[SMM Analysis] Weak Downstream Consumption Increases Pressure on Ex-China Steel Trading Price spread model, the price inversion of Chinese steel relative to overseas markets (India, Japan, Turkey, Black Sea) deepened further in late May. In particular, Chinese resources were cheaper compared to Indonesia, and the price spread was "narrowing at an accelerating pace." For pure ex-China inter-regional price spreads, India's decline was more pronounced compared to other regions, as weak domestic demand drove aggressive low-price bidding. Segment-wise, steel procurement sentiment in Southeast Asia became more cautious last week, with coil prices weakening. In Vietnam, coated steel and steel pipe prices began to slow down after a prolonged rally, and buyers became increasingly cautious about restocking ahead of the rainy season. Meanwhile, due to weak demand and growing pressure from low-priced imports, Formosa Ha Tinh Steel, a subsidiary of Taiwan's China Steel Corporation, also cut its HRC quotations by $5-10/mt to $598-603/mt CIF Vietnam. Although some Vietnamese downstream steel mills continued to raise or maintain prices due to earlier increases in raw material costs and tight spot supply, some producers had begun to limit orders or delay quotations while waiting for a clearer market direction. Notably, Indonesian HRC quotations remained competitive with relatively active exports, with FOB prices at around $565/mt. According to SMM survey, recent transaction prices to Vietnam were around $585/mt CFR. Turkey market: As the Middle East was set to enter a long holiday mid-week, most market participants had already exited early. According to SMM survey, no clear large-volume transactions were seen in the Turkish steel scrap market last week. Meanwhile, as domestic rebar demand remained sluggish, steel mills pushed their target purchase prices for European HMS 1&2 (80:20) scrap below $400/mt CFR to pass on the pressure. The recent euro depreciation and slight correction in ocean freight rates opened up some discount room for European sellers to a certain extent, but judging from actual market transactions, sellers still found it difficult to accept such low prices. At the same time, US exporters continued to hold prices firm at $420/mt CFR. In addition, mainstream quotations for Turkish domestic HRC remained at $660-675/mt EXW. Due to exchange rate fluctuations and high production costs, steel mills were striving to hold prices firm, but downstream buyers remained cautious in purchasing, with expected psychological prices 15-20 $/mt lower. Copyright and Intellectual Property Statement: This report is independently created or compiled by SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd. 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May 26, 2026 09:29Futures: The London Metal Exchange was closed on May 25 for a UK bank holiday and resumed trading on May 26. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE lead 2607 contract opened at 16,755 yuan/mt, briefly touched a high of 16,775 yuan/mt before pulling back, then moved sideways around the 16,700 yuan/mt level, and finally closed at 16,710 yuan/mt, down 0.27%. On the macro front: Guinea, the world's largest bauxite-producing country, will announce export control measures in June. China responded to the fact that no heavy rare earth had been exported to Japan for four months: China prohibits the export of dual-use items to Japanese military users and for military purposes in accordance with laws and regulations, aiming to stop Japan's "remilitarization" and nuclear ambitions. China responded to the prospect of a US-Iran deal: since the door to dialogue has been opened, it should not be closed again; the momentum of easing should be maintained, the general direction of political settlement should be upheld, and a solution that addresses the concerns of all parties should be reached through dialogue and consultation. : In the Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shanghai market, a small volume of warrant-based cargoes were quoted. Suppliers mainly shipped cargoes self-picked up from primary lead smelter production sites. Due to supply differences between northern and southern markets, quotations in the northern market were firmer. On the secondary lead front, smelter losses were repaired and shipment enthusiasm increased, with secondary refined lead quoted at premiums of -50~0 yuan/mt ex-works against SMM #1 lead. As lead prices strengthened, downstream enterprises showed weakened purchasing enthusiasm. Some continued to purchase warrant-based cargoes from nearby warehouses, while those with rigid demand leaned toward lower-priced secondary lead cargoes. In terms of inventory: on May 25, LME lead was closed; LME lead inventory stood at 286,475 mt as of May 22. SMM lead ingot social inventory across five regions totaled 70,100 mt, down 3,200 mt from May 18 and down 3,200 mt from May 21. Lead price forecast for today: Recently, apart from individual social warehouses where lead ingot inventory declined due to downstream enterprises picking up goods, other social warehouses saw slight increases due to inventory transfers by suppliers and arrivals of imported lead. After concentrated dip-buying by downstream enterprises during the lead price pullback last week, lead prices rebounded in recent days, and downstream enterprises' purchasing enthusiasm weakened notably. In addition, as secondary lead smelter losses were repaired, smelters actively shipped at discounts. Secondary refined lead was quoted at premiums of -50~0 yuan/mt ex-works against SMM #1 lead price, while in contrast, primary lead was quoted at premiums of +0~+75 yuan/mt ex-works against SMM #1 lead price. Some downstream enterprises with rigid demand leaned toward secondary lead. Going forward, the destocking of lead ingot social inventory is expected to continue to slow down, and resistance above lead prices remains evident. Data source disclaimer: Data other than public information is derived from public information, market communication, and SMM's internal database models, processed by SMM for reference only and does not constitute decision-making advice.
