In recent years, Indonesia's energy transition has shown clear signs of acceleration. As the government sets more ambitious renewable energy targets, and as mining decarbonisation, island-based power system upgrades, floating PV project development and local manufacturing build-out continue to advance, the long-term growth potential of Indonesia's solar PV, energy storage and microgrid markets is opening up further.

[Weekly Review of Aluminum Scrap and Secondary Aluminum]Pre-Holiday Stockpiling Fell Through, Supply and Demand in Secondary Aluminum Market Both Remained Weak

[SMM Flash] SHFE data showed that on June 18, total registered cast aluminum alloy warrants amounted to 33,785 mt, a decrease of 2,170 mt from the previous trading day. Among them, the total registered in Shanghai was 2,956 mt, a decrease of 389 mt from the previous trading day; in Guangdong, 5,622 mt, a decrease of 483 mt; in Jiangsu, 7,775 mt, an increase of 0 mt; in Zhejiang, 11,211 mt, a decrease of 817 mt; in Chongqing, 5,376 mt, a decrease of 481 mt; in Sichuan, 845 mt, an increase of 0 mt.

[SMM Flash News] According to reports, the mass production plan for the 9,200 mt Gigacasting giant die-casting machine at Hyundai Motor's Ulsan plant in South Korea has been postponed from the originally planned 2026 to 2028. It is understood that this giant integrated die-casting technology is currently only suitable for pure EV production lines. Due to delays in the brand's EV project progress, the mass production pace of the supporting die-casting line has been postponed accordingly.

[Die-casting zinc alloy operating rates maintain fluctuating trend, expected to decline more noticeably next week] The operating rate rose this week mainly because some enterprises planned short-term maintenance later, and last week’s improved warehouse withdrawals helped it edge up. However, in terms of overall industry activity, end-use consumption of die-casting zinc alloy has remained weak. Currently, the market sees ample circulation of smelter alloys and non-standard alloys, with clear oversupply characteristics. The operating rate of the die-casting zinc alloy industry has weakened YoY......

[SMM Aluminum Alloy Daily Review] Futures side, the most-traded cast aluminum alloy 2608 contract opened at 23,330 yuan/mt today. It rallied to an intraday high of 23,420 yuan/mt before bulls lost momentum and the price came under pressure, falling to a low of 23,250 yuan/mt. As of the morning close, it edged down 0.15% on the day. Spot side, the ADC12 market overall maintained a stable price trend today with limited fluctuations. SMM ADC12 held steady at 24,100 yuan/mt. With the Dragon Boat Festival holiday approaching, downstream die-casting enterprises showed limited purchasing interest, mostly restocking as needed, and no significant pre-holiday stockpiling activity emerged. Against a backdrop where both sellers and buyers lacked new drivers, enterprises generally held prices steady an

[Destocking Logic Continues to Materialize, Macro Pressure Caps Aluminum Price Upside] SMM maintains its forecast that inventory will fall to around 1.28 million mt by late June, and is expected to further approach 1.2 million mt by end‑June/early July, providing some support for aluminum prices. However, China’s high inventory pressure remains relatively evident, and with the current bearish macro sentiment dominating the market, domestic aluminum prices will mainly fluctuate in consolidation in the short term.

