This week, ferrous metals moved sideways and upward. During the week, as US-Iran negotiations made no progress and the Strait of Hormuz remained closed, combined with declining US crude oil inventories, Brent crude oil surged sharply, driving coking coal higher. Although BHP port spot cargoes were available for purchase, which was bearish for market sentiment, futures had already priced in related expectations earlier, so iron ore pullback was limited and cost support was relatively neutral. The Politburo meeting held mid-week had low direct correlation with ferrous metals, and ferrous metals fluctuated at highs during the week. Spot market side, end-users restocked at low prices before the holiday, and as futures rose in the latter half of the week, speculative demand was also released...
Apr 30, 2026 18:20[SHFE/LME zinc price ratio rebounded to around 7.1 and oscillated]: This week, the SHFE/LME zinc price ratio rebounded to around 7.1 and oscillated, with the zinc ingot import window remaining closed. Outside China, increased uncertainty over the US-Iran conflict triggered inflation concerns, the US dollar index strengthened, and growing concerns over economic growth weighed on non-ferrous metals, which remained in the doldrums. LME inventory edged up, and LME zinc declined.
Apr 30, 2026 15:59The following table shows the ferrous and nonferrous metals movement on the SHFE and DCE on 30 Apr , 2026
Apr 30, 2026 15:54SMM April 30: Metals market: As of the midday close, domestic base metals mostly fell, with SHFE copper edging up slightly. SHFE aluminum fell 0.41%, SHFE lead fell 0.66%, SHFE zinc fell 0.8%, SHFE tin rose 0.44%, and SHFE nickel edged down 0.02%. In addition, the most-traded casting aluminum futures fell 0.3%, and the most-traded alumina contract fell 0.11%. The most-traded lithium carbonate contract rose 2.52%. The most-traded silicon metal contract fell 0.46%. The most-traded polysilicon futures fell 0.97%. Ferrous metals all rose, with iron ore up 0.89%, rebar up 0.69%, hot-rolled coil up 0.77%, and stainless steel up 1.43%. Coking coal and coke: the most-traded coking coal contract rose 1.42%, and the most-traded coke contract rose 0.66%. Overseas base metals, as of 11:40, LME metals mostly rose. LME copper rose 0.42%, LME aluminum fell 0.32%, LME lead rose 0.26%, LME zinc fell 0.09%, LME tin rose 0.97%, and LME nickel rose 0.86%. Precious metals, as of 11:40, COMEX gold rose 0.28% and COMEX silver rose 0.79%. Domestic precious metals: the most-traded SHFE gold contract fell 0.29%, and the most-traded SHFE silver contract fell 0.29%. In addition, as of the midday close, the most-traded platinum futures fell 0.81%, and the most-traded palladium futures rose 0.89%. As of the midday close, the most-traded Europe containerized freight index contract rose 1.52% to 2,296.2 points. As of 11:40 on April 30, midday futures quotes for selected contracts: Spot and Fundamentals Copper: Today, Guangdong #1 copper cathode spot prices against the front-month contract: high-quality copper was quoted at a premium of 320 yuan/mt, unchanged from the previous trading day; standard-quality copper was quoted at a premium of 240 yuan/mt, unchanged from the previous trading day; SX-EW copper was quoted at a premium of 180 yuan/mt, unchanged from the previous trading day. The average price of Guangdong #1 copper cathode was 101,575 yuan/mt, up 35 yuan/mt from the previous trading day; the average price of SX-EW copper was 101,475 yuan/mt, up 35 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Spot market: Guangdong inventory saw a significant decline today... Macro Front China: [NBS: April Manufacturing PMI at 50.3%, China's Overall Economic Output Remained in Expansion Territory] The NBS Survey Center for Services and the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing released China's April PMI today. The manufacturing PMI continued to operate in expansion territory after rebounding into expansion territory in March, indicating that the overall manufacturing prosperity level remained stable and the manufacturing sector maintained a sound operating trend. In April, China's manufacturing PMI stood at 50.3%, down 0.1 percentage point MoM, remaining in expansion territory for the second consecutive month. [PBOC reverse repo operations achieved net injection of 125.7 billion yuan for the day and net withdrawal of 197.9 billion yuan for the week] The PBOC conducted 126.2 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repo operations today. As 500 million yuan of 7-day reverse repos matured today, the net injection for the day was 125.7 billion yuan. This week, the PBOC