SMM May 6 News: The most-traded SHFE lead 2606 contract opened at 16,690 yuan/mt during the session. Driven by a broad rally in non-ferrous metals at the start of trading, futures held up well with a fluctuating trend, and the lead price center steadily rose, touching a high of 17,005 yuan/mt. Near the close, the rally slowed down somewhat, with prices consolidating slightly at high levels, ultimately closing at 16,980 yuan/mt, up 350 yuan/mt or 2.1%, recording a small bullish candlestick. Currently, domestic secondary lead smelters are constrained by undersupply of scrap battery raw materials, with increasing production cuts and shutdowns. Regional supply contraction supported spot cargo and futures. A sudden safety accident at a major lead-zinc smelter outside China introduced uncertainty to the subsequent global lead ingot supply, which is expected to provide short-term support for domestic lead prices. However, the consumption side in China remained persistently weak, with no notable improvement in downstream demand in May. Combined with the high probability of intensifying lead ingot inventory buildup pressure after the holiday, upside room for lead prices will be constrained. SHFE lead is expected to maintain a fluctuating trend in the short term. Data source statement: Data other than public information is derived from public information, market communication, and SMM's internal database models, processed by SMM for reference only and does not constitute decision-making advice.

[SMM Daily Comment: Downstream Adopted a Wait-and-See Approach While Upstream Showed Strong Willingness to Hold Prices Firm, and the Market Held Up Well] On May 6, SMM high-grade NPI upstream sentiment factor was 3.58, up 0.04 MoM, and the high-grade NPI downstream sentiment factor was 2.6, flat MoM.

Starting from the new all-time high of USD 5,602 on January 29, the gold price has now been in a correction phase for over three months, characterized so far by two sharp downward waves, two recovery waves, and most recently by another downward wave since mid-April.

[SMM Precious Metals Market Flash] On the afternoon of May 6, the US dollar index fell below the 98 level, and silver prices were buoyed by this, maintaining a firm trend.

[SMM Silicon-Based PV Morning Meeting Minutes] Polysilicon: N-type recharging polysilicon was quoted at 34-36 yuan/kg. Polysilicon prices remained relatively stable during the holiday, with extremely limited order signing in the market. Crystal pulling plants had no significant procurement demand for the time being. Post-holiday surveys and conferences were scheduled, and the market was watching subsequent developments. Wafer: Market prices for 18X wafers were 0.9-0.93 yuan/piece, 210RN wafers were 1.00-1.03 yuan/piece, and 210N wafers were 1.2-1.23 yuan/piece. During the holiday, wafer prices remained stable, and cell prices were expected to rise after the holiday.

SMM Morning Meeting Summary: Overnight, LME copper opened at $13,039/mt, dipped to $13,012/mt early in the session before the center shifted higher, touching a high of $13,161/mt and then moving sideways at elevated levels, ultimately closing at $13,100.5/mt, up 1.17%, with trading volume at 17,700 lots and open interest at 266,000 lots, an increase of 762 lots from the previous trading day, indicating bullish position building. The most-traded SHFE copper 2606 contract was closed overnight due to the Labour Day holiday.

[SMM Lead Morning Meeting Minutes: Accident at Ex-China Lead Smelter, Lead Prices May Be Boosted in the Short Term] The US Secretary of Defense stated that the ceasefire has not ended, that the "freedom plan" in the Strait of Hormuz is a temporary mission, and that engagement is not being sought. During the Labour Day holiday, downstream enterprises in China went on concentrated holidays, while from April to May, more lead smelters underwent maintenance or production shutdowns...

[SMM Tin Morning Brief: Tin Prices Retreated from Highs Last Week, Stimulating End-User Enterprises' Stockpiling Willingness]

[SMM Steel] South Korea launched a KRW 99.4bn ($73m) R&D program to help SMEs in steel and aluminum adapt to CBAM and global carbon rules. Led by the Ministry of SMEs and Startups and Korea Technology and Information Promotion Agency for SMEs, the scheme offers up to KRW 5.5bn per project for 3–5 years, supporting fuel switching, energy efficiency, and recycling, with real-site testing. The program runs to 2030, aiming to maintain export competitiveness.

ArcelorMittal has adjusted its long-term strategy, stating that it will not initiate any new electric arc furnace (EAF) investments until its 2 Mt/y reference project in Dunkirk, France, is nearing completion. The group's 2025 Sustainability Report indicates that due to high energy prices in Europe (well above $30/MWh) and slow progress in green hydrogen infrastructure, the company will adopt a "flexible and adaptable" strategy, prioritizing financial discipline. The Dunkirk EAF project, costing €1.3 billion, has a planned capacity of 2 Mt/y and is expected to begin production in 2029, reaching full capacity in 2030-2031. The new EAF will replace two existing blast furnaces with a combined capacity of 1.8 Mt/y.