SMM News, May 12: Metals market: Overnight, domestic market base metals mostly rose. SHFE copper was up 2.35%. SHFE aluminum was up 0.57%, SHFE lead was down 0.24%. SHFE zinc was up 1.33%. SHFE tin was up 1.8%. SHFE nickel was up 0.83%. In addition, the most-traded alumina futures were up 0.53%, and the most-traded foundry aluminum futures were up 0.82%. Overnight, ferrous metals mostly fell. Iron ore was down 0.24%, stainless steel edged down, rebar was down 0.18%, and hot-rolled coil edged up. Coking coal and coke: coking coal was down 0.65%, coke was up 0.19%. Overnight, overseas market metals saw LME base metals rise across the board. LME copper was up 2.84%. LME aluminum was up 2.27%, LME lead was up 0.56%. LME zinc was up 1.19%. LME tin was up 2.31%. LME nickel was up 1.64%. Overnight precious metals : COMEX gold was up 0.31%, COMEX silver was up 7.35%. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE gold contract was up 0.45%, and the most-traded SHFE silver contract was up 6.47%. Gandharv Walia, a columnist for India's Economic Times, said that on Monday, gold prices fell as geopolitical tensions sparked inflation concerns and shifted interest rate expectations. Silver performed differently — silver typically benefits from both industrial and investment demand, and traders increased purchases on expectations of industrial use and price momentum. The market currently expects fluctuations in the precious metals market. US April inflation data will be released this week. Strong inflation data could delay interest rate cuts, which could put pressure on gold again; lower inflation could support gold prices. Global diplomatic efforts on the Iran issue are equally important, as any outcome could affect market sentiment and precious metals prices. On the other hand, silver benefits from industrial demand. The manufacturing and technology sectors require silver for electronic devices and energy systems. If economic activity remains stable, silver may continue to outperform gold. (Jin10) As of 7:18 AM, May 12, overnight closing prices: Macro front China: [The General Office of the State Council Issued the "State Council 2026 Annual Legislative Work Plan"] The State Council Legislative Plan emphasized promoting high-quality development, maintaining high-level security through high-quality legislation, and ensuring the smooth achievement of economic and social development goals during the 15th Five-Year Plan period. First, to build a high-level socialist market economic system and accelerate the construction of a new development pattern, it listed the draft Financial Law, the draft amendment to the Tendering and Bidding Law, and the formulation of regulations on building a unified national market. Second, to strengthen the rule-of-law government and optimize the business environment, it will revise the implementation regulations of the Administrative Reconsideration Law and the procedures for formulating administrative regulations. Third, to accelerate high-level scientific and technological self-reliance and stimulate cultural innovation, it listed the draft amendment to the Teachers Law and the revision of the Internet Information Service Management Measures. Fourth, to strengthen people's livelihood and accelerate green transformation, it listed the draft amendment to the Road Traffic Safety Law, the formulation of water supply regulations, and the revision of the Drug Administration Law implementation regulations. Fifth, to modernize the national security system and build a safer China, it listed the draft amendment to the Earthquake Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Law and the formulation of regulations on production safety hazard investigation and management. Sixth, to strengthen foreign-related legal systems and expand high-level opening-up, it listed the draft amendment to the Customs Law, the formulation of State Council provisions on industry chain and supply chain security, and the revision of the regulations on origin of import and export goods. Meanwhile, the State Council Legislative Plan made arrangements for accelerating comprehensive legislation on the healthy development of artificial intelligence, and outlined plans for legislation urgently needed for further comprehensive deepening of reform, accelerating government function transformation, developing new quality productive forces, safeguarding national security, strengthening foreign-related rule of law, and advancing national defense and military modernization. (Xinhua) [PBOC Q1 Monetary Policy Implementation Report: Continue to Implement Moderately Accommodative Monetary Policy] The People's Bank of China released its Q1 2026 China Monetary Policy Implementation Report. The report stated: continue to implement a moderately accommodative monetary policy. Enhance the foresight, flexibility, and precision of policies, grasp the intensity, pace, and timing of policy implementation based on economic and financial conditions in and outside China and financial market operations, strengthen coordination between monetary and fiscal policies, smooth monetary policy transmission mechanisms, and promote stable economic growth and reasonable price rebound. Flexibly use various monetary policy tools, maintain ample liquidity and relatively accommodative social financing conditions, guide reasonable growth in aggregate financial volume and balanced credit allocation, so that the growth of aggregate social financing and money supply matches economic growth and overall price level targets. [China Automotive Battery Innovation Alliance: Combined Power Battery and ESS Battery Exports Reached 31.7 Gwh in April, up 42% YoY] The latest monthly data from the China Automotive Battery Innovation Alliance showed that in April, affected by the new export tax rebate policy, China's combined power battery and ESS battery