In late this month, Lithium Argentina announced its fourth quarter and full-year 2025 results, along with an outlook on subsequent expansion plans. The company holds a 44.8% equity interest in the Cauchari-Olaroz project. The company's flagship Cauchari-Olaroz project currently has an annual production capacity of 40,000 tons, with plans to expand by 45,000 tons per year. In the fourth quarter of 2025, the company produced approximately 9,700 tons of lithium carbonate. For the full year of 2025, production reached 34,100 tons, including 359 tons of lithium chloride (in LCE terms) produced and sold to Ganfeng Lithium in the first half of 2025 to support the startup of Ganfeng's Mariana project. 2025 production reached the upper end of the guidance range of 30,000-35,000 tons, representing a 34% increase year-over-year compared to 2024. Cost of sales in the fourth quarter of 2025 was US$66 million, with cash operating costs for lithium carbonate at US$5,618 per ton. The reduction in operating costs was driven by structural optimization and operational efficiency improvements, with these cost-saving effects expected to be sustainable. Revenue in the fourth quarter of 2025 was US$92 million, with an average realized selling price for lithium carbonate of approximately US$9,049 per ton. Due to a significant increase in market prices since late 2025, the average realized selling price for lithium carbonate in the first quarter of 2026 is expected to be approximately US$17,000 per ton. 2026 production guidance for lithium carbonate is set at 35,000-40,000 tons. With continued optimization and lean operations, production is expected to steadily increase in 2026, supporting the project's long-term operational performance. Regarding the PPG project and Cauchari-Olaroz expansion: Cauchari-Olaroz Stage 2 Expansion: The Cauchari-Olaroz project is advancing expansion plans, aiming to add 45,000 tons per year of lithium carbonate production capacity. Measured and indicated lithium resources increased by 42%, reaching 28.1 million tons of lithium carbonate equivalent, with an average lithium grade of 562 mg/L. Leveraging the better-than-expected operational performance of the Cauchari-Olaroz project, the 5,000-ton-per-year DLE plant will continue to be built, with the first unit to be deployed at Ganfeng Lithium's adjacent Mariana project for technology integration and operational validation. The Stage 2 expansion plan, incorporating DLE technology, is expected to be completed by mid-2026. The application for the Large Investment Incentive Regime (RIGI) and the environmental permit for the Stage 2 project were both submitted in December 2025. PPG Project: Three-phase integrated development, with a total target capacity of 150,000 tonnes/year LCE PPG is expected to have an annual capacity of 25,000 tonnes when it begins production in 2029, subsequently increasing to 50,000 tonnes in 2031, 100,000 tonnes in 2034, and reaching the design capacity of 150,000 tonnes/year in 2038. The detailed preliminary study was completed in December 2025. Based on the assumption of a lithium carbonate price of US$18,000/tonne, the project's after-tax net present value (at an 8% discount rate) is US$8.1 billion, with an internal rate of return (IRR) of 33%. Phase 1 environmental permit was obtained in November 2025, and the RIGI application was submitted in February 2026. Integration of the new joint venture company for the PPG project has been largely completed, with the closing expected in the second quarter of 2026. Ganfeng Lithium and Lithium Argentina are in discussions with potential customers and strategic partners on financing solutions, while simultaneously advancing offtake and minority equity cooperation. The company is considering applying for a secondary listing on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) or the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX), to broaden its investor base in the Asia-Pacific region while maintaining its listing on the New York Stock Exchange. Source: Lithium Argentina official website, compiled by SMM

India will engage with Argentina, Indonesia, and Oman next month to secure supplies of critical steelmaking raw materials. Discussions will occur during a major international steel summit in India. The focus includes coking coal, iron ore, lithium, and ferronickel. Indonesia, possessing the world's largest nickel reserves, is targeted as a key supplier of ferronickel for stainless steel. Meanwhile, Oman provides iron ore, and Argentina is a target for lithium and other critical minerals to support state-run NMDC Limited. This initiative aligns with India's strategy to ensure steady raw material supplies to scale up domestic steel production and advance its clean energy transition.

Zijin Mining's 2025 annual report sent a clear industry signal: its lithium business has officially moved from strategic reserve to the stage of scaled monetization.

On 30 March, India is scheduled to participate in consultations with Argentina, Indonesia, and Oman at an upcoming steel industry conference to discuss raw materials including iron ore and coking coal, with a focus on fostering technical cooperation. Oman and Brazil remain India's primary sources of iron ore imports. For the fiscal year 2025/26, India’s iron ore imports are projected to reach between 12 and 14 million tones—its highest level in seven years—with approximately 70% sourced from Brazil and Oman.