May 26, 2026 08:001. Procurement Conditions The purchaser of this procurement project, Ansteel Powder Material Carbonyl Nickel Powder (AGGZZBHGXHD260525290651), is the Tender Management Office of the Procurement and Supply Center of Ansteel Group Engineering Technology Development Co., Ltd. The funds for the procurement project are self-raised. The project has met the procurement conditions and is now open for public inquiry and comparison. 2. Project Overview and Procurement Scope 2.1 Project Name: Ansteel Powder Material Carbonyl Nickel Powder 2.2 Conversion to other procurement methods upon procurement failure: No conversion 2.3 For details of the procurement content, scope, and scale of this project, please refer to the attachment "Material List Attachment.pdf". 3. Bidder Qualification Requirements 3.1 Joint bids are not permitted for this procurement. 3.2 This procurement requires bidders to possess the following qualifications: (1) Manufacturing business license (2) Distribution business license 3.3 This procurement requires bidders to meet the following registered capital requirements: Manufacturing registered capital: 2 million yuan or above Distribution registered capital: 2 million yuan or above 3.4 This procurement requires bidders to possess the following performance requirements: Supply performance of similar products after January 1, 2022 (contracts and corresponding invoices). 3.5 This procurement requires bidders to meet the following capability requirements, financial requirements, and other requirements: Financial requirements: See attachment for details (if required) Capability requirements: See attachment for details (if required) Other requirements: See attachment for details (if required) 3.6 For projects subject to mandatory tendering by law in this procurement, bids submitted by persons subject to enforcement for dishonesty shall be invalid. 4. Acquisition of Procurement Documents 4.1 All interested bidders are requested to log in to the Ansteel Smart Tender and Bid Platform at http://bid.ansteel.cn from 14:00 on May 25, 2026 to 13:00 on June 2, 2026 (Beijing time, the same hereinafter) to download the electronic procurement documents. Click to view tender details:
May 25, 2026 15:45SMM News, May 25: Metals market: As of the midday close, base metals on the domestic market mostly rose. SHFE copper gained 1.06%. SHFE aluminum fell 0.47%. SHFE lead rose 0.06%, SHFE zinc rose 0.34%. SHFE tin gained 1.22%. SHFE nickel rose 0.23%. In addition, the most-traded casting aluminum futures fell 0.54%, the most-traded alumina futures rose 0.37%. The most-traded lithium carbonate futures rose 0.58%. The most-traded silicon metal futures rose 1.07%. The most-traded polysilicon futures rose 0.48%. Ferrous metals all rose. Iron ore gained 0.25%, rebar rose 1.23%, hot-rolled coil rose 1.03%, and stainless steel edged up. Coking coal and coke: the most-traded coking coal contract and the most-traded coke contract hit the daily limit up with gains of 7.97% and 7.99%, respectively. Overseas base metals: The London Metal Exchange (LME) was closed on May 25 for the UK bank holiday and will resume trading on May 26. Precious metals: as of 11:38, COMEX gold rose 0.86% and COMEX silver gained 2.44%. Domestic precious metals: the most-traded SHFE gold futures rose 0.64% and the most-traded SHFE silver futures rose 2.27%. In addition, as of the midday close, the most-traded platinum futures fell 0.2% and the most-traded palladium futures rose 0.01%. As of the midday close, the most-traded Europe containerized freight index contract fell 3.36% to 2,901 points. As of 11:38 on May 25, midday futures quotes for selected contracts: Spot and fundamentals Copper: Today, #1 copper cathode spot prices in North China against the front-month contract were reported at an average discount of 360 yuan/mt to a discount of 280 yuan/mt. The average price fell 10 yuan/mt from the previous trading day, and the average transaction price was 105,230 yuan/mt, up 1,035 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Macro front Domestic: [Huawei Announces Semiconductor Tao's Law] On May 25, Huawei officially announced a new law in the semiconductor field. "Tao's Law" proposes replacing "geometric scaling" with "temporal scaling," achieving new breakthroughs in transistor density and system performance through logic folding technology. This marks the first time China has proposed a new principle guiding industrial development in the global semiconductor field. By 2031, high-end chip transistor density based on this law is expected to reach the equivalent level of the 1.4nm process node. (People's Daily) [PBOC Reverse Repo Operations Result in Net Injection of 257 billion yuan Today] The PBOC conducted 258 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repo operations in the open market, with an operation rate of 1.40%, unchanged from the previous day. 1 billion yuan of reverse repos matured today. On the US dollar: As of 11:38, the US dollar index fell 0.3% to 99.03. Kevin Hassett, chief economic adviser to US President Trump, said he believes that the eventual decline in oil prices will create room for the Fed to cut interest rates. "We again expect that once a deal is reached, energy prices will plunge," Hassett said. "When that happens, the Fed will have plenty of room to take the right action and lower interest rates." He emphasized that he respects the Fed's independence and praised Kevin Warsh, who was sworn in as Fed Chairman last Friday. Although the surge in US fuel prices caused by Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz poses a growing political risk to Trump and his Republican Party in the November midterm elections, Hassett believes that the accelerating inflation is mainly driven by energy prices. "If you look at the last few data reports, energy prices are absolutely concerning, but core prices have barely moved at all," he said. "I think once we see energy prices pull back, due to declining energy prices, you may actually see negative inflation." (Jin10 Data) According to CME's "FedWatch": the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in June was 97.