: As of the midday close, domestic base metals mostly fell, with SHFE copper edging up slightly. SHFE aluminum fell 0.41%, SHFE lead fell 0.66%, SHFE zinc fell 0.8%, SHFE tin rose 0.44%, and SHFE nickel edged down 0.02%. In addition, the most-traded casting aluminum futures fell 0.3%, and the most-traded alumina contract fell 0.11%. The most-traded lithium carbonate contract rose 2.52%. The most-traded silicon metal contract fell 0.46%. The most-traded polysilicon futures fell 0.97%. Ferrous metals all rose, with iron ore up 0.89%, rebar up 0.69%, hot-rolled coil up 0.77%, and stainless steel up 1.43%. Coking coal and coke: the most-traded coking coal contract rose 1.42%, and the most-traded coke contract rose 0.66%. Overseas base metals, as of 11:40, LME metals mostly rose. LME copper rose 0.42%, LME aluminum fell 0.32%, LME lead rose 0.26%, LME zinc fell 0.09%, LME tin rose 0.97%, and LME nickel rose 0.86%. Precious metals, as of 11:40, COMEX gold rose 0.28% and COMEX silver rose 0.79%. Domestic precious metals: the most-traded SHFE gold contract fell 0.29%, and the most-traded SHFE silver contract fell 0.29%. In addition, as of the midday close, the most-traded platinum futures fell 0.81%, and the most-traded palladium futures rose 0.89%. As of the midday close, the most-traded Europe containerized freight index contract rose 1.52% to 2,296.2 points. As of 11:40 on April 30, midday futures quotes for selected contracts: Spot and Fundamentals Copper: Today, Guangdong #1 copper cathode spot prices against the front-month contract: high-quality copper was quoted at a premium of 320 yuan/mt, unchanged from the previous trading day; standard-quality copper was quoted at a premium of 240 yuan/mt, unchanged from the previous trading day; SX-EW copper was quoted at a premium of 180 yuan/mt, unchanged from the previous trading day. The average price of Guangdong #1 copper cathode was 101,575 yuan/mt, up 35 yuan/mt from the previous trading day; the average price of SX-EW copper was 101,475 yuan/mt, up 35 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Spot market: Guangdong inventory saw a significant decline today... Macro Front China: [NBS: April Manufacturing PMI at 50.3%, China's Overall Economic Output Remained in Expansion Territory] The NBS Survey Center for Services and the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing released China's April PMI today. The manufacturing PMI continued to operate in expansion territory after rebounding into expansion territory in March, indicating that the overall manufacturing prosperity level remained stable and the manufacturing sector maintained a sound operating trend. In April, China's manufacturing PMI stood at 50.3%, down 0.1 percentage point MoM, remaining in expansion territory for the second consecutive month. [PBOC reverse repo operations achieved net injection of 125.7 billion yuan for the day and net withdrawal of 197.9 billion yuan for the week] The PBOC conducted 126.2 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repo operations today. As 500 million yuan of 7-day reverse repos matured today, the net injection for the day was 125.7 billion yuan. This week, the PBOC conducted a total of 414.1 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repo operations. As a total of 600 billion yuan of 1-year MLF and 12 billion yuan of reverse repos matured this week, the net withdrawal for the week was 197.9 billion yuan. (Jin10 Data) US dollar: As of 11:40, the US dollar index rose 0.03% to 98.98. The US Fed kept interest rates unchanged as expected, with notable internal divisions emerging. Fed Chairman Powell stated at the press conference that although someone voted against maintaining the dovish language in the statement at the most recent monetary policy meeting, he believed officials were not inclined to raise rates. Powell said: "People are not saying we need to raise rates now; it's more of a discussion about whether the Fed should adopt a neutral stance on the policy outlook." Fed Chairman Powell stated at the press conference that monetary policy may be in a range that is neutral in its impact on the economy. He said: "I think we are very close to the neutral rate, which is probably in the range of 3% to 4%, and the current federal funds target rate range is 3.5% to 3.75%." He added: "If we need to raise rates, we will signal and raise them, and vice versa." Fed Chairman Powell said Wednesday that continuing to serve as a governor after his chairmanship ends is to help stabilize the Fed before political pressure subsides. Powell said at the press conference: "As long as I feel it is appropriate to stay, I will stay." He added: "I don't want to be some kind of high-profile dissenter or anything like that." US President Trump said: "Mr. Too Late" Powell wants to stay at the Fed because he can't find a job anywhere else — nobody wants him. US Treasury Secretary Bessent stated that outgoing