On June 3, the Yichang Municipal Bureau of Ecology and Environment issued a public notice soliciting comments on the draft environmental impact report for the 300,000-ton waste lithium iron phosphate (LFP) battery recycling project of Yichang Brunp Recycling Technology Co., Ltd. This project is an expansion, with a total investment of 1,065.5119 million yuan. Upon completion, the project will have an annual processing capacity of 300,000 tons of waste LFP battery packs, including waste LFP power battery packs, battery modules, battery cells, battery powder, electrode sheet powder, and related materials.

SMM June 8 News: On the metals market front: Overnight last Friday, base metals across domestic and overseas markets fell broadly. In the domestic market, SHFE tin led the decline with a drop of 5.27%, while LME tin fell 4.92%. LME copper dropped 2.78%. LME aluminum, LME zinc, and SHFE copper all fell over 1%, with LME aluminum down 1.84%, LME zinc down 1.52%, and SHFE copper down 1.84%. Declines for the remaining metals were all within 1%. The alumina main contract rose 0.65%, while the cast aluminum main contract fell 0.61%. Overnight last Friday, ferrous metals generally rose. Only stainless steel fell, with a decline of 0.14%, while the remaining metals all increased. HRC and rebar saw gains of around 0.4%, with HRC up 0.47% and rebar up 0.44%. For coking coal and coke, coking coal rose 1.73%, and coke rose 0.15%. In the precious metals market, overnight last Friday, COMEX gold fell 3.35%, recording a weekly decline of 5.21%. COMEX silver plunged 8.08%, with a weekly decline of 10.39%, marking its fourth consecutive weekly drop. Domestically, SHFE gold fell 2.93%, with a weekly decline of 0.66%. SHFE silver fell 7.43%, with a weekly decline of 3.72%. The US achieved another strong month of job growth in May, raising concerns about a potential interest rate hike later this year. As of 8:27 on June 6, the closing market data from overnight last Friday: Macro Front [Foreign Ministry Introduces Arrangements for General Secretary Xi Jinping’s Visit to North Korea] At the invitation of Kim Jong Un, State Affairs Commission Chairman of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and President of the People’s Republic of China, will pay a state visit to the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea from June 8 to 9. Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Mao Ning stated during a regular press conference on the 5th that this visit marks General Secretary Xi Jinping’s first state visit to North Korea in seven years. During the visit, the top leaders of the two Parties and two countries will exchange views on bilateral relations and issues of common concern. In recent years, under the strategic guidance of General Secretary Xi Jinping and General Secretary Kim Jong Un, the traditional friendly and cooperative relationship between China and the DPRK has maintained sustained, healthy, and stable development, bringing tangible benefits to both countries and their peoples. This year marks the 65th anniversary of the signing of the Treaty of Friendship, Cooperation and Mutual Assistance Between the People’s Republic of China and the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea. The two sides will take this visit as an opportunity to push for greater progress in China-DPRK relations that keeps pace with the times, enhance the well-being of both peoples, and make greater contributions to peace, stability, development, and prosperity in the region and the world. (Xinhua News Agency) Domestic front: On June 5, Premier Li Qiang presided over a State Council executive meeting. The meeting pointed out the need to further strengthen forward-looking layout and increase promotion efforts based on the characteristics of future industries, to firmly grasp the initiative in development. It is necessary to solidify the technological foundation, continuously increase investment in basic research, and systematically deploy breakthroughs in original and disruptive technologies. Ecological construction must be emphasized, promoting the deep integration of industry, academia, research, and application, encouraging close cooperation between upstream and downstream segments of the industry chain, and fostering more startups and unicorn enterprises in key tracks. [Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development Seeks Public Comments on the Regulations on the Administration of Housing Provident Fund (Revised Draft for Comments)] The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development issued a notice to solicit public comments on the Regulations on the Administration of Housing Provident Fund (Revised Draft for Comments). Under any of the following circumstances, an employee may withdraw the balance stored in their housing provident fund account: (1) Paying rent; (2) Purchasing, constructing, renovating, or overhauling a self-occupied dwelling; (3) Repaying the principal and interest of a housing purchase loan; (4) Decorating a self-occupied dwelling, up to a certain limit; (5) Paying property