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike was 2.7%. The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in July was 84.8%, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike was 14.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point rate hike was 0.3%. (Jin10 Data) On data: Today, data including China's year-to-date installed power generation capacity in April and its year-on-year rate will be released. In addition, attention should be paid to: 500 billion yuan of 1-year medium-term lending facility (MLF) and 1 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos will mature today. In addition, it is worth noting that due to the Memorial Day holiday, US stock markets will be closed for one day on May 25 (Monday); CME's precious metals and US crude oil futures contract trading will end early at 02:30 Beijing time on the 26th, and US stock and US Treasury futures contract trading will end early at 01:00 Beijing time on the 26th. Due to the Buddha's Birthday holiday, Hong Kong stock markets will be closed for one day on May 25 (Monday), with both southbound and northbound trading suspended; South Korean stock markets will also be closed for one day on the same day. In addition, due to the Spring Bank Holiday, the UK stock market will be closed on Monday, May 25; trading of ICE Brent crude oil futures contracts will end early at 01:30 Beijing time on May 26. Investors are advised to take note. (Jin10 Data) Overseas exchange closure arrangements are as follows (all in Beijing time): Crude oil: As of 11:38, oil prices in both markets fell, with WTI down 5.92% and Brent down 5.32%. Rising expectations of a US-Iran deal boosted global risk sentiment, putting oil prices under pressure. The direct catalyst for the oil price decline was signs of improvement in actual transit conditions through the Strait of Hormuz. According to Iran's Islamic Republic News Agency citing a statement from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, 33 vessels — including oil tankers, container ships, and other commercial vessels — passed through the Strait of Hormuz within 24 hours on Sunday after receiving authorization from the IRGC Navy. (Wallstreetcn) The Washington Post reported on May 24 that the US and Iran had reached agreement on a framework for a memorandum of understanding (MOU), which, once signed, would fully restore shipping through the Strait of Hormuz within 30 days. Citing an anonymous senior US government official, the report said the US and Iran had developed an MOU "framework" that includes a 60-day ceasefire extension to allow both sides to reach a "final agreement" on permanently ending hostilities with Iran, during which the Strait of Hormuz would be demined and reopened. The official said the MOU includes a "commitment" that Iran will not possess nuclear weapons. Over the next two months, the US and Iran will discuss the "mechanism" for implementing this commitment. However, neither side signed any agreement on May 24. (Xinhua) Trump said on social media on Saturday that a US-Iran deal was largely done, including the opening of the Strait of Hormuz, and told US representatives not to rush into a deal. But on Sunday he said the deal was "not fully done yet." US Secretary of State Marco Rubio had previously said there could be "some good news" on the Hormuz issue in the coming hours. Iran remained cautious. Iran's Tasnim News Agency warned that the draft agreement could still collapse due to US obstacles on several key terms — including Iran's demand for unfreezing assets. (Wallstreetcn) Spot market overview: ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ►
May 25, 2026 14:291 Tender Conditions The bid inviter for this tender project, Ansteel Powder Materials Ultra-High Power Graphite Electrodes (AGGZZBHGZHD260525290631), is the Tender Management Office of the Procurement and Supply Center of Ansteel Group Engineering Technology Development Co., Ltd. The project funds are self-raised. The project has met the tender conditions, and open tendering is now conducted. 2 Project Overview and Tender Scope 2.1 Project Name: Ansteel Powder Materials Ultra-High Power Graphite Electrodes 2.2 Conversion to other procurement methods upon tender failure: No conversion 2.3 The tender content, scope, and scale of this project are detailed in the attachment "Material List Attachment.pdf". 3 Bidder Qualification Requirements 3.1 Joint venture bidding is not permitted in this tender. 3.2 This tender requires bidders to possess the following qualification requirements: (1) Production-type quality management system certification (2) Production-type business license 3.3 This tender requires bidders to meet the following registered capital requirements: Production-type registered capital: 5 million yuan and above 3.4 This tender requires bidders to possess the following performance requirements: Supply performance of similar products after January 1, 2022 (one contract and corresponding invoice) 3.5 This tender requires bidders to possess the following capability requirements, financial requirements, and other requirements: Financial requirements: See attachments for details (if applicable) Capability requirements: See attachments for details (if applicable) Other requirements: See attachments for details (if applicable) 3.6 This tender requires that for projects subject to mandatory tendering by law, bids from persons subject to enforcement for breach of trust shall be invalid. 4 Obtaining Tender Documents 4.1 All parties interested in bidding are requested to log in to the Ansteel Smart Tender and Bid Platform at http://bid.ansteel.cn to download the electronic tender documents from 13:00 on May 25, 2026 to 13:00 on June 15, 2026 (Beijing time, the same hereinafter). Click to view tender details:
May 25, 2026 13:27Nickel Ore " Indonesia Officially Issues Presidential Decree Requiring Designated State-Owned Enterprises to Monopolize Strategic Resource Exports Starting This June " 1. Price Dynamics and HMA Revisions The Indonesian nickel ore price remained stable this week. The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) has officially released the Nickel Mineral Benchmark Price (HMA) for the second half of May 2026. Nickel HMA: $18,849.3/dmt (up $1047.15 or 5.88% from $17,802.14 in early May). Cobalt HMA: $55,854/dmt. Iron Ore HMA: $1.58/dmt. Chrome Ore HMA: $6.37/dmt. Current port-delivered prices for 1.6% grade pyrometallurgical ore (saprolite) stand at $77.8-80.8/wmt. In contrast, 1.2% grade hydrometallurgical ore (limonite) is priced at approximately $28-33/wm.. 2. Supply-Demand Fundamentals and Weather Impacts For pyrometallurgical ore, unseasonal, abnormally heavy rainfall in the Central and South Sulawesi regions (Morowali and surrounding mining areas) has severely disrupted land transportation and barge transshipment. A series of micro-earthquakes (reaching up to magnitude M$1.9$) that occurred near Morowali between May 17 and 18 further exacerbated this impact. The combination of highly saturated soil moisture and minor crustal tremors has significantly increased the risk of landslides and slope instability, forcing mines to slow down their extraction and heavy-truck transportation pace for safety reasons. Therefore, even though the approval rate of regulatory quotas (RKAB) has reached approximately 90%, the spot supply of high-grade ore remains tight. To cope with exorbitant costs and tight supply, smelters are actively adopting cost-reduction strategies. These include blending low-grade ores into raw materials to lower the overall grade, promoting a unified premium pricing model of "HPM + USD $7–$10/wmt," and implementing standardized benchmarks for the chemical specifications of pyrometallurgical ore (Cobalt 0.05%, Iron 20%, Chrome 1%) to eliminate additional premiums for individual ore components. Meanwhile, the hydrometallurgical nickel ore market continues to suffer a severe disconnect from official pricing. The price of low-grade hydrometallurgical ore is under severe pressure and has completely failed to follow the upward trend of the new HPM. This price depression is primarily driven by the dual contraction of smelter operating rates and immediate raw material demand, with the core trigger being a potential production cut in Mixed Hydroxide Precipitate (MHP) caused by a sulfuric acid supply shortage in May. Against a backdrop of relatively stable inventory levels, MHP refineries are leveraging this low-capacity operating environment to aggressively suppress procurement bids, causing hydrometallurgical ore prices to continue hovering at low levels. 3. SMM Internal Estimates The new pricing formula has led to increased price divergence and amplified volatility, particularly influenced by higher associated cobalt content in certain ores. SMM calculations show that the new HPM for 1.2% grade limonite is approximately $49.95, significantly higher than current market assessments. The new HPM for 1.6% grade saprolite is $70.83; the inclusion of higher cobalt content in the new formula has markedly amplified price fluctuations. While actual market transaction prices currently remain above this benchmark, the gap is steadily narrowing. 4. Regulatory Quotas (RKAB) and Market Outlook According to the ESDM, RKAB approvals for 2026 have reached approximately 90%. SMM statistics indicate that the total approved quota for Indonesian nickel ore stands at roughly 240 million wmt. The macroeconomic and policy focus of the market has recently shifted, primarily concentrating on the following two major export and contract regulatory policies: DSI's Full Takeover of the Export Mechanism: The Indonesian government has confirmed that starting January 1, 2027, DSI will fully take over the export business of coal, palm oil, and ferroalloys. This policy will facilitate a smooth transition of the export mechanism in two phases. Since ferroalloys (including ferronickel, NPI, etc.) fall within the scope of this takeover, the market is closely evaluating the impact of this transition period on the export logistics and compliance costs of Chinese-funded smelters. Crackdown on Under-Invoiced Long-Term Contracts: The Indonesian government emphasized that it will honor existing, valid long-term export contracts to maintain commercial credit. However, at the same time, the government will strictly investigate and punish long-term contracts suspected of "under-invoicing" (low-price customs declarations). It is reported that relevant Indonesian departments will soon hold consultations with major industry associations to ensure a smooth policy transition while plugging loopholes that lead to tax revenue losses from underpricing. Nickel Pig Iron " Supply-Demand Price Gap Widens; Short-Term Prices to Fluctuate within a Range " The average price of SMM 10-12% NPI average price fell by RMB 5.7 per nickel unit week-on-week to RMB 1140.3 per nickel unit (ex-works, tax included), while the Indonesia NPI FOB index dipped by USD 1.37 USD per nickel unit to an average of USD 146.52 per nickel unit. Downstream purchasing sentiment dropped even more visibly, intensifying the divide in market mindsets between buyers and sellers. On the supply side, existing NPI production cutbacks, coupled with recent disruptions from Indonesian export policy updates, have gradually tightened spot availability. Consequently, upstream producers are holding back cargo to defend their asking prices, generally keeping their offers firm. Sellers only slightly softened their quotes under the weight of weak futures markets, and their willingness to offload cargo at lower price levels remains low. This expectation of tighter market supply provides a solid floor for prices. On the demand side, pressure remains acute. The stainless steel market lacks upward momentum, forcing steel mills to adopt a highly cautious procurement stance centered strictly around hand-to-mouth restocking. Furthermore, as the price-to-performance advantage of stainless steel scrap expands, downstream buyers are pushing hard for discounts. Target buying prices remain heavily clustered between RMB 1,120 and 1,130/mtu, leaving a massive spread against upstream asking prices that makes reconciling the two sides very difficult. Market Outlook: While expectations of tightening supply will support spot prices, the weak futures market and competitive pricing from alternative raw materials will continue to cap upside gains. Accordingly, high-nickel pig iron prices are expected to exhibit a high-level, range-bound volatile trend next week.
