Spot lithium carbonate prices continued to decline this week. The futures market performed weakly, with the price range of the most-traded LC2609 contract fluctuating downward from 178,000-182,100 yuan/mt at the beginning of the week to 157,600-167,600 yuan/mt, hitting a mid-week low of 157,600 yuan/mt, with a weekly decline of approximately 10.7%. Overall open interest decreased, and market sentiment was bearish. Market transactions exhibited a divergent pattern of "upstream holding prices firm and holding back from selling, downstream dip-buying," while actual transactions maintained a certain level of activity. Upstream lithium chemical plants showed a passive attitude toward spot order shipments, with sentiment to hold prices firm and hold back from selling still prevailing. Only some enterprises that had hedged at higher levels earlier were able to close a small number of spot orders with downstream buyers or traders. On the downstream material plants side, June production schedules stayed high with demand continuing to grow. Supported by rigid demand, some enterprises maintained dip-buying and stockpiling for rigid needs. As prices continued to fall, some enterprises adopted a cautious wait-and-see attitude, with purchase willingness and target prices adjusted downward in tandem. Overall, market inquiries and actual transactions maintained a certain level of activity. Supply side, production increased, and industry chain inventory changes diverged significantly. Lithium carbonate production increased this week, mainly due to the successive production resumptions of spodumene processing lines that had previously undergone maintenance. The recycling segment and salt lake segment maintained stable production, while the lepidolite segment experienced minor production fluctuations due to raw material supply issues. In terms of inventory changes: upstream lithium chemical plants saw slight destocking this week as long-term contract orders were delivered in a concentrated manner at the beginning of the month, coupled with some resumed production lines not yet operating at full capacity; downstream material plants saw inventory buildup as long-term contracts and customer-supplied materials arrived successively at the beginning of the month, combined with dip-buying spot orders; traders saw destocking as downstream buyers purchased as needed. Looking ahead, spot lithium carbonate prices are expected to maintain an in the doldrums pattern in the short term, but downside room is limited. Supply side, the pace of Zimbabwean lithium ore arrivals at ports and the progress of production resumptions at Jiangxi mines are key variables going forward. Demand side, downstream production schedules in June stay high, and rigid demand support persists. Short-term lithium prices are expected to maintain a fluctuating trend. It is recommended to closely monitor warrant inflection points, the pace of Zimbabwean lithium ore arrivals at ports, and the actual fulfillment of downstream production schedules.

Around May 23, 2026, import and export data for cobalt and lithium battery industry chain-related products in April were released in a concentrated manner. Data showed that China's spodumene imports in April reached 758,000 mt in physical content, down 9.5% MoM and up 21.7% YoY. Lithium carbonate imports, China imported 32,650 mt of lithium carbonate in April, up 9% MoM and up 15% YoY.......SMM compiled the import and export data for battery materials, as detailed below: Upstream Lithium Concentrates In April 2026, China's spodumene imports reached 758,000 mt in physical content, down 9.5% MoM and up 21.7% YoY, equivalent to approximately 63,000 mt of LCE. Customs data showed that April spodumene imports pulled back MoM from March, reaching 758,000 mt in physical content. By source country, Australian ore port arrivals returned to a relatively normal level, with over 350,000 mt arriving this month, up 38.9% MoM; Zimbabwe's earlier shipments arrived at port this month at 102,000 mt, down 9.2% MoM; South Africa and Nigeria saw some contraction in monthly port arrivals, while ore from Mali had almost no notable port arrivals this month due to shipping schedule impacts. Notably, spodumene powder sold by Brazil in early 2026 arrived at port this month, driving a significant increase in port arrivals from this country. Additionally, after SMM screening, the month's incoming ore was equivalent to 63,000 mt of LCE. Among the incoming ore, lithium concentrates accounted for 67%, edging down MoM, mainly because apart from Australia , ore from other source countries contained some relatively low-grade ore. Source: China Customs, compiled by SMM Spodumene concentrates (CIF China) spot pricing, according to SMM spot pricing, spodumene concentrates (CIF China) spot prices fluctuated upward in April. As of April 30, spodumene concentrates (CIF China) spot prices rose to $2,540/mt, up $221/mt from the month-end price of $2,313/mt in March, a gain of 9.81%. According to SMM, lithium carbonate prices continued to rise in April, and spodumene concentrates prices rose in tandem with salt prices, with gains exceeding those of lithium carbonate itself, causing non-integrated enterprises that purchase externally spodumene concentrates to suffer losses, with spot profitability remaining in deficit. In April, spot circulation of lepidolite concentrates relatively eased. Meanwhile, as lithium carbonate prices rose, processing fees for non-integrated enterprises also increased accordingly, preserving a certain profit margin for their processing operations and enabling these enterprises to achieve spot profitability. However, recently, spodumene concentrates prices adjusted in tandem with lithium carbonate price fluctuations, and the price center shifted downward. According to SMM's latest findings, disrupted by rumors of production resumptions at Jiangxi mines this week, lithium carbonate futures and spot prices declined, further dragging down the overall price center. Currently, lithium mines showed a weak willingness to make shipments, and transactions were mostly concentrated between traders and buyers. Port lithium ore inventory continued to decline. Going forward, attention should still be paid to the potential tight lithium ore supply triggered by high operating rates in the lithium chemicals industry. Lithium ore prices were expected to continue to hold up well. Lithium Carbonate According to customs data, China imported 32,650 mt of lithium carbonate in April, up 9% MoM and up 15% YoY. Of this, 21,000 mt was imported from Chile (65% of total imports), 9,555 mt from Argentina (29%), and 1,100 mt from Indonesia (3%). From January to April, China's cumulative lithium carbonate imports reached 116,000 mt, up 47% YoY cumulatively. In April, China exported 370 mt of lithium carbonate, down 17% MoM and down 50% YoY. From January to April, China's cumulative lithium carbonate exports totaled 1,886 mt, up 7% YoY cumulatively. In April, China imported 17,942 mt of lithium sulfate, up 9% MoM