In May, under the strong leadership of the CPC Central Committee with Comrade Xi Jinping at its core, all regions and departments thoroughly implemented the decisions and arrangements of the CPC Central Committee and the State Council, adhered to the general principle of pursuing progress while ensuring stability, fully, accurately and comprehensively implemented the new development philosophy, accelerated the creation of a new development pattern, earnestly carried out more proactive macro policies, and effectively responded to external shocks and challenges. Production and supply rose steadily, employment and prices remained generally stable, the resilience of foreign trade continued to manifest, new driving forces grew stronger, and the national economy sustained a generally stable development trajectory with improvement and upgrading. Data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed that in May, the value added of industrial enterprises above designated size grew by 4.5% YoY in real terms, 0.4 percentage point faster than the previous month. On a MoM basis, the value added of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 0.40% from April. For January-May, it grew by 5.4% YoY. Value Added of Industrial Enterprises Above Designated Size Grew by 4.5% in May 2026 In May, the value added of industrial enterprises above designated size grew by 4.5% YoY in real terms (the real growth rates of value added are calculated after deducting price factors), 0.4 percentage point faster than the previous month. On a MoM basis, the value added of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 0.40% from April. From January to May, it rose by 5.4% YoY. By sector, in May, the value added of the mining industry grew by 2.3% YoY, manufacturing by 4.4%, and the production and supply of electricity, heat, gas and water by 7.6%. By ownership, in May, the value added of state-holding enterprises grew by 3.7% YoY; joint-stock enterprises by 5.2%, enterprises funded by foreign investors or investors from Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan by 1.9%; and private enterprises by 2.7%. By industry, in May, the value added of 28 out of the 41 major industries registered YoY growth. Among them, coal mining and washing grew by 3.5%, petroleum and natural gas extraction by 1.5%, agricultural and sideline food processing by 1.5%, wine, beverages and refined tea manufacturing fell by 2.7%, the textile industry grew by 2.6%, chemical raw materials and chemical products manufacturing by 0.3%, non-metallic mineral products fell by 5.6%, ferrous metals smelting and rolling processing grew by 1.6%, non-ferrous metals smelting and rolling processing fell by 4.5%, general equipment manufacturing grew by 6.7%, special equipment manufacturing by 9.1%, automobile manufacturing by 8.3%, railway, shipbuilding, aerospace and other transport equipment manufacturing by 7.4%, electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing by 4.7%, computer, communication and other electronic equipment manufacturing by 17.0%, and electricity and heat production and supply by 8.7%. By product, in May, among the 626 products of industrial enterprises above designated size, 300 saw YoY output growth. Specifically, steel output was 123.03 million mt, down 2.8% YoY; cement 149.91 million mt, down 8.1%; ten non-ferrous metals 6.98 million mt, up 2.2%; ethylene 3.38 million mt, up 2.1%; automobiles 2.582 million units, down 3.2%, of which NEVs 1.489 million units, up 17.8%; power generation 784.3 billion kWh, up 4.2%; crude oil processing volume 53.72 million mt, down 9.1%. In May, the product sales ratio of industrial enterprises above designated size was 96.0%, down 0.1 percentage point YoY; the export delivery value of industrial enterprises above designated size reached 1,388.4 billion yuan, a nominal YoY increase of 10.1%. In May, National Economy Operated Generally Stable, with New and Quality Development In May, under the strong leadership of the CPC Central Committee with Comrade Xi Jinping at its core, all regions and departments earnestly implemented the decisions and plans of the CPC Central Committee and the State Council, adhered to the general principle of pursuing progress while ensuring stability, fully and faithfully applied the new development philosophy, accelerated the creation of a new development pattern, effectively implemented more proactive macro policies, and effectively responded to external shocks and challenges. Production supply was stable with an upward trend, employment and prices were generally stable, the resilience of foreign trade continued to be demonstrated, and new growth drivers grew stronger. The national economy continued its development trend of overall stability with new and quality improvements. 1. Industrial Production Accelerated, with Equipment and High-Tech Manufacturing Growing Rapidly In May, the value added of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 4.5% YoY, 0.4 percentage points faster than the previous month; it grew 0.40% MoM. By the three major categories, the value added of mining grew 2.3% YoY, manufacturing grew 4.4%, and production and supply of electricity, heat, gas, and water grew 7.6%. The value added of equipment manufacturing grew 9.5% YoY, and high-tech manufacturing grew 15.1%, accelerating by 1.2 and 2.3 percentage points respectively from the previous month. By type of ownership, the value added of state-controlled enterprises grew 3.7% YoY; joint-stock enterprises grew 5.2%, foreign, Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan invested enterprises grew 1.9%; private enterprises grew 2.7%. By product, the output of 3D printing equipment, lithium-ion batteries, and industrial robots grew 54.4%, 40.0%, and 27.9% YoY respectively. In the January-May period, the value added of industrial enterprises above designated size grew 5.4% YoY. In May, the manufacturing PMI was 50.0%, and the index of enterprise production and operation expectations was 53.9%. In the first four months, the total profits of industrial enterprises above designated size reached 2,435.8 billion yuan, up 18.2% YoY. II. Services Grew Steadily, Modern Services Developed Soundly In May, the national services production index grew 4.4% YoY, 0.1 percentage point faster than the previous month. By sector, the production indices of information transmission, software and IT services, leasing and business services, financial services, and transport, storage and postal services grew 11.3%, 10.9%, 7.0%, and 4.8% YoY, respectively. In January-May, the national services production index rose 4.8% YoY. In January-April, the operating revenue of service enterprises above the designated size increased 6.4% YoY. In May, the business activity index for services stood at 50.3%, and the business activity expectations index for services was 55.4%. Among them, the business activity indices for railway transport, telecommunications, radio and television, and satellite transmission services, and insurance were in the relatively high prosperity range of above 55.0%. III. Market Sales Maintained Growth, Service Retail Maintained Sound Momentum In January-May, total retail sales of consumer goods and services grew 2.8% YoY, with retail sales of services up 5.4% and retail sales of goods up 1.2%. In January-May, total retail sales of consumer goods reached 20,603.1 billion yuan, up 1.4% YoY. In January-May, nationwide online retail sales of goods and services reached 8,317.7 billion yuan, up 5.9% YoY, of which online retail sales of goods were 5,271.8 billion yuan, up 5.0%, and online retail sales of services were 3,045.9 billion yuan, up 7.6%. In May, total retail sales of consumer goods amounted to 4,109 billion yuan, down 0.6% YoY and down 0.38% MoM. By location of business establishments, retail sales of consumer goods in urban areas came in at 3,574.1 billion yuan, down 0.9% YoY; retail sales in rural areas were 534.9 billion yuan, up 1.5% YoY. By type of consumption, retail sales of goods stood at 3,648.5 billion yuan, down 0.7% YoY; catering revenue was 460.5 billion yuan, up 0.6% YoY. Sales of daily necessities and some upgraded goods maintained growth. Retail sales of beverages, clothing, footwear, hats and textiles, and cosmetics by enterprises above the designated size increased 6.1%, 3.8%, and 2.5% YoY, respectively. IV. Infrastructure Investment Maintained Growth, Investment in Intellectual Property Products Accelerated In January-May, national fixed-asset investment (excluding rural households) reached 17,851.2 billion yuan, down 4.1% YoY; excluding real estate development, fixed-asset investment fell 1.2%. Among this, investment in intellectual property products grew 9.3% YoY, 0.4 percentage points faster than in January-April. By sector, infrastructure investment rose 0.6% YoY, manufacturing investment fell 0.4%, and real estate development investment dropped 16.2%. The floor space of newly built commercial buildings sold nationwide was 313.2 million m², down 10.8% YoY; the sales value of newly built commercial buildings was 2,936.6 billion yuan, down 13.5% YoY. By industry, investment in the primary sector rose 5.9% YoY, investment in the secondary sector edged up 0.1% YoY, and investment in the tertiary sector fell 6.8% YoY. Private investment declined 7.1% YoY; excluding real estate development, private investment dropped 3.5% YoY. Investment in high-tech industries grew 4.5% YoY, with investment in computer and office equipment manufacturing, aviation and spacecraft and equipment manufacturing, and information services up 18.3%, 16.7%, and 13.8%, respectively. In May, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) fell 1.91% MoM. V. Rapid Growth in Goods Imports and Exports with Continued Optimization of Trade Structure In May, total goods imports and exports reached 4,451.6 billion yuan, up 16.9% YoY, accelerating 2.7 percentage points from the previous month. Exports stood at 2,587.8 billion yuan, up 13.8% YoY, while imports totaled 1,863.8 billion yuan, up 21.5% YoY. From January to May, total goods imports and exports amounted to 20,682.7 billion yuan, up 15.3% YoY. Exports came to 11,913.7 