【SMM Steel】ArcelorMittal Kryvyi Rih will halt its Foundry and Mechanical Plant (LMZ) in three months, cutting over 1,700 jobs. Total cuts exceed 2,400 with the blooming shop also closing. Soaring power costs from infrastructure attacks and expensive imports made steel production unviable. EU's CBAM, effective 2026 with no Ukraine exemption, blocked European market access, drying up LMZ orders.

[SMM Daily Chrome Review: Ore-Side Uptrend Continued, with Cost Support for Ferrochrome] News on March 4, 2026: The ex-factory price of high-carbon ferrochrome in Inner Mongolia was flat MoM from the previous trading day…

The Middle East turmoil triggered by the joint military strikes launched by the United States and Israel against Iran has become the largest geopolitical black swan for the global primary aluminum market, potentially causing supply disruptions on the order of several million mt while also pushing up smelting costs. Coupled with risk-off market sentiment, aluminum price volatility may be amplified. Going forward, it is necessary to remain vigilant against risks such as escalation of the conflict, strait blockades, and raw material supply cutoffs, as well as further impacts on aluminum prices from macro disruptions, and to respond prudently to operational and investment risks arising from supply chain fluctuations.

SMM February 28 news: According to SMM data, the average tax-inclusive full cost of China's aluminum industry in February 2026 fell 0.9% MoM and dropped 5.7% YoY. During the period, alumina raw material costs and auxiliary material costs declined, and the total cost pulled back slightly. The average SMM A00 spot price (January 26–February 25) in February was largely stable, and aluminum profit margins expanded to 7,707 yuan/mt. If the industry calculates based on the monthly average price, 100% of domestic operating aluminum capacity was profitable in February. Cost breakdown: Alumina raw material side : SMM data showed the average SMM alumina index in February was 2,621 yuan/mt (January 26–February 25), down 1.7% MoM. Production cuts at alumina plants during the month shifted inventory to destocking, but after the holiday, some aluminum smelters proactively reduced inventory, resulting in actual demand being lower than theoretical demand. Prices saw only a slight rebound by month-end, and the monthly average price dropped MoM. Entering March, alumina prices face both bullish and bearish factors. On one hand, operating alumina capacity is expected to decline MoM; on the other hand, aluminum smelters’ proactive destocking is expected to reduce demand. Overall, alumina raw material prices are projected to change by a relatively small margin. Auxiliary material market side : Both prebaked anode and fluoride salt prices pulled back in February. In March, prebaked anode and aluminum fluoride prices are expected to maintain a slight downward trend, and auxiliary material costs are projected to decrease. Electricity price side : Electricity prices were generally stable in February, with slight declines in some regions, leading to a small drop in the national average aluminum power cost. Entering March, electricity prices are expected to remain largely stable, and aluminum power costs are projected to hold steady. Overall, SMM expects the weighted average tax-inclusive full cost of China's aluminum industry in March 2026 to be largely stable, averaging around 15,750–16,150 yuan/mt.

During the Chinese New Year holiday in 2026, the SiMn market operated steadily overall, with spot prices maintaining sideways movement. The fluctuation range in the operating rate of alloy plants was relatively small, and the market as a whole exhibited a "supply-demand weak balance with prominent cost support" pattern.