and up 296% YoY. From January to April, China's cumulative lithium sulfate imports reached 58,900 mt, up 121% YoY cumulatively. According to SMM spot quotes, spot lithium carbonate prices generally trended upward in April. As of April 30, the spot lithium carbonate price rose to 177,000 yuan/mt, up 14,000 yuan/mt from 163,000 yuan/mt on March 31, a gain of 8.59%. According to SMM analysis, China's lithium carbonate prices followed a "V-shaped" trend in April, first declining then rising, with the monthly average price up 6% MoM. In the first ten days, geopolitical disruptions in the Middle East intensified global risk-averse sentiment, causing non-ferrous metals and lithium carbonate prices to fluctuate downward. In the mid-to-late period, driven by Zimbabwe's export ban, Jiangxi mine license renewals, and rising costs, prices began to rebound and fluctuate upward, with the price center shifting notably higher by month-end. Upstream and downstream purchasing remained stagnant, with the psychological price spread widening week by week. Upstream producers held prices firm and held back from selling, maintaining high offer prices, while downstream buyers made just-in-time procurement only, with psychological price levels concentrated at 155,000-175,000 yuan/mt, restocking on dips only when prices fell rapidly. In April, spot battery-grade lithium carbonate prices dropped to around 155,500 yuan/mt in the first ten days, then rallied all the way to 177,000 yuan/mt by month-end. As of May 29, domestic spot battery-grade lithium carbonate was quoted at 174,000-181,000 yuan/mt, with an average price of 177,500 yuan/mt. Lithium Hydroxide According to customs data, in April 2026, China imported 6,689 mt of lithium hydroxide, up 9% MoM and up four times YoY. Of this, 2,252 mt were imported from South Korea, accounting for 34% of total imports; 1,706 mt came from Indonesia, accounting for approximately 25% of imports; and the remaining 40% came from Australia and Chile. In April, China exported 5,535 mt of lithium hydroxide, up 76% MoM and up 31% YoY, of which 3,915 mt were exported to South Korea and 864 mt to Japan. Continued sluggish ternary cathode material output outside China limited the absorption capacity for lithium hydroxide in markets outside China, resulting in a slight surplus in markets outside China, which in turn widened the price spread between domestic and overseas markets. Meanwhile, as suppliers outside China had previously signed long-term supply agreements with domestic traders, they were able to continuously dump lithium hydroxide into the Chinese market. Under the combined effect of these factors, the trade pattern of lithium hydroxide continued to reverse (shifting from net exports to net imports). Source: China Customs, compiled by SMM Battery Materials LiPF6 According to China Customs data, in April 2026, China's cumulative LiPF6 exports totaled approximately 868 mt, down approximately 80.9% MoM, while cumulative imports were approximately 96 mt. Export side, China's LiPF6 exports in April 2026 were approximately 868 mt, down approximately 80.9% MoM from March and down approximately 33.2% YoY. Specifically, as the LiPF6 export VAT rebate policy was officially abolished starting April 1, 2026, enterprises rushed to export in advance in March, and electrolyte enterprises outside China built up certain inventory, leading to MoM declines in China's exports to multiple major destination countries in April. Exports to Poland were 337.5 mt (down approximately 80.4% MoM), South Korea 81.804 mt (down approximately 92.56% MoM), Czech Republic 150 mt (down approximately 67.43% MoM), and the US 101.908 mt (down approximately 61.7% MoM). Only exports to Japan increased — 191.37 mt (up approximately 50.77% MoM). Artificial Graphite In April 2026, China's artificial graphite imports were 757 mt, up 12.4% MoM and down 32.9% YoY. Average import price side, in April 2026, the average import price of artificial graphite in China was 75,941 yuan/mt, up 23.1% MoM and up 14.6% YoY. In April 2026, China's artificial graphite exports totaled 45,895 mt, up 22.3% MoM but down 21% YoY. In terms of average export price, in April 2026, the average export price of China's artificial graphite was 9,214 yuan/mt, down 6.6% MoM but up 0.26% YoY. Exports from the top five exporting provinces rose 21% MoM from the previous month, with two provinces seeing export volume increases of over 35% MoM, and another province recording a 20% MoM increase. Import market, orders from downstream power battery enterprises in China gradually recovered in April. Combined with the phased tightness in spot capacity of leading anode enterprises, restocking demand was released, boosting artificial graphite imports to rebound from weakness on a MoM basis. However, import volumes remained down YoY, primarily because China's anode industry had ample overall capacity with supply still in surplus, domestic self-sufficiency continued to strengthen, and the industry's reliance on imported raw materials and finished products steadily declined. Flake Graphite In April 2026, China's flake graphite imports totaled 3,178 mt, down 19% MoM and down 45% YoY. Data source: China Customs, SMM In April 2026, China's flake graphite exports totaled 4,093 mt, down 50% MoM and down 54% YoY. Export market, the flake graphite export tax rebate policy was officially canceled this month, directly squeezing profit margins for foreign trade enterprises and significantly dampening overall export willingness. Meanwhile, the approval pace for flake graphite export licenses slowed down, hindering foreign trade shipments processes. Coupled with weak ex-China end-use demand, multiple bearish factors combined to directly drive a sharp decline in industry export volumes. The import market also continued to weaken. Goods originally intended for exports shifted to domestic sales circulation, with increasingly abundant local supply sources in China. Market enthusiasm for import procurement was insufficient, ultimately causing imports to decline in tandem this month. Phosphate Ore On May 20, 2026, according to customs data, China's phosphate ore imports totaled 207,000 mt in April 2026. April imports rose 13.5% from 182,000 mt in March. Total import value in April was $19.741 million, up 35.7% MoM from $14.552 million in March. The average unit price was $95.5/mt, up 19.6% from $79.9/mt in March. Import commentary: In May, Egypt's phosphate ore exports faced "policy tightening and weakening demand."On May 13, Egypt's Ministry of Petroleum and Mineral Resources announced that it would no longer sign any new phosphate ore export contracts. Previously, Egyptian Prime Minister Mustafa Madbouly stated clearly at a meeting on May 10 that the government was pushing for a transition from raw material exports to the manufacturing of high-value-added products such as phosphate fertiliser. Already signed long-term contracts would not be affected. This is expected to push up import prices and may affect imports. Cobalt Cobalt Hydrometallurgy