billion yuan, up 11.8% YoY, and imports hit 8,769.1 billion yuan, up 20.5% YoY. From January to May, imports and exports under Ordinary Trade rose 8.3% YoY. Imports and exports with Belt and Road partner countries grew 13.6% YoY. Imports and exports by private enterprises increased 15.5% YoY. Exports of mechanical and electrical products expanded 18.4% YoY. VI. Generally Stable Employment with a Decline in the Surveyed Urban Unemployment Rate From January to May, the surveyed urban unemployment rate averaged 5.2%. In May, the surveyed urban unemployment rate was 5.1%, down 0.1 percentage points MoM. The surveyed unemployment rate for the local household labor force was 5.2%, and that for the non-local household labor force was 4.9%, with the rate for the non-local agricultural household labor force at 4.9%. The surveyed urban unemployment rate across 31 major cities was 5.1%, down 0.1 percentage points MoM. The average weekly working hours of employees in enterprises nationwide was 48.2 hours. VII. Mild Rise in Consumer Prices and Widening YoY Increase in Producer Prices In May, the national consumer price index (CPI) rose 1.2% YoY, the same growth as the previous month, and fell 0.1% MoM. By category, prices for food, tobacco, alcohol, and dining out fell 0.9% YoY, clothing prices rose 1.4% YoY, housing prices edged down 0.2% YoY, prices for household articles and services increased 1.8% YoY, transportation and communication prices climbed 5.4% YoY, education, culture, and entertainment prices went up 1.3% YoY, healthcare prices grew 2.1% YoY, and prices for other goods and services surged 9.9% YoY. Among food, tobacco, alcohol, and dining-out prices, pork prices fell 16.1%, fresh fruit prices dropped 2.2%, grain prices edged down 0.3%, while fresh vegetable prices rose 1.6%. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, posted a 1.1% YoY increase. For January–May, national consumer prices rose 1.0% YoY. In May, national industrial producer EXW prices rose 3.9% YoY, with the growth rate widening by 1.1 percentage points from the previous month, and rose 0.5% MoM. National industrial producer purchasing prices rose 5.8% YoY and 1.3% MoM. For January–May, national industrial producer EXW prices and purchasing prices rose 1.0% and 1.6% YoY, respectively. Overall, the national economy operated stably in May, with development resilience continuing to show. However, it should also be noted that the external environment has become more complex and volatile, the contradiction of strong domestic supply and weak demand remains pronounced, some enterprises face considerable operating pressure, and the foundation for sustained economic improvement still needs consolidation. In the next stage, efforts should focus on adhering to Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era as guidance, maintaining the principle of pursuing progress while ensuring stability, improving quality and efficiency, strengthening counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustments, continuously expanding domestic demand and optimizing supply, enhancing increments and revitalizing existing assets, developing new quality productive forces according to local conditions, deepening the building of a unified national market, working to stabilize employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations, and promoting effective qualitative improvement and reasonable quantitative growth of the economy. Recommended reading:

[SMM Tin Morning Brief: The most-traded SHFE tin contract maintains a downward trend in the night session, and the spot market has essentially come to a standstill]

Data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed that in May, the manufacturing PMI stood at 50.0%, down 0.3 percentage points MoM. The composite PMI output index was 50.5%, up 0.4 percentage points MoM, indicating that overall business production and operations in China remained in expansion. The non-manufacturing business activity index was 50.1%, up 0.7 percentage points MoM, with the non-manufacturing prosperity level rebounding. China's PMI Performance in May 2026 I. China's Manufacturing PMI Performance In May, the manufacturing PMI stood at 50.0%, down 0.3 percentage points MoM, sitting at the threshold level. By enterprise size, the PMI for large enterprises was 51.1%, up 0.9 percentage points MoM, above the threshold; the PMIs for medium and small enterprises were 48.6% and 48.5% respectively, down 1.9 and 1.6 percentage points MoM, both below the threshold. By sub-indices, among the five sub-indices constituting the manufacturing PMI, the production index was above the threshold, while the new orders index, raw material inventory index, employment index, and supplier delivery time index were all below the threshold. The production index was 51.2%, down 0.3 percentage points MoM, but still above the threshold, indicating that manufacturing production activity remained in expansion. The new orders index was 49.9%, down 0.7 percentage points MoM, indicating that the prosperity level of manufacturing market demand pulled back somewhat. The raw material inventory index was 48.6%, down 0.7 percentage points MoM, indicating a decline in the inventory of major raw materials in manufacturing. The employment index was 48.6%, down 0.2 percentage points MoM, indicating that the prosperity level of manufacturing employment pulled back somewhat. The supplier delivery time index was 49.2%, down 0.3 percentage points MoM, indicating that the delivery time of manufacturing raw material suppliers continued to lengthen MoM. II. China's Non-manufacturing PMI Performance In May, the non-manufacturing business activity index was 50.1%, up 0.7 percentage points MoM, with the non-manufacturing prosperity level rebounding. By sector, the construction business activity index was 48.8%, up 0.8 percentage points MoM; the services business activity index was 50.3%, up 0.7 percentage points MoM. Within the services sector, industries such as railway transportation, telecommunications, broadcasting, television and satellite transmission services, and insurance all had business activity indices in the relatively high prosperity range of above 55.0%; industries such as air transportation and real estate had business activity indices below the threshold. The new orders index was 45.0%, up 0.7 percentage points from the previous month, indicating that the non-manufacturing market demand improved. By sector, the construction new orders index was 43.5%, up 1.9 percentage points from the previous month; the services new orders index was 45.3%, up 0.5 percentage points from the previous month. The input price index was 52.2%, up 0.5 percentage points from the previous month, indicating that the overall input prices for non-manufacturing business operations continued to rise. By sector, the construction input price index was 53.7%, down 1.2 percentage points from the previous month; the services input price index was 52.0%, up 0.8 percentage points from the previous month. The selling price index was 48.8%, up 0.7 percentage points from the previous month, indicating that the decline in overall selling prices of non-manufacturing enterprises narrowed. By sector, the construction selling price index was 48.6%, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month; the services selling price index was 48.9%, up 1 percentage point from the previous month. The employment index was 45.6%, up 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating that employment conditions in non-manufacturing enterprises improved slightly. By sector, the construction employment index was 41.4%, up 1.8 percentage points from the previous month; the services employment index was 46.4%, down 0.1 percentage points from the previous month. The business activity expectations index was 54.8%, up 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating that non-manufacturing enterprises' confidence in market development strengthened. By sector, the construction business activity expectations index was 51.5%, up 1 percentage point from the previous month; the services business activity expectations index was 55.4%, unchanged from the previous month. III. China Composite PMI Output Index In May, the composite PMI output index was 50.5%, up 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating that China's overall enterprise production and business activities remained in expansion. Composite PMI Output Index Remained in Expansion in May — Interpretation of China's PMI for May 2026 by Huo Lihui, Chief Statistician of the Service Industry Survey Center, National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) On May 31, 2026, the Service Industry Survey Center of the NBS and the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing released China's PMI. Huo Lihui, Chief Statistician of the Service Industry Survey Center of the NBS, provided an interpretation of the data. In May, the manufacturing PMI was 50.0%, down 0.3 percentage points from the previous month; the non-manufacturing business activity index and the composite PMI output index were 50.1% and 50.5% respectively, up 0.7 and 0.4 percentage points from the previous month. China's overall economic output remained in expansion. I. Manufacturing PMI at the Threshold In May, the manufacturing PMI stood at 50.0%, indicating that overall business production and operations remained stable. (i) Enterprise production maintained expansion. The production index was 51.2%, above the threshold, as manufacturing production activities continued to expand; the new orders index was 49.9%, suggesting that market demand somewhat slowed down. By sector, the production and new orders indices for industries such as pharmaceuticals, railway, shipbuilding, aerospace equipment, and computer, communications, and electronic equipment were all above 53.0%, with both production and demand sides of these industries remaining relatively active; the two indices for industries such as petroleum, coal, and other fuel processing, chemical fibers, rubber and plastic products, and non-metallic mineral products remained below the threshold, with both supply and demand