management fees for a self-occupied dwelling; (6) Retiring or leaving their post; (7) Completely losing the ability to work and terminating the labor (personnel) relationship with their employer; (8) Emigrating and settling abroad; (9) Other housing consumption circumstances approved by the State Council. (Wall Street CN) The Ministry of Transport and ten other departments issued the Three-Year Action Plan for Promoting High-Quality Development of Small and Mini Passenger Vehicle Rental (2026–2028). The plan proposes accelerating the construction of electric vehicle charging facilities in expressway service areas, with 30,000 EV charging facilities (charging guns) of 60 kW power or above to be newly built or renovated in expressway service areas (including parking areas) by year-end 2028. The plan proposes accelerating the construction of electric vehicle charging facilities in expressway service areas, with 30,000 EV charging facilities (charging guns) of 60 kW power or above to be newly built or renovated in expressway service areas (including parking areas) by year-end 2028. US Dollar front: As of overnight closing last Friday, the US dollar index rose 0.62% to 100.07. Previously released data showed strong US employment data for May. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics disclosed that non-farm payrolls added 172,000 jobs in May. Employment data for the previous two months were revised upwards, and job gains over the last three months marked the best performance in more than two years. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, with labour market resilience significantly exceeding overall market forecasts. Nick Timiraos, the Fed mouthpiece, noted that the re-acceleration of spring hiring this year will provide more ammunition for Fed officials who worry about inflation and believe current interest rates are too low to contain a new round of price pressures. Some officials recently hinted that the Fed should be ready to raise interest rates later this year, at least clawing back some of the three 25-basis-point cuts implemented in H2 last year. Those cuts were implemented to stabilize the labour market, which now looks much healthier. This jobs report will not entirely settle the debate over how much the Fed should consider raising rates later this year, but it does further suggest the case for near-term cuts has largely evaporated. The stronger argument for raising rates now comes from the inflation outlook. Multiple overlapping shocks—from AI infrastructure build-out, tariffs, and energy—could keep inflation persistently above the Fed’s 2% target, even if progress is made in restoring commercial shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. If the Fed holds steady as inflation rises, inflation-adjusted real rates would fall. Even if the labour market is not the primary driver, this mechanism could become a key factor driving rate hike discussions. (Jin10 Data APP) Fed official Hammack stated that with the labour market appearing to be roughly balanced, a rate hike may be appropriate soon. Hammack said that while she never over-emphasizes any single data point, today’s employment report confirms again that the labour market appears to be mostly in balance. She noted the unemployment rate remains at 4.3%, which is basically consistent with what I define as maximum employment. “Given the uncertainty in the economic outlook, holding rates steady is appropriate for now. But if recent trends continue, action may soon be needed.” This essentially repeats remarks she made on June 2. (Jin10 Data APP) According to foreign media reports, May non-farm payrolls data far exceeded market expectations, and the US interest rate futures market significantly increased bets on a Fed rate hike at the December meeting. Based on data from LSEG, the rate futures market now prices in a 65% probability of a Fed rate hike in December, up from 48% before the jobs report. For the June meeting, the market still broadly expects the Fed to keep rates unchanged in the 3.50% to 3.75% range. The stronger-than-expected jobs data indicates the US labour market remains resilient, further weakening market expectations for near-term rate cuts while strengthening investor assessment that the Fed may need to resume rate hikes later to counter inflationary pressures. (Jin10 Data APP) According to CME FedWatch: The probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged in June is 96.6% (compared to 96.4% before the non-farm payrolls release), with a 3.4% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut. The probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged through July is 90.6%, with a 6.2% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike and a 3.2% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut. (Jin10 Data APP) Macro front: This week, in China, data releases include the China May CPI year-over-year rate, China May PPI year-over-year rate, China May trade balance (TBD), and China May M2 money supply year-over-year rate (TBD), among others. In the US, data releases include the US May New York Fed 