exports reached 31.7 Gwh, down 12.3% MoM and up 42.0% YoY, accounting for 19.3% of monthly sales. Among them, power battery exports were 20.2 Gwh, accounting for 63.9% of total exports, down 9.0% MoM and up 40.1% YoY; ESS battery exports were 11.4 Gwh, accounting for 36.1% of total exports, down 17.4% MoM and up 45.4% YoY. [China Chamber of Commerce for Import and Export of Machinery and Electronic Products Submitted Comments on the EU Cybersecurity Act Amendment Draft] Recently, the EU has been pushing to amend the Cybersecurity Act, adding an "ICT Supply Chain Security" chapter to the amendment draft, which introduces numerous restrictive and exclusionary provisions for market access of overseas suppliers. Once implemented, this could seriously hinder fair competition for Chinese enterprises in the EU market. The China Chamber of Commerce for Import and Export of Machinery and Electronic Products (CCCME) noted the high level of industry concern and fully utilized the EU's legislative review opportunity to submit comments to the European Commission from an industry organization perspective. CCCME also noted that recent EU measures — including the Industrial Accelerator Act and other legislative initiatives, as well as the designation of China as a "high-risk country" in inverter projects at the implementation level — could seriously affect Chinese machinery and electronics enterprises' exports to and operations in the EU. CCCME will closely monitor developments on all fronts and assist domestic enterprises in actively addressing related risks and challenges. (Wallstreetcn) [Baotou Released 16 New Housing Market Policies, to Optimize Housing Provident Fund Support] Baotou officially issued the "Measures for Continuously Promoting Stable and Healthy Development of the Real Estate Market." Among the measures, it will optimize housing provident fund support by raising the maximum loan amount for families with two or more children purchasing owner-occupied housing by 10% above the current level (currently, the maximum loan for a single contributor is 700,000 yuan, and for dual-contributor couples, 1.2 million yuan); and support flexible employment workers in voluntarily participating in the housing provident fund system with equal access to housing provident fund policies. US dollar: Overnight, the US dollar index was up 0.08%, closing at 97.94. The US "inflation week" officially kicked off, with CPI (Tuesday), PPI (Wednesday), and import prices (Thursday) all to be released this week, directly affecting judgments on the US Fed's policy path. According to the CME FedWatch tool: the probability of the US Fed keeping rates unchanged through June was 97.7%, with a 2.3% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut. The probability of rates remaining unchanged through July was 94.6%, with a 5.4% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut and a 0.1% probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point cut. Kevin Warsh, Trump's nominee for the next Fed Chairman, cleared a key procedural hurdle in the Senate on Monday local time. Powell's chairmanship will end this Friday. The Senate is expected to vote as early as Tuesday, following Monday's so-called "cloture vote," to confirm Warsh as a Fed Governor for a 14-year term. Senators will then initiate the confirmation process for his concurrent four-year term as Fed Chairman, with a vote possible as early as Wednesday. The Republican-controlled Senate is expected to approve Warsh as the next Fed leader. The US Fed's next meeting — potentially Warsh's first as chairman — is scheduled for June 16-17 local time. (Jin10) Macro: Data to be released today include Germany's April CPI monthly rate final reading, Germany's May ZEW Economic Sentiment Index, Eurozone May ZEW Economic Sentiment Index, US April NFIB Small Business Optimism Index, US weekly ADP employment change for the week ending April 25, US April non-seasonally adjusted CPI annual rate, US April seasonally adjusted CPI monthly rate, US April seasonally adjusted core CPI monthly rate, and US April non-seasonally adjusted core CPI annual rate. In addition, attention should be paid to: the Bank of Japan's release of the summary of opinions from the April monetary policy meeting; permanent FOMC voter and New York Fed President Williams participating in a panel discussion on monetary policy; and Vice Premier He Lifeng leading a delegation to South Korea from May 12-13 for trade consultations with the US side. Crude oil: Overnight, both oil futures rose, with WTI up 2.97% and Brent up 3.25%. US-Iran ceasefire negotiations reached an impasse, and the near-standstill of traffic through the Strait of Hormuz continued to intensify market concerns over energy supply disruptions, pushing oil prices higher. (Wallstreetcn) The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) allocated 53.5 million barrels of crude oil to companies including commodity trader Trafigura Group and US refiner Marathon Petroleum to help ease the oil price surge triggered by the Iran war. Ahead of the US summer driving peak, the US government is releasing near-record levels of crude oil to the market to bring down oil prices. The crude oil will be released from June to August, when refineries will ramp up capacity to meet peak gasoline demand. This sale, the second-largest SPR release in history, is also part of a global effort led by the International Energy Agency to bring down oil prices. Last week, the US had already released a record daily average of 1.22 million barrels of crude oil under this framework. The Trump administration pledged to release 172 million barrels of crude oil through a so-called "exchange program." Under this mechanism, crude oil is lent to companies and must later be returned in kind. To date, the US has agreed to release 133.1 million barrels of crude oil. (Jin10)

