Announcement No. 20 of 2026 has officially come into effect, clarifying that China will resume levying consumption tax on lithium-ion batteries from September 1, 2026. The policy adopts a tiered tax rate mechanism: the period from September 2026 to August 2027 will serve as a policy transition period, with the consumption tax rate applied at 2%; from September 1, 2027, the rate will be officially raised to 4%.

[SMM Cobalt & Lithium Morning Brief: Battery Material Prices Show Divergent Trends, End-user Procurement Remains Cautious] Lithium ore prices are in the doldrums but low-priced resources are limited, lithium carbonate spot and futures prices rebounded, and lithium hydroxide maintained a steady slight increase. Refined cobalt and cobalt salt are generally in the doldrums, impacted by off-season demand, sufficient inventory, and cautious procurement. Nickel sulphate cost support strengthened, ternary cathode precursor prices held steady, and ternary cathode material rebounded slightly, but actual cargo pick-up remained cautious. LFP prices declined along with raw material, while shipments continued to grow, supported by energy storage and commercial vehicle demand. Anode, separator, and electrolyte prices were generally stable, with expectations for some raw material cost transmission downstream. Sodium-ion battery material supply remained relatively tight, while the recycling market consolidated on a weak note due to fluctuations in lithium and cobalt raw material prices.

[SMM Analysis: Jiuwu Hi-Tech's LATP Solid-State Electrolyte Passes 4.62V Extreme Overcharge Test, Ceramic Membrane Giant's Dual-Track Solid-State Battery Layout] Jiuwu Hi-Tech's LATP solid-state electrolyte was applied in NCM811 pouch batteries and passed the extreme overcharge (4.62V) and over-discharge (0V) tests according to GB38031-2020, with no smoke, fire, or explosion throughout the process, a temperature rise of ≤5°C, and a significantly improved safety margin. The company has adopted a dual-track layout of oxides (LLZO/LATP) and sulphides, achieved mt-level mass production and supplied leading battery cell enterprises, while advancing a hundred-mt-level pilot scale-up. Leveraging nearly 30 years of ceramic membrane technology expertise, it is positioning itself in the key materials segment for solid-state batteries.

Solid‑State Battery Weekly Review Hybrid Solid‑Liquid Mass Production Set, All‑Solid‑State R&D Continues

SMM Cobalt Morning Briefing: The cobalt industry chain was generally in the doldrums this week. Refined cobalt prices drifted lower, affected by import data exceeding expectations, the demand off-season, and downstream summer breaks. Sellers and buyers of cobalt intermediate products had a wide psychological price spread, making it difficult to advance transactions, and prices remained temporarily stable. Market inquiries and transactions for cobalt sulphate, cobalt chloride, and Co3O4 were sluggish, with downstream users mainly pushing for lower prices and making just-in-time procurement. Cobalt powder prices continued to hit bottom, while cobalt carbonate was also under pressure.

This week, ternary cathode material prices continued to move lower. On the raw material front, nickel sulfate prices traded at low levels with fluctuations, cobalt sulfate offers continued to decline, manganese sulfate prices held steady, while lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide saw relatively notable declines due to capital market volatility. In terms of transaction sentiment, some battery cell manufacturers remained bearish amid significant volatility in raw material prices. With sufficient inventory levels, downstream battery cell manufacturers largely adopted a cautious wait-and-see approach and slowed their pace of offtake, leading to subdued trading activity this week. On the payable front, battery cell manufacturers showed limited acceptance of upward payable adjustments amid lackluster demand growth. Meanwhile, with the upcoming reinstatement of the lithium battery consumption tax, battery cell manufacturers may shift part of their cost pressures upstream, further complicating any upward payable adjustments. On the demand side, ternary battery cell manufacturers in the EV market generally adopt M-1 month pricing for settlements. Given the notable decline in raw material prices in July, battery cell manufacturers have shown strong wait-and-see sentiment. Actual offtake volumes this month are expected to be lower than previously anticipated, suggesting that domestic ternary cathode shipments in July may decline. In the consumer market, while the expected reinstatement of the consumption tax exists, its pull-forward effect on orders has been relatively limited, with demand also weighed down by falling raw material prices.

In H1 this year, new special bonds worth 2.07 trillion yuan were issued, with the issuance progress at about 47%. The funds were mainly used for key areas such as municipal and industrial park infrastructure, transport infrastructure, urban renewal, and social programs, effectively meeting the funding needs of major projects in key areas. Special bonds used as project capital exceeded 170 billion yuan, better leveraging the role of government investment to produce a multiplier effect.

[SMM Analysis: New Battery Consumption Tax Policy Takes Effect: Sodium-Ion Batteries Exempt, Lithium Batteries Taxed, Sodium-Ion Batteries Enter a "Tax Exemption Dividend Period"] SMM, July 21: The Ministry of Finance, the General Administration of Customs, and the State Taxation Administration recently jointly issued an announcement on the adjustment of the battery consumption tax policy. For the first time, lithium-ion batteries and similar products are included in the scope of consumption tax collection, while sodium-ion batteries, solid-state batteries, fuel cells, and others are listed in the exemption catalog. This "tax-and-exempt" design has garnered widespread attention across the sodium-ion battery industry chain...