On March 16, 2026, Xi'an Lanshen New Material Technology Co., Ltd. announced the formal termination of the "Sales Contract for a 3,000 Tons/Year Battery-Grade Lithium Carbonate Extraction Plant" signed with HANACOLLA S.A. from Argentina. The core reason for this contract termination was a change in the overall project planning. Given that the "Sales Contract" was still within its validity period and partially fulfilled, the two parties reached an agreement after friendly negotiations. According to the signed "Termination Agreement," the original sales contract will be terminated from the date of the agreement's signing.

[CleanTech Is About to Sign a 40-Year Operating Contract With the Chilean Government for the Laguna Verde Lithium Project] CleanTech Lithium, an Anglo-Australian company, is about to sign a 40-year contract with the Chilean government to develop the Laguna Verde lithium project in the Atacama Region, enabling it to advance extraction of this mineral at one of the salt lakes opened to the private sector. After reaching agreement with the Ministry of Mining on the terms of the Special Lithium Operating Contract (CEOL), Chile’s Office of the Comptroller General is now expected to approve the document in Q2 2026. CleanTech, its subsidiary Atacama Salt Lakes, and minority shareholders that are among the consortium members established to advance the Laguna Verde project have begun celebrating this new phase, as it provides greater certainty for their investment. [Rio Tinto Begins Commercial Lithium Exports From the Rincon Project] Rio Tinto’s milestone achievement in commencing commercial lithium exports from the Rincon project marked a pivotal moment for the global lithium market. Miners are currently contending with the complex interplay of resource scarcity, geopolitical tensions, and the accelerating popularization of EVs. The traditional supply-chain dependencies that have defined battery materials sourcing for decades are being reshaped by new producers launching commercial operations in previously underexplored regions. These developments signify not merely a slight increase in capacity, but a fundamental shift in how critical minerals move from extraction sites to manufacturing hubs, with implications far beyond quarterly production data. Rio Tinto’s commercial lithium exports from the Rincon project reflected its prudent positioning in one of the world’s most fiercely contested mining regions for this mineral. Following the suspension of the Jadar project in Serbia in 2025, the company shipped 200 mt of battery-grade lithium carbonate from Buenos Aires to Shanghai in March 2026, marking the official start of operations at its core South American lithium asset. The timing of this market entry reflected broader industry dynamics across the Lithium Triangle. Argentina’s regulatory environment has increasingly favoured large-scale international mining operations. In addition, the Rincon project is located in Salta Province, placing Rio Tinto within a geographic cluster that contains significant global lithium resources across Argentina, Chile, and Bolivia. [The Geothermal Plant Behind Europe’s Lithium Push] The town of Landau in der Pfalz, near the French-German border, has long been at the heart of the local winemaking industry. The region is also home to the Upper Rhine Valley brine fields, which contain Europe’s largest lithium resources and have now made it a hub for Europe’s push to advance EV development. The planned integrated geothermal-lithium extraction plant forms part of renewable energy producer Vulcan Energy’s ambition to build a carbon-neutral EV supply chain in Europe. The project will use geothermal wells to extract lithium-rich brine from depths of up to 5 kilometers. The high-temperature brine will be pumped to the surface, where lithium will be extracted before being transported to a plant. There, the lithium will be converted through electrolysis into lithium hydroxide monohydrate (LHM). The brine will then be reinjected underground, while LHM will be delivered to offtakers, including automaker Stellantis, which owns automotive brands such as Citroen and Peugeot. [Liontown's Interim Loss Widens as It Bets on a Recovery in Lithium Prices] Australia's Liontown said on Thursday that its loss widened in H1 due to a non-cash accounting charge, and added that it is evaluating potential expansion options for its Kathleen Valley mine as lithium prices are expected to rise. The miner of this raw material used in EV batteries has been seeing an initial price recovery after nearly two years of weakness. Previously, EV adoption was slower than generally expected, resulting in oversupply. Liontown said in its December quarter report that prices improved, with the selling price reaching $900/mt, up 28% from the previous quarter. As its flagship project transitioned to underground mining, the company sold 190,000 mt of spodumene, a lithium raw material, in H1. Source: https://www.investing.com

Canadian miner First Quantum Minerals plans to invest about $5.25 billion in the Taca-Taca copper project in Argentina. The development is expected to create roughly 4,000 construction jobs and 2,000 long-term operational positions. Analysts say the project could become an important new source of global copper supply.