1-year inflation expectations, US May NFIB Small Business Optimism Index, US weekly change in ADP employment for the week ending May 23, US April trade balance, US May existing home sales annualized rate, US April wholesale sales month-over-month rate, US May unadjusted CPI year-over-year rate, US May seasonally adjusted CPI month-over-month rate, US May seasonally adjusted core CPI month-over-month rate, US May unadjusted core CPI year-over-year rate, US 10-year note auction yield for June 10, US 10-year note auction bid-to-cover ratio for June 10, US initial jobless claims for the week ending June 6, US May PPI year-over-year rate, US May PPI month-over-month rate, US June preliminary one-year inflation expectations, and US June preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, among others. In Germany, data releases include the German April seasonally adjusted industrial output month-over-month rate, German April seasonally adjusted trade balance, and German May final CPI month-over-month rate, among others. In the Eurozone, data releases include the Eurozone June Sentix Investor Confidence Index, Eurozone ECB deposit facility rate for June 11, and Eurozone ECB main refinancing rate for June 11, among others. In the UK, data releases include the UK April three-month GDP month-over-month rate, UK April manufacturing output month-over-month rate, UK April seasonally adjusted goods trade balance, and UK April industrial output month-over-month rate, among others. Data including the Bank of Canada interest rate decision for June 10, French May final CPI month-over-month rate, Japan April trade balance, and Switzerland May Consumer Confidence Index will also be released. Furthermore, the Bank of Canada will announce its interest rate decision, and BoC Governor Macklem and Senior Deputy Governor Rogers will hold a monetary policy press conference. The European Central Bank will announce its interest rate decision, and ECB President Lagarde will hold a monetary policy press conference. Crude Oil front: As of overnight closing last Friday, oil prices in both markets fell together, with WTI oil down 3% and Brent oil down 2.37%. However, both recorded weekly gains, with WTI oil up 3.31% weekly and Brent oil up 1.82% weekly. The decline in crude oil prices overnight last Friday was primarily due to reduced market perceptions of a renewed US-Iran conflict. US President Trump stated at a campaign event in Wisconsin on the 5th that the war with Iran would be ended quickly, thus removing a significant factor contributing to high prices. With the midterm elections approaching, US public opinion widely believes the US-Iran war has driven up oil prices and the cost of living, putting pressure on Republican election prospects. (CCTV) Fitch stated in a new report that the closure of the Strait of Hormuz created a logistical supply shock but did not alter the market trend. The agency expects a rapid recovery in regional production, strong supply growth from non-OPEC countries, and potentially more aggressive OPEC policies to re-trigger an oversupply situation in Q4 2026, pushing oil prices downward once the Strait reopens. Based on an assumption that the Strait of Hormuz reopens around month-end July (implying an effective closure period of five months), our baseline expectation is that Brent crude will average $87 per barrel in 2026. Significant uncertainty remains regarding the exact timing of the Strait's reopening, and the risks facing oil prices are binary. The current price increase reflects a transitory logistical supply shock rather than a permanent loss of production capacity. We expect the Strait to reopen around end-July and anticipate a significant decline in Brent prices from the highs seen between March and July. (Jin10 Data APP) According to a Bloomberg survey, OPEC crude oil production fell to its lowest level in decades in May, as the US blockade on Iran and turmoil in the Persian Gulf region continued to suppress output. OPEC oil production dropped by 1.22 million barrels per day in May (half of which came from Iran), falling to 16.33 million barrels per day, its lowest level in at least 37 years. This figure excludes the UAE, which withdrew from OPEC last month. The survey indicated Iran’s oil production plunged last month by 710,000 barrels per day to 2.34 million barrels per day, a five-year low. US Central Command continues to enforce a blockade on all maritime traffic to and from Iranian ports. (Jin10 Data APP) Notably, however, the UK government has raised its domestic crude oil price forecast, believing that even if the US and Iran reach a peace deal, crude oil prices could remain around $100 per barrel through 2028, as it now anticipates energy supply recovery in the Gulf region will take longer. A new analysis warns that pressure on energy prices is higher than previously expected, amid a deteriorating global economic outlook. The UK government previously estimated Persian Gulf supply could recover about six months after the end of the war, but it now believes recovery could take as long as 14 months. (Jin10 Data APP)