conducted a total of 414.1 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repo operations. As a total of 600 billion yuan of 1-year MLF and 12 billion yuan of reverse repos matured this week, the net withdrawal for the week was 197.9 billion yuan. (Jin10 Data) US dollar: As of 11:40, the US dollar index rose 0.03% to 98.98. The US Fed kept interest rates unchanged as expected, with notable internal divisions emerging. Fed Chairman Powell stated at the press conference that although someone voted against maintaining the dovish language in the statement at the most recent monetary policy meeting, he believed officials were not inclined to raise rates. Powell said: "People are not saying we need to raise rates now; it's more of a discussion about whether the Fed should adopt a neutral stance on the policy outlook." Fed Chairman Powell stated at the press conference that monetary policy may be in a range that is neutral in its impact on the economy. He said: "I think we are very close to the neutral rate, which is probably in the range of 3% to 4%, and the current federal funds target rate range is 3.5% to 3.75%." He added: "If we need to raise rates, we will signal and raise them, and vice versa." Fed Chairman Powell said Wednesday that continuing to serve as a governor after his chairmanship ends is to help stabilize the Fed before political pressure subsides. Powell said at the press conference: "As long as I feel it is appropriate to stay, I will stay." He added: "I don't want to be some kind of high-profile dissenter or anything like that." US President Trump said: "Mr. Too Late" Powell wants to stay at the Fed because he can't find a job anywhere else — nobody wants him. US Treasury Secretary Bessent stated that outgoing Fed Chairman Powell remaining as a Fed governor would be extraordinary. For someone who has always emphasized norms, his unilateral decision runs counter to tradition. Kevin Warsh will bring a new chapter to the US Fed with a clear accountability system, effective governance mechanisms, and sound policymaking. According to the CME "FedWatch": the probability of the US Fed maintaining rates unchanged through June was 99%, with a 1% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut. The probability of maintaining rates unchanged through July was 99%, with a 1% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut. The probability of maintaining rates unchanged through September was 98.8%, with a 1.2% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut. (Jin10 Data) A CITIC Securities research report maintained its previous view, expecting one 25bps interest rate cut in H2 under the baseline scenario after Warsh assumes the chairmanship. We believe close attention should be paid to speeches by the 12 sitting voting members going forward, as the US Fed's monetary policy path will depend more on the vote balance among FOMC members, while the guiding role of the Fed Chairman's personal remarks on markets has diminished compared to the past. A CICC research report stated that from a fundamental theoretical perspective, the US Fed should still and needs to cut interest rates approximately twice, which is one reason we are more optimistic than the market on rate cuts. As long as oil prices do not stay persistently above $100 through year-end, the high base effect driving inflation to pull back can provide room for the US Fed to cut interest rates. However, in practice, this will require cooperation from oil prices and Trump. The stalemate over the Iran situation keeping oil prices staying high, and Powell's reluctance to fully step back due to concerns over the investigation causing divisions within the US Fed, are not problems Warsh can single-handedly resolve after taking over in June. The key lies with Trump — if a compromise is reached swiftly and the investigation into Powell is conclusively ended, the prospects for interest rate cuts will gradually open up. On the data front: Data to be released today include: France Q1 GDP year-on-year preliminary, France April CPI month-on-month preliminary, Switzerland April KOF Leading Economic Indicator, Germany April seasonally adjusted unemployment change, Germany April seasonally adjusted unemployment rate, Germany Q1 non-seasonally adjusted GDP year-on-year preliminary, Eurozone April CPI year-on-year preliminary, Eurozone April CPI month-on-month preliminary, Eurozone Q1 GDP year-on-year preliminary, Eurozone March unemployment rate, UK Bank of England interest rate decision as of April 30, Eurozone ECB deposit facility rate as of April 30, Eurozone ECB main refinancing rate as of April 30, US initial