This week, spot lithium carbonate prices moved sideways, with the center edging slightly lower. At the start of the week (March 9), prices dropped slightly, then fluctuated upward over the following two days, before turning lower again on Thursday (March 12). The weekly average price center of SMM battery-grade lithium carbonate shifted lower WoW. Futures moved wildly, with prices of the most-traded contract posting wide swings between 142,000 yuan/mt and 167,300 yuan/mt. Market transactions were marked by a stalemate of "upstream reluctance to sell, downstream caution." Upstream lithium chemical plants generally showed weak willingness to sell spot orders, with a sentiment of holding back sales and holding prices firm throughout the week, and only a few enterprises made limited shipments when prices surged. Downstream material plants maintained a strategy of buying the dip. When futures prices quickly fell to relatively low levels, purchase willingness among some enterprises increased somewhat; however, after prices rose, they quickly turned cautious again, with insufficient willingness to chase higher prices. Overall, inquiry activity was moderate, but actual transactions were slightly sluggish. Looking ahead, the market is expected to remain in the doldrums in the short term. Upstream lithium chemical plants' reluctance to sell provided some support to prices, but downstream purchase willingness remained weak, lacking sustained demand boost. Against a backdrop of cooling futures market sentiment and declining open interest, prices lacked momentum to rise, while downside was constrained by costs and support from reluctance to sell. Lithium carbonate prices are expected to fluctuate in the short term.
Mar 12, 2026 17:03[Information on Angang and Bensteel Group's Product Price Policy Adjustments for April 2026] Angang's product price policy for April 2026 was adjusted as follows based on the product price policy for March 2026: 1. Hot-rolled: raised by 200 yuan/mt. 2. Pickling: raised by 200 yuan/mt. 3. Cold-rolled: raised by 200 yuan/mt. Automotive steel was raised by 200 yuan/mt. In addition, Angangshen high-strength wire in the 590 MPa, 780 MPa, 980 MPa, and 1180 MPa grades was raised by 200 yuan/mt. 4. Cold-hard: raised by 200 yuan/mt. 5. Galvanizing: raised by 200 yuan/mt. 6. Non-oriented silicon steel: raised by 200 yuan/mt. 7. Color-coated: raised by 100 yuan/mt. 8. Medium-thickness plates: raised by 200 yuan/mt. 9. Wire rod: raised by 200 yuan/mt. 10. Rebar: raised by 200 yuan/mt. 11. Alloy surcharge: please refer to the price list for details. Angang Co., Ltd. Marketing Center Mar 2026 Bensteel Group's product price policy for April 2026 was adjusted as follows based on the product price policy for March 2026: 1. Hot-rolled: raised by 200 yuan/mt. 2. Pickling: raised by 200 yuan/mt. 3. Cold-rolled: raised by 200 yuan/mt. Automotive steel was raised by 200 yuan/mt. 4. Cold-hard: raised by 200 yuan/mt. 5. Galvanizing: raised by 200 yuan/mt. 6. Electrogalvanization: raised by 200 yuan/mt. 7. Non-oriented silicon steel: raised by 200 yuan/mt. 8. Wire rod: raised by 200 yuan/mt. 9. Rebar: raised by 200 yuan/mt. 10. Special steel: raised by 200 yuan/mt. 11. Alloy surcharge: please refer to the price list for details. Bensteel Group Sheets & Plates Marketing Center, Beiying Operation Center Mar 2026
Mar 12, 2026 09:04Futures: Overnight, LME lead opened at $1,940.5/mt. It held up well during the Asian session and touched a high of $1,949/mt. After entering the European session, it fluctuated downward and fell to a low of $1,932.5/mt, then edged up slightly to recover part of the losses, finally closing at $1,938.5/mt, down $6.5/mt, a decline of 0.33%. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE lead contract opened at 16,645 yuan/mt. After falling at the beginning of the session to a low of 16,600 yuan/mt, it rebounded to a high of 16,665 yuan/mt, then weakened slightly and finally closed at 16,655 yuan/mt, up 5 yuan/mt from the previous day, an increase of 0.03%. US core inflation in February unexpectedly slowed, offering slight relief to price pressures before the outbreak of the Iran war. However, as the US and Israel jointly struck Iran and the Strait of Hormuz was closed, international oil prices surged sharply, pushing up the costs of petroleum, gasoline, and fertilizers. The market generally believed that inflation would rebound in March. After the data release, the probability that the US Fed would keep interest rates unchanged next week was as high as 99.4%, while inflation concerns triggered by the war were further delaying the market's expectations for interest rate cuts within the year. MIIT: The "Industrial Data Foundation Action" was officially launched, focusing on breaking through bottlenecks in the "collection," "aggregation," and "application" of industrial data. The action will carry out pilot efforts in building high-quality industry datasets for AI empowerment, with the goal of fostering a number of industry data cooperation consortiums by the end of 2026, creating trusted interconnection platforms for data in key industries, and establishing four major resource banks including industry data and technological research. Spot Fundamentals: In the Shanghai market, Chihong lead was quoted at discounts of 80~0 yuan/mt against the SHFE lead 2604 contract. SHFE lead remained in the doldrums, and its center moved lower. In addition, as some suppliers transferred cargo to delivery warehouses, circulating supply decreased slightly, and some suppliers intended to narrow their quoted discounts. Mainstream producing areas quoted ex-factory prices at discounts of 25 yuan/mt to premiums of 25 yuan/mt against the SMM #1 lead average price. Meanwhile, supply in the secondary lead market was limited, with little circulating cargo available. Smelters held prices firm on shipments, and secondary refined lead was quoted ex-factory around parity against the SMM #1 lead average price. In addition, downstream enterprises maintained purchasing as needed, with some intending to purchase on dips. Enquiry sentiment improved slightly, but spot order market transactions had yet to show significant improvement. In terms of inventory, as of March 11, LME lead inventory stood at 284,875 mt, unchanged again from the previous day; as of March 9, SMM social inventory of lead ingot across five regions continued to accumulate. Lead Price Forecast for Today: As the delivery of the front-month contract approaches, the spot-futures price spread for refined lead spot has made delivery warehouse shipments profitable in the short term. Coupled with increased supply from the resumption of production at some primary lead smelters in Hunan and the arrival of imported lead cargoes, expectations that social inventory of refined lead will continue to build up are expected to become more evident. Secondary refined lead, upstream enterprises showed low willingness to make shipments. Due to firm scrap battery prices, smelters maintained offers with hold prices firm and reluctance to sell, while the downstream preference for just-in-time procurement of primary lead has not yet improved. Although both supply and demand in the lead market increased in early March, supply growth may precede the recovery in consumption. In the short term, lead market fundamentals remained weak, and lead prices were expected to continue a fluctuating trend in the doldrums. Data source statement: Except for public information, all other data is processed and derived by SMM based on public information, market communication, and SMM's internal database models, and is for reference only and does not constitute decision-making advice
Mar 12, 2026 08:59[SMM Morning Meeting Summary: Sticky US Inflation Persisted, and the Center of LME Zinc Moved Lower] Overnight, LME zinc opened at $3,313/mt. In early trading, LME zinc maintained a fluctuating trend and touched a high of $3,352/mt. Entering the European trading session, LME zinc quickly fell to a low of $3,296.5/mt. In the night session, LME zinc gradually recovered its losses and fluctuated upward, hovering near the daily average line, before closing down at $3,315.5/mt, down $26.5/mt, or 0.79%. Trading volume decreased to 91,642 lots, and open interest increased by 494 lots to 217,000 lots.