【SMM Steel】The USDOC's preliminary AD administrative review found that UAE exporters sold circular welded carbon steel pipes in the US at below normal value during the Dec 1 2023 to Nov 30 2024 review period. Preliminary weighted-average dumping margins: 3.15% for Conares Metal Supply Limited; 6.16% for THL Tube and Pipe Industries LLC KHK Scaffolding and Formwork LLC and Universal Tube and Pipe Industries FZE; and 5.50% for TSI Metal Industries L.L.C. K.D. Industries Inc. and both Ajmal Steel Tubes & Pipes branches. Interested parties may now submit comments.

【SMM Steel】The USDOC calculated a preliminary countervailable subsidy rate of 3.37% ad valorem for Turkish producer and exporter HDM Çelik Boru covering the Jan 1 2024 to Dec 31 2024 review period. The USDOC also rescinded its administrative review for 11 other companies due to no suspended entries during the review period. Public comments on the preliminary results are now invited.

Recently, the Economic Cooperation and Foreign Affairs Bureau of Gao County, Sichuan Province, released a public notice soliciting comments on the environmental impact report for the Gao County 80,000-ton waste lithium battery dismantling and comprehensive utilization project of Jiushi New Energy (Sichuan) Co., Ltd. It is reported that this project will construct 10 battery dismantling and crushing production lines. These include 3 lithium iron phosphate battery crushing lines, 2 ternary lithium battery crushing lines, 2 lithium iron phosphate battery cathode sheet processing lines, 2 lithium iron phosphate battery anode sheet processing lines, and 1 battery echelon utilization line.

To better track rare earth price swings and support long‑term contract settlements, SMM launched “Evening Prices” (since April 27, 2026) for Pr‑Nd and gadolinium, available via data terminal and Renrenkan. As afternoon transaction peaks have shifted due to volatility (e.g., Pr‑Nd alloy: 1.09M to 830k yuan/mt in H1 2026), evening prices reflect actual afternoon trades, benefiting metal‑magnet contracts. For magnet‑end‑user annual contracts, morning prices are recommended.

Recently, the Liuzhi Special District People's Government website published an announcement soliciting comments on the environmental impact report for the Liuzhi Lithium Iron Phosphate Project (Change). Guizhou Xinren New Energy Technology Co., Ltd. plans to adjust its original capacity plan. Upon full completion, the production scale will change from the originally planned 300,000 tons/year of lithium iron phosphate and 300,000 tons/year of iron phosphate precursor to 520,020 tons/year of lithium iron phosphate precursor, 21,840 tons/year of lithium manganese iron phosphate, 65,520 tons/year of sodium iron phosphate, 2,400 tons/year of trilithium phosphate, 1,000 tons/year of lithium carbonate, 6,480 tons/year of lithium dihydrogen phosphate, 89,360 tons/year of lithium iron phosphate.

[Price Review] Silver prices remained under pressure this week, primarily due to renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, sustained expectations for US Fed interest rate hikes within the year, and strong performance in European and US equity markets that continued to divert funds from the precious metals market. On the macro front, newly appointed Fed Chairman Waller officially took office, with his hawkish stance reinforcing market tightening expectations; US-Iran negotiations remained volatile—according to Reuters on May 28, the US military launched a new round of strikes on military facilities within Iran. On the industrial demand side, as silver prices declined during the week, mainstream quotations and spot transaction discounts both narrowed. However, some suppliers had limited willingness to sell due to tax invoice audits and the approaching month-end, combined with downstream consumption still showing no significant improvement. Only some downstream enterprises lacking tax invoice input credit could accept small quantities at high premiums. The spot market overall exhibited sluggish trading on both sides, with inventory continuing to accumulate. Gold/silver ratio side, as of May 27, the LBMA gold/silver ratio rebounded to 62x, continuing to widen WoW. [Key Data] Bearish Waller officially assumed the role of Fed Chairman, with a clearly hawkish tone. US-Iran negotiations saw major reversals, causing market expectations to become chaotic. On May 25, Iran stated it had reached consensus with the US on most issues, but on May 28, Trump publicly stated that "Iran negotiations have made no progress." Speculative funds withdrew on a large scale—COMEX silver non-commercial net long positions declined sharply for three consecutive weeks, with cumulative reductions exceeding 25,000 contracts. Previously inflowing speculative funds concentrated on closing positions, amplifying the magnitude of silver's price decline. Bullish: Peru's energy crisis continued, with a national state of emergency extending to year-end. Twelve large mines have implemented staggered production schedules, and May silver production is expected to decline 5%-8%, with the global supply-demand gap persisting. [Upcoming Focus] May 29: US May University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (final) June 3: US May ISM Manufacturing PMI June 5: US May Non-Farm Payrolls Report June 12: US May CPI Data Key focus: Fed officials' speeches, latest developments in US-Iran negotiations, execution of production restrictions at Peruvian mines [Price Forecast] Silver is expected to hover at lows in a bottoming pattern next week, with core variables being Fed officials' speeches and the direction of US-Iran negotiations. Current market sentiment is extremely cautious, with macro headwinds remaining the dominant factor, and the previous supply-side speculation narrative having largely faded. Operationally, a wait-and-see approach is recommended, pending clear stabilization signals. China fundamentals side, downstream buying sentiment remains cautious, overall consumption is still sluggish, and spot silver ingot social inventory continues to accumulate. However, as silver's absolute price has declined and bank floor purchase price discounts have narrowed, mainstream spot transaction discounts are expected to contract slightly to a range of 20-0 yuan/kg discount to the SGE TD price.