jobless claims for the week ending April 25, US March core PCE price index year-on-year, US March personal spending month-on-month, US Q1 Employment Cost Index quarter-on-quarter, US Q1 real GDP annualized quarter-on-quarter preliminary, US Q1 real personal consumption expenditure quarter-on-quarter preliminary, US Q1 core PCE price index annualized quarter-on-quarter preliminary, US March core PCE price index month-on-month, and US April Chicago PMI. Also worth watching: the US Fed FOMC interest rate decision; Fed Chairman Powell's monetary policy press conference; Google's earnings call; earnings calls from Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta; Samsung Electronics' earnings call; the Bank of England's interest rate decision, meeting minutes, and monetary policy report; Bank of England Governor Bailey's monetary policy press conference; the ECB's interest rate decision; ECB President Lagarde's monetary policy press conference. Notably, the Shanghai Gold Exchange, SHFE, Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange, and DCE had no night session trading on April 30 ahead of Labour Day holiday. Crude oil: As of 11:40, oil prices in both markets continued the previous trading day's rally, with WTI up 1.96% and Brent up 2.16%. The Strait of Hormuz standoff is pushing the oil market from a short-term shock toward lasting repricing. Brent crude rose for consecutive sessions as Trump insisted on a maritime "blockade" against Iran. Traders' optimism that a three-week ceasefire could restore Gulf energy flows was fading. (Wallstreetcn) Bloomberg reported on the 29th that, according to a senior White House official, the US government was seeking to "seize" two Iran-linked oil tankers recently intercepted by the US Navy. The official said the DOJ had initiated "seizure" proceedings but did not elaborate on what the process entailed, nor whether it indicated the US planned to "seize" the crude oil aboard. The official, speaking on condition of anonymity citing "operational security," declined to disclose how the vessels would ultimately be handled or comment on their current routes. According to the US Department of Defense, the US Navy intercepted and boarded two tankers "transporting oil from Iran" in the Indian Ocean on the 20th and 22nd respectively. The two tankers continued sailing in the Indian Ocean over the following days and appeared to have changed course multiple times. (Xinhua) (Jin10 Data APP) Spot market overview: ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ►
Apr 30, 2026 14:16Against the backdrop of global sustainable development, the recycled metal industry is gaining importance. As the conflict between resource shortages and growing demand intensifies, countries are increasing policy and technology investment in this sector to promote a green economy. Japan, as a key recycled resource hub in Asia, possesses advanced technologies (such as aluminum dross processing) and closed-loop recycling models, and plans to expand the scale of e-waste recycling. However, its domestic capacity to absorb secondary aluminum is limited, necessitating expansion into markets outside China; secondary copper capacity is also expanding simultaneously. Sino-US trade issues have also highlighted the necessity of supply chain stability. Against this backdrop, with the theme "Voice of Low Carbon, Global Resonance," the will be held in Tokyo, Japan, on May 11–12, 2026. At this conference, will participate as an attending company, with Chairman Javier Riba Mas and Asia Manager Jose Maria Lozoya Fontanals in attendance. Global sustainability highlights the importance of the recycled metal sector. With resource shortages intensifying, countries (notably Japan, Asia's recycling hub) are advancing tech and policies. Japan aims to expand e-waste recycling but needs markets outside China for secondary aluminum; secondary copper output is also growing. Sino-US trade tensions further emphasize supply chain stability. 