Fed Chairman Powell remaining as a Fed governor would be extraordinary. For someone who has always emphasized norms, his unilateral decision runs counter to tradition. Kevin Warsh will bring a new chapter to the US Fed with a clear accountability system, effective governance mechanisms, and sound policymaking. According to the CME "FedWatch": the probability of the US Fed maintaining rates unchanged through June was 99%, with a 1% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut. The probability of maintaining rates unchanged through July was 99%, with a 1% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut. The probability of maintaining rates unchanged through September was 98.8%, with a 1.2% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut. (Jin10 Data) A CITIC Securities research report maintained its previous view, expecting one 25bps interest rate cut in H2 under the baseline scenario after Warsh assumes the chairmanship. We believe close attention should be paid to speeches by the 12 sitting voting members going forward, as the US Fed's monetary policy path will depend more on the vote balance among FOMC members, while the guiding role of the Fed Chairman's personal remarks on markets has diminished compared to the past. A CICC research report stated that from a fundamental theoretical perspective, the US Fed should still and needs to cut interest rates approximately twice, which is one reason we are more optimistic than the market on rate cuts. As long as oil prices do not stay persistently above $100 through year-end, the high base effect driving inflation to pull back can provide room for the US Fed to cut interest rates. However, in practice, this will require cooperation from oil prices and Trump. The stalemate over the Iran situation keeping oil prices staying high, and Powell's reluctance to fully step back due to concerns over the investigation causing divisions within the US Fed, are not problems Warsh can single-handedly resolve after taking over in June. The key lies with Trump — if a compromise is reached swiftly and the investigation into Powell is conclusively ended, the prospects for interest rate cuts will gradually open up. On the data front: Data to be released today include: France Q1 GDP year-on-year preliminary, France April CPI month-on-month preliminary, Switzerland April KOF Leading Economic Indicator, Germany April seasonally adjusted unemployment change, Germany April seasonally adjusted unemployment rate, Germany Q1 non-seasonally adjusted GDP year-on-year preliminary, Eurozone April CPI year-on-year preliminary, Eurozone April CPI month-on-month preliminary, Eurozone Q1 GDP year-on-year preliminary, Eurozone March unemployment rate, UK Bank of England interest rate decision as of April 30, Eurozone ECB deposit facility rate as of April 30, Eurozone ECB main refinancing rate as of April 30, US initial jobless claims for the week ending April 25, US March core PCE price index year-on-year, US March personal spending month-on-month, US Q1 Employment Cost Index quarter-on-quarter, US Q1 real GDP annualized quarter-on-quarter preliminary, US Q1 real personal consumption expenditure quarter-on-quarter preliminary, US Q1 core PCE price index annualized quarter-on-quarter preliminary, US March core PCE price index month-on-month, and US April Chicago PMI. Also worth watching: the US Fed FOMC interest rate decision; Fed Chairman Powell's monetary policy press conference; Google's earnings call; earnings calls from Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta; Samsung Electronics' earnings call; the Bank of England's interest rate decision, meeting minutes, and monetary policy report; Bank of England Governor Bailey's monetary policy press conference; the ECB's interest rate decision; ECB President Lagarde's monetary policy press conference. Notably, the Shanghai Gold Exchange, SHFE, Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange, and DCE had no night session trading on April 30 ahead of Labour Day holiday. Crude oil: As of 11:40, oil prices in both markets continued the previous trading day's rally, with WTI up 1.96% and Brent up 2.16%. The Strait of Hormuz standoff is pushing the oil market from a short-term shock toward lasting repricing. Brent crude rose for consecutive sessions as Trump insisted on a maritime "blockade" against Iran. Traders' optimism that a three-week ceasefire could restore Gulf energy flows was fading. (Wallstreetcn) Bloomberg reported on the 29th that, according to a senior White House official, the US government was seeking to "seize" two Iran-linked oil tankers recently intercepted by the US Navy. The official said the DOJ had initiated "seizure" proceedings but did not elaborate on what the process entailed, nor whether it indicated the US planned to "seize" the crude oil aboard. The official, speaking on condition of anonymity citing "operational security," declined to disclose how the vessels would ultimately be handled or comment on their current routes. According to the US Department of Defense, the US Navy intercepted and boarded two tankers "transporting oil from Iran" in the Indian Ocean on the 20th and 22nd respectively. The two tankers continued sailing in the Indian Ocean over the following days and appeared to have changed course multiple times. (Xinhua) (Jin10 Data APP) Spot market overview: ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ►

