Chinese steel investment is gradually shifting from direct exports to localized production in Southeast Asia. New and planned projects in Malaysia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand, and the Philippines are expected to strengthen regional supply, but if capacity growth continues to outpace demand, it could further intensify market competition.

[SMM Weekly Survey on Aluminum Downstream: This Week, Aluminum Processing Operating Rate Dropped 0.2 Percentage Point to 61.1%, Off-Season Effect Deepens and Continues] Overall, as the off-season effect deepens, downward pressure on the industry's operating rate remains unabated. Export orders for aluminum plate/sheet and strip and aluminum foil provide some temporary support, while other sub-sectors are expected to remain in the doldrums in the short term.

SMM, July 22 – In the metals market: As of the midday close, domestic base metals mostly rose. SHFE copper gained 1.34%, SHFE aluminum added 0.72%, SHFE zinc advanced 0.78%, SHFE lead fell 0.85%, SHFE tin climbed 1.11%, and SHFE nickel jumped 1.36%. Furthermore, the most-traded cast aluminum futures contract rose 0.59%, the most-traded alumina contract settled on par with 2,723 yuan/mt. The most-traded lithium carbonate contract fell 0.5%. The most-traded silicon metal contract fell 0.42%. The most-traded polysilicon futures contract rose 0.59%. Ferrous metals showed mixed performance. Iron ore fell 1%, rebar edged lower, and HRC was flat at 3,284 yuan/mt. Stainless steel rose 0.61%. In the coking coal and coke segment, the most-traded coking coal contract gained 1.56%, and the most-traded coke contract advanced 0.66%. In overseas base metals, as of 11:45 AM, LME metals mostly rose. LME copper fell 0.3%, LME aluminum edged up, and LME lead, LME zinc, and LME tin all posted gains within 0.2%. LME nickel rose 0.52%. In precious metals, as of 11:45 AM, COMEX gold rose 1.53% and COMEX silver gained 1.64%. In domestic precious metals, SHFE gold rose 2.8%, and the most-traded SHFE silver contract surged 4.79%. Additionally, as of the midday close, the most-traded platinum futures contract rose 4.2%, and the most-traded palladium futures contract jumped 5.44%. As of the midday close, the most-traded container shipping contract on the European route fell 0.52% to 2,785 points. As of 11:45 AM on July 22, some futures midday market conditions: Spot and Fundamentals Silver: U.S.-Iran ceasefire negotiations and technical corrections drove a silver price rebound, which may maintain a fluctuating trend in the short term. Spot market demand was sluggish, with transactions near parity, and the pattern of weak supply and demand persists... Macro Front China: [GAC: Accelerate Implementation of 57 Port Facility Renovation Projects under the 15th Five-Year Plan] This morning (July 22), the State Council Information Office held a press conference to introduce the implementation of the 15th Five-Year Plan, accelerating customs modernization, and serving the building of a trade power. Ports are the gateway to opening-up. During the 15th Five-Year Plan period, the customs will accelerate the implementation of major projects and key border port projects under the national 15th Five-Year Plan, simultaneously carry out 57 port facility renovation projects under the plan, and speed up the construction of railway ports such as Turugart and Ganqimaodu. This will help further optimize the layout of port opening. (CCTV News) [Beijing Rolls Out "Ten Go-Global Measures" to Reduce Burden and Empower Digital Economy Enterprises Going Global] On July 21, the Beijing Municipal Bureau of Economy and Information Technology held a press conference on the H1 2026 economic performance of Beijing's industrial and information software industry. It was introduced at the meeting that at the end of last year, Beijing issued the "Three-Year Action Plan for the Construction of the Beijing Digital Economy Enterprise Go-Global Innovation Service Base (2026–2028)", setting out the goals and tasks for Beijing enterprises going global over the next three years. Drawing on the operational practices of the Beijing Go-Global Base and the core needs of nearly a hundred digital economy enterprises, Beijing recently issued the "Several Measures to Accelerate the Promotion of Digital Economy Enterprises Going Global" (referred to as the "Ten Go-Global Measures"), complementarily, providing ten financial and resource support measures to comprehensively reduce burdens and empower enterprises’ international development. The policy mainly focuses on the following three aspects: first, broadening overseas connection channels