2026 SMM (3rd) Global Renewable Metal Industry Chain Summit (Theme: Voice of Low Carbon, Global Resonance ) is scheduled for May 11–12, 2026 , in Tokyo, Japan . At this conference, RIBA FARRE will attend, with Chairman Javier Riba Mas and Asia Manager Jose Maria Lozoya Fontanals in attendance. Your Trusted Global Partner in Non-Ferrous Metals Processor with more than 85 years experience Your Trusted Global Partner with Over 85 Years of Expertise in Non-Ferrous Metal Processing Comercial Riba Farré was established in 1940 and has long been deeply engaged in the non-ferrous metal recycling sector. Leveraging profound industry experience , the enterprise has firmly established itself in the Spanish domestic market while fully expanding into global markets. Drawing on years of accumulated expertise, we rigorously benchmark against London Metal Exchange quotations daily, updating purchase and sale prices in real time. Riba Farré firmly believes that long-term, sustainable business operations never rely on short-term arbitrage transactions, but rather on a solid corporate structure and persistent, dedicated operations. Our current industry standing is a powerful testament to this philosophy. Comercial Riba Farré se creó en 1940 y desde entonces ha desarrollado su actividad en el sector del reciclaje de metales no férricos. Nuestra EXPERIENCIA nos ha permitido consolidarnos dentro del mercado español y los mercados internacionales. Es la misma experiencia que nos permite garantizar la máxima actualización diaria de los precios de compra y venta de material según la Bolsa de Londres. En Riba Farré estamos convencidos que un NEGOCIO próspero no se basa en transacciones rápidas que ofrezcan beneficios inmediatos, sino en una estructura sólida y en el trabajo constante a lo largo de los años. Y nuestra posición actual confirma esa convicción. The outstanding development of an enterprise is inseparable from a professional, efficient, and motivated core team . The company continuously conducts skills training and implements people-oriented management to constantly enhance the team's overall capabilities. Meanwhile, it is equipped with industry-leading production equipment to fully ensure refined processing and sorting of non-ferrous metals. We consistently introduce cutting-edge intelligent equipment to achieve efficient operations with state-of-the-art capacity. Gran parte de este éxito se debe a la alta calificación, y a la motivación de nuestro EQUIPO . Dos aspectos que Riba Farré potencia cada día mediante la formación continua y el trato personalizado. Nuestro equipo está además plenamente respaldado por la mejor MAQUINARIA para el tratamiento y la clasificación de metales no férricos. Creemos que la máxima eficacia solo se consigue incorporando las máquinas más innovadoras en cada momento. In addition to the core metal recycling business, the group operates the RAEECICLA dedicated division, which specializes in the recycling and processing of e-waste and used electrical appliances. También, a parte de Riba Farré, contamos con RAEECICLA, la división de residuos informáticos y electrónicos. Main Products Productos principales Copper, aluminum, brass, lead, zinc Stainless steel, bronze, nickel, tin Cobre, aluminio, latón, plomo, zinc Acero inoxidable, bronce, níquel, estaño Our Advantages Nuestras ventajas Stable and controllable quality with fully standardized processing Flexible allocation tailored to various supply needs Long-term stable cooperation building reliable partnerships Global presence: Spain, Colombia, China, and India Calidad estable y controlada, procesamiento estandarizado en todo el ciclo. Suministro flexible adaptado a todo tipo de necesidades. Cooperación estable a largo plazo y alianzas comerciales fiables. Presencia global: España, Colombia, China e India. Key Reasons to Choose Riba Farré Por qué elegir Riba Farré Over 80 years of deep industry expertise Extensive global presence across international markets A hands-on producer, not merely a trade intermediary Committed to sustainable circular development Más de 80 años de experiencia consolidada en el sector. Fuerte presencia y expansión en mercados internacionales. Procesador industrial, no solo intermediario comercial. Compromiso firme con la economía circular y la sostenibilidad. Contact Information Contacto +34 932 643 630 INFO@RIBAFARRE.COM SMM Conference Contact Zhang Xiaoyao Mobile: +86 15729506965 Email:
Apr 30, 2026 10:07SMM Morning Meeting Summary: Overnight, LME copper opened at $13,073.5/mt, fluctuated upward to a high of $13,098/mt in early trading, then the copper price center gradually declined to $12,967/mt, and finally closed at $12,989/mt, down 0.35%, with trading volume at 19,400 lots and open interest at 276,000 lots, an increase of 42 lots from the previous trading day, indicating bears adding positions. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE copper 2606 contract opened at 101,190 yuan/mt, rose to 101,390 yuan/mt in early trading, then fluctuated downward throughout the session to a low of 100,790 yuan/mt near the close, and finally closed at 100,820 yuan/mt, down 0.43%, with trading volume at 37,700 lots and open interest at 195,000 lots, a decrease of 896 lots from the previous trading day, indicating bulls reducing positions.
