[SMM Daily Comment: Silver Prices Rebounded Slightly, Month-End Trading Sluggish] SMM reported on May 25 that easing macro sentiment drove silver prices to rebound, spot discounts narrowed, but month-end buying and selling were inactive, and trading remained sluggish.

[SMM Precious Metals Market Flash] On Monday (May 25), at the opening of Asian markets, precious metals prices opened significantly higher with a gap. According to media reports outside China, the US and Iran were gradually moving closer to reaching an agreement that would facilitate the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Influenced by this development, market concerns over inflation eased, driving precious metals higher.

[Weakening Consumption, Declining Operating Rates of Galvanising Producers]: The operating rate of the galvanizing industry was 59.82% this week, down 0.37 percentage points WoW. Raw material side, zinc prices fluctuated at highs this week. Downstream buyers restocked on dips for rigid demand only, without large-scale stockpiling. Zinc ingot inventory of galvanising enterprises edged up.

[SMM Zinc Morning Comment: LME Decline Drags Down SHFE, SHFE Zinc Center Shifts Lower] Overnight, the most-traded SHFE zinc 2607 contract opened at 24,755 yuan/mt. After the opening, SHFE zinc fluctuated below the daily average line, touching a high of 24,785 yuan/mt early in the session and a low of 24,610 yuan/mt during the session, ultimately closing down at 24,665 yuan/mt, falling 140 yuan/mt.

On May 18, 2026, iron ore futures trended weaker today. The most-traded contract I2609 closed at 803 yuan/mt, down 1.11% from the previous trading session. Port spot prices were 2-4 yuan higher than the previous day. Traders showed moderate enthusiasm in offering quotes; steel mill purchases were mostly driven by rigid demand; overall spot trading sentiment was lukewarm. Last week, SMM global iron ore shipments totaled 30.922 million mt, up 5.48% WoW. Among them, Australian shipments were basically stable, while Brazil's shipments rebounded significantly. In addition, last week, total iron ore arrivals at Chinese ports reached 25.9288 million mt, up 5% WoW and up 6.28% YoY on a cumulative basis. Iron ore fundamentals continued last week's pattern. Supply side, as mainstream mines accelerated shipments in Q2, there were signs of entering a loosening channel again. However, demand side, blast furnace operating rates remained at relatively high levels, ensuring rigid demand for iron ore. Therefore, iron ore's upside was relatively limited, but price support remained generally solid. On the macro front, coking coal and coke prices fell on futures due to policy shifts, dragging overall ferrous metals prices weaker. However, given that iron ore's own fundamental price support remained relatively firm, ore prices are expected to resume fluctuating at highs after a brief pullback this week. [SMM Steel]

[Galvanizing Plants All Resumed Operations, Operating Rates Rose Sharply]: The operating rates of galvanising producers stood at 60.19% this week, up 12.43 percentage points WoW. Raw material side, zinc prices surged this week, downstream purchase willingness remained low, and zinc ingot inventory at galvanising enterprises declined notably.