sides still showing insufficiency. (ii) New momentum continued to develop favorably. The PMIs for high-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing were 52.9% and 52.1%, respectively, up 0.7 and 0.3 percentage points from the previous month, both remaining consistently above the threshold. In particular, the PMI for high-tech manufacturing had stayed in expansion territory for 16 consecutive months, with related industries maintaining strong growth and the leading role of new momentum continuing to emerge; the PMIs for consumer goods industries and high energy-consuming industries were 49.7% and 47.1%, respectively, down 1 and 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, with market activity somewhat weakening. (iii) Large enterprise PMI remained consistently above the threshold. The PMI for large enterprises was 51.1%, up 0.9 percentage points from the previous month, staying in expansion territory throughout the year, as large enterprises sustained a favorable production and operation trend; the PMIs for medium and small enterprises were 48.6% and 48.5%, respectively, with business conditions pulling back. (iv) Price indices fluctuated at high levels. The raw material purchase price index and the ex-factory price index were 60.5% and 51.9%, respectively, both pulling back 3.2 percentage points from the previous month but remaining at relatively high levels in recent periods. Both indices stayed in expansion territory for five consecutive months, as overall market price levels in manufacturing continued to rise. By sector, the two price indices for industries such as textiles, chemical fibers, rubber and plastic products, and ferrous metals smelting and rolling processing remained above 55.0% for three consecutive months, with overall purchase and sales price levels in related industries continuing to rise. II. Non-manufacturing Business Activity Index Rose above the Threshold In May, the non-manufacturing business activity index was 50.1%, up 0.7 percentage points from the previous month, as the non-manufacturing business conditions rebounded. (i) The services business activity index rose into expansion territory. The services business activity index was 50.3%, up 0.7 percentage points from the previous month, with market activity in the services sector somewhat improving. By industry, the business activity indices for industries such as railway transportation, telecommunications, radio, television and satellite transmission services, and insurance were all above the relatively high prosperity range of 55.0%, with rapid growth in total business volume; the business activity indices for industries such as air transportation and real estate were below the critical point, indicating relatively low prosperity levels in these industries. In terms of market expectations, the service sector business activity expectations index was 55.4%, remaining in the relatively high prosperity range, indicating that most service sector enterprises held generally optimistic expectations for near-term market development. (2) The construction sector business activity index rebounded. The construction sector business activity index was 48.8%, up 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, with improved prosperity levels. In terms of market expectations, the construction sector business activity expectations index was 51.5%, up 1 percentage point from the previous month, indicating that construction enterprises' confidence in future industry development recovered somewhat. 3. Composite PMI Output Index Continued to Expand In May, the composite PMI output index was 50.5%, up 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating that China's enterprise production and business activities generally maintained expansion. The manufacturing production index and non-manufacturing business activity index, which constitute the composite PMI output index, were 51.2% and 50.1%, respectively.

[SMM Tin Morning Brief: The Most-Traded SHFE Tin Contract Continued to Climb During the Night Session, Spot Market Trading Expected to Cool Down]

The National Economy Maintained Steady Progress in January–April In January–April, under the strong leadership of the CPC Central Committee with Comrade Xi Jinping at its core, all regions and departments earnestly implemented the decisions and deployments of the CPC Central Committee and the State Council, adhered to the general principle of pursuing progress while ensuring stability, fully and faithfully applied the new development philosophy, accelerated the construction of a new development pattern, effectively implemented more proactive and impactful macro policies, and focused on stabilizing employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations. Production and supply grew steadily, market sales continued to expand, foreign trade resilience was further demonstrated, employment and prices remained generally stable, new momentum grew stronger, and high-quality development advanced toward new and better directions. I. Industrial Production Grew Rapidly, with Equipment Manufacturing and High-tech Manufacturing Growing at a Faster Pace In January–April, the value added of industrial enterprises above designated size nationwide increased by 5.6% YoY. By three major categories, the value added of the mining industry grew 5.5% YoY, manufacturing grew 5.8%, and the production and supply of electricity, heat, gas, and water grew 4.5%. The value added of equipment manufacturing grew 8.7% YoY, and that of high-tech manufacturing grew 12.6%, which were 3.1 and 7 percentage points faster than the overall value added of industrial enterprises above designated size, respectively. By economic type, the value added of state-holding enterprises grew 4.4% YoY; joint-stock enterprises grew 6.0%, foreign-invested and Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan-invested enterprises grew 3.9%; and private enterprises grew 5.2%. By product, the production of 3D printing equipment, lithium-ion batteries, and industrial robots grew 50.9%, 36.0%, and 25.7% YoY, respectively. In April, the value added of industrial enterprises above designated size nationwide grew 4.1% YoY and 0.05% MoM. In April, the manufacturing PMI was 50.3%; the business activity expectations index of enterprises was 54.5%, up 1.1 percentage points from the previous month. In January–March, the total profits of industrial enterprises above designated size nationwide reached 1,696 billion yuan, up 15.5% YoY. II. The Service Sector Grew Steadily, with Modern Services Developing Well In January–April, the national service sector production index grew 4.9% YoY. By industry, the production indices of information transmission, software and information technology services, leasing and business services, and the financial industry grew 10.9%, 9.3%, and 6.7% YoY, respectively. In April, the national service sector production index grew 4.3% YoY. In January–March, the operating revenue of service enterprises above designated size grew 6.5% YoY. In April, the business activity index of the service sector was 49.6%; the business activity expectations index of the service sector was 55.4%, up 0.6 percentage points from the previous month. Among them, industries such as railway transport, postal services, and telecommunications, radio, television and satellite transmission services had business activity indices in the relatively high prosperity range of above 55.0%. III. Market Sales Scale Expanded, Service Retail Growth Accelerated From January to April, total retail sales of consumer goods reached 16,494.1 billion yuan, up 1.9% YoY. By location of business units, urban consumer goods retail sales were 14,292.1 billion yuan, up 1.8% YoY; rural consumer goods retail sales were 2,202 billion yuan, up 2.8%. By consumption type, commodity retail sales were 14,605.8 billion yuan, up 1.7%; catering revenue was 1,888.3 billion yuan, up 3.8%. Sales of basic living necessities and some upgraded goods grew relatively fast, with retail sales of grain, oil and food, clothing, footwear, hats, knitwear and textiles, and communication equipment by units above the designated size up 8.6%, 8.1%, and 17.7% YoY respectively. In April, total retail sales of consumer goods were up 0.2% YoY and down 0.48% MoM. From January to April, service retail sales were up 5.6% YoY, with the growth rate accelerating by 0.1 percentage point compared with January to March. Among them, retail sales of communication and information services, tourism, consulting and rental services, culture, sports and leisure services, and transportation services grew relatively fast. From January to April, national online retail sales of goods and services reached 6,530.8 billion yuan, up 6.6% YoY. Of this, online goods retail sales were 4,118.5 billion yuan, up 5.7%, accounting for 25.0% of total retail sales of consumer goods; online service retail sales were 2,412.3 billion yuan, up 8.3%. IV. Fixed Asset Investment Declined YoY, High-Tech Industry Investment Grew Relatively Fast From January to April, national fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) was 14,129.3 billion yuan, down 1.6% YoY; excluding real estate development investment, national fixed asset investment grew 1.3%. Of this, intellectual property product investment was up 8.9% YoY. By sector, infrastructure investment was up 4.3% YoY, manufacturing investment up 1.2%, and real estate development investment down 13.7%. The floor space of newly built commercial buildings sold nationwide was 252.58 million m², down 10.2% YoY; sales revenue of newly built commercial buildings was 2,300 billion yuan, down 14.6%. By industry, primary industry investment was up 10.1% YoY, secondary industry investment up 2.5%, and tertiary industry investment down 4.2%. Private investment was down 5.2% YoY; excluding real estate development investment, private investment was down 1.9%. High-tech industry investment was up 6.1% YoY, of which investment in aviation, spacecraft and equipment manufacturing, computer and office equipment manufacturing, and information services grew 17.9%, 13.9%, and 18.1% respectively. In April, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) declined 2.36% MoM. V. Goods Imports and Exports Grew Rapidly, Trade Structure Continued to Optimize In January-April, total goods imports and exports reached 16,225.2 billion yuan, up 14.9% YoY. Of this, exports were 9,328 billion yuan, up 11.3%; imports were 6,897.2 billion yuan, up 20.0%. Ordinary Trade imports and exports grew 8.5% YoY. Imports and exports with Belt and Road partner countries grew 13.5%. Private enterprise imports and exports grew 15.9%. Exports of mechanical and electrical products grew 17.6%. In April, total goods imports and exports were 4,377.8 billion yuan, up 14.2% YoY. Of this, exports were 2,481.7 billion yuan, up 9.8%; imports were 1,896 billion yuan, up 20.6%. VI. Employment Situation Remained Generally Stable, Urban Surveyed Unemployment Rate Declined In January-April, the average national urban surveyed unemployment rate was 5.3%. In April, the national urban surveyed unemployment rate was 5.2%, down 0.2 percentage points from the previous month. The surveyed unemployment rate for local household registration labor force was 5.3%; the surveyed unemployment rate for migrant labor force was 5.0%, of which the surveyed unemployment rate for migrant labor force with agricultural household registration was 5.0%. The urban surveyed unemployment rate in 31 major cities was 5.2%, down 0.1 percentage points from the previous month. The average weekly working hours of employed persons in enterprises nationwide was 48 hours. VII. Consumer Prices Saw a Mild Rebound, Producer Prices Saw Expanded Gains In January-April, the national consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.9% YoY. By category, prices of food, tobacco, alcohol and dining out rose 0.2% YoY, clothing prices rose 1.7%, housing prices fell 0.2%, household goods and services prices rose 2.0%, transportation and communication prices rose 0.3%, education, culture and entertainment prices rose 1.1%, healthcare prices rose 1.9%, and other goods and services prices rose 13.3%. Among food, tobacco, alcohol and dining out prices, pork prices fell 12.2%, grain prices fell 0.3%, fresh fruit prices rose 3.0%, and fresh vegetable prices rose 5.7%. Core CPI, excluding food and energy prices, rose 1.2% YoY. In April, the national CPI rose 1.2% YoY, with the increase expanding 0.2 percentage points from the previous month; up 0.3% MoM. In January-April, the national ex-factory prices of industrial producers rose 0.2% YoY. Of this, in April, ex-factory prices rose 2.8% YoY, with the increase expanding 2.3 percentage points from the previous month; up 1.7% MoM. From January to April, the national industrial producer purchase price increased 0.5% YoY. Of which, April was up 3.5% YoY, with the increase expanding 2.7 percentage points from the previous month; up 2.1% MoM. Overall, from January to April, the national economy maintained a steady and progressive development trend, with high-quality development advancing solidly. However, it should be noted that the external environment remains complex and volatile, the domestic imbalance of strong supply and weak demand remains prominent, some enterprises face operational difficulties, and the foundation for steady and positive economic development still needs to be consolidated. In the next phase, it is necessary to adhere to the guidance of Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era, maintain the general principle of seeking progress while ensuring stability, fully, accurately, and comprehensively implement the new development philosophy, accelerate the construction of a new development pattern, precisely and effectively implement more proactive fiscal policies and moderately accommodative monetary policies, continuously expand domestic demand and optimize supply, enhance incremental growth and revitalize existing assets, strengthen the endogenous driving force of economic development, further strengthen the domestic circulation, optimize the domestic-international dual circulation, and promote sustained and healthy economic development. Recommended reading:

"Tin" Leads the Future: Industrial Transformation and Value Reshaping in a New Cycle **Conference Background** Currently, the global tin industry stands at a historic turning point, where traditional cyclical logic has been fundamentally disrupted and strategic value has become fully prominent. The tin market in 2026 presents an unprecedented complex landscape and profound transformation: **I. Deep Restructuring of the Supply-Demand Pattern with Unprecedented Elevation of Strategic Attributes** The global tin resource static reserve-to-production ratio is only 14 years, with scarcity becoming increasingly prominent. The supply side faces "triple pressures": repeated setbacks in Myanmar's production resumptions, continued tightening of Indonesian policies, and elevated geopolitical risks in the DRC — resource constraints have become the new normal. Meanwhile, the demand structure has undergone a fundamental shift, and tin has become a strategic resource connecting traditional manufacturing with the digital future. **II. Price System Breaking Historical Records with the Industrial Ecosystem Facing Reshaping** In early 2026, SHFE tin prices broke through 470,000 yuan/mt, hitting a record high. This price breakthrough is not only a reflection of supply-demand imbalance but also a hallmark of value reassessment for the tin industry. Traditional trade models, risk management systems, and supply chain collaboration approaches all urgently require innovative breakthroughs. **III. Technology-Driven and Green Transformation Fostering a New Symbiotic Ecosystem** Digital and intelligent technologies are deeply empowering the tin industry chain. The global green transformation requires the tin industry to upgrade toward low-carbonisation and circular economy models, making recycled tin recovery and green smelting processes an inevitable path. All segments of the industry chain must shift from competition to collaboration, building an open, resilient, and innovative symbiotic system. Against this backdrop, August 19-21, 2026 , Changsha, Hunan , 2026 SMM (16th) Tin Industry Chain Conference will bring together global industry elites for in-depth discussions. Huaxun Group Co., Ltd. (Russia) will attend this grand event, joining industry peers to explore industry development trends and work together to propel the tin industry to new heights. Click the to register now. Join us in witnessing and participating in this extraordinary and far-reaching industry event, and together create a brilliant new chapter! As a benchmark cross-border comprehensive service provider between China and Russia, the group has its core focus on bulk commodity trade supply chains while also expanding into IT, telecommunications, and energy equipment sectors. Leveraging China-Russia dual-line resource integration, a mature logistics and after-sales service system, and its membership in the Russia-China Business Council, the group has established efficient government-enterprise cooperation channels between China and Russia. The group's Russian headquarters is located on the 63rd floor of the Federation Tower in Moscow, while its China division has a dedicated office, with both locations operating in efficient coordination to provide solid support for cross-border business. Shenzhen Yixingtongyuan Trading Co., Ltd. , as the group's China service window, specialises in serving China-Russia bulk commodity trade, helping Chinese enterprises connect with Russia's premium supply chains, and has become a reliable partner in China-Russia cross-border trade through its professionalism and efficiency. With deep expertise in the non-ferrous metal sector, we possess direct upstream procurement advantages and can steadily supply large quantities of metal resources including tin, lead, zinc, silver, copper, antimony, selenium, lead ore powder, zinc ore powder, and tin ore powder. A benchmark comprehensive service provider for China-Russia cross-border cooperation. The Group focuses deeply on bulk commodity trade and supply chain business, while expanding its layout into IT, telecommunications and energy equipment sectors.Leveraging integrated resources from both China and Russia, a mature logistics and after-sales service system, and its membership status in the Russia-China Business Council, the Group builds an efficient cooperation channel for government and enterprise exchanges between the two countries.Headquartered on the 63rd floor of Moscow Federation Tower in Russia, the Group has dedicated office institutions in China, achieving efficient linkage between the two locations to provide solid support for cross-border businesses.As the China regional service window of the Group, Shenzhen Yihang Tongyuan Trading Co., Ltd. specializes in China-Russia bulk commodity trade, assisting domestic enterprises in connecting with high-quality Russian supply chains, and has become a reliable partner for China-Russia cross-border trade with professionalism and high efficiency.With in-depth cultivation in the non-ferrous metal sector, we boast direct upstream procurement advantages and can steadily supply large quantities of resources including tin, lead, zinc, silver, copper, antimony and selenium. Contact Information Qu Shaowei / Qu Shaowei 13756081555 qushaowei@h-xgroup.com www.h-xgroup.ru Long Press to Scan the QR Code to Register Now 2026 SMM (16th) Tin Industry Chain Conference