May 22, 2026 20:42SMM May 22 update: The "Regulations for the Implementation of the Mineral Resources Law of the People's Republic of China" was recently promulgated and will take effect from June 15, 2026. The tight supply situation on the raw material side remained unchanged. Pr-Nd oxide saw a notable increase on May 21, boosted by major manufacturers' procurement, but underwent a slight correction on May 22 under the influence of inquiries pushing for lower prices. Nevertheless, the recovery in market confidence provided some support for Pr-Nd prices. Demand side, the NEV, wind power, and humanoid robot industries continued to develop favorably, and the market expected promising growth in high performance NdFeB demand. Additionally, after the previous period of adjustment, some market funds flowed back into the rare earth permanent magnet sector, driving a notable rise in the rare earth permanent magnet concept on May 22. As of the close on May 22, the rare earth permanent magnet concept rose 3.14%. In terms of individual stocks: Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing hit the daily limit, while Advanced Technology & Materials, Hanghua Co., Huaxin Technology, Innuovo Technology, and Orient Zirconic Industry led the gains. News [Li Qiang Signs State Council Decree Promulgating the "Regulations for the Implementation of the Mineral Resources Law of the People's Republic of China"] Premier Li Qiang recently signed a State Council decree promulgating the "Regulations for the Implementation of the Mineral Resources Law of the People's Republic of China" (hereinafter referred to as the "Regulations"), which will take effect from June 15, 2026. The Regulations aim to ensure the effective implementation of the revised Mineral Resources Law, promote the rational development and utilization of mineral resources, strengthen the protection of mineral resources and the ecological environment, drive high-quality development of the mining industry, and safeguard mineral resource security. The Regulations consist of 8 chapters and 79 articles, mainly covering the following contents. First, further improving the mining rights system, with specific provisions on the establishment, transfer by tender, renewal, and assignment of mining rights. Second, refining systems related to mineral resource exploration and extraction, including establishing and improving technical standards and normative systems for basic geological surveys, clarifying procedures for applying for exploration permits and mining permits, strengthening land use guarantees for mining, promoting comprehensive utilization of mineral resources, and clarifying the legal effect of mineral resource reserve reports. Third, refining systems related to ecological restoration in mining areas, clarifying that mining right holders are responsible for ecological restoration in mining areas, detailing the contents that ecological restoration plans for mining areas should specify, and stipulating the completion deadlines and acceptance procedures for ecological restoration in mining areas. Fourth, further improving mineral resource reserve and emergency response systems, clarifying the principles to be followed in building a strategic mineral resource reserve system, further refining systems related to strategic mineral resource product reserves, capacity reserves, and production site reserves, and improving emergency response measures for mineral resources. Fifth, further improving the supervision and management system, refining the evaluation system for mineral resource development and utilization levels, implementing registration and tiered and classified supervision for entities engaged in mineral resource exploration, and clarifying dispute resolution mechanisms between mining right holders. Legal responsibilities were improved, specifying that violations involving strategic mineral resources shall be subject to heavier penalties within the statutory range. (Xinhua News Agency) Pr-Nd oxide price pulled back slightly on May 22; dysprosium oxide and terbium oxide prices remained stable Spot market: On May 22, the average price of Pr-Nd oxide edged down 0.57% from the previous trading day. Dysprosium oxide and terbium oxide prices remained flat compared to the previous trading day. Currently, rare earth market prices showed a slight correction. Focusing on the Pr-Nd market, mid-week, magnetic material enterprises conducted a round of concentrated procurement, but as the weekend approached, their inquiry activities decreased significantly, with most inquiries pushing for lower prices. Affected by this, the metal market inquiries came under pressure, and some metal enterprises slightly lowered their quotes. The oxide market was also affected; impacted by metal enterprises' price-pushing inquiries, some traders lowered their quotes. However, market confidence recovered somewhat in the short term, and suppliers had low willingness to sell at lower prices, so the overall decline in Pr-Nd products remained limited. Turning to the medium-heavy rare earth market, although market inquiry activities decreased, suppliers showed little willingness to sell at lower prices. Prices of products such as dysprosium and terbium therefore showed no significant fluctuations, maintaining overall stable operation. Overall, as downstream inquiry activities decreased near the weekend with price-pushing inquiries, Pr-Nd product prices saw a slight correction, while medium-heavy rare earth market prices remained relatively firm with stable overall operation. In the short term, as market trading activity picks up, Pr-Nd product prices