SMM News, May 12: Metals market: Overnight, domestic market base metals mostly rose. SHFE copper was up 2.35%. SHFE aluminum was up 0.57%, SHFE lead was down 0.24%. SHFE zinc was up 1.33%. SHFE tin was up 1.8%. SHFE nickel was up 0.83%. In addition, the most-traded alumina futures were up 0.53%, and the most-traded foundry aluminum futures were up 0.82%. Overnight, ferrous metals mostly fell. Iron ore was down 0.24%, stainless steel edged down, rebar was down 0.18%, and hot-rolled coil edged up. Coking coal and coke: coking coal was down 0.65%, coke was up 0.19%. Overnight, overseas market metals saw LME base metals rise across the board. LME copper was up 2.84%. LME aluminum was up 2.27%, LME lead was up 0.56%. LME zinc was up 1.19%. LME tin was up 2.31%. LME nickel was up 1.64%. Overnight precious metals : COMEX gold was up 0.31%, COMEX silver was up 7.35%. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE gold contract was up 0.45%, and the most-traded SHFE silver contract was up 6.47%. Gandharv Walia, a columnist for India's Economic Times, said that on Monday, gold prices fell as geopolitical tensions sparked inflation concerns and shifted interest rate expectations. Silver performed differently — silver typically benefits from both industrial and investment demand, and traders increased purchases on expectations of industrial use and price momentum. The market currently expects fluctuations in the precious metals market. US April inflation data will be released this week. Strong inflation data could delay interest rate cuts, which could put pressure on gold again; lower inflation could support gold prices. Global diplomatic efforts on the Iran issue are equally important, as any outcome could affect market sentiment and precious metals prices. On the other hand, silver benefits from industrial demand. The manufacturing and technology sectors require silver for electronic devices and energy systems. If economic activity remains stable, silver may continue to outperform gold. (Jin10) As of 7:18 AM, May 12, overnight closing prices: Macro front China: [The General Office of the State Council Issued the "State Council 2026 Annual Legislative Work Plan"] The State Council Legislative Plan emphasized promoting high-quality development, maintaining high-level security through high-quality legislation, and ensuring the smooth achievement of economic and social development goals during the 15th Five-Year Plan period. First, to build a high-level socialist market economic system and accelerate the construction of a new development pattern, it listed the draft Financial Law, the draft amendment to the Tendering and Bidding Law, and the formulation of regulations on building a unified national market. Second, to strengthen the rule-of-law government and optimize the business environment, it will revise the implementation regulations of the Administrative Reconsideration Law and the procedures for formulating administrative regulations. Third, to accelerate high-level scientific and technological self-reliance and stimulate cultural innovation, it listed the draft amendment to the Teachers Law and the revision of the Internet Information Service Management Measures. Fourth, to strengthen people's livelihood and accelerate green transformation, it listed the draft amendment to the Road Traffic Safety Law, the formulation of water supply regulations, and the revision of the Drug Administration Law implementation regulations. Fifth, to modernize the national security system and build a safer China, it listed the draft amendment to the Earthquake Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Law and the formulation of regulations on production safety hazard investigation and management. Sixth, to strengthen foreign-related legal systems and expand high-level opening-up, it listed the draft amendment to the Customs Law, the formulation of State Council provisions on industry chain and supply chain security, and the revision of the regulations on origin of import and export goods. Meanwhile, the State Council Legislative Plan made arrangements for accelerating comprehensive legislation on the healthy development of artificial intelligence, and outlined plans for legislation urgently needed for further comprehensive deepening of reform, accelerating government function transformation, developing new quality productive forces, safeguarding national security, strengthening foreign-related rule of law, and advancing national defense and military modernization. (Xinhua) [PBOC Q1 Monetary Policy Implementation Report: Continue to Implement Moderately Accommodative Monetary Policy] The People's Bank of China released its Q1 2026 China Monetary Policy Implementation Report. The report stated: continue to implement a moderately accommodative monetary policy. Enhance the foresight, flexibility, and precision of policies, grasp the intensity, pace, and timing of policy implementation based on economic and financial conditions in and outside China and financial market operations, strengthen coordination between monetary and fiscal policies, smooth monetary policy transmission mechanisms, and promote stable economic growth and reasonable price rebound. Flexibly use various monetary policy tools, maintain ample liquidity and relatively accommodative social financing conditions, guide reasonable growth in aggregate financial volume and balanced credit allocation, so that the growth of aggregate social financing and money supply matches economic growth and overall price level targets. [China Automotive Battery Innovation Alliance: Combined Power Battery and ESS Battery Exports Reached 31.7 Gwh in April, up 42% YoY] The latest monthly data from the China Automotive Battery Innovation Alliance showed that in April, affected by the new export tax rebate policy, China's combined power battery and ESS battery exports reached 31.7 Gwh, down 12.3% MoM and up 42.0% YoY, accounting for 19.3% of monthly sales. Among them, power battery exports were 20.2 Gwh, accounting for 63.9% of total exports, down 9.0% MoM and up 40.1% YoY; ESS battery exports were 11.4 Gwh, accounting for 36.1% of total exports, down 17.4% MoM and up 45.4% YoY. [China Chamber of Commerce for Import and Export of Machinery and Electronic Products Submitted Comments on the EU Cybersecurity Act Amendment Draft] Recently, the EU has been pushing to amend the Cybersecurity Act, adding an "ICT Supply Chain Security" chapter to the amendment draft, which introduces numerous restrictive and exclusionary