Mar 12, 2026 08:53◼ At the beginning of 2026, Musk’s SpaceX plan for 100 GW of annual space PV capacity ignited the A-share market, with multiple concept stocks rising by more than 30 in a single month. At the same time, however, earnings previews from leading PV companies generally showed losses for 2025, and industry fundamentals remained in a deep winter. Behind the stark divergence between the speculative frenzy around the Musk-SpaceX concept and the earnings trough, is the market overly expecting a “second growth curve,” or is this a genuine signal of industrial transformation? ◼ As the global PV industry moves from rapid expansion into a new stage of rational development, its value has gone beyond that of clean energy alone: Against the backdrop of explosive growth in AI computing power driving massive electricity demand, compounded by energy security anxiety triggered by geopolitical conflict in the Middle East, developing PV may become a core strategic choice for countries to achieve their “dual-carbon” goals, build autonomous and controllable energy systems, and reduce electricity costs for end-users. ◼ Since the escalation of the U.S.-Iran conflict at the end of February, the world’s four major benchmark crude oil prices have entered a rapid upward trajectory. Before the outbreak of the conflict, oil prices had remained broadly stable; however, starting on March 2, as the fighting expanded and spread to the Persian Gulf, oil prices immediately entered a sharp uptrend. Note: Shanghai crude oil prices are converted based on the settlement-date exchange rate of 1:0.15. Source: Public information, SMM. ◼ Although the impact borne by different regions varies due to differences in energy mix, geopolitical location, and policy response, the surge in imported crude oil costs driving a broad rise in energy prices has become a common challenge facing all countries. Europe is a case in point. Although Europe’s direct dependence on Middle Eastern crude oil was not high, at only about 5 according to data from energy market intelligence firm Kpler, it remained highly dependent on the region for refined products such as diesel and aviation kerosene, as well as liquefied natural gas. Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz caused by the conflict directly pushed up Europe’s terminal energy prices—fuel prices at gas stations across the region surged, and natural gas prices broke above EUR 60 per megawatt hour on the 9th, reaching a new high since 2022. The continued rise in energy prices is bound to transmit into broader areas of the economy, increasing overall inflationary pressure and once again underscoring the importance of building secure and controllable energy systems. Accelerating the Clean Transition of the Global Energy Mix, the PV Industry Advances Toward High-Quality Development ◼ The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts that, despite economic pressure, global electricity demand momentum remains strong in 2025, with growth rates in 2025 and 2026 expected to be 3.3% and 3.7%, respectively. Data from 2020 to 2025 showed that the global power market followed a trajectory of continued overall growth alongside structural transition toward cleaner energy , with the share of renewable energy sources such as solar rising significantly, although fossil fuels still accounted for the dominant share. ◼ According to the IEA’s Net Zero Emissions Scenario, solar power’s share in the energy mix is expected to rise from less than 2% at present to 12% in 2035 and 28% in 2050. This means PV installations are still far from reaching their ceiling, with substantial room for future growth. ◼ The past five years marked a critical period in which the global PV market shifted from rapid expansion toward rational development. The IEA forecasts that total global new PV installations over the next five years will reach about 3.68 TW, accounting for nearly 80% of new renewable energy additions over the same period, and are expected to become the world’s largest renewable energy source by the end of 2030. This is mainly due to its widening economic advantages—by 2024, the cost of solar PV power generation had already fallen 41% below the cheapest fossil fuel alternative, and these cost advantages are driving rapid growth in both PV installations and power generation share. Source: IEA, public information, SMM. ◼ As a key carrier of PV installations, especially the backbone of utility-scale power plants, solar panel mounting bracket installations are expected to maintain annual average growth of 5%-6% alongside installation growth. Specifically, to achieve annual average new PV installations of 500-600 GW, corresponding module demand is estimated at about 550-700 GW based on the capacity ratio. Assuming a conventional 1:1 module-to-bracket configuration, the annual average installation scale of brackets required for utility-scale PV plants alone would reach at least 250-300 GW. Source: public information, SMM. Escalating Challenges Reshape the Development Logic of the Global PV Market ◼ The PV industry is undergoing resonating internal and external pressures. Internally, the global economic slowdown has become intertwined with social issues, while the industry itself has