are expected to move sideways. Institutional Views Guojin Securities research report noted: Rare earth: From the beginning of the year to date, the price center has been continuously rising, which we believe is likely highly correlated with supply-side policy documents issued from 2024 to 2025, as industry supply-side reform continues to advance. Full-year exports in 2025 were -1% YoY, while exports from early 2026 to date increased significantly, indicating that ex-China restocking demand remains substantial. The rare earth sector will continue to see dual appreciation in valuation and earnings, and 2026 is also a critical year for resolving horizontal competition among key targets. Resource side, we recommend attention to China Rare Earth (medium-heavy rare earth leader, biggest beneficiary of supply reform), China Rare Metals and Rare Earth (undervalued, high-growth South China rare earth leader), China Northern Rare Earth (light rare earth leader, significant cost advantages), Bao Gang United Steel (beneficiary of dual supply reform in rare earth and steel); magnetic material segment beneficiary: JL MAG Rare-Earth (magnetic material leader, robotics contributing growth potential). Other related targets include Zhenghai Magnetic Material and Ningbo Yunsheng. According to a Huaxi Securities research report: per the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), rare earths are relatively abundant in the Earth's crust, but mineable reserves are less than most other mineral products. In 2025, global rare earth reserves were estimated at 85 million mt (in rare earth oxide equivalent, same below), of which China's reserves were 44 million mt, accounting for 51.76%. Production side, global rare earth production in 2025 was 380,000 mt, of which China's production was 270,000 mt, accounting for 71.05%. Midstream, 90% of smelting and processing demand in 2025 was handled by China. Downstream, according to Frost & Sullivan's forecast, global rare earth permanent magnet production in 2025 was 310,200 mt, of which sintered NdFeB production was 296,700 mt (95.65%); China's rare earth permanent magnet production was 284,200 mt (91.62% of global production), of which sintered NdFeB production was 271,800 mt (95.64%). Overall, global rare earth resources are highly concentrated, and China ranks first globally in both rare earth production and reserves. On November 7, 2025, the Ministry of Commerce and the General Administration of Customs jointly announced that from that date until November 10, 2026, six export control measures involving superhard materials, rare earth-related items, lithium batteries, and artificial graphite anode materials would be temporarily suspended, indicating some easing in China-US relations. The US government is actively rebuilding its domestic rare earth industry chain, with US magnet manufacturer eVAC recently shipping its first batch of NdFeB permanent magnets from its Sumter, South Carolina plant. However, in the short term, global rare earth permanent magnet production remains highly concentrated in China. Considering that ex-China capacity release still requires time and given the scale of China's new capacity, China remains the only country in the world with production capabilities across the entire rare earth industry chain for all product categories. The overall scale of the Western rare earth industry chain is far below that of China, with incomplete industry chains and obvious shortcomings. Looking ahead, although downstream new orders remain weak with most enterprises primarily digesting existing orders, some small and medium-sized enterprises' raw material inventory is approaching low levels, highlighting rigid restocking demand. According to a CITIC Securities research report, in 2025 and Q1 2026, earnings growth in the metals sector generally accelerated, with tungsten, lithium, lead-zinc, and rare earth magnetic materials leading the gains, while aluminum, copper, nickel-cobalt-tin-antimony, and gold performed relatively weakly since the beginning of the year. Current metals sector valuations remain at reasonable levels, with aluminum, copper, nickel-cobalt-tin-antimony, and gold valuations at relatively low levels, and valuation rebounds are still expected. Industry dividends pulled back slightly, but forecast dividend yields for some individual stocks still exceed 5%. Looking ahead to 2026, with liquidity shocks easing, supply disruptions occurring frequently, and certain downstream sectors sustaining relatively high prosperity, it is recommended to continue focusing on allocation opportunities in lithium, copper, rare earth, strategic metals, aluminum, and gold sectors. Recommended Reading:
May 22, 2026 19:361 Tender Conditions The bid inviter for this tender project, Copper Cathode Plate (AGGZLZHGZHD260522290464), is the Raw Material Division of the Procurement Department of Ansteel Lianzhong (Guangzhou) Stainless Steel Co., Ltd. The project funds are self-raised. The project has met the tender conditions, and an open tender is now being conducted. 2 Project Overview and Tender Scope 2.1 Project Name: Copper Cathode Plate 2.2 Alternative procurement methods upon tender failure: negotiated procurement, direct procurement 2.3 For details of the tender content, scope, and scale of this project, please refer to the attachment "Material List Attachment.pdf". 3 Bidder Qualification Requirements 3.1 Joint venture bidding is not permitted in this tender. 