On July 16, the Ministry of Finance, the General Administration of Customs, and the State Taxation Administration jointly issued Announcement No. 20 of 2026, introducing systemic adjustments to the consumption tax policy on certain batteries. This marks the most significant policy revision since the establishment of the battery consumption tax framework in 2015, covering key categories such as lithium-ion batteries, solar cells, sodium-ion batteries, and solid-state batteries. Through a combined mechanism of “tiered tax rates + targeted exemptions + standards-based access,” it addresses the dual objectives of tax regulation and industrial guidance. 1. Lithium-Ion Batteries to Be Taxed First: 2% from September, Rising to 4% in September Next Year According to the announcement, starting September 1, 2026, conventional battery categories such as lithium-ion batteries will be subject to a 2% consumption tax rate, which will be raised to 4% from September 1, 2027. Lithium-ion batteries are the category most broadly affected by the new rules, with power batteries accounting for the vast majority of their shipments. Assuming an average battery cell price of 0.5 yuan/Wh and annual shipments of 1,000 GWh, a 2% tax rate translates to an additional annual tax burden of approximately 10 billion yuan at the cell level. At present, gross margins of power battery cell enterprises are generally compressed to around 10% or even lower, making this cost increase significant. In terms of pass-through, top-tier players, leveraging economies of scale and stronger bargaining power, are expected to pass on part of the tax burden to downstream automakers. However, second- and third-tier enterprises have limited room to negotiate, so their profit margins may come under further pressure, potentially intensifying industry divergence. After the tax rate rises to 4% in 2027, cost pressure will be significantly magnified, likely accelerating the rationalization of inefficient capacity. 2. Targeted Tax Exemptions for Frontier Technologies: Sodium-Ion and Solid-State Batteries Enjoy a “Policy Window” The announcement specifies that from September 1, 2026 to December 31, 2028, sodium-ion batteries, solid-state batteries, fuel cells, as well as perovskite, tandem, and gallium arsenide solar cells in the PV sector will be exempt from consumption tax. This arrangement directly targets frontier technology pathways that have not yet been industrialized on a large scale but hold strategic significance: Sodium-ion batteries are at a critical stage of transitioning from demonstration applications to large-scale mass production. The exemption will effectively lower the initial comprehensive production costs, narrow the cost gap with lithium-ion batteries, and accelerate their penetration in applications such as low-speed vehicles. Solid-state batteries, as the core direction for next-generation power batteries, remain in the R&D and small-batch trial production stage transitioning from semi-solid to all-solid-state. The tax exemption helps reduce trial-and-error costs and accelerate industrialization. The core logic is: tax mature technologies, and exempt frontier technologies from tax. Exempting frontier technologies that are still in the early stages of industrialization reflects a policy orientation of “using tax supplements from mature technologies to support frontier technologies, enabling them to move forward with less burden,” thereby guiding capital and resources toward technological iteration. In the short term, at the initial stage of the lithium battery consumption tax, cost side, battery cell enterprises will be under pressure and will manage by raising prices or optimizing their product mix. This cost increase is particularly erosive to the profits of second- and third-tier enterprises, and some marginal capacity may face break-even pressure. In terms of production scheduling pace, ahead of the September 1 start date, battery cell manufacturers may exhibit an “installation rush” effect involving concentrated shipments and advance stockpiling, potentially driving August production figures sharply higher in the short term, while September production schedules will face a phased pullback. In terms of price pass-through, top-tier players still have some cushion for negotiation, but smaller cell makers will face greater resistance in passing the tax burden to automakers and will need to absorb most of the costs themselves. In terms of product mix, production scheduling priorities for low-margin categories may be passively downgraded, accelerating the industry reshuffle. In the long term, after the tax rate rises to 4%, industry-wide cost pressure will be significantly magnified. Combined with the scheduled expiration of the tax exemption window for frontier technologies at the end of 2028, whether sodium-ion and solid-state batteries can achieve cost reductions at scale by then will become a critical factor in determining their competitiveness. The policy sends a very clear signal: the state’s regulatory logic for the battery industry is shifting from “universal support” to “differentiated guidance,” with technology leaders reaping greater policy dividends.

[7.21 Morning Briefing] US media reports: US-Iran conflict intensifies, the Pentagon is accelerating the deployment of F-16 and F-35 fighter jets to the Middle East. Advisor to Iran’s Supreme Leader: If US forces continue operations, Iran may shift to a full-scale offensive. The most-traded SHFE nickel 2609 contract surged in early trading then pulled back slightly, and as of the morning close, it reported 130,720 yuan/mt, down 0.13%. As the US-Iran conflict escalates, shipping restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz have strengthened sulfur cost support. However, refined nickel inventories remain difficult to reduce. Both domestic and international inventories are still at high levels, and the destocking speed is slow. In the short term, the price of the most-traded SHFE nickel contract is expected to trade within the range of 125,000-130,000 yuan/mt.