Apr 30, 2026 09:04[SMM Morning Meeting Minutes: Poor Macro Sentiment, LME Zinc Posted Three Consecutive Losses] Overnight LME zinc posted three consecutive losses, with the daily candlestick center shifting downward and the 40-day average line providing support below. Overnight the US Fed kept interest rates unchanged, the US dollar index strengthened, and market concerns over economic growth intensified. Non-ferrous metals were in the doldrums, LME zinc......
Apr 30, 2026 08:52On April 24, the SMM Imported Copper Concentrate Index (weekly) stood at -81.44 USD/dmt, down 2.83 USD/dmt from the previous reading of -78.61 USD/dmt. The deeply negative TC reflects the tightness in the global copper concentrate market, which has already shifted from market expectations to an actual rigid contraction in supply. In the first quarter of 2026, the world's leading mining companies frequently revised down their production guidance, with supply-side disruptions far exceeding early-year forecasts. Freeport significantly lowered its full-year 2026 copper production forecast from 1.542 million tonnes to approximately 1.406 million tonnes, with an expected recovery rate of only 65%, due to slower-than-expected mine recovery at its Grasberg site in Indonesia, affected by mudslides and ore moisture. In addition, road blockades caused by strikes at BHP's Escondida and Zaldivar mines have led to actual production impacts that remain to be monitored. According to SMM exclusive data, the global copper concentrate deficit in 2026 is estimated at 317,000 metal tonnes, a situation that may ease somewhat in 2029. In stark contrast to the persistently falling TC, domestic smelter operating rates remained high in Q1 2026. According to SMM data, China's electrolytic copper output in March 2026 reached 1.2061 million tonnes, up 5.58% month-on-month and 7.49% year-on-year. In Q1 2026, total electrolytic copper output was 3.5278 million tonnes, up 4.60% quarter-on-quarter and 10.45% year-on-year. SMM survey data shows that 11 smelters have confirmed maintenance schedules for Q2 2026. This means that domestic electrolytic copper output is expected to decline in Q2, with spot supplies likely tightening temporarily in May and June. However, some smelters have reported that due to high sulfuric acid prices, maintenance completion times may be brought forward. Sulfuric acid is currently the most important by-product revenue source for the copper smelting industry. According to SMM data, on April 24, 2026, China's copper smelting acid index stood at 1,660.5 RMB/ton, up 31.5 RMB/ton from the previous period. As sulfuric acid revenues have risen steadily from 890 RMB/ton at the start of 2026 to 1,660.5 RMB/ton in April 2026, based on the co-production of 3–4.5 tonnes of sulfuric acid per tonne of electrolytic copper, sulfuric acid income can now cover the copper concentrate procurement cost and part of the processing cost for smelters. The upward slope and magnitude of this increase exceed the deterioration in spot TC. The substantial boost in sulfuric acid profitability allows smelters to tolerate lower TC, creating a cycle of "higher sulfuric acid prices, lower TC." Meanwhile, rising gold and silver prices have further expanded smelters' comprehensive profit margins. Although the copper smelting segment is deeply loss-making, driven by the hefty profits from sulfuric acid, gold, and silver, domestic copper smelters have been able to maintain high operating rates without large-scale production cuts caused by deeply negative TC. Additionally, about 20% of the world's electrolytic copper comes from hydrometallurgical processes, with the DRC and Chile together accounting for nearly 80% of that. Hydrometallurgical copper production consumes large amounts of sulfuric acid, and sulfur is a key raw material for sulfuric acid. The current disruption in the Strait of Hormuz has cut off approximately 50–60% of Middle Eastern sulfur shipments by sea, pushing up sulfur and sulfuric acid prices. Worth noting is that as late April 2026 progresses, sulfuric acid export restrictions combined with increased domestic production have shown signs of price softening. If sulfuric acid prices continue to decline, it will directly squeeze the comprehensive profit margins of domestic smelters. At that point, the dual pressure of persistently low TC and falling sulfuric acid prices could trigger real production cuts on the smelting side. Although gold and silver prices do not directly determine TC trends, their macro-pricing logic as part of the non-ferrous metals sector is worth attention. The market has largely priced in the expectation that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at all in 2026, with the first rate cut possibly delayed until July 2027. For copper, a delayed rate cut means no near-term easing of macro liquidity, but copper's core pricing logic remains the ongoing tug-of-war between tightening supply on the mining