Intermediate Products In April 2026, China's cobalt hydrometallurgy intermediate products imports were approximately 1,247 mt in physical content, down 26% MoM and down 98% YoY. Among them, imports from the DRC were approximately 945 mt in physical content, down 43% MoM and down 98% YoY. In April 2026, the average import price of China's cobalt hydrometallurgy intermediate products was $17,187/mt in physical content, up 2.63% MoM. It was learned that most miners had completed the Q4 2025 quota approvals, but the Q1 2026 quota approvals slowed down again due to sampling, detection and other procedural issues. In addition, transportation capacity in the DRC was tight. Fleets, driven by economic considerations, prioritised the transport of oil products and chemicals that were in production shortage, followed by other metals with shorter turnover cycles, and cobalt among non-ferrous metals came last, meaning cobalt faced significant transportation capacity issues. Constrained by the above factors, miners mainly focused on building in-transit inventory and had not yet arranged concentrated vessel bookings, and the arrival of large batches of intermediate products at ports may continue to be delayed. Unwrought Cobalt In April 2026, China's unwrought cobalt imports were approximately 1,334 mt, up 39% MoM and up 59% YoY. In April, refined cobalt imports mainly came from Indonesia, Russia, and Madagascar, with imports of 462 mt, 457 mt, and 182 mt respectively. The main reason for the increase this month was that domestic smelters lacked intermediate product raw materials and imported cobalt slabs and cobalt briquettes for re-dissolution to ensure normal production. In terms of average import prices, the average import price of China's unwrought cobalt in April 2026 was $52,724/mt, up 4.72% MoM. Cumulative imports from January to April 2026 totalled 5,916 mt, up 153% YoY cumulatively. Export side, China's unwrought cobalt exports in April 2026 were approximately 218 mt, down 47% MoM and down 95% YoY. By country, China's exports to the US dropped significantly, with April exports to the US at 35 mt, down 87.5% MoM. The main reason was that demand for alloy-grade refined cobalt in the US pulled back in April, and ex-China branded refined cobalt was already sufficient to meet regional demand, with some refined cobalt traders redirecting their destinations from the US back to China. Average export price, the average export price of China's unwrought cobalt in April 2026 was $54,590/mt, up 5.80% MoM. Cumulative exports from January to April 2026 totaled 1,792 mt, down 76% YoY.

Today, the SMM battery-grade lithium carbonate spot price continued to rise from the previous working day. Futures side, the lithium carbonate 2609 contract opened high at 181,000 yuan/mt today, quickly dipped to the intraday low of 178,000 yuan/mt after the opening, then rebounded with fluctuations, hitting highs of 182,100 yuan/mt multiple times during the morning session; around midday, it accelerated downward, breaking below the 180,000 yuan/mt average price line; in the afternoon session, it hovered at lows and struggled to rebound, weakening again toward the close, ultimately settling down 0.71% at 178,900 yuan/mt, with open interest increasing by 5,887 lots. Spot market, at the beginning of the month, downstream customer-supplied and long-term contract cargoes arrived at plants successively. Combined with remaining volumes from prior spot order restocking, and with the market still watching this month's pricing tone, spot order purchase willingness was weak today, with inquiries and transactions overall sluggish. Upstream lithium chemical plants continued to hold prices firm, with spot order shipments still mostly concentrated among producers that had previously hedged, and their reluctance to sell remained unchanged. News side, supply-side disruptions continued. The DRC recently approved a decree classifying lithium as a strategic mineral, raising the royalty rate from 3.5% to 10%. However, given that the country's current lithium production is nearly zero and the Manono project is expected to commence production in H2, the policy's actual impact on immediate supply is limited, and it is more reflected in elevated medium and long-term cost expectations. In comparison, the continuation of Zimbabwe's lithium ore export controls, the uncertainty over the pace of production resumptions at Yichun lepidolite mines, and the support from continuously rising lithium concentrates prices on smelting costs remain more direct variables affecting current market sentiment. In the short term, lithium carbonate prices are expected to fluctuate at highs.

Today, SMM battery-grade lithium carbonate spot prices declined with fluctuations compared to the previous working day. Futures side, the lithium carbonate 2609 contract opened lower today at 190,000 yuan/mt, briefly dipping to an intraday low of 186,800 yuan/mt after the opening before rebounding. During the morning session, it moved sideways within the range of 191,000-194,000 yuan/mt. Around midday, it briefly surged to 194,900 yuan/mt but failed to hold, then quickly pulled back below the average price line. It weakened further toward the close, ultimately settling down 3.57% at 188,800 yuan/mt, with open interest decreasing by 18,931 lots. In the spot market, as prices continued to decline, downstream purchase activities increased, though some enterprises maintained a cautious wait-and-see attitude, with most transactions being spot order restocking driven by rigid demand. Upstream lithium chemical plants showed growing sentiment to hold prices firm and hold back from selling, with some enterprises maintaining their willingness to sell on spot orders at prices above 200,000 yuan/mt. Overall, market inquiries and actual transactions remained active. Lithium carbonate prices continued their downward trend today. Macro perspective, overnight silver futures plunged 4.52%, with the precious metals and non-ferrous metals sectors under overall pressure. Market risk appetite declined significantly, and capital withdrew from the commodity sector, with lithium carbonate futures falling in tandem. Meanwhile, on the lithium carbonate supply side, previously concerning disruptions to lithium ore exports from Zimbabwe showed signs of easing. Yahua Group confirmed on May 13 that its Zimbabwe lithium concentrates export procedures had been completed and shipments had commenced. Sinomine Resource Group also indicated that lithium concentrates from its Zimbabwe mine had been progressively shipped from the mine. The improved expectations for ex-China lithium concentrates supply alleviated short-term tight supply expectations for lithium concentrates to some extent. Overall, under the dual pressure of weakening macro sentiment and improved supply-side expectations, although market inquiries and actual transactions remained active, the tug-of-war between upstream and downstream persisted, and prices may still face adjustment pressure in the short term.

