[SMM Steel] The European Union is considering raising out-of-quota steel tariffs to 50% while cutting duty-free quotas to 18.3 million mt, with potential implementation from July 1, 2026. In the short term, this may reduce export volumes and increase costs for Vietnamese shipments, as the EU accounts for over 20% of Vietnam’s steel exports (~$1.4 billion in 2025). The tighter regime is likely to weaken competitiveness and force exporters to redirect cargoes to other markets.

According to SMM data, China’s average operating rate of zinc oxide stood at 38.88% in Q1 2026, down 3.98 percentage points year-on-year.What are the reasons behind this?

[SMM Daily Comment: Actual Transaction Center Still Declining, Market Taking a Wait-and-See Approach amid Macro Disturbances] April 13 — The SMM high-grade NPI upstream sentiment factor was 2.78, up 0.04 MoM, and the high-grade NPI downstream sentiment factor was 1.51, up 0.03 MoM.

On April 13, the SMM battery-grade nickel sulphate average price declined slightly.

SMM Nickel News, April 13: Macro and market news: (1) Trump: A blockade will be imposed on all ships attempting to transit the Strait of Hormuz, ships paying transit fees to Iran in international waters will be intercepted, and Iranian mines laid in the strait will be cleared. Apart from the nuclear issue, the US and Iran have "reached agreement on most issues." (2) According to US officials and informed sources, President Trump and his advisors are considering resuming limited military strikes against Iran while imposing a blockade on the Strait of Hormuz to break the deadlock in peace negotiations. Spot market: On April 13, SMM #1 refined nickel prices fell 400 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Spot premiums: Jinchuan #1 refined nickel averaged 3,350 yuan/mt, unchanged from the previous trading day; domestic mainstream brand electrodeposited nickel ranged from -400 to 400 yuan/mt. Futures market: The most-traded SHFE nickel 2605 contract moved sideways in the morning session, closing at 134,000 yuan/mt, up 0.43%. The most-traded SHFE nickel contract is expected to continue fluctuating within the 130,000-138,000 yuan/mt range, supported below by cost underpinning from rising ore and sulfur prices, and capped above by high global inventory (LME inventory above 280,000 mt, continued social inventory buildup in China) and sluggish downstream demand recovery.

[SMM Silicon-Based PV Morning Meeting Summary: Some Module Makers Looking to Hold Prices Firm, Silicon Metal in the Doldrums] Over the weekend, N-type recharging polysilicon was quoted at 34-36.5 yuan/kg. Weekend market prices remained temporarily stable. The market is currently approaching its lows, providing some price support, but the surplus remains significant, and downstream buyers still have a mindset to push for lower prices.