2025-05-25 To comprehensively promote the large-scale and high-quality development of the hydrogen energy industry and improve the local hydrogen energy industry supporting system and application ecosystem, the Ziyang Municipal Bureau of Economy and Information Technology publicly released a policy announcement, soliciting public opinions on the revision of the "Several Policy Measures of the Ziyang Municipal People's Government on Supporting the High-Quality Development of the Hydrogen Energy Industry (Draft for Comments)," and simultaneously released an official policy interpretation, safeguarding hydrogen energy industry development with dedicated support policies. The new policy under public consultation introduces multiple favorable measures around hydrogen refueling station construction and operation, continuously addressing shortcomings in hydrogen energy infrastructure. Ziyang will establish a dedicated fast-track approval channel for hydrogen refueling station projects, significantly shortening project approval timelines and improving implementation efficiency. For integrated hydrogen production and refueling stations located outside chemical industrial parks, the local government will provide a one-time construction reward of up to 2 million yuan. Meanwhile, restrictions on station construction scenarios will be relaxed, allowing the construction of enterprise self-use hydrogen refueling facilities in compliant areas such as industrial parks, logistics parks, open-air parking lots, and bus depots. For scenarios involving station construction through renovation of existing industrial land, the policy explicitly sets a 2-year exclusive transition period, during which enterprises may use existing industrial land to build integrated hydrogen production and refueling stations and conduct compliant hydrogen refueling services. After the transition period, the relevant construction land may complete the "industrial-to-commercial" land use adjustment in accordance with regulations. Regarding operational subsidies, Ziyang has set clear support standards: for compliant hydrogen refueling stations with hydrogen pricing no higher than 25 yuan/kg and daily average refueling capacity of 500 kg or above, operational subsidies will be granted at a maximum standard of 20 yuan per kilogram, with an annual subsidy cap of 5 million yuan per station, effectively reducing station operational pressure. To improve the entire industry chain layout of hydrogen energy and achieve industry chain strengthening and gap-filling, Ziyang has introduced dual reward policies for industrial investment and technological transformation. The city focuses on encouraging the implementation of projects across the entire hydrogen energy chain covering production, storage, transportation, refueling, and utilization, encompassing key upstream and downstream fields such as core equipment, key parts, and specialty materials. For key hydrogen energy industry projects that are successfully completed and put into production, a one-time investment reward of up to 10 million yuan may be granted. Meanwhile, the policy supports local traditional enterprises in transformation and upgrading, guiding enterprises to conduct hydrogen energy-oriented technological transformation benchmarked against industry-leading standards. Projects that complete technological transformation and are officially put into use may enjoy a one-time technological transformation subsidy of up to 1 million yuan per project, facilitating the transformation of traditional industries toward the hydrogen energy track. In the hydrogen energy scenario innovation application field, Ziyang continues to broaden promotion boundaries and enrich diversified implementation scenarios. The new policy focuses on supporting hydrogen fuel cell commercial vehicle demonstration projects, providing local funding support at 50% of the national prevailing demonstration application credit subsidy standard for market entities participating in demonstration operations. In addition, local enterprises operating hydrogen-powered rail locomotives, mining trucks, forklifts, two-wheeled hydrogen vehicles, hydrogen-powered aircraft, as well as those developing new-type application scenarios such as backup power supply, combined heat and power, and hydrogen energy storage power generation based on hydrogen energy, may all enjoy local supporting subsidies at 50% of the equivalent national subsidy standard, comprehensively activating the vitality of the hydrogen energy end-use applications market. Furthermore, the new policy focuses on large-scale hydrogen consumption and industry cost reduction and efficiency improvement, introducing targeted incentive policies. For fossil energy-to-hydrogen substitution technological transformation projects of high energy-consuming and high carbon-emitting industrial enterprises, a one-time reward of up to 1 million yuan may be claimed after meeting standards and being put into use. Meanwhile, a regular hydrogen use subsidy is established, providing subsidies at a standard of 2 yuan/kg based on the enterprise's actual annual hydrogen consumption, with a maximum annual subsidy of 1 million yuan per enterprise. To explore new models of hydrogen energy utilization, Ziyang will also support natural gas pipeline hydrogen blending demonstration projects, with a one-time construction subsidy of up to 1 million yuan for each compliant demonstration project, promoting large-scale, low-cost popularize application of hydrogen energy through multiple measures.

Underlying end-user demand in Europe has still not shown any real improvement. Management comments from both Outokumpu and Aperam indicate that demand remains flat at a low level. As service centers and distributors now have to restock at elevated prices while struggling to pass those increases on downstream, market participants in Germany, Italy, Poland, and elsewhere are being forced into price concessions, putting further pressure on margins.