2026 Year June 3–5 China · National Exhibition and Convention Center (Shanghai) No. 333 Songze Avenue, Qingpu District, Shanghai Multi-Energy Complementarity and Integrated Development of PV, Energy Storage, and Hydrogen www.snec.org.cn Approving Authority Shanghai Municipal Commission of Commerce Supporter Shanghai Municipal Development and Reform Commission Shanghai Municipal Commission of Economy and Informatization Shanghai Municipal Science and Technology Commission Lead Organizers Asia Photovoltaic Industry Association (APVIA) Chinese Renewable Energy Society (CRES) Renewable Energy Professional Committee of China Association of Circular Economy (CREIA) Shanghai Federation of Economic Organizations (SFEO) Shanghai Science and Technology Exchange Center (SSTEC) Shanghai New Energy Industry Association (SNEIA) Co-Organizers Solar PV Products Sub-Council of China Chamber of Commerce for Import and Export of Machinery and Electronic Products (CCCME) PV Professional Committee of Chinese Renewable Energy Society (CPVS) Renewable Energy Professional Committee of China Energy Research Society Exhibition Organizers Shanghai Follow Me Technology Co., Ltd. Shanghai Follow Me New Energy Development Co., Ltd. Shanghai Solar Cloud Exhibition Services Co., Ltd. Follow Me Int'l Exhibition USA Inc. Follow me International Exhibition Co., Ltd. Conference Organizer Shanghai Follow Me Convention and Exhibition Services Co., Ltd. Preface: The “SNEC 19th (2026) International Solar PV and Smart Energy (Shanghai) Conference and Exhibition” (the “SNEC PV Conference and (Shanghai) Exhibition” for short), jointly organized by 25 international institutions and organizations including the Asia Photovoltaic Industry Association (APVIA), the Chinese Renewable Energy Society (CRES), the Renewable Energy Professional Committee of the China Association of Circular Economy (CREIA), the Shanghai Federation of Economic Organizations (SFEO), the Shanghai Science and Technology Exchange Center (SSTEC), and the Shanghai New Energy Industry Association (SNEIA), will be grandly held in Shanghai, China, from June 3 to 5, 2026. The “SNEC PV Conference and (Shanghai) Exhibition” grew from 15,000 m² at its first edition in 2007 to 360,000+ m² in 2025, with more than 3,000 enterprises from 95 countries and regions worldwide participating, of which international exhibitors accounted for 30%, and it has become the most influential international, professional, and large-scale PV event in China, Asia, and the world. The SNEC PV Exhibition is the world's most professional PV exhibition, featuring: PV production equipment, materials, solar cells, PV application products and components, as well as PV engineering and systems, energy storage, mobile energy, etc., covering all segments of the PV industry chain. The SNEC PV Forum is also remarkably diverse, involving analysis of future PV market trends, cooperative development strategies, national policy directions, cutting-edge industry technologies, PV financing, etc., providing the best opportunity to showcase achievements to the industry. We look forward to global industry professionals gathering in Shanghai, China, to take a problem-oriented approach from an industrial perspective, jointly assessing the solar PV power generation markets in China, Asia, and the world, and collectively leading the path of industry innovation and development. We hope to see you in Shanghai in June 2026! Schedule: Setup: May 31, 2026 13:30-18:00 June 1-2 09:00-20:00 Exhibition: June 3-4, 2026 09:00-17:00 June 5 09:00-14:00 Dismantling: June 5, 2026 14:00-22:00 Exhibit Content (Product Categories): Solar PV PV Production Equipment: Silicon rod/silicon lumps/casting ingot production equipment: complete production lines, casting ingot furnaces, crucibles, growth furnaces, other related equipment Silicon wafer production equipment: complete production lines, cutting equipment, cleaning equipment, detection equipment, other related equipment Battery production equipment: complete production lines, etching equipment, cleaning equipment, diffusion furnaces, coating equipment/deposition furnaces, screen printing machines, other furnace equipment, testers and sorters, other related equipment Cell panel/module production equipment: complete production lines, testing equipment, glass cleaning equipment, wiring/welding equipment, laminating equipment, etc. Thin-film cell panel production equipment: amorphous