entered a rational development stage after rapid expansion, making slower installation growth a certain trend. Externally, global trade frictions continue to intensify, with the US, Europe, and other regions erecting nearly insurmountable cost gaps through barriers such as anti-dumping and countervailing duties as well as local content requirements. Challenge 1: Global Trade Frictions and Escalating Trade Barriers ◼ In recent years, countries have introduced a series of policies to build PV trade barriers and reshape the global competitive landscape of the industry. The US imposed “double anti-” duties of as much as 3,403.96% on PV products from four Southeast Asian countries, South Africa raised module tariffs to 10%, and Brazil increased out-of-quota tariffs sharply from 9.6% to 25% through a quota system. Market access requirements for PV in India and Türkiye have also become increasingly stringent. Meanwhile, new supply chain control rules represented by the EU’s Net-Zero Industry Act (NZIA) have extended trade barriers deeper into the industry chain. By setting red lines on “third-country dependence,” they have established quantitative standards for supply chain restructuring. This series of changes has reshaped the competitive dimensions of the international PV industry and significantly raised the threshold for PV product imports and exports. Source: public information, SMM. Challenge 2: New Dynamics in the PV Market, with Incentive and Restrictive Policies Coexisting Source: public information, SMM. Outside China Enterprises Pursue Multi-Dimensional Breakthroughs Through Internal and External Efforts ◼ The practices of solar panel mounting bracket enterprises in the US, India, and other countries show that the key to coping with policy shifts overseas lies in combining “service-oriented” and “high-value” strategies. First, vertically extending from single-equipment sales to a service ecosystem covering the entire life cycle. Second, deepening horizontally by continuously optimizing business structure and extracting value from higher value-added segments. Solution 1: Launch Dedicated Plans Closely Aligned with Government Policies and Local Demand ◼ The global PV industry has now entered a new stage deeply reshaped by both market forces and policy. The growth logic of enterprises is shifting from the past single dimension of relying on technology iteration and cost declines to multi-dimensional competition closely integrating complex policy environments with localized demand. Against this backdrop, the key to corporate success lies in accurately interpreting policy intentions and launching development plans aligned with both market and policy. Tata Power Renewable Energy Limited (TPREL) precisely aligned with India’s “PM Surya Ghar: Muft Bijli Yojana” and launched the dedicated “solar for every home” plan while continuing to provide customized PV solutions. In Q1 FY2026, it added 220 MW of new rooftop PV installations, surging 416% YoY. TPREL also actively responded to local manufacturing policies by establishing 4.3 GW of solar cell and module capacity, ensuring supply while avoiding import tariffs. Through the synergy of “policy response + local capacity + customized services,” TPREL has effectively translated policy dividends into market competitiveness and steadily consolidated its leading position in India’s PV market. Solution 2: Use Acquisitions as a Link to Integrate Resources and Extend from Single Products to the Entire Industry Chain ◼ Competition in the global PV industry has fully escalated into a contest of entire industry chain system integration capabilities, and enterprises’ growth engines are shifting from past reliance on advantages in a single segment to a new model of providing integrated solutions through resource integration. In 2025, Nextracker used acquisitions as the core to integrate resources across the full chain, successively acquiring foundation engineering firms such as Solar Pile International and Ojjo, module supporting firms such as Origami Solar, and electrical system firms such as Bentek, thereby building a full-chain product matrix spanning structural, electrical, and digital solutions. Its performance continued to surge, with revenue rising from $1.9 billion in FY2023 to $3.4 billion in the trailing twelve months ended September 2025. It ultimately announced its transformation into a comprehensive energy solutions provider by renaming itself Nextpower, targeting revenue of more than $5.6 billion in FY2030. This strategy enabled its successful transformation from a single-product supplier into an entire industry chain service provider, solidifying its leading position in the global market. Solution 3: Optimize Business Structure ◼ Trade protectionism in the current PV market continues to intensify, with various trade barriers being layered on one after another. In response to this challenge, PV enterprises can achieve the dual objectives of “compliant operations” and “market retention” through business structure optimization. To avoid the equity constraints on FEOC under the US OBBB Act, Canadian Solar Inc. initiated a US business restructuring with its controlling shareholder CSIQ: it established two new joint ventures to separately