The NBS Service Industry Survey Center and the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing released China's PMI for April today. The manufacturing PMI continued to operate in expansion territory after rebounding into expansion territory in March, indicating that the manufacturing sector maintained a generally stable level of prosperity and continued its favorable operating trend. In April, China's manufacturing PMI was 50.3%, down 0.1 percentage points MoM, operating in expansion territory for the second consecutive month. China's PMI Performance in April 2026 I. China's Manufacturing PMI Performance In April, the manufacturing PMI stood at 50.3%, down 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, with the manufacturing prosperity level remaining generally stable. By enterprise size, the PMI for large enterprises was 50.2%, down 1.4 percentage points MoM but still above the threshold; the PMIs for medium and small enterprises were 50.5% and 50.1% respectively, up 1.5 and 0.8 percentage points MoM, both above the threshold. By sub-indices, among the five sub-indices constituting the manufacturing PMI, the production index and new orders index were both above the threshold, while the raw material inventory index, employment index, and supplier delivery time index were all below the threshold. The production index was 51.5%, up 0.1 percentage points MoM, indicating that manufacturing production activity accelerated somewhat. The new orders index was 50.6%, down 1 percentage points MoM but still above the threshold, indicating that manufacturing market demand maintained expansion. The raw material inventory index was 49.3%, up 1.6 percentage points MoM, indicating that the decline in major raw material inventory in manufacturing narrowed significantly. The employment index was 48.8%, up 0.2 percentage points MoM, indicating a rebound in the employment prosperity level of manufacturing enterprises. The supplier delivery time index was 49.5%, unchanged from the previous month and below the threshold, indicating that delivery times of raw material suppliers in manufacturing continued to lengthen MoM. II. China's Non-Manufacturing PMI Performance In April, the non-manufacturing business activity index was 49.4%, down 0.7 percentage points from the previous month, with the non-manufacturing prosperity level declining somewhat. By sector, the construction business activity index was 48.0%, down 1.3 percentage points MoM; the services business activity index was 49.6%, down 0.6 percentage points MoM. Within the services sector, industries such as railway transportation, postal services, and telecommunications, broadcasting, television, and satellite transmission services all had business activity indices above the relatively high prosperity zone of 55.0%; industries such as wholesale, retail, and resident services all had business activity indices below the threshold. The new orders index was 44.3%, down 0.7 percentage points MoM, indicating a decline in non-manufacturing market demand. By sector, the construction new orders index was 41.6%, down 1.9 percentage points MoM; the services new orders index was 44.8%, down 0.5 percentage points MoM. The input price index was 51.7%, down 0.6 percentage points MoM but still above the critical point, indicating that input prices for non-manufacturing business activities continued to rise overall. By sector, the construction input price index was 54.9%, up 2.2 percentage points MoM; the services input price index was 51.2%, down 1 percentage points MoM. The selling price index was 48.1%, down 1.8 percentage points MoM, indicating an overall decline in non-manufacturing enterprise selling prices. By sector, the construction selling price index was 49.0%, down 0.3 percentage points MoM; the services selling price index was 47.9%, down 2.1 percentage points MoM. The employment index was 45.5%, up 0.3 percentage points MoM, indicating improved employment conditions in non-manufacturing enterprises. By sector, the construction employment index was 39.6%, up 0.5 percentage points MoM; the services employment index was 46.5%, up 0.3 percentage points MoM. The business activity expectations index was 54.7%, up 0.5 percentage points MoM, indicating strengthened confidence among non-manufacturing enterprises in market development. By sector, the construction business activity expectations index was 50.5%, unchanged MoM; the services business activity expectations index was 55.4%, up 0.6 percentage points MoM. III. China Composite PMI Output Index In April, the composite PMI output index was 50.1%, down 0.4 percentage points MoM but above the critical point, indicating that China's enterprise production and business activities continued to expand overall. Manufacturing PMI Remained in Expansion Territory in April — Interpretation of China's April 2026 PMI by Huo Lihui, Chief Statistician of the NBS Service Industry Survey Center On April 30, 2026, the NBS Service Industry Survey Center and the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing released China's PMI. Huo Lihui, Chief Statistician of the NBS Service Industry Survey Center, provided an interpretation. In April, the manufacturing PMI was 50.3%, slightly lower than the previous month by 0.1 percentage points, remaining in expansion territory; the non-manufacturing business activity index was 49.4%, down 0.7 percentage points MoM; the composite PMI output index was 50.1%, down 0.4 percentage points MoM but still above the critical point, with China's overall economic output maintaining expansion. I. Manufacturing PMI Remained above the Critical Point for Two Consecutive Months In April, the manufacturing PMI was 50.3%, with the overall prosperity level remaining stable and the manufacturing sector sustaining a sound operating trend. (I) Both production and demand continued to expand. The production index was 51.5% and the new orders index was 50.6%, both remaining above the critical point, indicating that manufacturing production and market demand stayed in expansion. By industry, the production and new orders indices for railway, shipbuilding, aerospace equipment, electrical machinery and equipment, and computer, communication and electronic equipment sectors were all at or above 53.0%, with production and demand in these industries being released at a faster pace; the two indices for petroleum, coal and other fuel processing, and chemical raw materials and chemical products sectors were both below the critical point, indicating relatively weak market activity. Driven by continued expansion in production and demand, enterprise purchase willingness further strengthened, with the purchasing volume index at 51.1%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month. (II) PMIs for large, medium and small enterprises all remained in expansion territory. The PMI for large enterprises was 50.2%, staying above the critical point for five consecutive months; PMIs for medium and small enterprises were 50.5% and 50.1% respectively, up 1.5 and 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, both rising into expansion territory with prosperity levels rebounding notably. (III) Three key industries sustained expansion. PMIs for high-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing were 52.2% and 51.8% respectively, up 0.1 and 0.3 percentage points from the previous month, with these industries maintaining a positive development trend; the PMI for consumer goods industries was 50.7%, remaining in expansion territory. The PMI for high energy-consuming industries was 47.9%, down 1 percentage point from the previous month, with the prosperity level pulling back. (IV) Price indices fluctuated at highs. Affected by recent high-level fluctuations in some bulk commodity prices, the raw material purchase price index and ex-factory price index were 63.7% and 55.1% respectively, remaining at highs in recent years, with the overall price level in the manufacturing market rising notably. By industry, both price indices for petroleum, coal and other fuel processing, and chemical raw materials and chemical products sectors remained above 70.0% for two consecutive months, with raw material procurement prices and product selling prices in these industries continuing to rise. (V) Market expectations continued to strengthen. The business activity expectations index was 54.5%, up 1.1 percentage points from the previous month, rebounding for three consecutive months, indicating that manufacturing enterprises' confidence in near-term market development continued to strengthen. By industry, the business activity expectations indices for food, beverages and refined tea, automobile, and railway, shipbuilding and aerospace equipment sectors were all in the relatively high prosperity zone above 58.0%, with enterprises in these industries being more optimistic about industry development. II. Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index Pulled Back In April, the non-manufacturing business activity index was 49.4%, down 0.7 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a pullback in non-manufacturing prosperity. (1) Service sector prosperity pulled back. The service sector business activity index was 49.6%, down 0.6 percentage points from the previous month. By industry, the business activity indices for railway transportation, postal services, and telecommunications, radio, television and satellite transmission services were all in the relatively high prosperity range above 55.0%, with rapid growth in total business volume; the business activity indices for wholesale, retail, and resident services were all below the critical point, indicating weak market activity. In terms of market expectations, the service sector business activity expectations index was 55.4%, up 0.6 percentage points from the previous month, rising into the relatively high prosperity range above 55.0%, indicating that service sector enterprises had strengthened confidence in future market development. (2) Construction sector prosperity remained weak. The construction sector business activity index was 48.0%, down 1.3 percentage points from the previous month, with prosperity pulling back. In terms of market expectations, the construction sector business activity expectations index was 50.5%, unchanged from the previous month, indicating that construction enterprises maintained stable expectations for near-term industry development. III. Composite PMI Output Index Remained in Expansion In April, the composite PMI output index was 50.1%, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating that overall production and business activities of China's enterprises continued to expand. The manufacturing production index and non-manufacturing business activity index, which constitute the composite PMI output index, were 51.5% and 49.4%, respectively.