On May 7, Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co., Ltd. issued an announcement stating that it has signed a "Scheme Implementation Deed" and related agreement appendices with Atlantic Lithium Limited, planning to acquire 100% of its equity through a scheme of arrangement. Upon completion of the transaction, Atlantic Lithium will be consolidated into Huayou Cobalt's financial statements, and Huayou Cobalt will obtain 100% of its equity. Atlantic Lithium's main business focuses on lithium exploration and development in the African market, with its core asset being the Ewoyaa Lithium Project in Ghana. Huayou Cobalt stated that this is an important step in deepening its overseas resource layout, which will further enhance its lithium resource self-sufficiency rate and supply chain security resilience.

[Siemens Partners with Vulcan Energy to Expand Sustainable Lithium Supply in Europe] Siemens has joined forces with Vulcan Energy to advance Europe's first fully integrated lithium and renewable energy project. The two companies signed a framework agreement for the Lionheart lithium and renewable energy project in the Upper Rhine Valley, Germany. They also signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU), making Siemens the preferred supplier of automation and digitalization technologies for Vulcan Energy through 2035. Vulcan's preferred partnership with Siemens will extend from Lionheart to future development phases. The Lionheart project involves the construction of an integrated lithium and renewable energy project with a target capacity of 24,000 mt of lithium hydroxide monohydrate (LHM), sufficient to supply approximately 500,000 EV batteries per year, while providing local consumers with 275 Gwh of renewable electricity and 560 Gwh of thermal energy annually, with a projected project lifespan of 30 years. Roland Busch (pictured above), President and CEO of Siemens AG, stated: "As a strategic investor and key technology partner, we are helping Vulcan Energy establish Europe's first major sustainable lithium source. With our technologies — from advanced automation and digitalization to smart building solutions — we help ramp up production faster. This is critical for creating a local lithium supply for our energy transition and for building a more competitive, resilient, and sustainable European industry. This is a powerful example of boosting growth and competitiveness in line with the 'Made in Germany' initiative." Source: https://theenergyst.com/ [Argentina's Lithium Sector Gains Strategic Development Boost from Chinese Partners] The arrangements bringing Chinese partners into Argentina's lithium sector are fundamentally reshaping the critical minerals landscape in South America, as international cooperation has become indispensable for addressing complex supply chain demands and capital-intensive development requirements. These partnerships demonstrate how strategic alliances can accelerate project advancement while sharing technical and financial risks across complementary capabilities. Moreover, the success of these collaborative models signals a broader transformation underway in global mining operations — one in which technological expertise and market access often matter more than traditional resource ownership structures. Chinese enterprises have fundamentally altered the investment architecture of Argentina's lithium mine industry through systematic capital deployment strategies that prioritize vertical integration over speculative resource positioning. This approach reflects broader supply chain security objectives rather than purely financial returns, resulting in distinctive partnership structures that are markedly different from traditional Western mining investment models. The investment patterns emerging in northwestern Argentina demonstrate a sophisticated risk allocation mechanism between international partners and local operators. Chinese enterprises typically structure their participation through phased equity arrangements, starting with technical cooperation and gradually evolving into controlling positions based on development milestones. Source: https://discoveryalert.com.au/ [Mangrove Launches North America's First Commercial Lithium Refining Facility] Mangrove Lithium, a Canadian venture capital-backed private enterprise, launched North America's first commercial lithium refining facility in British Columbia. This marked a significant step toward establishing a secure domestic lithium supply chain for the Canadian and North American markets, supporting the continent's electrification goals. Mangrove's facility uses the company's proprietary electrochemical technology to convert extracted lithium into battery-grade materials, offering a more economical, flexible, and sustainable approach compared to traditional chemical methods. The plant has a nameplate capacity of 1,000 mt/year, capable of producing enough battery-grade lithium to support the production of approximately 25,000 EV units per year. Source: https://www.miningweekly.com/ [Global Lithium Secures Funding to Support Future Development of Manna Project] Global Lithium signed a binding terms list with global battery metals producer Lopal, covering a $7.32 million equity investment and a $75 million (A$104.85 million) offtake prepayment. The funding will accelerate the development of Global Lithium's Manna lithium mine project in Western Australia. Global Lithium also signed a separate binding agreement with a subsidiary of Lopal for the sale of mining and mineral rights interests in its Marble Bar lithium mine project in Western Australia. Lopal will pay A$14.85 million for the project, comprising A$11.85 million in fixed consideration and an additional A$3 million payable upon the granting of the mining lease. Source: https://mining.com.au/