to overcome market expansion challenges; second, improving full-process supporting services to reduce cross-border compliance costs; third, fostering an international digital ecosystem to build a capital go-global brand. (Jin10 Data APP) [Guangzhou: plans to steadily and orderly advance the completed home sales system and promote the reform of real estate development financing methods] During the 15th Five-Year Plan period, Guangzhou plans to actively and prudently plan pilot projects for the completed home sales system, selecting suitable land parcels for pilot implementation at an appropriate time. It will strengthen financial service support, encourage commercial banks to increase development loan quotas for completed home sales projects and offer preferential interest rates. For completed home sales land parcels, support such as installment payment of land premiums and public resource allocation will be provided. For projects that continue to use the presale system, supervision of presale funds for commodity housing will be standardized to regulate fund usage. At the same time, financial coordination will be strengthened to advance the reform of real estate development financing methods, driving a shift in real estate development enterprise financing from reliance on the creditworthiness of the entity to meeting the reasonable financing needs of real estate projects. For each project, one bank or a banking syndicate will be designated as the lead bank. Funds from project development, construction, and sales will be deposited with the lead bank, which will ensure that the project company’s reasonable financing needs are met, forming a virtuous cycle mechanism where the lead bank and the project company share interests and risks. Closed management requirements for real estate project funds will be implemented. Before project delivery, it is strictly prohibited for investors to illegally withdraw or divert the project company’s sales and financing funds, and capital withdrawal or early dividend distribution is strictly prohibited. The Guangzhou Housing and Urban-Rural Development Bureau is publicly soliciting opinions on the "Guangzhou Housing Development 15th Five-Year Plan (Draft for Comments)." It will optimize the supply scale and pace of commercial residential land to promote market supply-demand balance. High-quality urban design and "good housing" construction requirements will be incorporated into land transfer conditions to enhance residential building quality. Real estate development enterprises are encouraged to shift from "scale-oriented" to "quality-oriented" approaches, continuously optimize standards, and build more livable high-quality housing. Support for housing will be steadily advanced for newly introduced talent, newly employed university graduates, newly married or first-time childbearing families, families with multiple children, and families supporting elderly members, so as to reduce the burden of purchasing a first home. Increase policy support for "selling old and buying new" homes, and implement relevant tax incentives. Standardize real estate brokerage services, and guide all types of real estate agencies to operate in accordance with the law, compete fairly, and clearly mark prices. Strengthen oversight of existing-home transactions, and establish and improve regulatory systems for transaction funds for existing homes. (Jin10 Data APP) [PBOC reverse repo operation resulted in a net withdrawal of 350.5 billion yuan today] The PBOC conducted 76 billion yuan in 7-day reverse repo operations today, and with 426.5 billion yuan in 7-day reverse repos maturing, a net withdrawal of 350.5 billion yuan was realized on the day. US Dollar: As of 11:45, the US dollar index fell 0.07 to 101.14. Markets await next week's Fed meeting for clues on the interest rate outlook and are closely monitoring developments in the Middle East conflict. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged in July is 74.9%, with a 25.1% chance of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike. For September, the probability of holding rates steady is 28.9%, while the odds of a cumulative 25-bp hike are 55.7% and a 50-bp hike are 15.4%. (Jin10 Data APP) Furthermore, according to Politico, House Republicans on Tuesday passed a procedural vote 241–211, clearing the way for a short-term government funding bill and the "budget reconciliation 3.0" package. The stopgap funding measure aims to keep the federal government operating through December, while the budget framework provides the basis for a $95 billion partisan policy package. House Republican leadership