[Standard Lithium Signs 10-Year Supply Agreement with Trafigura for 8,000 mt of Battery-Grade Lithium Carbonate Annually] Smackover Lithium, a joint venture project under Standard Lithium (NYSE.A/TSXV: SLI), announced that it had signed its first binding commercial sales agreement with commodity giant Trafigura Trading LLC, committing to supply 8,000 mt of battery-grade lithium carbonate annually for a 10-year term, effective from the commencement of commercial production. The agreement covers over 40% of the SWA project's total target supply volume, marking a substantive step forward on the commercialization path for this Arkansas-based direct lithium extraction (DLE) project. The remaining supply negotiations are expected to be completed in Q3 2026, and the company maintains its plan to make a final investment decision and commence construction in 2026, with a target of achieving first commercial production in 2029. On the technology validation front, the company simultaneously announced three milestones at its Arkansas demonstration plant: cumulative processing of over 1 million barrels of real formation brine, completion of over 15,000 DLE cycles, and a zero-safety-incident record across 340,000 cumulative work hours, effectively validating the feasibility and stability of the SWA project's core process route. The SWA project is jointly advanced by a joint venture formed by Standard Lithium and Norwegian state oil company Equinor, conducting direct lithium extraction operations on Smackover formation brine in Arkansas. The conclusion of the Trafigura agreement further reinforced market confidence in the project's long-term commercial prospects. Source: [Elevra Lithium Buys Out All Moblan Project Offtake Rights, Equity Settlement Terminates Discounted Sales Obligation] Australian lithium mine company Elevra Lithium (ASX: ELV; NASDAQ: ELVR) announced that it had acquired and terminated the Moblan lithium mine project spodumene concentrates offtake agreement previously granted to an investment vehicle under Waratah Capital Advisors. Upon completion of the transaction, Elevra gained full control of all offtake interests it is entitled to on a pro-rata basis in the Moblan project. The original agreement originated from a 2021 arrangement that granted Waratah the right to purchase 10% of Moblan's annual spodumene concentrates production at a 5% discount over the full life of the mine. The termination was settled through equity, with Elevra issuing ordinary shares valued at $5 million at an issue price of A$12.2 per share and warrants valued at $500,000 to Waratah, preserving cash for subsequent development plans. The Moblan lithium mine project is located in central Quebec, Canada, with Elevra holding a 60% interest and Investissement Québec holding 40%. It is one of the leading undeveloped lithium ore assets in North America by scale. By eliminating the obligation of discounted sales over the full mine life cycle, Elevra significantly improved the long-term economics of the project and retained greater strategic flexibility for further scaling. Source: [Rain City Resources Signs First MOU with Bolivia's National Lithium Company YLB for the Uyuni Basin] Canadian lithium company Rain City Resources Inc. (CSE: RAIN) announced that it had signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) with Bolivia's national lithium company YLB (Yacimientos de Litio Bolivianos), establishing a formal cooperation framework for the evaluation and application of Rain City's next-generation direct lithium extraction (DLE) technology under Bolivian brine conditions. This was the first publicly disclosed lithium cooperation MOU signed between YLB and a foreign enterprise since the new Bolivian government took office. Bolivia holds the world's largest proven lithium resources, primarily concentrated in the Uyuni salt flat and surrounding salt lake systems. Despite the enormous resource potential, the country has historically maintained a cautious stance toward foreign investment in the lithium sector, with institutional access thresholds constituting a significant strategic barrier for international developers, making the signing of this MOU a highly landmark event. Under the agreement, both parties will advance a structured research process centered on formal proposals, technical coordination, and periodic reporting, with a joint technical coordination committee established for oversight and management. The MOU itself does not confer concession rights, resource ownership, or commercial production agreements, but establishes a credible institutional pathway for technology evaluation under real Bolivian brine conditions. Rain City stated that, given the complexity of the brine chemistry in the Uyuni Basin and the scale of its lithium resources, this formal entry into Bolivia's evaluation process represented a significant strategic move for the company to extend its low-water-consumption DLE technology to the broader Lithium Triangle region. Source: [USGS Assesses Potential Lithium Ore Reserves Exceeding 530,000 mt in New England Region] The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) released its latest geological assessment report, confirming the presence of substantial potentially undiscovered lithium deposits in Maine, New Hampshire, and eastern Vermont. The report indicated that recoverable lithium resources in the region exceeded 530,000 metric tons at a 50% probability level, based on existing geological data and historical field observation records. This assessment came at a time when the US federal government was accelerating efforts to build critical minerals supply chain resilience. The US currently relies heavily on lithium ore imports, with domestic production concentrated at only one operating facility in Nevada, a structural vulnerability that has long drawn attention from energy security analysts. Federal officials promoted this study as a significant achievement in advancing the strategy for self-sufficiency in lithium resources supply. Geologists also noted that this assessment carried a wide range of uncertainty, and even if the relevant deposits were confirmed through subsequent exploration, the region would still face a lengthy permitting and development cycle before reaching the commercial extraction stage, with actual industrialisation prospects remaining distant. The USGS has classified lithium as a critical mineral and is advancing similar assessments nationwide to systematically identify the potential of undiscovered lithium resources. Source:

[US Lithium Mine Development Boom: From One Mine to Over 100 Planned Projects by 2030] The US lithium industry is standing at the threshold of a historic transformation, about to leap from its current status of having only one producing lithium mine to becoming a significant participant in the global critical battery metals market. Currently, only one lithium mine is operating across the entire US, but this landscape is about to change rapidly. By 2030, at least six new projects are expected to come into production successively, with another 13 projects close behind. This round of expansion is primarily concentrated in the geologically favorable arid regions of the Southwest, but this is merely the beginning of a potential mining boom. According to the latest industry data, enterprises have identified over 100 potential lithium ore extraction areas nationwide. Behind this aggressive expansion is the continued climb in lithium ore demand from EV batteries and renewable energy ESSs—both of which are indispensable key elements of the energy transition. The rapid expansion of lithium mining scale has raised important questions from the outside world about environmental impacts, water resource consumption, and how to strike a balance between domestic mineral security and ecological protection. In this race for self-sufficient supply of "white gold," community residents and environmental protection advocates are closely watching how this industrial transformation will advance and take shape in some of America's most fragile desert ecosystems. Source: https://www.envirolink.org [Lithium Ore Reserves in Eastern US States May Replace Over a Century of Import Demand] U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) scientists announced this discovery, estimating its scale sufficient to replace over three hundred years of lithium import demand. The US currently relies on imports for nearly half of its lithium consumption, a dependency that has long been a concern for energy security analysts. Lithium occupies a central position in the modern economy, serving as a critical material for lithium-ion batteries used in smartphones, laptops, EVs, and aerospace alloys. Against the backdrop of accelerating global demand and intensifying geopolitical pressures, domestic reserves of this scale carry significant strategic importance. This discovery came at a sensitive period in the global mineral landscape. Australia currently supplies nearly half of global lithium production, while China not only has considerable production but also dominates global refining and consumption. Thirty years ago, the US was the world's largest lithium producer, but that position was long since relinquished. Whether this discovery can help the US return to that position remains to be seen, but the scale of data cited is sufficient to warrant serious attention. The scale of this discovery is most vivid in numbers. According to USGS estimates, the reserves are sufficient to support the construction of 1.6 million grid-scale batteries, and officials stated they could power 130 million EVs or support 180 billion laptops running cumulatively for a thousand years. USGS also estimates that the reserves could support the production of 500 billion mobile phones, equivalent to approximately 60 devices for every person currently on Earth. Perhaps the most striking figure in the USGS assessment is this: measured against last year's consumption levels, the reserves are sufficient to replace 328 years of US lithium import demand. This is not a forecast of future demand, but merely a baseline comparison between existing underground reserves and historical US import demand. Source: https://indiandefencereview.com [European Metals' Cinovec Lithium Mine Project EIA Passes Czech Ministry of Environment Review] European Metals Holdings Limited (ASX/AIM: EMH) announced that its flagship Cinovec lithium mine project in the Czech Republic has achieved a significant milestone in environmental permitting. The Czech Ministry of Environment has completed its review and officially released the Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) report, with a public hearing scheduled to be held in the coming weeks. Meanwhile, a cross-border EIA process involving German authorities has been formally initiated to address the transnational impacts of the project along the Czech-German border. For investors tracking the development progress of the Cinovec project, these developments are not routine updates — the company has explicitly identified the EIA release as a critical path period for obtaining final approval and advancing the project to implementation. "We are pleased with the progress the project team has made on environmental permitting for the Cinovec project. The release of the EIA report by the Czech Ministry of Environment is a critical path period for obtaining final EIA approval and advancing the Cinovec project." — Executive Chairman Keith Coughlan Source: [Latin America's Lithium Supply Gap: Structural Barriers Constraining Capacity Release] The global energy transition is built on a series of assumptions, and one of the most consequential is that the world's largest lithium reserves, concentrated in a narrow strip of South America, will be able to reliably convert into the battery-grade lithium materials increasingly and urgently needed for EVs, power grid ESSs, and consumer electronics. However, this assumption is being put to a severe test. Latin America's lithium supply gap is not a matter of salt flats being depleted or aquifers running dry, but rather a widening chasm between underground reserves and market-accessible capacity. Reserves are abundant, yet production-ready capacity falls far short. More critically, this gap continues to widen at a pivotal moment when global demand is accelerating its climb. To understand the root causes, one must look beyond the surface figures and examine in depth the structural mechanisms behind the entire chain from lithium geological deposits to battery cathode material. Source:

Around April 23, 2026, import and export data for cobalt and lithium battery industry chain products in March were released. Data showed that March spodumene imports rebounded significantly from February, hitting a new record high of 837,400 mt in physical content. Lithium carbonate side, China imported 29,974 mt of lithium carbonate in March, up 13% MoM and up 65% YoY.......SMM compiled the import and export data for battery materials as follows: Upstream Lithium Concentrates Customs data showed that March spodumene imports rebounded significantly from February, hitting a new record high of 837,400 mt in physical content. By source country: African ore arrivals increased notably — Nigeria imports reached 125,100 mt, up 63% MoM; Zimbabwe shipments from earlier periods arrived at ports in the month totaling 112,600 mt, up 61% MoM; Canada broke the zero-import situation in January-February with 58,600 mt arriving in March; while Australian ore volumes declined MoM due to shipping schedule impacts. According to SMM's screening and analysis, total port arrivals this month were equivalent to 81,000 mt LCE. Lithium concentrates accounted for 72% of the month's imports, down slightly compared to the same period last year, mainly due to the notable increase in South African raw ore port arrivals