This week (April 17–April 23), the SMM copper wire and cable enterprise operating rate was 67%, down 2.43 percentage points WoW. Copper prices fluctuated at highs this week, suppressing downstream purchasing enthusiasm, and new orders for wire and cable enterprises weakened overall. By segment, power grid orders remained low with sluggish demand release; the telecommunications sector saw relatively stable orders, providing partial demand support. Notably, as temperatures rebounded and construction conditions improved, orders in the building sector showed a seasonal recovery. Inventory side, enterprises mostly maintained a just-needed pace for raw material procurement, primarily consuming existing raw material stocks, resulting in a 3.14% WoW decline in raw material inventory; on the finished goods side, affected by a slowdown in downstream cargo pick-up and insufficient new orders, inventory accumulated slightly, up 2.79% WoW. Looking ahead to next week, follow-up new orders are expected to remain weak, and copper prices fluctuating at highs are expected to weigh on downstream purchasing sentiment, with operating rates continuing their downward trend. Although the Labour Day holiday is approaching, uncertainty over copper price fluctuations remains high, and enterprises are generally cautious in their stockpiling willingness. Therefore, SMM expects the copper wire and cable operating rate next week (April 24–April 30) to decline 1.62 percentage points WoW to 65.37%.

According to preliminary estimates by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), China's GDP in Q1 totaled 33,419.3 billion yuan, up 5.0% YoY in real terms, accelerating by 0.5 percentage points from Q4 of the previous year. By industry, the value added of the primary industry was 1,194.1 billion yuan, up 3.8% YoY; the value added of the secondary industry was 11,613.5 billion yuan, up 4.9%; and the value added of the tertiary industry was 20,611.7 billion yuan, up 5.2%. On a QoQ basis, GDP grew by 1.3% in Q1. The National Economy Achieved a Good Start in Q1 In Q1, under the strong leadership of the CPC Central Committee with Comrade Xi Jinping at its core, all regions and departments thoroughly implemented the decisions and plans of the CPC Central Committee and the State Council, stepped up the implementation of more proactive and effective macro policies, and worked to stabilize employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations. Efforts were accelerated to foster and develop new quality productive forces. Production and supply growth picked up, market demand continued to improve, the employment situation remained generally stable, market prices saw a mild rebound, high-quality development advanced toward new and better directions, the national economy achieved a good start, and development resilience and vitality were further demonstrated. According to preliminary estimates, China's GDP in Q1 totaled 33,419.3 billion yuan, up 5.0% YoY in real terms, accelerating by 0.5 percentage points from Q4 of the previous year. By industry, the value added of the primary industry was 1,194.1 billion yuan, up 3.8% YoY; the value added of the secondary industry was 11,613.5 billion yuan, up 4.9%; and the value added of the tertiary industry was 20,611.7 billion yuan, up 5.2%. On a QoQ basis, GDP grew by 1.3% in Q1. I. Agricultural Production Was in Good Shape, and the Livestock Industry Remained Generally Stable In Q1, the value added of agriculture (crop farming) grew 3.7% YoY. The sown area of winter wheat remained stable, seedling conditions continued to improve, and spring plowing and preparation progressed smoothly. According to the national planting intention survey, the intended sown area for grain this year remained generally stable, with the rice area basically flat and the corn area stable with a slight increase. In Q1, the production of pork, beef, mutton, and poultry totaled 26.62 million mt, up 4.8% YoY, of which pork and poultry production increased by 4.2% and 9.3% respectively, while beef and mutton production decreased by 1.4% and 2.0% respectively; milk production increased by 3.4%, and egg production decreased by 3.1%. In Q1, hog slaughter reached 200.26 million heads, up 2.8% YoY; the quarter-end hog inventory stood at 423.58 million heads, up 1.5%. II. Industrial Production Growth Accelerated, with Equipment Manufacturing and High-Tech Manufacturing Growing Rapidly In Q1, the value added of China's industrial enterprises above designated size grew 6.1% YoY, accelerating by 1.1 percentage points from Q4 of the previous year. By three major sectors, the value added of the mining industry grew 6.0% YoY, manufacturing grew 6.4%, and the production and supply of electricity, heat, gas, and water grew 4.3%. The value added of equipment manufacturing grew 8.9% YoY, and that of high-tech manufacturing grew 12.5%, outpacing the overall value added of industrial enterprises above designated size by 2.8 and 6.4 percentage points, respectively. By economic type, the value added of state-owned holding enterprises grew 4.8% YoY; joint-stock enterprises grew 6.6%, foreign-invested and Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan-invested enterprises grew 3.9%; and private enterprises grew 6.1%. By product, the production of 3D printing equipment, lithium-ion batteries, and industrial robots grew 54.0%, 40.8%, and 33.2% YoY, respectively. In March, the value added of industrial enterprises above designated size grew 5.7% YoY and up 0.28% MoM. In March, the manufacturing PMI stood at 50.4%, up 1.4 percentage points from the previous month; the expectations index for enterprise production and business activities was 53.4%. In January–February, the total profits of industrial enterprises above designated size nationwide reached 1,024.6 billion yuan, up 15.2% YoY. III. Services Sector Grew Rapidly, with Strong Momentum in Modern Services In Q1, the value added of the services sector grew 5.2% YoY. Among them, leasing and business services, information transmission, software and information technology services, financial services, transportation, warehousing and postal services, and accommodation and catering grew 12.2%, 10.6%, 6.5%, 4.3%, and 4.3%, respectively. In March, the national services sector production index grew 5.0% YoY. Among them, the production indices of information transmission, software and information technology services, leasing and business services, and financial services grew 11.8%, 10.1%, and 6.7%, respectively. In January–February, the operating revenue of services enterprises above designated size grew 7.4% YoY. In March, the business activity index for the services sector was 50.2%, up 0.5 percentage points from the previous month; the business activity expectations index for the services sector was 54.8%. Among them, the business activity indices of railway transportation, telecommunications, radio, television and satellite transmission services, monetary and financial services, and insurance were in the relatively high prosperity range above 55.0%. IV. Market Sales Picked Up, with Rapid Growth in Services Retail In Q1, total retail sales of consumer goods reached 12,769.5 billion yuan, up 2.4% YoY, accelerating by 0.7 percentage points from Q4 of the previous year. By location of business units, urban retail sales of consumer goods reached 11,057.4 billion yuan, up 2.3% YoY; rural retail sales of consumer goods reached 1,712.1 billion yuan, up 3.1%. By type of consumption, retail sales of goods reached 11,307.2 billion yuan, up 2.2%; catering revenue reached 1,462.3 billion yuan, up 4.2%. Sales of basic living necessities and some upgraded goods grew relatively fast. On a YoY basis, retail sales of grain, oil and food, garments, footwear, hats, knitwear and textiles, communication equipment, and gold, silver and jewelry by units above designated size increased by 10.0%, 9.3%, 20.8% and 12.6% respectively. In March, total retail sales of consumer goods were up 1.7% YoY and up 0.14% MoM. In Q1, retail sales of services were up 5.5% YoY, with the growth rate on par with the full year of the previous year. Among them, retail sales of communication and information services, tourism, consulting and rental services, and culture, sports and leisure services grew relatively fast. In Q1, national online retail sales of goods and services reached 4,977.4 billion yuan, up 8.0% YoY. Of this, online retail sales of goods reached 3,161.4 billion yuan, up 7.5%, accounting for 24.8% of total retail sales of consumer goods; online retail sales of services reached 1,816 billion yuan, up 8.8%. V. Fixed Asset Investment Grew Steadily, Infrastructure Investment Grew Relatively Fast In Q1, national fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) reached 10,270.8 billion yuan, up 1.7% YoY, compared with a decline of 3.8% for the full year of the previous year; excluding real estate development investment, national fixed asset investment grew by 4.8%. By sector, infrastructure investment was up 8.9% YoY, manufacturing investment was up 4.1%, and real estate development investment was down 11.2%. The floor space of commercial