side and rigid demand. In other words, precious metals are under pressure, but industrial metals' pricing center remains in real supply-demand fundamentals, which explains why weaker gold and silver prices have not dragged copper prices lower. According to SMM, for Chinese smelters, domestic copper concentrate spot TC transactions are feasible in the range of -81 USD/dmt to -88 USD/dmt. Some holders have attempted to offer TC at -100 USD/dmt, while some smelters are willing to accept deliveries at the lower end around -90 USD/dmt. The downward trend in TC has not yet stopped, and smelter purchasing activity may have weakened slightly, but not significantly. Key areas to watch moving forward: Sulfuric acid side: The price trend will depend on the interplay of multiple factors. First, China's sulfuric acid export policy direction: if export restrictions continue, domestic sulfuric acid supply will be relatively abundant, and prices may fall from highs; if exports are temporarily allowed, overseas hydrometallurgical copper supply risks will rise, but domestic sulfuric acid prices may find support. Second, the recovery of sulfur supply: when shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal will directly affect the pace at which Middle Eastern sulfur can supplement global markets. Third, seasonal demand changes for downstream products such as phosphate fertilizers will also cause periodic price volatility for sulfuric acid. Mining side: Focus on the progress of the Grasberg conversion project, labor negotiation results at Chilean mines, and logistics stability at mines such as Las Bambas in Peru. Any new supply release will effectively ease TC pressure. Macro side: Monitor the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path, the U.S. dollar index, the actual driving effect of China's pro-growth policies on copper consumption, and whether the growth rate of copper demand in global new energy sectors is slowing marginally.
Apr 29, 2026 19:51The following table shows the ferrous and nonferrous metals movement on the SHFE and DCE on 29 Apr , 2026
Apr 29, 2026 15:55On April 17, a delegation from SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd. (SMM), including Ye Jianhua, Director and Supervisor of SMM's Industry Research Department, Feng Chundi, Expert at SMM's Industry Research Institute, and Wu Tao, SMM's Overseas Marketing Manager for Copper and Tin, visited CNIT Zambia Limited for an on-site survey and exchange. The company's relevant leaders extended a warm reception. During the exchange, the relevant person in charge of CNIT Zambia Limited provided a detailed introduction to the enterprise's development overview and core operations. The SMM survey team, drawing on the current status of the ex-China non-ferrous industry market and industry research experience, shared insights on the global copper product circulation landscape, cross-border trade logistics conditions, ex-China ore production and sales support, and industry market dynamics. Both parties engaged in pragmatic and in-depth discussions on core topics including cross-border storage and transportation operations of non-ferrous metals in Africa, cross-border logistics cost management, supply chain stability assurance, ex-China logistics network deployment, and future industry development trends. This on-site visit effectively enhanced mutual communication and understanding, laying a solid foundation for subsequent regular industry exchanges, information sharing, and industry chain collaboration. Introduction to CNIT Zambia Limited CNIT Zambia Limited (CNIT ZAMBIA LIMITED, referred to as Zambia Company) was established in 2019 as a wholly-owned overseas platform of CNMC International Trading Co. Ltd. (referred to as CNMC International Trading) for deepening its presence in the Central and Southern African market. The enterprise focuses on logistics return transportation of equity copper products as its core business, concentrating on cross-border transportation of non-ferrous metal products such as copper cathode and blister copper, while simultaneously expanding market-oriented value-added services including warehousing and maintenance, local customs clearance, and trunk-line logistics. Leveraging its regional logistics transit hub advantages, Zambia Company is positioned as CNMC International Trading's inland transshipment hub and frontline operations center in Central and Southern Africa. It efficiently integrates quality local resources including vehicle fleets, warehousing facilities, and port customs clearance, fully undertaking bulk material storage and transportation tasks for copper products, coal, and other materials in the Zambia and DRC regions, consolidating a stable foundation for the regional industry chain and supply chain. Scheduled to be held on October 13-14, 2026 in Lusaka, Zambia. Welcome to participate! Conference Contact : Wu Tao: 18270916376 jennywu@smm.cn
Apr 29, 2026 14:24