silicon cells, copper indium gallium selenium dioxide cells CIS/CIGS, cadmium telluride thin-film cells CdTe, dye-sensitized cell DSSC production technology and research equipment Solar Cells: Solar cell producers, cell module producers, cell module installers, agents, dealers and distributors, concentrator cells, etc. PV Related Parts: Batteries, chargers, controllers, converters, recorders, inverters, monitors, mounting systems, tracking systems, solar cables, etc. PV Raw Materials: Polysilicon, silicon ingots/silicon lumps, silicon wafers, encapsulation glass, encapsulation films, other raw materials PV Application Products: Lighting products, power supply systems, mobile chargers, water pumps, solar household products and other solar products PV Engineering and Systems: PV system integration, solar air conditioning systems, rural PV power generation systems, solar detection and control systems, solar heating system engineering, solar PV engineering process control and project management and software programming systems System Engineering Construction Equipment and Safety Protection: Electrical construction equipment, construction vehicles, engineering machinery, maintenance tools, aerial work vehicles/platforms, scaffolding, electrical safety tools, personal safety protective equipment Others Solar Energy and Green Buildings: Solar Thermal Utilization: Solar central hot water systems, household solar water heaters, solar heat pump water heaters, solar collector systems, solar heating systems, integrated solar thermal-PV products, solar water heater manufacturing equipment, solar water heater raw materials and accessories Solar PV and Concentrated Solar Power: Grid-connected solar PV power generation systems, off-grid PV power generation systems, PV-wind complementary power generation systems, PV power transmission and distribution equipment, PV modules and components and equipment, trough linear focus systems, tower systems, dish systems, collector tubes, heat storage equipment and corresponding materials, heat exchange technology and products, high-temperature heat transfer technology and products, system control Solar Cooling Systems and Equipment: Solar cooling products and systems, air energy products, solar central air conditioning, ground source heat pump air conditioning Solar Lighting and Building Materials: Solar lawn lights, garden lights, solar street lights and other optoelectronic products, solar PV glass, solar rooftop modules, solar PV building integration overall solutions, etc. LED Technology and Products: LED lighting, LED application products, display products/digital signage, parts, modules, kits, etc. Solar Accessories: Solar complementary automatic control devices and instruments, solar pipes and fittings, solar control systems, solar heat pipes, vacuum tube collectors, flat plate collectors, engineering manifolds, insulation materials, hot and cold water pumps, brackets, PV equipment accessories, batteries and other related production equipment and accessory materials International Energy Storage Technology and Smart Grid Energy Storage Technology, Equipment and Materials: Compressed air energy storage, pumped hydro energy storage, superconducting magnetic energy storage, flywheel energy storage, thermal/cold storage, hydrogen storage and other energy storage technologies applicable to plug-in EVs, equipment and materials; various batteries (nickel–metal hydride batteries, lithium-ion batteries, lithium polymer batteries, lead-acid batteries, smart batteries, sodium-sulfur batteries), energy storage power supplies, supercapacitors, renewable fuel cells, flow batteries and other technologies, equipment and materials ESS Power Stations and EPC Projects: BMS battery management systems, PCS energy storage inverters, microgrids, EV charging and battery swapping stations and related supporting facilities C. New Energy Power Generation Grid Connection and Smart Power Transmission and Distribution: Grid-tie inverters, light DC equipment, operation monitoring devices, grid connection control systems, flexible transmission equipment, ultra-high voltage transmission equipment, high-temperature superconducting equipment, high-temperature superconducting cables, distribution automation systems and protection devices, smart switchgear, transformers, instrument transformers, smart components, digital substations, substation integrated automation, distribution network automation devices, transmission and distribution online monitoring, fault diagnosis and self-healing devices, power quality monitoring, harmonic control and reactive power compensation, superconducting electrical technology, various new types of wires and cables, composite materials, safety protection D. Power Grid Dispatching and Automation Control: Smart grid dispatching systems, dispatching integrated data platform systems, grid security and control, smart inspection systems, integrated