SMM Morning Meeting Summary: Last Friday night, LME copper opened at $12,157.5/mt and dipped to $12,106/mt at the start of the session, then fluctuated upward to $12,246.5/mt. Later, the center of copper prices gradually moved lower and finally closed at $12,141/mt, up 0.17%, with trading volume at 15,500 lots and open interest at 295,000 lots, down 991 lots from the previous trading day. Last Friday night, the most-traded SHFE copper 2605 contract opened at 95,080 yuan/mt and touched a low of 95,040 yuan/mt at the start of the session, then the center of copper prices gradually moved higher to 95,880 yuan/mt. Later, it fluctuated downward and finally closed at 95,490 yuan/mt, down 0.22%, with trading volume at 42,900 lots and open interest at 185,500 lots, down 1,897 lots from the previous trading day, mainly due to long liquidation.

Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE: FCX) has begun the environmental permitting process for a $7.5 billion expansion of its majority owned El Abra copper mine in ChileThe project, owned 51% by Freeport and 49% by state-owned Codelco, is the largest mining investment submitted to Chile’s Environmental Assessment Service (SEA) since at least 1992. The plan includes a new concentrator, a desalination plant, a water pumping system, expanded mine infrastructure and continued leaching. Production is expected to begin in 2033 if regulators approve the project, Diario Financiero reported.

Chile’s state-owned copper giant Codelco has reported a sharp drop in production to start this year, leading copper industry analysts and former Codelco executives to question its reports of surging output at the end of 2025 that helped the company meet its annual production target.

Codelco has signed an agreement with Microsoft to explore the use of artificial intelligence, advanced analytics and automation in mining operations. The partnership aims to improve operational efficiency, enhance decision-making and strengthen cybersecurity systems. Analysts say digital technologies are increasingly transforming traditional mining operations.

This month, Rio Tinto stated during its earnings conference call that with all its owned projects progressing as planned, the company's lithium production capacity is expected to reach 200,000 metric tons of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) annually by 2028. The increase will primarily stem from the Fenix project, the expansion of Sal de Vida, and the commissioning of the Rincon and Nemaska projects. By that time, total output will exceed three times the 57,000 metric tons of lithium carbonate production achieved in 2025. Rio Tinto previously announced its entry into the ranks of major lithium producers upon acquiring Arcadium, with plans to increase capacity to over 200,000 metric tons of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) annually by 2028. The company has now confirmed its focus on achieving this target, positioning lithium as a “significant” component within its business structure. Expansion Projects: The mechanical portion of the 10,000-ton-per-year expansion at Fenix, one of the Argentine salt lake projects, has been completed, with commissioning progress reaching 60%. The mechanical vapor recompression unit has been put into operation to support the planned first production run. The first production from the expanded capacity remains on track to commence in the second half of 2026. At the new Sal de Vida project in Argentina, with an annual capacity of 15,000 metric tons, the mechanical works have been completed and commissioning is 40% complete. Production is expected to commence in the second half of 2026, projected to increase Rio Tinto's lithium output to 61,000–64,000 metric tons LCE in 2026. Regarding future projects: The Rincon project in Argentina, with an annual capacity of 60,000 metric tons, is progressing smoothly with its initial 3,000-metric-ton-per-year plant. It is expected to reach full capacity by year-end. The 57,000-metric-ton expansion plant has completed commissioning and is currently being started up, with first production planned for 2028. It will reach full production after a three-year ramp-up period. The mine has an estimated 40-year lifespan, with operating costs positioned in the top quartile of the industry cost curve. The Nemaska project in Canada features an integrated lithium hydroxide production line with a designed capacity of 28,000 metric tons per year. The mine's engineering design is complete, with construction progress at 60%. The lithium hydroxide refinery is scheduled to commence commissioning in 2026 and achieve first production in 2028. For the Whabouchi and Galaxy mines, strategic business and capital discipline reviews are underway with Canadian partners to determine the development of one of these mines. A decision is expected in the first half of 2026 to secure an integrated spodumene supply solution for the lithium hydroxide plant by 2028. In Chile, Rio Tinto anticipates closing agreements signed with state-owned mining companies Codelco and Enami in the first half of 2026. Rio Tinto has been selected as the private partner to develop Chile's two largest undeveloped lithium resources, with projects advancing upon agreement completion.

Chile's Ministry of Health has officially authorized the use of copper slag as artificial aggregate in construction, such as for road surfaces. Published into law on February 12, 2026, Supreme Decree 46 aims to transform a significant mining waste product into a valuable resource. Industry group Consejo Minero stated the regulation promotes the circular economy by turning a historical liability into an input for infrastructure. Mining companies Anglo American and Codelco supported the effort through pilot projects demonstrating the material's safe application in paving and public spaces.