SMM June 18 News: In metals markets: Overnight, base metals on both domestic and overseas markets collectively rose. LME zinc led the gains with a 1.4% increase, LME tin rose 0.85%, LME aluminum gained 0.99%, SHFE zinc climbed 0.67%, and SHFE nickel added 0.6%. All other metals saw small fluctuations. Alumina main contract rose 0.52% and aluminum casting main contract rose 0.17%. Overnight, the ferrous metals complex generally fell. Iron ore dropped 1.13%, recording a three-day losing streak. HRC, rebar, and stainless steel all fell within 1%. Coking coal and coke both declined, with coking coal down 2.26% and coke down 1.25%. Overnight in precious metals, COMEX gold fell 1.79% and COMEX silver fell 2.93%. Domestically, SHFE gold fell 0.84% and SHFE silver fell 1.36%. Overnight closing prices as of 6:43 AM on June 18: Macro Front China: [PBoC: Improve the Short-End Interest Rate Adjustment Mechanism] Pan Gongsheng, Governor of the People's Bank of China, stated that the short-end interest rate adjustment mechanism will be improved. Building on the temporary overnight repo and reverse repo tools established in July 2024, the mechanism for using the tools will be improved, and the operating rates will be adjusted to the 7-day reverse repo rate plus and minus 25 basis points, narrowing the corridor from 70 basis points to 50 basis points. The open market operations toolbox will be further enriched, and overnight reverse repo operation varieties will be added at appropriate times to better match the short-term liquidity needs of the banking system. (CCTV News) [PBoC Optimizes the Mechanism for Temporary Overnight Repo and Reverse Repo Open Market Operations] To flexibly and efficiently utilize temporary overnight repo and reverse repo open market tools, the People's Bank of China decided to optimize the operational elements effective immediately. The operation time is adjusted to 15:00-15:30 on working days, and the operating rates are adjusted to the 7-day reverse repo rate minus 25bp and plus 25bp, respectively. The rules for using the tools are further clarified. When the money market overnight rate (DR001) is persistently lower or higher than the corresponding tool's operating rate, the People's Bank of China will initiate corresponding operations based on the needs of primary dealers. (People's Bank of China) [Wu Qing‘s Speech at Lujiazui Forum: Expand the Scope of the Fifth Set of Standards to the AI Field, Support Hong Kong-Listed Companies for Domestic Listing] Wu Qing, Chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, intensively released policy signals at the 2026 Lujiazui Forum on the 17th, covering reforms to the tech listing system, capital market opening-up, guiding long-term capital, and AI regulation, outlining the regulatory layer's policy blueprint for deepening capital market reforms. In his speech, Wu Qing said that the scope of the fifth set of listing standards will be expanded to the artificial intelligence field, actively supporting the listing of high-quality AI large model companies, and supporting qualified Hong Kong-listed companies to list domestically. He also stated that research on promoting RMB foreign exchange futures pilot programs will be accelerated. He further stated that efforts will be made to enhance cross-border regulatory collaboration, support legal and compliant cross-border investment and financing activities, and lawfully crack down on various cross-border illegal activities. Guiding opinions for regulating the development of capital market AI will be released in due course, with strict investigations and punishments for illegal activities such as riding hot topics, hyping concepts, or even market manipulation and insider trading in the name of technology. US Dollar: As of the overnight close, the US dollar index rose 0.82% to 100.38. The US Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting this week stood pat as widely expected. The post-meeting statement emphasized the commitment to price stability by reducing high inflation, and the dot plot reflected a strong hawkish bias among Fed policymakers. On Wednesday, June 17 US Eastern Time, the Federal Reserve announced after its FOMC meeting that it would keep the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75%. To date, after cutting rates at three consecutive meetings through last year-end, the FOMC has stood pat at all four monetary policy meetings in 2026. This decision was completely within market expectations. This was the first FOMC meeting with Warsh as Fed Chairman. Judging from the rate decision, his first major act in the new role was to significantly shorten the statement, including the rate guidance. The new statement emphasized only the inflation side of the dual mandate on employment and inflation. Its assessment of inflation and other economic areas was consistent with the previous one, reiterating that inflation remains high and noting that the Middle East conflict brings high uncertainty to the economy. Compared with the statement, the dot plot released after the meeting reflected an even more pronounced hawkish tilt: half of the Fed officials providing rate forecasts projected at least one rate hike this year. Bloomberg rates strategist Ira Jersey commented that given half of Fed officials foresee hikes, the market focusing on the dot plot makes the bear-flattening of the Treasury yield curve look logical. Nick Timiraos, a veteran Fed correspondent known as the "new Fed wire," described the dot plot as "very hawkish." He pointed out in the article title that the Fed held rates steady, but more officials expect the next move to be a hike. (Wall Street CN) According to CME "FedWatch": The probability that the Fed keeps rates unchanged in July stands at 64.0% (was 91.0% before the decision). The probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 35.1% (was 8.9%), and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point hike is 1% (was 0%). For December, the probability that the Fed holds rates steady is 14.2% (was 38.2%), with the chances for a cumulative 25-basis-point hike at 36.4% (was 43.0%), a 50-basis-point hike at 33.8% (was 16.2%), a 75-basis-point hike at 13.5% (was 2.4%), and a 100-basis-point hike at 2.1% (was 0.1%). (Jin10 Data App) Data: Today, China's May Swift RMB share in global payments, the US Federal Reserve's June 17 interest rate decision (upper bound), US initial jobless claims for the week ending June 13, the US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index for June, and the US Conference Board Leading Index month-over-month change for May will be released. Also due are Switzerland's May trade balance and Swiss National Bank policy rate on June 18, the UK's ILO unemployment rate for the three months to April, UK May unemployment rate, UK May claimant count change, and the Bank of England‘s June 18 interest rate decision, as well as the Eurozone’s seasonally adjusted current account for April, among other data. In addition, China will open a new refined oil product pricing window. The Fed's FOMC will release its interest rate decision and Summary of Economic Projections. Fed Chairman Warsh will hold a monetary policy press conference. The Swiss National Bank and the Bank of England will announce their interest rate decisions, with the BoE also releasing meeting minutes. Notably, on June 18, there will be no night trading session on the Shanghai Gold Exchange, SHFE, Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange, and DCE in China due to the eve of the Dragon Boat Festival. On June 19, the NYSE will be closed for Juneteenth. On the same day, trading of precious metals, energy, foreign exchange, equity index, and US Treasury futures contracts on the US-based CME will close early at 01:00 Beijing Time on June 20 for Juneteenth. Also due to Juneteenth, trading of Brent crude oil futures contracts on the US-based ICE will close early at 01:30 Beijing Time on June 20. Crude Oil: As of the overnight close, both oil benchmarks fell. Brent crude fell 0.38% and WTI crude fell 0.35%. On June 17 local time, senior US officials read out the 14 terms of a US-Iran memorandum of understanding aimed at ending the war and promoting the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz to the media. According to the arrangement, both sides will begin 60 days of further negotiations this Friday (June 19) in Switzerland to reach a final agreement. The US commits that, effective immediately upon the signing of this memorandum and until sanctions are lifted, the US Treasury Department will issue exemption licenses for Iran's exports of crude oil, petroleum products, and derivatives, as well as related supporting services (including banking transactions, insurance, and transportation). (Jin10 Data App) Amid the chain reaction from easing Middle East tensions, the International Energy Agency (IEA) judged in its monthly oil market report released Wednesday that if a peace arrangement proves sustainable, the global crude market could shift to a clear oversupply next year. The IEA systematically assessed the impact of the end of the Iranian conflict for the first time in this report. The agency analyzed that as oilfields shut down for months due to the conflict gradually resume production, supply from the Gulf region will show a "gradual" recovery trend this year. On this basis, global crude oil production is expected to increase by 8 million barrels per day by next year, reaching a total scale of 110 million barrels per day. In contrast, global demand growth is estimated at about 2 million barrels per day, described as "relatively mild." The IEA noted in the report that this supply-demand mismatch will lead to a "massive surplus," which it suggested "could provide a welcome breathing space for the market and an opportunity to replenish depleted stocks or build new strategic reserves." Currently, oil inventories in OECD countries have fallen to their lowest levels since 1990. (Jin10 Data) The IEA also noted that oil prices experienced a sharp correction between May and mid-June, driven by market optimism about a peace deal and changes in Asian demand. Reduced crude oil procurement from Asia exerted clear downward pressure on prices. Affected by these combined factors, North Sea crude prices cumulatively fell by more than $40 per barrel during this period to around $82, indicating the market had already priced in expectations of increased supply and slowing demand. (Jin10 Data)