South Africa's Eskom applied to the energy regulator for approval of an interim electricity tariff, offering an 87 cents/kWh preferential rate for Samancor Chrome and the Glencore-Merafe Chrome joint venture. This is a temporary measure aimed at maintaining smelter operations, while parties continue to negotiate a longer-term solution with the goal of further reducing the tariff to 62 cents/kWh. The utility also requested the National Energy Regulator of South Africa to extend the "take-or-pay" obligation exemption for the two enterprises by another 12 months. The exemption pertains to obligations under pricing agreements negotiated with Eskom that took effect in 2024. These agreements stipulate that ferrochrome producers must meet at least 70% of their contracted electricity consumption; however, due to the industry's loss of competitiveness and multiple smelter shutdowns, this condition can no longer be fulfilled. In August last year, Samancor Chrome and the Glencore-Merafe Chrome JV cited operational difficulties arising from these clauses, prompting the regulator to approve a six-month exemption, which is set to expire at the end of January. Eskom's distribution unit head, Gugulethu Dumakude, acknowledged that the interim tariff of 87 cents/kWh is still not enough to restore ferrochrome producers to the production levels envisaged in the pricing agreements, but it would help them slightly increase electricity consumption from current levels. She added that this interim tariff, combined with the "take-or-pay" exemption, would also provide Eskom and the Department of Mineral Resources and Energy with buffer space to finalise a more sustainable electricity pricing solution with the ferrochrome industry. Neels Best, President of the South African Ferroalloy Producers Association, confirmed that the industry needs a tariff of 62 cents/kWh to resume production and avoid the Section 189 retrenchment processes already initiated by several ferroalloy enterprises, including those outside the ferrochrome sector. Therefore, he also argued that the final negotiated solution should not be limited to the ferrochrome industry but should extend to manganese, silicon, and vanadium smelters—all of which are facing operational difficulties due to "escalating electricity prices." Best pointed out that only 4 of South Africa's 48 electric furnace ferrochrome smelters are currently operating; likewise, only 4 of the 19 smelters in other ferroalloy sectors remain in production. He stated, "Today, electricity costs account for 40% to 60% of total production costs in the ferroalloy industry. To sustain the sector, it is crucial to establish an internationally competitive electricity tariff." He also warned that without an electricity pricing policy that supports local mineral beneficiation, South Africa faces widespread deindustrialization and job losses. Theo Morkel, Managing Director of South Africa's Transalloys, further corroborated this view, sharing cost comparison data showing that even under the company's pricing agreement with Eskom, the electricity cost for producing SiMn is as high as $634/mt, far exceeding the international benchmark—where power costs for SiMn production range from as low as $147/mt to a maximum of $338/mt. Thus, Morkel said that while he supports immediately implementing the interim tariff relief for Samancor Chrome and the Glencore-Merafe Chrome JV, the rest of South Africa's ferroalloy industry equally urgently requires similar relief measures, as these sectors also face plant closures and job losses. Tengo Tengela, Trade and Industry Coordinator of the South African Federation of Trade Unions, also expressed support for the electricity tariff relief application, warning that if smelters are forced to shut down, around 300,000 direct and indirect jobs would be at risk. However, he called on the National Energy Regulator of South Africa to approve the application on the condition that the relevant enterprises suspend further retrenchment actions. The South African National Energy Regulator has not yet announced a decision timetable for this application, but Eskom has stated that the relevant approval must be issued by the end of February at the latest.

According to SMM data, the average tax-inclusive full cost for China's aluminum industry in November 2025 was 16,057 yuan/mt, up 1.1% MoM but down 21% YoY.

The Aluminium Federation (ALFED) has urged the UK Government to take swift action on industrial electricity pricing, warning that current rates—about 50% higher than those in key European economies—are undermining the aluminium sector’s competitiveness and resilience. In a letter to Baroness Curran at the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero, ALFED stressed aluminium’s strategic role in defence, aerospace, and infrastructure. The submission calls for aligning UK power costs with European levels, exploring tools like ARENH-style contracts or gas caps, and developing a clear cross-departmental pricing reform roadmap. A unified industrial voice, ALFED says, is essential for long-term growth, job creation, and decarbonisation.

