As of this Friday, SiMn 6517 (cash) was 5,650-5,700 yuan/mt in north China, flat WoW; in south China, SiMn 6517 (cash) was 5,700-5,750 yuan/mt, unchanged WoW from last Friday; south China SiMn 6014 (cash) was 5,350-5,400 yuan/mt, flat WoW. Recently, SiMn futures moved sideways in a weak trend, market sentiment was heavily cautious, prices fell, and futures prices were basically in sync with spot prices.

July 31 report: North China ports: 46% Australian lumps 40.5-41 yuan/mtu, down WoW; South African semi-carbonate 33.5-34 yuan/mtu, down WoW; Gabonese 38.3-38.7 yuan/mtu, down WoW; South African high-iron 28.8-29.3 yuan/mtu, down WoW; South African medium-iron 36-36.5 yuan/mtu, flat WoW. South China ports: 46% Australian lumps 42.9-43.4 yuan/mtu, flat WoW; South African semi-carbonate 36.5-37 yuan/mtu, down WoW; Gabonese 41.1-41.6 yuan/mtu, up WoW; South African high-iron 31.2-31.7 yuan/mtu, down WoW; South African medium-iron 38-38.5 yuan/mtu, flat WoW. Manganese ore prices continue to grind lower, end-use demand remains weak, and it is common for traders to sell at lower prices.

SMM July 31 news: This week, secondary crude lead prices drifted lower, and suppliers' willingness to sell was weak. The decline in lead prices intensified smelting losses, coupled with sluggish orders from downstream alloy enterprises, leading to lackluster procurement demand and sluggish market transactions. Suppliers of imported crude lead, whose profits fell short of expectations, chose to hold back from selling, and the currently arriving cargoes were mostly orders placed from May to July. It is expected that demand will be hard to improve next week, with secondary crude lead prices maintaining a subdued consolidation. Focus will be on tracking futures lead prices and smelters' production cut progress.

SMM July 31: This week, scrap battery market showed mixed performance. EV battery prices were mainly down, while prices for other categories remained largely stable. Only a few producers raised flooded battery prices during the week. Smelters' losses-driven push for lower prices and suppliers' holding back from selling formed a stalemate. Even when lead prices rebounded, it was difficult to transmit to the raw material side. Currently, battery enterprises showed weak purchasing enthusiasm. Secondary lead finished product inventories rose while operating rates declined, leading to limited demand for scrap batteries; It is expected that next week, waste lead-acid battery prices will continue to consolidate on a subdued note, with a possibility of lower buying prices. Tight supply will limit the decline. Keep monitoring lead prices and end-use consumption in August.

SMM, July 31: Views in the secondary refined lead market diverged further. Upstream suppliers held prices firm aggressively, while downstream enterprises called for price cuts and waited to purchase at lower levels. The price spread between secondary refined lead and primary lead narrowed, highlighting the purchasing advantage of primary lead. Price expectations between buyers and sellers differed widely, spot negotiations were at a stalemate, and overall market transactions remained sluggish. This week, mainstream transaction prices for secondary refined lead were at a discount of 75-0 yuan/mt against the SMM #1 lead average price. Meanwhile, scrap battery prices fell only slightly, widening the loss range for enterprises. As of July 31, 2026, the comprehensive theoretical profit/loss for large-scale secondary lead enterprises was -623 yuan/mt, while that for small and medium-sized secondary lead enterprises was -801 yuan/mt. If lead prices remain in the doldrums next week, the premium quotation range for spot orders of secondary refined lead against the SMM #1 lead average price will expand, and shipment volumes will continue to decline.