buildings sold nationwide was 195.25 million m², down 10.4% YoY; sales of newly-built commercial buildings totaled 1,726.2 billion yuan, down 16.7%. By industry, investment in the primary industry was up 15.9% YoY, investment in the secondary industry was up 5.8%, and investment in the tertiary industry was down 1.0%. Private investment was down 2.2% YoY, with the decline narrowing by 4.2 percentage points from the full year of the previous year; excluding real estate development investment, private investment grew by 1.3%. Investment in high-tech industries was up 7.4% YoY, of which investment in computer and office equipment manufacturing, aerospace and aircraft equipment manufacturing, and information services grew by 28.3%, 19.0% and 20.9% respectively. In March, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) was up 0.52% MoM. VI. Trade in Goods Grew Rapidly, Trade Structure Continued to Optimize In Q1, total value of goods imports and exports reached 11,838 billion yuan, up 15.0% YoY. Of this, exports reached 6,846.7 billion yuan, up 11.9%; imports reached 4,991.3 billion yuan, up 19.6%. Ordinary Trade imports and exports were up 9.0% YoY. Imports and exports to countries participating in the Belt and Road Initiative grew by 14.2%. Imports and exports of private enterprises grew by 16.2%, accounting for 57.3% of total imports and exports. Exports of electromechanical products grew by 18.3%. In March, total imports and exports reached 4,104.6 billion yuan, up 9.2% YoY. VII. Consumer Price Increases Expanded, and Industrial Producer Prices Continued to Rebound In Q1, the national consumer price index (CPI) rose by 0.9% YoY, with the increase expanding by 0.4 percentage points from Q4 of the previous year. By category, prices of food, tobacco, alcohol and dining out rose by 0.5% YoY, clothing by 1.8%, housing fell by 0.2%, household goods and services rose by 2.3%, transportation and communication fell by 1.1%, education, culture and entertainment rose by 1.0%, healthcare rose by 1.8%, and other goods and services rose by 14.1%. Among food, tobacco, alcohol and dining out prices, pork prices fell by 11.3%, grain prices fell by 0.3%, fresh fruit prices rose by 4.3%, and fresh vegetable prices rose by 7.6%. Core CPI, excluding food and energy prices, rose by 1.2% YoY. In March, the national CPI rose by 1.0% YoY and fell by 0.7% MoM. In Q1, national ex-factory prices of industrial producers fell by 0.6% YoY, with the decline narrowing by 1.5 percentage points from Q4 of the previous year. Among them, March saw a YoY increase of 0.5%, compared with a decrease of 0.9% in the previous month; and a MoM increase of 1.0%. In Q1, the purchase prices of industrial producers nationwide fell by 0.5% YoY. Among them, March saw a YoY increase of 0.8%, compared with a decrease of 0.7% in the previous month; and a MoM increase of 1.2%. VIII. The Employment Situation Remained Generally Stable, with the Urban Surveyed Unemployment Rate Unchanged YoY In Q1, the average national urban surveyed unemployment rate was 5.3%, unchanged from the same period of the previous year. In March, the national urban surveyed unemployment rate was 5.4%. The surveyed unemployment rate for local household-registered labor force was 5.4%; the surveyed unemployment rate for non-local household-registered labor force was 5.3%, of which the surveyed unemployment rate for non-local labor force with agricultural household registration was 5.7%. The urban surveyed unemployment rate in 31 major cities was 5.3%. The average weekly working hours of employees in enterprises nationwide was 48.1 hours. At the end of Q1, the total number of rural migrant workers working outside their hometowns was 188.38 million, up 0.2% YoY. IX. Household Income Continued to Grow, with Rural Residents' Income Growing Faster Than That of Urban Residents In Q1, the national per capita disposable income was 12,782 yuan, a nominal increase of 4.9% YoY, or a real increase of 4.0% after deducting price factors. By place of permanent residence, the per capita disposable income of urban residents was 16,549 yuan, up 4.2% YoY in nominal terms and 3.2% in real terms; the per capita disposable income of rural residents was 7,433 yuan, up 6.1% YoY in nominal terms and 5.4% in real terms. By income source, the per capita nationwide wage income, net business income, net property income, and net transfer income grew 4.9%, 6.6%, 1.6%, and 5.1% in nominal terms, respectively. The median per capita disposable income of nationwide residents was 10,433 yuan, up 5.0% YoY in nominal terms. Overall, major macro indicators rebounded in Q1, new momentum grew rapidly, and the national economy achieved a good start. However, it should also be noted that the external environment has become more complex and volatile, the domestic imbalance of strong supply and weak demand remains prominent, and the foundation for economic improvement still needs to be consolidated. In the next phase, it is important to adhere to the guidance of Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era, resolutely implement the decisions and plans of the CPC Central Committee and the State Council, fully and faithfully apply the new development philosophy, accelerate the construction of a new development paradigm, focus on promoting high-quality development, maintain the general principle of seeking progress while ensuring stability, implement more proactive and effective macro policies, continuously expand domestic demand and optimize supply, improve incremental resources and revitalize existing assets, and make efforts to stabilize employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations, so as to continuously consolidate and expand the steady and positive momentum of the economy. Recommended reading:

On March 31, 2026, the Service Industry Survey Center of the National Bureau of Statistics and the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing released China’s PMI. In response, Huo Lihui, Chief Statistician of the Service Industry Survey Center of the National Bureau of Statistics, provided an interpretation. In March, the manufacturing PMI, the non-manufacturing business activity index, and the composite PMI output index all returned to expansion territory, registering 50.4%, 50.1%, and 50.5%, respectively, up 1.4, 0.6, and 1 percentage points MoM, indicating a rebound in the level of economic prosperity in China. China PMI Performance in March 2026 I. Performance of China’s Manufacturing PMI In March, the manufacturing PMI stood at 50.4%, up 1.4 percentage points MoM and above the threshold, indicating a rebound in the prosperity level of the manufacturing sector. By enterprise size, the PMI of large enterprises was 51.6%, up 0.1 percentage points MoM and above the threshold; the PMI of medium-sized and small enterprises was 49.0% and 49.3%, respectively, up 1.5 and 4.5 percentage points MoM, but still below the threshold. By sub-index, among the five sub-indices comprising the manufacturing PMI, the production index and the new orders index were both above the threshold, while the raw material inventory index, the employment index, and the supplier delivery time index were all below the threshold. The production index was 51.4%, up 1.8 percentage points MoM, indicating faster manufacturing production activity. The new orders index was 51.6%, up 3.0 percentage points MoM, indicating a marked improvement in the prosperity level of market demand in the manufacturing sector. The raw material inventory index was 47.7%, up 0.2 percentage points MoM, indicating that the decline in inventories of major raw materials in the manufacturing sector narrowed somewhat. The employment index was 48.6%, up 0.6 percentage points MoM, indicating a rebound in the employment climate of manufacturing enterprises. The supplier delivery time index was 49.5%, up 0.4 percentage points MoM and below the threshold, indicating that delivery times of raw material suppliers in the manufacturing sector lengthened compared with the previous month. II. Performance of China’s Non-Manufacturing PMI In March, the non-manufacturing business activity index was 50.1%, up 0.6 percentage points MoM and above the threshold, indicating some improvement in the prosperity level of the non-manufacturing sector. By industry, the business activity index of the construction sector was 49.3%, up 1.1 percentage points MoM; the business activity index of the services sector was 50.2%, up 0.5 percentage points MoM. From the perspective of the services sector, the business activity index for industries such as railway transportation, telecommunications, radio, television and satellite transmission services, monetary and financial services, and insurance all remained in the relatively high expansion territory above 55.0%; the business activity index for industries such as retail, accommodation, catering, and real estate all stayed below the critical point. The new orders index was 45.0%, down 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, indicating that market demand in the non-manufacturing sector pulled back somewhat. By industry, the new orders index for construction was 43.5%, up 1.3 percentage points from the previous month; the new orders index for services was 45.3%, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month. The input price index was 52.3%, up 1.