[SMM Tin Midday Review: Semiconductor Counter-Trend Rebound and Overseas Geopolitical Reversal Drag Down SHFE Tin Contract Center]
Jun 12, 2026 11:31Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) is pleased to announce that an SMM-led delegation, headed by SMM Copper & Tin Overseas Marketing Manager Jenny Wu and made up of delegates from the Indonesia Critical Minerals Conference & Expo 2026 , paid a formal visit to the Association of Indonesian Tin Exporters (AETI) on June 4. The event was organized by SMM and co-organized by Indonesia’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, National Economic Council, Indonesia Nickel Miners Association (APNI), and MMR, with the Jakarta Futures Exchange as the strategic partner. This visit underscores SMM’s commitment to fostering long-term, win-win partnerships between Indonesia’s top mineral exporters and worldwide metal industry stakeholders. During the exchange meeting, AETI representatives gave a detailed introduction to the association’s development background and the overall production and operational status of some local tin enterprises in Indonesia. In the Q&A session, the two sides had in-depth discussions on key industry topics such as the progress of Indonesian tin ore mining quota approvals and certain current industry-related policies, sharing market information and exchanging industry perspectives. This face-to-face exchange further strengthened ties between industry partners in and outside China, laying a solid foundation for future cross-regional cooperation and information sharing along the tin industry chain. Introduction to the Association of Indonesian Tin Exporters (AETI) Profile The AETI was established on May 9, 2014, and became a member of the Indonesian Chamber of Commerce and Industry (KADIN) on March 14, 2015. Objectives: Creating productive collaboration between the government, entrepreneurs, and stakeholders Increasing the added value of Indonesian Tin Encouraging the implementation of Good Mining Practices in the tin mining industry Board of AETI Management AETI Members Currently, AETI has 23 member companies of tin exporters spread across the islands of Bangka, Belitung, and Riau AETI Mandate/Functions Advocating for policies that support the national tin industry Maintaining the stability and sustainability of the tin export market Ensuring member compliance with environmental and trading regulations Serving as a forum of communication between tin exporters and the government AETI Internal Activities Training & Development AETI Member Meeting TinSeller–BuyerMeeting Others: Reclamation, Charity, Conference, etc. As a demonstration of AETI's commitment to the environment, we have launched a reclamation program targeting 500 hectares of abandoned post mining land in Bangka Belitung. AETI also runs regular social programs for the community in Bangka Belitung Indonesia Tin Update AETI forecasts that the total national tin production quota in the 2026 Mining Work Plan (RKAB) will be approximately 50,000 tons. This figure has been adjusted from around 53,000 tons in 2025 to stabilize global tin prices. Currently, ten enterprises have obtained RKAB approvals. The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) is implementing a more selective evaluation and adjustment of the RKAB. The Indonesian government has introduced these policies to secure future energy reserves while simultaneously controling the structure of tin trade to prevent illegal mining practices. Dynamics of Indonesian Tin Industry Regulatory Policies The dynamics of tin regulation in Indonesia over past years have undergone a massive paradigm shift. Driven by ensuring the sustainability and improving the governance of natural resources, optimizing state revenue and promoting downstream industrialization. 1. The validity period of the RKAB has been restored to one year (previously a three-year system). The policy aims to strengthen the government’s supervision of annual production, close loopholes in illegal mining, and adjust quotas in real time based on global market demand. Legal basis: an Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) ministerial regulation, now officially implemented. Currently, smelters must reapply annually, and the approval process is becoming stricter. While this measure reduces the predictability of multi-year supply, it has effectively curbed speculative over-application of production quotas. 2. Downstream development policy (Hilirisasi) This drives Indonesia’s transformation from an exporter of raw materials and refined ingots into a producer of high-value-added finished products, retaining profits domestically. The policy is a key pillar of the current government’s national development philosophy and falls under the President’s eight core governance goals (Asta Cita). Indonesia has streamlined regulatory rules for the export of industrial tin products, covering raw material procurement and product technical standards, thereby promoting the domestic production and export of high-end tin products such as tin solder, tin chemicals, tin powder, and tin plate. 3. Designating tin as a critical strategic mineral Tin has been elevated to a strategic status concerning national resilience and security, ensuring long-term domestic supply for key industries such as EVs and electronics. Legal basis: the Presidential Regulation on the Governance of Critical and Strategic Minerals, currently under development. With tin classified as a critical strategic mineral, mining supervision becomes stricter, and the central government gains the highest authority over production control. This has accelerated the downstreamization of Indonesia’s tin industry and, together with tightening global supply, has at times driven a significant rise in tin prices. 4. Establishing a benchmark price for tin ore This creates a fair, standardized price floor for domestic tin ore transactions in Indonesia, ensuring optimal state revenue (royalties) while securing reasonable income for local miners/partners. Legal basis: an ESDM ministerial regulation, under development. The policy can eliminate low-ball pricing and malicious push for lower prices among local miners, partners, and smelters. Domestic ore transaction prices are set with reference to public international benchmarks such as the London Metal Exchange, the Indonesia Commodity Exchange, and the Jakarta Futures Exchange, and are adjusted based on local actual costs. 5. Single export gateway policy for strategic commodities Strategic commodities must go through a designated unified gateway/trading platform for centralized export business, enabling whole-process compliance supervision, traceable flows, and ensuring full payment of taxes and royalties. Legal basis: joint regulations formulated by the Ministry of Economic Affairs and the Ministry of Trade, currently under development. Export business is handled exclusively through the state-designated institution — Danantara Sumber Daya Indonesia — which may weaken the role of domestic private enterprises in the export process.