manage PV and energy storage businesses, with its own stake set at 24.9% to precisely meet compliance requirements. At the same time, it transferred out 75.1% equity in three overseas plants supplying the US market, receiving a one-off consideration of 352 million yuan. This move enabled Canadian Solar Inc. to retain earnings from the US market through dividends and rental income. In the first three quarters of 2025, it achieved net profit of 990 million yuan, while large-scale energy storage shipments rose 32% YoY. After the adjustment, it focused on strengthening its advantages in non-US markets and successfully stabilized its global business layout with a compliant structure, providing a typical model for the industry in addressing trade barriers. ◼ For Chinese enterprises, in the face of trade frictions and overseas capacity gaps, they need to break through via three paths—“building plants near core markets, reducing costs and improving efficiency through technological innovation, and coordinating both within and outside the industry chain”— by pursuing localized deployment in Southeast Asia, Mexico, and other regions to avoid frequent trade frictions; promoting standardized production and high-end product R&D to enhance competitiveness; and building a “China + overseas” dual-circulation supply chain to stabilize costs. However, overseas expansion still faces challenges such as land and environmental protection costs, talent shortages, and supply chain fluctuations, requiring enterprises to conduct sound risk assessments, leverage policy support, and improve overseas investment service systems. Only by deeply integrating scientific capacity deployment, technological innovation, and industry chain coordination can the mounting bracket industry upgrade from “Made in China” to “Globally Intelligent Manufacturing” and achieve long-term development under the “dual carbon” goals. New Requirements Under the 15th Five-Year Plan, New Topics for PV Enterprises ◼ In a global market full of uncertainties, the consistency and strength of domestic policy have provided fertile ground for the growth of China’s solar panel mounting bracket enterprises. The newly released 15th Five-Year Plan further clarified China’s path for energy and industrial development. On the one hand, the construction of a new-type power system centered on consumption capacity has been listed as a priority task, and green manufacturing and full life cycle management have been formally incorporated into the assessment system. On the other hand, technological self-reliance and self-strengthening together with new quality productive forces have replaced scale competition as the main line of the new development stage. This series of changes signals that the country is driving a profound shift from “competing on capacity” to “competing on system value,” with the core goal of achieving autonomous and controllable energy structure. It is estimated that after the Two Sessions, various departments will successively roll out detailed plans to promote the full implementation of the blueprint. ◼ Key implementation measures include: 1) establishing a “dual controls” system for total carbon emissions and carbon intensity, while improving incentive and restraint mechanisms; 2) vigorously developing non-fossil energy and promoting the efficient use of fossil energy, while strengthening the construction of a new-type power system to ensure stable supply of green electricity; 3) applying both “addition and subtraction” by fostering green and low-carbon industries and promoting energy conservation and carbon reduction in key industry; 4) in addition, accelerating the green transformation of production and lifestyles to consolidate the foundation for green development. ◼ From the perspective of regional development layout, during the 15th Five-Year Plan period, China’s PV industry will show characteristics of regional coordination: north-west China will become the strategic focus by virtue of its natural endowments, exporting electricity through cross-provincial green electricity trading and other means to achieve two-way matching between energy resources and power load; eastern regions, by contrast, will focus on local consumption by high-energy-consuming industries and zero-carbon industrial parks. Source: public information, SMM. ◼ SMM forecasts that China’s new PV installations are expected to reach 208 GW in 2025 and continue growing at an annual average rate of 9% over the next five years, exceeding 292 GW by the end of the 15th Five-Year Plan period. Utility-scale PV will remain dominant, with its installation share staying above 50%. Based on the same logic, we estimate that China’s PV installation market will maintain annual incremental growth of at least 100-120 GW. Source: public information, SMM. ◼ Focusing on China’s steel consumption market for solar panel mounting brackets, SMM estimates that annual steel consumption in China’s PV mounting bracket sector will average about 4-4.5 million mt from 2026 to 2030, accounting for about 30% of total steel consumption in the PV industry over the same period (based on 2026 data). Note: only installation demand for utility-scale PV mounting brackets is included, excluding