measurement and control protection and arc suppression line selection systems, security and stability control system solutions, power monitoring systems and microcomputer-based relay protection, wide-area dynamic monitoring systems, grid stability online monitoring systems, distribution network intelligent reactive power compensation devices, control software, remote control and telemetry devices, large-screen display systems, power system simulation E. Smart Metering and Power Consumption Management: Smart meters and chips, remote/centralized meter reading systems, power consumption information collection systems, power consumption management information systems, load management terminals, monitoring systems, verification devices, metering cabinets and components, measuring instruments, sensors, semiconductors F. Smart Grid Information and Communication: IoT technology, cloud computing technology, multi-network convergence technology, transmission technology and equipment, access equipment, optical fiber and cables, industrial Ethernet, data communication and network technology and related products, in-plant communication equipment, power line carrier equipment, supporting equipment and instruments, digital microwave communication equipment, testing equipment and instruments, network online monitoring equipment G. Others International NEV and Charging Piles NEVs (Passenger Vehicles / Commercial Vehicles): Electric buses and trucks, electric sedans, electric sightseeing vehicles, electric golf carts, electric cleaning vehicles, hybrid buses and sedans, solar EVs, light EVs, hybrid vehicles (micro hybrid, mild hybrid, medium hybrid, full hybrid and plug-in hybrid), pure EVs, fuel cell vehicles, hydrogen and natural gas and other new energy clean fuels, hybrid vehicles and various low-emission environmental protection energy-saving vehicles; Power Drive Systems: Power batteries, battery management systems, fuel cells, hybrid systems, drive motors, electric control systems, engines, detection and repair equipment, related testing, monitoring, protection instruments, related technologies; C. Key NEV Parts: Power capacitors, supercapacitors, flywheels, inverters, electric heat pumps, electric power steering, electric air conditioning, tires, wire connections, electromagnetic technology, related materials; coatings, transmissions, filters, carburetors, exhaust systems; axles, steering, braking, suspension systems; auto body accessories; motors and electrical appliances, electronic components, electrical systems, circuits, wheel hubs, tires, etc.; D. Vehicle Design: Complete vehicle design, system control design, etc. E. Charging Facilities: Charging stations, charging piles; charging station smart network project planning and achievement display, gas station expansion to charging (battery swapping) stations, integrated gas and charging service station display, solar and wind complementary NEV charging station technology products, charging station power distribution equipment, chargers, power monitoring systems, active filter devices, transformers, distribution cabinets, cables, direct charging equipment, management auxiliary equipment, charging/swapping batteries and battery management systems, parking lot charging facilities, smart monitoring, charging station power supply solutions F. Others Participation Fees: Standard Booth (Deluxe, 3m x 3m ): Domestic enterprises: RMB 23,800/booth Foreign-funded enterprises: US$4,900/booth Basic configuration: one consultation desk, two folding chairs, one waste basket, one 220V/500W power supply socket, two spotlights, Chinese-English header board, carpet inside the booth. Indoor Bare Space (minimum 36 m² rental): Domestic enterprises: RMB 2,380/m ² Foreign-funded enterprises: US$490/m ² Exhibitor Notes: 1. Enterprises confirming participation shall complete the exhibition application form, affix the company seal, and fax or mail it to the Organizing Committee; 2. Upon receipt of booth reservation fees, the Organizing Committee will arrange booths according to the principle of "first application, first payment, first arrangement"; 3. Payment details for participation fees: (1) The above participation fees do not include "construction deposit", "construction management fee", "facility rental fee" and other fees; (2) Exhibitors who sign contracts shall remit the deposit to the Organizing Committee's account within ten working days from the date of signing the contract, and fax the remittance receipt to the Organizing Committee for verification; (3) The remaining participation fees shall be remitted to the Organizing Committee's designated account before December 31, 2025; 4. The order of conference booklet advertisements is based on the order of advertisement fee receipt, with the submission deadline being March 31, 2026; 5. The Organizing Committee will send the "Exhibitor Manual" to participating enterprises in April 2026. Inquiries Welcome: Shanghai Fulemi Exhibition Service Co., Ltd. SNEC 19th (2026) International Photovoltaic Power Generation and Smart Energy (Shanghai) Conference & Exhibition Contact: Manager Wei Room 905, Guangqi City, No. 425 Yishan Road, Xuhui District, Shanghai Postal Code: 200235 Room 905-907, Guangqi City Office Building, No. 425 Yishan Road, Xuhui District, Shanghai Tel: +86-13817218765 E-mail: weiwei@snec.org.cn Conference Website:

SMM April 29: Metals market: As of the midday close, domestic market base metals mostly rose, with SHFE copper down 0.29%. SHFE aluminum edged up. SHFE lead rose 0.18%, SHFE zinc edged down. SHFE tin rose 0.81%. SHFE nickel rose 1.37%, hitting an intraday high of 152,230 yuan/mt, the highest since January 26. Additionally, the most-traded casting aluminum futures were flat at 23,175 yuan/mt, and the most-traded alumina contract fell 0.45%. The most-traded lithium carbonate contract rose 0.6%. The most-traded silicon metal contract rose 1.57%. The most-traded polysilicon futures rose 1.08%. Ferrous metals all rose, with iron ore up 0.77%, rebar up 0.31%, hot-rolled coil up 0.3%, and stainless steel up 0.55%. Coking coal and coke: the most-traded coking coal contract rose 0.47%, and the most-traded coke contract rose 0.22%. Overseas market base metals, as of 11:40, LME metals rose across the board. LME copper rose 0.79%. LME aluminum rose 0.49%, LME lead rose 0.49%, LME zinc rose 0.61%. LME tin rose 1.14%. LME nickel rose 0.18%. Precious metals, as of 11:40, COMEX gold edged up 0.07%, COMEX silver rose 0.65%. Domestic precious metals: the most-traded SHFE gold contract fell 1.36%, and the most-traded SHFE silver contract fell 1.46%. Additionally, as of the midday close, the most-traded platinum futures fell 1.07%, and the most-traded palladium futures fell 0.29%. As of the midday close, the most-traded Europe containerized freight index contract rose 1.13% to 2,252.9 points. As of 11:40 on April 29, midday futures quotes for selected contracts: Spot and fundamentals Copper: Today in Guangdong, #1 copper cathode spot prices against the front-month contract: high-quality copper was quoted at a premium of 320 yuan/mt, flat with the previous trading day; standard-quality copper was quoted at a premium of 240 yuan/mt, up 10 yuan/mt from the previous trading day; SX-EW copper was quoted at a premium of 180 yuan/mt, up 10 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. The average price of Guangdong #1 copper cathode was 101,540 yuan/mt, down 780 yuan/mt from the previous trading day; the average price of SX-EW copper was 101,440 yuan/mt, down 775 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Spot market: Guangdong inventory rose for two consecutive sessions, mainly due to weak downstream consumption... Macro front China: [31 World Firsts: China's Mineral Resource Inventory Published, with Continued Increase in Exploration Investment Planned for the 15th Five-Year Plan Period] On April 29, the Ministry of Natural Resources released China's latest mineral resource inventory. China ranked first in the world in reserves of 14 minerals, including rare earths, tungsten, tin, molybdenum, antimony, gallium, germanium, indium, fluorite, and graphite. In 2025, China ranked first in the world in the production of 17 minerals, including coal, vanadium, titanium, zinc, rare earths, tungsten, tin, molybdenum, antimony, gallium, indium, gold, and tellurium. Currently, China's mineral production and smelting processing scale ranks firmly first globally. In 2025, the national mining output value was approximately 32.7 trillion yuan, accounting for over 23% of GDP. Resource reserves grew significantly, laying a solid foundation for resource self-sufficiency and controllability. Xiong Zili, Director of the Geological Exploration Management Department of the Ministry of Natural Resources, stated that during the 15th Five-Year Plan period, the state will continue to deeply implement a new round of strategic actions for mineral exploration breakthroughs. The Ministry of Natural Resources will further improve the coordinated system for exploration, production, supply, reserves, and sales of strategic mineral resources, and strengthen security risk monitoring and early warning for strategic mineral resources. In terms of key directions, efforts will focus on scarce strategic minerals such as copper, iron, lithium, cobalt, and nickel, while consolidating the resource position of advantageous minerals such as rare earths, tungsten, and tin. In terms of spatial layout, land-sea coordination will be strengthened, with active expansion of survey, exploration, and development space, and increased efforts in basic geological surveys. The goal is to submit a number of mineral sites ready for development by 2030 and form new capacity as soon as possible. The PBOC conducted 25.9 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repo operations in