Jun 8, 2026 15:49[SMM Morning Meeting Notes: Tin Prices in Tug of War Between Demand Expectations Outside China and Weak Domestic Spot Uptake]
Jun 8, 2026 09:05SHFE tin opened the week with a rally in full swing, pushing prices to within striking distance of an all-time high, primarily driven by supply-side disruptions and the computing power theme. In the last two days, however, the market suddenly reversed course, with prices pulling back sharply in a broad decline that completely erased the week’s earlier gains. What changed in the market’s trading logic? Rise and Fall on the Same Catalyst: Semiconductor Stocks Pull Back As the iteration of large AI models advances and high-end computing power chips are upgraded, the amount of solder required in their production increases. This year, tin’s label as a computing-power metal has continued to strengthen. Amid the AI frenzy, semiconductor indices outside China maintained a sustained rally, which not only boosted demand expectations for tin but also significantly benefited tin prices through the stock-futures linkage effect. However, heights breed danger. After a parabolic surge, chip stocks repeatedly hit new highs. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index components recently traded at 26 times forward 12-month earnings, well above the 10-year average of 21 times. The AI space became increasingly crowded, and market disagreement grew over the rally’s sustainability. Going forward, whether AI demand effectively spreads and the earnings performance of chip leaders have become the market’s center of focus. The newly released revenue of chipmaker Broadcom missed expectations, cooling the AI fervour to some extent. Overnight, chip stocks suffered a collective sell-off, and today the South Korean stock market plunged, with Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix falling sharply. Against the backdrop of a significant pullback in semiconductor stocks, tin prices were inevitably dragged down, leading the decline in China’s commodity futures market today. The market is now assessing whether AI infrastructure investment has already overdrawn future growth expectations, though some investors remain optimistic. Yesterday, the US Nasdaq index opened lower but rebounded to largely recoup its losses by the close. The overall market style displayed a rotation of funds rather than a mass exodus, making it difficult to argue that the bullish expectations for future semiconductor stocks have completely dissipated. Overseas Central Bank Policy Expectations Turn Hawkish, Liquidity Concerns Intensify Recent US-Iran negotiations have seen repeated developments, but judging by the overall trend in precious and base metals, the market largely ignored the short-term headline noise. The overall trend remained under pressure, mainly weighed down by liquidity concerns. Market expectations for the timing of potential interest rate hikes by European and US central banks are being pulled forward, with multiple factors reinforcing this view. On one hand, US economic data showed resilience. The US ISM Manufacturing PMI rose to 54 in May, a near four-year high and the fifth consecutive month in expansion territory. Some employment data showed improvement, and the labour market maintained its characteristic of "low hiring, low layoffs," providing ample justification for a policy shift. On the other hand, US inflationary pressures are evident. Both the PCE price index and the US Fed’s Beige Book indicated that cooling consumption and rising price pressures have emerged simultaneously across multiple sectors. Uptick in inflation is tightening the outlook for monetary policy. In addition, the overall stance of US Fed officials has turned hawkish. The minutes from the April Federal Reserve meeting showed that the internal assessment has shifted, from previously expecting interest rate cuts later in the year to a greater inclination to maintain current rate levels for an extended period, and even not ruling out a further increase in borrowing costs. Recently, several officials also released hiking signals, stating that if inflation remains persistently high, the possibility of further policy tightening cannot be ruled out. Fundamentals Have Not Shifted, Supply-Side Support Remains Overall, the sharp pullback in SHFE tin over the latest two days was mainly dragged down by liquidity risk and a cooling of the AI frenzy. Tin prices have always exhibited high elasticity. Currently, the futures price has only given back the gains of the preceding two days, with the center not yet moving further downward, which indirectly reflects that support from the tin market’s supply-demand structure still exists. Currently, traditional demand-side tracks remain subdued, while the emerging computing power engine remains robust. Marginal growth keeps demand expectations for the tin market bullish, while ongoing supply-side disruptions bring more upward momentum. Recently, key producing regions including Myanmar, the DRC, and Indonesia have all seen varying degrees of disturbance. Specifically, supply recovery in Myanmar has been slow, hampered by