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating that the overall price level of inputs used in the operating activities of non-manufacturing enterprises continued to rise. By industry, the input price index for construction was 52.7%, up 3.6 percentage points from the previous month; the input price index for services was 52.2%, up 1.0 percentage points from the previous month. The selling price index was 49.9%, up 1.1 percentage points from the previous month, but still below the critical point, indicating that the decline in the overall selling price level in the non-manufacturing sector narrowed. By industry, the selling price index for construction was 49.3%, up 1.7 percentage points from the previous month; the selling price index for services was 50.0%, up 1.0 percentage points from the previous month. The employment index was 45.2%, down 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating that employment conditions among non-manufacturing enterprises pulled back. By industry, the employment index for construction was 39.1%, down 3.4 percentage points from the previous month; the employment index for services was 46.2%, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month. The business activity expectations index was 54.2%, down 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, but still above the critical point, indicating that non-manufacturing enterprises remained optimistic about market development. By industry, the business activity expectations index for construction was 50.5%, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month; the business activity expectations index for services was 54.8%, down 1.0 percentage points from the previous month. III. Performance of China’s Composite PMI Output Index In March, the composite PMI output index was 50.5%, up 1.0 percentage points from the previous month and above the critical point, indicating that the overall business activity level of production and operations among enterprises in China improved. China’s PMI Returned to Expansion Territory in March — Huo Lihui, Chief Statistician of the Service Industry Survey Center of the National Bureau of Statistics, Interprets China’s PMI for March 2026 On March 31, 2026, the Service Industry Survey Center of the National Bureau of Statistics and the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing released China’s PMI. In this regard, Huo Lihui, Chief Statistician of the Service Survey Center of the National Bureau of Statistics, provided an interpretation. In March, the manufacturing PMI, the non-manufacturing business activity index, and the composite PMI output index all returned to expansion territory, coming in at 50.4%, 50.1%, and 50.5%, respectively, up 1.4, 0.6, and 1.0 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a rebound in the overall economic prosperity level in China. I. The Manufacturing PMI Rose to Expansion Territory In March, as enterprises accelerated the resumption of work and production after the Chinese New Year and market activity increased, the manufacturing PMI came in at 50.4%, returning to expansion territory. (I) Production and demand expanded simultaneously. The production index and the new orders index stood at 51.4% and 51.6%, respectively, up 1.8 and 3.0 percentage points from the previous month, and both rose into expansion territory. Manufacturing enterprises stepped up production activities, and market demand improved markedly. By industry, the production index and new orders index for such industries as agricultural and sideline food processing, non-ferrous metal smelting and rolling processing were both above 55.0%, and production and demand in related enterprises were released relatively quickly; the two indices for such industries as textile and apparel, chemical fibers, and rubber and plastic products remained below the critical point, with relatively weak market activity. Driven by the recovery in production and demand, enterprises’ purchase willingness strengthened, and the purchasing volume index was 50.9%, up 2.7 percentage points from the previous month. (II) The PMI of large, medium-sized, and small enterprises all rebounded. The PMI of large enterprises was 51.6%, up 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, with the prosperity level rising steadily; the PMI of medium-sized and small enterprises was 49.0% and 49.3%, respectively, up 1.5 and 4.5 percentage points from the previous month, with the prosperity level improving significantly. (III) The three key industries expanded relatively quickly. The PMI of high-tech manufacturing was 52.1%, up 0.6 percentage points from the previous month, and remained above the critical point for 14 consecutive months, indicating continued positive development momentum in the industry; the PMI of equipment manufacturing and the consumer goods industry was 51.5% and 50.8%, respectively, up 1.7 and 2.0 percentage points from the previous month, and both rose to expansion territory; the PMI of high energy-consuming industries was 48.9%, up 1.1 percentage points from the previous month, with the prosperity level showing some rebound. (IV) Price indices rebounded significantly. Affected by factors such as the continued rise in prices of some bulk commodities in the recent period and the acceleration of enterprise procurement activities, the purchase price index of major raw materials and the ex-factory price index stood at 63.9% and 55.4%, respectively, up 9.1 and 4.8 percentage points from the previous month, and the overall price level in the manufacturing market rebounded markedly. By industry, the two price indices for such industries as petroleum, coal and other fuel processing, and chemical raw materials and chemical products were both above 70.0%, and the overall level of purchase and sales prices in related industries rose significantly. (5) Market expectations remained stable with a slight increase. The index of expectations for production and business activities was 53.4%, up 0.2 percentage points MoM, indicating that manufacturing enterprises became somewhat more confident about near-term market developments. By industry, the index of expectations for production and business activities in sectors such as special-purpose equipment, automobiles, railway, shipbuilding, aerospace equipment, and other industries remained in a relatively high expansion range above 56.0%, and the related enterprises were more optimistic about future industry development. The survey results also showed that, affected by factors such as the current geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East, prices of related raw materials such as petroleum and chemicals rose sharply. Coupled with higher logistics freight rates, the proportion of enterprises reporting high raw material costs and high logistics costs both increased MoM this month. II. The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index Rebounded In March, the non-manufacturing business activity index was 50.1%, up 0.6 percentage points MoM, indicating an improvement in the prosperity level of the non-manufacturing sector. (1) The service sector business activity index rose above the threshold. The service sector business activity index was 50.2%, up 0.5 percentage points MoM. By industry, the business activity indexes for railway transportation, telecommunications, broadcasting, television and satellite transmission services, monetary and financial services, and insurance all remained in a relatively high expansion range above 55.0%, with total business volume growing relatively fast; after Chinese New Year, the business activity indexes for retail, accommodation, catering, and other industries related to residents' travel and consumption fell below the threshold, and market activity weakened somewhat. In terms of market expectations, the service sector business activity expectations index was 54.8%, continuing to remain at a relatively high level, indicating that service sector enterprises remained optimistic about near-term market developments. (2) The construction sector business activity index improved. As construction projects across various regions gradually resumed work after the holiday, the construction sector business activity index was 49.3%, up 1.1 percentage points MoM. In terms of market expectations, the construction sector business activity expectations index was 50.5%, above the threshold, indicating that construction enterprises remained confident about future industry development. III. The Composite PMI Output Index Rose Above the Threshold In March, the composite PMI output index was 50.5%, up 1.0 percentage points MoM, indicating that the overall level of production and business activity across China's enterprises continued to improve. The manufacturing production index and the non-manufacturing business activity index, which together constitute the composite PMI output index, were 51.4% and 50.1%, respectively.