In recent years, the significant fluctuations in lithium prices have subjected enterprises across the industry chain to a rollercoaster of experiences. Although lithium prices have long since lost their former glory, the development prospects of the new energy industry chain remain bright under the advocacy of the global low-carbon economy, and the importance of lithium resources has become increasingly prominent. As one of the regions with the most abundant lithium resources globally, South America, particularly the "Lithium Triangle" region (Bolivia, Argentina, and Chile), holds over 55% of the world's proven lithium resources. Therefore, South America's lithium resources play a pivotal role in the global energy transition. Against this backdrop, SMM organized the 2025 SMM South American Lithium Resources Field Trip . Led by Chen Siyu, the project manager of SMM's overseas South American lithium resources field trip, and Zhou Zhicheng, a senior analyst in new energy and lithium batteries, the delegation visited South American lithium-related enterprises, toured local lithium mines and material companies, and held discussions with company executives from May 15 to May 26, 2025, to explore potential opportunities in lithium ore resource development, technological exchanges, and investment cooperation. On May 19, SMM and delegation members headed to Ganfeng Lithium for in-depth exchanges. Company Profile SMM and delegation members visited Ganfeng Lithium , where Yu Xingguo, the overall operational head of Minera Exar for the Cauchari-Olaroz project in Jujuy Province, warmly received the delegation and provided a detailed introduction to the company's business development. As a well-known lithium ore giant in China, Ganfeng Lithium Group's business spans the entire industry chain, from resource extraction, refining and processing, to battery manufacturing and recycling. Its products are widely used in electric vehicles, energy storage systems (ESS), 3C products, chemicals, and pharmaceuticals. The group's lithium ore resources are distributed globally, and it possesses industrialised technologies for "lithium extraction from brine," "lithium extraction from ore," and "lithium extraction from recycling." It has sufficient capacity for lithium compounds and lithium metal, with multiple production sites at home and abroad. It also boasts complete battery manufacturing and recycling technologies, providing sustainable value-added solutions for battery producers and EV manufacturers. MineraExar is a mining and exploration company in Argentina, established in 2006. It is a joint venture composed of Ganfeng Lithium (46.66%), Lithium Americas (43.04%), and Jujuy Energía y Minería Sociedad del Estado (JEMSE) (85%), dedicated to the development and production of lithium carbonate at the Cauchari-Olaroz salt lake in Jujuy Province. Ganfeng Lithium's Argentine salt lake project generally adopts the traditional salt lake pond evaporation process, ultimately producing lithium chloride (Mariana project) or lithium carbonate through chemical treatments such as potassium, calcium, and magnesium removal. The company stated that due to significant fluctuations and high uncertainty in the Argentine government's policies, it is not currently considering implementing in-depth integrated construction. Downstream customers have not yet been fully confirmed, and the company may adopt direct sales of industrial-grade lithium carbonate, with customers responsible for terminal purification. The Mariana project is expected to commence production in July 2025, directly producing lithium chloride instead of following the lithium carbonate route. The second-phase project is still in the pilot stage, with full-scale construction not yet initiated. Other technical routes, including direct lithium extraction (DLE), are being evaluated. The project is planned to have an annual production capacity of 20,000 mt of lithium chloride, while the Zijin Salt Lake project is planned to have an annual production capacity of 25,000 mt of lithium carbonate, with production expected to gradually commence next month. On the cost side, the cash cost of producing lithium carbonate is approximately $7,000/mt. The domestic cost of processing industrial-grade lithium carbonate into battery-grade lithium carbonate is approximately 3,000 yuan/mt. After the launch of PV power generation, electricity costs will be reduced by 70%, with the proportion of power costs in total costs decreasing from 30% to 10%. If the price of lithium carbonate remains between $9,000 and $10,000 per mt, the factory's operating rate can be maintained at a high level. Regarding product exports, third-party certification (such as SGS) is required, and the Argentine government dynamically sets minimum export prices based on international market conditions. The price difference between industrial-grade lithium carbonate and battery-grade lithium carbonate is based on SGS certification and has not yet been fully confirmed. Group photo during the field trip After the visit, SMM and the field trip members took a group photo together with Ganfeng Lithium to strengthen their cooperation and friendship, believing that there will be deeper exchanges and cooperation in the future! Through this field trip and survey, SMM and the field trip members gained a deeper understanding of Ganfeng Lithium's development, as well as a more profound knowledge of the market status, development trends, and existing issues in the South American lithium battery industry. They will continue to deepen cooperation with major enterprises to achieve complementary advantages and promote the development of the lithium battery industry.

Integrated enterprises (wafer-cell-module) full costs drop to 0.733 RMB/W. Semi-integrated enterprises (cell-module) full cost increase to 0.728 RMB/W. Specialized enterprises full costs increase to 0.719 RMB/W.