hopes to pass the temporary funding bill later Tuesday. The House is then expected to vote on the budget resolution on Wednesday. Republicans intend to use this budget framework to begin drafting and passing a third conservative policy bill this Congress without any Democratic support. Other Currencies: Driven by a weak yen and surging oil prices, Japan's import value was up 25.4% YoY in June to a record 11.3 trillion yen (approx. $69.25 billion). This gain exceeded the market's previous expectation of a 21% rise and marked the fastest pace since November 2022, resulting in a trade deficit of 406.9 billion yen (approx. $2.49 billion) in June, far above the forecast of 120 billion yen. Although crude oil imports fell 13.7% YoY in volume terms, their value soared 59.3%, with the yen-denominated unit price also hitting a record high, underscoring that current inflationary pressures are largely driven by exchange-rate factors rather than demand growth. This means that compared to possible short-term changes in oil demand, the yen's appreciation plays a more significant role in easing import cost pressure. On the export side, the resilience brought by AI-related data center demand provides the Bank of Japan with actual economic growth support that can offset inflation risks. This combination of factors suggests that the Bank of Japan is more likely to adopt a cautious, gradual rate hike path rather than a sudden sharp tightening. Currently, the market expects the Bank of Japan to keep interest rates unchanged next week, while still maintaining a hawkish policy bias. (Jin10 Data APP) The Reserve Bank of Australia stated that a latest survey result shows inflation remains the top economic concern for Australians, while a "fundamental gap" still exists in the public's understanding of how monetary policy works. The survey is part of the RBA's efforts to enhance transparency and respond to the 2023 independent review recommendations. Since early last year, the bank has conducted three rounds of surveys, collecting opinions from approximately 9,000 Australians, and uses the results to improve communication with the public. The survey results showed: "Public trust in the RBA is comparable to other Australian and international institutions and has remained stable since early 2025," although trust levels vary across different groups. "Those with higher trust levels tend to have lower inflation expectations, underscoring the importance of trust itself and also its key role in the transmission of monetary policy." (Jin10 Data APP) Data: Today will see the release of the UK June CPI MoM, UK June Retail Price Index MoM, and other data. Crude oil: As of 11:45, both oil benchmarks rose, with WTI crude up 1.03% and Brent crude up 1.15%. Trump downplayed the possibility of immediate negotiations with Iran, and heightened US-Iran tensions pushed oil prices higher. The rise in oil prices directly exacerbated inflation concerns. (Wall Street Insights) Data: Last week, US crude oil inventories increased. API crude oil inventories for the week ending July 17: +2.603 million barrels, vs. expected -500,000 barrels and prior -564,000 barrels. API gasoline inventories for the week ending July 17: -1.379 million barrels, vs. expected -1.81 million barrels and prior -1.664 million barrels. (Jin10 Data) Spot Market Overview: ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ►

On July 14, Dingsheng New Energy Materials announced that it expects its net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company for H1 2026 to be 450 million to 520 million yuan, up 139%-177% YoY. The performance change was mainly due to the continued robust downstream demand for high-value-added new energy battery aluminum foil and carbon-coated aluminum foil during the reporting period, with production and sales volumes significantly increasing compared to the same period last year.

Dingsheng New Materials expects H1 2026 net profit of RMB 450 million-520 million, up 139%-177% YoY. The company said robust downstream demand for battery aluminum foil and carbon-coated aluminum foil significantly increased sales volumes, supporting earnings growth.

This week, the operating rate at China's leading downstream aluminum processing enterprises came in at 63%, down 0.4 percentage points MoM. Weighed down by the deepening seasonal off-season across the sector, downstream purchase willingness was broadly subdued, and operating rates across most segments remained under pressure. Primary aluminum alloy held steady at 59.4%, as enterprises mainly focused on executing existing long-term contracts, with no release of new spot orders.