the open market at an interest rate of 1.40%. Today, 6 billion yuan of reverse repos matured. US dollar: As of 11:40, the US dollar index rose 0.03% to 98.66. US Fed watchers did not expect significant changes to the Fed's statement, but they noted there could be some subtle adjustments. For example, officials might revise their description of the labour market to acknowledge that recent data suggested the labour market had stabilized despite less hiring activity. Some officials also wanted the Fed to make clear that the next policy move could be a rate hike—rather than an interest rate cut—as the Iran situation had intensified existing inflationary pressures. To signal this view, officials could slightly adjust the wording of "the extent and timing of additional adjustments to the benchmark rate." Deutsche Bank economists wrote in a report: "A hawkish statement might remove the word 'additional,' as it implies a dovish lean and effectively signals a continuation of a series of interest rate cuts." The US Fed made three interest rate cuts at year-end 2025. Roger Ferguson, former Vice Chairman of the US Fed and economist, stated, "In terms of the dual mandate, the Fed would say that the labour market is roughly in a stable state at present. Regarding the inflation mandate, (as inflation remains elevated at 3%), there is still much work to be done." He expected the US Fed to say: "We will stay put for now and see how all this plays out." Similarly, Goldman Sachs economist David Mericle expected the post-meeting statement to acknowledge improved labor market conditions and rising inflation data, but maintain existing policy guidance. We expect a majority will still support keeping rates unchanged, with only one dissent, same as in March. According to CME "FedWatch": the probability of the US Fed keeping rates unchanged in April was 100%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point interest rate cut by June was 2.6%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged was 97.4%. (Jin10 Data) Data: Data to be released today include Australia's March non-seasonally adjusted CPI year-on-year, Switzerland's April ZEW investor confidence index, Eurozone April industrial confidence index, Eurozone April economic sentiment index, Germany's April preliminary CPI month-on-month, US March annualized housing starts, US March durable goods orders month-on-month, US March building permits, and Bank of Canada interest rate decision through April 29. Also noteworthy: Bank of Canada to release its rate decision and monetary policy report; US Senate Banking Committee to vote on advancing Waller's Fed Chairman nomination, with a full Senate confirmation vote to follow if passed; Bank of Canada Governor Macklem and Senior Deputy Governor Rogers to hold a monetary policy press conference. Crude oil: As of 11:40, both benchmarks declined, with WTI down 0.77% and Brent down 0.47%. Both WTI and Brent continued to pull back in the short term, fully erasing gains since the news that Trump planned to extend the blockade on Iran. According to the Wall Street Journal, US officials said Trump had instructed aides to prepare for a prolonged blockade on Iran, a high-risk attempt aimed at striking Iran's fiscal revenue and forcing concessions on the nuclear issue. Officials said that in recent discussions, including a Monday White House Situation Room meeting, Trump decided to continue suppressing Iran's economy and oil exports by blocking shipping to and from Iranian ports. On April 28 local time, satellite imagery showed multiple oil tankers in waters near Iran's Chabahar Port, including 8 very large crude carriers and several small and medium-sized vessels, with a total capacity of approximately 14 million barrels of crude oil. Chabahar Port is located on the Gulf of Oman coast in southeastern Iran. Although the port is located outside the Persian Gulf, it is already close to the blockade line set by the US. Analysts noted that as traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has nearly dropped to zero, rerouting some oil exports is one of the measures Iran has taken to minimize disruptions to its oil exports. (Jin10 Data) Spot Market Overview: ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ►

Huachuang Securities noted that ex-China space PV catalysts continued to emerge, while China's PV sector continued its "anti-involution" efforts. SpaceX plans to procure approximately 1 trillion won worth of PV polysilicon from a subsidiary of South Korea's OCI within 3-5 years. In China, polysilicon price declines narrowed. AIKO initiated the conversion of 11 GW BC cell capacity. It is expected that China's main PV industry chain will undergo capacity rationalization based on the technological capabilities of each segment, with the upstream polysilicon segment emphasizing energy consumption control and the downstream cell and module segment emphasizing conversion efficiency.