With the recent additions, India’s ALMM List-II now features 29.9 GW of enlisted solar cell capacity. Notable updates include Jupiter Solartech increasing its total capacity to 1.77 GW and Websol Energy doubling its enlisted capacity to 1.202 GW in West Bengal. The mandatory implementation of ALMM for solar cells is set to begin on June 1, 2026. This regulatory framework is designed to bolster domestic supply chain security for government-backed projects while incentivizing Indian manufacturers to adopt advanced, high-efficiency cell technologies.

On April 10, 2026, AMPIN Solar One, a joint venture between Jupiter International and AMPIN Energy Transition, inaugurated a 1.3 GW integrated solar cell and module manufacturing facility in Bhubaneswar, Odisha. Formally opened by Odisha Chief Minister Mohan Charan Majhi, the plant was developed under India’s Production-Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme to bolster domestic manufacturing and reduce import reliance. The high-performance modules produced at the site will support AMPIN’s internal project pipeline and be supplied to third-party developers. Alok Garodia, Chairman and MD of Jupiter International, emphasized that the facility marks a significant milestone in strengthening the domestic manufacturing backbone for India’s energy transition while enhancing supply chain security.

SMM Nickel News, April 8: Macro and market news: (1) US President Trump posted on social media on April 7, stating: "I have agreed to a pause on the bombing and strikes on Iran for a period of two weeks." Iran's Supreme National Security Council issued a statement in the early hours of April 8 local time, saying that based on the Supreme Leader's recommendation and the approval of the Supreme National Security Council, it accepted the ceasefire proposal put forward by Pakistan. (2) Premier Li Qiang recently signed a State Council decree to promulgate the "Regulations of the State Council on Industry Chain and Supply Chain Security," effective from the date of promulgation. The Regulations aim to prevent industry chain and supply chain security risks, enhance the resilience and security of industry chains and supply chains, and safeguard economic and social stability as well as national security. Spot market: On April 8, SMM #1 refined nickel prices fell 550 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Spot premiums: Jinchuan #1 refined nickel averaged 3,600 yuan/mt, down 50 yuan/mt from the previous trading day; mainstream domestic electrodeposited nickel brands ranged from -600-400 yuan/mt. Futures market: The most-traded SHFE nickel 2605 contract rose in the early session before trading in a range, closing the morning session at 134,250 yuan/mt, up 0.15%. In the short term, Indonesia's policy tightening and cost support have built a solid floor for nickel prices, but high inventory and weak end-use demand capped upside room. The most-traded SHFE nickel contract is expected to trade in a core range of 133,000-143,000 yuan/mt.

Iron phosphate negotiations in April were deadlocked, with offers hitting 13,000 yuan/mt. The price surge appeared raw-material driven, but in fact reflected pricing power shifting upstream after a reversal in supply-demand fundamentals. Downstream buyers cited “cost increases” to push back, yet conveniently forgot the upstream losses quietly absorbed over the past three years. This was never about simple cost pass-through—it was a restructuring of profit distribution across the chain.

Concluding our series, we shift focus to 2026's emerging NdFeB growth drivers: robotics, low-altitude economy, and electric two-wheelers. While viewed as the "second growth curve," we analyze their actual demand support amidst current macro and industry cycles to determine if they can offset traditional sector slowdowns.

In 2026, the correction in lithium carbonate prices drove up lithium battery production costs. Coupled with uncertainties in lithium resources supply, cost pressure across the new energy industry became increasingly prominent. Leveraging the advantages of abundant sodium resources, balanced distribution, and controllable costs, sodium-ion batteries have leapt from being a “backup option” for lithium batteries to a key direction for industry breakthrough...

The US Defense Logistics Agency signed a contract with rare earth producer REalloys to support the development of next-generation thermal reduction technology for samarium and gadolinium metals. The core of the effort is to build a plant with an annual capacity of 300 mt to reduce mixed samarium–europium–gadolinium concentrates into high-purity metals. At present, the US has no commercial production of either metal and is heavily reliant on overseas supply. REalloys said its process can cut costs by 50% and has been patented. The move aims to establish domestic capacity and strengthen national defense supply chain security.