[SMM Copper Foil Monthly Operating Rate] In May 2026, the electronic circuit copper foil operating rate was 89.57%, up 1.14 percentage points MoM and up 13.96 percentage points YoY; the lithium battery copper foil operating rate was 90.68%, up 0.25 percentage points MoM and up 20.29 percentage points YoY. Affected by the grid connection deadline (June 30), energy storage projects experienced concentrated installation rush, together with high production schedules of power batteries, leading to steady release of lithium battery copper foil demand. Robust demand from the AI computing power industry drove the industry capacity upgrade toward high-end specifications, effectively boosting electronic circuit copper foil demand.

SMM June 12 News: Metals market: As of the midday close, domestic base metals nearly all rose. SHFE copper rose 1.51%, SHFE tin rose 2.97%. SHFE nickel rose 0.94%. SHFE aluminum rose 1.06%. SHFE zinc rose 0.43%. SHFE lead fell 0.31%. In addition, casting aluminum linked futures rose 0.45%, alumina most-traded linked futures rose 1.45%. Lithium carbonate most-traded linked futures rose 3.85%. Silicon metal most-traded linked futures rose 0.63%. Polysilicon linked futures rose 5.91%. Ferrous metals all rose, iron ore rose 0.13%, rebar rose 0.66%, hot-rolled coil rose 0.74%, stainless steel rose 2.15%. Coking coal and coke: coking coal most-traded contract rose 3.02%, coke most-traded contract rose 5.63%. Overseas base metals: as of 11:38 AM, LME metals all rose. LME copper rose 1.01%, LME aluminum rose 0.54%, LME lead edged up. LME zinc rose 0.26%, LME tin rose 0.25%, LME nickel rose 0.67%. Precious metals: as of 11:38 AM, COMEX gold rose 2.63%, COMEX silver rose 5.36%. Domestic precious metals: SHFE gold most-traded linked futures rose 1.89%, SHFE silver most-traded linked futures rose 4.36%. Furthermore, as of the midday close, platinum most-traded linked futures rose 3.99%, palladium most-traded linked futures rose 5.69%. As of the midday close, the most-traded Europe container shipping futures contract fell 1.16% to 3,929.5 points. As of 11:38 AM on June 12, some futures midday quotes: Spot and fundamentals Copper: Today, Guangdong #1 copper cathode spot against the front-month contract: high-quality copper reported at 270 yuan/mt up 30 yuan/mt from the previous trading day, standard-quality copper reported at a premium of 210 yuan/mt up 30 yuan/mt, SX-EW copper reported at a premium of 150 yuan/mt up 30 yuan/mt. The average price of Guangdong #1 copper cathode was 104,715 yuan/mt up 1,090 yuan/mt from the previous trading day, and the average price of SX-EW copper was 104,625 yuan/mt up 1,075 yuan/mt. Spot market: Guangdong inventory has declined for 9 consecutive days and has now hit a new low for the year... Macro front China: [PBOC's open market operations net injected 178 billion yuan on the day, and net injected 885.8 billion yuan this week] PBOC conducted 393 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repo operations today, with 215 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos maturing, resulting in a net injection of 178 billion yuan on the day. This week, PBOC conducted 1,112 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repo operations, with 226.2 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos maturing, realizing a net injection of 885.8 billion yuan this week. (Jinshi Data APP) [Guangzhou: Fully Advance the Implementation of Major Projects Such as Intelligent Connected Vehicles and NEVs, Artificial Intelligence, Semiconductors and Integrated Circuits, and Low-Altitude Economy] The “Guangzhou Commerce Development 15th Five-Year Plan (Draft for Public Comments)” was released for public consultation. It highlighted the need to fully advance the implementation of major projects including intelligent connected vehicles and NEVs, ultra-high-definition video and new-type displays, green petrochemicals and new materials, intelligent equipment and robotics, artificial intelligence, semiconductors and integrated circuits, and low-altitude economy, and cultivate a group of leading intermediate product enterprises that are high-tech, manufacturing single champions, and specialized and sophisticated. Promote the accelerated development of intermediate product trade in foreign trade transformation and upgrading bases, and cultivate a number of well-known brands and “chain leader” enterprises. Support enterprises in using technologies such as the industrial internet, big data, and artificial intelligence for digital transformation, improving production efficiency and product quality, and driving the intermediate product trade to leap toward high-end and digital-intelligent development. (Jinshi Data APP) On the US dollar front: As of 11:38, the US dollar index rose 0.06% to 99.75. According to CME “FedWatch”: The probability that the US Fed will keep interest rates unchanged through June is 98.