H1 2026, performance of listed companies in the solid-state battery supply chain showed stark divergence. Traditional lithium battery material suppliers reaped huge profit growth (Tinci Materials +>900%) due to price rebounds, while overseas start-ups remained deep in the red (QuantumScape net loss $199M).

This week, platinum and palladium retreated after a rapid rise and then consolidated at highs. Weaker nonfarm payrolls and a mild pullback in CPI fueled a cooling of rate-hike expectations. However, the US and Iran became embroiled in a compensation dispute and the strait remained closed. Together with technical resistance and profit-taking, prices came under pressure and pulled back. Spot market quotes were marked by relative involution, and consumption remained subdued.

Precious metals fluctuated at highs overall this week, with spot gold rallying from $4,240 to above $4,440 and hitting a two-month high. The core drivers were a sharp downside surprise in July nonfarm payrolls and a mild pullback in CPI; expectations for a US Fed interest rate hike in September cooled significantly, the US dollar and US Treasury yields both pulled back, and central bank gold purchases accelerated. Watch for a rebound in oil prices, supply pressure in US Treasuries, and a short-term technical pullback.

August production schedules were further under pressure, with the MoM impact on refined lead reaching -22,300 mt. Most enterprises had held a pessimistic view on the market outlook earlier, making maintenance and low-load operations the norm. Many smelters postponed their originally planned production resumptions for August to September.

[Ore Side: Overseas Market Strong, Spot Steady; Inquiries Recover but Transactions Need to Follow Up] August 11, 2026 – Ferrochrome and chrome ore markets fluctuated slightly...

[SMM Analysis: July LiPF6 Production Slightly Expanded, Limited Growth and Low Inventory Support Market Recovery] In July 2026, China's LiPF6 production saw steady expansion, with industry monthly production up about 1.5% MoM and about 75% YoY, while the overall supply release pace remained relatively slow.

The lowest monthly rental price for H100 in western China rebounded to 73,000 yuan (up 1.39%), the lowest hourly rate rose to 12.67 yuan, and the bargain-hunting window narrowed; the highest prices for A800 in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei remained at 33,000 yuan/5.73 yuan, trading sideways. Spot cargoes are king, and newly released resources are riding the wave; at the end of the year, data centers in Fujian will release over 30 H100 SXM units, and if supply remains tight, prices may stay high or even rise.

This week (August 3-7, 2026), the SMM #1 lead weekly average price was 15,425 yuan/mt, down 40 yuan/mt WoW, with prices falling to the lowest level since late June 2023. At the beginning of the week, lead prices plunged sharply, market risk-aversion sentiment clearly heated up, and procurement sentiment among downstream enterprises diverged. Some enterprises adopted a wait-and-see approach due to concerns of further declines, while others restocked for essential needs at lower prices. Overall spot market transactions were mixed. As lead prices fell to lows, primary lead smelters' sentiment to hold back from selling at low prices strengthened. Some enterprises suspended external quotations and shipments, and the few that maintained shipments also had firm quotations. Main producing area primary lead quotations were at premiums of 50 yuan/mt against the SMM #1 lead average price ex-factory. In secondary lead, most smelters also suspended shipments to wait and see, resulting in reduced availability of circulating cargoes. A few smelters quoted at premiums of 25-50 yuan/mt against the SMM #1 lead average price ex-factory, with a small number posting premiums as high as 125 yuan/mt. After mid-week, as news of maintenance and production cuts at primary and secondary lead enterprises increased, market expectations of subsequent supply tightening grew, and lead prices stopped falling and rebounded. Downstream enterprises had some restocking demand at the early stage of the price rebound, but as lead prices rose further, considering the limited improvement in end-use consumption, their procurement enthusiasm declined again, and transactions for high-priced cargoes turned quiet. The overall market maintained a pace of purchasing as needed.

SMM, August 7: As of August 6, secondary lead finished product inventories stood at 27,600 mt, down 6,700 mt MoM. This week, lead prices dipped before rebounding. Downstream users took advantage of low prices for essential restocking, and coupled with ongoing production cuts at smelters and lower operating rates, tightening supply drove destocking of smelters' inventories. Battery consumption remained in the off-season. Downstream saw no large-scale stockpiling, with most purchases made as needed, and transactions were mild. Looking ahead to next week, secondary lead production cuts are expected to continue, and tightening spot supply will continue to support destocking. However, end-use demand remains weak, and lead price rebound lacks momentum. Primary lead's cost advantage continues to divert demand, making a significant improvement in downstream purchases unlikely. Smelter inventories are expected to keep drawing down but at a limited pace, and the market is likely to consolidate on a subdued note. Focus on the implementation of smelter production cuts and end-user rigid demand.

This week, industry chain prices diverged. Lithium ore edged down alongside lithium carbonate, but mines continued to hold prices firm, making profit distribution across the industry chain a market focus. Supported by maintenance and tight spot order supply, lithium carbonate prices consolidated on a subdued note, while lithium hydroxide prices initially fell before rebounding. The cobalt industry chain remained generally under pressure—with weakening overseas quotations and sluggish off-season demand, refined cobalt, intermediate products, and cobalt salt prices continued to weaken, and the price spread between buyers and sellers widened. Nickel sulphate edged down, with the market still primarily focused on destocking; ternary cathode precursor prices declined due to weaker nickel and cobalt salt prices, while ternary cathode material prices remained basically stable. LFP prices proved resilient, supported by rising processing fees, with August production schedules continuing to grow and high-quality capacity remaining tight. Artificial graphite prices rose, the supply-demand balance for separators stayed in tight balance, and electrolyte prices were pushed up by raw material cost transmission. Supply of key materials for sodium-ion batteries remained tight, while recycling-side transactions were subdued. On the terminal side, EV and ESS demand maintained resilience, though the consumer market recovery remained limited. Looking ahead, the focus will be on peak season stockpiling and demand realization.