distributed steel structures, replacement from existing asset depreciation, and exports. Source: public information, SMM. SMM Ferrous Consulting Based on its understanding of the global steel industry chain and regional markets, as well as its strong industry database and network resources, SMM is committed to providing clients with consulting services across the upstream, midstream, and downstream industry chain. Services include market supply and demand research and forecasts, market entry strategies, competitor cost research, and more, covering end-use industry from iron ore, coal, coke, and steel. SMM Ferrous has successfully served more than 300 Fortune Global 500 companies, China Top 500 companies, central state-owned enterprises, state-owned enterprises, publicly listed firms, and start-ups. Data Source Statement: Except for public information, all other data are processed and derived by SMM based on public information, market communication, and SMM’s internal database models, and are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making advice. *This report is an original work and/or compilation work exclusively created by SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as “SMM”), over which SMM lawfully enjoys copyright, protected by the Copyright Law of the People’s Republic of China and other applicable laws, regulations, and international treaties. Without written permission, it may not be reproduced, modified, sold, transferred, displayed, translated, compiled, disseminated, or otherwise disclosed to any third party or licensed to any third party for use in any form. Otherwise, upon discovery, SMM will pursue legal liability for infringement by legal means, including but not limited to claims for breach of contract liability, disgorgement of unjust enrichment, and compensation for direct and indirect economic losses. All content contained in this report, including but not limited to news, articles, data, charts, images, audio, video, logos, advertisements, trademarks, trade names, domain names, layout designs, and any or all other information, is protected by the Copyright Law of the People's Republic of China, the Trademark Law of the People's Republic of China, the Anti-Unfair Competition Law of the People's Republic of China, and other relevant laws and regulations, as well as applicable international treaties relating to copyright, trademark rights, domain name rights, proprietary rights in commercial data and information, and other rights, and is owned or held by SMM and its relevant rights holders. Without prior written permission, no organization or individual may reproduce, modify, use, sell, transfer, display, translate, compile, disseminate, or otherwise disclose the above content to any third party or permit any third party to use it in any form whatsoever. Otherwise, upon discovery, SMM will pursue legal action to hold the infringing party liable, including but not limited to requiring the assumption of liability for breach of contract, disgorgement of unjust enrichment, and compensation for direct and indirect economic losses. The English translation of the above text is:
Mar 12, 2026 14:16Weekly Survey of Rolling Lines in Central China: This Period Still Saw Concentrated Production Resumptions at EAF Steel Mills, and Central China Construction Steel Production Rose Steadily
Mar 10, 2026 11:11Platinum prices surged sharply intraday. The most-traded PT2606 contract on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange opened at 560 yuan/gram in the morning session, then held up well, with the peak gain exceeding 6%. It eventually closed the morning session at 565.1 yuan/gram, up 4.74%. In the spot market, spot platinum was quoted at a discount of 9–12 yuan/gram against PT2606, or at a discount of 1–4 yuan/gram against the Shanghai Gold Exchange’s Sell 1. Spot discounts widened compared with the previous trading day. As for spot transactions, according to SMM, the notable intraday rise in platinum prices led downstream enterprises to mostly stay on the sidelines and temporarily suspend purchases. Some traders holding cargo said the bid-ask spread was wide, making deals difficult to conclude, and spot market trading turned weaker than yesterday.
Mar 10, 2026 12:06SMM Morning Meeting Minutes: Overnight, LME copper opened at $12,794.5/mt. After dipping to $12,734/mt in early trading, its center rose throughout the session, touching a high of $12,968.5/mt near the close, and finally settled at $12,919/mt, up 0.39%. Trading volume rose to 31,000 lots, an increase of 6,518 lots from the previous trading day; open interest rose to 303,000 lots, down 5,089 lots from the previous trading day, mainly reflecting bears reducing positions overall. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE copper 2604 contract opened at 100,230 yuan/mt. After bottoming at 100,050 yuan/mt in early trading, its center rose throughout the session, touching a high of 101,250 yuan/mt at the close, and finally settled at 101,160 yuan/mt, up 1.28%. Trading volume fell to 46,000 lots, down 148,000 lots from the previous trading day; open interest fell to 197,000 lots, down 3,094 lots from the previous trading day, mainly reflecting bears reducing positions overall.