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 25bp rate cut is 1.5%. The probability that the US Fed will keep interest rates unchanged through July is 91.3%, the probability of a cumulative 25bp rate hike is 7.4%, and the probability of a cumulative 25bp rate cut is 1.4%. Market expectations for a US Fed rate hike have been pushed back from December this year to January next year, and the possibility of a rate hike this year is no longer fully priced in. (Jinshi Data APP) Amid sustained inflationary pressure driven by the Iran war, US producer prices in May rose at the fastest pace in more than three years. Data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Thursday showed that the US PPI rose 6.5% YoY in May, the largest increase since November 2022, and rose 1.1% MoM. The core PPI, excluding food and energy, rose 4.9% YoY. The report highlighted the growing damage to the US economy from the energy price shock caused by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. As the conflict is unlikely to be resolved in the short term, businesses are passing on higher energy and transportation costs, and other goods and services are also becoming more expensive. Combined with data earlier this week showing that consumer prices in May rose at the fastest pace in three years, Thursday's PPI report may further strengthen market expectations for a US Fed rate hike in 2026. As the labour market appears to be regaining growth momentum, the US Fed is shifting its focus to curbing inflation. On the data front: Today will see the release of Germany May CPI MoM Final, UK April Three-Month GDP MoM, UK April Manufacturing Production MoM, UK April Seasonally Adjusted Goods Trade Balance, UK April Industrial Production MoM, France May CPI MoM Final, US June 1-Year Inflation Expectations Prelim, and US June University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Prelim. In addition, watch for: the Huawei Developer Conference on June 12-14; Elon Musk’s commercial space company SpaceX plans to list on the Nasdaq on June 12, 2026. Crude oil: As of 11:38, oil prices in both benchmarks fell, with WTI crude down 1.12% and Brent crude down 1.15%. The US and Iran may reach a preliminary agreement on a memorandum of understanding, causing oil prices to pull back slightly. According to CCTV, on June 11 local time, US President Trump posted on the social media platform “Truth Social” that, given that consultations with Iran had been submitted to the highest leadership of Iran and approved, he had canceled the strike and bombing operation originally planned for that night against Iran. According to the latest OPEC data, Iran’s crude oil production fell 19% last month, as the US blocked the country’s ports amid the ongoing conflict. Data from the monthly report released on Thursday showed that Iran’s daily output dropped by 546,000 barrels to 2.33 million barrels per day. Meanwhile, OPEC’s latest monthly report showed that the organization on Thursday lowered its 2026 global oil demand growth forecast to 970,000 barrels per day, marking its second consecutive downward revision. Since the outbreak of the Iran war, the producer group has believed that the conflict’s impact on consumption has been consistently smaller than that estimated by other forecasters such as the US Energy Information Administration and the International Energy Agency, both of which expect demand to decline in 2026. In addition, the report noted that the oil producer group raised its forecast for oil demand growth in 2027. (Jinshi Data APP) Spot Market at a Glance: ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ►