In the spot market, this week (July 27–31, 2026), SMM #1 lead prices continued to consolidate on a subdued note. The weekly average price fell 185 yuan/mt WoW, and the overall center moved lower. At month-end, downstream enterprises were less motivated to purchase, and some large enterprises met production needs solely through long-term contracts, with scant replenishment from spot orders. As lead prices dropped, maintenance and production cut plans among primary lead and secondary lead smelters increased, and suppliers' willingness to sell fell in tandem. In the spot market, transactions shifted from quotes at discounts to premiums compared to the start of the week. Specifically, mainstream electrolytic lead quotations were at premiums of 0–20 yuan/mt against the SMM #1 lead average price, ex-factory; secondary refined lead quotations were at premiums of 0–20 yuan/mt against the SMM #1 lead average price, with a few enterprises at a premium of 125 yuan/mt. The shift in the spot premium structure was mainly because smelters held back from selling at lower prices after the lead price fell, while suppliers actively shipped inventory to delivery warehouses, alleviating in-factory inventory pressure and tightening available supply in the market.

This week, the lead-acid battery market continued its off-season trend. Coupled with persistently weakening lead prices, risk-aversion sentiment ran high in the industry. Dealers purchased only as needed and remained cautious about expectations for the traditional peak season in August. Producer side, lead-acid battery enterprises maintained production cuts. Even as lead prices kept falling, downstream enterprises did not engage in concentrated bargain-hunting to build inventories. Some large enterprises met their production needs solely through long-term contracts, and spot market transactions remained sluggish.

It is learned that as of July 30, the in-factory inventory of major primary lead delivery brands stood at 24,400 mt, a decrease of 5,900 mt WoW. This week, production at primary lead smelters remained stable with a slight increase, while downstream enterprises were cautious in purchasing, and spot lead was generally traded at a discount, with the spread between futures and spot prices around 150-200 yuan/mt. Some suppliers shifted inventories to delivery warehouses, helping to ease in-factory inventory pressure on smelters. Next week, as we enter August and a new round of futures delivery approaches, with lead prices continuing to consolidate at lows, suppliers will still mainly focus on hedging and delivery. It is expected that more in-factory lead ingots will be transferred to delivery warehouses.

It is learned that this week (July 24 – July 30, 2026), the combined operating rate of primary lead smelters in three provinces was 67.02%, an increase of 0.25 percentage points WoW. The operating rate of primary lead enterprises edged up slightly this week, mainly due to the resumption of normal production at a medium-sized lead smelter in Hunan. Next week, maintenance at some small and medium-sized enterprises in Yunnan is about to end, and their production recovery progress will be monitored; some smelters in Hunan will gradually enter maintenance, which is expected to bring a certain reduction. In addition, a smelter in Inner Mongolia also plans to conduct maintenance in late August. Attention will be paid to the subsequent maintenance and production resumption progress of primary lead smelters.

[SMM Stainless Steel Scrap Market Weekly Review] Cost Advantages Underpin Stainless Steel Scrap Market, End-Use Demand Weakness Restrains Short-Term Upside Room This week, 304 stainless steel scrap off-cuts prices in east China were flat, with a quotation range of 10,400-10,500 yuan/mt; in the Foshan area, 304 stainless steel scrap off-cuts prices remained stable in tandem, within a price range of 10,300-10,600 yuan/mt. From a raw material cost analysis perspective, the current cost of producing stainless steel entirely with stainless steel scrap is about 14,607.48 yuan/mt, while that with high-grade NPI is as high as 14,995.22 yuan/mt, with the two maintaining a stable cost price spread. This week, stainless steel scrap prices remained generally stable. During the week, SS futures showed a consolidation pattern of first declining and then rising, and the fluctuations in futures did not provide clear guidance for the spot market. Stainless steel product spot prices consolidated in tandem, with overall prices basically flat compared to last week. At month-end, stainless steel mills initiated a tender for high-grade NPI procurement, driving NPI prices to rebound slightly, but the extent of the increase was relatively limited, and the upward support from the raw material side was weak, keeping the overall stainless steel scrap market stable. Along with the slight recovery in high-grade NPI prices, the cost advantage of stainless steel scrap relative to it has increased, further highlighting its cost substitution competitiveness and forming solid bottom support for scrap prices. Overall, costs and expectations provided support, but end-use fundamentals continued to suppress the market's upward trend. As some stainless steel mills gradually wrap up previous production cuts and maintenance, the market expects stainless steel production to rebound in August, corresponding rigid demand for stainless steel scrap is expected to increase, combined with the current scrap...