recently. Notably, driven by prices and local beneficiation plant development, Nigerian ore volumes increased significantly, with not only raw ore volumes rising markedly but also concentrates share increasing notably YoY. Source: China Customs, compiled by SMM Spodumene concentrates (CIF China) spot pricing side, according to SMM spot prices, March spodumene concentrates (CIF China) spot prices showed a V-shaped trend, dropping to a low of $2,028/mt at month-end, then rebounding to $2,313/mt at month-end, with a monthly average of $2,081.4/mt. According to SMM, in March, spodumene and lepidolite profit trends diverged, with structural cost differences among lithium chemicals enterprises becoming evident. Available spodumene volumes were tight, ore traders held back from selling, and inventory continued to be drawn down. Enterprises purchasing spodumene externally suffered losses on spot margins throughout the month, with non-integrated enterprises facing greater difficulties in hedging and procurement. Entering April, spodumene concentrates (CIF China) spot prices also showed a pattern of initial decline followed by recovery. Recently, spodumene concentrates prices continued to probe higher. As of April 27, spodumene concentrates (CIF China) spot prices rose to $2,507/mt, up $194/mt from $2,313/mt at end-March, an increase of 8.39%. According to SMM's recent research, driven by market expectations of improving future demand, speculative sentiment in the lithium carbonate futures market remained strong, pushing futures prices up. Lithium ore merchants showed increased willingness to sell, with pricing-against-futures prices staying high. Looking ahead, lithium chemical plant operating rates stay high, with demand for lithium ore continuing to climb. Meanwhile, Zimbabwe has suspended spodumene exports for nearly two months, leading to persistently tight available lithium ore supply in the market. Overall, spodumene prices are expected to hold up well. Lithium Carbonate According to customs data, China imported 29,974 mt of lithium carbonate in March, up 13% MoM and up 65% YoY. By source, the top 3 were Chile (18,000 mt, 61%), Argentina (8,292 mt, 28%), and Indonesia (2,100 mt, 7%). From January to March, China's cumulative lithium carbonate imports reached 83,000 mt, up 65% YoY cumulatively. China exported 448 mt of lithium carbonate in March, down 25% MoM and up 104% YoY. From January to March, China's cumulative lithium carbonate exports totaled 1,516 mt, up 46% YoY cumulatively. According to SMM spot quotes, lithium carbonate showed a volatile trend of first declining then rising in March. As of March 31, the average spot price of battery-grade lithium carbonate was quoted at 163,000 yuan/mt, with a monthly average price of 156,700 yuan/mt. According to SMM analysis, spot lithium carbonate prices in China showed a significantly volatile upward trend in March, with the monthly average price up 5% MoM. Fundamentals-wise, supply side, production gradually recovered as maintenance ended, and lithium chemical plants showed increased willingness to sell spot orders at the relatively high level around 170,000 yuan/mt; demand side, downstream cathode material producers basically adopted a dip-buying strategy, with strong purchase willingness at price levels around 140,000 to 150,000 yuan/mt. As demand continued to improve, some enterprises engaged in large-scale restocking at low levels. In March, battery-grade spot lithium carbonate prices rose to 172,500 yuan/mt at the beginning of the month and pulled back to around 163,000 yuan/mt at month-end. Recently, battery-grade lithium carbonate spot quotes stayed high above 170,000 yuan. As of April 28, battery-grade lithium carbonate spot quotes were at 172,000-177,000 yuan/mt, with an average price of 174,500 yuan/mt. According to SMM, in today's spot lithium carbonate market, as lithium carbonate prices declined, downstream purchase enthusiasm picked up, with some buyers' target prices basically around 170,000 to 175,000 yuan/mt; upstream spot order quotes remained at high levels. Overall, market inquiries and transactions were relatively active. Looking ahead, the supply side presents mixed signals: Huayou in Zimbabwe announced the successful shipment of lithium sulfate over the weekend, which may ease some supply anxiety in the short term; however, disruptions from mine license renewals in Jiangxi persisted, Middle East geopolitical fluctuations pushed up diesel costs, and some Australian mines confirmed cost increases in their Q1 quarterly reports. Although actual mining has not been affected yet, medium and long-term supply elasticity may be impacted. Demand side, LFP capacity release and the peak season for new car model deliveries in Q2 are expected to continue boosting lithium carbonate demand. Overall, cost support and demand expectations are resonating, and lithium carbonate prices are expected to remain on a relatively strong trend in Q2. Lithium Hydroxide According to customs data, in March 2026, China imported 6,111 mt of lithium hydroxide, up 66% MoM and up 200% YoY. Of this, 2,927 mt came from Indonesia, accounting for approximately 48% of imports, with another 40% from Australia and South Korea. In March, China exported 3,143 mt of lithium hydroxide, up 20% MoM and down 26% YoY, of which 2,059 mt were exported to South Korea and 278 mt to Japan. Battery Materials Ternary Cathode Material In March 2026, China's ternary cathode material (NCM and NCA combined) exports reached 21,900 mt, up 103% MoM and up 163% YoY. Of this, NCM exports were 20,900 mt, accounting for 96%. In terms of export destinations, South Korea was the largest importer of NCM, with March imports of 8,500 mt; Poland, Malaysia, and Japan ranked second, third, and fourth at 3,720 mt, 2,409 mt, and 2,363 mt respectively. In addition, Germany's imports saw significant growth compared to the same period last year. China's ternary cathode material exports hit a record high in March, mainly driven by the cancellation of China's 13% VAT export rebate policy for ternary cathode material effective April 1. Four leading battery cell manufacturers in Japan and South Korea placed orders in advance, boosting demand not only for their domestic plants but also for their battery cell production sites in Southeast Asia and Europe. Beyond the rebate policy impact, EV subsidy policies in Europe also fueled strong demand growth, driving up China's ternary cathode material exports. Among them, the Nordic countries led in EV penetration rate thanks to the most generous subsidies; the UK, France, and Germany continued to serve as important sources of NEV sales support. In contrast, US NEV sales declined notably in Q1, down nearly 30% YoY, significantly impacting Q1 orders for some ex-China battery cell manufacturers targeting the North American market. Looking ahead to Q2, Europe is expected to remain the largest source of incremental ex-China ternary cathode material demand. Despite