SMM Jun 12 News: Metal markets: Overnight, domestic base metals broadly rose. SHFE copper rose 0.13%. SHFE aluminum rose 0.62%, SHFE lead fell 0.74%, SHFE tin rose 1.91%. SHFE zinc fell 0.19%. SHFE nickel rose 0.25%. In addition, the most-traded alumina futures contract rose 1.18%, and the most-traded cast aluminum contract rose 0.04%. Overnight, ferrous metals showed mixed performance. Iron ore closed flat at 766.5 yuan/mt, hot-rolled coil (HRC) flat at 3,365 yuan/mt, stainless steel rose 1.91%, and rebar fell 0.33%. Coking coal and coke: The most-traded coking coal futures contract fell 0.33%, while the most-traded coke futures contract rose 0.35%. Overnight overseas market: LME base metals nearly all rose. LME copper rose 0.94%. LME aluminum rose 0.87%, LME lead fell 0.25%. LME zinc rose 1.64%. LME tin rose 2.01%. LME nickel rose 0.37%. Overnight precious metals : Overnight COMEX gold rose 2.43%, COMEX silver rose 4.25%. Overnight the most-traded SHFE gold contract rose 0.75%, and the most-traded SHFE silver contract rose 2.41%. As of 7:15 on Jun 12, overnight closing prices: Macro front China: [SAMR Approves Release of a Batch of Important National Standards] Recently, the State Administration for Market Regulation (Standardization Administration of China) approved the release of 389 important national standards, covering high-tech, traditional industries, environmental protection, agricultural production, and people's livelihoods. After publication, these standards will play a vital role in promoting high-quality industrial development, improving people's quality of life, and safeguarding life and property. In the high-tech sector, 33 national standards were released for artificial intelligence, cybersecurity, blockchain, etc., clarifying technical and safety specifications. Six national standards were released for industrial internet and industrial digital twins, promoting smart manufacturing upgrades. Fifteen national standards were released for spacecraft grounding requirements, manned spacecraft markings and usage requirements, and general requirements for parachute systems of civil light and small rotary-wing drones, laying a solid foundation for the large-scale application of China's aerospace equipment. (SAMR) [SHFE: Adjusting Price Limit and Margin Requirements for Gold and Silver Futures Contracts] SHFE announced that for the gold AU2609 contract, the price limit is 17%, the hedging position margin rate is 18%, and the speculative position margin rate is 19%; for the silver AG2706 contract, the price limit is 17%, the hedging position margin rate is 18%, and the speculative position margin rate is 19%. [GFEX: Matters Regarding Polysilicon Futures PS2706 Contract and Lithium Carbonate Futures LC2706 Contract] GFEX announced that for the polysilicon futures PS2706 contract, the trading fee rate is 0.025% of the transaction value, the intraday closing fee rate is 0.025% of the transaction value; the minimum order size per trade is 5 lots for opening and 1 lot for closing; non-futures company members or clients are limited to a maximum daily opening volume of 200 lots. For the lithium carbonate futures LC2706 contract, the trading fee rate is 0.032% of the transaction value, the intraday closing fee rate is 0.032% of the transaction value; the minimum order size per trade is 5 lots for opening and 1 lot for closing; non-futures company members or clients are limited to a maximum daily opening volume of 400 lots. [DCE: Trading Schedule for 2026 Dragon Boat Festival Holiday] DCE announced that the market will be closed from Jun 19 (Friday) to Jun 21 (Sunday) and resume trading on Jun 22 (Monday). There will be no night session on the evening of Jun 18 (Thursday). On Jun 22 (Monday), the call auction for all contracts will take place from 08:55 to 09:00. Night session trading will resume on the evening of Jun 22 (Monday). US dollar: Overnight, the US dollar index fell 0.35% to 99.69. Market expectations for US Fed interest rate hikes were pushed back from December this year to January next year, with markets no longer fully pricing in a rate hike this year. (Jin10 Data APP) According to CME "Fed Watch": The probability that the US Fed will keep rates unchanged through June is 98.