Codelco and miner Rio Tinto signed a memorandum of understanding on Thursday to explore development and investment opportunities.

SMM Morning Meeting Minutes: LME copper opened at $13,055/mt overnight, initially hitting a low of $13,052.5/mt, after which copper prices fluctuated upward, approaching the session high of $13,228/mt before finally settling at $13,195/mt, up 2.28%. Trading volume reached 26,000 lots, an increase of 13,977 lots from the previous trading day; open interest stood at 317,000 lots, a decrease of 1,210 lots from the previous trading day, with the overall performance mainly characterized by short covering. The most-traded SHFE copper 2603 contract opened at 101,650 yuan/mt overnight, initially hitting a high of 102,230 yuan/mt, after which the price center declined to hit bottom at 101,200 yuan/mt, before finally fluctuating rangebound and settling at 101,860 yuan/mt, up 0.25%. Trading volume reached 29,000 lots, a decrease of 42,000 lots from the previous trading day; open interest stood at 123,000 lots, a decrease of 7,789 lots from the previous trading day, with the overall performance mainly characterized by short covering.

Codelco submitted a plan to resume underground mining in areas of the El Teniente complex unaffected by a collapse that killed six people and injured another nine, according to people briefed on the matter.

[Ford Motor: Temporary Production Halt at Some Plants Due to Rare Earth Supply Deficit] Ford Motor CEO Jim Farley stated that the company is still facing a supply deficit of rare earths, leading to temporary production halts at some plants. He revealed that after China implemented a new export approval mechanism, the supply of relevant materials has slowed down significantly, and the current situation is challenging. Ford's Explorer SUV plant in Chicago halted production for a week last month due to a shortage of raw materials. Although there has been positive news from the US-China trade negotiations, Farley noted that there has been no significant improvement in the supply of rare earths so far. He also mentioned that the company has submitted multiple export license applications to China's Ministry of Commerce, which are currently being reviewed one by one. (Gelonghui) [Yahua Group: Plans to Integrate Lithium Business Equity and Transfer It to Yahua Lithium Group] Yahua Group (002497.SZ) announced that to promote the rapid development of its lithium business, it plans to use its wholly-owned subsidiary, Sichuan Yahua Lithium Technology Co., Ltd., as a platform, rename it "Yahua Lithium Group," and transfer the equity of five subsidiaries involved in the lithium business to Yahua Lithium Group without compensation. (Cailian Press) [XTC New Energy Materials (Xiamen): Sales of New Energy Material Products Increased by Approximately 20.95% YoY from January to May] XTC New Energy Materials (Xiamen) (688778.SH) announced that from January to May 2025, the company's new energy material products achieved sales of approximately 47,600 mt, up approximately 20.95% YoY. Among them, LCO sales were approximately 22,300 mt, up approximately 53% YoY, and sales of ternary cathode materials (including LFP and others) were 23,600 mt, up approximately 2% YoY. (Cailian Press) [US Retail Sales in May Record Largest Decline Since the Beginning of the Year] US retail sales in May recorded the largest decline since the beginning of the year, indicating that new tariffs have curbed consumer spending, particularly on automobiles. Data released by the US Department of Commerce on Tuesday showed that after April's data was revised to a 0.1% decline, retail sales in May, unadjusted for inflation, fell by 0.9% MoM. Retail sales excluding automobiles declined by 0.3%. (Cailian Press) [Baoneng Auto Denies Being Liquidated and Dissolved] Baoneng Auto's customer service center WeChat official account issued a statement claiming that recently, some media have distorted facts and maliciously reported that the company and its affiliates have issued dissolution and liquidation announcements, disrupting online order and infringing on the company's legitimate reputation. 1. Although some companies are shown on the National Enterprise Credit Information Publicity System as "the enterprise has issued a dissolution announcement," "the enterprise has filed for liquidation group registration," or "the enterprise is making a business license invalidity declaration," among others, the company's operations remain normal, and new vehicles are expected to be launched soon. 2. Although some senior executives such as directors and supervisors have resigned, it does not affect the company's normal operations and business, and all operations are proceeding as usual without any impact. 3. Please refer to the group's official website for all business information and updates. (Cailian Press) [Xiaomi Auto: No Official Bulk Order Channels or Cash Subsidies Currently Available] Xiaomi Auto stated in its latest Q&A session with netizens on the evening of June 16 that there are currently no official bulk order channels or cash subsidies for Xiaomi Auto. The public is advised not to believe such information or engage in monetary transactions to avoid financial losses. For similar sales-related information, please carefully verify and refer only to official Xiaomi Auto channels. (Cailian Press) Related Reading: Major News in the Auto Market! May Passenger Vehicle Retail and Production Hit Record Highs—Is the Price War Sustainable? 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