operational restrictions, material approvals, and accidents. The Goma border crossing in the DRC was previously closed due to an Ebola outbreak, raising market concerns about supply disruptions. Indonesia’s export policy outlook carries high uncertainty, with the overall policy direction showing a persistently tightening trend, reflecting deeper resource nationalism and the bottleneck of tin ore flows against the backdrop of resource de-globalization. In summary, current inflationary pressures are intensifying, and interest rate hikes by European and US central banks seem to be on the verge of deployment, making it difficult to expect any easing in liquidity. Commodity trends will remain under pressure. However, the computing power theme is unlikely to fizzle out, and mine-side supply growth is limited, which may restrict near-term downside space. The market retains a bullish outlook for SHFE tin over the medium and long term. (Wenhua, Synthesized)
Jun 5, 2026 15:40[SMM Morning Meeting Minutes: China's Tin Market Overall Shows a Pattern of Weak Supply and Demand; Consumption End Has Limited Acceptance of High Prices]
May 25, 2026 08:55"Tin" Leads the Future: Industrial Transformation and Value Reshaping in a New Cycle Conference Background Currently, the global tin industry stands at a historic turning point, where traditional cyclical logic has been completely disrupted and strategic value has become fully prominent. The tin market in 2026 presents an unprecedented complex pattern and profound transformation: I. Deep Restructuring of the Supply-Demand Pattern with Unprecedented Enhancement of Strategic Attributes The global tin resource static reserve-to-production ratio is only 14 years, with scarcity becoming increasingly prominent. The supply side faces "triple pressures": repeated setbacks in Myanmar's production resumptions, continued tightening of Indonesian policies, and elevated geopolitical risks in the DRC — resource constraints have become the new normal. Meanwhile, the demand structure has undergone fundamental changes, with tin becoming a strategic resource connecting traditional manufacturing to the digital future. II. Price System Breaking Historical Records with Industrial Ecosystem Facing Reshaping In early 2026, SHFE tin prices broke through 470,000 yuan/mt, hitting a record high. This price breakthrough is not only a reflection of supply-demand imbalance but also a marker of value reassessment for the tin industry. Traditional trade models, risk management systems, and supply chain collaboration methods all urgently require innovative breakthroughs. III. Technology-Driven and Green Transformation Catalyzing a New Symbiotic Ecosystem Digitalization and intelligent technologies are deeply empowering the tin industry chain. The global green transformation requires the tin industry to upgrade toward low-carbonisation and circular economy, with recycled tin recovery and green smelting processes becoming an inevitable path. All segments of the industry chain must shift from competition to collaboration, building an open, resilient, and innovative symbiotic system. Against this backdrop, August 19-21, 2026 in Changsha, Hunan the 2026 SMM (16th) Tin Industry Chain Conference will bring together global industry elites for joint discussions. Ganzhou Yunsheng Tin Co., Ltd. will attend this grand event, discussing industry development trends with industry peers and jointly driving the tin industry toward new heights. Click the to register immediately, witness and participate in this extraordinary and far-reaching industry event, and co-create a brilliant new chapter! Ganzhou Yunsheng Tin Co., Ltd. was registered and established in December 2017, with its registered address at the West Zone of the Industrial Management Area, Longling Town, Nankang District, Ganzhou City. The company's main businesses include tin metal processing and sales; non-ferrous metal powder and tin by-product production and sales; metal materials, timber construction and decoration, mineral products, and machinery equipment sales; and import and export business of goods and technologies. Since its official registration and establishment in 2017, the company currently focuses on tin ingot and mineral product sales, vigorously expanding upstream and downstream related industries. Its downstream coverage is extensive, serving quality enterprise clients in solar PV, storage battery, electronic solder, tin chemicals, tinplate, tin plated copper wire, tin alloy, and other sectors. Its business partners are primarily distributed across Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Jiangxi, Guangdong, Fujian, and other regions. Committed to achieving rapid, stable, and healthy development of the enterprise. Ganzhou Yunsheng Tin Industry Co., Ltd. has been engaged in the production and trade of tin and tungsten since 2005 and started tin ingot trade in 2016. Currently, its main business covers the tin raw material industry chain, including tin ore, tin ingots, crude tin, and secondary tin materials. Relying on the business of tin and tungsten production and trade, the company focuses on