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 25bp rate cut is 1.5%. For the meeting through July, the probability that the Fed will keep rates unchanged is 91.3%, the probability of a cumulative 25bp rate hike is 7.4%, and the probability of a cumulative 25bp rate cut is 1.4%. Data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics on Thursday showed that the producer price index (PPI) rose 6.5% YoY in May, the largest increase since November 2022 and above the expected 6.4%; it rose 1.1% MoM, also exceeding the market forecast of 0.7%. The data echoed the consumer price index (CPI) released earlier, which also recorded the fastest pace in three years. The combination of these two inflation figures is expected to further cement market expectations that the US Fed will begin raising rates in 2026. With momentum rebuilding in the labor market, taming inflation has become the Fed's top priority for now. (From Wallstreetcn APP) Last week, US initial jobless claims increased slightly, indicating that the labor market retained resilience in early June. The US Department of Labor said on Thursday that in the week ending June 6, initial claims for unemployment benefits rose by 4,000 to a seasonally adjusted 229,000, above market expectations. Claims typically rise at the start of summer, as some states allow non-teaching staff to file for unemployment benefits during long school holidays. However, the government's model for stripping out seasonal fluctuations may not fully capture these changes. Last week, the government reported that the economy added jobs for the third straight month in May. The unemployment rate held at 4.3% for the third consecutive month. Some of the strength in job growth may be due to fewer layoffs. (Jin10 Data APP) Other currencies: [ECB Becomes First Major Central Bank to Raise Rates Since Inflation Reemerged] The European Central Bank raised interest rates for the first time in nearly three years, making it the first major central bank in the developed world to respond to inflation triggered by the Iran war. The bank lifted its main rate from 2% to 2.25%, a move widely expected but also highlighting the challenges faced by major economies due to rising energy prices resulting from the prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Investors widely expect the ECB to raise rates at least once more this year. The decision also made the ECB the first major central bank to tighten monetary policy in response to rising energy prices, which have pushed eurozone inflation above 3%. The US Fed, under Chair Warsh, is expected to hold rates steady next week as Warsh faces a dilemma between Trump's demand for low rates and mounting inflationary pressure; the Bank of England is also expected to keep rates unchanged next week. (Zhitong Finance) Data: Today will see the release of Germany's final May CPI MoM, the UK's April three-month GDP MoM, UK April manufacturing output MoM, UK April seasonally adjusted goods trade balance, UK April industrial output MoM, France's final May CPI MoM, US June one-year ahead inflation expectations preliminary, and US June University of Michigan consumer sentiment preliminary, among others. Also of note: the Huawei Developer Conference will be held from Jun 12-14; Elon Musk's commercial space company SpaceX is scheduled to list on the Nasdaq on Jun 12, 2026. Crude oil: Overnight, both oil futures fell, with WTI crude down 4.01% and Brent crude down 4.26%. Oil prices tumbled after Trump signaled that the US and Iran are about to reach a peace deal. OPEC's monthly report showed that OPEC lowered its forecast for 2026 global oil demand growth to 970,000 bpd (previously expected at 1.17 million bpd). It raised its 2027 global oil demand growth forecast to 1.73 million bpd (previously 1.54 million bpd). OPEC+ (including former member UAE) crude oil production averaged 33.13 million bpd in May 2026, down 190,000 bpd from April, mainly due to lower Iranian output. (From Wallstreetcn APP) Additionally, CME Group announced that, pending regulatory review, it will offer 24/7 (around the clock) trading for new, smaller crude oil and gold contracts. The new crude oil contract will be one-tenth the size of CME's existing micro WTI crude oil futures contract and will launch on August 30. Around-the-clock trading for the company's existing 1-ounce gold futures contract will begin on July 26. Derek Sammann, Global Head of Commodity Markets at CME Group, said: "In the face of geopolitical uncertainty, offering appropriately sized, regulated products available 24/7 enables traders to manage risk whenever news breaks." (Jin10 Data APP)

In May, China's aluminum fabrication industry recorded an overall PMI of 50.8%, barely staying above the 50 mark but pulling back significantly by 3.1 percentage points from April. Industry sentiment slid from the edge of expansion territory toward the critical threshold, with structural divergence intensifying further.