The PSJ Cobre Mendocino copper project has applied for Argentina’s Large Investment Incentive Regime (RIGI), with planned investment of around $630 million. If approved, it would become the first major metal mining project in Mendoza province. The development could strengthen Argentina’s position in global copper supply.

On February 12, 2026, the Argentine Ministry of Economy issued Notice No. 134 of 2026, making a negative final determination in the combined anti-dumping sunset review and changed circumstances review regarding aluminum plates originating in China, and decided to discontinue the anti-dumping measures on the products concerned. The products concerned specifically referred to 3 series non-alloy or alloy aluminum plates that complied with Article 681 of Argentina’s national IRAM standard, with specifications as follows: diameter greater than or equal to 60 mm and less than or equal to 1,000 mm, and thickness greater than or equal to 0.3 mm and less than or equal to 5 mm. The NCM codes for the products concerned were 7606.91.00 and 7606.92.00. The Notice took effect as of the date of issuance.

SMM March 2nd Report: On February 28, 2026, the US and Israel launched a large-scale military strike on Iran, which promptly announced the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. The geopolitical situation in the Middle East escalated sharply and fell into sustained turmoil. As a critical "chokepoint" for global energy transportation, the Strait of Hormuz handles about 30% of global seaborne oil trade. Its blockade directly led to a severe physical disruption in the global energy supply chain, causing international oil prices to surge dramatically, with shipping costs and insurance fees skyrocketing, significantly increasing uncertainty in the energy market. As a key raw material for prebaked anodes used in aluminum production, petcoke is expected to enter a state of supply tightens, cost surges, and quality disturbances under the influence of the geopolitical situation. This change will directly impact the stability of China's petcoke import system, while also substantially raising domestic prebaked anode production costs, creating a chain reaction in the downstream aluminum industry. In terms of the overall distribution of import sources, in 2025, regions and countries with high petcoke import dependency in China showed a tiered characteristic. The first tier, centered around the US and Russia, saw the US accounting for 31%, making it the largest source of petcoke imports for China; Russia followed closely with 17%, together contributing nearly half of the total imports. The second tier was the Middle East, collectively accounting for 15%, serving as an important supplementary segment for China's petcoke imports. Other import sources were more dispersed, with Canada and Brazil each at 5%, and Argentina, Colombia, and Taiwan, China, each at 4%. This diversification of smaller sources enriched China's petcoke import supply system, but the influence of individual entities remained relatively limited. Notably, as a key supplementary sector for China's petcoke imports, the highly concentrated internal supply structure of the Middle East became the core reason for the impact of the deteriorating geopolitical situation on China's import market. In detail, the supply landscape of the Middle East exhibited a "dominance by one, supplemented by a few" feature: Saudi Arabia, with a 64% share, held an absolute dominant position, being the core exporter of petcoke from the Middle East to China; Oman ranked second with 22%; Kuwait accounted for 12%, with other regions providing only minor supplements. In terms of imported product specifications, petcoke from the Middle East mainly consisted of medium- to high-sulfur varieties, with different source countries focusing on specific types: petcoke from Saudi Arabia primarily included high-sulfur sponge coke and high-sulfur shot coke, from Oman mainly shot coke, and from Kuwait mainly medium-sulfur sponge coke. These types of petcoke are primarily used for blending in the production of prebaked anodes, serving as a crucial raw material supplement for the domestic prebaked anode industry. The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has a multi-dimensional impact on the petroleum coke market: On one hand, the blockade leads to a complete halt in the export of Middle Eastern petroleum coke, significantly reducing the international circulation of petroleum coke. The arrival cycle for petroleum coke imported by China from the Middle East is notably extended, directly exacerbating the tightness of domestic import supply. On the other hand, some refineries in the region are affected by military conflicts, limiting their production activities and further contracting the overall supply of petroleum coke, creating a dual squeeze on the supply side. Meanwhile, the surge in international oil prices drives up the production costs of petroleum coke from refinery delayed coking units, providing a solid bottom support for petroleum coke prices. Coupled with the sharp rise in international shipping freight and war risk insurance premiums, these factors collectively push petroleum coke prices into a more likely to rise than fall trajectory. In summary, this geopolitical conflict in the Middle East is a significant external shock to the 2026 petroleum coke-prebaked anode-aluminum industry chain. The triple pressures of supply tightening, cost surges, and quality disruptions will continue to be passed down: Petroleum coke prices will keep rising, pushing up the production costs of prebaked anodes, which in turn will elevate the production costs of aluminum. If the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz persists, the entire industry chain will gradually enter a phase characterized by high costs, low inventory, and strong fluctuations. Ensuring supply chain security and controlling enterprise costs will become the core challenges facing the industry.