As the global green transition and “dual carbon” goals advance, the non-ferrous metals industry is accelerating its shift toward low-carbon, smart, and high-end development. South China, as a core industry hub, features a well-established industry chain, outstanding resource endowments, and strong policy support, generating robust development momentum. Hosted by SMM, the will be held from September 9 to 11 in Nanning, Guangxi. The conference will focus on five major topics—price trends, market outlook, trade environment, policy orientation, and low-carbon technology—to build a high-end exchange and cooperation platform for the industry. Guangxi Shuangli Aluminum Co., Ltd. cordially invites colleagues from all sectors to gather in Nanning to jointly celebrate this event, promote technological innovation and industrial transformation, help enterprises seize opportunities and tackle challenges, and drive high-quality development in the non-ferrous metals industry. Click the to sign up now! Booth No.: B11 Guangxi Shuangli Aluminum Co., Ltd. (Shuangli Aluminum) was established in 2010 and is located in the Qianjiang Industrial Park, Qianjiang Town, Xingbin District, Laibin City, Guangxi. It is an enterprise that uses molten aluminum from electrolysis to produce and sell high-thermal-conductivity, high-strength and high-toughness, integrated die-casting primary aluminum alloy ingots in the Al-Si series, as well as Al-Si master alloys. The company is adjacent to Guangxi Laibin Yinhai Aluminum and enjoys a resource advantage of 500,000 mt of direct molten aluminum supply. The company’s first-phase investment totaled 300 million yuan, covering an area of 45,000 m² and a building area of 22,000 m², with over 120 employees. It has an annual capacity of 300,000 mt of primary aluminum alloy ingots. Shuangli Aluminum is dedicated to providing high-end Al-Si series aluminum alloys, pursuing innovation-driven development, and continuously enhancing the technological content of its products. It deeply examines industry trends and market demands, positions itself precisely, and strives to achieve excellence in the high-thermal-conductivity, high-strength and high-toughness aluminum alloy products within the high-end aluminum segment, building a high-end brand with a “specialized, refined, distinctive, and innovative” approach! The company's main business: Primary cast aluminum-silicon alloy ingots: High thermal conductivity, high strength and high toughness, integrated die-casting series National Standard GB/T 8733-2007: ZLD1*** series European Standard EN 1706-2020: ENAC-4** series National Standard GB/T 27677-2017: AlSi12 AlSi20 Corporate standard Al-Si master alloys: AlSi12(Mg) AlSi20(Mg) Other custom-standard grades: Primary cast aluminum-silicon alloy ingots Processing trade with supplied returned materials Production Equipment Contact Information 0772-4910586 13907307357 Qianjiang Industrial Park, Qianjiang Town, Xingbin District, Laibin City SMM Conference Contact Ding Weiquan 18029344837

Today, the spot zinc ingot pricing in the Guangdong region has switched to the new front-month contract, with the benchmark contract shifting from the JH2607 contract to the JH2608 contract. Under the contango structure, today's quotes in the Guangdong region are at a discount of 110 yuan/ton to the JH2608 contract. How will the spot premium/discount perform in the coming period?