the trade projects of the tin raw material industry chain, including tin ore, tin ingots, crude tin, and secondary tin materials, and actively expands other new fields and projects. It has established strategic cooperative relationships with domestic ore traders, smelters, logistics and trade agents and service providers, and financial institutions in China. In the future development, the company will innovate trade models, optimize the structure of trade products, and improve the efficiency of the trade process to achieve mutual benefit and win-win results. With decades of deep engagement in the tin industry, the company has always adhered to the business principles of people-oriented management and integrity-based operations since its establishment, enabling the enterprise to maintain competitiveness in the fierce market competition and achieve rapid and stable development. Ganzhou Yunsheng Tin Industry Co., Ltd. was registered and established in December 2017, with its registered address at the West District of Longling Industrial Management Zone, Nankang District, Ganzhou City. The company's main business includes tin metal processing and sales; production and sales of non-ferrous metal powder and tin by-products; sales of metal materials, wood for building decoration, mineral products, and mechanical equipment; and import and export of goods and technologies. After its official registration in 2017, the company currently focuses on the sales of tin ingots and mineral products, and is vigorously expanding related upstream and downstream industries. Its downstream coverage is extensive, including high-quality enterprise customers such as solar photovoltaic, storage batteries, electronic soldering, tin chemicals, tinplate, tin-coated copper wire, and tin alloys. The business partners are mainly located in Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Jiangxi, Guangdong, and Fujian. The company is committed to achieving rapid, stable, and healthy development. Ganzhou Yunsheng Tin Industry Co., Ltd. has been engaged in the production and trade of tin and tungsten since 2005 and started tin ingot trade in 2016. Currently, its main business covers the tin raw material industry chain, including tin ore, tin ingots, crude tin, and secondary tin materials. Relying on the business of tin and tungsten production and trade, the company focuses on the trade projects of tin ore, tin ingots, crude tin, and secondary tin materials, and actively expands other new fields and projects. It has established strategic cooperative relationships with domestic mining companies, smelters, logistics and trade agents, service providers, and financial institutions. In the future development, the company will innovate trade models, optimize the structure of trade products, and improve the efficiency of the trade process to achieve mutual benefit and win-win results. The company has been deeply involved in the tin industry for decades. Since its establishment, it has always adhered to the business principle of "people-oriented and integrity-based", enabling the company to maintain its competitiveness in the fierce market competition and achieve rapid and stable development. Contact Information Liao Xiaoyun 13766335535 Long Press to Scan the QR Code and Register Now 2026 SMM (16th) Tin Industry Chain Conference
May 19, 2026 10:09"Tin" Leads the Future: Industrial Transformation and Value Reshaping in a New Cycle Conference Background Currently, the global tin industry stands at a historic turning point, where traditional cyclical logic has been fundamentally disrupted and strategic value has become fully prominent. The tin market in 2026 presents an unprecedented complex pattern and profound transformation: I. Deep Restructuring of the Supply-Demand Pattern with Unprecedented Elevation of Strategic Attributes The global tin resource static reserve-to-production ratio is only 14 years, with scarcity becoming increasingly prominent. The supply side faces "triple pressures": repeated setbacks in Myanmar's production resumptions, continued policy tightening in Indonesia, and elevated geopolitical risks in the DRC — resource constraints have become the new normal. Meanwhile, the demand structure has undergone a fundamental shift, and tin has become a strategic resource connecting traditional manufacturing with the digital future. II. Price System Breaking Historical Records with the Industrial Ecosystem Facing Reshaping In early 2026, SHFE tin prices broke through 470,000 yuan/mt, hitting a record high. This price breakthrough is not only a reflection of supply-demand imbalance but also a hallmark of value reassessment for the tin industry. Traditional trade models, risk management systems, and supply chain collaboration approaches all urgently require innovative breakthroughs. III. Technology-Driven and Green Transformation Fostering a New Symbiotic Ecosystem Digitalisation and intelligent technologies are deeply empowering the tin industry chain. The global green transformation requires the tin industry to upgrade toward low-carbonisation and circular economy models, making recycled tin