provisions for market access of overseas suppliers. Once implemented, this could seriously hinder fair competition for Chinese enterprises in the EU market. The China Chamber of Commerce for Import and Export of Machinery and Electronic Products (CCCME) noted the high level of industry concern and fully utilized the EU's legislative review opportunity to submit comments to the European Commission from an industry organization perspective. CCCME also noted that recent EU measures — including the Industrial Accelerator Act and other legislative initiatives, as well as the designation of China as a "high-risk country" in inverter projects at the implementation level — could seriously affect Chinese machinery and electronics enterprises' exports to and operations in the EU. CCCME will closely monitor developments on all fronts and assist domestic enterprises in actively addressing related risks and challenges. (Wallstreetcn) [Baotou Released 16 New Housing Market Policies, to Optimize Housing Provident Fund Support] Baotou officially issued the "Measures for Continuously Promoting Stable and Healthy Development of the Real Estate Market." Among the measures, it will optimize housing provident fund support by raising the maximum loan amount for families with two or more children purchasing owner-occupied housing by 10% above the current level (currently, the maximum loan for a single contributor is 700,000 yuan, and for dual-contributor couples, 1.2 million yuan); and support flexible employment workers in voluntarily participating in the housing provident fund system with equal access to housing provident fund policies. US dollar: Overnight, the US dollar index was up 0.08%, closing at 97.94. The US "inflation week" officially kicked off, with CPI (Tuesday), PPI (Wednesday), and import prices (Thursday) all to be released this week, directly affecting judgments on the US Fed's policy path. According to the CME FedWatch tool: the probability of the US Fed keeping rates unchanged through June was 97.7%, with a 2.3% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut. The probability of rates remaining unchanged through July was 94.6%, with a 5.4% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut and a 0.1% probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point cut. Kevin Warsh, Trump's nominee for the next Fed Chairman, cleared a key procedural hurdle in the Senate on Monday local time. Powell's chairmanship will end this Friday. The Senate is expected to vote as early as Tuesday, following Monday's so-called "cloture vote," to confirm Warsh as a Fed Governor for a 14-year term. Senators will then initiate the confirmation process for his concurrent four-year term as Fed Chairman, with a vote possible as early as Wednesday. The Republican-controlled Senate is expected to approve Warsh as the next Fed leader. The US Fed's next meeting — potentially Warsh's first as chairman — is scheduled for June 16-17 local time. (Jin10) Macro: Data to be released today include Germany's April CPI monthly rate final reading, Germany's May ZEW Economic Sentiment Index, Eurozone May ZEW Economic Sentiment Index, US April NFIB Small Business Optimism Index, US weekly ADP employment change for the week ending April 25, US April non-seasonally adjusted CPI annual rate, US April seasonally adjusted CPI monthly rate, US April seasonally adjusted core CPI monthly rate, and US April non-seasonally adjusted core CPI annual rate. In addition, attention should be paid to: the Bank of Japan's release of the summary of opinions from the April monetary policy meeting; permanent FOMC voter and New York Fed President Williams participating in a panel discussion on monetary policy; and Vice Premier He Lifeng leading a delegation to South Korea from May 12-13 for trade consultations with the US side. Crude oil: Overnight, both oil futures rose, with WTI up 2.97% and Brent up 3.25%. US-Iran ceasefire negotiations reached an impasse, and the near-standstill of traffic through the Strait of Hormuz continued to intensify market concerns over energy supply disruptions, pushing oil prices higher. (Wallstreetcn) The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) allocated 53.5 million barrels of crude oil to companies including commodity trader Trafigura Group and US refiner Marathon Petroleum to help ease the oil price surge triggered by the Iran war. Ahead of the US summer driving peak, the US government is releasing near-record levels of crude oil to the market to bring down oil prices. The crude oil will be released from June to August, when refineries will ramp up capacity to meet peak gasoline demand. This sale, the second-largest SPR release in history, is also part of a global effort led by the International Energy Agency to bring down oil prices. Last week, the US had already released a record daily average of 1.22 million barrels of crude oil under this framework. The Trump administration pledged to release 172 million barrels of crude oil through a so-called "exchange program." Under this mechanism, crude oil is lent to companies and must later be returned in kind. To date, the US has agreed to release 133.1 million barrels of crude oil. (Jin10)

[Stable Production Schedules at Galvanizing Plants, Operating Rates Edged Up Slightly]: The operating rates of galvanising producers stood at 62.38% this week, up 0.25 percentage points WoW. Raw material side, zinc prices fluctuated at highs throughout the week, with downstream buyers mainly restocking on rigid demand. There was no pre-holiday stockpiling sentiment for the time being, and zinc ingot inventory at galvanising enterprises declined slightly.

[Galvanizing Plant Operating Rates Rose]: The operating rates of galvanising producers stood at 62.13% this week, up 4.24 percentage points WoW. Raw material side, zinc prices fluctuated at highs throughout the week, with downstream players picking up fewer goods and mainly consuming existing stocks, leading to a decline in zinc ingot inventory at galvanising enterprises.

[Qingming Holiday Impact on Galvanizing Operations]: The operating rates of galvanising producers stood at 57.89% this week, edging down 0.86 percentage points WoW. Raw material side, zinc prices fluctuated at highs throughout the week, with downstream players picking up fewer goods and mainly consuming existing stocks. However, zinc ingots previously priced by galvanising enterprises were delivered successively, and zinc ingot inventory at galvanising enterprises edged down slightly.