some disruption from the tax rebate policy, as more battery cell manufacturers and ternary cathode producers plan to complete construction and commence production this year and next, the outlook for European market demand remains optimistic. LiPF6 According to China Customs data, in March 2026, China's cumulative LiPF6 exports totaled approximately 4,554 mt, up approximately 161% MoM, while cumulative imports were approximately 31 mt. Export side, China's LiPF6 exports in March 2026 were approximately 4,554 mt, up approximately 161% MoM from February and up approximately 188.8% YoY. Specifically, as the VAT rebate policy for LiPF6 exports was officially canceled starting April 1, 2026, enterprises rushed to export in advance in March, driving MoM increases in exports to multiple major destination countries. Among them, exports to Poland were 1,723.602 mt (up approximately 693.63% MoM), South Korea 1,099.429 mt (up approximately 184.26% MoM), Czech Republic 460.5 mt (up approximately 237.36% MoM), and Malaysia 249.346 mt (up approximately 141.39% MoM). However, exports to the US declined — 266.146 mt (down approximately 53.70% MoM). Artificial Graphite In March 2026, China's artificial graphite imports were 673 mt, up 0.6% MoM and down 34.1% YoY. Average import price in March 2026 was 61,696 yuan/mt, up 3.9% MoM and up 10.6% YoY. Data source: China Customs, SMM In March 2026, China's artificial graphite exports were 37,525 mt, up 6% MoM and down 16% YoY. Average export price in March 2026 was 9,866 yuan/mt, up 14.4% MoM and down 7% YoY. Flake Graphite In March 2026, China's flake graphite imports were 3,905 mt, up 11% MoM and up 45% YoY. Data source: China Customs, SMM In March 2026, China's flake graphite exports were 8,118 mt, up 35% MoM and up 65% YoY. Phosphate Ore According to customs data, China's phosphate ore imports in March 2026 were 182,000 mt. March imports rose 88.2% from February's 97,000 mt, up 144.4% YoY from 75,000 mt; March total import value was $14.552 million, up 74.6% MoM from February's $8.336 million. Unit price was $79.9/mt, down 7.2% significantly from February's $86.1/mt. In March, China's phosphate ore imports mainly came from Egypt and Pakistan, with imports of 170,000 mt and 12,000 mt respectively. Affected by factors related to the Strait of Hormuz, Jordanian phosphate ore failed to be imported, though imports from other regions filled the gap. Due to hindered transportation of high-priced Jordanian phosphate ore and lack of import volume support, March phosphate ore import unit price declined from February, pulling back to below $80/mt. Cobalt Cobalt Hydrometallurgy Intermediate Products In March 2026, China's cobalt hydrometallurgy intermediate products imports were approximately 1,690 mt in physical content, down 26% MoM and down 97% YoY. Among them, imports from DRC were approximately 1,668 mt in physical content, up 10% MoM and down 97% YoY. In March 2026, the average import price of China's cobalt hydrometallurgy intermediate products was $16,730/mt in physical content, up 2.92% MoM. It was learned that cobalt intermediate products export volume from DRC increased notably in March. If the government maintains this efficient approval pace going forward, quotas for Q4 2025 and Q1/Q2 2026 will most likely be exported within the stipulated timeframe, reducing the probability of further delays. However, shipping in Africa is currently tight, with only a few miners completing small-batch vessel bookings in April. Based on a 1-2 month shipping time from South Africa to China, these intermediate products are expected to arrive at port in May-June, while intermediate products from other miners are not expected to arrive until around July. Unwrought Cobalt In March 2026, China's unwrought cobalt imports were approximately 961 mt, down 44% MoM and up 83% YoY. March imports remained at a relatively high level, mainly due to continued arrivals of export orders placed during the import window opening from late December 2025 to mid-January 2026. On average import price, China's unwrought cobalt average import price in March 2026 was $50,346/mt, up 10% MoM. Cumulative imports from January to March 2026 totaled 4,582 mt, up 206% YoY cumulatively. It was learned that as the import window gradually closed after mid-to-late January 2026, overseas traders' export willingness weakened, and refined cobalt imports in April may continue to decline MoM. Exports, China's unwrought cobalt exports in March 2026 were approximately 413 mt, up 32% MoM and down 69% YoY. By country, China's exports to the US rose slightly, with 280 mt exported to the US in March, up 13% MoM. Average export price, China's average export price of unwrought cobalt in March 2026 was $51,596/mt, down 3% MoM. Cumulative imports from January to March 2026 totaled 1,574 mt, down 52% YoY cumulatively.

[SMM Tin Morning Brief: The Most-Traded SHFE Tin Contract Maintained Low-Level Sideways Movement During the Night Session, and the Spot Market Trading Atmosphere Recovered Notably Compared to the Previous Period]

Spot lithium carbonate prices retreated after rapid rise and fluctuated at highs this week. Futures market fluctuations continued, with the most-traded contract 2609 contract price range moving from 174,800-181,400 yuan/mt at the beginning of the week to 172,100-178,900 yuan/mt, briefly dipping to a low of 169,500 yuan/mt mid-week. Open interest first increased, then decreased, and increased again, as the tug-of-war between longs and shorts persisted. Market transactions exhibited characteristics of "divergent upstream shipments and downstream dip-buying." Upstream lithium chemical plants still showed willingness to sell spot orders at high prices, with some offers raised to above 180,000 yuan/mt. Downstream material plants had weak procurement sentiment, primarily making just-in-time procurement, with the psychological price level for large-scale stockpiling still anchored below 170,000 yuan/mt. Overall, the gap in psychological price levels between upstream and downstream participants remained. Price fluctuations this week were driven by multiple factors: First, supply side, Zimbabwe has had no lithium concentrates shipments since the comprehensive ban on lithium ore exports from late February, compounded by mining license renewal disruptions at Jiangxi mines, and the tight balance pattern is expected to continue in Q2. Second, demand side, as new LFP capacity comes on stream successively in H1, it is expected to continuously and directly boost lithium carbonate procurement. Third, geopolitical fluctuations in the Middle East affected market risk-aversion sentiment, with intraday open interest changes indicating significant swings in capital sentiment. Looking ahead, against the backdrop of supply-side constraints yet to be substantially eased and positive demand expectations, spot lithium carbonate prices are expected to move sideways with an upward bias in the near term.