recovery and green smelting processes an inevitable path. All segments of the industry chain must shift from competition to collaboration, building an open, resilient, and innovative symbiotic system. Against this backdrop, August 19-21, 2026 in Changsha, Hunan , the 2026 SMM (16th) Tin Industry Chain Conference will bring together global industry elites for in-depth discussions. Dongguan Tenghui Tin Co., Ltd. will attend this grand event, joining industry peers to explore industry development trends and work together to propel the tin industry to new heights. Click the to register now, and together witness and participate in this extraordinary and far-reaching industry event, co-creating a brilliant new chapter! Tenghui Tin was established in 2009 and is located in Dongguan, Guangdong Province. Since its founding, the company has been dedicated to refined production and deep processing in the solder tin industry. With high-quality products, outstanding reputation, and excellent services, it has earned widespread industry recognition and has grown into a reliable and trusted producer in the industry. Tenghui Tin boasts a professional management team and production team, and has established long-term, stable cooperative relationships with suppliers across the country. The company adheres to reasonable pricing, trustworthiness, and contract compliance, winning the trust of a broad client base. We possess the most comprehensive production equipment and process flows in the industry, with a daily output of refined tin reaching 30 mt, and are equipped with advanced detection equipment such as desktop SPECTRO direct-reading spectrometers and handheld spectral guns, enabling us to provide clients with professional detection services. In terms of corporate culture, Tenghui Tin Industry upholds the mission of "cooperating with sincerity, operating with integrity, pursuing excellence in business, dedicating to environmental protection, and becoming China's most professional non-ferrous metal resource recycling enterprise." We pursue excellence, value every detail, and are committed to providing clients with satisfactory value-added services and high-grade products. Every employee of the company understands that clients are the source of our livelihood, and their attention and patronage are the greatest reward for us. We advocate integrity, innovation, quality, and service, always centering on clients, and strive to provide the best solutions through continuously improving technical capabilities and service quality. Tenghui Tin Industry is not merely a producer, but also a socially responsible enterprise. We are dedicated to environmental protection and hope to make positive contributions to society and the environment through our efforts. Whenever you need, just one supply call and we will provide door-to-door service in the shortest time. We welcome all organizations, companies, enterprises, and individuals to come and discuss cooperation and inquire about prices. We look forward to joining hands with you to create a bright future together. Main business: Production and sales of national standard white board refined tin, foil tin, 305 tin materials, standard tin copper, 0307 tin materials, 63\37 tin materials, national standard silver board, and other products. Contact Information Liao Huaiqing 13714200395 Liao Guoxiong 13828701483 Long press to scan the code and register now 2026 SMM (16th) Tin Industry Chain Conference
May 19, 2026 10:08[SMM Morning Meeting Minutes: International Macro Environment Presented a Mixed Bullish-Bearish Landscape, Tin Prices Expected to Continue Moving Sideways at High Levels This Week]
May 18, 2026 08:50[SMM Analysis: Stripping Away Macro Noise: Analysis of the Substantive Impact of Peru's Emergency Decree on Tin Supply]
May 12, 2026 18:03Risk appetite has improved notably in the market recently, and SHFE tin rode the momentum to rally sharply in succession. Futures prices have successfully breached the 400,000 mark, hitting a new high in over two months, with extremely strong performance. What factors are supporting the tin price rally that is in full swing? Can the bullish stance continue? Middle East Tensions Ease, Risk Appetite Recovers Since the sudden escalation of Middle East geopolitical tensions in late February, affected by changes in inflation expectations caused by wild swings in energy prices, global equities and most commodity prices have exhibited a seesaw effect with energy products. Recently, the Middle East situation has been rapidly evolving, market risk appetite has fluctuated accordingly, and SHFE tin futures—whose price movements have always been susceptible to sentiment—have seen significantly amplified fluctuations. During the holiday, the US pushed the so-called operation to clear stranded vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, US-Iran conflict escalated sharply, the ceasefire agreement was in jeopardy, and market risk appetite weakened at one point. However, after the holiday, positive news from US-Iran negotiations emerged repeatedly. US President Trump posted on social media on the evening of May 5 (Eastern Time), stating that the "Freedom Plan" to "clear" vessel passage through the Strait of Hormuz would be suspended in the short term. On May 6, Trump expressed optimism multiple times about reaching a deal with Iran, saying the US and Iran had "productive" dialogue over the past 24 hours and that a final agreement was "very likely." Additionally, according to multiple White House officials and informed sources, both sides are extremely close to reaching a one-page memorandum of understanding. Based on the current statements from both sides, hopes for ending the conflict are rising, energy prices have pulled back sharply, risk appetite has improved notably, providing fertile ground for tin price gains. Semiconductor Stocks Launch a Bull Feast, Optimism Spills Over It is currently earnings season for publicly listed firms. The latest quarterly results and outlooks from US chip giants have been quite impressive, with Intel, Micron, and others surging collectively, and the US Nasdaq index hitting new highs repeatedly. South Korea's two memory chip giants Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix have soared sharply, while A-share listed Cambricon touched a high of 1,966 yuan, reflecting the resonance between booming industry performance and macro tailwinds. Since tin is an indispensable material in chip manufacturing and packaging, against the backdrop of semiconductor stocks rallying collectively and the computing-power metal narrative continuing to unfold, demand expectations for the tin market are highly optimistic. Leading tin stocks surged sharply on the boost, and driven by futures-equity linkage sentiment, capital has flooded in. SHFE tin saw significant increases in open interest over two consecutive days while rising, and futures prices are now just one step away from the previous high. Demand Side Rich in Narratives, Social Inventory Running at Low Levels Returning to tin's own supply-demand fundamentals, structural tightness on the ore side continues to constrain tin ingot output, and policy uncertainties along with supply disruption news from major overseas producing regions frequently impact tin prices. Currently, Myanmar's production resumptions are progressing slower than expected, and with the rainy season approaching, production may remain constrained. Although Indonesia's export quotas have increased somewhat, policy remains unstable, and recently a phased supply gap has emerged due to export license renewal procedures. Customs data showed that tin ore imports exceeded 17,000 mt in each of the first three months of this year, all with significant YoY increases. China's refined tin output is in the ramp-up stage, and institutions will also successively release April production data soon, so supply recovery warrants continued attention. The tin market's demand side has relatively strong support, and under the computing-power metal concept, there are many tradeable themes that frequently provide upward momentum for tin prices. Since AI servers and other high-end chips require 3-5 times more tin solder than ordinary servers, the semiconductor industry's prosperity has become the main driver supporting tin price trends. Currently, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is at a high level of prosperity, having steadily broken through the 10,000-point mark, and global semiconductor sales also grew significantly in Q1, with tin solder demand expected to continue growing. NEV side, although growth has slowed down somewhat, NEV production and sales have rebounded quickly, and their tin consumption demand remains relatively stable. PV side, new PV installations are not expected to grow, but policy floor expectations exist. Meanwhile, traditional production and sales expectations for home appliances, consumer electronics, and other sectors are also relatively weak, and tin chemicals are unlikely to see much additional demand growth. During the traditional peak demand season of March-April, China's tin market performed moderately, with tin ingot social inventory declining to a nearly four-month low, reflecting seasonal destocking. However, with the recent sharp rally in tin prices, spot premiums for tin in China have narrowed significantly, and the sustainability of demand under high prices still warrants attention going forward. Overall, the recent tin price surge was truly a confluence of favorable timing, conditions, and sentiment—support from the macro front, sentiment, and supply-demand fundamentals were all indispensable. Currently, geopolitical tensions have eased, the constraint on risk assets has loosened, the prosperity of global semiconductor-related stocks continues, and optimistic sentiment still easily transmits to SHFE tin futures. The low open interest characteristic of SHFE tin also amplifies futures price fluctuations. However, it is worth noting that the Middle East situation is prone to reversals, and after the semiconductor sector has repeatedly hit new highs, one should also be wary of potential pullback risks—caution is advised before rushing to buy amid continuous price rises. (Webstock Inc.)
May 7, 2026 19:28