3.2 Bidders in this tender are required to possess the following qualification requirements: Please refer to the attachments (if necessary) 3.3 Bidders in this tender are required to meet the following registered capital requirements: Registered capital: 5 million yuan and above 3.4 Bidders in this tender are required to possess the following performance requirements: Please refer to the attachments (if necessary) 3.5 Bidders in this tender are required to possess the following capability requirements, financial requirements, and other requirements: Financial requirements: Please refer to the attachments (if necessary) Capability requirements: Please refer to the attachments (if necessary) Other requirements: Please refer to the attachments 3.6 For projects subject to mandatory tendering by law in this tender, bids from persons on the list of dishonest judgment debtors shall be invalid. 4 Obtaining the Tender Documents 4.1 All parties interested in bidding are requested to log in to the Ansteel Smart Tender and Bid Platform at http://bid.ansteel.cn to download the electronic tender documents from 17:00 on May 22, 2026 to 13:00 on June 12, 2026 (Beijing time, the same hereinafter). Click to view tender details:
May 22, 2026 19:34SMM, May 22: Cobalt product prices showed mixed performance this week. Refined cobalt spot prices rose by 2,000 yuan/mt over the week, with downstream buyers still purchasing as needed. Cobalt salt performance was relatively weak, with cobalt sulphate, cobalt chloride, and Co3O4 spot prices all recording varying degrees of decline. The overall market performance was sluggish, still awaiting feedback from subsequent downstream production schedules... SMM compiled the price fluctuations of cobalt products this week, as follows: : According to SMM spot prices, refined cobalt spot prices fluctuated upward this week. As of May 22, refined cobalt spot prices rose to 424,000-430,000 yuan/mt, with an average price of 427,000 yuan/mt, up 2,000 yuan/mt from May 15, a gain of 0.47%. Fundamentals: Supply side, mainstream smelters maintained stable quotes this week, with trader spot-futures price spreads stable at parity to a premium of 8,000-10,000 yuan/mt. Demand side, downstream alloy and magnetic material enterprises continued purchasing as needed, maintaining control over raw material inventory levels. The metal price spread between refined cobalt and low-priced cobalt salts remained at a low level, and cobalt salts were difficult to sell, making enterprises reluctant to re-dissolve cobalt salts to produce refined cobalt. The market is likely to continue its volatile pattern in the short term, and price rises still depend on effective support from cobalt salt prices. Cobalt salts ( and ): : According to SMM spot prices, cobalt sulphate spot prices continued to edge down this week. As of May 22, cobalt sulphate spot prices fell to 92,000-95,000 yuan/mt, with an average price of 93,500 yuan/mt, down 1,000 yuan/mt from 94,500 yuan/mt on May 15, a decline of 1.06%. According to SMM, on the supply side of cobalt sulphate this week, mainstream brand price centers shifted down to 92,000-95,000 yuan/mt; some smelters and traders, under capital turnover pressure, again made concessions on shipments, with low-priced sources dropping to 88,000-89,000 yuan/mt. Demand side, downstream enterprises still primarily consumed earlier inventory, with weak procurement enthusiasm, only making small just-in-time procurement for restocking. Some downstream sources reported that LCO production schedules fell short of expectations, and they maintained a wait-and-see stance before orders were confirmed. Cobalt sulphate prices are likely to continue fluctuating in the short term, with subsequent recovery still dependent on the release of downstream restocking demand. : According to SMM spot prices, cobalt chloride spot prices also declined this week. As of May 22, cobalt chloride spot prices fell to 112,000-115,500 yuan/mt, with an average price of 113,750 yuan/mt, down 1,750 yuan/mt from 115,500 yuan/mt on May 15, a decline of 1.52%. From the spot market perspective, according to SMM, cobalt chloride market transactions were mediocre this week. Supply side, top-tier players continued to hold prices firm, refusing to sell at low prices, providing strong support for cobalt chloride prices; while small and medium-sized producers, constrained by capital recovery and performance pressure, proactively lowered quotes, but even with price cuts, transactions were difficult to conclude, leading to continued price declines. Demand side, downstream enterprises, affected by weak demand and inventory accumulation, maintained persistently low purchase willingness. SMM believes that current cobalt chloride prices already have strong support, with limited possibility of further decline, and holds an optimistic view on the market outlook. From a cost perspective, prices are expected to rebound subsequently, but upside room is limited, with the estimated period around June. : According to SMM spot prices, Co3O4 spot prices showed a volatile downward trend this week. As of May 22, Co3O4 spot prices fell to 353,000-363,000 yuan/mt, with an average price of 358,000 yuan/mt, down 5,500 yuan/mt from 363,500 yuan/mt on May 15, a decline of 1.51%. According to SMM, the Co3O4 spot market continued its sluggish pattern this week. Supply side, enterprises found it difficult to maintain high prices and lowered prices to ship, but even so, product inventory continued to accumulate. Demand side, downstream LCO material enterprises still primarily relied on client-supplied materials plus long-term contracts, with spot order procurement volumes continuing to decline; meanwhile, affected by weak demand, some enterprises proactively slowed down their long-term contract cargo pick-up