Benefiting from both rising gold prices and increasing volumes, Zijin Mining delivered a stellar report card. In Q1, the company achieved revenue of 98.5 billion yuan, up 24.79% YoY; net profit attributable to shareholders of the publicly listed firm reached 20.1 billion yuan, surging 97.50% YoY, nearly doubling; total profit soared 115% YoY to 31.6 billion yuan, with all core financial metrics hitting record highs across the board. The underlying logic behind the accelerating profitability was clearly identifiable: the historic breakthrough in gold prices served as the most direct catalyst. The unit price of gold ingots jumped from 661.83 yuan/g in the same period last year to 1,089.04 yuan/g, a gain of over 64%, and the gross margin of mine-produced gold expanded from 52.91% to 69.60%; silver prices also surged in tandem, soaring from 5.50 yuan/g to 15.33 yuan/g, with the gross margin of mine-produced silver leaping to a remarkable 85.59%. The company's overall mine enterprise gross margin rose from 59.94% to 71.01%, and the comprehensive gross margin also climbed from 22.89% to 36.33%, with the price dividend fully realized. Meanwhile, the rise of the lithium segment was reshaping the company's profit structure. Lithium carbonate equivalent production reached 16,229 mt in Q1, compared to only 1,376 mt in the same period last year, up over 10 times YoY, with an average selling price of 101,456 yuan/mt and a gross margin as high as 61.44%. The company expects full-year 2026 lithium carbonate production to reach 120,000 mt, and plans to increase it to 270,000–320,000 mt by 2028, at which point it will rank among the world's largest lithium ore producers. The lithium business is evolving from a marginal increment to a core profit engine. Gold Prices Exceeded Expectations, with the Gold Segment Contributing Core Profits Gold was the largest engine of profit growth this quarter. The company's mines produced 23,497 kg of gold, up 23% YoY, benefiting not only from volume growth but also from a price tailwind. The average price of gold ingots reached 1,089.04 yuan/g, and the average price of gold concentrates reached 1,010.55 yuan/g, up approximately 65% and 64% YoY, respectively. The sources of incremental growth also warranted attention. Zijin Gold International's newly acquired Akyem Gold Mine in Ghana and Ridgold Polymetallic Mine in Kazakhstan, acquired in 2025, had begun contributing production, with the benefits of external M&A gradually being released. Under the resonance of high gold prices and volume growth, the gross margin of mine-produced gold business surged significantly: the gold ingot gross margin rose from 52.91% to 69.60%, and the gold concentrates gross margin climbed from 71.05% to 80.89%, delivering a notable boost to overall profits. Copper: Kamoa-Kakula Production Cuts Dragged Down Output, While Other Mines Advanced Steadily The copper segment produced 259,214 mt of mine-produced copper in Q1, down from 287,571 mt in the same period last year, primarily due to a sharp decline in equity production at the Kamoa-Kakula copper mine — plunging from 59,163 mt in the same period last year to 27,361 mt, a drop of over 50%. Excluding this disruption, the company's other copper mines all advanced in an orderly manner as planned. Of particular note was the Julong Copper Mine Phase II, which was officially commissioned in late January 2026 and contributed 60,000 mt of mine-produced copper in Q1. The capacity was still in the ramp-up stage, with further incremental output expected going forward. Rising copper prices also effectively offset the volume pressure. The average price of copper concentrates rose from 60,179 yuan/mt to 81,543 yuan/mt, with the gross margin further improving from 65.05% to 70.84%; the gross margins of electrodeposition copper and copper cathode also expanded to 61.61% and 56.20%, respectively. The smelting copper business had a gross margin of only 0.32% due to thin processing profits, but scale effects still enabled it to contribute a considerable absolute profit amount. Lithium Segment: A Leap from Zero to One, Targeting the World's Largest by 2028 The lithium business was the segment with the most dramatic changes in this quarterly report. Lithium carbonate equivalent production reached 16,229 mt (with Q1 sales of 13,329 mt), achieving an order-of-magnitude expansion from the base of 1,376 mt in the same period last year, driven by the capacity ramp-up following the successive commissioning of multiple projects including the 3Q Salt Lake lithium mine, the Lagocuo Salt Lake lithium mine, and the Xiangyuan hard-rock lithium mine. Profitability was equally impressive — lithium carbonate had an average selling price of 101,456 yuan/mt and a gross margin of 61.44%, second only to silver and ranking as the second highest among all products, reflecting the inherent cost advantages of salt lake lithium resources. In stark contrast, the lithium carbonate gross margin in Q4 last year was only 24.59%, surging nearly 37 percentage points within just one quarter, benefiting from both improved product mix and a cyclical recovery in lithium prices. Of greater strategic significance was the long-term plan: the main mining and processing workflow of the Manono lithium mine northeast project had been fully connected, and is expected to be completed and commissioned in June this year; the company plans to achieve lithium carbonate equivalent production of 270,000–320,000 mt by 2028, at which point it will become one of the world's largest lithium ore producers. Management has explicitly positioned the lithium segment as the "third pillar" core profit source after copper and gold. Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: Ample Ammunition, Strong Foundation for Expansion Financial structure side, total assets reached 549.9 billion yuan at the end of Q1, up 7.41% from the beginning of the year; the cash and bank balance was 99.4 billion yuan, a significant increase of 33.8 billion yuan from 65.6 billion yuan at the beginning of the year, with cash and cash equivalents reaching 90.3 billion yuan at period-end. The ample cash reserves provided sufficient ammunition for the company to pursue global mine M&A opportunities and fund capital expenditures on projects under construction. Net assets side, equity attributable to shareholders of the publicly listed firm reached 200.4 billion yuan, up 8.02% from the beginning of the year; the weighted average return on equity (ROE) reached 10.35%, up 3.23 percentage points from 7.12% in the same period last year, with capital return efficiency continuing to improve. The liability side saw some expansion, with short-term borrowings increasing from 32.3 billion yuan to 41.2 billion yuan, bonds payable rising from 47.4 billion yuan to 56.3 billion yuan, and total liabilities amounting to 282.5 billion yuan, an increase of approximately 21.5 billion yuan from the beginning of the year, primarily to support project construction and capacity expansion. Although the absolute scale of debt rose, the company's debt-servicing capacity was not under pressure given the significant improvement in operating cash flow, with the asset-liability ratio at approximately 51.4%, remaining well under control overall.