Mar 10, 2026 09:16Futures: Overnight, LME lead opened at $1,934.5/mt and moved sideways around the daily average during the Asian session. Entering the European session, it briefly rose to test the $1,940/mt level before weakening again to a low of $1,930/mt. It then rebounded and recovered all losses, touching a high of $1,946/mt before the close and finally settling at $1,945/mt, up $14/mt, or 0.73%. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE lead contract gapped lower to open at 16,605 yuan/mt. Early in the session, supported by stronger LME lead, it climbed to a high of 16,680 yuan/mt before pulling back and consolidating above the intraday average. It edged up slightly before the close and eventually settled at 16,665 yuan/mt, down 25 yuan/mt from the previous day, or 0.15%. As shipping through the Strait of Hormuz was nearly at a standstill, production cuts by Middle Eastern oil-producing countries also kept escalating. Three sources familiar with the matter revealed that the Trump administration in the US had asked Israel to stop further airstrikes on Iran’s energy facilities, especially oil infrastructure. This was said to be the first time the US had clearly restrained Israeli military operations since the joint US-Israeli military action against Iran began. The US made this request partly because of concerns that it could push up global oil prices and trigger large-scale Iranian retaliation against energy infrastructure in the Gulf region. The 2026 draft report on central and local fiscal budgets clarified the total national defense expenditure budget, and Zhang Xiaogang introduced this year’s national defense spending arrangements. In 2026, the national general public budget arranged national defense expenditure of 194 billion yuan, up 6.9% from the previous year’s executed amount, of which central government spending was 191 billion yuan, up 7% from the previous year’s executed amount. Spot Fundamentals: In the Shanghai market, Chihong lead was quoted at discounts of 100-0 yuan/mt against the SHFE lead 2604 contract. SHFE lead remained in the doldrums, and with delivery approaching, some suppliers shifted cargoes to ship to delivery warehouse, reducing shipment pressure and relatively narrowing discounts. This was mainly reflected in primary lead smelter cargoes self-picked up from production site, with ex-works quotations in mainstream producing areas ranging from discounts of 50 yuan/mt to premiums of 75 yuan/mt against the SMM #1 lead average price. In addition, secondary lead smelters held prices firm in shipments, with secondary refined lead quoted ex-works around parity with the SMM #1 lead average price. As arrivals of imported lead increased, however, discounts on individual secondary refined lead quotations widened to 200 yuan/mt ex-works. Downstream enterprises bought the dip on demand, mainly purchasing primary lead, and transactions relatively improved. Inventory: As of March 10, LME lead inventory stood at 284,875 mt, flat from the previous day; as of March 9, SMM social inventory of lead ingot across five regions continued its accumulating trend. Lead Price Forecast for Today: Recently, downstream enterprises have still mainly been digesting inventories, with low enthusiasm for procurement and stockpiling. After lead ingot inventories accumulated at medium- and large-scale smelters in Henan and other regions, they were continuously transferred to social warehouses. For secondary refined lead, as scrap battery prices remained firm while lead prices were in the doldrums, smelters showed low enthusiasm for shipments and ramping up operating rates, and discounts in spot secondary refined lead quotations narrowed, with downstream just-in-time procurement tilting toward primary lead. In addition, secondary refined lead will enter delivery as substitutes, coupled with replenishment from imported lead, refined lead social inventory is expected to find it difficult to reverse the short-term trend of continued accumulation, and lead prices remain under pressure.
Mar 11, 2026 09:00[SMM Morning Meeting Summary: Macro Uncertainty Still Persists, LME Zinc Maintains Wide Swings] Overnight, LME zinc opened at $3,336.5/mt. In early trading, LME zinc fluctuated upward and touched an intraday high of $3,386/mt. Prices then pulled back to a low of $3,323.5/mt, before edging up slightly near the close to finish at $3,342/mt, up $16/mt, or 0.48%. Trading volume decreased to 98,167 lots, and open interest fell by 254 lots to 216,000 lots.
Mar 11, 2026 08:36