pace. Looking ahead, the subdued Co3O4 market is expected to persist for an extended period, but the price outlook remains positive, though support comes more from the cost side, with supply-demand and procurement factors having relatively limited impact. Regarding raw material cobalt intermediate products: According to SMM spot prices, cobalt intermediate product spot prices remained stable this week. As of May 22, cobalt intermediate product (CIF China) spot prices held steady at $25.8-26.2/lb, with an average price of $26/lb. According to SMM, on the supply side of cobalt intermediate products this week, suppliers maintained firm bullish expectations, with quotes consistently held above $26/lb. Demand side performance was stable; affected by weak cobalt salt prices, downstream smelters only made just-in-time procurement, with some non-standard products transacting near $25/lb. On the quota front, 2025 Q4 miner quota approvals were largely completed, while Q1 quota approvals were slower due to procedural constraints; coupled with tight logistics capacity in the DRC, where cobalt cargo had lower transportation priority, the arrival of large-volume shipments to China may be further delayed . In the short term, dragged by weak demand, prices are likely to remain stable, but after downstream orders materialize and restocking demand is released, intermediate product prices still have upside room for recovery. News: According to Webstock Inc., on May 18, Ilya Epikhin, Global Head of Natural Resources at consulting firm Arthur D. Little, stated that 2027 could see the first deep-sea mineral extraction, with copper, cobalt, and nickel being "mined" from the ocean for the first time. It is reported that polymetallic nodules on the seabed (containing 28%-30% manganese, 1% copper, 1% nickel, 0.2%-0.7% cobalt) are found at depths of 4,000-6,000 meters, with concentrations ranging from 5-15 kg per m², with the Clarion-Clipperton Zone in the North Pacific being the world's most resource-rich area for nodules. Corporate developments: On May 12, XTC New Energy Materials (Xiamen) was asked about the impact of cobalt raw material price increases on the company. XTC New Energy Materials (Xiamen) responded that the company is one of the world's largest cobalt consumers, maintaining long-term close cooperation with upstream enterprises, with stable cobalt raw material supply. In the 3C consumer electronics sector, clients focus more on LCO performance, so the negative impact of cobalt raw material price increases on the company's operations is relatively small. In terms of inventory management, the company adheres to a "short lead time, fast turnover" business strategy, building a robust raw material supply chain. Public information shows that XTC New Energy Materials (Xiamen)'s main products include LCO, ternary cathode material (including high-nickel ternary), and LFP, with its ternary cathode material firmly positioned in the industry's first tier. In 2025, the company actively seized demand growth opportunities from national device trade-in subsidy policies and increased battery capacity in 3C consumer devices driven by AI functions, closely addressing core client needs, fully leveraging its leading high-voltage LCO technology advantages, supplying first-tier smartphone and laptop brands, achieving full-year LCO sales of 65,300 mt (of which 4.5V and above high-voltage products accounted for 58%), with sales up 41.31% YoY. Tengyuan Cobalt mentioned its existing capacity in a previously released investor activity record. It stated that as of the end of Q1 2026, the company had capacity of 31,500 mt in metal content for cobalt products (including 8,000 mt in metal content for refined cobalt), 10,000 mt in metal content for nickel products, 10,000 mt in metal content for manganese products, 60,000 mt for copper products, 20,000 mt for ternary cathode precursor, 10,000 mt for Co3O4, and 5,000 mt for lithium carbonate. Additionally, when investors asked about the company's outlook on cobalt market trends this year, Tengyuan Cobalt stated that the strategic value and demand potential of cobalt are being redefined, with its resource attributes being continuously strengthened. Furthermore, as AI drives the emergence of new sectors such as humanoid robots, low-altitude economy, and robotic dogs, the accelerated industrialisation of ternary solid-state batteries will become the core new engine for cobalt demand growth, opening up medium and long-term, certain, and substantial incremental cobalt demand. Combined with cobalt's essential demand attributes, its growth potential will continue to shift upward.
May 22, 2026 18:26The ex-China rare earth market this week exhibited a trend of "falling prices amid tight supply," with Pr-Nd oxide and metal prices generally marked down by approximately $5-10/kg. However, due to export controls and tightening supply, the premium on Chinese products outside China remained significant. Meanwhile, geopolitical rivalry and supply chain restructuring accelerated, with G7 finance ministers calling for urgent reduction of dependence on China and the establishment of recycling quota systems. On the capital front, Greenland Resources spent $35 million to acquire the high-grade Sarfartoq project to strengthen its magnetic material rare earth portfolio. Australia's Arafura officially finalised the final investment decision for the Nolans project. Combined with Brazil's launch of an antitrust investigation and Germany's Heraeus divesting its recycling business, these developments underscored the urgency of global decoupling and localization efforts.
May 22, 2026 17:07